cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
04/12/2012 12:55 PM

Marlins-Phillies close 3-game set Thursday



First pitch: Tuesday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Miami -110, Philadelphia +100, Total: 8

The Phillies and Marlins will play the rubber match of their three-game set, with the Fish entering the game as slight favorites on the road.

Left-hander Mark Buehrle lost but pitched well in his Miami debut, allowing just two runs in six innings of duty. His opponent Joe Blanton has yet to start a game but did not look good allowing one run in less than an inning of relief duty against Pittsburgh, surrendering two hits while recording that many outs. While it may seem like an uneven pitching matchup, Blanton has always found his best stuff against the Marlins, with a 6-2 record and 3.33 ERA in nine career starts, striking out 52 in 54 innings. Although Buehrle is 3-0 against the Phillies in his three career starts, his 5.06 ERA against the team won’t cut it in this game. Look for Hunter Pence, who notched hits in six of his past 13 times at the plate, to continue his hot streak against a southpaw in Buehrle—Pence had a .990 OPS against lefties in 2011. Take PHILADELPHIA as home underdogs to win.

This strong FoxSheets trend also favors the Phillies:

PHILADELPHIA is 140-70 (66.7%, +38.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.9, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 1*).

The Phillies bats finally broke out in the second game of the series, notching a 7-1 victory for the team’s second win of the season. But they will look for their first win Thursday in a game Roy Halladay is not starting. The best sign for the bats is that their breakout performance (seven runs on 14 hits) came against one of baseball’s best pitcher’s, Josh Johnson. Notching 14 hits as a team, Pence went 3-of-4, while Jimmy Rollins, Placido Polanco, Shane Victorino and Carlos Ruiz all gathered two hits. With Chase Utley and Ryan Howard injured, Philadelphia will need its lineup to continue producing like that top to bottom, something they may be able to do against a southpaw who pitches to contact.

Whereas the Phillies excelled against a top pitcher, the Marlins floundered, registering just five hits as a team. Jose Reyes went 0-for-4 and needs to start acting like the table-setter he was paid to be this offseason—he has yet to draw a walk this season, something unacceptable for a leadoff hitter. The Marlins currently have the third lowest OBP in baseball (.265), something that must change if they are to live up to their hype this year. Look for Blanton to take advantage of Miami’s lack of patience (8 BB, 44 K) and give the Phillies the series win.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
04/12/2012 12:57 PM

Thursday's betting tips: D-Rose may play vs. Heat

Weather to watch

Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers – As of Wednesday evening, 15 mph winds were expected to be blowing in from right field.

Who’s hot

NBA: Detroit has covered in six of its last eight meetings with Charlotte.

NBA: The under is 5-1 in Chicago’s last six following an ATS win.

NHL: Washington has won four of its last five overall and five of its last seven trips to Boston.

NHL: Phoenix has won five straight.

MLB: Tampa Bay is 8-3 in Jeff Niemann’s last 11 starts.

Who’s not

NBA: The under is 2-6 in Charlotte’s last eight home games.

NBA: Miami is 6-13-2 against the spread in its last 21 games in Chicago.

NHL: San Jose has won just four of its last 16 road games.

NHL: The over is 3-8 in Chicago’s last 11 road games.

MLB: The over is 6-16 in Washington’s last 22.

Key stat

15.2 – The Chicago Blackhawks’ power play converted only 15.2 percent of its chances with the man advantage in the regular season, ranking 25th in the NHL. Coach Joel Quenneville looks to be putting all of his eggs in one basket to solve the problem ahead of Thursday’s Game 1 at Phoenix. Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews, Patrick Sharp and Marian Hossa practiced with defenseman Brent Seabrook on the club’s No. 1 unit this week. Toews, who had 57 points in 59 games this year, has been out since Feb. 19 with a concussion but may return Thursday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Derrick Rose, Chicago Bulls – Rose practiced Wednesday on his sprained ankle and there’s a chance he could suit up for Thursday’s big tilt against Miami. Rose sat out Tuesday’s game against the Knicks but coach Tom Thibodeau said he could have played if needed. The reigning MVP has missed 23 games this season.

Game of the day

Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls (N/A)

Notable quotable

"It's very embarrassing. I think it's everything. (Being) mentally (and) physically, prepared to compete in an NBA game ... But we've got to make a decision as a group, how we want to go forward. This is where character's revealed." – Detroit Pistons coach Lawrence Frank about his team’s three-game losing streak heading into Thursday’s game against Charlotte.

Notes and tips

Five-time heritage RBC champion Davis Love III has withdrawn from the tournament. Love committed to the event Friday, hopeful he could play through a cracked rib that caused him to withdraw from the Arnold Palmer Invitational last month. Love has played in the tournament 26 straight seasons, winning in 1987, 1991, 1992, 1998 and 2003. The 47-year-old has made more than $2.6 million at Harbour Town Golf Links throughout his career. The event begins Thursday in Hilton Head, South Carolina.

San Francisco Giants catcher Buster Posey was out of the starting lineup for Wednesday's game against Colorado due to a case of shingles. Hector Sanchez started in place of Posey, who was available to hit. Giants manager Brucy Bochy said Posey has a painful rash on his back, left side and under his left armpit. Shingles is contracted from the same virus that causes chickenpox and can be extremely painful. It can last from two to six weeks.

St. Louis goaltender Jaroslav Halak will start Game 1 against the San Jose Sharks Thursday night. Halak has split time in the crease with Brian Elliott this season, but Elliott is banged up with an upper-body injury. Halak has a 1.97 goals-against average with a .926 save percentage. St. Louis is set as a -155 favorite.

Tampa Bay Rays right-handed pitcher Jeremy Hellickson was struck in the side of the head by a ball during batting practice Wednesday morning, according to Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times. Hellickson had to be carted out of the stadium by paramedics and was taken to a local hospital to get checked out. The 25-year-old wasn't bleeding and didn't lose consciousness, according to Rays manager Joe Maddon.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
04/12/2012 12:59 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Tim Lincecum got knocked out in third inning at Coors Field, shortest stint of his big league career, as Giants got crushed 17-8 in Denver.

-- Highlight of broadcast was Giant announcers ripping a guy who caught a foul ball and didn't give it to his girlfriend, then having the girl take his picture with the ball. When its 16-7 in the fifth inning, anything goes.

-- Penguins blew 3-0 lead, lost 4-3 in OT to the Flyers, as Voracek scored 2:23 into overtime; NHL playoffs are terrific, especially OT games.

-- Knicks scored the last six points, won 111-107 in Milwaukee, getting a leg up on making the NBA playoffs.

-- Nashville beat the Red Wings 3-2, grab first game in that series.

-- Out west, #8-seed Kings scored with 3:14 left, won 4-2 at Vancouver; Canucks worked six months for home ice edge, then lost it in three hours.


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind..........

13) Rough start to season for umpire Tim Welke; first two games he was behind the plate went 16 innings, then 12 innings. Calling balls/strikes is an underrated thing; has to be physically demanding, umpires aren't exactly as young or as athletic as the players.

Over first two games, Welke looked at 967 pitches thrown to 228 batters; umps don't get to sit down in between innings. Its a tough job. On average, a big league ballgame has 280-290 pitches thrown.

12) Eight games shown on one screen; gotta love the Game Mix channel on DirecTV (#720). Can keep up with a lot without using your thumb.

11) For first time I can remember, Mets aren't on local radio, but Red Sox are; if you're not from upstate NY, Albany is three hours north of NYC and three hours west of Boston. We live in a frontrunning culture, so Mets' fan base has eroded, while the Bronx-Boston rivalry is all people seem to care about. Can still listen to Met games if you can get WFAN from NYC on the radio at night. Interesting decision, replacing the Mets with Boston.

10) For first time ever, every NHL playoff game is on regular cable TV, so thats good. Just have to find out where some of these stations are. League is quietly doing a better job of getting in the public eye.

9) SMU is trying like hell to lure Rick Majerus to Dallas, offering him as much as $2M a year; Mustangs are headed to the Big East, and if they don't improve an awful lot very quickly, they're going to be embarrassed when they move into their new league. SMU isn't even any good in C-USA.

8) Colorado State was all set to hire former Oregon coach Ernie Kent, then someone in the CSU administration vetoed Kent, so the Rams turned to the former Southern Miss/Iowa State coach Larry Eustachy, who got Southern Miss back to the NCAAs this year- he is a very good coach and Colorado State has a very good team coming back next year.

7) Coming into Wednesday's game, A's had a cruddy team batting average of .206; sad thing, eight teams were worse off than them. Hard to believe.

6) Rooting for a small market team makes fantasy baseball necessary; how else to stay interested? Some teams have $100M payrolls; some teams use Jonny Gomes as their #5 hitter. At least if my fantasy team is awful, its my fault and I can try to fix it. Can't do anything to help the A's.

5) Edmonton Oilers will have 1st pick in NHL Draft for third year in row; if they use thoe picks wisely, they could build themselves a damn good team, kind of like what the Tampa Bay Rays have done. Sometimes, being awful is better in the long run than being mediocre all the time.

4) When I go to Las Vegas, often stayed at PH Towers behind the Planet Hollywood casino/hotel, but I see that Hilton has taken over the towers and has raised room rates quite a bit, so won't be staying there anymore.

3) Aggravation Department: Burger King at corner of Fuller/Western, near where I work, never gives me what I order at the drive-thru window, as in, never. I ask for two sausage biscuits with egg and cheese, without doubt, at least one of them will be on a croissant. Maybe both. I let it slide couple of times, then I said something and the woman laughed, like it was a joke or something. What it is is bad business. Just give me what I order, OK?

2) NHL's media guide is tremendous source of information; lot of good stuff in there. Hockey playoffs are lot of fun; way better than the NBA's version.

1) Three quick points about Arkansas firing Bobby Petrino:
a) He is 60-38 against the spread as a college head coach. Eventually, he'll get another college job. Might take couple years.
b) The woman involved better get fired too. How is she less guilty?
c) This is where Petrino will regret screwing the Falcons; doubtful an NFL team will give him a coordinators' job right away. Not a dependable guy.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
04/12/2012 06:11 PM

Thursday's NBA Best Bets:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

04/11/12 13-­9-­0 59.09% +­1550 Detail
04/10/12 6-­6-­0 50.00% -­300 Detail
04/09/12 8-­12-­0 40.00% -­2600 Detail
04/08/12 4-­9-­1 30.77% -­2950 Detail
04/07/12 11-­7-­0 61.11% +­1650 Detail
04/06/12 14-­8-­0 63.64% +­2600 Detail
04/05/12 0-­3-­1 0.00% -­1650 Detail
04/04/12 7-­6-­1 53.85% +­200 Detail
04/03/12 8-­8-­0 50.00% -­400 Detail
04/02/12 6-­4-­0 60.00% +­800 Detail
04/01/12 4-­12-­0 25.00% -­4600 Detail

Totals 81-­84-­3 49.09% -­5700

Thursday, April 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte +5 500
Charlotte - Over 190 500

Miami - 8:00 PM ET Miami +1.5 500
Chicago - Over 186 500

L.A. Clippers - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota +7.5 500
Minnesota - Under 194.5 500

Memphis - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio -5.5 500
San Antonio - Under 196.5 500

Dallas - 10:30 PM ET Golden State +6.5 500
Golden State - Under 196.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
04/12/2012 06:20 PM

Hoop Trends - Thursday

April 12, 2012


The Heat are 13-0-1 ATS (6.8 ppg) since March 21, 2007 on the road after a home loss in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.


The Bulls are 0-10-1 OU (-11.4 ppg) since November 11, 2010 at home after a game in which they blocked at least 10 shots.


The Spurs are 0-8 OU (-16.8 ppg) since January 17, 2009 with no rest after a loss in which Tony Parker played fewer than 30 minutes.


The Bobcats are 0-13 ATS (-12.8 ppg) since December 11, 2010 with at most one day of rest after a road loss in which they scored less than 10% of their points from the three-point line.


The Grizzlies are 0-10 OU (-12.4 ppg) since February 16, 2001 with no rest after a double digit home win in which they shot at least 50% from the field.

The Timberwolves are 8-0 OU (15.3 ppg) since December 10, 2008 with no rest after a loss in which Kevin Love scored fewer than 10 points.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
04/12/2012 06:26 PM

Games to Watch

April 12, 2012

Miami at Chicago

Derrick Rose has already missed more games than any reigning MVP in league history besides Bill Walton, who sat out an entire season due to a contract dispute after being named the NBA's best in 1978. A nagging right ankle injury suffered Sunday in New York has replaced an ailing groin as his current obstacle, but he did participate in practice Wednesday and expects to play in this Eastern Conference showdown against the Heat barring any setbacks. His status is ‘probable.’

The Bulls have basically fielded two separate teams without Rose readily available, but have been nearly as successful in his absence. Entering Thursday, Chicago is 16-7 without Rose as opposed to a 28-7 mark when he's been out there running the show.

The Heat have seen both versions, beating a Rose-led squad at home 97-93 on Jan. 29 and losing in Chicago when third-stringer John Lucas relieved replacement C.J. Watson and dropped 24 points in 27 minutes on March 14.

Heat coach Erik Spoelstra and his team expect to see a full-strength Bulls squad in a barometer game to see where the Eastern Conference front-runners stand with two weeks remaining in the regular season. The good news for the Heat is that they beat a team featuring Rose and Richard Hamilton in that first meeting. The bad news is that victory came at home and required Rose missing a pair of free throws and potentially game-tying jumper in the final 22 seconds.

Dwyane Wade, still not at 100 percent after missing Sunday's win over Detroit with a bum ankle, scored 36 points to complement LeBron James' 35-point outburst in last month's loss. The win fed Chicago's confidence that it can succeed even when its defense fails to clamp down on Miami's stars, holding the supporting cast to 8-for-34 shooting. The Bulls out-rebounded the Heat, 50-34, which is a major factor in why an EC Finals that went 4-1 in Miami's favor last May can be reversed should the teams meet again.

Omer Asik fractured his left fibula in a 103-82 rout that wound up being Chicago's only win in the series, curbing his team's biggest advantage over the Heat: size. He's now healthy and teaming with Taj Gibson behind starters Carlos Boozer and Joakim Noah, combining to give the Bulls a quartet of rim-protectors to handle the boards and discourage Wade and James from attacking the paint.

Miami is still scrambling to find the right combination of bigs opposite Chris Bosh, who comes in looking to atone for a 3-for-15 night that cost his team dearly in the Mar. 14 loss. Ronny Turiaf has replaced Joel Anthony as starting center, but you can expect the heat's slumping top shot blocker to re-emerge ahead of Juwan Howard, Eddy Curry and Dexter Pittman, Miami's other interior options.

Spoelstra will undoubtedly use this game to take a long look at his potential big rotation after going small in Tuesday's 115-107 loss to Boston. With the size edge in Chicago's favor, Miami needs Wade to be his normal aggressive self to keep the surging James from seeing constant blitzes designed to get the ball out of his hands.

The Heat have dropped two of their last three home games and are playing just their second road trip this month. They've won just once in their last four road games. The Bulls have notched huge wins at the United Center over New York and Boston in their last two outings and are 7-1 at home against Eastern Conference opposition since the All-Star break.

The Bulls have been installed as 1 ½-point favorites, while the total is hovering between 186 and 187 points.

Memphis at San Antonio

Gregg Popovich supplies the major variable here and dropping no hints as to what he's going to do with tonight's rotation. After casting aside San Antonio's 11-game win streak by sidelining Tim Duncan, Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili in Monday's loss at Utah, the leading candidate for NBA Coach of the Year honors was unpleasantly surprised by his entire team unexpectedly taking the night off in a 98-84 loss to the Kobe Bryant-less Lakers on Wednesday.

L.A. led from virtually start to finish, going up by as much as 26 points and holding the Spurs to just nine free-throw attempts and one offensive rebound while winning the battle of the boards, 60-33. Andrew Bynum, grabbed a season-high 30 rebounds, nearly matching San Antonio's entire total.

Can the Spurs flip the switch back on? Most important, how vital is it to Popovich that they do so?

Because the Lakers loss was so lopsided, no one played more than 27 minutes or expended much energy. Still, the Spurs are in a stretch of eight games in 11 days and show no signs of being concerned with staying in the race with Oklahoma City for the Western Conference's top seed and homecourt advantage that comes with it.

By contrast, the Grizzlies have won seven of eight games and are counting on earning a top-four seed and continuing their current surge. Memphis has beaten the Thunder, Mavericks, Heat, Clippers and Suns, all teams with winning records, since the month began. They've done it without stopper Tony Allen, who continues to sit as a nasty facial injury suffered after catching an errant elbow from teammate O.J. Mayo on April 4.

Clearly, sense of urgency will be the key to determining a winner at the AT&T Center, but don't put it past the Spurs pulling out a convincing win if Popovich is committed fielding a full squad. Memphis memorably eliminated top-seeded San Antonio in last year's playoffs, but the Spurs have clearly found an extra gear for this season's meetings, sweeping the first three encounters.

It must be noted that Zach Randolph only played in the season opener, where he was a shell of himself due to poor conditioning. Randoph missed the games in Memphis on Jan. 30 and Feb. 8 as a result of a knee injury that has cost him much of the season, but he's really hit his stride over the past four games while coming off the bench. Following last night's 17-point, nine-rebound output in a win over Phoenix, Randolph is averaging 14 points and 11.5 boards, looking like the difference-maker he was in overwhelming the Spurs frontcourt during last year's playoff shocker.

It remains to be seen whether Popovich seeks out a measuring stick game or is continues to take the cautious approach with his roster. San Antonio opened as a 5 ½-point home favorite but that number could dip based on the personnel the Spurs suit up. Even though the Grizz hold the braggin’ rights from last year’s postseason, San Antonio has won and covered all three meetings this season with the last encounter coming on Feb. 6.

The Grizzlies’ offense put up 104 points in last night’s victory over Phoenix, which snapped a nine-game run to the ‘under.’ Tonight’s total is listed between 196 and 197 at most shops, which could be surprising since the ‘under’ cashed in all of the first three meetings.

Final Four Favorites

East: Chicago vs. Miami
An Eastern Conference finals rematch has been in the cards since the moment the lockout was finally resolved.

West: Oklahoma City vs. San Antonio
Thunder GM Sam Presti learned the craft by climbing the ladder in San Antonio and built the Thunder with the Spurs model of consistency in mind, so it will be ironic that his team's second crack at an NBA Finals would go through them.

Playoff Sleepers: Boston, Memphis
The Celtics just got Mickael Pietrus back and seem to be carving out defined roles that agree with them. Making one last run offers great motivation. The Grizzlies have elite size and championship-caliber defense. With Rudy Gay in the mix to play closer, the Western Conference has another small-market team threatening to rise to power.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: