jack_jones Posts:79 Followers:1
On 02/10/2012 01:44 PM in Cappers

Jack's Free Pick Friday!

Atlanta vs. Orlando, 02/10/2012 19:00
Point Spread: +5/-102 Atlanta

The Atlanta Hawks are showing solid value tonight as a 5-point road underdog to the Orlando Magic. Orlando is getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers due to their upset home win over the Miami Heat last time out. This sets them up for a big letdown spot Friday.

Atlanta is one of the most underrated teams in the Eastern Conference. The Hawks check in at 17-9, including 8-5 on the road where they are only giving up 89.5 points/game and 42.1 percent shooting. The Hawks put an end to a three-game losing streak with a 97-87 victory over Indiana last time out to get back on track.

Atlanta has absolutely owned Orlando against the spread over the last few seasons. The Hawks are 7-3 SU & 9-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Magic. This is simply an excellent match-up for them as they have the bigs inside who can contain Dwight Howard.

Orlando is 0-8 ATS in their last 8 off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival. The Magic are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 after having won 4 of their last 5 games. Orlando is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5. I simply believe the Magic are overvalued tonight. Bet Atlanta Friday.

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