cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
03/26/2012 07:12 PM

March Madness: Best Final Four betting trends

It’s onward to New Orleans for the Final Four games. To put the wraps on the 2012 NCAA tournament, listed below are some interesting trends and angles to remember as the Fab Four lifts heads off to Bourbon Street this weekend.

All results listed below are ATS (Against The Spread) and most recent since 1991 unless noted otherwise.


• No. 1 seeds favored by 5.5 or more are 4-0 ATS
• No. 2 seeds are 2-8 ATS off double-digit ATS wins
• No. 4 seeds are 0-4 ATS
• Faves of 4.5 or points who scored more than 80 points in Elite Eight round are 1-6 ATS
• Teams off back to back SU dog wins are 2-8 ATS
• Teams who are 3-0 SU & ATS last three games are 5-17 ATS
• Teams with revenge are 2-8 ATS
• Dogs off back to back double digit SU wins are 1-5 ATS
• ACC teams are 6-1 ATS
• Big 12 teams are 1-4 ATS
• Big Ten teams are 2-5 SU & ATS


• No. 1 seeds faves are 6-2 ATS
• No. 2 seeds are 1-5 ATS off a SUATS win
• No. 4 seeds are 2-0 ATS
• Teams favored by less than 5 points are 11-1 ATS
• Favorites who scored 80 less than points in the Final Four round are 4-1 ATS
• Teams with a win percentage of less than .810 are 1-5 ATS
• Dogs greater than 2 points who allowed more than 60 points in the Final Four round are 1-6 ATS
• Dogs bigger than 3 points off a SU dog win are 1-5 ATS
• Big East teams are 4-0 ATS
• SEC teams are 3-1 ATS
• ACC teams are 9-3 ATS
• Big Ten teams are 1-6 ATS

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
03/26/2012 07:13 PM

Final Four odds: 'Significant' money on overs

Kentucky is the biggest Final Four favorite in a long time, but that might not be enough to scare bettors away from the dominating Wildcats.

Kentucky has settled as an 8.5-point favorite in Saturday’s semifinal against instate rival Louisville. That’s the biggest pointspread in a Final Four game since Duke was favored by 11 over Michigan State in the 1999 national semifinal. first opened Kentucky as 9.5-point favorites shortly after the Wildcats jumped out to a 20-point halftime lead against Baylor. The number was quickly bet down to 8.5, where the Wynn, Lucky’s and the LVH SuperBook opened the game in Las Vegas. The offshore book briefly had Kentucky -7.5, but was offering -9 as of Sunday night.

“We had different opinions on the number,” said Jay Kornegay, director of the LVH SuperBook. “We respect Kentucky, but that’s a lot of points. It’s a little unusual for a Final Four game.”

Kornegay briefly moved the Wildcats up to 9-point favorites Sunday, but said it was quickly brought back down to 8.5, where it sat as of 5 p.m. Vegas time.

In the other national semifinal, Ohio State is a short favorite over Kansas. The Buckeyes opened up at -3 offshore, but the number had been bet down to -2.5 at most shops by Sunday night.

The biggest movement came on the totals for each seminal. Kornegay posted 134.5 for the Kansas-Ohio State over/under, but immediately received what he called “significant money” on the over. The SuperBook was already up to 136.5 within an hour of opening.

The total on Louisville-Kentucky also was on the rise at the LVH. It opened at 137.5 but had moved up to 138.5.

“That may be just be them (sharp bettors) getting the number early, figuring the public is going to push the number up even more,” said Kornegay.

Both games are rematches from earlier in the season. As 10-point favorites, Kentucky failed to cover in a 69-62 home win over Louisville win on Dec. 31. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist had 24 points and 19 rebounds in a physical game that featured 52 fouls.

Kansas knocked off Ohio State, 78-67, on Dec. 10, in Lawrence. The Jayhawks started as small home dogs, but shortly before the game Buckeye big man Jared Sullinger was ruled out, and Kansas ended up closing as 1.5-point favorite.

Updated odds to win NCAA tournament
(courtesy of the Las Vegas Hotel & Casino SuperBook, as of 5 p.m. PT, Sunday)
Kentucky 4/5
OSU 5/2
Kansas 9/2
Louisville 10/1

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
03/26/2012 07:14 PM

Bulls look to add to Denver's road woes Monday


at CHICAGO BULLS (40-10)

Tip-off: Monday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Chicago -8, Total: 199

The Nuggets continue their long road trip with a stop in Chicago on Monday night.

Both teams are missing their best scoring threats as Denver’s Danilo Gallinari (15.2 PPG) remains out with a broken thumb and reigning MVP Derrick Rose (22.8 PPG) will miss his seventh straight game for the Bulls with a groin injury. Can the Bulls cover such a big spread without Rose? For the answer, connect to the NBA Weekend Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day.

Denver is playing its third game in four days, starting the road trip with a 121-102 loss in Utah on Friday and a 117-100 defeat at Minnesota on Sunday. The Nuggets have now allowed at least 112 in each of their past four contests (116.3 PPG allowed), and they have surrendered an NBA-high 104.6 PPG on the road this season. But the offense has put up 105.3 PPG on the road (tops in the league) as nine players average at least 9.5 points per game. PG Ty Lawson (15.1 PPG, 6.7 APG) was the team’s leading scorer for the season after pumping in 25 points on Wednesday, but he has just 9.5 PPG on 7-of-22 shooting on the road trip thus far. C JaVale McGee (11.9 PPG, 8.8 RPG) has played pretty well in three games with his new team, averaging 13.0 PPG and 8.0 RPG in just 25.7 MPG. He had 13 points and 11 boards in the loss to the Wolves. SG Arron Afflalo (13.9 PPG) was suspended for Sunday’s game but he will return on Monday. Afflalo has 19.0 PPG on 53% FG (6-of-13 threes) over his past four games, so his return will give a big boost to Denver. This rare four-star FoxSheets trend supports the Nuggets:

Play On - Underdogs (DENVER) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days. (46-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.7%, +30.6 units. Rating = 4*).

Chicago continues to punish teams at home, going 20-4 SU (12-12 ATS) and allowing a mere 88.2 PPG on 41.9% FG to its visitors. The Bulls have lost three of their past four meetings with Denver, but have prevailed in four of the past five matchups in Chicago. The Bulls are coming off a 102-101 overtime squeaker at home versus 12½-point underdog Toronto on Saturday. SF Luol Deng (15.3 PPG, 6.7 RPG) hit a follow-up bucket at the buzzer to win it. Deng has 20.0 PPG and 10.0 RPG in the past two games, but he has shot below 42% FG in each of his past seven contests, making just 35-of-104 FG (33.7%) during this shooting slump. PF Carlos Boozer (15.6 PPG, 8.2 RPG) also had a double-double in Saturday’s win (24 points, 10 rebounds) and is averaging 17.8 PPG and 9.2 RPG in his past five games. PG C.J. Watson (10.5 PPG, 3.7 APG) has shot pretty well as Rose’s replacement in the past six games (13.3 PPG), scoring 10+ points in five of those contests. But he has just 17 assists and 17 turnovers in this span. This strong FoxSheets trend expects the Bulls to win big:

CHICAGO is 40-19 ATS (67.8%, +19.1 Units) after a game where it failed to cover the spread over the last two seasons. The average score was CHICAGO 99.5, OPPONENT 91.1 - (Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
03/26/2012 07:16 PM

Heat aim for 6th straight series win vs. Pacers Monday

MIAMI HEAT (35-12)


Tip-off: Monday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -3½, Total: 193

The Heat look for a sixth SU win in a row over the Pacers when they visit Indiana on Monday night.

The Heat dismantled the Pacers in Indianapolis on Feb. 14, beating them 105-90 in a game that wasn’t nearly as close as the final score would indicate (the Heat led by as many as 35 in the fourth quarter before the Pacers rallied against their second unit). But the Pacers hung tough in Miami 16 days ago, pushing the Heat to overtime in a 93-91 loss, a game they led by five with two minutes left in overtime. Can the Pacers finally beat Miami? For the answer, connect to the NBA Weekend Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day.

The Heat suffered their most lopsided loss of the season on Sunday, dropping a 103-87 road game to the Thunder. They allowed OKC to shoot 52.7% from the field, as C Kendrick Perkins and PF Serge Ibaka combined to score 35 points on 16-for-21 shooting. SF LeBron James (26.8 PPG on 53.7% FG, 8.3 RPG, 6.7 APG) and SG Dwyane Wade (22.9 PPG on 50.6% FG) had relatively pedestrian nights, with James going for 17 points, three rebounds and seven assists. Wade added 22 while taking just 10 shots in the game.

PF Chris Bosh (18.2 PPG, 7.8 RPG) had another decent night shooting the ball, hitting 6-of-11 from the field and scoring 18 points. He’s now averaging 21.3 PPG on 62.0% FG over his past four games. James has dominated in six matchups with the Pacers since he joined the Heat prior to last season, averaging 29.3 PPG on 52.7% FG, 8.2 RPG and 7.2 APG. This three-star FoxSheets trend backs the Heat:

Play On - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (MIAMI) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 105 points or more 2 straight games. (37-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.1%, +24.9 units. Rating = 3*).

Indiana played a three-game-in-three-nights-in-three-cities stretch recently, going 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS. They bounced back from a home loss to Phoenix by hammering the Bucks in Milwaukee, 125-104. The Pacers have really shot the ball well in the past four games, averaging 105.8 PPG and hitting 48.4% FG and 47.3% from three. SF Danny Granger (17.9 PPG) was outstanding over these four games last week, averaging 21.0 PPG and shooting 8-for-14 from three. C Roy Hibbert (13.1 PPG, 9.0 RPG) has effectively snapped out of a mid-March funk, averaging 18.2 PPG on 58.6% FG and 8.8 RPG over his past five contests. Sixth man George Hill (9.8 PPG) averaged 11.8 PPG on 57.1% FG (8-of-13 threes) last week, including a 24-point performance in Milwaukee on Saturday. This strong FoxSheets trend sides with the Pacers:

Play Against - Favorites (MIAMI) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games. (114-66 since 1996.) (63.3%, +41.4 units. Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
03/26/2012 07:17 PM

Clippers, Hornets meet for 2nd time in 5 days on Monday



Tip-off: Monday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Los Angeles -9½, Total: 181½

The Clippers look for back-to-back SU wins for only the second time in March when they host the Hornets on Monday night.

It hasn’t been a good couple of weeks for L.A., as the Clippers are just 7-10 SU and 6-11 ATS since the All-Star break, including a seven-point loss at New Orleans on Thursday. But the Clippers have won three in a row SU at home, including an impressive 101-85 win over Memphis on Saturday. Can Los Angeles win this game by double-digits? For the answer, connect to the NBA Weekend Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day.

When these teams met on Thursday, the Hornets exploited the Clippers’ defensive shortcomings. The Hornets shot 57.6% from the field and went to the line 34 times. Not to mention, they outscored L.A. 21-11 in the fourth quarter and roughed them up with some hard fouls down the stretch (PF Jason Smith was ejected for laying out Blake Griffin on a fast break late; he’ll be serving the second of a two-game suspension on Monday night). This one will be emotional.

C Chris Kaman (13.3 PPG, 8.1 RPG) feasted on the Clippers interior all game, going for 20 points on 9-for-13 shooting and 10 rebounds. Smith had 17 in that game, and the Hornets backcourt thrived as well. Facing good friend and former Hornets franchise player Chris Paul, PG Jarrett Jack (15.6 PPG, 6.2 APG) went for 17 points and nine assists. SG Marco Belinelli (11.4 PPG) added 15 points on 5-for-7 shooting, and Xavier Henry (5.3 PPG) came off the bench to get 12 points while taking only four shots.

Jack in particular has been unstoppable of late, averaging 20.3 PPG on 55.0% FG, 8.3 APG and 7.0 RPG over his past three contests. Kaman, who is likely to return after missing the Spurs loss with an illness, has been excellent of late as well, averaging 18.8 PPG on 55.4% shooting and 8.0 RPG over his past five contests. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend working against the weary Clippers:

Play Against - Home teams (L.A. CLIPPERS) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days. (36-10 since 1996, 78.3%, +25 units. Rating = 3*).

The Clippers were off the mark all night in Thursday’s loss at New Orleans, shooting 38.9% from the field and 18.5% from three. Paul (19.4 PPG, 8.6 APG) struggled in his first game against his former team, going for 16 points on just 5-for-14 FG. Griffin (20.9 PPG, 10.8 RPG) had 21 points and 11 rebounds, but shot just 7-for-19 from the field. Coming off the bench for the first time in more than a month because of the Nick Young (11.4 PPG with the Clippers) acquisition, Randy Foye (9.5 PPG) was 1-for-14 from the field and 1-for-8 from three.

Foye was much better after swapping roles with Young on Saturday, going for 18 points and hitting 4-of-8 from behind the arc, while Young shot 6-for-13 and scored 16, his high in five games with the Clippers. Mo Williams (13.6 PPG) missed that game with a toe injury and is questionable for Monday. Paul bounced back with 19 points and 13 assists in the Memphis win, while Griffin went for a much more efficient 20 and 10, finishing 6-for-9 from the field. The FoxSheets have a trend supporting L.A. on Monday night:

Play On - Any team (LA CLIPPERS) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 8 or more of their last 10, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days. (74-40 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.9%, +30 units. Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
03/26/2012 07:18 PM

Surging Flyers host Lightning Monday night

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING (34-33-7, 75 points)

at PHILADELPHIA FLYERS (44-23-8, 96 points)

Puck drops: Monday, 7:35 p.m. EDT
Line: Philadelphia -230, Tampa Bay +190, Total: 5.5

The Lightning and Flyers both look to win a third consecutive game when the two Eastern Conference rivals meet in Philadelphia on Monday night.

Even though Tampa’s playoff hopes have all but vanished, the Bolts picked up two straight wins before embarking on this daunting three-game road trip against three postseason contenders. Look for G Dwayne Roloson (10-14-2, 3.67 GAA, .884 SV Pct.) to get the start for Tampa Bay after making 34 saves in each of the past two wins. The Flyers have been on a tear in the month of March, picking up points in 11 of their 13 games played for an impressive 10-2-1 record. Their success is directly tied to the improved play of goaltender Ilya Bryzgalov (32-14-7, 2.43 GAA, .912 SV Pct.), who has four shutouts this month and has held opponents to less than three goals in 10 of his past 12 starts. With the Flyers listed as such heavy favorites, there’s little upside to picking Philly to win in this game. Instead, take the OVER 5.5 (-130) with two high-powered offenses and no playoff implications.

This highly-rated FoxSheets trend also likes the Over:

TAMPA BAY is 25-10 OVER (71.4%, +13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season. The average score was TAMPA BAY 3.2, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 3*).

This will be the first road game for Tampa Bay since March 8 after a season-long seven-game homestand. After starting the stretch 1-4-0, the Bolts were able to rattle off back-to-back wins over the Oilers (3-2 SO) and Islanders (4-3). The NHL’s goal scoring leader Steven Stamkos (52 G, 35 A) tallied two goals and an assist in Saturday’s win over the Isles.

The Lightning’s defense has held this squad back from recapturing any magic from last year’s run to the Eastern Conference finals. The Bolts allow a league-worst 3.4 goals per game, and that number climbs to 3.7 for road games. Monday’s game presents a tough matchup, as the Flyers average 3.1 goals per game (3rd in NHL).

Philadelphia appears to be firmly entrenched in the fifth spot in the Eastern Conference playoff picture, trailing fourth-place Pittsburgh by six points and leading sixth-place New Jersey by six, with one game in hand. As the Flyers gear up for a brutal first-round playoff matchup with a division rival, look for head coach Peter Laviolette to rest any of his players with nagging injuries down the stretch—important for the purposes of fading.

After disappointing for most of the season, Bryzgalov is finally playing up to his hefty contract and living up to the high expectations placed upon him. The long-time knock on the Flyers has always been inconsistent goaltending, and there will be tremendous pressure on Bryzgalov to take Philly over the hump.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
03/27/2012 06:25 PM

Washington And Stanford Reach NIT Semifinals

A disappointing season for the Pac-12 on the hardwood can at least end on a positive note. Two of the four teams in the NIT semifinals on Tuesday hail from the conference, and oddsmakers like the chances for an all-Pac 12 championship game this Thursday.

Tuesday's action from Madison Square Garden gets underway at 7:00 p.m. (ET) when the Stanford Cardinal take on the Massachusetts Minutemen. That game will be followed at approximately 9:30 p.m. by a battle between the Washington Huskies and Minnesota Golden Gophers.

The Don Best odds screen presently lists Stanford as a 2-point favorite and 149½ for the total. Washington is 1-point chalk for the matchup vs. Minnesota, with 143 for the scoreboard hurdle in that tilt.

Stanford drew a No. 3 seed for the NIT after finishing the regular season 21-11 (10-8 in Pac-12). The Cardinal hosted three early-round affairs, beating Cleveland State (76-65), Illinois State (92-88 in overtime) and Nevada (84-56) to earn a trip to New York City for this week's NIT Final Four. They failed to cover the victory vs. Illinois State as 8½-point favorites, and beat the 6-point spreads in the other two triumphs.

All three of Stanford's tournament games have gone 'over' the total, and the Cardinal are now on a 6-game run above the number dating back to their final regular season contest vs. California. Sophomore guard Aaron Bright has been a key contributor in all three NIT wins, coming off the bench in each contest to average 18.7 points per outing.

Massachusetts (25-11 SU, 19-14 ATS) was seeded fifth after falling to St. Bonaventure in the Atlantic 10 Tournament semifinals. The Minutemen were road underdogs of 6½-7½ points in their three previous NIT contests, and pulled off upsets at Mississippi State (101-96 in double overtime), Seton Hall (77-67) and Drexel (72-70).

The spread has dipped a half-point after opening Stanford -2½ while the total has increased a bucket from the initial 147½ figure.

Washington drew one of the four No. 1 seeds after just falling short of reaching the NCAA Tournament. The Huskies (24-10 SU, 17-15 ATS) became the first team from a Power-6 conference to win its league's regular season title and fail to get an invite to the Big Dance since the NCAA's expanded to 64 teams in 1985.

Like its Pac-12 counterparts from Stanford, Washington had the luxury of hosting the first three games in the NIT bracket, taking down UT-Arlington (82-72), Northwestern (76-55) and Oregon (90-86) in the process. The Huskies covered the first two vs. the Mavericks and Wildcats as favorites of 9½ and 5½ respectively, but fell just shy of beating the 4½-point spread in last week's win over the Ducks.

Minnesota (22-14 SU, 18-14-1 ATS) was seeded sixth in the NIT and spent the first three games on the road as underdogs. The Gophers were getting 2-5½ points in their victories at La Salle (70-61), Miami-FL (78-60) and Middle Tennessee State (78-72). Those three covers have Minnesota entering Tuesday's tilt on a 7-game run against the spread.

The spread remains just where it opened with Washington laying the single point, but the total has been boosted from its initial 140½.

Kentucky, Ohio State Draw Final Four Chalk

Opening numbers are out for Saturday's NCAA Tournament semifinals, and it's no surprise to see that oddsmakers have given the early edge to Kentucky and Ohio State.

Final Four contests tip from New Orleans' Mercedes-Benz Superdome at 6:05 p.m. (ET) with a Bluegrass State battle between Kentucky and Louisville. The Wildcats are favored by 8½ for their rematch with the Cardinals, and the total has already dropped a point to 137½. Kentucky hosted Louisville this past New Year's Eve and posted a 69-62 triumph as 9½-point chalk. It was the third straight win in the series for the Wildcats, and also marked the third consecutive 'under' when the final score fell short of the 138-point total.

Saturday's second contest finds the Buckeyes laying 2½ against the Jayhawks with 136½ for the total. The game is yet another rematch from this past December when Ohio State traveled to Lawrence where Kansas scored a 78-67 victory. That contest started off with OSU -3 before word that Jared Sullinger would not play due to back spasms sent the number the other direction and closed KU -1½. The total closed where this week's game opened (136½).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
03/27/2012 06:27 PM

Mercer And Utah State Meet In CIT Final

The winners of the College Basketball Invitational (CBI) and the Tournament (CIT) could be crowned on Wednesday night in college basketball betting action.

We'll start in the CBI, where the Pittsburgh Panthers and the Washington State Cougars have been doing battle.

Game 1 of this cross-country clash between the Panthers and Cougars was a tremendous battle that went back and forth the whole way. It was a well-played game that featured a ton of defense. There were just 97 shots taken from the field in the duel, and in the end, the final shot by Tray Woodall was blocked to give Washington State a 67-66 victory.

JJ Moore led the Panthers with 16 points off the bench, while Woodall had 16 points and seven assists.

Abe Lodwick was the hero for the Cougars. He knocked down four three-point shots and totaled 16 points and seven rebounds. Reggie Moore had 14 points, five boards and five assists, but he also committed five of Washington State's eight turnovers on the night.

In this rare best-of-three format, the two teams will fly across the country to get back to the Steel City where they will meet in Game 2 on Wednesday night, and then for Game 3 on Friday night should the Panthers hold serve on their home court in Game 2.

Pittsburgh entered the CBI Final at -210, and though there are no futures odds on the board any longer now that this tournament has started, it could be surmised that the winner of this tournament is a total tossup.

The Panthers had covered all three of their previous games in the CBI before Game 1 of the finale. Washington State has now covered all four games, including winning three clashes straight up as underdogs.

The tip from Petersen Events Center on Wednesday is set for 7:00 p.m. (ET), and you can view this game on HD Net.

The Mercer Bears and the Utah State Aggies are going to square off in the CIT Final on Wednesday night. This winner-take-all duel will start at 9:00 p.m. (ET) in Logan, where the Aggies have been absolutely remarkable all season long. They are 17-4 SU and 10-7 ATS in their 21 games played at Dee Glenn Smith Spectrum, including posting a 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS record in this tournament at home.

The WAC reps only go as far as Preston Medlin and Brockeith Pane take them. These two are both capable of shooting the ball from all over the court, and they are the two double-digit point scorers on this roster. Medlin, who has averaged 17.1 PPG for the season, has managed to average 23.3 PPG in this tournament, and the argument could be made that he is the MVP of the CIT.

Mercer won a slew of games this year in the Atlantic Sun, but the team was relegated to the CIT after losing to Florida Gulf Coast in its first game in the conference tournament. The Bears get the job done with their defense, which has held teams to just 38.6 percent shooting from the field on the campaign.

The Bears have definitely done well in this tournament, winning and covering all four games, and the last two wins over the Fairfield Stags and Old Dominion Monarchs came in very tough road venues.

These two teams actually have met once before, with the Aggies claiming a 74-55 decision in 1999.

Utah State hadn't scored more than 82 points in a game this season before dropping 105 on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies in the CIT semifinals, and it is now favored by five-points at home in the finale.

The FOX College Sports Network will have live coverage of this prime-time tip from the Beehive State.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
03/27/2012 06:29 PM

Thunder, Lakers And Spurs In Tuesday Spotlight

The Tuesday night NBA schedule has a modest 7-games, but three involve the ‘best of the West’ trying to survive on the road.

Oklahoma City (Even odds), the Lakers (+250) and San Antonio (+600) are the three favorites to win the Western Conference. Dallas is next at +800, followed by upstart Memphis (+900) and the fading Clippers (+1000).

The Thunder did some fading of their own in mid-March, losing three home games after previously dropping one all season. However, they seem to be back on track, including a huge 103-87 home win over Miami on Sunday, and deserve their favorite status.

Our Tuesday preview will focus on the Western elite, plus a key game for Philadelphia in the Eastern Conference.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Philadelphia 76ers
7:00 p.m. (ET) on NBA-TV

The Cavaliers (17-29 SU, 23-23 ATS) are falling apart with a 3-game losing streak and six of seven overall (2-5 ATS). The trade of guard Ramon Sessions to the Lakers took one their few scorers away and they’re averaging 89.2 PPG in regulation since the swap (five games). Reserve guard Daniel Gibson is questionable and his return would at least help some.

The 76ers (27-22 SU, 25-23-1 ATS) have just a half-game lead over Boston in the Atlantic Division, pending the Celtics’ Monday result at Charlotte. Philly is just 2-5 SU and ATS in its last seven, but is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 home games against a team with a losing road record like Cleveland (8-14 SU). Forward Andre Iguodala (knee) is questionable after missing last game.

The 76ers won the only meeting this season, 99-84 as 7½-point road favorites in February. Cleveland rookie sensation Kyrie Irving was injured. The ‘over’ is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings in Philly.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers
10:00 p.m. (ET) on Regional Broadcasts

The Thunder (37-12 SU, 27-22 ATS) have played just two of their last 12 games on the road. Backcourt depth issues could start to show with Eric Maynor and Daequan Cook both injured. The aging Derek Fisher was signed, but he has almost nothing left in the tank. Oklahoma City is 15-8 SU and 13-10 ATS on the road this season, with the ‘under’ 6-1 in the last seven away.

The Trail Blazers (23-26 SU, 23-25-1 ATS) have stopped their second-half bleeding at least somewhat by going 2-1 SU and ATS the last three. The two SU wins were at home over Memphis (97-93) and Golden State (90-87), but point guard Raymond Felton (personal) is now doubtful Tuesday and that will sting.

Oklahoma City is 2-1 SU and ATS in the three games against Portland this year. The one in Oregon was a 111-107 Thunder win in overtime in early February.

San Antonio Spurs at Phoenix Suns
10:00 p.m. (ET) on Regional Broadcasts

San Antonio (33-14 SU, 28-18-1 ATS) is hot once again, winning four straight and seven of eight overall (6-2 ATS). Defense has been the key the last three, allowing a paltry 83 PPG. All of those went ‘under’ after the ‘over’ was 7-0 in the previous seven. The Spurs have played just three road games since the break (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) and are 13-10 SU and 11-11-1 ATS away this season.

The Suns (25-24 SU, 26-23 ATS) are on the outside looking in at the playoffs right now, but this has quietly been a very good team since mid-February (13-5 SU, 14-4 ATS). That includes going 10-2 SU and ATS at home. Grant Hill has a knee aliment, but is listed as probable.

San Antonio won and covered the only meeting this year, 102-91 as 8½-point home chalk in January. The Spurs are just 1-5 ATS in the last six in the desert and the ‘over’ 6-1 in the last seven there.

Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors
10:30 p.m. (ET) on NBA-TV

The Lakers (30-19 SU, 22-27 ATS) are just 2-3 SU in their last five games (1-4 ATS). The ‘over’ is 5-0 in those contests and 10-1 in the last 11 overall. The better news is that the newly acquired point guard Sessions is playing well and L.A. has been much better on the road of late (4-1 SU and ATS) after starting the season 6-14 SU and 5-15 ATS.

The Warriors (20-27 SU, 25-22 ATS) are 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in their last four despite being extremely banged up. Stephen Curry is still out indefinitely, but Nate Robinson and Andris Biedrins are questionable. The unheralded Charles Jenkins and Jeremy Tyler started at point guard and center last game, although Jenkins did have 27 points in a 90-87 loss at Portland as 10-point ‘dogs.

Los Angeles won the only meeting against Golden State this year, 97-90 as a 10½-point home favorite in January. The Warriors are 3-0 ATS in the last three in the series and also 3-0 ATS in the last three at home.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
03/27/2012 06:30 PM

Islanders Visit High-Flying Pittsburgh Penguins

The New York Rangers and the Pittsburgh Penguins are separated by just one point atop the Eastern Conference standings with just seven games remaining in each of their seasons. They’ll both be in action Tuesday night against teams out of playoff contention; but there are no easy games around this time of year.

The Penguins host the New York Islanders at 7:00 p.m. (ET) Tuesday night. Pittsburgh (47-22-6) is 14-1-1 in its last 16 games, fueled by the best offense in the NHL averaging 3.3 goals per game. In the seven games since his return, Sidney Crosby has racked up 13 points (two goals and 11 assists) and the Penguins have averaged 4.9 goals per game over that span.

The Islanders (31-33-11) rank 27th in the NHL in both goals for and goals against, and are 0-3-1 in four games against Pittsburgh this season.

The New York Rangers (47-21-7) have held off Pittsburgh’s late surge to this point by winning three of their last four games to break out of a 2-5 straight up slump that they were in earlier in March. New York heads to Minnesota to face the Wild Tuesday night at 8:00 p.m. (ET).

Goals will likely be hard to come by for the Wild; New York ranks third in the NHL in defense allowing just 2.2 goals per game against while Minnesota has the worst offense in the NHL scoring just 2.0 goals per game. Minnesota (31-34-10) is just 3-9-1 over its last 13 games.

While the battle at the top of the Eastern Conference is an interesting one, the battle for the eighth and final playoff spot is as well. The Washington Capitals and Buffalo Sabres are tied with 84 points with six games left in each of their seasons; and one of those games is this Tuesday night when the Capitals host the Sabres at 7:00 p.m. (ET). Whichever team wins this game will have an inside track to a playoff spot.

Buffalo (37-29-10) is coming on strong to close out this season, winning each of its last four games and boasting a 13-2-3 record over its last 16 games. Washington (38-30-8) has gone just 2-4 over its last six games, but four of those games came on the road where the Capitals haven’t played well all season; at home, they are one of the NHL’s best with a 24-10-4 record.

The Sabres won both of their games over the Capitals in Buffalo, but lost when they last met here in Washington back in late December.

Two other important games between playoff teams Tuesday night that will help shape the Western Conference’s standings are the Chicago Blackhawks (42-26-8) at the New Jersey Devils (42-28-6) at 7:00 p.m. (ET) and the Nashville Predators (44-24-8) visiting the St. Louis Blues (47-20-9) at 8:00 p.m. (ET).

Nashville, Detroit and Chicago are separated by just three points for seeds four to six in the West, and all three are fighting for home ice in the first round of the playoffs in that four-seed. Chicago seems to be peaking just in time for the playoffs at 9-2-1 over its last 12 games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: