iseewinners Posts:7 Followers:0
On 03/20/2012 11:31 AM in NBA

Free NBA Release For 3/20/2012 From Iseewinners

Houston Rockets +3 (-105, 5Dimes) over the LA Lakers. We're expecting the Rockets to bounce back from two tough road games tonight at home against the Lakers. This is also a revenge game for Houston, as they lost earlier 108-99 at the Staples Center earlier this year. In fact, Houston has lost two straight to the Lakers dating back to last year, both in LA. But the Lakers are just 9-14 SU and 7-15 ATS on the road this year, and the Rockets are 3-1 ATS in the last four games of this series. Kyle Lowry is questionable for the Rockets in tonight's contest as he is dealing with a bacterial infection. But Goran Dragic has picked up the slack at the point, averaging 16 points and 9.2 rebounds per game in his absence (slightly outperforming Lowry's numbers). Metta World Peace, formerly known as Ron Artest, is questionable for tonight's contest for the Lakers as he is dealing with hip bursitis. Say what you want about Artest, his numbers are never great, but he is a big body in the paint. Statistically, Houston outperforms LA in shooting %, points/game, turnovers, and bench points. Factor in the fact that LA has to play tomorrow night in Dallas, and it looks to us like the wrong team is favored here tonight. The Lakers are 5-11 at the window in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than 60%, and just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite. The Rockets are a perfect 4-0 at the window in their last 4 games as a home underdog, and a solid 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. They've also grabbed the money in four of the last five times hosting LA. We'll take the points and the home court tonight, Houston +3.

btb Posts:2279 Followers:163
03/20/2012 02:46 PM

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