cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
On 02/09/2012 02:20 PM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes Thursday's NCAAB - NBA - NHL Best Bets !

Arizona Wildcats Host Surprising Colorado Buffaloes

Sean Miller and the Arizona Wildcats got an endorsement from Kenny White as the best team in the Pac-12 not too long ago, but a couple of recent key injuries have the Don Best Sports analyst looking in another direction now.

The loss of Kevin Parrom for the season and Jordin Mayes for at least another week leave the Wildcats very thin as they prepare for a Thursday night matchup with the Colorado Buffaloes in Tucson. The game is part of a full slate of Pac-12 contests on Thursday that also includes current conference leader Washington in a tough road tilt at the Oregon Ducks and California visiting the Southern Cal Trojans. The Huskies will begin the day at 9-2 in league play, just a game ahead of Cal and Colorado, each with 8-3 marks. Oregon and Arizona follow two games behind Washington with 7-4 records.

"Arizona has the best talent in the Pac-12, I think by at least six points," White commented during a recent college basketball daily report. But he added that was "no longer" the case this week because of the injuries to Mayes and Parrom.

The folks setting the college basketball betting lines still tend to agree with White's former statement, at least for Thursday's matchup at McKale Center on ESPN beginning at 9:00 p.m. (ET). Arizona opened -7 on the earliest of overnight lines with the scoreboard hurdle set at 130.

We talked a little last week about the general decline that the Pac-12 has been in for a few seasons, and this campaign specifically. Cal continues to be the only squad getting any mention in either of the two big rankings, garnering just a few points according to the latest coaches poll. Ken Pomeroy has five schools – Cal, Arizona, UCLA, Stanford and Washington – in the top 64 while the RPI list has but two (Cal and Arizona).

Arizona is climbing in the RPI ranks, however, thanks to a couple of big road victories in the last week as an underdog at both California and Stanford. The Wildcats are also starting to gain support among bettors, covering five of their last six and seven of their last nine contests. One problem they've had is winning (and covering spreads) at home where the 'Cats are just 3-2 straight up and against the spread so far in conference play.

Defense has been a strength all season, allowing just 61.9 points per game to rank in the top 60 nationally. That number drops under 60 per game on the Pac-12 schedule, tops in the league. Arizona will be facing a Colorado squad that is averaging about 10 points more per game on the conference slate (69.6 PPG).

Finding consistent offense has been the biggest bugaboo for Miller & Company. The Wildcats have been very hot both inside and outside at times this season, but have also gone ice cold at the drop of a hat. They managed to shoot just over 38 percent in last Saturday's victory over the Cardinal, but were able to fall back on their defense as well as Stanford's own shooting woes in the contest.

Mayes is battling an injury to his right foot that he suffered in the recent win over Cal, and the sophomore guard is not expected to play Thursday against Colorado or Saturday when Utah comes to town. Parrom was hurt a couple of games before that.

Colorado has sneaked into the Pac-12 hunt thanks in large part to strong play in Boulder. The Buffaloes are a perfect 6-0 at home when facing a conference foe, but just 1-3 on the road (2-2 ATS). Like Arizona, wins at the expense of Oregon and Oregon State in the last week have Colorado's RPI stock rising, but now face three straight away from Boulder starting with this clash against the 'Cats.

The Buffs eked out a 64-63 win at home over Arizona on Jan. 21, a game that closed Colorado -2 on the NCAA odds board. Fogg could not find the net for the Wildcats in the game, missing nine of his 12 shots and going just 2-for-7 from outside the arc. Arizona was a pitiful 3-of-20 from 3-point range in the game.

Despite the loss, Arizona did manage to win the rebound battle and all but negate Colorado big man Andre Roberson's presence. Roberson was snuffed out completely on offense, missing all eight of his field goal attempts, and managed to pull down seven rebounds which is about two-thirds of his season average.

That contest marked Arizona's first game in Boulder in nearly 40 years, and the final stayed just below the 131-point closing number.

The rest of the Pac-12 schedule for Thursday has Stanford at UCLA, Washington State at Oregon State and Utah traveling to Arizona State.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:22 PM

Pair Of Bulldogs Big Part Of Thursday Slate

Thursday night's college basketball betting schedule features a slew of nationally televised games. Unlike on Wednesday when six teams ranked No. 12 or better in the AP Poll met each other, Thursday's games showcase teams that are still fighting for their lives for the NCAA Tournament.

We'll start in the Big Ten, where absolutely anything could happen down the stretch of the season. The Wisconsin Badgers come into Thursday sporting the nation's best defense at just 49.8 PPG allowed. They watched their six-game winning streak go up in flames at home against the Ohio State Buckeyes last weekend. The 58-52 setback marked the third straight game in which Wisconsin failed to beat the college basketball odds.

It should come as no surprise that Wisconsin's offense is truly the key to its covers. In 11 Big Ten games this year, the Badgers have scored more than 65 points just three times; they are 3-0 SU and ATS in those games. In the eight games in which they have scored 65 or fewer, they are only 4-4 SU and 1-7 ATS.

This could be good news for a Minnesota Golden Gophers outfit which is allowing just 63.3 PPG. The Gophers won a huge road game at the Nebraska Cornhuskers on the eve of the Super Bowl, and have to feel like they are four or five wins away from dancing.

Minnesota is 5-2 SU and ATS since January 12, a mark that it will put on the line in this clash at home at 7:00 (ET) on Tuesday night against the Badgers on ESPN.

Meanwhile on ESPN2, there are three straight games that are going to feature teams that could be in some bubble trouble.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs look good right now in the SEC, and they are probably the only team in the SEC West in good shape for a spot in March Madness. Things can change in a hurry though, and if they get beaten by the Ole Miss Rebels in a 7:00 (ET) tip on Thursday night, projected brackets will be shuffled.

The Rebels have played seven straight games decided by eight points or fewer, going 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS in those games. They are still searching for a few signature wins to help out their resume though, and a win against an RPI Top 50 team would go a long way to determining whether this is a team destined for the Dance or the NIT.

The Miami Hurricanes have their signature win now that they have beaten the Duke Blue Devils, but they still clearly need more victories to get into the NCAA Tournament. They have won four in a row and are 3-1 ATS in those four clashes, but Thursday night's duel at home against the Virginia Tech Hokies is a game that really has to be won.

Va Tech's 13-10 record (2-6 in the ACC) doesn't have the team anywhere near March Madness at this point, but perhaps the win at home against the Clemson Tigers from the weekend can spark a nice run in what amounts to be the easiest portion of the team's conference slate.

The Hokies and Hurricanes get it on in South Beach at 9:00 (ET).

In the 11:00 (ET) tip, the Gonzaga Bulldogs, a team that can't afford many more losses, take on the St. Mary's Gaels at "The Kennel." The Zags were topped by 21 by this 22-2 St. Mary's team on the road on January 12, a loss that they would love to avenge. However, Gonzaga has gone just 0-6-1 ATS in seven games since the defeat at St. Mary's and will be hard-pressed to cover this spread.

There are other clashes on Thursday night that you should be keeping a close eye on for when you fill out your brackets.

At 7:00 (ET) on ESPNU, the North Carolina State Wolfpack will look to avoid a second defeat on the season against the lowly Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. At the same time, the Cleveland State Vikings and Valparaiso Crusaders, both of which have dreams of making the NCAA Tournament this year, will meet for first place in the Horizon League. The Davidson Wildcats, the only team out of the Southern Conference with a shot at an at large bid to the NCAA Tournament face a test at the Citadel Bulldogs at 7:00 (ET) as well.

Later on in the night, the Northwestern Wildcats host the Iowa Hawkeyes in a 9:00 (ET) tip from Ryan Arena on ESPNU.

If you're a Pac-12 fan, this is the night for you as well, as all 12 teams are in action. The showcase game pits the Colorado Buffaloes against the Arizona Wildcats in a 9:00 (ET) tip that can be seen on ESPN or ESPN3.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:24 PM

Lakers And Celtics Tip Thursday TNT Doubleheader

NBA royalty is on display Thursday night as the Boston Celtics host the Los Angeles Lakers to start a TNT doubleheader.

Before we preview that contest, and the three others on Thursday, we wanted to note an NBA betting trend to follow. As you can see from the table below, the five best against the spread teams all rank very high in fewest turnovers with the exception of Denver. So the motto of ‘being careful with the ball’ pays off in more ways than one.

Philadelphia 17-7-1
No. 1

Denver 15-10
No. 27

Chicago 16-11
No. 5

San Antonio 15-11
No. 2

LA Clippers 13-9
No. 7

Los Angeles at Boston Celtics
8:00 p.m. (ET) on TNT

These teams have combined for over half (33-of-65) of the league titles and met in the Finals in 2008 and 2010, with each winning one. Both are in a decline phase, with Boston a lot farther along, but this rivalry is still extremely heated for the players and fans.

The Lakers (14-11 straight up, 11-14 ATS) started this 6-game trip with a nice win at Denver (93-89), but have since dropped games at Utah (96-87) and Philadelphia (95-90). They’re at least well rested with Philly coming on Monday.

Kobe Bryant is shooting just 35.4 percent on this trip (23-of-65) and Bryant (29.3 PPG), Andrew Bynum (17.1 PPG) and Pau Gasol (16.4 PPG) are the only Lakers scoring more than 7.3 PPG.

The Celtics (14-10 SU, 12-12 ATS) have won five straight games and nine of 10. They beat Charlotte (94-84) at home on Tuesday, but failed to cover the big 14-point spread. They’re just 2-4 ATS in their last six overall. Boston has a veteran bench with Brandon Bass, Mickael Pietrus and Chris Wilcox who are in their first year with the team and will come in handy Thursday.

The road team won both meetings last year as underdogs. Points could be at a premium in this game with both in the top-4 in points allowed and struggling to score. The ‘under’ is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the teams and 5-0 in the last five in Boston.

Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets
9:00 p.m. (ET) on Regional Networks

Golden State (8-14 SU, 9-13 ATS) has played just one road game in its last eight, a 114-106 OT loss at Sacramento last Saturday. The Warriors are 2-6 SU (4-4 ATS) on the road, despite playing just two teams that currently have winning records.

The Nuggets (15-10 SU and ATS) have cooled down lately, going 0-3 SU and ATS pending Wednesday night’s home game versus Dallas. Scoring has been way down their last three (92 PPG) compared to their league-leading 104 PPG. Three starters could be missing against Dallas with Danilo Gallinari and Timofey Mozgov out, and Nene Hilario questionable.

Denver is 4-1 ATS (5-0 SU) in the last five home games versus Golden State. The ‘over’ is 7-1 in the last eight overall.

Houston Rockets at Phoenix Suns
9:00 p.m. (ET) on Regional Networks

The Rockets (14-11 SU and ATS) are at Portland on Wednesday night (result pending) before heading to Phoenix. They’re 5-1 ATS in their last six when playing on consecutive days. The ‘under’ is 5-1 in those games.

Phoenix (11-14 SU and ATS) has won 3-straight games since losing badly at Houston (99-81) last Friday. That includes road wins at Atlanta (99-90) on Monday and Milwaukee (107-105) on Tuesday, both as 8-point ‘dogs. The Suns now return home where they’re just 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in the last six.

Houston has lost four straight playing in the desert, going 1-3 ATS.

Oklahoma City Thunder at Sacramento Kings
10:30 p.m. (ET) on TNT

The Thunder (20-5 SU, 14-11 ATS) are 2-1 SU and ATS during this 5-game road trip, most recently with close wins and covers over Portland (111-107 OT) and Golden State (119-116). The ‘over’ is 4-0 in their last four and 7-1 in their last eight. Guard Thabo Sefolosha (foot) is doubtful to return after missing six games.

The Kings (9-16 SU, 12-13 ATS) lost a close 86-84 contest at Minnesota on Tuesday night, but are playing pretty well lately. They’re 3-1 SU since leading scorer Marcus Thornton (17.3 PPG) returned from his thigh injury. They’ve also covered six-straight. Power Balance Pavilion has been a much friendlier venue for them at 6-4 SU (6-4 ATS) compared to 3-12 SU (6-9 ATS) away.

This is the first meeting between the teams this year. The Thunder are 6-0 SU (4-2 ATS) in the last six.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:26 PM

St. Louis Blues Visit Red-Hot New Jersey Devils

Don’t look now, but the New Jersey Devils and future Hall of Fame goaltender Martin Brodeur are the hottest team in the NHL. The Devils (31-19-3) will go for their sixth win in a row on Thursday night when they host the St. Louis Blues (31-14-7) at 7:00 p.m. (ET).

New Jersey’s Brodeur blanked the Eastern Conference-leading New York Rangers (33-13-5) for his first shutout of the season with a 1-0 road victory on Tuesday that had a controversial ending. New York captain Ryan Callahan appeared to tie the game in the final seconds, but teammate Marian Gaborik was called for interference and the goal was waved off.

Brodeur improved to 45-27-20 lifetime against the Rangers and earned the 117th shutout of his career. The Blues will be another tough opponent for the Devils, who have lost three of the last four meetings, although they have not played against each other since 2010.

St. Louis is coming off a 3-1 road win against the Ottawa Senators (27-22-7) behind another strong performance in net by goalie Brian Elliott, who stopped 28 shots from his former team and improved to 16-5-2. Elliott was sent to the Colorado Avalanche (27-25-3) in a trade deadline deal a year ago from Ottawa before joining the Blues.

The Nashville Predators (32-17-5) are tied with St. Louis for second place in the Central Division with 69 points after a 4-3 shootout loss to the Vancouver Canucks (33-15-5) on Tuesday. The Predators visit the Senators at 7:30 p.m. and will try to hand them an eighth straight loss.

New York will try to bounce back from the loss to the Devils when they host the Tampa Bay Lightning (23-24-5) at 7:00 p.m. on Thursday. The Rangers hold a three-point lead over the defending Stanley Cup champion Boston Bruins (33-16-2) for the lead in the East through 51 games and a four-point edge over the Philadelphia Flyers (30-16-7) in the Atlantic Division.

The Washington Capitals (28-21-4) moved ahead of the Florida Panthers (24-17-11) in the Southeast Division standings with a 4-0 victory in a head-to-head matchup on Tuesday. The Capitals have blanked opponents in three of their last four wins but have surrendered four goals in each of their past four losses.

Washington hosts the Winnipeg Jets (25-24-6) on Thursday at 7:00 p.m. and has won the last two meetings after dropping the previous four.

The Panthers host the Los Angeles Kings (26-18-10) at 7:30 p.m. and have lost the last seven meetings in the series. The Kings are 11-7-6 on the road and trailed the San Jose Sharks (29-15-6) by just two points in the Pacific Division heading into Wednesday’s action, but they had played four more games up to that point.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:29 PM

Saint Mary's at Gonzaga

February 9, 2012

In terms of mid-major rivalries over the last decade, none have surpassed the intensity we see when WCC powerhouses Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga meet up. These schools are set to square off again tonight in a crucial showdown at the McCarthey Athletic Center in Spokane. opened Gonzaga (18-4 SU, 9-12-1 ATS) as a three-point home favorite with a total of 140. As of early this afternoon, most books had the Bulldogs favored by 3 1/2 with the total slightly adjusted to 139 1/2. Gamblers can take Saint Mary's to win outright for a plus-150 return (risk $100 to win $150).

Mark Few’s squad will have revenge on its mind after taking an 83-62 shellacking at Saint Mary’s on Jan. 12. The Bulldogs have won five of six since then, but that setback prompted a 0-6-1 ATS slide coming into this contest.

Saint Mary’s (22-2 SU, 11-8 ATS) has won 12 consecutive games and hasn’t tasted defeat since a Dec. 22 loss to Baylor in Las Vegas. The Gaels are coming off an 84-73 non-covering victory over San Diego as 19-point home favorites.

Randy Bennett’s squad is led by junior guard Matthew Dellavedova, who is averaging a team-high 15.5 points and 6.4 assists per game. Dellavedova had 17 points, six rebounds and five assists in Saturday’s win over the Toreros. He dropped 26 points and six assists on Gonzaga in the aforementioned blowout victory nearly a month ago.

Rob Jones, a transfer from USD, is a senior forward with excellent skills and plenty of muscle to mix it up in the lane. Jones is averaging 14.8 points and 10.7 rebounds per game. He only had two points against Gonzaga earlier this year but did have a quality floor game with 11 rebounds and a season-high eight assists.

Gonzaga is led by junior forward Elias Harris, who had 17 points and 11 boards at Saint Mary’s. Harris is averaging 13.1 points and 7.7 rebounds per game. The Bulldogs also have one of the nation’s top post players in senior center Robert Sacre, who is averaging 11.7 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. The seven-footer was plagued by foul trouble in the first meeting, scoring only two points in 18 minutes of playing time.

Saint Mary’s is in just its third underdog situation of the season, going 1-1 both SU and ATS in the two previous spots. The Gaels won outright at BYU but lost 72-59 to Baylor as three-point ‘dogs.

The ‘under’ is 14-7-1 overall for Gonzaga, 8-3-1 in its home games. However, we should note that the ‘over’ has cashed in back-to-back games for the Bulldogs.

The ‘over’ is 10-8 overall for Saint Mary’s, but the ‘under’ is on a 4-2 run in the Gaels’ last six contests. The ‘under’ is also 4-2 in the last six head-to-head meetings between these schools.

Tip-off is slated for 11:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--The hoops version of the Egg Bowl (Round 2) will take place in Starkville on Thursday at 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2. Mississippi St. will be looking to avenge a loss at Ole Miss last month when it hosts the Rebels at The Hump. Most spots had the Bulldogs as 7 ½-point favorites as of early Wednesday evening.

--Wisconsin saw its six-game winning streak snapped in Saturday’s 58-52 home loss to Ohio St. The Badgers will try to get back into the win column tonight at Minnesota. They were one-point road favorites as of early Wednesday night.

--Duke erased a double-digit deficit in the last 2:34 of last night's game at North Carolina, rallying with a 13-2 surge to capture a riveting 85-84 win in Chapel Hill. Austin Rivers drained a 28-footer from the right wing at the buzzer to sink the Tar Heels, who completely fell apart down the stretch due to abysmal late-game execution.

--Even though Purdue lost Tuesday at Ohio St., I’ve got give kudos to Matt Painter for really getting his team ready to play in Columbus. The Boilermakers, who easily took the cash as double-digit underdogs, did not back down an inch in a hostile environment and the Buckeyes were fortunate to get the outright victory.

--I believe Kentucky emerged as the unquestioned team to beat this year when it stroked Florida by a 78-58 score Tuesday night at Rupp Arena. Likewise, Anthony Davis most likely established himself as the favorite for National Player of the Year honors even though KU’s Thomas Robinson has better overall numbers.

--Clemson fell to an atrocious 1-7 ATS at home when it lost outright Tuesday to Maryland by a 64-62 count at Littlejohn Coliseum. As for the Terrapins, they have covered the spread in four straight thanks to the stellar play of point guard Terrell Stoglin, who leads the ACC in scoring.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:32 PM

Hoop Trends - Thursday

February 9, 2012


The Celtics are 0-13 ATS (-7.0 ppg) since November 01, 2009 with at most one day of rest after a game in which more than 75% of their baskets were assisted.


The Suns are 11-0 OU (10.5 ppg) since March 26, 2010 at home after a win in which Channing Frye played fewer than 30 minutes.


The Kings are 0-11 OU (-13.2 ppg) since March 23, 2011 after a loss on the road in which Demarcus Cousins was not the Kings’ high scorer.


The Kings are 0-10 ATS (-9.6 ppg) since December 04, 2006 with at most one day of rest off a loss of four points or fewer in which they trailed by 15+ points.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:35 PM

Thursday Tips

February 8, 2012

The Thursday NBA card gives bettors four games to wager on, including two of the league's oldest rivals getting together in Boston. The Lakers continue a six-game road swing against a Celtics' team that is suddenly getting on track. The Kings and Thunder hook up for late-night action in Sacramento, as Oklahoma City is coming off consecutive close victories on the West Coast.

Lakers at Celtics - 8:00 PM EST

Both these second-place teams each have put up 14 wins through the first six weeks of this condensed season, as the two squads meet for the first of two matchups over the next month. The Lakers slipped up late at Philadelphia on Monday, 95-90 as 3 ½-point underdogs, dropping their second straight game. The Celtics are riding a five-game winning streak, even though Boston failed to cover as 14-point 'chalk' in a 94-84 win over hapless Charlotte on Tuesday.

Boston began the season at 5-9 and was labeled as an "old, beat-up" team, but that suddenly changed with a 9-1 run the previous 10 games. The only hiccup in this hot stretch came in a home loss to Cleveland in which the Celtics blew a late 11-point lead in an 88-87 defeat as 6 ½-point favorites. Boston's defense has stepped up recently by allowing less than 100 points in nine consecutive games, while going 12-5-1 to the 'under' the last 17 contests.

The Lakers aren't helping themselves on the highway with a 2-7 SU/ATS mark as a road underdog, including consecutive losses at Utah and Philadelphia. Mike Brown's team has broken the 100-point mark only three times this season, while the Lakers are 3-6 ATS when coming off a game in which they scored 90 points or less. The road squad won each meeting last season, including a 92-86 triumph by Los Angeles at TD Garden as two-point 'dogs last February.

Warriors at Nuggets - 9:00 PM EST

Golden State makes a quick trip to the Pepsi Center on Thursday after a disappointing three-point setback to Oklahoma City. Despite Monta Ellis scoring 48 points, the Warriors couldn't hold on as they failed to cash as two-point underdogs in a 119-116 loss to the Thunder. Golden State looks to rebound at Denver, as the Nuggets try to put enough healthy bodies on the floor following Wednesday's loss to the Mavericks.

Mark Jackson's club is starting to resemble old Warriors' basketball by cashing the 'over' in five of the last six games after beginning the season 7-1 to the 'under.' Golden State is playing only its ninth road game of the season, while owning a 4-4 ATS record in the first eight games away from Oracle Arena. The Warriors haven't had the best luck against the Nuggets by dropping eight of the last nine meetings, including six consecutive losses in Denver.

The Nuggets are without leading scorer Danilo Gallanari for at least a month with an ankle injury, while getting center Nene back against Dallas after missing two games with a heel injury. Denver has been cold recently from an ATS standpoint by failing to cash in five of the last six games, including three straight at home. George Karl's team is 5-3 ATS when playing with no rest, while picking up two overtime wins in this situation against the Knicks and 76ers.

Thunder at Kings - 10:30 PM EST

Who would have thought that the only team to cover every February game is Sacramento? The Kings try to extend their cover streak to seven games when the top team in the league invades Power Balance Pavilion. The Thunder heads from Oakland to Sacramento after rallying past the Warriors on Tuesday, 119-116 as short road favorites, the second straight close-shave victory for Oklahoma City. Now, the Thunder plays their fifth game in seven nights, while trying to cover three straight games for the first time since mid-January.

Oklahoma City is in the midst of a 7-1 'over' stretch, including five of the last six on the highway. The Thunder owns a 7-3 ATS record away from home with rest, while Scott Brooks' club looks to improve its defense after allowing over 100 points in each of the first three games of this road swing. Oklahoma City swept the four-game season series in 2010-11, as the Kings covered just once in a two-point home defeat last February.

The last time the Kings failed to cover was a 29-point home loss to the Nuggets on January 25, as Sacramento has split the last six games with the three setbacks all coming by three points or less. Keith Smart's team is coming off a 1-1 road trip against New Orleans and Minnesota, as the Kings needed late comebacks each time to cash tickets. Sacramento has profited at home with a 6-4 ATS mark, including underdog wins over the Lakers, Blazers, and Pacers.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:37 PM

Lakers try to end Celtics win streak Thursday



Tip-off: Thursday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Boston -3½, Total: 177

The NBA’s greatest rivalry resumes when the Lakers visit Boston Thursday night.

Both aging teams will be well-rested for this one, with the Celtics having a day off during their homestand and L.A. taking two days off during its East coast swing. Boston has won five straight, including back-to-back double-digit wins and, unlike last year’s home loss to the Lakers, should have their full complement of frontcourt players for this game. Will that be enough to win and cover against the talented Lakers? Check out the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday.

After ringing off back-to-back wins on the road, the Lakers have reverted again. They dropped two in a row SU and ATS on the road in Utah and Philadelphia and are now 3-9 SU and ATS on the road this season. Offensively they continue to be a three-man show, starring SG Kobe Bryant (29.3 PPG), Andrew Bynum (17.1 PPG, 12.4 RPG) and PF Pau Gasol (16.4 PPG, 10.1 RPG). Back-up PG Steve Blake, a game-time call on Thursday because of a rib injury, is their fourth-leading scorer at 7.3 PPG.

The Lakers hit just 40.4% of their field goals and 28.9% of their threes in the Utah and Philadelphia losses and are averaging 91.1 PPG on the road this year. The teams split the season series a year ago, with each side winning on the other’s court (SU and ATS). But the Celtics played with a shortened frontcourt rotation in the 92-86 home loss, with Jermaine and Shaquille O’Neal out, and Kendrick Perkins battling foul trouble. This year, they’ll have a healthy C Jermaine O’Neal (5.5 RPG, 1.4 BPG), PF Brandon Bass (11.8 PPG, 6.1 RPG) and Chris Wilcox joining Garnett to counter L.A.’s size. The FoxSheets provide a three-star trend backing the Lakers:

BOSTON is 9-30 ATS (23.1%, -24.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 90.8, OPPONENT 90.7 - (Rating = 3*).

The Celtics have had their starting five together for just 11 games this season, including the last three, and it appears they’re starting to click. They didn’t cover the 14-point spread in Tuesday’s 94-84 win over Charlotte, but they led comfortably throughout the fourth quarter before letting off the gas late (Charlotte outscored them 7-2 in the final 1:14). Boston also destroyed the Grizzlies by 18 on Sunday.

PG Rajon Rondo (13.6 PPG, 9.8 APG) handed out 14 assists in each of those games. Paul Pierce (18.4 PPG) averaged 20.8 PPG, 6.8 RPG and 7.0 APG during the first four games of their current homestand while compiling an average plus/minus of +21.5. And PF Kevin Garnett (14.0 PPG, 7.3 RPG) seems to have found the fountain of youth, averaging 20.3 PPG on 65% shooting and 8.0 RPG over the past three games. The FoxSheets have a trend working against L.A.:

L.A. LAKERS are 9-23 ATS (28.1%, -16.3 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons. The average score was L.A. LAKERS 92.8, OPPONENT 94.3 - (Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:40 PM

Red-hot Kings host Thunder on Thursday



Tip-off: Thursday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Oklahoma City -6½, Total: 204

Sacramento is playing some of its best basketball in a long time as it gets ready to host Oklahoma City on Thursday night.

The Kings have won three of four SU and six in a row ATS, and they’re 6-4 SU and ATS at home on the year. But the Thunder have the NBA’s best record at 20-5, winning 15 of their past 18 contests. Can Oklahoma City win big on the road? Check out the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday.

After a disappointing start to their road trip in San Antonio, the Thunder have scored a couple of wins—in Portland and Golden State—covering the spread each time. The games were awfully close though, beating Portland in overtime on Monday then Golden State by three, a game they trailed in the final 20 seconds, on Tuesday. They’re still struggling defensively without top perimeter defender Thabo Sefolosha, who’s expected to miss a seventh straight game because of a foot injury. The Thunder have allowed 103-plus points in regulation in each of their past three games, in large part because they’ve committed 25-plus fouls in each of those games. They allowed the Warriors to score 116 and shoot 55% from the field on Tuesday.

They obviously have the firepower to outscore teams though. SF Kevin Durant (27.3 PPG) is averaging 29.3 PPG despite 4-for-17 shooting from three through the first three games of their current road trip, and PG Russell Westbrook (22.3 PPG, 5.9 APG) has added 25.7 PPG on 50% shooting and 7.0 APG. Daequan Cook (5.8 PPG) has also caught fire of late. He moved into the starting lineup five games ago, and over the past three, the long-range specialist has shot 11-for-21 from behind the arc. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend siding with the Thunder:

Play On - Road teams (OKLAHOMA CITY) - off a road win, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. (69-29 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.4%, +37.1 units. Rating = 3*).

Sacramento has defended far better recently, holding opponents to 42.7% shooting from the field over the past six games. Along with Sacramento’s better defensive effort, PG Tyreke Evans (17.2 PPG) is settling into a nice groove, averaging 21.3 PPG and 6.7 APG over the past six games while C DeMarcus Cousins (15.3 PPG, 11.5 RPG) has added 17.0 PPG and 13.2 RPG during that span. SG Marcus Thornton (17.3 PPG) returned from a thigh injury four games ago, and has averaged 20.5 PPG since his return. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend backing the Kings:

Play On - Underdogs (SACRAMENTO) - poor shooting team - shooting <=43% on the season against opponent after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher. (81-39 since 1996, 67.5%, +38.1 units. Rating = 3*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
02/09/2012 02:42 PM

Nuggets look to end losing skid hosting Warriors



Tip-off: Thursday, 9:05 p.m. ET
Line: Denver -6, Total: 210½

The slumping Nuggets try to avoid a fifth straight loss (SU and ATS) when they host the struggling Warriors on Thursday.

Denver is 10-2 SU (8-4 ATS) in the past 12 meetings with Golden State, including six straight home wins in this series (4-2 ATS). Since 2006-07, the Nuggets are averaging a whopping 118.9 PPG in 18 meetings. This includes a 134-111 drubbing last April, when the game was tied at 54 at halftime, before the Nuggets scored 80 in the second half to cruise to victory. But Denver is banged-up with leading scorer Danilo Gallinari and starting center Timofey Mozgov both out with ankle injuries. Will their absence allow the Warriors to keep this game under six points? Check out the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday.

Golden State is just 3-6 SU (2-7 ATS) in its past nine contests, but the team nearly upset the league’s best team, Oklahoma City, on Tuesday in a 119-116 loss. In the defeat, SG Monta Ellis (22.6 PPG, 6.3 APG) scored 48 points (18-of-29 FG) and PF David Lee (18.7 PPG, 10.0 RPG) had a triple-double with 25 points, 11 rebounds and 10 assists. Ellis didn’t make the trip to Denver last April because of a concussion, but he has loved facing the Nuggets in the past two seasons with 27.5 PPG in the six meetings. Lee has not been so fond of the Rocky Mountains with just 12.0 PPG in six career games in Denver.

Dorell Wright, who scored 27 points in last April’s trip to Denver, has been heating up, averaging 16.8 PPG (44% 3-pt FG) in his past five games. Stephen Curry (16.3 PPG, 40% 3-pt FG) has averaged 19.8 PPG on 47% three-pointers in seven career meetings with Denver, and scored 27 points in the last meeting. He had a well-rounded 16 points (7-of-9 FG), 10 assists and seven rebounds in Tuesday’s loss to the Thunder. The FoxSheets show this trend siding with the Warriors:

GOLDEN STATE is 48-26 ATS (64.9%, +19.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was GOLDEN STATE 106.6, OPPONENT 108.5 - (Rating = 1*).

In addition to Gallinari being out, Denver will also be missing C Timofey Mozgov (5.7 PPG, 4.5 RPG, 1.2 BPG) who has an ankle injury, and SF Corey Brewer (8.0 PPG) whose father died recently. But two starters, PF Nene Hilario (13.4 PPG, 8.0 RPG) and SG Arron Afflalo (10.4 PPG), returned to action on Wednesday, and both played pretty well. Hilario had 16 points and eight rebounds while Afflalo had 12. PG Ty Lawson finished with 16 points and 10 assists, while super subs Al Harrington and Rudy Fernandez shared the team lead with 17 points. Despite Denver’s lacking offense in the past four games (92.8 PPG, 44% FG, 23% 3-pt FG), the Nuggets still lead the NBA in scoring (103.7 PPG) and assists (23.4 PPG). The FoxSheets have a three-star trend backing the Nuggets:

Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game. (54-22 since 1996.) (71.1%, +29.8 units. Rating = 3*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: