cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
03/23/2012 06:59 PM


03/23/2012 @ 04:15 PM


[851] NEW YORK -5½ 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 04:15 PM


[853] TOTAL o202½ 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 04:15 PM


[855] CLEVELAND +9½ 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 04:15 PM


[857] PHOENIX +3½ 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 04:35 PM


[860] DETROIT +9 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 04:35 PM


[860] TOTAL u190½ 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 05:05 PM


[864] PHILADELPHIA -7 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 05:35 PM


[867] TOTAL o201 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 07:35 PM


[870] TOTAL u194 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 07:35 PM


[872] TOTAL u207 1.91

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
03/23/2012 07:02 PM


03/23/2012 @ 06:45 PM


[874] KENTUCKY -9 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 06:45 PM


[874] TOTAL u144½ 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 04:15 PM


[876] BAYLOR -6½ 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 04:15 PM


[876] TOTAL u141½ 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 04:45 PM


[877] OHIO +10½ 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 04:45 PM


[877] TOTAL o143 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 07:15 PM


[879] NC ST +8½ 1.91

03/23/2012 @ 07:15 PM


[879] TOTAL o142½ 1.91

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
03/23/2012 07:11 PM


03/23/2012 @ 04:15 PM


[52] NEW JERSEY -1½ 2.60

03/23/2012 @ 04:15 PM


[53] WINNIPEG 2.00

03/23/2012 @ 04:15 PM


[56] NY RANGERS -1½ 3.00

03/23/2012 @ 04:15 PM


[58] COLUMBUS 2.30

03/23/2012 @ 04:35 PM


[60] MONTREAL 2.10

03/23/2012 @ 04:35 PM


[62] FLORIDA -1½ 2.70

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
03/24/2012 02:56 PM

Florida Vs. Louisville In Dream Coaching Matchup

The Elite Eight for March Madness begins on Saturday and one top seed has already been unceremoniously removed from the party.

Louisville’s Rick Pitino proved once again he’s the ‘King of the Sweet Sixteen’ by beating No. 1 Michigan State, 57-44 as 5 ½-point underdogs. Pitino is an incredible 10-0 straight-up all-time during that round.

One college basketball betting trend we are following closely is the ‘under.’ Thursday night games had the ‘under’ at 2-2, but it’s still an impressive 34-20-2 (63 percent) for the tournament. That’s pending Friday night results where two more No. 1 seeds, North Carolina and Kentucky, hope to avoid the same fate as the Spartans.

Phoenix, US Airways Center

(4) Louisville Cardinals vs. (7) Florida Gators
TIP: 4:30 p.m. (ET) CBS
SPREAD: Florida -1 ½
TOTAL: 131

This game opened as a pick ‘em, but Florida is now 1 ½-point favorites despite being the lower seed. The total opened at 131 and has remained steady.

Louisville (29-9 SU, 21-13-1 ATS) continued its hot streak with the Michigan State win. The Spartans were held to 28.6 percent shooting from the field and the ‘under’ is 5-0 in the Cardinals’ last five games (scoring 59.8 PPG and allowing 51.2 PPG) and 10-1 in their last 11.

Pitino’s bunch is also 7-0 SU and ATS in its last seven, including winning the Big East Tournament. He’s done one of his best coaching jobs ever, withstanding a lot of injuries and having no star players. Pitino is 1-2 SU and 0-2-1 ATS in his three Elite Eight games with Louisville, losing the last two in 2008 and 2009.

Florida (26-10 SU, 15-15-1 ATS) burst into the Elite Eight with a 68-58 win as 1-point ‘dogs over tough Marquette. The three-headed backcourt of Erving Walker, Kenny Boynton and Bradley Beal combined for 43 points, thanks mostly to the freshman Beal (8-of-10 shooting for 21 points).

The Gators have covered all three of their March Madness games and the ‘under’ is 3-0 despite scoring a respectable 74.3 PPG. That’s because they’ve allowed just 51 PPG. They will certainly test the great defense that Louisville is playing of late. They also have a couple of underrated big men in Patric Young and Erik Murphy.

The other big storyline is the coaching matchup of Billy Donovan against Pitino. Pitino coached him at Providence back in the 1980s when they made a surprise Final Four. He also got his former player into coaching by hiring him as an assistant. Pitino is 6-0 all-time against Donovan, but it’s the pupil who has more national titles (2-1).

Boston, TD Garden

(1) Syracuse Orange (2) Ohio State Buckeyes
TIP: 7:05 p.m. (ET) CBS
SPREAD: Ohio State -3
TOTAL: 136 ½

Ohio State opened as 2 ½-point favorites despite being the lower seed. It has jumped up to -3, while the total is also up a half-point.

Syracuse (34-2 SU, 18-17 ATS) failed to cover against a pesky Wisconsin team last night, 64-63 as 3-point favorites, but still played very well. The Badgers were unconscious from 3-point land (14-of-27 for 51.9 percent) which kept the game close to the bitter end. It also caused the first ‘over’ for the Orange in the tourney, the total low at 119 ½.

Coach Jim Boeheim’s bunch is just 1-4 ATS in its last five games and 2-8 ATS in the last 10. This is Syracuse’s first Elite Eight appearance since winning the national title in 2003 with Carmelo Anthony. Boeheim has only made it this far in the tourney five times in 36 years with the team.

Ohio State (30-7 SU, 19-13 ATS) beat Cincinnati in the Sweet Sixteen, 81-66 as 8-point favorites. Cincy actually led midway through the second half before a big Buckeyes run. Deshaun Thomas and Jared Sullinger combined for 49 points, exacting some Big Ten revenge over the Big East after the Syracuse and Wisky game went the other way.

The ‘over’ is 3-0 for the Buckeyes for the tourney, scoring 77.3 PPG and allowing 63.7 PPG. The ‘over’ is 9-1 for them in the last 10 overall and 12-4-1 in road and neutral site games. Coach Thad Matta has Ohio State in the Elite Eight for the first time since 2007, when Greg Oden and company eventually lost to Florida in the national title game.

This is the round where Syracuse center Fab Melo (eligibility) could really be missed. He’s a defensive presence in the 2-3 zone and would have been waiting for the bruising Sullinger when he got the ball deep. Syracuse has plenty of athletes on the frontline, but none that can replace Melo and it’s the main reason why Ohio State is favored.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
03/24/2012 02:58 PM

Power Sunday In The Elite Eight

The Tar Heels were saved by the dominant performance of Tyler Zeller against Ohio.

College basketball’s Elite Eight has a powerful field on Sunday with all the top seeds playing with the exception of No. 2 Duke.

Three double-digits seeds got eliminated last night in No. 10 Xavier, No. 11 NC State and No. 13 Ohio. The lowest seed remaining overall is No. 7 Florida. A No. 1 seed has won 16 of the 27 championships since the field expanded to 64 in 1985.

We’ve been tracking the March Madness betting statistics all tourney long. The favorites started strong at 25-18-1 (58 percent), but the underdogs have been biting back since, going 11-5 (69 percent), including 6-2 ATS during the Sweet Sixteen.

The ‘under’ is 36-22-2 (62 percent) after a 4-4 mark in the Sweet Sixteen. Note all results are pending Saturday play.

Atlanta, Georgia Dome

(1) Kentucky Wildcats vs. (3) Baylor Bears
TIP: 2:20 p.m. (ET) CBS
SPREAD: Kentucky -7 ½
TOTAL: 146

This game opened with Kentucky -7 ½ and the total at 146, both remaining steady.

Baylor (30-7 SU, 14-16 ATS) beat Xavier 75-70 as 6 ½-point favorites last night. Xavier did a nice job to fight back after a big early hole. Baylor got 34 total points on 15-of-19 shooting from forwards Perry Jones III and Quincy Acy. Sharpshooting guard Brady Heslip had 11 points after averaging 22 PPG in the first two.

The Bears have gotten some scheduling breaks, especially with Duke losing in the first round in a shocker to Lehigh. The highest seed they’ve faced is No. 10 Xavier, although coach Scott Drew gets a ton of credit for making his second Elite Eight in three years. The 2010 version had a completely different roster and lost to Duke (78-71) in this round.

Kentucky (35-2 SU, 14-21-1 ATS) got the only cover by a favorite on Friday, 102-90 as 10-point ‘chalk’ over No. 4 Indiana. The game was won at the free throw line with the Wildcats getting 37 attempts and knocking down an incredible 35. The ‘over’ is 3-0 for them in the tourney, scoring 90 PPG.

Coach John Calipari has his team in the Elite Eight for the third straight year. He lost in this round two years ago to West Virginia (73-66) before beating North Carolina (76-69) last year. Kentucky then lost a heartbreaker to eventual champion Connecticut (56-55) in the Final Four, and the pressure is on Calipari as he looks for his first national title.

Kentucky is going to copy Xavier’s defensive playbook against Baylor. Namely, don’t double team the big guys and contain Heslip from beyond the arc. Baylor’s big men had very good success against Xavier, but it will be much tougher against Kentucky and shot-blocking center Anthony Davis.

St. Louis, Edward Jones Dome

(1) North Carolina Tar Heels vs. (2) Kansas Jayhawks
TIP: 5:05 p.m. (ET) CBS
SPREAD: Kansas -2
TOTAL: 144

North Carolina is a 2-point underdog with the health of Kendall Marshall (wrist) the big reason. Both of these teams lost in the Elite Eight last year, North Carolina to Kentucky and Kansas to upstart VCU (71-61).

UNC (32-5 SU, 20-16 ATS) got all it could handle from No. 13 Ohio last night, needing overtime in the 73-65 win as 10 ½-point favorites. Freshman point guard Stilman White started in place of Marshall and while he had no turnovers in 32 minutes, the rest of the team seemed rattled with 24.

The Tar Heels were saved by the dominant performance of big man Tyler Zeller (20 points, 22 rebounds). The rebounding advantage was a massive 56-26 overall, not that surprising against the much smaller frontline of the MAC school. The size advantage will be less pronounced against Kansas.

The Jayhawks (30-6 SU, 17-17-1 ATS) held on to beat No. 11 NC State on Friday, 60-57 as 8 ½-point favorites. That comes after a fortunate 3-point win over Purdue (63-60) last game as 8-point favorites. The ‘under’ is 3-0 in Kansas’ three tourney games, scoring just 62.7 PPG and allowing 55.7.

Center Jeff Withey had 10 blocks against NC State and he will be the key to containing Zeller inside. Guard Tyshawn Taylor (6-of-25) and power forward Thomas Robinson (9-of-29) have shot poorly the last two games and can’t afford another clunker.

These are two of the most storied programs in college basketball and pits Tar Heels’ coach Roy Williams against his former team. Williams got beaten badly by the Jayhawks in the 2008 Final Four (84-66). Kansas coach Bill Self won his only national title that year, while Williams has two of his own (2005, 2009).

Marshall is questionable at best after having surgery earlier in the week. Kansas being favored suggests that he will either not suit up or be limited.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
03/24/2012 03:00 PM

Elite Eight Angles

March 19, 2012

There is nothing sweeter this time of the year than being alive in the NCAA Tournament. For those teams that survived the opening two rounds of this main event it's on to the Sweet 16 and, hopefully, the Eilte 8 this weekend.

From our Tournament Guide, here are notes and trends of the teams that have arrived.

Stay tuned…


1 Seed favs > 7 pts are 1-6-1 ATS vs foe off BB ATS wins
#2 Seeds are 2-10-1 ATS off a DD ATS win
#3 Seeds are 1-6 ATS
#4 Seeds are 8-1 ATS
#5 Seeds are 7-0 ATS
#6 Seeds are 0-7 SU and 2-5 ATS
#7 Seeds are 0-5 SU
#8 Seeds are 4-1 ATS
Teams that score 67 < pts are 12-39 SU and 12-38-1 ATS
Teams that score 85 > pts are 27-7 SU and 24-8-2 ATS
Teams off BB ATS losses are 4-1 ATS
Teams with Revenge are 14-4-1 ATS
Dogs off 3 straight DD wins are 1-4-1 ATS
Best Conference ATS record in this round

Big East: 5-0-1 as dogs
Big 10: 7-1 as dogs 6 < pts
SEC: 4-1 as favs off DD ATS win.

Worst Conference ATS record in this round

Big 12: 0-10
Big East: 1-6-1 off SU dog win


Florida's Billy Donovan is 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS in the NCAA tournament from the Sweet 16 out.
I'll be back next week with a final look at FINAL FOUR and Championship game action.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
03/24/2012 03:03 PM

Ohio St. vs. Syracuse

March 24, 2012

The only region in which form has held and will feature a No. 1 and No. 2 seed in the finals is the East, which will culminate with Saturday’s showdown between Syracuse and Ohio St. at TD Garden in Boston.

As of early this afternoon, most books had Ohio St. (30-7 straight up, 19-13 against the spread) listed as a three-point favorite with a total of 136. Gamblers can back the top-seeded Orange to win outright for a plus-135 return (risk $100 to win $135).

Syracuse (34-2 SU, 18-17 ATS) has survived a pair of major tests to get to the region finals. The most recent one came Thursday night from a game Wisconsin squad, but the Orange prevailed 64-63 thanks to a crucial defensive stop on the Badgers’ last possession.

Syracuse’s extended zone forced Jordan Taylor to take a deep, contested 3 that was rebounded by the Badgers, but a hurried baseline turnaround jumper was nowhere close.

C.J. Fair paced the ‘Cuse with 15 points, seven rebounds and four steals. Scoop Jardine made 5-of-8 shots and finished with 14 points and four assists. Dion Waiters was also in double figures with 13 points.

Ohio St. got a huge second half out of point guard Aaron Craft in its Sweet 16 battle with Cincinnati, pulling away for an 81-66 victory as an eight-point favorite. The Buckeyes led by 12 at intermission, but the Bearcats surged into the lead with a 21-6 run to start the second half.

But Craft’s tenacious defense sparked Ohio St. to a 17-1 run that put the game away and put money in the pockets of Buckeye backers. Craft finished with 11 points, six steals, five assists and four rebounds, and his defensive effort was the main reason why Cincy committed 18 turnovers.

Deshaun Thomas scored 20 of his game-high 26 points in the first half, while Jared Sullinger produced a double-double with 23 points and 11 boards.

Thad Matta’s team has covered the spread in two of its three NCAA games and is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games. The non-cover in the tourney came in a 73-66 win over Gonzaga as an eight-point favorite last weekend.

Ohio St. owns a 6-9 spread record in 15 games as a single-digit favorite. Meanwhile, Syracuse is mired in a 2-8 ATS slump, but we should point out that this is its first underdog situation of the year.

As always, the key to beating Syracuse will be attacking its zone defense with dribble penetration into the gaps. Craft is a good man to do that, although he’s a mediocre shooter from the perimeter. But that’s ok if he can create better looks for Thomas and William Buford, both of whom can stroke it from beyond the arc.

Buford, who averages 14.8 points per game, is in a shooting slump, though. He made just 1-of-8 from the field against Cincy and has been held below his scoring average in five of the Buckeyes’ last six games.

The ‘over’ is 19-11-2 overall for the Buckeyes, cashing at a lucrative 9-1 clip in their last 10 games.

The ‘under’ is 19-15-1 overall for the Orange, 4-2 in its last six outings.

Tip-off is slated for 7:15 p.m. Eastern with CBS providing the telecast.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
03/24/2012 03:07 PM

Donovan and Pitino square off in Elite 8 on Saturday



NCAA Tournament - Elite Eight
Tip-off: Saturday, 4:30 p.m. EDT – Phoenix, AZ
Line: Florida -1½, Total: 131½

Two head coaches very familiar with one another match wits on Saturday afternoon when Billy Donovan’s Florida team takes on Louisville and Rick Pitino, Donovan’s former coach.

Which team will punch its ticket to the Final Four? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Three at Three Pass for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each weekday.

The Gators have won their three NCAA Tournament games by 23.3 PPG, disposing of third-seed Marquette 68-58 on Thursday night. Florida didn’t shoot very well against the Golden Eagles (40.7% FG, 7-of-27 threes), but this squad still leads the nation with 9.7 made threes per game, connecting on 38.0% of its long-range attempts. The Gators run a very intelligent offense with a 1.35 assist-to-turnover ratio (12th in nation) and commit just 15.6 fouls per game (19th in D-I). And although Florida does not have a lot of size in the paint, the team has done a great job limiting opposing star big men this tournament, holding UVa’s PF Mike Scott (18.1 PPG, 8.4 RPG) to 15 points and six rebounds and completely shutting down Norfolk State C Kyle O’Quinn (15.9 PPG, 10.4 RPG), who had just four points (1-of-9 FG) and three rebounds. And on Thursday night, Marquette star PF Jae Crowder (17.5 PPG, 50% FG) shot just 5-of-15 from the floor.

Florida’s best player in March has been 6-foot-3 freshman G Bradley Beal (14.6 PPG, 6.5 RPG). Beal scored a game-high 21 points (8-of-10 FG) with six rebounds, four assists, two steals and two blocks against Marquette. He’s now averaging 17.0 PPG and 8.2 RPG in five postseason games (2 SEC, 3 NCAA). Leading scorer G Kenny Boynton (16.0 PPG) has been struggling for the majority of the postseason. He scored 20 points in the Third Round win over 15th-seeded Norfolk State, but has just 8.8 PPG on 9-of-38 FG (24%) in the other four contests. This includes his 2-for-10 shooting night against Marquette. Senior PG Erving Walker (12.1 PPG) leads the team with 4.5 APG, but has just eight assists and eight turnovers in the three NCAA games. He’s also in a prolonged shooting slump, making just 33% of his shots (18-of-54 FG) in March. But the Florida big men did a great job in helping to outrebound Marquette as Erik Murphy pulled down 10 rebounds and Patric Young grabbed nine boards. This two-star FoxSheets trend also backs the Gators:

FLORIDA is 20-8 ATS (71.4%, +11.2 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons. The average score was FLORIDA 74.1, OPPONENT 64.5 - (Rating = 2*).

Like Florida, Louisville is also red-hot, winning seven straight games (SU and ATS), and limiting these opponents to 54.6 PPG during the win streak. The Cardinals held top-seeded Michigan State to 44 points on 14-of-49 shooting (28.6%) in Thursday’s win.

Freshman F Chane Behanan (9.3 PPG, 7.4 RPG) scored a game-high 15 points and also grabbed nine boards in the win over MSU. He’s averaging a strong 13.0 PPG and 8.0 RPG during the NCAA Tournament. Sophomore G Russ Smith was the only other Cardinals player in double-figures on Thursday, pumping in 11 points. Smith has 14.0 PPG in his past two games, making 5-of-7 shots from downtown. Louisville is at its best when junior PG Peyton Siva (9.1 PPG, 5.5 APG) is on his game. After a brilliant four-game Big East Tournament (13.8 PPG, 5.5 RPG, 5.8 APG) and a strong NCAA opener against Davidson (17 points, six assists), Siva has just 10 points (4-of-15 FG) in his past two contests combined. But he did dish out nine assists to make up for five turnovers in Thursday’s win. Senior swingman Kyle Kuric (12.9 PPG, 4.2 RPG) is also capable of contributing more than he has this tournament. He’s scoring 10.0 PPG, but has totaled just seven rebounds and one assist in 105 minutes of playing time. This three-star FoxSheets trend sides with the Cardinals on Saturday:

LOUISVILLE is 14-3 ATS (82.4%, +10.7 Units) after allowing 55 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The average score was LOUISVILLE 76.3, OPPONENT 62.1 - (Rating = 3*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
03/24/2012 03:09 PM

Syracuse, OSU clash in Saturday's Elite 8



NCAA Tournament - Elite Eight
Tip-off: Saturday, 7:05 p.m. EDT – Boston, MA
Line: Ohio State -3, Total: 136

The top two seeds in the East Region clash on Saturday night when either Syracuse or Ohio State will advance to the Final Four.

Who will prevail on Saturday night? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Three at Three Pass for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each weekday.

The Buckeyes have won their three NCAA Tournament games by an average score of 77 to 64. For the season, they score 75.0 PPG on 48.2% FG (16th in nation), and allow just 59.4 PPG (17th in D-I). They also outrebound teams by 7.6 RPG (6th in nation) and have a strong assist-to-turnover ratio (1.26, 23rd in nation). The offense revolves around PF Jared Sullinger (17.6 PPG, 9.2 RPG), who dominated Cincinnati with 23 points and 11 rebounds. Without Fab Melo in the middle, Sullinger should be able to muscle his way to a big night against the poor-rebounding Orange squad. But sophomore F Deshaun Thomas (16.2 PPG, 5.3 RPG) has been the team’s best offensive weapon late in the season, averaging with 20.7 PPG and 7.6 RPG over his past 11 games. He has 25.3 PPG (56% FG) and 8.7 RPG so far in the NCAA Tournament. Senior F/G William Buford (14.4 PPG, 4.8 RPG) has been wildly inconsistent all season (42.0% FG) and is shooting just 33% FG in his six postseason games (3 Big Ten, 3 NCAA). He was a dreadful 1-of-8 FG against the Bearcats committing four fouls and four turnovers. Sophomore point guard Aaron Craft (8.6 PPG, 4.6 APG) is the key to this offense. After a shaky opening NCAA game against Loyola (MD) when he had four assists and five turnovers, Craft has 14.0 PPG, 7.5 APG and 4.5 SPG in his past two contests. The Orange do a great job creating turnovers (9.2 SPG, 5th in nation), so Craft needs to limit his mistakes (11 turnovers in three NCAA games). This FoxSheets coaching trend expects the Buckeyes to win comfortably on Saturday:

Jim Boeheim is 3-13 ATS (18.8%, -11.3 Units) after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers as the coach of SYRACUSE. The average score was SYRACUSE 68.5, OPPONENT 72.8 - (Rating = 2*).

The Orange have been a terrible bet recently, going 2-8 ATS in their past 10 games. However, Syracuse still ranks second in the nation in turnover margin (+5.6) and is also great defensively, allowing just 60.6 PPG on 38.5% FG (8th in nation). The offensive balance continues to be a strength as the team averages 74.2 PPG, but only two players score in double-figures, senior F Kris Joseph (13.5 PPG) and sophomore G Dion Waiters (12.7 PPG). Joseph has really struggled to shoot the ball in the postseason, averaging just 9.8 PPG on 11-of-39 shooting (28%) in five tournament games (2 Big East, 3 NCAA). Despite playing 39 minutes in Thursday’s 64-63 win over Wisconsin, Joseph had only seven points, two rebounds, zero assists, zero steals and zero blocks. Waiters has been outstanding in the five postseason games though, averaging 17.8 PPG on 54% FG. Senior G Scoop Jardine (8.8 PPG, 4.9 APG) had a lackluster Big East Tournament (4.0 PPG), but has come up huge in the three NCAA tourney wins with 13.7 PPG and 6.3 APG. After committing six turnovers against KSU in the Third Round, he only gave the ball away once in his 35 minutes of action versus the Badgers. This strong FoxSheets trend likes the Orange to prevail on Saturday:

Play On - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (SYRACUSE) - average 3-PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against an average 3-PT defense (32-36.5%) after 15+ games, after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better. (180-112 since 1997.) (61.6%, +56.8 units. Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
03/24/2012 03:11 PM


Saturday, March 24

Florida vs. Louisville
The Gators look to build on their 14-3 ATS record in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite. Florida is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Gators favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Florida (-1). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 519-520: Ohio State vs. Syracuse (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 74.058; Syracuse 72.455
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 1 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 3; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+3); Under

Game 521-522: Florida vs. Louisville (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 73.966; Louisville 70.830
Dunkel Line: Florida by 3; 138
Vegas Line: Florida by 1; 131
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-1); Over

Game 523-524: Mercer at Fairfield (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mercer 57.551; Fairfield 64.971
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 7 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 5 1/2; 126
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (-5 1/2); Under

Long Sheet

Saturday, March 24


OHIO ST (30 - 7) vs. SYRACUSE (34 - 2) - 3/24/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


FLORIDA (26 - 10) vs. LOUISVILLE (29 - 9) - 3/24/2012, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


MERCER (25 - 11) at FAIRFIELD (22 - 14) - 3/24/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MERCER is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MERCER is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
FAIRFIELD is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


Short Sheet

Saturday, March 24

OHIO ST vs. SYRACUSE, 7:05 PM - NCAA Tournament - East Regional Final - TD Garden - Boston, MA
OHIO ST: 11-3 ATS playing w/ one or less days rest
SYRACUSE: 0-6 ATS on neutral court if total is 135 to 139.5

FLORIDA vs. LOUISVILLE, 4:30 PM - NCAA Tournament - West Regional Final - US Airways Ctr - Phoenix, AZ
FLORIDA: 1-5 ATS if dog last game
LOUISVILLE: 7-0 ATS on neutral court

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 24

Donovan is 18-2 in last 20 NCAA games, but 0-6 as head coach against his mentor, Pitino; no #7 seed has ever made Final Four- they're 0-6 in regional finals, with West Virginia in '05 last #7 seed to get this far- they lost 93-85, to Louisville. Since 1998, in regional finals without either a #1/#2 seed, underdogs are 8-2 against the spread. Louisville held its first three opponents in this tournament to 35-39-29% from floor, 14-63 on arc; Cardinals won last seven games, holding last four opponents to 51.2 ppg. Florida has three double digit wins in tournament- they lost four of last five games coming into the NCAAs.

Syracuse is an underdog for first time this season; they're first #1 seed to be underdog in regional final since St Joe's in '04 (lost 64-62, +3.5). Since 2004, #1 seeds are 9-10 SU in regional finals, but just 3-6 when facing a #2 seed; over the last nine years, underdogs are 25-11 against spread in regional finals. Since '87, #1 seeds are 1-5 SU in regional finals when an underdog, 2-4 vs spread. Ohio State won seven of last eight games, with wins over Gonzaga/Cincinnati in last two; Sullinger will exploit Syracuse 2-3 defense that is lacking without Melo. Since 2007, Big East teams are 5-3 in regional finals; Big Dozen teams are 5-1 since '05.


Saturday, March 24

Trend Report

4:30 PM
No trends available
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games

7:00 PM
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Fairfield's last 7 games at home
Fairfield is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
No trends available
Syracuse is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
Syracuse is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games



Saturday, March 24

NCAA previews & picks: Florida vs. Louisville

No. 7 Florida Gators vs. No. 4 Louisville Cardinals (+1.5, 131)

THE STORY: Both Louisville and Florida pulled off minor upsets in the West Region semifinals on Thursday night, and now the two tournament-savvy schools will meet with a Final Four berth on the line. The fourth-seeded Cardinals are in the Elite Eight for the fourth time under coach Rick Pitino, while the seventh-seeded Gators are looking for their fourth Final Four appearance since 2000 under coach Billy Donovan. Donovan played for Pitino at Providence and coached under him at Kentucky, but he’s 0-6 all-time against his mentor.

TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

FLORIDA (26-10): This is the team everyone expected to see all season. The Gators’ three tournament victories have come by a combined 70 points, most recently a 68-58 upset of No. 3 seed Marquette. Florida led the nation with nearly 10 3-pointers made per game during the regular season, but the Gators are just 21-of-78 (26.9 percent) from deep in the three wins. They can thank a defense that’s surrendering only 51 points per game for the success, but the shooting will have to improve if they hope to knock off Louisville — a very strong defensive team.

LOUISVILLE (29-9): Speaking of good defense, the Cardinals are putting on quite the show on that end of the court. Led by Gorgui Dieng’s seven blocks, Louisville held top-seeded Michigan State to 28 percent shooting in a 57-44 upset that left the West Region up for grabs. Louisville’s matchup zone and high-pressure defense is giving opponents’ fits, which Florida will have to counter with some accurate long-range shooting. Opponents are just 14-of-63 (22.2 percent) on 3-pointers against the Cardinals in three tournament games.


* Gators are 14-3 in their past 17 games as a favorite in the NCAA tournament.
* Cardinals are 7-0 ATS in their past 7 neutral site games.
* Under is 10-1 in the Cardinals' past 11 games.
* Over is 15-4 in the Gators' past 19 non-conference games.


1. Donovan and Pitino have never faced each other in the NCAA tournament.

2. Pitino is now 10-0 all-time in the Sweet 16, but he’s 5-4 in the Elite Eight.

3. Florida is 32-12 all-time in the NCAA tournament, including a 28-9 mark under Donovan.

Pick: Florida



Saturday, March 24

NCAA previews & picks: Syracuse vs. Ohio State

No. 1 Syracuse Orange vs. No. 2 Ohio State Buckeyes (-3, 136)

THE STORY: Top-seeded Syracuse defeated No. 4 seed Wisconsin 64-63 Thursday and earned its first NCAA tournament victory against a Big Ten opponent in seven tries. Now, the Orange will play another Big Ten foe, No. 2 seed Ohio State, with a trip to the Final Four at stake. The Buckeyes, who advanced to the regional final with an 81-66 victory over No. 6 Cincinnati, have made just one Final Four in Thad Matta’s eight seasons, back in 2007. That year, they lost to Florida in the national championship game. Syracuse, meanwhile, hasn’t made the Final Four since 2003 - the year Carmelo Anthony led them to an improbable title. The last NCAA tournament meeting came in 1983, a 79-74 Ohio State victory.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, CBS.

SYRACUSE (34-2): Jim Boeheim’s vaunted 2-3 zone struggled against the Badgers, who converted 14 of 27 3-point attempts - including six straight late in the second half. Ohio State figures to be a more difficult defensive assignment, as the Buckeyes have capable inside scorers and a handful of players who can knock down outside shots. Syracuse, which is without sophomore center Fab Melo after the NCAA declared him ineligible last week, will have its depth tested, particularly on the front line. Forwards Rakeem Christmas and James Southerland will be asked to play productive minutes and the Orange could use a big effort from C.J. Fair, who played 37 minutes and scored 15 points against the Badgers.

OHIO STATE (30-7): Against Cincinnati, the Buckeyes turned in a performance that has become very familiar over the last several months, ever since they dropped their first game against Kansas in early December. Ohio State started strong, taking a 37-25 halftime lead, and then fell asleep as the Bearcats surged into a four-point lead midway through the second half. Eventually, the Buckeyes’ overwhelming talent won out, but they can’t afford to play prolonged inconsistent stretches against the Orange - one of the more complete teams in the field. Jared Sullinger has 53 points and 26 rebounds in three tournament games for the Buckeyes, who have won each game by seven or more and by a combined 41 points.


* Buckeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last seven vs. Big East.
* Orange are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
* Under is 11-3 in Buckeyes' last 14 vs. Big East.
* Over is 5-2 in Orange's last seven non-conference games.


1. Syracuse is 5-0 against top 25 opponents, while the Buckeyes are just 7-6 against ranked teams.

2. Ohio State won the most recent meeting 79-65 on a neutral court in 2007.

3. If the Orange win, it will mark the fourth straight year that a Big East team advanced to the Final Four.

Pick: Ohio State



Saturday, March 24

Elite Eight action report: Lower seeded teams favored

Don’t confuse lower-seeded Florida or Ohio State with Cinderellas and definitely don’t confuse them with underdogs. In fact, bother lower-seeded squads are actually favored in their matchups with a trip to the Final Four in New Orleans on the line.

“When Friday night happened last week, that kind of threw things out of whack,” Bert Osborne, sportsbook director at South Point, said. “Since Lehigh knocked off Duke, there isn't the same faith in the favorites.”

Florida Gators vs. Louisville Cardinals Open: +1 Move: +1.5

The Big East Tournament champion Cardinals used their ugly, grinding style to cruise to a 57-44 win over top-seeded Michigan State but there are few sharps biting on a half-court affair occurring on Saturday as the total has stayed around 132 with most books.

Louisville, meantime, is garnering most of the action despite the line moving a half-point in their favor with most services.

“There is an easy correlation for someone who casually follows this type of thing,” Jimmy Vaccaro, an oddsmaker with Lucky's Sportsbook, said. “A Big East team, Connecticut, won the conference tournament and then made an unlikely tournament run last year and here we are, same conference, same situation.”

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Syracuse Orange Open: +2.5 Move: +3

The Orange, however, are being squeezed by the public. Syracuse is just 2-8 ATS its past 10 games and the top-seeded Big East squad has looked terrible in three straight tournament wins. Still, wins are wins.

“There will be money showing on up on Syracuse,” Vaccaro said. “It’s still a very good team, it’s still very well coached and more important you are getting points. It will be a battle of who is more strong willed.”

The Buckeyes, meantime, looked sharp through three rounds and most people were in bed on Thursday night by the time Ohio State pulled away for an 81-66 win over Cincinnati.

“The betting public only sees one game ahead,” Osborne said. “Thursday night, when the popular dog goes down they are going to switch to the favorite that knocked their team out.”

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: