cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
02/15/2012 05:05 PM

No. 8 UNC visits Miami Wednesday night



Tip-off: Wednesday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: North Carolina -5, Total: 146

No. 8 North Carolina will look to remain with just two conference losses as it heads to the BankUnited Center to take on Miami as road favorites.

North Carolina has beaten Miami nine straight times (6-3 ATS) by an average of 13.0 PPG. When these teams met Jan. 10, the Tar Heels outrebounded the 'Canes 45-29 and won by 17 points despite shooting 2-for-16 from three-point range and having leading scorer Harrison Barnes (17.5 PPG) tally just six points on 2-of-12 FG. But Miami has shown it can beat good teams, beating Duke in Durham earlier this month, and UNC is just 2-4 ATS on the road this year. Can the Tar Heels pull away and beat the Hurricanes comfortably on Wednesday night? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week.

Although Tyler Zeller (16.0 PPG, 9.6 RPG) has been the main offensive force for the Tar Heels as of late (23.3 PPG in past three games), Harrison Barnes (17.5 PPG) is their leading scorer on the season. He is coming off a weak performance against Virginia in which he shot just 4-of-16 from the field, but in the game before that, he torched Duke for 25 points on a bum ankle, 19 of which came in the second half. John Henson (14.0 PPG, 10.3 RPG) joins Zeller to form arguably the nation’s best frontcourt as the reigning ACC defensive player of the year. None of this offense would flow without Kendall Marshall (9.6 APG). Although not a dynamic scorer, at 6-foot-4 he is a physical point guard who is second in the country in passing. Look for him to push the ball for the highest-scoring team in the land (83.5 PPG). This FoxSheets trend also likes the Tar Heels to win and cover on Wednesday.

Play Against - Home teams as an underdog or pick (MIAMI) - off a cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season. (64-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (66%, +27.7 units. Rating = 2*).

The ‘Canes peaked three games ago with an impressive road win at Duke and would have really made a name for themselves if they had upset the Seminoles on their home floor, where they fell by five. Reggie Johnson (11.4 PPG, 6.9 RPG) was held to just four points in that game, and he will have to bounce back in order to keep Miami competitive in this one. He has proven he can handle top bigs, however, notching a season-high 27 points in the win over Duke. Kenny Kadji (12.6 PPG, 5.7 RPG) joins him as the more athletic part of the frontcourt, with the ability to stretch defenses with his shooting. In the team’s last three games, he has made a total of six three-pointers. Durand Scott (12.6 PPG) and Malcolm Grant (12.1 PPG) are also top scorers for the ‘Canes who will need strong performances from everybody to keep up with a team as deep as the Tar Heels. This FoxSheets trend backs the ‘Canes:

MIAMI is 17-4 ATS (81.0%, +12.6 Units) after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MIAMI 73.4, OPPONENT 64.0 - (Rating = 3*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
02/15/2012 05:07 PM

No. 3 Missouri seeks payback for OK State



Tip-off: Wednesday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Missouri -15½, Total: 142½

Oklahoma State looks to get back to the .500 mark, but it won’t be easy taking on No. 3 Missouri on the road.

However, the Cowboys are one of two teams that have actually beaten the Tigers this season, winning 79-72 on Jan. 25 in Stillwater. Also, the Cowboys have been a pesky road team this season, going 5-2 ATS. Mizzou Arena is one of the toughest places to play in all of college basketball, but OSU has lost by more than eight points just once in its past nine trips to Columbia. The Cowboys are also a strong wager against Big 12 foes this season, posting a 7-4-1 ATS mark, which is the same ATS record the Tigers have in conference play. The pick here is OKLAHOMA STATE to keep the final margin within a dozen points.

This rare four-star FoxSheets coaching trend also likes the Cowboys to keep the score tight.

Travis Ford is 14-2 ATS (87.5%, +11.8 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game as the coach of OKLAHOMA STATE. The average score was OKLAHOMA STATE 75.1, OPPONENT 68.8 - (Rating = 4*).

Oklahoma State is working on a four-game ATS unbeaten streak (3-0-1 ATS), but the school is coming off a 13-point loss at Kansas on Saturday. The Cowboys couldn’t find the ocean in that defeat, connecting on just 32.7% FG. It was quite a different story last month, as they torched the Tigers by making 60% of their shots, including 67% in front of the arc. Freshman F/G Le’Bryan Nash (13.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG) scored a career-high 27 points in that matchup, while fellow freshman teammate G Brian Williams (8.1 PPG) reached his own career high with 22 points. The defensive star that day was another freshman, F Michael Cobbins, who had 10 rebounds, four blocks and four steals. Senior SG Keiton Page, who leads OSU in points (14.4 PPG) and assists (2.3 APG), had 12 points and five assists against the Tigers, but he has gone cold since that game, shooting just 30% FG and 27% threes.

Missouri ranks seventh in the nation in points (80.2 PPG) and third in FG Pct. (50.0%), but opponents have succeeded in slowing down the Tigers recently. In the past five games, Mizzou’s scoring has dipped to 69.4 PPG, despite a strong 48.8% shooting clip. Missouri has four players averaging 12+ PPG this season, led by senior G Marcus Denmon (18.0 PPG). Denmon scored 17 points in the loss in Stillwater, but he struggled with his shot, going 4-of-16 that night. He has certainly found his stroke lately though, pumping in 23.3 PPG on a blistering 57% FG (14-of-26 threes) in his past three contests. Senior F Ricardo Ratliffe (14.0 PPG) continues to lead the nation with an insane 73.7% shooting clip, and he burned the Cowboys for 25 points and 12 rebounds in last month’s upset loss in Stillwater. The other big scorers for the Tigers are both excellent three-point shooters. Senior G Kim English (14.0 PPG) makes a whopping 47% from behind the arc while junior G Michael Dixon (12.4 PPG) makes a solid 36% of his threes.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
02/15/2012 05:08 PM

Red-hot Canadiens host Bruins Wednesday

BOSTON BRUINS (34-18-2, 70 points)

at MONTREAL CANADIENS (23-25-9, 55 points)

Puck drops: Wednesday, 7:35 p.m. EDT
Line: Boston -120, Montreal +100, Total: 5.5

The Bruins open a season-long, six-game road trip on Wednesday when they travel to Montreal to face their arch rival for the sixth and final time of the season.

After dropping the first two games of this series in October during the Stanley Cup hangover period, the Bruins rattled off three straight wins over the Canadiens, limiting Montreal to just three goals combined. The B’s fell further back in the Eastern Conference standings on Tuesday after a deflating 3-0 loss on home ice to the Rangers, who now lead Boston by nine points for first place in the East. Despite leading the conference in goals (184), the Bruins have mustered just nine tallies in their past six games—part of a 2-4-0 stretch that includes three shutouts. Backup G Tuukka Rask (11-7-2, 2.01 GAA, .932 SV Pct.) should get the start for Boston after Tim Thomas played on Tuesday. Rask is winless in his past four starts and dropped his only appearance against the Habs this year, 4-2 in Montreal on Oct. 29. The Canadiens trail Toronto by seven points for the eight spot in the East, thanks to a hot 4-1-0 stretch. Goaltender Carey Price (21-20-8, 2.35 GAA, .917 SV Pct.) posted two shutouts during the four-game winning streak before losing 5-3 to the Hurricanes on Monday. With the lines at just -120, it may be enticing to take the Bruins in this spot, but the Habs are playing better hockey right now and will play like the more desperate team. With Rask’s recent troubles and Boston playing the second of back-to-back games, take MONTREAL to grind out the win as the home underdog.

This rare four-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Canadiens:

MONTREAL is 12-5 ATS (70.6%, +19.0 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The average score was MONTREAL 3.5, OPPONENT 2.8 - (Rating = 4*).

Despite the Bruins’ mini-slump, they still hold a firm grip over first place in the Northeast Division—leading the Senators by four points with five games in hand. Boston looked unstoppable during an unbelievable 21-3-1 stretch during the months of November and December, but are a less-than-stellar 10-8-1 since that point.

The Bruins’ offense is incredibly balanced, with eight different skaters at 30+ points, led by centers Patrice Bergeron (16 G, 31 A) and 19-year-old Tyler Seguin (20 G, 24 A). Boston is still without RW Nathan Horton (17 G, 15 A), who will miss his eighth consecutive game with a concussion—an injury that has certainly contributed to the Bruins’ recent scoring slump.

On the season, the Canadiens are an average offensive team—scoring just 2.6 goals per game (15th in NHL)—but netted 15 tallies during their recent four-game winning streak. The streak matched Montreal’s longest of the season from late October and early November.

LW Max Pacioretty (23 G, 20 A) leads the Habs in points, and has five goals and an assist in his past five games—including a hat trick in a 4-2 win over the Islanders last week. C Tomas Plekanec (12 G, 28 A) is just as hot—scoring two goals and four assists in his past five contests. Montreal relies heavily on the offensive contributions of these two top-line players to win games, which will ultimately hurt them as they make a push for the playoffs.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
02/15/2012 05:10 PM

Wednesday’s betting tips: UConn stars questionable

Who’s hot

NBA: Cleveland is 13-6-1 against the spread in its last 20 games against Indiana.

NBA: Denver is 21-6 against the spread in its last 27 road games.

NHL: Boston has won seven of its last 10 meetings with Montreal.

NHL: Toronto is 17-8 in its last 26 games vs. Edmonton.

NCAAB: Indiana is 8-2 against the spread in its last 10 home games.

NCAAB: Rutgers is 9-4-1 against the spread in its last 14 road games.

Who’s not

NBA: Charlotte is 3-9 against the spread in its last 12 overall.

NBA: Philadelphia is 2-9 against the spread in its last 11 meetings with Orlando.

NHL: Colorado is 3-10 in its last 13 games on three or more days rest.

NHL: Ottawa is 1-9 in its last 10 overall.

NCAAB: The under is 7-19 in Villanova’s last 26.

NCAAB: Georgia Tech is 6-14-1 against the spread in its last 21 road games.

Key stat

8.8 - Despite committing five turnovers or fewer in four straight games, the Boilermakers are just 2-2 straight up over that span. However, they’re also 3-1 against the number in those contests. The team has 13 miscues or fewer in all but one game and is tied with Wisconsin for the lowest turnover rate in the country (8.8 per game). Purdue is set as a 3-point underdog at Illinois.

Injuries that shouldn’t be overlooked

Jeremy Lamb and Andre Drummond, Connecticut Huskies – Both Lamb (toe) and Drummond (ankle) were able to take part in Tuesday’s practice, though Huskies beat writer David Borges tweeted that “it was a struggle for both (especially Lamb).” Drummond is averaging 9.9 points and 7.5 rebounds per game while Lamb leads the team putting up 17.2 points per contest. UConn hosts DePaul Wednesday.

Game of the day

New Mexico Lobos at San Diego State Aztecs (Pick ‘em, 127.5)

Notable quotable

"I do want the ball more in the fourth quarter. That's one thing that I want for myself, so I can become the guy who finishes games for my team. I want to be that guy whose team wants him to close games out for them. Coach just needs to have confidence in me." – Orlando Magic center Dwight Howard told Fox Sports. The Magic are set as 2.5-point favorites against Philadelphia.

Notes and tips

Cleveland Cavaliers rookie guard Kyrie Irving practiced in full on Tuesday and seems poised to return for Wednesday's tilt versus the Indiana Pacers. The top overall pick of the draft, Irving has been sidelined for three games with a concussion. The Cavaliers are awaiting word from the NBA if Irving can return. League protocol on head injuries demands as much. Irving suffered the injury after hitting the knee of Miami guard Dwyane Wade. The 19-year-old Irving averaging 18.0 points and 5.1 assists this season.

Toronto Maple Leafs forward Phil Kessel is the easiest All-Star caliber player to intimidate in the NHL, according to an anonymous poll conducted by Sports Illustrated. The poll revealed that 15 percent of Kessel's peers think he's the easiest to intimidate in the league. While Toronto has lost three straight games, Kessel leads the team with 30 goals and 60 points heading into Wednesday’s game against Edmonton.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
02/15/2012 05:12 PM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Jeremy Lin nailed a trey with 0:00.5 left, giving the Knicks a 90-87 win at Toronto; New York ended the game on a 13-1 run. Lin had 27 points, 11 assists and eight turnovers.

-- George Mason hit three 3's in the last 0:30, the last one by Sherrod Wright at the buzzer, as Mason stunned VCU, 62-61; excellent game.

-- TCU was down 18 to UNLV with 14:57 left, but stormed back to win 102-97 in OT, a damaging loss for the Rebels' seeding next month.

-- LSU's Anthony Hickey scored on an 8-foot floater with 0:01.4 left, as Bayou Bengals came back from 17 down to beat Miss State 69-67.

-- Red Wings beat Dallas 3-1; they've won 21 in a row at home.

-- Miami crushed the Pacers 105-90, even though they were playing for third night in row. Indiana has now lost five of last six games.


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Trying to esplain the Linsanity........

13) Jeremy Lin has made New Yorkers forget about the Super Bowl less than two weeks after it happened; MSG stock was selling at $32.32 earlier this week, its 52-week high, despite the company losing $10M a month because of a dispute with Time Warner Cable. Sales on the Knicks’ online store are up 3,000% over this time last month; the most amazing thing about that is that they had any traffic at all at this time last month.

12) The MSG-Time Warner squabble over rights fee is a classic battle of greedy bastards; they both make a freakin’ fortune, which is why neither one will give in. You don’t get filthy rich without rippin’ people off, which is what cable/satellite TV is all about.

11) Supposedly young Lin is already booked up for All-Star weekend at lot of big bucks events, as his agent aims to strike while the iron is hot. Right now, that iron is very, very hot, and getting hotter.

10) Lin is on the cover of Sports Illustrated this week, the first Knick on SI’s cover since Marcus Camby in 1999.

9) Whether Floyd Mayweather likes it or not, one of the best things about Lin is that he seems like a nice kid, a normal person, someone who will never be associated with something like this………

8)…It is estimated that Allen Iverson earned $154M in his NBA career, that’s $154 MILLION, but now he is close to broke, as he couldn’t pay $860,000 he owed to a jeweler. How does one person blow $154M so quickly? Guess part of the answer is by running up million dollar tabs at a jeweler, but this is a damn shame. Where was his agent during all this?

7) NBC Sports Channel, the old Versus channel, has signed up the CAA to show a lot of its basketball games starting next year. Always wondered why ESPN never had much to do with the CAA. Good move by NBC.

6) University of North Dakota’s sports teams are the Figthing Sioux, but Sioux City is actually in South Dakota.

5) Tangible benefit for Butler making last two Final Fours; applications to the school are up 42% this spring. You can’t buy the kind of advertising having a good basketball team brings.

4) I’d like to thank the garbagemen who decided to start their Monday work on my street at 6:32am; nothing like the sound of hydraulic lifts 50 feet from your head when you’re trying to sleep. Next Monday I have off; maybe you could start a little earlier?

3) Good news for this summer; Royals have a new TV broadcast team; Steve Physioc/Rex Hudler, who used to work together with the Angels. They’re a good team, fun to listen to. Too bad I don’t have any Royals on my fantasy team.

2) The Beer Institute, wherever that is, reports that total sales of beer were up 2% last year. If you graduate from the Beer Institute, does that mean you have a good head on your shoulders?

1) If you’re a professional athlete or an entertainer making millions, the most important word to learn in the English ****uage is “No”, whether your old friends disown you or not. If you don’t say no to an awful lot of parasites, those people will suck everything out of you until you wind up broke and bitter.

If you don’t believe me, ask Iverson. Ask Michael Vick. Or Mark Brunell. Or dozens of other guys who squandered a fortune. There is no such thing as a bottomless pit of money, a lesson often learned the hard way.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
02/15/2012 05:14 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 15

Indiana won five of six Big Dozen home games; they're 3-2 as favorite at home, winning last three home games by 19-14-13 points. Hoosiers are shooting 43.6% behind arc, 2nd in country. Northwestern won three of last four games; they're 2-4 as conference road underdog, losing games on foreign soil by 33-2-20-23-10 points, with lone win at Illinois. Indiana's last four wins are all by 13+ points. Big Dozen home favorites of 7+ points are 16-10 against the spread.

Ohio (+3.5) lost 67-57 at Bowling Green in its MAC opener Jan 7, with Bobcats shooting 38% from floor, 4-20 from arc. Ohio lost last couple games, covered one of last six; they're 3-3 as MAC home favorite, with home wins by 8-22-4-5-4-26 points. Bowling Green won its last four games, allowing average of 51.3 ppg; they're 6-0 vs spread as MAC dog, 4-0 on road. MAC home favorites of less than 9 points are 13-10 against the spread. Bowling Green's MAC losses are by 1-5-2-5 points.

Miami (+17) lost 73-56 at North Carolina Jan 10; Tar Heels grabbed 15 offensive in brickfest, with teams combined 5-32 behind arc. Miami won five of last six games, covering last three; they're 3-0-1 vs spread as dog in ACC, with only one of four league losses by more than 5 points- they are 3-1 at home in ACC, with only loss by 5 to NC State. Tar Heels are 1-3 as ACC road favorite, with wins by 14-15-9 and loss at Florida St. ACC home underdogs of 6 or less points are 2-5 against the spread.

South Florida (+7.5) upset Villanova 74-57 in Philly Jan 5, one of first signs Wildcats' broken season wasn't getting fixed; Bulls had 36-18 edge on boards, held Villanova to 38% from floor, 4-20 from arc. USF won its last five home games, by 2-1-15-3-12 points; they're 6-2 in its last eight games overall, 2-2 as Big East favorite, 1-2 at home. Villanova lost three of last four games; they're 2-5 as Big East dog, 2-3 on road. Big East home favorites of less than 7 points are 12-15 against the spread.

Saint Louis won four in row, seven of last eight games; they're 3-2 as a Atlantic 14 home favorite, winning home games by 22-27-24-8 points, with loss to Temple. Three of its eight A-14 wins are by 15+ points. Richmond lost six of last eight games; home team is 8-3 vs spread in its conference games. Spiders are 0-3 as A-14 road underdog, losing away games by 5-18-15-9 points. Atlantic 14 home favorites of 9+ points are 10-6 against the spread.

St Bonaventure won/covered all five of its conference home games, with wins by 10-8-44-15-21 points; home team covered nine of its ten A-14 games. Temple won its last eight games, covering six times; they're 3-1 on A-14 road, with only loss at Richmond. A-14 home teams are 8-4 vs spread when number is 2 or less points. Bonnies turn ball over 22.7% of time, make only 31.2% behind arc, bad combo. Temple scored 73+ in all eight games of win streak; they make 40.9% of shots behind arc (9th).

Wichita State (-6) won 74-67 at Missouri State Feb 1, with its big man Stutz scoring 25 points with 11 rebounds; Shockers won 12 of last 13 games, are 3-4 as MVC home favorite, winning its last six home games by 3-37-43-12-5-25 points. Bears are 4-1 as MVC road underdog, 5-2 SU on road, with Valley road losses by 1 at Northern Iowa, at Illinois State by 7. MVC double digit favorites are 9-12 vs spread, 8-9 at home. Shockers have Bracket Busters game at Davidson on Saturday.

Arkansas is 0-5 on SEC road, 1-4 as road underdog, losing away games by 8-23-6-6-22 points. Home team is 8-2 vs spread in both Arkansas' and Tennessee's SEC games. Vols won/covered four of last five games after starting SEC play 1-4- they're 3-0 as SEC home favorite, winning games by 15-11-12 points. Vols are 5-0 in SEC when they score 67+ points, 0-5 when they don't. Hogs allowed 71+ in four of last five tilts. SEC single digit home favorites are 17-8 against the spread.

Road team is 8-2 vs spread in Southern Mississippi's conference games; Eagles are 1-4 as home favorite, winning home games by 2-4-4-3-4, hard to believe they're 5-0 at home with all wins by 4 or less points. Tulsa is 8-1 in last nine games- they covered five of last six; Hurricane is 2-0 as C-USA underdog- their conference losses ae by 1-2-9 points. Tulsa is #300 in country, turning ball over 23% of time. Conference USA single digit home favorites are 17-19 against the spread.

Illinois (+6.5) lost 75-60 at Purdue Dec 31; Boilers shot 57% for game, 9-17 from arc. Illini lost three games in row (allowing 76 ppg), six of last seven, as NCAA hopes slide away- they're 1-3 as Big Dozen favorite, losing two of last three home games. Purdue allowed 78-87-77 points in last three games; they're 2-1 as conference underdog, 3-3 SU on road, as last two road games were decided by total of five points. Big Dozen home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-10 against the spread.

Missouri (-8.5) got upset 79-72 at Oklahoma State Jan 25, OSU made 59.6% of shots for game, which was Mizzou's last loss. Tigers are 5-1 as Big X home favorite, winning home games by 38-11-19-13-3-15 points. Cowboys covered four in row, eight of last 11 games; they're 3-2 as Big X road underdog, losing away games by 9-41-3-15-15 points, with win at Texas Tech. Four of last six Missouri wins were by 3 or less points. Big X double digit home favories are 7-12 against the spread.

San Diego State (+10.5) won 75-70 at New Mexico Jan 18, outscoring Lobos 12-3 from foul line, making 9-20 from arc. Mountain West home teams are 4-8 vs spread when number is less than 5 points. Underdogs are 7-1 vs spread in Aztecs' conference games, with San Diego State 1-3 as favorite, 1-2 at home, winning by 2-13-2-10 points at home. Lobos won last five games, allowing 43 ppg in last three wins, against bottom of league. New Mexico is 1-1 as an underdog this season.

St Mary's (-7.5) won 71-64 at LMU Jan 26, outrebounding Lions 36-19 in game that was 35-31 at half; Gaels are 3-8 vs spread in last 11 games, 2-5 as WCC home favorite, winning at home by 16-15-21-8-14-11-15 points- this is Gaels' Senior Night, with Bracket Buster trip to Murray State looming. LMU won four of last five games; they're 6-1 vs spread as a WCC road underdog, with conference losses by 8-4-7-19 points. WCC double digit home favorites are 9-12 against the spread.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
02/15/2012 05:15 PM


Wednesday, February 15

Game of the day: New Mexico at San Diego State

New Mexico Lobos at San Diego State Aztecs (Pick 'em, 127.5)

THE STORY: First place in the Mountain West is on the line when streaking New Mexico visits No. 15 San Diego State, which beat the Lobos 75-70 on Jan. 14. San Diego State, New Mexico and UNLV are all 6-2 in the Mountain West with six games remaining. The Aztecs have won four straight against New Mexico, but the Lobos have outscored their opponents by an average of 23 points during their current five-game winning streak. The Lobos are allowing just 56.5 points in league play, and they lead the Mountain West in rebounding margin at plus-9.2.

TV: 10:15 p.m. ET, CBS Sports Network, Channel 4 San Diego

ABOUT NEW MEXICO (20-4, 6-2 Mountain West, 15-6 ATS): Teams are shooting just 37.1 percent against New Mexico, which has held three consecutive opponents to less than 50 points for the first time since 2005-06. Phillip McDonald scored a team-high 20 points in the Lobos’ first game against the Aztecs, and he’s part of a bench that TCU coach Jim Christian calls the deepest in the conference. Forward Drew Gordon, whose father played for San Diego State in the 1980s, averages 11.9 points and 10.5 rebounds. He had 15 points and eight boards in the January loss to the Aztecs. After visiting San Diego State, New Mexico returns home to face No. 11 UNLV on Saturday.

ABOUT NO. 15 SAN DIEGO STATE (20-4, 6-2 Mountain West, 12-9 ATS): The Aztecs committed 17 turnovers in their 65-63 loss at UNLV last Saturday. Jamaal Franklin is making a run at conference player of the year while averaging 16 points and 7.3 rebounds. The power forward has seven double-doubles in his last 11 games, and he’s the only player in the conference to rank in the top three in scoring and rebounds. Point guard Xavier Thames scored 22 points in the first game against the Lobos, and he’s made 41 of his last 43 free-throw attempts. Chase Tapley has averaged 9.8 points in six career games against New Mexico, but he was just 3-of-11 shooting in the teams' first meeting.


* Lobos are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in San Diego St..
* Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Road team is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings.
* Lobos are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings.


1. New Mexico is 49-1 under Steve Alford when scoring 80 points or more, including 15-0 in Mountain West play.

2. San Diego State has won 65 straight games when leading with five minutes to play.

3. The Aztecs are shooting a league-best 78.2 percent from the line in conference games, while New Mexico is at 65.8 percent.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
02/15/2012 05:16 PM


Wednesday, February 15

Exposing the Top 25: Where the NCAAB polls went wrong

Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Scott Spreitzer will dissect the new Top 25 rankings. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most overrated Top-25 team: Duke Blue Devils

When I posted Duke in this spot a couple of weeks ago, the Blue Devils made me look good with a loss to Miami at Cameron Indoor. A lucky win over North Carolina coupled with a victory over a rebuilding Maryland program last week doesn’t make Duke a Top-5 team.

Duke would be ranked in the 12-15 range if not for the tradition built by Mike Krzyzewski - and maybe this program deserves the benefit of the doubt in the rankings. But when it comes to ranking teams from a betting perspective, no program deserves a "benefit of the doubt" approach.

Going back to what I wrote a couple of weeks ago, the Blue Devils can be had by quick and athletic squads. Florida State, North Carolina, Ohio State and Temple, combined to make 124 of 227 shots against Duke - a sizzling, 54.6 percent. While all four are solid teams, a Top-5 squad shouldn't struggle that much on the defensive end.

Most underrated Top-15 team: Wichita State Shockers

Wichita State finally broken into the Top 25 but it’s not ranked high enough, according to my power ratings. The Shockers hold a two-game lead over Creighton in the MVC standings with only three conference games remaining.

Wichita State is just a few shots away from a 25-1 SU mark. Three of its losses came against Creighton, Alabama, and Temple and two of the four losses came in overtime. The Shockers have eye-opening blowout wins over UNLV (89-70) and, of course, the recent 89-68 win over the Bluejays.

The Shockers have a well-balanced attack with six players averaging between 14.1 and 8.8 points per game. They can beat you from the outside or go in the paint with 7-footer Garrett Stutz. Wichita State cans 48.4 percent of its shots (18th in Div. I), while holding opponents to 39.8 percent overall.

Wichita State is going to be a tough out in March and deserves a better ranking than several of the teams currently ahead of it. The Shockers must stay focused when they play at Davidson Saturday as part of the Bracket Buster weekend.

Unranked team that should be ranked: St. Louis Billikens

The Billikens, at 20-5 SU, are just a handful of plays from a 24-1 SU mark with all five losses coming against teams that will be playing in postseason tourneys. Rick Majerus has always produced teams that were stingy on the defensive end, and this year they're holding teams to 56.8 points per game – eighth in the country.

St. Louis can also get the job done on the other end of the floor. It averages nearly 70 points per game on 45.8 percent shooting. Forward Brian Conklin has proven to be a tough matchup on offense, averaging almost 15 points a game.

St. Louis should have little trouble in its next three games and will likely be 23-5 SU when it host Xavier in a rematch on February 28.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
02/15/2012 05:17 PM


Wednesday, February 15

College funds: Wednesday's best NCAAB bets

Arkansas Razorbacks at Tennessee Volunteers (-6.5, 134.5)

Arkansas already has set a program record for home wins — 17, surpassing the 16 tallied during its run to a national championship in 1993-94 — but heads to Tennessee still seeking its first triumph on the road.

Bruce Mitchell, a backup quarterback for the Razorbacks, helped compensate for the absence of Michael Sanchez during Saturday’s win over South Carolina. He finished with eight points, four rebounds, a block and a steal in his most productive effort since walking onto the team in January.

The Hogs are allowing an SEC-worst 72.1 points in league play, and they’ve surrendered more than 70 in each of their five conference road games.

The Vols, meanwhile, have won four straight at Thompson-Boling Arena since a three-point loss to current No. 1 Kentucky on Jan. 14. Both teams are part of a three-way tie for fifth place in the SEC, so the winner could have an inside track on a first-round bye in the SEC tournament.

Pick: Razorbacks

North Carolina Tar Heels at Miami Hurricanes (5, 146.5)

Big men Tyler Zeller and John Henson recorded double-doubles to help North Carolina defeat Miami 73-56 on Jan. 10, but the backcourt duel was more telling.

Kendall Marshall and Dexter Strickland made 12 of 16 shots from the field and held Miami guards Durand Scott and Malcolm Grant to 6 for 20.

Strickland has since been lost for the season (knee surgery), but the Tar Heels aren’t hurting for offense as they lead the nation in scoring (83.5).

Miami, which had its five-game winning streak snapped at Florida State on Saturday, has output almost 10 points under its average the last two contests.

The Hurricanes need to get Grant going again. The senior guard has just 15 points combined the last three games and is 8 for 40 from the field the last four. Big men Kenny Kadji and Reggie Johnson are both shooting over 50 percent, and Scott is the key threat outside.

Pick: Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
02/15/2012 05:18 PM


New Mexico at San Diego State
The Aztecs look to take advantage of a New Mexico team that is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games as an underdog of 1 to 6 1/2 points. San Diego State is the pick (-1) according to Dunkel, which has the Aztecs favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-1). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 527-528: Northwestern at Indiana (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 64.015; Indiana 69.099
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 5; 155
Vegas Line: Indiana by 9; 149
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+9); Over

Game 529-530: DePaul at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 57.005; Connecticut 66.435
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 9 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick N/A

Game 531-532: Charlotte at Dayton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 55.354; Dayton 60.875
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 5 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Dayton by 7 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7 1/2); Over

Game 533-534: Detroit at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 58.762; Wright State 53.849
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 5; 121
Vegas Line: Detroit by 2; 127
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2); Under

Game 535-536: Bowling Green at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 54.086; Ohio 62.458
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 8 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Ohio by 6 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-6 1/2); Under

Game 537-538: Toledo at Ball State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 51.834; Ball State 53.781
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 2; 135
Vegas Line: Ball State by 8; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+8); Over

Game 539-540: Miami (OH) at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 54.568; Akron 62.800
Dunkel Line: Akron by 8; 132
Vegas Line: Akron by 10; 127
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+10); Over

Game 541-542: Georgia at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 56.704; South Carolina 62.369
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 5 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 3 1/2; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-3 1/2); Under

Game 543-544: St. Joseph's at Rhode Island (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 63.417; Rhode Island 55.453
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 8; 135
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 5; 140
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-5); Under

Game 545-546: Fordham at Duquesne (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 48.145; Duquesne 60.428
Dunkel Line: Duquesne by 12 1/2; 148
Vegas Line: Duquesne by 14; 142
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+14); Over

Game 547-548: North Carolina at Miami (FL) (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 73.836; Miami (FL) 64.547
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 9 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 5; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-5); Over

Game 549-550: Villanova at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 63.568; South Florida 63.425
Dunkel Line: Even; 126
Vegas Line: South Florida by 3 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+3 1/2); Under

Game 551-552: Rutgers at Notre Dame (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 59.289; Notre Dame 73.798
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 14 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 8 1/2; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-8 1/2); Under

Game 553-554: Georgia Tech at Wake Forest (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 54.951; Wake Forest 54.178
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 1; 136
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 1; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+1); Over

Game 555-556: Richmond at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 57.062; St. Louis 67.849
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 11; 132
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 14 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+14 1/2); Over

Game 557-558: Temple at St. Bonaventure (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 67.899; St. Bonaventure 63.833
Dunkel Line: Temple by 4; 133
Vegas Line: Temple by 1 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-1 1/2); Under

Game 559-560: Drake at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 60.612; Bradley 52.312
Dunkel Line: Drake by 8 1/2;
Vegas Line: Drake by 1; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (-1);

Game 561-562: Western Michigan at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 51.633; Northern Illinois 45.838
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 6;134
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 9; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+9); Over

Game 563-564: Missouri State at Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 62.068; Wichita State 70.280
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 8; 126
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 11 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+11 1/2); Under

Game 565-566: Northern Iowa at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 58.556; Evansville 61.628
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 3; 127
Vegas Line: Evansville by 1; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-1); Under

Game 567-568: Air Force at Wyoming (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 51.550; Wyoming 63.106
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 11 1/2; 116
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 13; 111 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+13); Over

Game 569-570: Arkansas at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 59.754; Tennessee 67.044
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 7 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 6 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-6 1/2); Over

Game 571-572: Tulsa at Southern Mississippi (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 58.380; Southern Mississippi 67.272
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 9; 126
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 6 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-6 1/2); Under

Game 573-574: Memphis at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 65.632; Tulane 61.158
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 4 1/2; 124
Vegas Line: Memphis by 8; 127
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+8); Under

Game 575-576: UAB at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 57.800; SMU 57.048
Dunkel Line: UAB by 1; 116
Vegas Line: SMU by 1; 111
Dunkel Pick: UAB (+1); Over

Game 577-578: Purdue at Illinois (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 63.741; Illinois 68.335
Dunkel Line: Illinois by 4 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: Illinois by 3; 131
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-3); Over

Game 579-580: Providence at Cincinnati (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 58.528; Cincinnati 71.674
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 13; 133
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 10; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-10); Under

Game 581-582: Oklahoma State at Missouri (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 62.569; Missouri 76.255
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 13 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Missouri by 16; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+16); Over

Game 583-584: UC-Santa Barbara at UC-Irvine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Santa Barbara 58.449; UC-Irvine 50.579
Dunkel Line: UC-Santa Barbara by 8; 135
Vegas Line: UC-Santa Barbara 5; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Santa Barbara (-5); Under

Game 587-588: Cal Poly at CS-Northridge (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cal Poly 50.322; CS-Northridge 48.481
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 2; 135
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 7; 131
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+7); Over

Game 589-590: CS-Fullerton at UC-Riverside (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 56.896; UC-Riverside 52.024
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 5; 129
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 1 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (-1 1/2); Under

Game 591-592: New Mexico at San Diego State (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 67.292; San Diego State 71.185
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 4;
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 1; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-1);

Game 593-594: Colorado State at Boise State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 60.184; Boise State 59.227
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 1; 141
Vegas Line: Boise State by 1 1/2; 137 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+1 1/2); Over

Game 595-596: USC at UCLA (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 50.136; UCLA 68.943
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 19; 109
Vegas Line: UCLA by 15; 115
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-15); Under

Game 597-598: Loyola-Marymount at St. Mary's (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 58.058; St. Mary's 69.486
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's by 11 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: St. Mary's by 14; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Marymount (+14); Over

Game 599-600: Chattanooga at Appalachian State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 46.867; Appalachian State 47.873
Dunkel Line: Appalachian State by 1; 135
Vegas Line: Appalachian State by 4 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (+4 1/2); Under

Game 601-602: College of Charleston at NC-Greensboro (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: College of Charleston 54.016; NC-Greensboro 47.206
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 7; 144
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 4; 149
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-4); Under

Game 603-604: Loyola-MD at Marist (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-MD 55.931; Marist 46.693
Dunkel Line: Loyola-MD by 9 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Loyola-MD by 7 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-MD (-7 1/2); Over

Game 605-606: Canisius at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 42.192; Niagara 51.423
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 9;
Vegas Line: Niagara by 11 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+11 1/2);

Game 607-608: Iona at Rider (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iona 62.662; Rider 52.299
Dunkel Line: Iona by 10 1/2; 166
Vegas Line: Iona by 8; 161
Dunkel Pick: Iona (-8); Over

Game 609-610: Elon at Wofford (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 47.430; Wofford 55.206
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 8; 133
Vegas Line: Wofford by 9 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Elon (+9 1/2); Under

Game 611-612: Samford at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Samford 46.612; Davidson 66.305
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 19 1/2;147
Vegas Line: Davidson by 17; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-17); Over

Game 613-614: St. Peter's at Fairfield (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Peter's 45.921; Fairfield 58.605
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 12 1/2; 117
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 16 1/2; 121
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (+16 1/2); Under

Game 615-616: Morehead State at Austin Peay (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 47.924; Austin Peay 48.951
Dunkel Line: Austin Peay by 1; 136
Vegas Line: Austin Peay by 5; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+5); Over

Game 617-618: Eastern Kentucky at Tennessee Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 42.350; Tennessee Tech 54.794
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 12 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 9 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee Tech (-9 1/2); Under

Game 619-620: Murray State at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 58.020; SE Missouri State 55.957
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 2; 148
Vegas Line: Murray State by 5 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (+5 1/2); Over

Game 621-622: SIU-Edwardsville at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SIU-Edwardsville 43.212; Eastern Illinois 52.950
Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 9 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 7 1/2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (-7 1/2); Under

Game 623-624: Weber State at Montana State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 54.872; Montana State 50.839
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 4; 142
Vegas Line: Weber State by 6; 147
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+6); Under

Game 625-626: Northern Colorado at Eastern Washington (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Colorado 43.878; Eastern Washington 52.418
Dunkel Line: Eastern Washington by 8 1/2; 148
Vegas Line: Eastern Washington by 7 1/2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Washington (-7 1/2); Over

Game 627-628: Sacramento State at Portland State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento State 44.397; Portland State 54.054
Dunkel Line: Portland State by 9 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Portland State by 7 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (-7 1/2); Under

Game 631-632: Southern Utah at Oakland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Utah 49.663; Oakland 58.212
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 8 1/2; 153
Vegas Line: Oakland by 11; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Utah (+11); Over

Game 633-634: Oral Roberts at IPFW (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 61.192; IPFW 49.634
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 11 1/2; 143
Vegas Line: Oral Roberts by 9; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oral Roberts (-9); Over

Game 635-636: South Dakota at IUPUI (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota 50.575; IUPUI 57.552
Dunkel Line: IUPUI by 7; 141
Vegas Line: IUPUI by 9 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota (+9 1/2); Under

Game 637-638: North Dakota State at South Dakota State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 54.578; South Dakota State 66.214
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 11 1/2; 140
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 8 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-8 1/2); Under

Game 639-640: UMKC at Western Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UMKC 48.898; Western Illinois 53.265
Dunkel Line: Western Illinois by 4 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Western Illinois by 8 1/2; 116 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UMKC (+8 1/2); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: