jack_jones Posts:79 Followers:1
On 02/23/2012 08:29 AM in Cappers

Jack's Free Pick Thursday!

Duke vs. Florida State, 02/23/2012 19:00
Point Spread: +2/-110 Florida State

The Florida State Seminoles have been underrated all season. They continue to get no respect tonight from oddsmakers as they are an underdog to the Duke Blue Devils. This line just shows how the betting public believes Florida State's win at Duke earlier this season was a fluke.

I see it much differently and strongly believe that the Seminoles are going to make a deep run in the NCAA Tournament. FSU is 19-7 on the season, including 14-1 at home where they are outscoring opponents by a whopping 16.1 points/game.

The Seminoles know how to defend, which gives them a chance to beat any team in the country. FSU is only yielding 60.8 points on 37.0 percent shooting. One of their 14 home wins came against North Carolina. The Seminoles handed the Tar Heels their worst loss of the season, a 90-57 beat down on 1/14.

Florida State is 6-0 ATS off an upset win over a conference rival as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. They are winning by 21.0 points/game in this situation. The Seminoles are 22-4-1 ATS in their last 27 games as a home underdog of 0.5-6.5. FSU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 meetings with Duke. Bet Florida State Thursday.

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