cnotes Posts:32996 Followers:38
02/26/2012 12:15 PM


Sunday, February 26

Ice picks: Sunday's best NHL bets

Vancouver Canucks at Dallas Stars (123, 5)

Something will have to give when Vancouver visits Dallas on Sunday. The Canucks, who lead the NHL with 86 points as of Saturday, have won two in a row and six of their last seven games. The Stars, currently in the eighth and final playoff slot in the Western Conference, are on a three-game winning streak.

Head-to-head, though, a huge edge goes to the Canucks. They have gotten the best of Dallas on six straight occasions (including four in 2010-11) and in nine of the last 10 meetings dating back to 2009. Vancouver outscored the Stars by an incredible 20-4 clip in four games last season.

The Canucks have another reason to be confident heading into Sunday's clash. Prior to Friday's 2-1 win over New Jersey, they stopped Detroit's 23-game home winning streak with a shootout victory on Thursday.

“Game 61, usually they don't mean that much,” Daniel Sedin told the Vancouver Sun after stunning the Red Wings. “This was a special game for us. During the game, you don't really think about [winning streaks] and those kind of things. But when it got to a shootout, then you realize you have a chance to do it.

"Most importantly, we played a good road game against the top team in this league. It was a gutsy performance by a lot of players.”

Pick: Canucks

Montreal Canadiens at Florida Panthers (-114, 5)

The Panthers are clinging to the last playoff spot in the Eastern Conference as of Saturday, with 66 points. In order to hand onto it, though, they will have to start scoring goals.

Florida has lost four in a row as of Saturday afternoon and has been outscored 13-5 in that span. The team mustered only one goal in losses to Washington and Anaheim prior to the All-Star break and it lost 3-2 in a shootout to Minnesota on Thursday.

The Canadiens have been similarly woeful of late. Sitting in last place in the Eastern Conference, they are on a three-game losing streak and have been outscored 10-2 in that span. Montreal is coming off a 4-1 loss at Washington on Friday.

These two teams have faced each other twice this season, with Florida taking low-scoring affairs by one goal each time (2-1 and 3-2). None of their last nine meetings has gone over the total (the under is 6-0-3 in their last nine).

Pick: Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32996 Followers:38
02/26/2012 12:16 PM

Short Sheet

Sunday, February 26

TAMPA BAY: 4-12 off road loss by 3+ goals
NEW JERSEY: 8-2 SU vs. Tampa Bay

COLUMBUS: 6-23 SU off home game
PITTSBURGH: 29-8 SU off home win by 4+ goals

PHOENIX: 17-5 SU off BB 1 goal wins
EDMONTON: 13-23 SU at home off shutout win

VANCOUVER: 38-19 SU as road favorite of -200 or less
DALLAS: 0-8 SU in Sunday home games

MONTREAL: 6-1 SU off BB losses by 3+ goals
FLORIDA: 0-10 SU off division road win

NY ISLANDERS: 3-16 SU revenging loss where opp scored 4+ goals
OTTAWA: 21-7-4 SU at home vs. Islanders

SAN JOSE: 5-10 SU revenging 1 goal loss
MINNESOTA: 40-35 SU off Under

CHICAGO: 2-8 SU off road loss by 3+ goals
ANAHEIM: 10-1 SU w/ triple revenge

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32996 Followers:38
02/26/2012 12:18 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 26

Hot teams
-- Penguins won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Dallas Stars won last three games, alowing two goals. Canucks won eight of their last ten road games.
-- Ottawa won four of its last five games. Islanders won six of their last nine road games.
-- Ducks won five of their last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Tampa Bay lost four of its last five road games. New Jersey lost four of its last five home games- visitor won seven of its last eight games.
-- Blue Jackets lost eight of their last ten road games.
-- Florida lost its last four home games, scoring five goals. Canadiens lost five of their last six games.
-- Minnesota lost eight of its last ten games. Sharks lost five of their last six.
-- Chicago lost 12 of its last 14 road games.

-- Five of last six Lightning road games went over the total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Columbus road games. Five of Penguins' last seven games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-0-2 in last five Dallas games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Montreal's last five road games.
-- Four of last five Islander games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Minnesota home games stayed under total.
-- Last six Anaheim games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Devils won 18 of last 21 games against Tampa Bay.
-- Road team won both Columbus-Pittsburgh games LY.
-- Canucks won nine of last ten games against Dallas.
-- Florida is 2-0 vs Montreal this season, winning 2-1/3-2.
-- Islanders lost eight of last eleven games against Ottawa.
-- Sharks lost their last three visits to Minnesota.
-- Blackhawks won four of last five games against Anaheim.

-- Tampa Bay is 1-4 on road if it played the night before.
-- Penguins are 3-1 at home if they played night before.
-- Florida is 3-5 if it played the night before, 1-2 if it won.
-- Ottawa is 2-3 at home if it played the night before.
-- Sharks are 5-4 if they played night before, 2-3 if they lost.
-- Chicago is 2-6 on the road if it played the night before.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32996 Followers:38
02/26/2012 12:20 PM

East Favored Over West In 61st NBA All-Star Game

The 61st NBA All-Star Game this Sunday night will be won by the Eastern Conference if a recent trend holds true.

TNT will have the tip shortly after 7:30 p.m. (ET) from Amway Center in Orlando. The LVH has released the first pointspread and the East is -3½ with a total of 279½. Chicago’s Tom Thibodeau will coach the East and Oklahoma City’s Scott Brooks the West.

The East has the all-time lead in wins (36-24), after the West took last year’s game in Los Angeles, 148-143 as 3½-point underdogs. There have been alternating winners the last six years, with points skyrocketing in the last five (average combined points scored 276.6).

Starter analysis appears even

East: Derrick Rose, Dwyane Wade, Carmelo Anthony, LeBron James and Dwight Howard.

The big hole in this lineup is at power forward. The team has two small forwards in James and Anthony and that means LeBron will be the de facto power forward. The Knicks’ Anthony hasn’t looked great in his three games since returning from a groin injury and he’ll likely be on the bench late in the fourth quarter when the other starters are playing.

Howard is the featured player of this All-Star Game on his home court. The impending free agent could be traded before the March 15 deadline, but Magic fans haven’t turned on him yet and will be cheering him on. Howard will be far more aggressive offensively than last year’s game when he scored just five points on 2-of-4 shooting.

West: Chris Paul, Kobe Bryant, Kevin Durant, Blake Griffin and Andrew Bynum.

The pairing of Paul and Bryant in the backcourt is very interesting as they would have been Lakers teammates if not for NBA Commissioner David Stern vetoing the deal from New Orleans. Bryant was the All-Star MVP last year in his stadium with 37 points, and was injured the last time the East won in 2010 (141-139 as 2-point favorites).

Durant scored 34 points in last year’s game and should do whatever he wants on offense with Anthony guarding him. Durant is second in the league in scoring this year (27.9 PPG) behind Bryant (28.4 PPG). In fact, six of the top-7 scorers are from the West, with James (27.4 PPG) the exception.

Griffin has a size advantage on James at power forward and should be able to take him into the post. However, both are physical freaks and Griffin won’t like guarding James on the other end either. Bynum is a first-time All-Star, but scored just 10 points when his Lakers played against Howard’s Magic last month here.

Advantage: Even

Bench analysis favors the West

East: Deron Williams, Rajon Rondo, Paul Pierce, Andre Iguodala, Luol Deng, Chris Bosh and Roy Hibbert.

Iguodala, Deng and Hibbert are first-time selections. The only injury substitution is Rondo taking over for the injured Joe Johnson, but another point guard could come in handy with the West having four of them.

Bosh is the only true power forward on the entire East roster, while the West has four of those as well. Look for him to sub for Anthony late in the game, playing with Miami teammates Wade and James. The East’s bench advantage is Pierce, Deng and Iguodala guarded by smaller players or bigger and slower guys. However, none are pure scorers at this point in their careers.

West: Tony Parker, Steve Nash, Russell Westbrook, Kevin Love, LaMarcus Aldridge, Dirk Nowitzki and Marc Gasol.

Aldridge and Gasol are first-time picks in addition to the starter Bynum. The point guard Westbrook will need to play shooting guard as he’s the only one capable off the bench. There’s also no small forward on the pine, so Durant will have to play a ton of minutes.

The West has a big advantage with Love, Aldridge and Nowitzki down low as they all can score. Nowitzki will likely play some small forward and he will easily be able to shoot over anyone trying to cover him.

Advantage: Western Conference

Linsanity, Slam Dunk and Three-Point Shooting

The NBA loves to give the fans what they want, and in this case it’s adding Jeremy Lin to Friday’s Rising Stars Challenge. It used to be a game between top rookies and second-year players, but they’re now mixed together. Shaquille O’Neal has Lin, Ricky Rubio and Blake Griffin on his team and is a 5-point favorite over Charles Barkley’s squad featuring Kyrie Irving and John Wall.

Lin was supposed to partake in Saturday’s Slam Dunk contest, passing to teammate Iman Shumpert. However, the heavily favored Shumpert had to pull out due to injury and was replaced by Utah’s Jeremy Evans. Evans (+400) is the odds longshot behind Houston’s Chase Budinger (+175), Indiana’s Paul George (+200) and Minnesota rookie Derrick Williams (+300).

The Three-Point Contest got a boost when Durant replaced the injured Joe Johnson. Durant (-200) is now the favorite ahead of New Jersey’s Anthony Morrow (+300), Orlando’s Ryan Anderson (+325) and the Miami due of Mario Chalmers and defending champ James Jones (both +350). Big man Kevin Love (+650) is the longshot.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32996 Followers:38
02/26/2012 12:23 PM

Sunday's Tip Sheet

February 26, 2012

Wisconsin (20-8 SU, 12-12 ATS) at Ohio State (23-5 SU, 14-8 ATS)

Ohio State will play its final home game of the season on Sunday and the oddsmakers are expecting a big performance, listing the school as a healthy 10-point favorite over Wisconsin. It will be the last game for shooting guard William Buford and most would expect the final sendoff for sophomore sensation Jared Sullinger as well.

The Buckeyes are coming off a wire-to-wire victory over Illinois (83-67) on Tuesday at home and most gamblers saw them cover as 15 ½-point favorites but there were a couple shops that closed the game at 16.

Ohio State has nearly been unbeatable in Columbus this season, going 18-1 straight up and 10-4 against the spread. All but two of the 18 victories came by double digits. The lone loss came to Michigan State (48-58) on Feb. 11 in a game that the Buckeyes couldn’t buy a shot (26.4%) from the floor. To put things in perspective, 18 of the points came from the free throw line.

Thad Matta’s team did rebound from the Spartans' loss with a win at Minnesota (78-68) but it also fell to another ranked opponent soon after, losing at Michigan (51-56) last Saturday. Some gamblers might consider Ohio State a bully and probably wonder how they’ll respond against 16th-ranked Wisconsin.

The Badgers sit in fourth place of the Big 10 standings with a 9-6 record and its fare to call this squad inconsistent. They got caught looking ahead on Thursday with a 67-66 loss at Iowa, and that was the second time the Hawkeyes beat them this season.

How will Bo Ryan’s team perform off a loss on Sunday? Since dropping three straight in early January, the Badgers have gone 3-0 off a loss and two of the wins came on the road.

Backing the Badgers lately has been a losing proposition, as gamblers have watched the team go 1-6 versus the number.

As an underdog this season, Wisconsin is 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS. This will be the largest number the Badgers have received since getting 6 ½-points at North Carolina on Nov. 30. The Tar Heels won 60-57 at home, but failed to cover.

Ohio State stopped Wisconsin 58-52 on Feb. 4 as a 3 ½-point road favorite. Prior to this outcome, the home team captured the previous five encounters. The total on the first battle this season closed at 118 and it was never threatened. Sunday’s ‘over/under’ came out at a similar number of 117 ½. Total players should note that even though Wisconsin likes to slow it down, its last four games have gone ‘over.’

After this game, Ohio State closes the season with road games at Northwestern and Michigan State. Wisconsin finishes Big 10 play with winnable home games versus Minnesota and Illinois.

Tip-off is slated for 4:00 p.m. ET and CBS will televise nationally.

Florida State (19-8 SU, 13-12 ATS) at Miami, Fl. (16-10 SU, 11-12 ATS)

Big game for the Hurricanes, who are projected to be on the outside of this year’s NCAA Tournament. Outside of Duke and North Carolina, the ACC isn’t strong this season and that hasn’t helped Miami’s chances of an at-large bid.

The Hurricanes suffered a very tough loss on Tuesday at Maryland (75-70). They led late but couldn’t buy a bucket at the end of the game and failed to cover as three-point road favorites.

Miami is 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS in its last four games and one of the losses came to Florida State on Feb. 11. The Seminoles earned a 64-59 win over the ‘Canes, but failed to cash tickets as 6 ½-point home favorites.

Head coach Jim Larranaga is hoping his Miami squad can snap a six-game losing skid to FSU. The last victory (75-69) for the Hurricanes came in 2009 and they were favored (-6) in that contest. We mention that because Miami opened as a short ‘chalk’ (-1.5) over the Seminoles for this affair.

Miami has played well at home (11-3) this season but none of the wins are very impressive and the three setbacks came against quality opponents in Memphis, N.C. State and North Carolina. The Seminoles are definitely in the category of the Tigers and Wolfpack.

FSU has produced a 4-2 ledger in conference road games and that includes solid wins as underdogs over Virginia Tech, Duke and N.C. State. However, Leonard Hamilton’s team has also come up lame at Clemson (59-79) and Boston College (60-64).

The Seminoles were humbled by Duke (66-74) on Thursday at home, which snapped a three-game winning streak. FSU has won its last three games off a loss and it held all three opponents under 60 points.

Low total for Sunday’s affair (129) but the last four meetings between the pair have all gone ‘under’ the number. And Miami has watched four of its last five go ‘under’ which includes three straight at Coral Gables.

Including this game, all of Miami’s remaining contests are must-win spots. A road game against N.C. State follows before closing the season at home against Boston College next Saturday. Florida State is all but assured a tournament position but more wins can only improve their positioning.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32996 Followers:38
02/26/2012 12:28 PM

Inside the Numbers

February 26, 2012

Some say the NBA is simply an acronym for "Nothing But Aggravation." Others insist it's merely a "Nice Bankroll Additive." Whatever your take, there is no better time than the present - with the NBA taking a time out for the All-Star break - to examine the condition of each team in the league at this stage of the season. From the surprise teams to the disappointments, the run to the 2012 playoffs is about to take off.

Here's a quick look at some of the GOOD, BAD, and UGLY team trends on every team and how they have fared SU (Straight Up) and ATS (Against The Spread) this season in games played through the All-Star break. In addition, I also break down performance records for each team in games versus .500or less and greater than .500 opponents this campaign.

Good: 8-1 ATS with no rest
Bad: 2-9 ATS off BB wins
Ugly: 0-5 ATS off BB SUATS wins
Vs. .500 or less: 13-3 SU, 8-8 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 7-11 SU, 8-10 ATS

Good: 5-1 ATS vs. .333 or less opp
Bad: 1-4 ATS vs. opp with no rest
Ugly: 0-4 ATS w/revenge vs. opp with no rest
Vs. .500 or less: 10-7 SU, 7-10 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 5-10 SU, 6-9 ATS

Good: 4-1 ATS away vs. opp off BB wins
Bad: 1-7 ATS off division game
Ugly: 0-6 ATS off SUATS division loss
Vs. .500 or less: 4-11 SU, 6-9 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 0-19 SU, 6-13 ATS

Good: 7-1 ATS after allow 100 or more points
Bad: 1-4 ATS off BB wins vs, winning opp
Ugly: 0-3 ATS off BB SUATS wins vs, winning opp
Vs. .500 or less: 23-3 SU, 17-9 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 4-5 SU, 4-5 ATS

Good: 5-1 ATS Off BB losses
Bad: 2-6 ATS as favorites
Ugly: 0-4 ATS as favorites vs. greater than .250
Vs. .500 or less: 10-7 SU, 10-7 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 3-1 SU, 6-8 ATS

Good: 6-1-1 ATS vs. opp off BB wins
Bad: 1-3 ATS vs. division
Ugly: 0-3 ATS off division win
Vs. .500 or less: 12-6 SU, 11-7 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 9-7 SU, 8-7-1 ATS

Good: 9-3 ATS road dogs
Bad: 1-7 ATS home off loss
Ugly: 0-6 ATS home off loss vs. opp off loss
Vs. .500 or less: 12-4 SU, 10-6 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 6-13 SU, 10-9 ATS

Good: 8-2 ATS home vs. .475 or greater opp
Bad: 6-11 ATS away
Ugly: 0-5 ATS double-digit road dogs
Vs. .500 or less: 6-15 SU, 9-12 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 5-9 SU, 8-6 ATS

Good: 8-2 ATS off BB losses
Bad: 1-7 ATS vs. less than .333 opp
Ugly: 0-6 ATS w/revenge vs. less than .333 opp
Vs. .500 or less: 5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 8-10 SU, 10-8 ATS

Good: 8-0 ATS home off loss
Bad: 2-6 ATS road dogs less than 7
Ugly: 0-5 ATS away w/revenge
Vs. .500 or less: 10-10 SU, 9-11 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 10-4 SU, 11-3 ATS

Good: 4-0 ATS away off SU favorite loss
Bad: 4-10 ATS off SUATS win
Ugly: 0-4 ATS off BB SUATS wins
Vs. .500 or less: 13-5 SU, 8-10 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 8-7 SU, 7-8 ATS

Good: 7-2 ATS vs. opp with no rest
Bad: 2-7-1 ATS off BB wins
Ugly: 0-4 ATS away off BB wins
Vs. .500 or less: 8-3 SU, 7-4 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 12-8 SU, 10-9-1 ATS

Good: 11-5 ATS home
Bad: 5-13 ATS away
Ugly: 0-5 ATS away vs. opp off loss
Vs. .500 or less: 11-6 SU, 9-8 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 9-8 SU, 7-10 ATS

Good: 7-2 ATS non con games
Bad: 3-8 ATS vs. opp with no rest
Ugly: 0-4 ATS vs. opp off loss with no rest
Vs. .500 or less: 10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 9-12 SU, 8-13 ATS

Good: 4-1 ATS vs. opp with no rest
Bad: 6-10 ATS vs. opp off loss
Ugly: 1-7 ATS favorite more than 8 vs. non-div favorite opp off loss
Vs. .500 or less: 16-3 SU, 9-10 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 11-4 SU, 9-6 ATS

Good: 3-0 ATS home vs. opp off BB losses
Bad: 2-8 ATS vs. opp with no rest
Ugly: 0-5 ATS home vs. opp with no rest
Vs. .500 or less: 8-7 SU, 6-9 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 5-13 SU, 7-11 ATS

Good: 11-3 ATS away
Bad: 2-7 ATS home vs. opp with no rest
Ugly: 0-6 ATS home favorite 2 or more vs. opp with no rest
Vs. .500 or less: 9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 8-11 SU, 12-7 ATS

Good: 5-0 ATS away vs. opp off DD win
Bad: 3-13 ATS home
Ugly: 0-7 ATS home off win
Vs. .500 or less: 8-10 SU, 7-11 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 2-15 SU, 7-10 ATS

Good: 11-5 ATS away
Bad: 5-12 ATS home
Ugly: 1-7 ATS home off SUATS loss
Vs. .500 or less: 5-12 SU, 8-9 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 3-13 SU, 8-8 ATS

Good: 4-1 ATS as favorites 4 or less
Bad: 1-6 ATS favorites off SUATS win
Ugly: 0-5 ATS favorites off SUATS win vs. 333 or less opp
Vs. .500 or less: 12-10- SU, 8-14 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 5-8 SU, 8-5 ATS

Good: 6-1 ATS off loss
Bad: 3-6 ATS vs. opp with no rest
Ugly: 0-4 ATS away vs. opp with no rest
Vs. .500 or less: 18-3 SU, 12-9 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS

Good: 9-2 ATS off SUATS loss
Bad: 4-8 ATS off win more than 8
Ugly: 1-7 ATS off ATS win more than 8
Vs. .500 or less: 16-5 SU, 13-8 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 6-8 SU, 7-7 ATS

Good: 6-0 ATS favorites with no rest
Bad: 4-8 ATS vs. opp off win
Ugly: 1-5 ATS away vs. opp off win
Vs. .500 or less: 13-4 SU, 13-4 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 7-10 SU, 6-11 ATS

Good: 4-2 ATS vs. opp off DD win
Bad: 3-7 ATS favorites
Ugly: 0-4 ATS favorites off SUATS loss
Vs. .500 or less: 9-8 SU, 8-9 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 5-12 SU, 6-11 ATS

Good: 7-1 ATS home off SUATS loss
Bad: 6-10 ATS away
Ugly: 1-8 ATS away off win
Vs. .500 or less: 8-7 SU, 7-8 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 10-9 SU, 11-8 ATS

Good: 10-5 ATS off BB losses
Bad: 5-8 ATS with double revenge
Ugly: 1-6 ATS odd DD loss with double revenge
Vs. .500 or less: 6-11 SU, 9-8 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 5-11 SU, 8-8 ATS

Good: 8-2 ATS home off win
Bad: 1-3 ATS vs. opp off SUATS win
Ugly: 0-5 ATS off win 14 or more
Vs. .500 or less: 13-5 SU, 8-9-1 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 11-5 SU, 12-4 ATS

Good: 10-4 ATS off SUATS win
Bad: 4-8 ATS vs. opp off SUATS loss
Ugly: 1-5 ATS vs. 333 or less opp off SUATS loss
Vs. .500 or less: 7-10 SU / 9-8 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 3-13 SU, 9-6-1 ATS

Good: 11-7 ATS home
Bad: 5-9 ATS away
Ugly: 1-5 ATS away vs. opp off SUATS loss
Vs. .500 or less: 10-6 SU, 9-7 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 5-11 SU, 7-9 ATS

Good: 3-1 ATS off BB losses vs. opp off BB wins
Bad: 7-19 ATS dogs
Ugly: 1-10 ATS dogs vs. opp off SUATS loss
Vs. .500 or less: 5-13 SU, 6-12 ATS
Vs. winning opp: 2-13 SU, 4-11 ATS

Little did Charlotte realize that its 96-95 loss to Miami on Dec. 28 would be the closest it would come to defeating a winning team this season. On the flip side, Golden State, Memphis and New Jersey can take pride in knowing they've been the only teams in the loop with a losing record that have managed to slay the Bulls.

FYI: Teams that have responded exceptionally well in same season revenge affairs this season include the Trailblazers (5-1 SU and ATS) and the Lakers (3-0 SU and ATS), while the teams that have struggled in these same payback situations include the Bobcats (0-10 SU and 2-8 ATS), the Bucks (0-6 SU and ATS) and the Wizards (1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS).

I've done my homework. Now, you do yours and we'll both enjoy the 2nd half of the season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32996 Followers:38
02/26/2012 12:30 PM

First Half Review

February 25, 2012

The NBA first half is in the books thanks to a frantic two-month run of games following the lockout. Even though it took teams a while to get their legs underneath them, the cream has risen to the top in each conference. From a betting perspective, several trends are coming to light on which clubs are worth wagering on and which ones to stay away from moving forward.

The Good


The Bulls are cashing at a 60% rate (21-14 ATS) this season, while owning the second-best record in the Eastern Conference behind the Heat. Chicago finished the first half by covering seven of its final 10 games, including consecutive covers as double-digit favorites over the Hawks and Bucks.

Tom Thibodeau's squad has compiled a 13-7 ATS record away from the United Center, while going 6-3 ATS on their most recent road swing. Following Tuesday's home contest against the Hornets, the Bulls hit the highway for three games, starting with a trip to San Antonio on Wednesday. Chicago plays 14 opponents that are unrested, including a stretch of seven straight games from March 17 through March 28.

The Texas Teams

The Spurs, Mavericks, and Rockets have each cashed 20 of their first 34 games, tops in the Western Conference. San Antonio is the hottest team in the league with wins in 12 of its last 13 games to conclude the first half, while compiling a 10-2-1 ATS record in this hot stretch. The Spurs return home from an 8-1 record on their "Rodeo Road Trip" for seven games starting Wednesday against the Bulls.

Dallas began the season at 1-4 SU and 2-3 ATS, but the Mavericks overcame the slow start with a 20-9 SU and 18-11 ATS mark. The Mavs put together a 6-1 ATS record as a road underdog, including outright wins at Boston, Denver, and Philadelphia.

Houston is rolling with an 18-9 ATS record since January 7, including a 10-6 ATS ledger at the Toyota Center in this stretch. The Rockets sit in third place inside the Southwest Division at 20-14, while beating the Spurs and Blazers twice each, Thunder, and Nuggets. Houston has turned into one of the top 'under' teams at 22-12, including a 12-6 'under' mark at home.

The Bad

Southeast Division Cellar

The Bobcats and Wizards are young teams with nowhere to go but up. However, both Charlotte and Washington have a long way to go as the two squads are a combined 11-54 SU and 21-44 ATS.

Charlotte endured a 16-game losing streak in the first half, while winning just four games so far this season. Since beating Golden State as a home underdog on January 14, the Bobcats have failed to break the 100-point mark in each of the last 17 games. Charlotte is the lowest-scoring team in the league by averaging 86.5 points per game, while going 1-6 ATS the last seven contests as a single-digit 'dog.

The Wizards started the season at 1-12, but pulled off the two biggest upsets of the campaign with outright 'dog victories over Oklahoma City (+11) and Portland (+15). Washington has covered only four times in 26 losses, meaning if you think this Wizards team is going to lose, just fade them and make money. This club doesn't play any defense, allowing more than 100 points in 11 of the previous 12 contests.

Updated Futures

Very little has changed at the top with the Heat (6/5), Bulls (5/1), and Thunder (6/1) still as the favorites to win the NBA title. With the emergence of Jeremy Lin and the Knicks recently, New York has been installed at 10/1 odds to hoist the Larry O'Brien trophy, after starting this season at 20/1. San Antonio began this shortened campaign at 25/1 to win their fifth championship, but their latest hot stretch has moved them to 15/1. For a list of the latest championship odds, has provided a list right here.

3 in 3 Nights

We've seen 25 teams play the dreaded three games in three nights situation, which has several profitable spots. Instead of waiting until the third night to play or fade these teams, start with the first night of this sequence. In the first game of this grueling stretch, these squads own a 17-8 ATS record, including a 9-2 ATS mark in the favorite role. The second night is the time to fade these teams at 10-15 ATS, while underdogs are 3-8 ATS. The third night started off on fire with a 7-1 ATS ledger, but has cooled off with a 7-10 ATS record the last 17 opportunities. A complete list of upcoming teams in this situation can be found by clicking here.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32996 Followers:38
02/26/2012 12:33 PM

NBA All-Star Game tips Sunday in Orlando

Tip-off: Sunday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: East -2.5, Total: 276.5
The star-studded pick-up game known as the NBA All-Star game tips off Sunday night in Orlando.

This will be the first time since 2003 that an Eastern Conference team has hosted the festivities (the West has hosted six of the past seven, with Las Vegas, which has no team, hosting the other one). But the teams have still alternated wins in each of the past six years, with the West winning in Los Angeles a year ago. This could be one of the last times Magic superstar C Dwight Howard plays in front of Orlando fans as a member of the home team. The free-agent-to-be has so far refused to sign a contract extension and will be a prime candidate to be moved at the trade deadline. In this glorified exhibition where little defense is played, stars are often willing to defer to the hometown hero. Will Howard lead the East to victory on Sunday? To find out, connect to the NBA Weekend Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekend. NBA Pass has been sizzling since Feb. 14, posting a 20-10 ATS record (67%).

This will be the second time Orlando has hosted the game (in 1992 the West blew out the East 153-113 with Magic Johnson taking MVP honors). Another L.A. star is in position to steal the show. Lakers SG Kobe Bryant (28.4 PPG), the NBA’s leading scorer, poured in 37 points in last year’s All-Star Game, leading the West to a 148-143 victory. He’s currently tied with Bob Pettit for the most All-Star MVPs (four) and could be motivated to break the tie before his 33-year-old legs diminish further.

The West clearly has the edge in talent, with two of the NBA’s three best players (Bryant and Kevin Durant, who combined for 71 points in last year’s game) and best point guard (Chris Paul). The East will be led by the Florida trio of Howard and the Heat’s LeBron James and Dwyane Wade, who have led Miami to eight consecutive SU victories. James had a triple-double in last year’s game, with 29 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists.

But two other East starters, Knicks SF Carmelo Anthony and Bulls PG Derrick Rose, have been dealing with nagging injuries of late (groin and back, respectively). And Hawks SG Joe Johnson has reportedly bowed out of the game because of knee problems.

There have been 156 inter-conference games this regular season, with the Western Conference winning 60.3% of those matchups. The All-Star teams combined for 291 points in L.A. last year, the second straight year they’ve topped 280.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: