cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
02/21/2012 01:11 PM

No. 8 OSU tries to add to Illini woes on Tuesday



Tip-off: Tuesday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Ohio State -16, Total: 128

Ice-cold Illinois is looking for its first win this month when it heads to Columbus on Tuesday to face No. 8 Ohio State.

The Illini are 0-5 (SU and ATS) in February and have lost eight of their past nine games overall (SU and ATS). The Buckeyes are also slumping, losing two of three SU and going 1-3 ATS in their past four games. When these teams met on Jan. 10 in Champaign, OSU had no answer for Brandon Paul whose 43 points propelled his team to a 79-74 victory. Although Illinois is struggling to win games, the team has lost by five points or less in five of its eight most recent defeats. And OSU hasn’t blown anybody out in February, winning its three games this month by just 6, 3 and 10 points. The pick here is ILLINOIS to win ATS.

This pair of three-star FoxSheets trends also expects the Illini to hang around in this game:

Play On - Underdogs of 10 or more points (ILLINOIS) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, in February games. (43-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.8%, +28.7 units. Rating = 3*).

Play Against - Home favorites of 10 or more points (OHIO ST) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%) after 15+ games, good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's). (155-79 since 1997.) (66.2%, +68.1 units. Rating = 3*).

The Illini hit rock bottom on Saturday, losing 80-57 at Nebraska. The Cornhuskers went on a 36-4 run in that game which started in the first half and ended in the second half. Paul leads the team with 14.9 PPG, but had just two points on 1-of-7 shooting in Saturday’s loss. This broke a string of 15 straight double-figure scoring outputs, which included his 43 points (11-of-15 FG, 8-of-10 threes) versus Ohio State. The key to the Illini keeping this score close is C Meyers Leonard (12.9 PPG, 8.0 RPG). After averaging 19.0 PPG in the first two games this month, he has not been assertive on the offensive end, attempting a total of just 18 shots (10-of-18 FG) in his past three contests. His defense will also be vital in containing Buckeyes star PF Jared Sullinger. Junior guard D.J. Richardson also averages double-figures (12.1 PPG) and he led Illinois with 15 points in Saturday’s loss. This was quite an improvement from his zero points in 38 minutes versus Purdue on Wednesday.

OSU has been held to 49.5 PPG in its past two defeats, but Deshaun Thomas had no trouble scoring in Saturday’s 56-51 loss at Michigan. He pumped in 25 of his team’s 51 points and also grabbed 13 rebounds. Thomas also had a team-high 23 points (8-of-12 FG) in the loss to Illinois this season. Sullinger (17.5 PPG, 9.2 RPG) scored 21 points against the Illini on Jan. 10, but grabbed only five rebounds in 38 minutes of action. Speaking of minutes, Sullinger hasn’t gotten much rest this month, averaging nearly 37 minutes per game in five February contests. But if the Buckeyes are going to make a deep run in March, senior guard William Buford has to start playing well against quality schools. In six conference meetings with Top 25-ranked schools (Indiana, Wisconsin, Michigan St. and Michigan), Buford is averaging just 8.8 PPG on 31% FG. But on the flip side, Buford has been torching non-ranked opponents (like Illinois is) recently with 15+ points (19.6 PPG) in each of his past five such games. This includes his 15 points (7-of-18 FG) in the loss in Champaign this year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
02/21/2012 01:12 PM

Heat seek another big win over Kings Tuesday


at MIAMI HEAT (25-7)

Tip-off: Tuesday, 7:35 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -14, Total: 204

The Heat look to continue their dominance of Sacramento when they host the Kings on Tuesday night.

Miami has won six in a row and 14 of 15 over the Kings, SU and ATS. That includes two blowout wins over Sacramento last season, by 21 points in Sacto and 20 in South Beach. Can the Heat roll to another lopsided victory on Tuesday? To find out, connect to the NBA Three at Three Pass for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each day. NBA Pass continues to roll, posting a 14-7 ATS record (67%) since Feb. 13.

This will be the fifth of Sacramento’s six-game road trip to finish up the first half. They’ve lost their first four games of the trip SU (extending their overall SU losing streak to five) but did manage to cover at Chicago (sans Derrick Rose) and at Cleveland. However, they’ve also given up 107.0 PPG on 46.1% FG over the first four games of the road trip.

The Kings recently moved 5-foot-9 rookie combo guard Isaiah Thomas (7.9 PPG) into the starting lineup. In two games, he’s averaged 18.0 PPG on 54.5% shooting, 6.0 RPG and 7.5 APG, posting a plus/minus of +12. In Cleveland on Sunday, Thomas played 43 minutes and had 23 points, eight boards and 11 assists in a 93-92 loss. It’s added more firepower to a small lineup that has PG Tyreke Evans (17.0 PPG, 5.2 APG) and SG Marcus Thornton (17.9 PPG). C DeMarcus Cousins (16.7 PPG, 11.3 RPG) has been the focal point of the offense on this road trip, averaging 22.0 PPG and 11.3 RPG over the four games. The FoxSheets provide a four-star trend siding with the Kings:

Play Against - Home favorites of 10 or more points (MIAMI) - a very good team (>=+7 PPG differential) against a terrible team (<=-7 PPG differential), after allowing 85 points or less. (27-4 since 1996.) (87.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 4*).

After winning five straight on the road, the Heat came home and breezed past Orlando, 90-78, on Sunday. SF LeBron James (27.9 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 6.8 APG) has played at an elite level all season, and he’s averaging 25.3 PPG on 56.1% shooting, 8.0 RPG and 6.3 APG despite playing only 32.7 MPG due to the non-competiveness of their six-game win streak. But the big difference for the Heat of late has been SG Dwyane Wade (22.1 PPG, 4.6 APG) getting back to 100 percent. Wade is averaging 22.3 PPG on 57.1% shooting in limited minutes (27.0 MPG) in his past six contests. During their six-game winning streak, James has an average plus/minus of +21.8 and Wade is at +17.7. The FoxSheets have a trend working against the Kings:

SACRAMENTO is 4-20 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less since 1996. The average score was SACRAMENTO 97.5, OPPONENT 111.5 - (Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
02/21/2012 01:14 PM

Tuesday’s betting tips: Kobe calls out Lakers' front office

Who’s hot

NBA: The under is 19-7 in Cleveland’s last 26 home games.

NBA: Miami has won and covered in each of its last six games overall.

NHL: Phoenix has won seven of its last eight.

NHL: Seven of Philadelphia’s last eight games have played over.

NCAAB: Seton Hall is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine home games.

NCAAB: Auburn has covered the number in nine of its last 11 overall.

Who’s not

NBA: The over is 7-20 in Sacramento’s last 27 road games.

NBA: Detroit is 7-17 against the spread in its last 24 road games.

NHL: Edmonton is 6-21-1 in its 28 games in Calgary.

NHL: Chicago is 3-9 in its last 12 overall.

NCAAB: The over is 2-10 in Michigan’s last 12.

NCAAB: N.C. State is 4-16-1 against the spread in its last 21 home games.

Key stat

38.4 – The Georgetown Hoyas sit 11th nationally in defensive field goal percentage, allowing opponents to hit just 38.4 percent of their shots. The Hoyas held Providence to just 25.9 percent shooting in last weekend’s 63-53 win and face a Seton Hall offense that ranks 195th in the country at 43.1 percent on Tuesday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Nikolai Khabibulin, Edmonton Oilers - Khabibulin is expected to be sidelined seven-to-10 days with a sore groin, the team announced on Monday. The veteran netminder exited Sunday's game against the Vancouver Canucks with the injury. Khabibulin allowed two goals on 17 shots in the opening period and was replaced by Devan Dubnyk to start the second. The 39-year-old Russian has posted a 12-16-5 record with two shutouts and 2.60 goals-against average this season. The Oilers visit Calgary Tuesday.

Game of the day

Kentucky Wildcats at Mississippi State Bulldogs (9.5, 139.5)

Notable quotable

"Basketball is such an emotional game, you got to be able to have all of yourself in the game and invested in the game. We didn't have that. Pau, it's hard for Pau because of all this trade talk and all this other stuff, it's hard for him to kind of invest himself completely or immerse himself completely into games when he's hearing trade talk every other day. I wish management would come out and either trade him or not trade him." – Kobe Bryant on the ongoing trade rumors surrounding teammate Pau Gasol.

Notes and tips

Detroit Red Wings starting goaltender Jimmy Howard (broken finger) will be back in the cage Tuesday against the Chicago Blackhawks. Howard owns a 2.03 goals against average with five shutouts this season. The Red Wings are set as +100 road underdogs.

The Florida Gators expect to have guard Mike Rosario back in the lineup Tuesday against Auburn after he missed three games with a hip pointer. Rosario, who averages 7.9 points per game, originally suffered the injury at practice and re-aggravated it Friday. He is still officially listed as questionable.

Carl Edwards was caught from behind in the final race of the season in 2011 to lose the Sprint Cup championship. He'll start 2012 as the driver to catch. Edwards won the pole for next weekend's season-opening Daytona 500, beating out teammate Greg Biffle during qualifying Sunday at Daytona International Speedway. A fast lap of 194.738 mph secured the pole for Edwards, who posted the fastest time in winning the pole since Jeff Gordon in 1999. Biffle turned a fast lap of 194.087 mph to join his Roush Fenway Racing teammate on the front row.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
02/21/2012 01:16 PM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six of the Toronto Blue Jays' top minor league prospects......

27) Dickie Joe Thon, SS-- Dad played in big leagues; passed up chance to go to Rice on scholarship. Hampered by blood disorder last year.

23) Michel Crouse, OF-- Youngest player on Canadian National team LY; his dad played RB in NFLand CFL.

22) David Cooper, 1B-- Hit .364 in AAA LY, then only .211 in 71 AB in the big leagues. Doesn't have enough power for a 1B.

9) Drew Hutchison, P-- 16-8, 2.52 in 42 minor league starts, 3-0, 1.20 in three AA starts last season.

2) Anthony Gose, OF-- Had 70 stolen bases in Eastern League LY.

1) Travis D'Arnaud, C-- Hit .311 with 21 HRs in pitcher-friendly AA Eastern League; could get to big leagues in 2013.


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Manny Ramirez signed a minor league deal with the A's; I was about to go puke when I heard this, then I heard A's are only in it for $500,000, so if he's washed up or doesn't try, then can cut him with not much of a loss. If he does well, then he's worth a lot more than $500,000.

12) It is February 21, the exhibition games start next week and baseball still doesn't know for sure how the playoffs are going to work, as far as whether or not there will be a one-game playoff between two Wild Cards in each league. Former used car salesman Selig wants this to happen, but no one else seems to think its practical to do this season.

11) College basketball officials are over-using replays, trying to get every call exactly right, as far as time left and stuff like that. Lot of the reviews are irrelevant; what did these guys do before replay?

Officials in Seton Hall-Cincinnati game Saturday called a technical foul on Bearcat Yancy Gates after watching the replay; it was ridiculous, and I'm rooting for Seton Hall to win. Over-officiating is becoming the norm.

10) Raul Ibanez hit 20 HRs LY, 15 in hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park; now he's in another hitter-friendly park in the Bronx. Ibanez is 7-23 with with two homers in his games in the new Bronx bandbox.

9) Giants claimed LY that Buster Posey wasn't blocking the plate when he got hurt in a collision; now they've ordered him not to block the plate anymore. San Francisco needs a healthy Posey to contend this season.

8) Former big league catcher Paul Loduca is a handicapper on TGV, which is old news that I had forgotten about until I saw him on air Monday. I'm told by somebody who plays the horses a lot that he isn't a very good handicapper; he does sound knowledgeable on TV.

7) Celtics' PG Rajan Rondo got suspended for two games for tossing ball at an official; he missed Monday's loss to Dallas, and won't play in their next game either, Wednesday at Oklahoma City. Tough games to miss.

6) I had forgotten about Greg Oden; the big guy had another operation on his knees, this time his third microfracture, and his career seems to be in serious doubt. He's played only 82 NBA games after missing half of his one year at Ohio State. Hope he saved the money he's made.

5) Chiefs signed free agent DB Stanford Routt, who played for Oakland LY and signed a $31.5M deal with the Raiders. He led the NFL LY with 17 penalties committed, but is said to be a good cover corner.

4) Something to think about next month: In last nine years, Michigan St. has never played in the finals of the Big Dozen tournament; their record in the tournament seminfinals is an unsightly 0-6. Hmmmmm........

3) Six times this season a Big East home team was favored by 6.5 points in a conference game; all six home favorites lost SU.

2) Not for nothing, but Steve Novak better be in the 3-point shooting contest on Saturday night; him, Morrow, Kopono, Redick, Nash????

1) Guess I'm surprised that spring training has started and neither Roy Oswalt or Johnny Damon has signed up with a team yet. Scouts seem to be concerned that Damon isn't working the strike zone as much, because he is more concerned with getting to 3,000 hits than he is with walks.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
02/21/2012 01:17 PM


Virginia at Virginia Tech
The Cavaliers look to build on their 5-0 ATS record in their last 5 games as a road favorite. Virginia is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-2). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 711-712: Xavier at Massachusetts (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Xavier 62.271; Massachusetts 65.312
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 4; 146
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 1; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-1); Under

Game 713-714: Clemson at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 61.201; Georgia Tech 59.803
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Clemson by 3 1/2; 120 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+3 1/2); Over

Game 715-716: Kansas State at Missouri (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 67.579; Missouri 75.805
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 8; 135
Vegas Line: Missouri by 9 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick Kansas State (+9 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Georgetown at Seton Hall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 69.458; Seton Hall 66.072
Dunkel Line: Georgetown by 3 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Georgetown by 1 1/2; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (-1 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Illinois at Ohio State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 58.780; Ohio State 77.720
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 19; 133
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 15 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-15 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: Michigan at Northwestern (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 70.529; Northwestern 69.748
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 1; 125
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 2 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+2 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: Illinois-Chicago at Butler (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 49.718; Butler 60.044
Dunkel Line: Butler by 10 1/2; 130
Vegas Line: Butler by 13; 126
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+13); Over

Game 725-726: Kent State at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 56.688; Miami (OH) 52.637
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 4; 127
Vegas Line: Kent State by 1 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-1 1/2); Under

Game 727-728: Auburn at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 58.527; Florida 74.245
Dunkel Line: Florida by 15 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: Florida by 17; 133
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+17); Over

Game 729-730: Evansville at Creighton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 56.871; Creighton 69.989
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 13; 141
Vegas Line: Creighton by 10 1/2; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Creighton (-10 1/2); Under

Game 731-732: Cleveland State at WI-Green Bay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 55.291; WI-Green Bay 51.944
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 3 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 1 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (-1 1/2); Under

Game 733-734: Loyola-Chicago at Valparaiso (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 49.558; Valparaiso 59.398
Dunkel Line: Valparaiso by 10; 122
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 12 1/2; 120 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+12 1/2); Over

Game 735-736: Miami (FL) at Maryland (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 66.599; Maryland 62.011
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 4 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 2; 139
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-2); Over

Game 737-738: North Carolina at NC State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 71.598; NC State 67.394
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 4; 146
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 6 1/2; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+6 1/2); Under

Game 739-740: Virginia at Virginia Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 65.931; Virginia Tech 62.199
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 3 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Virginia by 2; 114 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-2); Over

Game 741-742: Kentucky at Mississippi State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 74.213; Mississippi State 66.688
Dunkel Line: Kentucky by 7 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: Kentucky by 9 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+9 1/2); Under

Game 743-744: New Mexico at Colorado State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 70.918; Colorado State 66.664
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 4 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 6; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+6); Under

Game 745-746: Wofford at NC-Greensboro (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 52.479; NC-Greensboro 47.792
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 4 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Wofford by 1 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wofford (-1 1/2); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
02/21/2012 01:18 PM


Tuesday, February 21

Trend Report

7:00 PM
Georgetown is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Seton Hall is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
Seton Hall is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

7:00 PM
Illinois-Chicago is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Illinois-Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Butler is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Butler is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
Wofford is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wofford's last 6 games on the road
UNC Greensboro is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
Auburn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 6 games on the road
Florida is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
Florida is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games at home

7:00 PM
Illinois is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Illinois is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Ohio State is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games

7:00 PM
Xavier is 1-5-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Xavier is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Massachusetts is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 6 games

7:00 PM
Kent State is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Kent State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami (Ohio)
Miami (Ohio) is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Miami (Ohio) is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games

7:00 PM
Clemson is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Clemson's last 5 games on the road
Georgia Tech is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Georgia Tech is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games

7:00 PM
Kansas State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Missouri
Kansas State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Missouri
Missouri is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
Michigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Michigan is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Northwestern is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern's last 6 games

8:00 PM
Evansville is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Evansville's last 9 games on the road
Creighton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Creighton is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games

8:00 PM
Miami is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
Maryland is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games
Maryland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

8:00 PM
North Carolina is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
North Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
North Carolina State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
North Carolina State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games

8:00 PM
Cleveland State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Cleveland State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wisc-Green Bay
Wisc-Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Wisc-Green Bay is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games at home

8:05 PM
Loyola of Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Loyola of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
Valparaiso is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Valparaiso is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

9:00 PM
Virginia is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Virginia is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Virginia Tech is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games

9:00 PM
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Kentucky's last 12 games on the road
Mississippi State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Mississippi State is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games

10:00 PM
New Mexico is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
Colorado State is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado State's last 9 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
02/21/2012 01:19 PM


Tuesday, February 21

Game of the day: Kentucky at Mississippi State

Kentucky Wildcats at Mississippi State Bulldogs (9.5, 140)

THE STORY: No. 1 Kentucky is aware of the potential trap that awaits it when it visits Mississippi State. The Wildcats are trying to become the third team in 55 years to go undefeated in the Southeastern Conference, but have found the Bulldogs to be a difficult opponent. The two teams have split their last six games and the average margin of victory has been 4.9 points in the last seven meetings.

Both teams are known for their stiff defense; opponents are shooting only 36.2 percent against Kentucky and 42.9 against Miss State. But Kentucky, which has won 18 straight games, has the advantage on offense, averaging 77.8 points with five players in double figures, compared to Miss State’s 72.5 points per game.

THE LINE: Oddsmakers have Mississippi State set as a 9.5-point underdog with a 140-point total.

TV: 9 p.m. ET. ESPN

ABOUT KENTUCKY (26-1, 12-0 SEC): Hard to believe that all-conference forward Terrence Jones just picked up his first double-double of the season when he had 15 points and 11 rebounds against Ole Miss. Freshman Anthony Davis has elevated himself into discussion to become national player of the year, averaging 13.9 points, 9.7 rebounds and 4.9 blocks. Point guard Marquis Teague is averaging 8.7 assists over the last three games. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist has seen his offensive production drop off, but he’s had seven or more rebounds in six of his last seven games. Doron Lamb is averaging 3.25 3-pointers over the last four games.

ABOUT MISSISSIPPI STATE (19-8, 6-6 SEC): The Bulldogs have lost three straight and dropped out of the top 25 after an embarrassing 10-point loss at Auburn. Arnett Moultrie continues to be the Bulldogs most consistent player, averaging 16.5 points and an SEC-best 10.8 rebounds. Dee Bost will need a good showing against the Wildcats. He’s averaging 15.8 points and 5.0 assists and is now third in school history for 3-pointers and assists. Wendell Lewis started at forward for the first time since Jan. 7 and scored only three points, but had five rebounds in 29 minutes.


-The under is 10-1 in Kentucky's last 11 road games.
- Mississippi State is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight home games.
- Kentucky is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven.


1. Kentucky is 9-2 against Miss State when ranked No. 1.
2. Teague’s assist-turnover ratio of 2.1, better than the 1.3 mark held by John Wall in 2010 and Brandon Knight in 2011 at the same time.
3. Miss State is 9-0 when Moultrie scores at least 20 points.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
02/21/2012 01:20 PM


Tuesday, February 21

College funds: Tuesday's best NCAAB bets

Georgetown Hoyas at Seton Hall Pirates (1.5, 121.5)

Expect a display of physical basketball when No. 8 Georgetown travels to Seton Hall in the 94th meeting between the Big East rivals. Georgetown allows only 58.7 points and 38.4 percent from the field, while Seton Hall allows 63.2 points and 43.2 percent from the floor.

The Hoyas have won two straight and are tied for fourth place in the Big East; coach John Thompson’s team is trying to earn a two-round bye for finishing among the top four.

Hollis Thompson is coming off a double-double and is averaging 13.4 points and 5.5 rebounds; he had 14 points against the Pirates last season. He’s combined with Jason Clark (14.8 points, 4.2 rebounds) to provide an effective one-two offensive punch.

Seton Hall is trying to claw its way into the top eight and earn a first-round tournament bye; the Pirates are currently half a game behind West Virginia. Georgetown has dominated the recent series, winning six of the last seven meetings, including 80-75 a year ago.

Pick: Hoyas

North Carolina Tar Heels at North Carolina State Wolfpack (6.5, 150)

No. 7 North Carolina looks to keep pace with Duke and Florida State atop the ACC standings as the regular season draws to a close. The Tar Heels lead the nation in rebounding, averaging 46 boards per game and trail only Iona, scoring 82.8 points per game. UNC also ranks in the top 10 in assists and blocks.

The Tar Heels took care of business against Clemson over the weekend, maintaining their share of the conference lead. Harrison Barnes leads UNC and remains second in the ACC scoring race, averaging 18 points per game.

North Carolina State looks to avoid its third straight loss as they close out a three-game set against ACC co-leaders Duke, Florida State and North Carolina.

NC State boasts five players averaging double-figures and also leads the conference from the free throw line, shooting 73.9 percent. Scott Wood paces the Pack from the charity stripe, connecting on 91.9 percent - fourth-best in the nation and tops in the ACC.

Pick: Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
02/21/2012 01:22 PM

Short Sheet

Tuesday's Top College Basketball Trends

NEW MEXICO is 18-4 ATS as a favorite (vs Colorado State)

MICHIGAN is 11-1 ATS off 3 straight games w/ 11 or less TO's (vs Northwestern)

ILLINOIS is 0-9 ATS Away off BB games w/ 5 or less steals (vs Ohio State)

LOYOLA-IL is 1-11 ATS off BB road games (vs Valparaiso)

WI-GREEN BAY is 12-1 ATS revenging a loss where opp scored 75+ pts (vs Cleveland St)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
02/21/2012 01:25 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 21

#89 UMass lost last two games, with LaSalle loss their first home loss this season; Minutemen allowed 72+ points in four of last five games. Xavier won four of its last five games, with three of the four wins by 4 or less points; Musketeers are now 3-3 on A-14 road, losing at LaSalle-Dayton-Temple- they're 3-8 in their last 11 games against teams ranked in top 100. Atlantic 14 home teams are 8-6 vs spread when number is 2 or less points. Xavier is 0-3-2 vs spread as an A-14 road favorite.

Georgia Tech (+9) lost 64-62 at Clemson Jan 21, despite Tech's Rice Jr scoring 19 points in 26 minutes off bench, but Rice Jr is suspended for this game; Tech had 22 turnovers that nite (-9). ACC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 3-6 against the spread. Tech lost three games in row, by 9-9-1 point- they're 1-9 in last 10 games overall, 1-3 as a home dog. Clemson lost five of six ACC road games, with four of five losses by 4 or less points. Tigers covered their last two games as a favorite.

Missouri's first loss of season was 75-59 at Kansas State (-1.5) Jan 7, when Tigers shot 32.7% from floor and trailed 44-25 at half. Tigers won last seven games overall, are 6-1 as Big X home favorite, winning home games by 38-11-19-13-3-15-18 points. Big X single digit home favorites are 13-10 against the spread. K-State is 1-3 as road underdog, losing its conference road games by 18-9-2-11 points (3-4 SU). Wildcats are 3-4 in last seven games, with three of four losses by 6 or less points.

Georgetown won seven of last nine games, but is just 4-3 on road, losing last three road games vs top 100 teams. #47 Seton Hall is 5-2 at home in Big East, losing to Notre Dame/Louisville, winning its last two, against Pitt/St John's. Pirates won three of last four games overall, covering all four. Big East home teams are 15-17 against the spread if the number is 3 or less points. Seton Hall lost its last five games vs top 50 teams- their last five wins are against teams ranked #96 or lower.

Michigan won its last three games, allowing 52.7 ppg, with upset win over Ohio State in last game; Wolverines are just 2-4 on Big Dozen road, winning at Penn State and by hoop at Purdue. Northwestern (+7.5) lost 66-64 in OT at Michigan Jan 11, holding Wolverines to 33% for night, 7-30 from arc; Wildcats won last three at home by 10-19-11 points- they covered five of last six games overall. Big Dozen home favorites of 3 or less points are 2-6 against the spread.

Miami (+9.5) lost 71-67 at Kent, Jan 11; Flashes scoring last six points of game that Miami led by 4 at half. Red Hawks lost three of last four games, losing Bracket Buster game to Tennessee State Saturday, just as Kent did to Charleston. Miami is 3-3 at home in MAC, losing by 3-8-2 points. Kent had 7-game win streak snapped Saturday; they've won last three road games, by 16-7-4 points. MAC home underdogs of 5 or less points are 8-3 against the spread.

Creighton scored 88-81 points in winning last two games, after they had lost previous three games; Bluejays (-5.5) got upset 65-57 at Evansville two weeks ago. Purple Aces held Bluejays to 40.4% from floor, 4-22 on arc, while turning ball over only nine times (+7). MVC home favorites of 8+ points are 15-9 against the spread. Evansville is 7-0 against spread as an MVC underdog, 5-0 on road, losing five of its eight away games by 2-2-12-1-24 points. Creighton won tough game vs Long Beach Saturday.

Green Bay (+10) lost 78-68 at Cleveland State Jan 20, despite Vikings turning ball over 21 times (-8); UWGB won five of last seven games, is 6-1-1 vs spread as a Horizon home dog, 6-2 SU at home, losing only to Detroit by 7, Milwaukee by 6. Horizon home teams are 15-10 vs spread when number is 3 or less points. Cleveland State lost its last four games, scoring less than 50 points in three of the four; Vikings are 6-2 on road in conference play, losing only at Valparaiso/Milwaukee.

Maryland (+10) lost 90-86 in double OT at Miami Feb 1, in wild game where Hurricanes blew 16-point lead, had three players foul out, but it was Maryland coach Turgeon who was ejected for getting two technical fouls. Miami is 5-0-1 vs spread on ACC road, 3-3 SU with win at Duke; they're 4-3 as ACC favorites, 2-0 on road. ACC home teams are 6-10 vs spread if number is less than 5 points. Maryland is 4-2 in its ACC home games, losing only to Duke/North Carolina.

NC State (+13) lost 74-55 at North Carolina Jan 26, shooting 37% from floor in its 11th straight loss to Tar Heels. Wolfpack are just 3-3 in their ACC home games, despite being favored in all six games- they covered their other two games as an ACC dog, other than the loss in Chapel Hill. ACC home underdogs of 6+ points are 10-4 against the spread. Carolina won/covered its last three games since blowing late lead to Duke-- Heels are 4-1 on ACC road, with wins by 14-15-9-9 points (2-3 as AF).

Virginia Tech (+8) won 47-45 at Virginia Jan 22, as Cavaliers shot 33% from floor, 1-14 from arc; UVa outscored Hokies 14-4 from foul line; it wasn't enough. Virginia lost its last three road games, scoring average of 55-52-48 points. ACC home teams are 6-10 vs spread if number is less than 5 points. Hokies won their last three home games by total of four points- only one of their last five games overall was won by more than a basket. Virginia is 6-0 when it scores 60+, 1-5 when it doesn't.

Mississippi State is talented but erratic; they've lost last three games, by 2-2-10 points, and were favored in all three games, but they've covered five of six when an underdog this season, winning SU at Vandy, losing by hoop to Miss State, beating Arizona/Texas A&M on neutral floors. Kentucky is 12-0 in SEC, covering six of last seven games; they're 4-2 as an SEC road favorite, winning away games by 15-3-13-24-34-6 points. SEC home underdogs of 4+ points are 5-11 against the spread.

Colorado State (+11.5) got crushed 85-52 at New Mexico Jan 25, after Lobos had just lost to Aztecs/UNLV; now they face New Mexico after they've beaten those two teams and at home, where Rams are 5-0 so far in conference play. Home side is 8-2 vs spread in State's MWC games. MWC home underdogs are 8-6 against the spread. Rams shot 37% and turned ball over 20 times in first meeting, mkaing just 3-14 from the arc; they won Saturday with leading scorer Eikmeyer scoring only 4 points.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: