cnotes Posts:33074 Followers:38
02/16/2012 01:21 PM

Thursday’s betting tips: Sliding Blackhawks deny rumors

Who’s hot

NBA: Portland is 4-1 against the spread in its last five meetings with the L.A. Clippers.

NBA: The under is 9-4-1 in Indiana’s last 14 home games.

NHL: The New York Rangers are 18-6 in its last 24 home games.

NHL: The over is 23-10 in Tampa Bay’s last 33.

NCAAB: Michigan State has covered the number in six straight home games.

NCAAB: The over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings between Duke and NC State.

Who’s not

NBA: New Jersey is 1-8 against the spread in its last nine meetings with Indiana.

NBA: Chicago is 1-4 against the spread in its last five home games.

NHL: Chicago has lost nine straight overall and 11 consecutive road games.

NHL: Calgary is 6-14 in its last 20 games as an underdog.

NCAAB: Virginia Tech is 1-10 against the spread in its last 11.

NCAAB: Santa Clara is 3-10 against the number in its last 13 overall.

Key stat

18.2 – The N.C. State Wolfpack have dropped 13 consecutive games at Cameron Indoor Stadium against Duke, losing by an average of 18.2 points per game. The Wolfpack has won three of its last five, but has covered just once over that span. N.C. State is a 10-point underdog Thursday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Danny Granger, Indiana Pacers – Granger sprained his left ankle in Tuesday’s game and didn’t play in Wednesday’s contest against the Cavs. He’s considered questionable for Thursday’s game, when the Pacers finish off this stretch of three games in three nights. Granger leads the team averaging 18.0 points per game.

Game of the day

Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans (-6, 114)

Notable quotable

"We're not focused on goaltending. We're really not. I know there's a lot of talk about that, but internally, we have to focus on the guys we have, and turning it around from within." – Chicago Blackhawks GM Stan Bowman on the rumors that the team is looking for goaltending help ahead of the trade deadline. The Blackhawks have a collective 4.22 goals against average during their nine-game losing skid with Ray Emery and Corey Crawford splitting time between the pipes. The Hawks have yet to name a starting goalie for Thursday’s road game against the Rangers. Chicago is set as a +145 underdog.

Notes and tips

Portland Trail Blazers forward LaMarcus Aldridge (ankle) is considered questionable for Thursday's game against the L.A. Clippers. Aldridge, who landed on Trevor Booker's foot Tuesday, was helped off the floor and taken to the locker room less than two minutes into the first quarter. Initial X-rays on his ankle came back negative although he is expected to undergo additional tests. The second overall pick of the 2006 draft, Aldridge entered the game averaging 23.3 points and 8.6 rebounds for Portland.

Rumors are beginning to heat up with the NHL trade deadline fast approaching. The Columbus Blue Jackets are in talks with a number of teams about moving captain Rick Nash. Some of the major players are said to be the Toronto Maple Leafs, Vancouver Canucks, New York Rangers and Philadelphia Flyers. Meanwhile, Minnesota Wild defenseman Marek Zidlicky has reportedly waived his no-trade clause to join the New Jersey Devils. However, no deal was officially in place as of Wednesday evening.

Tennessee junior forward Kenny Hill was suspended from the team indefinitely. Volunteers coach Cuonzo Martin said the punishment was due to “conduct detrimental to the team.” Hill has started 16 of 25 games this season for Tennessee (13-12, 5-5 SEC), averaging 6.2 points and 4.5 rebounds. His suspension went into effect before Wednesday's game against Arkansas.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33074 Followers:38
02/16/2012 01:22 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Celtics lost at home to Detroit; they might have trouble making it to the playoffs, with New York playing so well, they figure to move into the #7 slot ahead of the C's. Boston has an older team.

-- Spurs are 5-0 on their current road trip, which will span 7,941 miles and nine games in all. There's a rodeo in their home arena.

-- SMU lost 47-28 at home to a mediocre UAB team; Mustangs made 8 of 43 from the floor. Games like that get coaches fired.

-- Former Tennessee QB Tee Martin, who led Vols to a national title the year after Peyton Manning graduated, is new WR coach at USC.

-- A producer for CNN won $1M in a scratch-off lottery game, three months after she won $100K in a similar game. Wonder if she's single?

-- Boise State's Derrick Marks went coast-to-coast and scored winning hoop with less than a second left- Boise nipped Colorado State 70-69.


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.........

13) I’m no economist, but how in the name of Trump did the Mets lose $120M in two years, with a brand-new stadium? Mayor Bloomberg should buy the team, rid NYC of the hideous Wilpons, then flip the team for a profit to Mark Cuban or some other billionaire. He’d be a freakin’ hero. The Wilpons are a Met fan's worst nightmare.

12) If Colts’ owner Jim Irsay came right out and said, “It makes no financial sense to give Peyton Manning his $28M bonus, considering we have no idea whether he can still play, so unless he opts to pass on this bonus, we have to release him” who would say he is wrong? It will be good business if they do this. Everyone knows that, not that everyone likes the idea of Manning finishing his career somewhere else, or retiring.

11) Ron Jaworski is out of the Monday Night Football booth, but has signed on for five more years at ESPN, in what sounds like a Merril Hoge-type role. Sounds like ESPN thinks they have the next John Madden in Jon Gruden, so they want to get him maximum exposure, and so a 3-man booth is no longer needed. Jaws is a good guy; was lucky enough to meet him once. Hope he’s at peace with this move.

10) 58-year old Dan McCarney, football coach at North Texas, suffered a stroke over the weekend; sounds like he is doing OK, but that’s awful young for something like that to happen. Feel better, coach.......

9) If you go see UL-Lafayette play basketball, you get your money’s worth; five of their last 12 games went to OT, with Ragin’ Cajuns winning four of those five games.

8) What do football coaches do in the offseason? They study football. With North Carolina/Clemson switching to spread offenses next year, Virginia Tech defensive guru Bud Foster is in Columbia, MO this week, learning from Mizzou coaches about defending the spread. Coaching is like handicapping; you can't ever stop learning.

7) Penn State football coach Bill O’Brien came fairly cheap, with a base salary of $950,000 and maximum incentives of another $200,000. For a program with Penn State’s revenues, that’s pocket change. O’Brien might be the lowest-paid coach in the Big Dozen.

6) There is a funny story out there this week about a little girl in Kansas who is in kindergarten who wouldn’t do her classwork because the teacher wanted her to color in a Kansas Jayhawk, and both the girl’s parents went to Kansas State, so the little girl refused. A parent/teacher conference ensued. College loyalties run very deep with some people.

5) Arizona Cardinals haven’t drafted an offensive lineman before the 5th round since 2007; maybe if they did that, their QBs wouldn’t get hit so much, and Larry Fitzgerald would have more time to get open. .

4) Murray State won fairly easily at SE Missouri tonight, their second straight win since losing to Tennessee State. Seems like losing might have relaxed them, taking lot of the scrutiny and pressure away. Racers also clinched the OVC regular season title, their third in a row.

3) Sacramento-Knicks game was so hideous tonight that the announcers had a fairly lengthy discussion on why elephants have long memories. I wish I was making that up, but it was more interesting than the game.

2) Best wishes to Tony Gwynn after he underwent a 14-hour operation to remove a cancerous tumor from his jaw. 14 hours is a long time to be under the knife. If you use smokeless tobacco, please stop.

1) Weird schedule for the Toronto Raptors, who in the last week, hosted the Celtics-Lakers-Knicks-Spurs, four of their most attractive home tilts. Raptors beat Boston, then lost three tough games in a row.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33074 Followers:38
02/16/2012 01:24 PM


Wisconsin at Michigan State
The Badgers look to take advantage of a Michigan State team that is 5-17-1 in its last 23 games as a favorite of 1 to 6 1/2 points. Wisconsin is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 707-708: Virginia Tech at Florida State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 58.930; Florida State 71.970
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 13; 133
Vegas Line: Florida State by 9; 126
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-9); Over

Game 709-710: Wisconsin at Michigan State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 70.349; Michigan State 73.865
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 2 1/2; 111
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 6 1/2; 114 1/2
Dunkel Pick Wisconsin (+6 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: UL-Lafayette at Denver (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Lafayette 52.407; Denver 63.926
Dunkel Line: Denver by 11 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Denver by 9 1/2; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-9 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Florida International at Arkansas-Little Rock (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida International 52.276; Arkansas-Little Rock 55.588
Dunkel Line: Arkansas-Little Rock by 3 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Arkansas-Little Rock by 5 1/2; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+5 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: UL-Monroe at North Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 42.943; North Texas 59.187
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 16; 134
Vegas Line: North Texas by 13 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-13 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Iowa at Penn State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 61.318; Penn State 62.559
Dunkel Line: Penn State by 1; 140
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+3); Over

Game 719-720: Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 54.979; Western Kentucky 51.281
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 3 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 1 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (-1 1/2); Under

Game 721-722: Troy at Arkansas State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 48.298; Arkansas State 51.392
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 3; 141
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 6; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+6); Over

Game 723-724: Portland at San Diego (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 48.734; San Diego 52.857
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 135
Vegas Line: San Diego by 6; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+6); Under

Game 725-726: Arizona at Washington State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 67.394; Washington State 62.323
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 5; 144
Vegas Line: Arizona by 2; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-2); Over

Game 727-728: Vanderbilt at Mississippi (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 68.737; Mississippi 63.554
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 5; 127
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 3 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (-3 1/2); Under

Game 729-730: North Carolina State at Duke (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina State 63.427; Duke 70.264
Dunkel Line: Duke by 7; 154
Vegas Line: Duke by 11; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina State (+11); Over

Game 731-732: Boston College at Maryland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 52.322; Maryland 63.293
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 11; 123
Vegas Line: Maryland by 9; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-9); Under

Game 733-734: West Virginia at Pittsburgh (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 64.966; Pittsburgh 65.598
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 142
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3; 137
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+3); Over

Game 735-736: Oregon State at Stanford (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 58.303; Stanford 64.105
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 6; 141
Vegas Line: Stanford by 4 1/2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-4 1/2); Under

Game 737-738: BYU at San Francisco (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 65.895; San Francisco 62.273
Dunkel Line: BYU by 3 1/2; 164
Vegas Line: BYU by 5 1/2; 159
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+5 1/2); Over

Game 739-740: Oregon at California (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 60.819; California 73.128
Dunkel Line: California by 12 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: California by 11; 140
Dunkel Pick: California (-11); Under

Game 741-742: Gonzaga at Santa Clara (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Gonzaga 65.915; Santa Clara 53.532
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 12 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 14; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+14); Over

Game 743-744: Arizona State at Washington (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 51.180; Washington 63.802
Dunkel Line: Washington by 12 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Washington by 15 1/2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+15 1/2); Over

Game 745-746: The Citadel at Western Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 40.548; Western Carolina 52.285
Dunkel Line: Western Carolina by 11 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Western Carolina by 9 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (-9 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33074 Followers:38
02/16/2012 01:25 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 16

Florida State (+4) won 63-59 at Virginia Tech Jan 10, turning ball over 19 times, but holding Hokies to 30.5% from field, 2-12 from arc. State's last three games were all decided by 5 or less points- they're 1-3 as ACC home favorite, winning home games by 33-14-14-3-5 points. Hokies are 1-3 as ACC underdog, 1-4 SU on road, losing away games by 3-2-4-16 points. ACC home favorites of 6+ points are 4-22-2 against the spread.

Michigan State (+6) won 63-60 in OT at Wisconsin Jan 3, Spartans had +11 edge on boards, held Badgers to 33% from floor, 5-22 from the arc- it was first road win in last 13 series games. Badgers lost last six visits to East Lansing, by 13-9-9-11-7-3 points. Big Dozen home favorites of 6 or less points are 9-13-1 against spread. Badgers won seven of last eight games, are 5-1 on Big Dozen road, losing by 18 at Michigan. State is 6-0 as Big Dozen home favorite, winning by 15-34-25-16-10-20 points.

Home teams won last 10 ULL-Denver games; Ragin Cajuns lost its last even visits here, by 7-12-2-19-4-16-13 points. Pioneers (-1) lost 72-71 in OT at UL-Lafayette Feb 2, outscored 22-14 on foul line. Pioneers are 3-2 as Sun Belt home favorite, winning by 17-13-14-15 points, losing to UALR. Five of Cajuns' last 12 went OT- they're 4-1 in those games, 4-2 SU on road- they won five of last six games overall. Sun Belt home faves of 7+ points are 7-14 against the spread.

Washington State (+9.5) lost 85-61 at Arizona Jan 26, shooting 34.6% for nite, while Wildcats made 15-26 behind arc. Coogs won three of four Pac-12 games in Pullman, with only loss to UCLA by 3- dogs are 4-1-1 vs spread in their conference home games. Arizona won last four games, is 5-3 as Pac-12 favorite; they're 4-2 on Pac-12 road, winning by 11-26-4-13 points, with losses at UCLA/Colorado. Pac-12 home underdogs of less than 5 points are 9-5 against the spread.

Vanderbilt won three in row, eight of last nine games vs Ole Miss, going 3-1 in last four visits here, winning by 12-15-4 points; Commodores lost four of last six SEC games, losing their last two road games, at Arkansas, Florida. Ole Miss is 4-1 at home in SEC, with only loss to Florida by 4. Rebels covered four of last five games as an underdog- they're 2-8 when playing teams ranked in top 100. SEC home underdogs of less than 5 points are 6-2 against the spread.

Road team is 8-2 vs spread in Duke's ACC games; Blue Devils are 1-4 as ACC home favorite, winning by 3-18-18 points, with losses to Miami, Florida State. Duke won nine of last ten games vs NC State, winning last five played here by 19-13-20-17-24 points. Wolfpack won its last three games; they're 4-1 on ACC road, 1-1 as road dogm with only loss by 19 at Chapel Hill. ACC double digit favorites are 5-17-1 vs spread, 4-12-1 at home. Tough part of State's schedule starts right here.

Boston College lost seven of last eight games, but they're 9-2 vs spread in conference play, 5-0 as road underdog, losing away games by 23-14-17-1-4 points. Maryland lost seven of last nine games with BC, losing both meetings by four points LY; Terps lost six of last eight games, are 1-0-1 as ACC favorite, 3-2 SU at home, with wins by 6-11-4 points and losses to Duke/North Carolina. ACC single digit home favorites are 3-15 against the spread.

Pittsburgh (+6.5) won 72-66 at West Virginia Jan 30, its fourth straight series win; Mountaineers lost their last six visits here, by 4-14-1-11-3-13 points. WVU lost five of last six games, with only win in OT against lowly Providence- they're 3-1 vs spread as an underdog. Big East home favorites of less than 6 points are 12-10 against the spread. Pitt lost last two games to drop to 4-9 in Big East; they won/covered last three home games, winning by 12-12-9 points.

Stanford (+3.5) won an epic 103-101, four-OT game in Corvallis Jan 7, making 13-28 from arc but only 16-28 on foul line, in game Beavers led by 7 at half. Oregon State lost three of last four games; they're 1-3 as a Pac-12 road dog, losing away games by 15-5-8-10-22 point. Cardinal lost five of last seven games; they're 4-2 as Pac-12 home fave, winning at home by 1-8-3-20-24 points. Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 10-16-1 against the spread.

San Francisco (+15.5) lost 81-56 at BYU Jan 7, shooting 33% from floor while Cougars made 12-19 from arc; game was 42-20 at half. WCC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 3-6 against the spread. USF covered 9 of 10 games since BYU loss; they won last four home games, but against four worst teams in WCC. Dons covered last three games as underdogs. BYU won last three games by 10-19-38 points; they're 2-2 as road fave in WCC games, winning away games by 8-19-13-19 points.

Cal Bears (-3) won 77-60 in Eugene Jan 8, making 6-14 from arc, while holding Ducks to 38.3% from floor; Bears are 4-3 as Pac-12 home fave, winning home games by 4-16-7-36-10-21 points, with loss to Arizona. Oregon covered seven of nine as Pac-12 underdog; they're 4-1 as dog on road, losing conference road games by 1-16 points (4-2 SU). Bears gave up an average of 53 ppg in winning last three games. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 9-5 against the spread.

Santa Clara is 0-12 in WCC, 0-5 vs spread at home, losing home games in WCC by 13-16-12-13-5 points- they're 3-5 as WCC underdog, 0-2 at home. Broncos (+18) lost 82-60 at Gonzaga Jan 7, after trailing by hoop at the half. Zags won last three games by 12-14-19 points after losing at BYU; they're 0-5 vs spread on WCC road, 0-3 as road favorite, winning away games by 4-12-12 points, losing at St Mary's/BYU. WCC double digit home favorites are 9-13-1 against the spread.

Washington (-7) won 60-54 at Arizona State Jan 26, despite going 1-8 from arc in game they trailed by hoop at half; erratic Huskies are 5-2 as Pac-12 home favorite, winning home games by 15-16-10-13-2-28 points. Sun Devils are 1-5 as Pac-12 road dog, losing away games by 17-17-15-21-24-21 points. Pac-12 home favorites of 15+ points are 4-2 against the spread. ASU scored average of just 49.3 ppg in last four games. Huskies best not be looking ahead to Saturday's rematch with Arizona.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33074 Followers:38
02/16/2012 01:26 PM


Thursday, February 16

Game of the day: Wisconsin at Michigan State

Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans (-6, 110)

THE STORY: When No. 17 Wisconsin and No. 8 Michigan State last met on Jan. 3, it produced one of the most controversial conclusions to a game this season. Considering the level both teams are playing at since, another dramatic ending could be in store.

The Badgers - who lost to the Spartans last month when Ryan Evans’ overtime 3-pointer was disallowed when officials discovered the stadium clock was two-tenths of a second behind the game clock, which had expired – have rebounded to go 7-2 since that game.

Michigan State is 15-0 at home this season and flying high after snapping No. 6 Ohio State’s 39-game home winning streak on Saturday.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT WISCONSIN (19-6, 8-4 Big Ten, 13-9 ATS): The Badgers’ top-scoring defense (50.3 points per game), along with their deliberate offensive style and strong foul shooting, has allowed them to go 19-0 in games when leading or tied with five minutes remaining and 5-1 in road conference games.

Wisconsin also commits just 8.8 turnovers per game – tied for the lowest mark in the nation. The Badgers lead the country in 3-point field goal defense (26.7 percent) and are second in field goal percentage defense (36.8).

Since coach Bo Ryan took over prior to the 2001-02 season, the team is 25-2 with six days of rest in between games, including 11 straight victories.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (20-5, 9-3 Big Ten, 15-7 ATS): The Spartans are holding opponents to 37.4 percent shooting from the field - the lowest total in the Tom Izzo era – and enjoy the third-best rebounding margin in the country (plus 10.2).

Forward Draymond Green has led the team in rebounding in 20 of their 25 games, scoring in 11 and assists in seven.

While Wisconsin sets the standard in defending the 3-pointer for the season, Michigan State has defended it better than the Badgers in Big Ten play, allowing opponents to shoot 27.9 percent behind the arc.


* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Michigan St.
* Home team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
* Badgers are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Michigan St.


1. The Spartans hold a 70-60 advantage in this series and have not lost to the Badgers in East Lansing since 2004.

2. In his last four meetings against Michigan State, Wisconsin guard Jordan Taylor has averaged 24.3 points, 4.0 rebounds and 4.3 assists, including a season-high 28 points in the Jan. 3 contest.

3. Green needs two blocked shots and one steal to move into sole possession of second and fifth, respectively, on the Spartans’ all-time lists in each category.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33074 Followers:38
02/16/2012 01:27 PM


Thursday, February 16

College funds: Thursday's best NCAAB bets

North Carolina State Wolfpack at Duke Blue Devils (-10, 152)

Duke and North Carolina State rank first and second, respectively, in the ACC in field goal percentage and 3-point percentage. That offense has led the fourth-ranked Blue Devils into a fight for first place in the conference, while the Wolfpack lurks one game behind.

In order to close that gap, North Carolina State is going to have to snap a 13-game losing streak at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Duke has dominated the series in recent years, taking five of the last six straight up, the the clubs have split those games 3-3 against the spread.

The Blue Devils are coming off one of their better weeks of the season and may have found a stronger inside game to go along with its perimeter strength. Miles and Mason Plumlee each recorded a double-double in Saturday’s 73-55 victory over Maryland, with Miles’ 22 rebounds marking the highest total in coach Mike Krzyzewski’s 37-year career.

Combined with the outside quartet of Austin Rivers, Seth Curry, Andre Dawkins and Ryan Kelly, Duke is becoming more balanced offensively as the season wears on.

Pick: Over

Boston College Eagles at Maryland Terrapins (-9, N/A)

Maryland still has its eyes on reaching the NCAA Tournament, so the Terrapins can’t afford to slip up against one of the ACC’s bottom feeders.

Maryland has lost three of four outright, but is 11-3 at home and 4-1 against the spread in its last five overall. The Terps need to build some momentum for a schedule that features four teams with RPI rankings in the top 35 among the final six games.

Boston College appeared ready to turn the corner with a win over nationally ranked Florida State, but let Virginia Tech off the hook in overtime. The Eagles have lost seven of their last eight and haven’t won an ACC road game.

Still, they have covered the number in four straight.

The Eagles start four freshmen and transfer guard Matt Humphrey, who leads the team with 10.4 points per game. Boston College lives and dies by the 3-pointer as no team in the ACC has tried more.

The Eagles have made 34.1 percent from beyond the arc and the team’s goal is to make 10 treys per game. Freshman Ryan Anderson (9.9 points, 6.8 rebounds) is starting to develop his inside-outside game and Dennis Clifford, a 7-foot center who averages 9.2 points, has shown some nice moves around the basket.

Pick: Eagles

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33074 Followers:38
02/16/2012 01:29 PM

Short Sheet

Thursday's Top College Basketball Trends

NORTH TEXAS is 11-1 ATS vs. conference opponents (vs LA Monroe)

ARK LITTLE ROCK is 12-1 ATS off BB games w/ 12 or less assists (vs Fla International)

BOSTON COLLEGE is 13-1 ATS Away playing only 2nd game in 5 days (vs. Maryland)

MICHIGAN ST is 34-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 pts (vs Wisconsin)

ARIZONA ST is 0-8 ATS off BB home games (vs Washington)

LA LAFAYETTE is 14-3 ATS off a home win (vs Denver)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33074 Followers:38
02/16/2012 01:31 PM


LA Clippers at Portland
The Clippers look to build on their 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games when playing with 0 days of rest. LA is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Clippers favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-1). Here are all of today's picks


Game 701-702: New Jersey at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 108.819; Indiana 120.686
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 12; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 9 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-9 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Boston at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 117.768; Chicago 124.277
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 8; 174
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+8); Over

Game 705-706: LA Clippers at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 121.308; Portland 117.373
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 4; 189
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 1; 194
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-1); Under

Long Sheet

Thursday, February 16


NEW JERSEY (8 - 22) at INDIANA (17 - 12) - 2/16/2012, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 8-1 against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


BOSTON (15 - 13) at CHICAGO (24 - 7) - 2/16/2012, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


LA CLIPPERS (18 - 9) at PORTLAND (16 - 14) - 2/16/2012, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 7-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 16

Hot Teams
-- Bulls won six of last seven games, covered one of last five at home.
-- Clippers won five of their last seven games.

Cold Teams
-- Nets lost their last seven games (0-6 vs spread in last six). Pacers lost six of their last seven games.
-- Celtics lost three of last four games, are 6-2 vs spread as a dog.
-- Blazers lost last three home games, allowing 112.7 ppg.

Wear and Tear
-- Nets: 2nd nite in row after three off. Pacers: 3rd nite in a row.
-- Celtics: 2nd nite in row after two off. Bulls: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Clippers: 5th game/7 nites. Trailblazers: 3rd nite in row, 5th/7 nites.

-- Seven of last nine New Jersey games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Chicago games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Portland games went over the total.


Thursday, February 16

Trend Report

7:00 PM
New Jersey is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
New Jersey is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Jersey

8:00 PM
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Chicago is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Chicago is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

10:30 PM
LA Clippers are 9-3 SU in their last 12 games
LA Clippers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Portland is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home



Thursday, February 16

Scouting the schedule: Hot NBA betting trends

With the NBA nearing the midway point of its 66-game condensed schedule this campaign, let’s take a quick peak at what’s working and what isn’t in the league this season.

All results are against the spread (ATS) in games played through Feb. 14 unless noted otherwise.

Disparity Rules

One major result of the crammed schedule has been an abundance of blowout games.

Last year during the NBA regular season a total of 63 games were decided by 20 or more points. This season we’ve witnessed 72 games decided by 20 or more points – and we’re not even at the half-way point yet.

Furthermore, five teams last season failed to score 70 points in a contest. We’ve seen 13 teams fail to hit the 70-point plateau this season.

FYI: favorites of more than six points are 11-0 SU and 10-1 ATS in games after failing to score 80 points, while dogs of 12 or more points are 0-6 SU and ATS.

Trips To Win

One of the residual effects of the condensed schedule was forcing each team in the league to play one set of three games in three days.

Teams in this role have responded with aplomb thus far, going 11-9 Su and 12-8 ATS in the final leg of the marathon string.

Better yet, home teams in this role are 10-3 SU and ATS, including 6-0 SU and ATS in same conference clashes and 4-1 SU and ATS as dogs.

Twice Is Enough

Teams off back-to-back victories have had a difficult time rewarding their supporters as evidenced by a dismal 92-116-1 ATS overall mark this season.

Put them at home against an opponent off a loss and they dip to 18-41 ATS, and even worse 6-20 ATS when hosting a foe off back-to-back losses.

Plenty Of Zzz’s

It’s not often teams enjoy the luxury of three or more days of rest in this shortened season.

In fact, only 12 squads to date have been enjoyed the benefits of extended time off. These well-rest clubs have gone 8-4 ATS this season, including 6-1 ATS away and 3-0 ATS as underdogs.

Mad As Hell

NBA teams taking to the road after having been upset as a favorite in their previous game have been moneymakers, going 45-27 ATS this season.

Put them up against an opponent off back-to-back wins and they zoom to 19-5 ATS.

Make A Note

Keep an eye on these five teams to see where to go as the season wears on:

• Charlotte: 0-7 ATS with revenge versus a foe off a loss

• Denver: 7-0 ATS off win versus a foe off a loss

• Los Angeles Clippers: 6-0 ATS off a SU and ATS loss versus a foe off a loss

• Milwaukee: 0-6 ATS as a dog with no rest and with revenge

• Philadelphia: 6-0 ATS off a loss of less than 10 points



Thursday, February 16

Pick 'n' roll: Thursday's best NBA bets

Editor's note: With injuries littering Thursday's three-game slate, oddsmakers have yet to post lines for these matchups. Picks should be considered early leans.

Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls (-8, 178)

The Chicago Bulls are expected to be without Derrick Rose for a fourth straight game Thursday, but so far at least, his teammates are sticking together in the MVP’s absence.

Chicago came away with a 121-115 win over the Sacramento Kings Tuesday, but couldn’t cash in as an 11-point favorite even though the Bulls had a 19-point lead in the fourth quarter.

“Missing Derrick, even though we’re winning games, it’s huge,” Luol Deng told reporters after scoring 23 points and dishing a career-high 11 assists. “He makes the game so much easier. When he’s not there, you’ve got to work extra.”

Bulls supports know all about it. They have watched their club go 1-2 against the number with Rose on the shelf and it doesn’t look like the superstar is about to return to the club anytime soon as he deals with back spasms.

Boston will likely be dealing with some injury concerns as well with Kevin Garnett banged up, but after the Celtics were pumped by Detroit Wednesday night, we’re looking at the home team here.

Pick: Bulls

New Jersey Nets at Indiana Pacers (-9.5, 191)

The Indiana Pacers hoped Danny Granger would be able to play Wednesday against Cleveland. He took the **** warmup but sat out with a sprained ankle and Pacers missed him in a big way.

Indiana was held to just 38 points in the first half and shot only 36.8 percent from the floor as Cleveland ran away with a 98-87 victory when all was said and done.

The Pacers have now dropped seven straight against the number and you have to figure Granger, who leads the team scoring 18 points per game, will at least give it a go Thursday.

Meanwhile, New Jersey has lost eight in a row after Wednesday’s loss at home to Memphis. Outside of Deron Williams, there just isn’t too much to get excited about with this Nets team.

Pick: Pacers

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33074 Followers:38
02/16/2012 01:32 PM

Short Sheet

Thursday, February 16

NEW JERSEY: 11-3 Over off BB losses
INDIANA: 9-21 ATS playing on back to back days

BOSTON: 8-18 ATS playing on back to back days
CHICAGO: 9-1 Under at home if total is 179.5 or less

LA CLIPPERS: 8-0 ATS Away after allowing 85 pts or less
PORTLAND: 0-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33074 Followers:38
02/16/2012 01:33 PM

Short Sheet

Thursday, February 16

CHICAGO: 0-6 SU in February
NY RANGERS: 20-5 SU off road game

BUFFALO: 4-11 SU off BB home games
PHILADELPHIA: 9-0 SU off 1 goal loss

SAN JOSE: 28-10 SU off road win
TAMPA BAY: 7-16 SU off loss by 2+ goals

WINNIPEG: 14-5 SU after scoring 1 goal or less
MINNESOTA: 8-19 SU vs. non-conference

NY ISLANDERS: 8-4 SU in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders
ST LOUIS: 5-13 SU after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight games

CALGARY: 1-7 SU after allowing 2 goals or less in 3 straight games
DALLAS: 99-58 SU off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more

PHOENIX: 64-48 SU off a close road loss by 1 goal
LOS ANGELES: 11-14 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: