cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:44 PM

Colorado looks for season sweep at Arizona



Tip-off: Thursday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Arizona -7½, Total: 129

Two teams that might only have outside shots for at-large berths to the big dance will look to build their resume when Colorado and Arizona take the floor for some Pac-12 action.

When these two teams met earlier in the season, the Buffaloes prevailed by one point, but did not cover the two-point spread for an ATS loss. Arizona has been dominant as an away team this season (7-0 ATS) but mediocre at the McKale Center (5-7 ATS) where this game is being played. The Buffaloes have been similarly strong away from their home, going 4-2 ATS in away games so far this season.

Can Arizona cover this big number? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. For the season, the 6-Pack carries a strong 9-6-1 ATS mark (60%).

Ultimately, this matchup may rest on the performance between each team’s top rebounder. At 6-foot-7, Andre Roberson (11.3 PPG, 11.2 RPG) averages a double-double for Colorado while the 6-foot-6 Solomon Hill (12.3 PPG, 8.0 RPG) paces the Wildcats. Hill, however, is averaging just 8.0 PPG and 5.0 RPG in the team’s past two contests.

At 70.2 PPG, Colorado’s offense is not particularly dangerous. With four players averaging more than 10 PPG, they do not have one dominant scoring threat, but four guys who produce night-in and night-out. Carlon Brown leads that crew (13.0 PPG) and has nice size for a guard at 6-foot-5. Austin Dufault (11.5 PPG, 4.6 RPG) stands at 6-foot-9, but is not the rebounder he could be. He makes up for it with his efficiency on the offensive end, where he shoots 52.2% from the field. Roberson and Spencer Dinwiddie round out that foursome, with Dinwiddie knocking down 45% of his three-pointers. This three-star FoxSheets trend also likes the Buffs to cover:

Play Against - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARIZONA) - after beating the spread by 48 or more points total in their last ten games against opponent after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last seven games. (26-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.9%, +20.5 units. Rating = 3*).

Arizona’s offense is slightly worse (69.6 PPG), while its defense is slightly better, holding opponents to 61.9 PPG compared to 62.6 for Colorado. They have four significant contributors on offense, paced by Kyle Fogg (12.5 PPG) who is deadly from beyond the arc, hitting his 2.1 threes per game on a 43% clip. Fogg has been red-hot in his past four games, averaging 16.0 PPG on 54% FG. Solomon Hill and Jesse Perry (11.8 PPG, 7.5 RPG) will lead the battle in the post for this Wildcats squad, needing to keep an eye on Roberson on every possession. Six-foot-2 freshman guard Nick Johnson (9.2 PPG) also has the potential to be a dangerous scorer when given the right opportunities. This FoxSheets trend thinks the Wildcats can win and cover:

Play On - A favorite (ARIZONA) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent. (76-37 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.3%, +35.3 units. Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:46 PM

No. 21 Wisconsin visits Minnesota Thursday



Tip-off: Thursday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Wisconsin -1, Total: 112

No. 21 Wisconsin brings the stingiest defense in the nation to Minnesota for a Big Ten matchup on Thursday night.

The Badgers lead the country in scoring defense at 49.8 PPG and rank second to No. 1 Kentucky in FG Pct. defense at 36.5% FG. On the offensive end, they commit the fewest turnovers in the nation (8.8 per game), but rank just 262nd in scoring (64.1 PPG) because of their slow pace. Minnesota usually plays well at home (12-2 SU), but is a mediocre 6-5 ATS with its offense struggling at times, failing to reach 70 points in six of the past 10 games. The Gophers are just 5-6 SU in Big Ten play, and Wisconsin has played great basketball outside of Madison, going 7-2 SU (6-3 ATS), including three straight SU victories. The Badgers have allowed a mere 54.0 PPG on 36.9% FG in conference road games this season. The pick here is WISCONSIN to escape with the road win.

This strong FoxSheets trend also sides with the Badgers:

WISCONSIN is 24-9 ATS (72.7%, +14.1 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons. The average score was WISCONSIN 67.7, OPPONENT 55.0 - (Rating = 2*).

Wisconsin has lost its past two trips to Williams Arena, including a 68-52 drubbing in its last visit in February 2010. The Badgers attempted 30 three-pointers that game (11-for-30, 37%), and made just 7-of-29 shots inside the arc (24%). Jordan Taylor, who leads the team in scoring (14.4 PPG) and assists (4.4 APG), has totaled five points on 1-of-10 shooting in his two career games at “The Barn.” But in last year’s home meeting with the Gophers, Taylor had a game-high 22 points and seven assists.

Wisconsin’s offense has been in a funk over the past three games, scoring just 53.7 PPG on 38.4% FG, including 14-of-63 threes (22.2%). Wisconsin made just 5-of-27 three-point tries in Saturday’s 58-52 home loss to Ohio State. The Badgers aren’t a very deep team, as only six players see 10+ minutes per game, and all six players log at least 25 per game. Jared Berggren (10.5 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 1.6 BPG) and Ryan Evans (10.0 PPG, 6.6 RPG) are the other double-digit scorers in addition to Taylor.

Since its 0-4 start to conference play, Minnesota has been playing much better lately, going 5-2 (SU and ATS) in its past seven games. The team is coming off a 69-61 win at Nebraska, shooting 54% FG, but only 50% FT (8-of-16). Chip Armelin (6.5 PPG) came off the bench to lead the Gophers with 15 points.

With star Trevor Mbakwe (14.0 PPG, 9.1 RPG) suffering a season-ending knee injury in the seventh game of the season, four players comprise the bulk of the scoring for the Gophers, averaging between 8.4 and 10.5 PPG. Rodney Williams leads the way in points (10.5 PPG) and rebounds (5.3 RPG), making 57% FG and 39% of his threes. But he has not been much of a factor in his past three games, averaging just 7.7 PPG and 2.0 RPG. Julian Welch (10.2 PPG, team-high 2.7 APG) makes 45% of his three-point attempts, going 6-for-8 over the past two games. Austin Hollins (8.5 PPG) and Ralph Sampson III (8.4 PPG, 4.7 RPG) have both been money from the foul line, shooting 87% and 88% respectively this season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:48 PM

No. 16 Saint Mary's visits Gonzaga in key WCC game



Tip-off: Thursday, 11:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Gonzaga -2½, Total: 140

On Thursday night Gonzaga will look to gain ground against the No. 16 Saint Mary’s who sits atop the West Coast Conference with a perfect 11-0 record.

When these two teams met earlier in the season, the Gaels dominated at home for a 21-point SU and ATS victory. But the Zags have been nearly unbeatable on their home court, going 12-1 SU, with the only loss coming to No. 11 Michigan State back in early December.

Who will win this battle of the two WCC powerhouses? For the answer, check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. For the season, the 6-Pack carries a strong 9-6-1 ATS mark (60%).

The Gaels are averaging 82.0 PPG over their past four games, led by the strong play of Matthew Dellavedova (15.5 PPG) and Rob Jones (14.8 PPG), who is coming off a 28-point outburst in their win over San Diego. Dellavedova and Jones are a dangerous scoring combination, each with the ability to take it inside or score from the perimeter. At 6-foot-4, Dellavedova is the premier threat from the outside with 2.2 threes per game, and he also averages a team-high 6.4 APG. Jones also can score from beyond the arc (1.1 threes per game), but it’s his work he does on the boards (10.7 RPG) that makes him so special. He is also a cagey defender with 1.7 SPG. Stephen Holt (11.2 PPG) is also a big factor on this team, shooting 51% from the field and nabbing 2.0 SPG. This rare five-star FoxSheets trend also likes the Gaels to win on the road:

Randy Bennett is 38-9 ATS (80.9%, +28.1 Units) after a combined score of 155 points or more as the coach of SAINT MARY’S. The average score was SAINT MARY’S 76.6, OPPONENT 62.9 - (Rating = 5*).

At only 73.7 PPG, it is unclear if the Gonzaga offense can keep up with that of their conference rival. Leading scorer Elias Harris (13.3 PPG) is averaging just 8.0 PPG over the team’s past two contests, while the Bulldogs have struggled mightily for any ATS victory in WCC play (3-6-1 ATS). They registered an ATS push against Pepperdine on Saturday, but prior to that had lost six consecutive games against the lines. Six-foot-1 freshman guard Kevin Pangos (12.9 PPG) has been an effective scorer in his first year, but should aim to improve his 41.7% FG. The one thing the Bulldogs can bring to the floor is a giant presence in Robert Sacre, who stands 7-feet tall. With 11.7 PPG and 6.6 RPG, the fifth-year senior will need to prove he is more than just a big body in this contest, pushing around Jones in the paint when he looks to fight his way to another double-double. Freshman Gary Bell (9.8 PPG) can also score for this Gonzaga team. This FoxSheets trend also likes the Bulldogs to win and cover:

Play On - A favorite (GONZAGA) - in a game involving two good three point shooting teams (>=36.5%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ more free throws than opponent. (76-37 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.3%, +35.3 units. Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:50 PM

Thursday’s betting tips: Zags still sliding ATS

Who’s hot

NBA: Phoenix is 22-7 against the spread in its last 29 meetings with Houston.

NBA: Denver is 10-3 against the spread in the second half of back-to-back situations.

NHL: The under is 7-0 in Winnipeg’s last seven overall.

NHL: Philadelphia has won six of its last seven against Toronto.

NCAAB: Niagara is 9-3 against the spread in its last 12.

NCAAB: UCLA is 11-5 against the spread in its last 16 Pac-12 games.

Who’s not

NBA: The over has cashed in each of Golden State’s last seven road games.

NBA: Los Angeles is 6-14-1 against the spread in its last 21 games against Boston.

NHL: Minnesota is 5-18 in its last 23.

NHL: Montreal is 1-5 in its last six road games.

NCAAB: Wisconsin is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 overall.

NCAAB: Gonzaga is 0-6-1 against the spread in its last seven overall.

Key stat

5 – Each of Illinois’ last five games have been decided by five or fewer points and the Fighting Illini are 1-4 straight up and against the spread during that span. They have dropped to 9-12 against the spread on the year heading into Thursday’s meeting with Indiana.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Jose Theodore, Florida Panthers - Theodore has missed the last four games with a knee injury and is listed as questionable for Thursday's game against Los Angeles. Theodore is 14-9-5 this season with a 2.10 goals against average. The Panthers are set as -105 underdogs with the total at 5.

Game of the day

Los Angeles Lakers at Boston Celtics (-3.5, 177.5)

Notable quotables

"I believe it's the art of controlling the body and club and swinging the pendulum motion...I believe that's how it should be played. I'm a traditionalist when it comes to that. My idea was to have it so that the putter would be equal to or less than the shortest club in your bag...And I think with that, we'd be able to get away from any type of belly anchoring," – Tiger Woods talking about banning long putters in the PGA. Woods is set as a +500 favorite at the AT&T Pebble Beach National.

Notes and tips

There is some talk that Vancouver forward Henrik Sedin may miss Thursday's game against Minnesota with an ankle injury. He skipped Wednesday's practice and was scheduled for a CT scan. The All-Star center has 11 goals and an NHL-best 46 assists in 53 games this season. Meanwhile, Wild captain Mikko Koivu could return to the lineup Thursday. Koviu has been on the shelf since Jan. 14 with a shoulder injury, but still sits second on the team with 33 points in 41 games this season. The Canucks are pegged as -145 favorites.

New York Knicks forward Amar'e Stoudemire will miss the next three games and won't return to the team until Monday due to personal reasons. Stoudemire's brother was killed in a car accident early Monday morning. Hazell Stoudemire was driving north on U.S. 27 in Lake Wales, Fla., when he collided with a tractor trailer at 1:45 a.m., according to Florida Highway Patrol. The 35-year-old Stoudemire was not wearing a seatbelt and was confirmed dead at the scene.

English national team coach Fabio Capello resigned Wednesday, potentially clearing the way for Harry Redknapp to take over his role. Capello quit just hours after Redknapp was cleared of tax evasions charges in a London court. The resignation of Capello came after a dispute with the English Football Association over the decision to strip John Terry of the team captaincy. “We have accepted Fabio’s resignation, agreeing this is the right decision,” FA Chairman David Bernstein said. “We would like to thank Fabio for his work with the England team and wish him every success in the future.” Redknapp was viewed as Capello's successor but his acquittal could speed up the process.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:51 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- North Carolina led by 10 at home with 2:15 left, lost to Duke 85-84 at the buzzer; if you mised the highlights, don't sweat; ESPN will show them for the next 20-30 years. Better team lost this game.

-- Georgetown took Syracuse to OT in the Carrier Dome, but they lost to the Orange, 64-61. Could be their last visit to Syracuse, with move to the ACC looming for Syracuse and Pitt.

-- How does Florida State beat the Tar Heels by 33, win at Duke, then lose to Princeton and Boston College? Very weird team.

-- Kansas went on a ridiculous 41-12 in Waco, turning a 22-13 deficit to a 20-point, as they swept season series from Baylor, winning by 14.

-- Jeremy Lin had 23 points, 10 assists, and was +18 as the Knicks won again, beating the hideous Wizards 107-93 in Washington. Lot of GMs around the league are being asked, "Why didn't we sign this kid?"

-- Dwight Howard had 25 points, 24 rebounds as Orlando beat Miami; going to be a crushing blow to the franchise if he leaves.


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind..........

13) So far this NBA season, there have been 17 instances where a team played three nights in a row; Denver is only team that has done it twice. Every team has to eventually do it at least once, some have to do it twice.

12) Oddly enough, the Knicks are the only team to cover all three nights of their excellent adventure, night #3 being the 99-92 win over New Jersey when Jeremy Lin had his first big game for New York. Only three of the 17 teams went 0-2 vs spread the first two nights; of those three, all three covered Game #3.

11) A closer look at teams playing that third night in a row show that home underdogs are 5-0, while road dogs are more predictable 1-6.

10) Under is 10-7 when a team is playing for third night in a row. Won’t be lot of running with tired players, and less outside shots will fall with tired legs.

9) You look at teams playing those three nights, and you see favorites the first night are 7-1, 6-4 the second night, 2-2-2 the third night in a row.

8) Monta Ellis scored 48 points for the Warriors Tuesday, and David Lee became the first Warrior in 19 years to record a triple/double, but Golden State still lost an exciting game to the Thunder. No matter who coaches the Warriors, they’re always fun to watch.

7) Minnesota president David Kahn took a lot of ridicule for drafting Ricky Rubio, but none since we’ve seen the Spanish kid play. Kahn is looking good right now; hope he’s enjoying the silence from the nitwits.

6) USA Network is televising the Westminster Kennel Dog show next Monday from 8-9, but because the WWE comes on at 9, the dog show switches over to MSNBC at 9. Good to know I live in a country where pro wrestling is more profitable on TV than a dog show.

5) Red Wings-Maple Leafs are next year’s NHL Outdoor Classic, with the game being played in Ann Arbor, where the football stadium seats 108,000 or so. Two Original Six teams, so that should be fun.

4) There is a guy named Rick Santorum who is running for President; I know I’ve seen him on TV, but if he came up to me and shook my hand, I wouldn’t have the slightest freakin’ idea who he is, unless he told me. Where does an obscure guy like that get all the money to run a campaign?

3) If Conference USA and Mountain West merge, it’ll leave the new league with 16 football teams but only 15 for basketball (Hawai’i is going to Big West for hoops). My suggestion? Add Oral Roberts for basketball; they’re pretty good in hoops, they don’t have football and they give Tulsa a natural rival.

2) I follow more college basketball than anyone you know, but I never, ever look at these bracket projections; I know lot of people get paid to do them, but they don’t help me at all and only confuse me. Hypotheticals aren’t helpful; facts are. Scores and stats of games already played. I’ll find out who is in the tournament on March 11, just like everyone else.

1) Golfer Daniel Chopra was playing a practice round at Pebble Beach Tuesday; he shot holes-in-one on both the 7th and 17th holes. I did that once, but the second ace went into a clown’s mouth and all I got was a free ice cream cone. Odds to two aces in same round? 67 million-to-1

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:53 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 9

Underdogs are 7-1 vs spread in Mississippi State's SEC games, as State is 0-5 as a favorite, 0-3 at home, winning all four games in Starkville by 4-4-5-3 points. State (-2) lost 75-68 at Ole Miss Jan 18, shooting 37.7% on night, 10-29 from arc, as Buckner had 15 boards/three blocks, owning the paint. Ole Miss' last three road games were decided by total of six points; Rebels are 4-1 as an SEC underdog. SEC single digit home faves are 15-7 against the spread.

Home side won four of last five Wisconsin-Minnesota games; Badgers lost last two visits here by 5-16 points- they scored 53.7 ppg last three games overall. Ohio State snapped their 6-game winning streak last time out. Minnesota won five of last seven games, getting held to 52-59 last two losses. Big Dozen home teams are 7-9 vs spread when number is 3 or less points. Badgers won last three road games, allowing average of 57 ppg. Minnesota beat Northwestern/Illinois in last two at home.

Cleveland State won/covered its last four games; they're 3-1-1 as home favorite in Horizon games, winning at home by 17-21-10-26 points in conference play. Vikings (+1) lost 72-66 at Valparaiso Jan 15; Crusaders hit on 60% of shots for game, State's only loss in last nine games. Valpo won seven of its last eight games, with only loss at Green Bay. Horizon single digit home favorites 17-19-1 vs spread. Cleveland State allowed 47-47-42 points in its last three games, all on road.

Last eight Illinois games were all decided by 5 or less points, with Illini losing four of its last five; Weber's team is 1-3 on Big Dozen road, with road losses by 15-2-5 points. Illini is 3-3 as conference underdog, 1-2 on road. Indiana is 4-1 in Big Dozen home games, 2-2 as home faves, with wins by 4-2-19-14 points. Big Dozen single digit home favorites are 14-16 vs spread. Hoosiers lost five of last six series games, winning by 3 in last meeting here. Illini lost four of last seven visits here.

Arizona (+2) lost 64-63 at Colorado Jan 21, shooting 34.5% from floor, 3-20 from arc; Wildcats won three of four games since then, are 3-2 as a Pac-12 home favorite, winning in Tucson by 17-8-24 points, losing to Oregon/Washington. Pac-12 home favorites of 7+ points are 18-6-1 vs spread. Buffaloes won five of last six games, are 2-2 as Pac-12 underdog on road, losing away games by 7-20-17 points, with win at lowly USC. Four of last seven Arizona games were decided by 4 or less points.

Northwestern won four of last five games with Iowa, winning last three here by 6-17-3 points; Wildcats are 3-2 at home in conference, 2-2 as a home favorite with home wins by 12-7-10 points. Big Dozen single digit home favorites are 14-16 vs spread. Iowa is 6-3 as a Big Dozen dog, 3-2 on road, losing its last three road games by 34-7-14 points while giving up an average of 91 ppg. Hawkeyes won their last two games, allowing 59-64 points, but both of those were at home.

Virginia Tech-Miami met in last three ACC tourneys, with Tech winning twice; Hokies also won three of last four visits here- last three in series were decided by 7 or less points. Tech is 2-6 in ACC, 1-3 on road, with road losses by 3-2-4 point, but they were favored in three of those four games. Hokies are 1-2 as an ACC underdog; dogs covered all four of their ACC road games. ACC single digit home favorites are 2-14 against the spread. Road team covered seven of Miami's eight ACC games.

Pacific won four of last five games, covered last seven; they're 7-0 as a Big West underdog, 2-0 at home- they're 2-3 SU at home, losing home games by 4-7-3 points. Tigers (+18) lost 76-66 at Long Beach State Jan 14, its fourth loss in a row to 49ers, who are 3-2 in last five visits here, winning by 6-1-10 points. Big West road favorites of 5+ points are 4-7 against the spread. Long Beach is 10-0 in Big West, 3-2 as road favorite, winning away games by 14-13-9-23-7 points.

Oregon (+9.5) lost 76-60 at Washington Dec 31, shooting 32.3% from while Huskies made 12-22 from arc; Ducks are 6-0 when they allow less than 70 points in conference play, 1-5 when they allow 70+. Oregon is 3-2 at home in Pac-12, losing to Cal/Oregon State. Washington won its last five games, with three of last four by 6 or less points; they won last three road games, by 4-6-2 points. Pac-12 home teams are 15-11 against the spread if the number is less than 5 points.

UCLA (+6.5) lost 60-59 at Stanford Dec 29, making just 15-24 on foul line, in game where both teams shot under 40%. Bruins are 4-0 as Pac-12 home favorite, winning "home" games in LA Sports Arena by 7-17-27-17 points (Pauley Pavilion is being redone). Pac-12 home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-14-1 against the spread. Stanford lost four of its last five games, with all four losses by 10+ points; they lost four of five on Pac-12, with losses by 11-12-13-10 and only win in four OTs.

Gonzaga (+4) got waxed 83-62 at St Mary's Jan 12, as Gaels shot 51% from floor, turned ball over only five times, and Sacre scored 4 points in only 18 minutes. St Mary's won its last 12 games; they're 5-0 on WCC road, winning by 7 at LMU, 14 at BYU. Gonzaga won five of its last six games; they're 1-3 vs spread as an underdog, but won all five of its WCC home games. St Mary's won here LY, ending losing streak in Spokane to Zags. WCC home faves of 4 or less points are 5-2 against the spread.

Fairfield (-1) lost 53-51 at Manhattan Jan 8 in brickfest where Fairfield shot 32% for game, 3-20 from arc; Stags won three in row, five of last six games; they're 4-7 as a MAAC favorite, 2-4 at home- they won three in row at home by 28-8-8 points. Manhattan had 8-game win streak ended by Iona last game; they're 6-0 vs spread on MAAC road, with only road loss by 1 at Loyola. MAAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-4-1 against the spread. Manhattan is 4-1 vs spread as an underdog.

Murray State still hasn't lost, but they're 0-7 vs spread last seven games, winning home games by 24-9-11-8-15-8 points (1-5 as home fave); they haven't covered since Jan 7 at rival Austin Peay, who they play again on Saturday. Tennessee State won five in row and seven of last eight games; they're 2-2-1 as OVC road underdog, losing its away games by 5-6-7-6 points. State hasn't lost a conference games by more than 7 points. OVC double digit home favorites are 6-9 against the spread.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:54 PM


Thursday, February 9

College funds: Thursday's best NCAAB bets

Tennessee State Tigers at Murray State Racers (-12, 136)

No. 7 Murray State, the nation's lone unbeaten team, puts its 23-0 mark on the line against a hot Tennessee State contingent. With a win, MSU can clinch a tie for its third consecutive Ohio Valley Conference regular-season championship, and also extend its home win streak to 19 games.

The Racers' 18-game win streak at the CFSB Center is tied for ninth longest in the nation. Isaiah Canaan continues to push for All-American recognition.

The junior guard leads the Racers in scoring (18.9) and assists (3.8). Canaan is seventh in the nation in 3-point field goal percentage (46.3) and 17th in 3-point field goals per game (3.0). He has three games of more than 30 points this season, 10 games of 20 or more, and has been in double digits in 22 of 23 games.

Tennessee State has won five straight and seven of eight to pull into a second place tie with Tennessee Tech in the OVC, but the Tigers are in over their heads here.

Pick: Racers

Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers (1, 113)

No. 22 Wisconsin leads the nation in scoring defense, holding opponents to 49.8 points. Where the Badgers struggle is on the other end.

Minnesota is riding the bubble right now and could use a big week to boost its NCAA Tournament resume, with No. 3 Ohio State on tap after Wisconsin. The Gophers have the misfortune of catching Wisconsin outside the Kohl Center.

Oddly, the Badgers have been a stronger team away from home, shooting 40.2 percent from beyond the arc in road games while connecting at a 23 percent clip at home.

The Badgers had recorded a total of six conference losses at home in the Bo Ryan’s first 10 seasons. They are already halfway to that mark in 2011-12.

Wisconsin suffered a big blow to its hopes of a Big Ten regular-season championship with a home loss to Ohio State last weekend. The Badgers have not eclipsed 57 points in any of their last three games and have not won at Minnesota since 2008.

Pick: Golden Gophers

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:55 PM


Illinois at Indiana
The Illini look to build on their 10-4 ATS record in their last 14 games as an underdog of 7 to 12 1/2 points. Illinois is the pick (+8) according to Dunkel, which has the Hoosiers favored by only 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+8). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 709-710: NC State at Georgia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 63.346; Georgia Tech 59.032
Dunkel Line: NC State by 4 1/2; 129
Vegas Line: NC State by 3 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-3 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Mississippi at Mississippi State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi 59.918; Mississippi State 69.098
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 9; 140
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 7 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick Mississippi State (-7); Over

Game 713-714: Denver at Florida Atlantic (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 56.665; Florida Atlantic 57.838
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 1; 117
Vegas Line: Denver by 1; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (+1); Under

Game 715-716: North Texas at Florida International (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 56.509; Florida International 58.926
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 2 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: Florida International by 1; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-1); Over

Game 717-718: Wisconsin at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 70.279; Minnesota 71.377
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 108
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 1; 114
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+1); Under

Game 719-720: Valparaiso at Cleveland State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 58.399; Cleveland State 65.163
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 7; 135
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 9 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+9 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: Butler at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Butler 56.226; Youngstown State 55.603
Dunkel Line: Butler by 1; 124
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 1; 128
Dunkel Pick: Butler (+1); Under

Game 723-724: Arkansas-Little Rock at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas-Little Rock 53.060; UL-Lafayette 57.573
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 4 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 6; 130
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas-Little Rock (+6); Over

Game 725-726: Western Kentucky at Middle Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 49.856; Middle Tennessee State 66.036
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 16; 133
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 14; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-14); Over

Game 727-728: Arkansas State at South Alabama (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 49.440; South Alabama 53.859
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 4 1/2; 121
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3; 123
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-3); Under

Game 729-730: Illinois at Indiana (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 64.732; Indiana 70.066
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 5 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Indiana by 8; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+8); Over

Game 731-732: Colorado at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 63.176; Arizona 72.795
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 9 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Arizona by 7; 129
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-7); Under

Game 733-734: Utah at Arizona State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 46.919; Arizona State 55.267
Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 8 1/2; 113
Vegas Line: Arizona State by 11; 118
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+11); Under

Game 735-736: Iowa at Northwestern (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 61.150; Northwestern 70.838
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 9 1/2; 152
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 7; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-7); Over

Game 737-738: Virginia Tech at Miami (FL) (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 63.513; Miami (FL) 67.234
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 3 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 6 1/2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+6 1/2); Over

Game 739-740: Louisiana Tech at Utah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 52.382; Utah State 59.888
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 7 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Utah State by 10; 134
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+10); Under

Game 741-742: Washington State at Oregon State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 57.101; Oregon State 68.776
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 11 1/2; 151
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 9 1/2; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (-9 1/2); Over

Game 743-744: Fresno State at San Jose State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 56.333; San Jose State 52.890
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 3 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (-2); Under

Game 745-746: Santa Clara at San Francisco (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 46.488; San Francisco 56.850
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 10 1/2; 157
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 12 1/2; 154
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+12 1/2); Over

Game 747-748: San Diego at Peppersine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 52.500; Pepperdine 53.555
Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 1; 122
Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 2 1/2; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+2 1/2); Under

Game 749-750: CS-Northridge at UC-Davis (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 45.302; UC-Davis 44.042
Dunkel Line: CS-Northridge by 1 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: CS-Northridge by 1; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (-1); Over

Game 751-752: UC-Riverside at Cal Poly (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 46.243; Cal Poly 57.017
Dunkel Line: Cal Poly by 11; 109
Vegas Line: Cal Poly by 9 1/2; 113 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cal Poly (-9 1/2); Under

Game 753-754: UC-Irvine at CS-Fullerton (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 49.702; CS-Fullerton 59.055
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 9 1/2; 155
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 11 1/2; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+11 1/2); Over

Game 755-756: Long Beach State at Pacific (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Long Beach State 65.458; Pacific 54.316
Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 11; 129
Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 9; 134
Dunkel Pick: Long Beach State (-9); Under

Game 757-758: California at USC (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 64.969; USC 58.712
Dunkel Line: California by 6 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: California by 8; 114 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (+8); Over

Game 759-760: Loyola-Marymount at Portland (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Marymount 58.759; Portland 53.176
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Marymount by 5 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: Loyola-Marymount by 4; 140
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Marymount (-4); Under

Game 761-762: Washington at Oregon (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 65.936; Oregon 64.434
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 151
Vegas Line: Pick; 146
Dunkel Pick: Washington; Over

Game 763-764: Stanford at UCLA (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 60.412; UCLA 69.218
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 9; 121
Vegas Line: UCLA by 6 1/2; 127
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-6 1/2); Under

Game 765-766: St. Mary's at Gonzaga (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 65.758; Gonzaga 70.108
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 4 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 2 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-2 1/2); Over

Game 767-768: New Mexico State at Idaho (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 60.366; Idaho 59.033
Dunkel Line: New Mexico State by 1 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: New Mexico State by 1; 141
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (-1); Under

Game 769-770: Nevada at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 59.315; Hawaii 56.695
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 2 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: Nevada by 1; 139
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-1); Over

Game 771-772: Wofford at Georgia Southern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wofford 52.862; Georgia Southern 52.565
Dunkel Line: Even; 122
Vegas Line: Wofford by 1 1/2; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Southern (+1 1/2); Under

Game 773-774: Davidson at The Citadel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 61.120; The Citadel 45.543
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 14 1/2; 147
Vegas Line: Davidson by 17; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: The Citadel (+17); Over

Game 775-776: Appalachian State at Furman (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 44.988; Furman 53.206
Dunkel Line: Furman by 8; 125
Vegas Line: Furman by 6; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Furman (-6); Under

Game 777-778: Siena at Niagara (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Siena 48.154; Niagara 53.592
Dunkel Line: Niagara by 5 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Niagara by 4 1/2; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Niagara (-4 1/2); Over

Game 779-780: Rider at Canisius (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 50.813; Canisius 47.426
Dunkel Line: Rider by 3 1/2; 155
Vegas Line: Rider by 5; 148
Dunkel Pick: Canisius (+5); Over

Game 781-782: Elon at Chattanooga (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 45.049; Chattanooga 52.808
Dunkel Line: Chattanooga by 7 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Chattanooga by 5; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chattanooga (-5); Under

Game 783-784: Manhattan at Fairfield (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 57.159; Fairfield 59.736
Dunkel Line: Fairfield by 2 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Fairfield by 4; 128
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+4); Over

Game 785-786: Western Carolina at College of Charleston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 45.340; College of Charleston 54.627
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 9 1/2; 135
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 11 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+11 1/2); Under

Game 787-788: NC-Greensboro at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Greensboro 48.536; Samford 50.722
Dunkel Line: Samford by 2; 145
Vegas Line: Samford by 4; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC-Greensboro (+4); Over

Game 789-790: Tennessee State at Murray State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee State 52.125; Murray State 65.568
Dunkel Line: Murray State by 13 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Murray State by 11; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Murray State (-11); Under

Game 791-792: Eastern Illinois at Tennessee Tech (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Illinois 43.001; Tennessee Tech 53.267
Dunkel Line: Tennessee Tech by 10 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: Tennessee Tech by 12 1/2; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (+12 1/2); Over

Game 793-794: Tennessee-Martin at SE Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee-Martin 39.646; SE Missouri State 53.264
Dunkel Line: SE Missouri State by 13 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: SE Missouri State by 11; 141
Dunkel Pick: SE Missouri State (-11); Under

Game 795-796: Weber State at Northern Arizona (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 53.932; Northern Arizona 44.023
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 10; 145
Vegas Line: Weber State by 11 1/2; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Arizona (+11 1/2); Over

Game 797-798: Marist at St. Peter's (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marist 41.545; St. Peter's 49.236
Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 7 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 4 1/2; 134
Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (-4 1/2); Under

Game 799-800: Montana at Northern Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana 55.402; Northern Colorado 50.939
Dunkel Line: Montana by 4 1/2; 133
Vegas Line: Montana by 7; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Colorado (+7); Under

Game 801-802: Portland State at Idaho State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 49.028; Idaho State 48.747
Dunkel Line: Even; 148
Vegas Line: Portland State by 1; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho State (+1); Over

Game 803-804: Montana State at Sacramento State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montana State 46.789; Sacramento State 48.210
Dunkel Line: Sacramento State by 1 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Sacramento State by 4; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montana State (+4); Under

Game 811-812: North Dakota State at UMKC (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 56.630; UMKC 49.730
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 7; 142
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 6; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-6); Over

Game 813-814: IUPUI at Oral Roberts (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IUPUI 50.134; Oral Roberts 62.869
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 12 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: Oral Roberts by 14; 145
Dunkel Pick: IUPUI (+14); Over

Game 815-816: South Dakota State at South Dakota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 65.174; South Dakota 52.731
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 12 1/2; 143
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 11; 147 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-11); Under

Game 817-818: Western Illinois at Southern Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 50.502; Southern Utah 51.166
Dunkel Line: Southern Utah by 1; 121
Vegas Line: Southern Utah by 2; 115
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (+2); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:58 PM

Short Sheet

Thursday's Top College Basketball Trends

SAN JOSE ST is 0-12 ATS after a combined score of 155 points or more (vs Fresno St)

ARIZONA ST is 0-9 ATS as a favorite (vs Utah)

N TEXAS is 9-0 ATS after a conference game (vs Fla International)

DENVER is 1-12 ATS at road when the line is +3 to -3 (vs Fla Atlantic)

IDAHO is 19-3 ATS in home games when playing only their 3rd game in a week (vs New Mexico St)

MURRAY ST is 0-9 ATS in home games off a win against a conference rival (vs Tennessee St)

N ARIZONA is 2-13 ATS after playing a game as an underdog (vs Weber St)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33353 Followers:38
02/09/2012 03:00 PM


Thursday, February 9

Fullcourt Report: College hoops betting news and notes


Florida State sits tied atop the ACC standings with a 7-1 conference record. The Seminoles are in first place along with North Carolina, who they handed a whopping 33-point (90-57) loss to a few weeks back.

Florida State has been a strong defensive team in recent years has maintained that level this season. But the Noles' biggest improvement has come on the offensive end. One of the main reasons for that has been the addition of Ian Miller, who became eligible right around Christmas.

“He’s meant an awful lot to our team and I’d say he has as much to do with our turnaround as anybody,” FSU head coach Leonard Hamilton told reporters.

The Seminoles are 6-2 ATS in conference play, including a perfect 3-0 ATS as underdogs.

Big Ten

Penn State has certainly been through the ringer over the last six months. And the basketball team hasn’t been much better, with an overall losing record and a dismal 2-9 mark in conference play.

However, the Nittany Lions have been a tough out on their home court in conference play. While they are just 2-3 SU, they are a money-making 4-1 ATS as underdogs at home.

Penn State has one of the best players in the Big Ten with guard Tim Frazier averaging 18.3 points, 4.8 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game.

Big 12

Texas has played in a lot of close games recently. Nine of the Longhorns’ 11 conference games have been decided by single digits. Texas’ six league losses have come by an average of just five points per game.

The Longhorns had lost five of their previous six games before defeating Texas Tech on Saturday and rival Texas A&M Monday night. Texas is an extremely young team with six of its nine rotation players in their first year.

The Longhorns are just 3-7-1 ATS in conference play, including a dismal 0-6 ATS as favorites. Texas is 3-1-1 ATS as an underdog in conference play, and considering its knack for playing in close games, its ATS success should hold firm.

Big East

Seton Hall got off to a fast start this season, with the Pirates opening 15-2 SU. However, things have been rough lately. Seton Hall has lost its last six games, while going just 1-5 ATS in the process.

The Pirates played their last game without their best player, Herb Pope, who is dealing with a rib injury. Seton Hall needs a healthy Pope on the court in order to correct its offensive woes. Over their last five games, the Pirates are averaging just 55 points on 31.6 percent shooting – 24.8 percent from 3-point land.

Seton Hall is 6-3 ATS on its home court, and if Pope returns to health, the Pirates may turn things around against the spread if they become undervalued after the recent poor results.


UCLA forward Travis Wear suffered a high ankle sprain in the Bruins’ 71-69 loss at Washington last Thursday night. That’s not good for a thin UCLA team that plays just a seven-man rotation.

Wear was the Bruins’ second-leading scorer and rebounder, averaging 11.8 points and 5.2 rebounds per game. Ironically, UCLA won its first game outside of the state of California this season on Saturday without Wear on the court. The Bruins beat Washington State 63-60.

Luckily for UCLA, it plays three consecutive home games before hitting the road for three games to close out February. UCLA is a perfect 4-0 ATS at home in conference play, but keep an eye on Wear’s status as he is an integral part of the Bruins’ success.


Mississippi State has three terrific players in Arnett Moultrie, Dee Bost, and Rodney Hood. All three of those guys average over 11 points per game. But they also average over 34 minutes per game because the Bulldogs have been playing the majority of the season with little depth on their bench.

However, that’s about to change as key reserves Shaun Smith and Deville Smith have come back from their injuries. Mississippi State was a pointspread machine from mid November to late December, when it went 8-2 ATS. But since the rotation was shortened, the Bulldogs have gone just 2-7 ATS, including a 2-6 ATS mark in conference play.

Mississippi State may become undervalued because of its recent play, and with the reserves back in the mix, the Bulldogs may get back to covering spreads.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: