cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
02/08/2012 04:00 PM

Wednesday’s betting tips: NHL unders cashing big

Who’s hot

NBA: Chicago has covered in 11 of its last 15 road games.

NBA: New York has covered the number in five straight and is 6-1 ATS in its last seven meetings with Washington.

NHL: Anaheim is 10-4 in its last 14 overall.

NHL: Boston is 15-5 in its last 20 road games.

NCAAB: Boston College is 7-2 against the spread in its last nine.

NCAAB: The under is 20-7 in Virginia’s last 27 home games.

Who’s not

NBA: Dallas has dropped three in a row straight up and ATS and is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 vs. Denver.

NBA: New Orleans is 3-10 against the number in its last 13 home games.

NHL: Buffalo is 6-15 in its last 21 overall.

NHL: Calgary is 2-7 in its last nine road games.

NCAAB: Duke is 3-7 against the spread in its last 10 games overall.

NCAAB: Georgetown is 4-13 against the spread in its 17 Big East games.

Key stat

59.38 – Sharp NHL bettors are cashing in on a serious under trend. Ahead of Tuesday’s action, 59.38 percent of all games in the last month have played under the total. The over/under currently sits at 65-95 during that span.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Ben Simons, Drake Bulldogs – Simons, a 6-foot-8 forward, is dealing with mononucleosis is currently expected to miss Wednesday’s game against Illinois State. Simons is averaging 16.1 points per game.

Game of the day

Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels (-6.5, 160.5)

Notable quotable

"They know what they're walking into. Knowing and when you experience it is different obviously, but they know. They have a sense of the crowd and how great their fans are and how numerous their fans are. Once the game starts, it's a court, it's a gym, its fans. Obviously there aren't too many venues that hold as many people as the Carrier Dome. And there aren't too many games that are as spirited as the Georgetown-Syracuse games have been down through the years. So is this game special? Absolutely, but I think our guys are going to show up and be ready to play." – Georgetown Hoyas coach John Thompson III on his club’s game at Syracuse Wednesday. The Hoyas are set as 9-point underdogs.

Notes and tips

New York Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony will be out 1-2 weeks with a strained right groin, the team announced Tuesday. Anthony suffered the injury in the first quarter of Monday's game against the Utah Jazz. The Knicks' leading scorer had a pair of points in six minutes before exiting. New York was already without forward Amar'e Stoudemire, who missed the game following the death of his brother in a car accident earlier Monday. Anthony is averaging 23.3 points and 6.2 rebounds this season. The shorthanded Knicks are 1-point underdogs at Washington.

Edmonton Oilers center Ryan Nugent-Hopkins will miss 7-10 days with a sprained shoulder, the team announced Tuesday. It was just his second game back in the Oilers lineup after missing the previous 13 contests with the shoulder problem. The rookie left in the third period of Monday's game with the Toronto Maple Leafs after sustaining a new injury on his left shoulder. Nugent-Hopkins has 13 goals and 22 assists in 40 games to lead all rookies with 35 points this season. The Oilers are +190 underdogs at Detroit.

Denver Nuggets forward Danilo Gallinari has a chip fracture in his left foot and severely sprained ankle. He suffered the injury in Monday night's game with the Houston Rockets when he rolled his left ankle in the third quarter. X-rays revealed a chip fracture in his left foot and he'll undergo further testing Tuesday to determine the extent of the injury. "Nervous. Nervous that I'm going to be out for a while." Gallinari said after the game. The 23-year-old recently signed a four-year, $42 million deal with the Nuggets. Gallinari is averaging 17 points and 5.2 rebounds per game for Denver this season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
02/08/2012 04:02 PM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Chauncey Billups tore his achilled tendon, is done for the year, and maybe his career, given his advanced age. Tough break for the Clippers.

-- Danilo Gallinari/Carmelo Anthony will also miss an extended period after suffering leg injuries. Not enough rest time in this NBA season.

-- Villanova beat Providence 74-72 after trailing by 18 points early in the second half. Friars can't put anyone away.

-- Iowa State lost for the 18th straight time at Oklahoma State, which ain't going to look good on Selection Sunday.

-- Jimmer Fredette had 13 points in 17 minutes for Sacramento, losers by a hoop at Minnesota; Kings were +12 with Fredette on the court. Not sure why they're not playing him more.

-- Rangers had a tying goal waved off with 0:03.5 left, as they lost 1-0 to the Devils; ref called goalie interference, a marginal call.


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) Interesting to know that the last two Super Bowl champs combined to go 19-13 in the regular season. More than ever before, getting in the postseason tournament is the main thing.

12) Memphis to the Big East is long overdue; gives the league an 18th team, and won’t hurt the football side for too long. Curious to see if Mountain West and whats left of Conference USA wind up merging.

11) Giants’ victory parade in 2008 cost the city of New York $331,000, so you figure this year’s was at least that much. Lot of money, especially considering the team plays in New Jersey.

10) College hockey’s Frozen Four is in St Petersburg, FL April 5-7, in the building the Tampa Bay Lightning call home. Frozen Four was actually here in Albany once; pretty cool event, but I guess its weird that hockey is having its Final Four in Florida. .

9) If Ryan Braun’s 50-game suspension holds up, he returns May 31, which would be eight weeks out of my fantasy league’s 19-game regular season.

8) As if there aren’t enough people who are famous for no reason, they’re now going to have a Real Housewives of south Boston; interesting to see if these women are as obnoxious as most of the other Real Housewives have become.

7) Knicks just won back-to-back games with Jeremy Lin and Steve Novak as key players; they may wind up firing Mike D’Antoni, but don’t tell me he can’t coach. The Carmelo Anthony trade screwed up their team chemistry and they haven’t been able to fix it since, until the last two games.

6) 65 underclassmen will be at the NFL Combine in two weeks; Rams need Robert Griffin III to be very impressive so a team(s) will fall head over heels for him and throw multiple draft picks at St Louis to move up to the #2 slot.

5) Greg Schiano is having trouble putting together a coaching staff with NFL experience; Cardinals/Packers have both blocked position coaches from interviewing for the OC job in Tampa Bay, which doesn’t seem fair. If a coach is going to be promoted to be a coordinator, he should be allowed to switch teams, not be blocked by his current team.

4) San Diego Padres have lowered season ticket prices on over 60% of their seats for 2012, probably not a sign the club thinks it can contend this season. If they thought they were good, they'd rip their fans off and raise prices.

3) Singer Garth Brooks was a javelin thrower way back in his college days at Oklahoma State.

2) Bill Belichick has now been the head coach in five Super Bowls, which were decided by 3-3-3-3-4 points. Too bad he wasn’t enough of a grown-up to do an interview on live TV with NBC after Sunday’s game- could have improved his image a little, not that he cares.

1) Since 2003, the winners of the Duke-North Carolina basketball games are 20-1 in their next games; not much letting down there after a win.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
02/08/2012 04:07 PM


Duke at North Carolina
The Blue Devils look to take advantage of a North Carolina team that is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games against ACC opponents. Duke is the pick (+6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Tar Heels favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Duke (+6 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 523-524: George Washington at Temple (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 53.134; Temple 71.776
Dunkel Line: Temple by 18 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Temple by 14; 134
Dunkel Pick: Temple (-14); Over

Game 525-526: Penn State at Michigan State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 59.364; Michigan State 73.865
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 14 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 16; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick Penn State (+16); Under

Game 527-528: Drexel at James Madison (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 60.352; James Madison 55.165
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 5; 129
Vegas Line: Drexel by 7 1/2; 126
Dunkel Pick: James Madison (+7 1/2); Over

Game 529-530: Hofstra at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 50.880; George Mason 60.394
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 9 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: George Mason by 11; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hofstra (+11); Under

Game 531-532: Old Dominion at William & Mary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 59.375; William & Mary 48.403
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 11; 112
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 9 1/2; 118 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-9 1/2); Under

Game 533-534: NC-Wilmington at Delaware (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Wilmington 49.466; Delaware 54.207
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 5; 145
Vegas Line: Delaware by 6 1/2 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC-Wilmington (+6 1/2); Over

Game 535-536: Memphis at East Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 66.728; East Carolina 57.917
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 9; 135
Vegas Line: Memphis by 6; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6); Under

Game 537-538: Cincinnati at St. John's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 65.172; St. John's 63.710
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 4; 133
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+4); Over

Game 539-540: Marshall at Central Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 59.229; Central Florida 62.646
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 3 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 5 1/2; 127
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+5 1/2); Under

Game 541-542: Buffalo at Central Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 55.745; Central Michigan 51.731
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 4; 137
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 6; 134
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+6); Over

Game 543-544: Ohio at Toledo (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 60.018; Toledo 54.053
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 6; 142
Vegas Line: Ohio by 7 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+7 1/2); Over

Game 545-546: Kent State at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 59.546; Eastern Michigan 52.142
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 7 1/2; 110
Vegas Line: Kent State by 6 1/2; 118
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-6 1/2); Under

Game 547-548: Akron at Western Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 63.210; Western Michigan 56.308
Dunkel Line: Akron by 7; 144
Vegas Line: Akron by 3 1/2; 140
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-3 1/2); Over

Game 549-550: Bowling Green at Ball State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 55.633; Ball State 60.164
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 4 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Ball State by 2; 124
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-2); Under

Game 551-552: LaSalle at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 62.787; Richmond 61.076
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 1 1/2; 147
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 1; 142
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-1); Over

Game 553-554: Northeastern at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 53.551; Georgia State 64.653
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 11; 115
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 9 1/2; 117 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-9 1/2); Under

Game 555-556: Florida State at Boston College (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 70.752; Boston College 54.270
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 16 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Florida State by 13; 122
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-13); Over

Game 557-558: Rhode Island at Xavier (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rhode Island 50.173; Xavier 67.342
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 17; 136
Vegas Line: Xavier by 15 1/2; 140 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-15 1/2); Under

Game 559-560: Kansas at Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 73.517; Baylor 76.572
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 3; 149
Vegas Line: Baylor by 1 1/2; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-1 1/2); Over

Game 561-562: Georgetown at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 69.360; Syracuse 76.734
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 7 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 9 1/2; 130
Dunkel Pick: Georgetown (+9 1/2); Under

Game 563-564: Pittsburgh at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 65.352; South Florida 64.368
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 119
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+2); Under

Game 565-566: St. Bonaventure at Massachusetts (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 61.525; Massachusetts 62.419
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 2; 148
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 4 1/2; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+4 1/2); Over

Game 567-568: Wake Forest at Virginia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 53.882; Virginia 70.307
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 16 1/2; 123
Vegas Line: Virginia by 14 1/2; 118 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-14 1/2); Over

Game 569-570: Towson at VCU (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 40.272; VCU 61.163
Dunkel Line: VCU by 21; 114
Vegas Line: VCU by 24; 117
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+24); Under

Game 571-572: TCU at SMU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 56.488; SMU 55.708
Dunkel Line: TCU by 1; 121
Vegas Line: SMU by 2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+2); Under

Game 573-574: Arkansas at Georgia (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 60.025; Georgia 63.337
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 3 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Georgia by 1; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-1); Over

Game 575-576: Southern Mississippi at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 64.566; UAB 60.926
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 3 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 2; 120 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-2); Over

Game 577-578: Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 51.469; Northern Illinois 43.842
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 7 1/2; 114
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 9; 119
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (+9); Under

Game 579-580: Rice at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 54.891; Houston 54.875
Dunkel Line: Even; 141
Vegas Line: Rice by 1 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+1 1/2); Under

Game 581-582: Drake at Illinois State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 56.461; Illinois State 65.939
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 9 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 7 1/2; 130
Dunkel Pick: Illinois State (-7 1/2); Over

Game 583-584: Indiana State at Bradley (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana State 55.396; Bradley 51.817
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 3 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 6; 134
Dunkel Pick: Bradley (+6); Over

Game 585-586: Missouri State at Southern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 62.152; Southern Illinois 56.017
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 6; 120
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 3 1/2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-3 1/2); Under

Game 587-588: Northern Iowa at Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 59.727; Wichita State 67.631
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 8; 125
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 10 1/2; 130 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (+10 1/2); Under

Game 589-590: South Carolina at Tennessee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 56.882; Tennessee 66.023
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 9; 129
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 7; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-7); Over

Game 591-592: St. Louis at St. Joseph's (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 66.680; St. Joseph's 61.540
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 4; 133
Vegas Line: St. Louis by 2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-2); Over

Game 593-594: Michigan at Nebraska (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 67.481; Nebraska 62.803
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 4 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Michigan by 3; 121 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-3); Under

Game 595-596: Tulsa at UTEP (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 60.332; UTEP 61.223
Dunkel Line: UTEP by 1; 133
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 1; 125
Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+1); Over

Game 597-598: LSU at Vanderbilt (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 61.528; Vanderbilt 70.206
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 8 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 10; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LSU (+10); Under

Game 599-600: Seton Hall at Rutgers (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 62.070; Rutgers 60.851
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 1; 122
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 1 1/2; 126 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (+1 1/2); Under

Game 601-602: Duke at North Carolina (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 68.740; North Carolina 72.967
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 4; 166
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 6 1/2; 159 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (+6 1/2); Over

Game 603-604: Notre Dame at West Virginia (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 64.744; West Virginia 72.664
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 8; 133
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 5 1/2; 126
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-5 1/2); Over

Game 605-606: Jacksonville State at Morehead State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville State 48.679; Morehead State 52.221
Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 3 1/2; 115
Vegas Line: Morehead State by 5 1/2; 119 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Jacksonville State (+5 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
02/08/2012 04:08 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 8

Cincinnati (-11) shot 26.3% from floor, 7-32 from arc in an awful 57-55 home loss to St John's Jan 7; underdogs are 5-0 vs spread in Bearcats' Big East road games, with Cincy losing last two, at West Virginia by 7 in OT, Rutgers by 7. St John's had 19 turnovers in the first meeting; they're 2-4 as Big East home dog, with three of their four home losses by 15+ points. Big East home underdogs of less than 6 points are 6-9 against the spread. Bearcats are 1-4 vs spread as a Big East underdog.

Central Florida lost 65-64 (+6.5) in brickfest at Marshall Jan 14, as the Knights were 5-20 from arc and Jordan was just 3-17 from floor for nite. UCF covered three of four as C-UA favorite, but they're struggling with ball, scoring just 59 ppg in last four games- they're 3-1 at in conference home games, winning by 7-1-11 points, with loss to Southern Miss by 13. Marshall lost four of five games since beating UCF. Conference USA home favorites of 6 or less points are 12-9-1 against the spread.

Kansas shot 57% from floor, made 6-11 from the arc in a relatively easy 92-74 home win over Baylor (+7) Jan 16; Jayhawks are 3-2 as a Big X home favorite, winning in Lawrence by 18-9-18-10-22 points, but they lost two of last three games, with both losses on road. Big X home teams are 8-2-1 vs spread when number is 3 or less points. Baylor won its last four games, last three by five or less points; they're 3-1 at home in Big X with only loss by a point to Missouri.

Syracuse won by 25 in its first game with Melo back in center of the 2-3 zone; Orange is 2-3 as Big East home favorite, winning home games by 26-7-23-8-2 points. Georgetown lost five of last six series games, with Hoyas' 64-56 win here LY their first in last six visits, losing its previous five games by 5-14-7-4-17 points. Big East single digit home favorites are 20-18 against the spread. Hoyas won five of last six games, are 1-2 as Big East road dog, losing by 12 at West Virginia, 12 at Pitt.

Pitt won its last four games, scoring 77.3 ppg, after getting Woodall back from injury; they've won five of last six games vs USF, beating them by 16-12 points LY- they won two of last three visits here, winning by 13-16 points. South Florida is 3-7 vs top 100 teams, but are 4-1 at home in conference play, with only loss to UConn by 3. Big East favorites of 3 or less points are 13-9 against the spread, 7-5 on the road. USF's wins in Big East play are against teams whose combined league record is 14-31.

Arkansas is 0-4 on SEC road, 1-3 as road underdog, losing away games by 8-23-6-6 points; Razorbacks are 10-1 vs teams ranked below #110 in country, with only loss to Houston 81 days ago. Georgia is 1-7 in SEC, losing last four games by 3-13-8-11 points, scoring only 55 ppg- they're 1-3 at home in conference, with only win in OT vs Tennessee. Home side is 6-2 vs spread in Hogs' SEC games. SEC home teams are 11-2 vs spread when number is 4 or less points.

Southern Miss had week since they ended 18-game skid vs Memphis, so they better be back down to earth here, vs UAB squad they beat 59-55 (-9) at home Jan 14, forcing 19 Blazer turnovers (+!2), surviving UAB's 50% shooting for night. C-USA home underdogs of less than 5 points are 6-4 vs spread. USM won three of four conference road games, with wins by 5-12-13 points. UAB won three of last four games, but they're 1-4 at home in conference, with losses by 3-2-7-7 points.

Wichita State (-2.5) won 71-68 at Northern Iowa Jan 18, but with 4:00 left, they were down 64-59; Shockers are 2-4 as MVC home favorites, with home wins by 3-37-43-12-5 points, with loss to Creighton. MVC home favorites of 9+ points are 12-9 against the spread. Panthers won last three home games, allowing 54.3 ppg; they're 1-5 on MVC road, 1-1 as road dogs, losing away games by 4-3-11-5-12 points. Wichita's bench scored only one basket in 58:00 played in first meeting.

Saint Louis won five of its last six games; they've allowed 62 points or less in four of six conference wins, 79-72-72 points in its three losses, at Dayton/UMass and at home to Temple. St Joe's won its last three home games, by 18-14-4 points; favorites covered six of their last seven A-14 games. Atlantic 14 home underdogs of 4 or less points are 8-4-1 against the spread. Billikens split their four A-14 road games, winning by 5 at Xavier, 1 at Charlotte, losing at Dayton by 7, UMass by 13.

Michigan is 1-4 on Big Dozen road this season, with only win at Purdue by a hoop; they scored average of 56.5 ppg in last four losses, all away games. Nebraska is 3-8 in conference, 2-3 at home, beating Indiana and Penn State- they scored 70+ in all three Big Dozen wins, are 0-7 when they score less than 70. Big Dozen home underdogs of 5 or less points are 11-4 against the spread. Michigan is 7-1 vs teams ranked #100 or lower, with only loss by 16 at #100 Iowa.

Vanderbilt is an odd team; streaky, disappointing- they've lost three of last four games, are 2-2 as SEC home favorite, winning home games by 30-11-18 points, with loss to Miss State. Commodores allowed 73+ in all three SEC losses, 66 or less points in all five wins. SEC double digit home favorites are 4-9 against spread. LSU lost five of last seven games; they're 2-2 as SEC road underdog, losing its away games by 16-9-12-5 points. Vandy covered once in last five games as a favorite, overall.

Duke has already lost two home games this year, very unusual; they're 4-0 on ACC road, scoring 73+ points in all four games- they lost by 22 at Ohio State in only game this season as an underdog. North Carolina is 2-5-1 as an ACC favorite, 1-2-1 at home, winning home games by 23-17-19-12 points. ACC single digit home faves are 2-13 against spread this season. Duke ranks #5 in offense, #91 on defense; they've allowed 76+ points in all four of their losses this season.

Notre Dame lost four of last five games with West Virginia, losing by 11-15 points in last two visits here, but Irish are hot right now- they've won/covered last four games, all as underdog. ND is 6-3 as Big East dog, 3-2 on road, with only losses by 16 at Cincinnati, 7 at Rutgers. WVU snapped 3-game skid with narrow escape at Providence Sunday; they're 3-2 as a Big East home favorite, winning home games by 14-12-24-3. Big East home favorites of 6+ points are 18-22-1 against the spread.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
02/08/2012 04:10 PM


Wednesday, February 8

Exposing the Top 25: Where the NCAAB polls went wrong

Each week throughout the college basketball season, Covers Expert Scott Spreitzer will dissect the new Top 25 rankings. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most overrated Top-25 team: Murray State Racers

This is the second time that the Racers have landed in this spot. Murray State, at 23-0 and ranked ninth in this week's Top 25, is a nice story, but the Racers don’t deserve their lofty ranking. After all, to be in this spot, they had to be ranked above Duke, Michigan State, and Georgetown, to name a few top programs.

Beating up on the 309th toughest schedule (according to Pomeroy rankings, which has MSU ranked 61st) doesn't impress me as much as it does the pollsters. I have a problem ranking teams in the Top 10 when they play creampuff after creampuff. Sure, you can only beat the teams on your schedule, but just about every ranked team could be 23-0 right now if they swapped schedules with Murray State.

The final four games on Murray State's schedule will be its toughest stretch of the season, including a Bracket Buster game against St. Mary's. Sweep their way to an undefeated regular season and maybe my thoughts on the Racers will change - maybe.

Most underrated Top-25 team: Florida State Seminoles

The Seminoles finished last season ranked 151st in scoring and looked much the same in the early going this year, despite possessing arguably the third-most talented team in the ACC. However, Florida State has scored at least 75 points in four of its last six games without sacrificing anything on the defensive end.

The Noles were in a tough spot against Virginia over the weekend, yet came through with a hard-fought three-point win. That's the type of game previous FSU editions would have lost. Before this season began, the Seminoles were hoping to have a couple of players step up on the offensive end. Instead, they have fared even better with seven players averaging between 13.2 and 7.2 points per game.

With the wraps off the offense and with its continued ferocious play on defense, FSU has the ability to beat anyone in the Top 25. As long as the Noles don't fall back into that sleepy offensive style, they could make serious noise in March.

Unranked team that should be: Temple Owls

Temple has played the 13th toughest slate in the nation and could come up big again this week. The Owls have won six straight, 11 of 13 (9-4 ATS) and their defensive play can be stifling. And unlike the John Chaney era, Fran Dunphy's Owls can flat out score.

Temple has connected on 47.5 percent of its field goal attempts, including going 40.2 percent from behind the arc - ranking 34th and 11th in the nation, respectively. Posting a 17-5 (13-9 ATS) mark with those kinds of numbers against the nation's 13th toughest slate is impressive.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
02/08/2012 04:11 PM


Wednesday, February 8

What bettors need to know: Wednesday's NCAAB action

Kansas Jayhawks at Baylor Bears (-1.5, 144)

THE STORY: Duke at North Carolina isn’t the only Top 10 showdown on Wednesday night. Before that marquee game, there’s a gigantic matchup in the Big 12 featuring No. 10 Kansas and No. 6 Baylor. These two teams are both a half-game back of No. 4 Missouri for the conference lead, so the winner moves into a tie for first with seven games left. The first matchup didn’t live up to the hype, with the Jayhawks throttling the Bears 92-74 in Lawrence. But this one figures to be more competitive, as Baylor has lost only once at home all season, while Kansas is coming off a road loss at Missouri.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2

THE LINE: Baylor opened as a 1.5-point home favorite with a 144-point total.

ABOUT KANSAS (18-5, 8-2 Big 12): Whatever happened at the end of the loss to Missouri needs to be fixed. The Jayhawks appeared to be in control until the final minutes, when they surrendered 11 straight points to lose 74-71. Kansas has dropped two straight games away from home — the other was at Iowa State — since opening Big 12 play at 7-0. Kansas coach Bill Self hasn’t lost back-to-back games since the 2005-06 season and said earlier this week, “Our guys will bounce back. If our guys don't play well or if we don't win, it won't be because of what happened Saturday (at Missouri).”

ABOUT BAYLOR (21-2, 8-2 Big 12): Kansas is used to competing for conference titles, but this is uncharted territory for the Bears. At 8-2, this is their best start to a conference slate through 10 games since going 10-0 in 1947-48. In addition, Baylor’s 21-2 start overall matches the best in program history set in 1945-46. Perry Jones III struggled to contain Thomas Robinson in the first matchup, but the sophomore is really starting to heat up lately, posting 74 points and 42 rebounds — good for three double-doubles — over the past four games.

- The under is 8-0-1 in Kansas' last nine road games.
- Baylor is 7-19 against the spread in its last 26 against the Big 12.
- Kansas is 2-4-1 against the spread in its last seven.


1. Baylor’s senior class (Quincy Acy, Fred Ellis and Anthony Jones) has 91 career wins and needs just one more to break the all-time school record.

2. Robinson has 16 double-doubles this season for Kansas, more than twice as many as any other Big 12 player.

3. Since the Big 12 was formed in 1996, the Jayhawks are 16-2 all-time against Baylor.

Georgetown Hoyas at Syracuse Orange (-8.5, 130)

THE STORY: The number of games in this classic Big East rivalry is dwindling, but the intensity will be high when No. 2 Syracuse welcomes No. 11 Georgetown. This is their first matchup since the Orange declared they would be leaving for the Atlantic Coast Conference in 2014. More than 30,000 fans are expected to pack the Carrier Dome, where the Orange have won 18 straight since losing to Georgetown 64-56 last season. The Hoyas are riding several streaks of their own, including four consecutive wins over top-20 teams and back-to-back games of allowing 45 points or less. Holding Syracuse to anywhere near that total seems far fetched: the Orange boast the top scoring offense in the Big East (78.1) and are coming off a 95-70 drubbing of St. John’s in which five players reached double figures.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

ABOUT GEORGETOWN (18-4, 8-3 Big East): The Hoyas solved the Orange 2-3 zone in their last trip to the Dome by penetrating and passing to the top of the key, then dishing for open looks and cuts to the basket. Point guard Chris Wright had nine assists and Georgetown shot 42.1 percent from beyond the arc. This season, though, the Hoyas’ top assist man has been center Henry Sims, who does not possess the floor vision nor quick recognition that Wright did a year ago. Plus, the Hoyas will have to deal with 7-foot center Fab Melo, who played just three minutes in that loss as a freshman.

ABOUT SYRACUSE (23-1, 10-1 Big East): Distribution will be just as vital for Syracuse. But the Orange have a point guard who excels in the open floor and half court. Scoop Jardine dished out 13 assists against three turnovers in two matchups with the Hoyas last season. Georgetown has held its last two opponents under 32 percent shooting by focusing on a pair of key scorers. Against Syracuse, a team that goes 10-deep, the Hoyas will have to defend all five positions.


* Underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
* Hoyas are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.


1. Georgetown ranks second in defensive rebounding (39.9) in the Big East. Syracuse lost the battle of the boards by a double-digit margin in two of three games before playing a small St. John’s team last weekend.

2. The Orange are hitting just 30 percent on 3-pointers in Big East play; leading scorer Kris Joseph is 9 for his last 40.

3. Georgetown’s young backcourt has lost the turnover battle in three straight games against ranked teams. Syracuse leads the conference in steals and turnover margin.

Duke Blue Devils at North Carolina Tar Heels (-6.5, 160.5)

THE STORY: Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski questioned his team’s effort following its stunning 78-74 home loss to Miami on Sunday. With so much at stake, the ninth-ranked Blue Devils shouldn’t have any trouble getting up for their matchup against No. 5 North Carolina. The Tar Heels are tied with Florida State for first place in the Atlantic Coast Conference standings and are a game ahead of second-place Duke. A Blue Devils loss would put them two back with just seven conference games left. Duke has won four of the last five in the series, including eight of the last 13 at Chapel Hill.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN, ESPN3.

THE LINE: Oddsmakers had UNC as a 7-point favorite at the open, but the Heels are now set around -6.5 at most books. The total is pegged at 160.5.

ABOUT DUKE (19-4, 6-2 ACC): Duke gave up 18 offensive rebounds against Miami, including eight by Reggie Johnson, who torched the Blue Devils with a 27-point, 12-rebound effort. Tyler Zeller, the Tar Heels’ senior forward, might be able to do the same. Zeller has scored 14 or more in eight straight games and has five double-doubles during that stretch. If Duke allows him to control the glass — and if the Blue Devils are forced to put extra defenders on him — it could open things up on the outside for Harrison Barnes, Reggie Bullock and P.J. Hairston. The trio has made a combined 102 3-pointers.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA (20-3, 7-1 ACC): A rivalry known for its fantastic finishes hasn’t been all that competitive in the last two years. Though North Carolina did salvage an 81-67 home win in last year’s meeting, its four losses have come by six, 10, 17 and 32 points. In the most recent meeting, a 75-58 Duke victory in the ACC championship game, the Blue Devils took a 42-28 halftime lead and smothered the Tar Heels defensively, holding them to 33.9 percent shooting. The Tar Heels might be tough to slow down this time around. During their five-game win streak, they’ve scored 74 or more four times and have won every game by nine or more.

- The under is 7-3 in Duke's last 10 road games.
- The visitor is 7-2 against the spread in the last nine dates between these two teams.
- UNC is 1-4 ATS in its last five home games against Duke.


1. Duke hasn’t lost consecutive games since the 2008-09 season. The Blue Devils are 14-0 off a loss during that stretch, including a 3-0 mark this season.

2. The last four meetings have seen double-digit halftime leads of 27, 14 (twice) and 12 points. North Carolina was the only team to lose a game after leading. The Tar Heels fell 79-73 on Feb. 9, 2010, after leading by 14 at the half.

3. Duke is 21-10 against the Tar Heels since 1998-99.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
02/08/2012 04:12 PM


Wednesday, February 8

College funds: Wednesday's best NCAAB bets

Michigan Wolverines at Nebraska Cornhuskers (3, 121.5)

With the most difficult stretch of its schedule in the rearview mirror, No. 25 Michigan has a chance to finish strong.

The Wolverines, who concluded a three-game run against ranked teams, face just one more Top 25 opponent. The first order of business, though, will be to fix the area that is usually a staple of John Beilein-coached teams – 3-point shooting.

Although the Wolverines lead the conference in 3-pointers and attempts, they rank ninth in accuracy (31.7 percent). That number should get a boost against Nebraska, which has allowed its last two opponents to shoot 43.8 percent from behind the arc.

That said, the road has been unkind to the Wolverines in 2012, especially early in games. Their only win in six tries away from Crisler Center is at Purdue, which is also the only contest they led at halftime.

They should be able to get it done Wednesday against a Nebraska club that is only 2-7 against the spread in its last nine home games.

Pick: Wolverines

Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Virginia Cavaliers (-16, 117.5)

No. 20 Virginia is the runaway leader in the ACC in scoring defense, holding opponents to an average of 51.4 points -- nearly nine fewer than the next closest competitor.

Wake Forest ranks last in the category, letting teams score 70.7 points per game. The Demon Deacons are fighting to stay out of last place in the conference while the Cavaliers sit comfortably in fifth, ready to pick off the top four with their lockdown defense and the power game of fifth-year senior Mike Scott.

Virginia needs only to look back to last season for motivation, when a Wake Forest team winless in the conference knocked the Cavaliers off behind a stellar performance from C.J. Harris.

Everything begins on the defensive end for the Cavaliers, who not only lead the ACC but sit second nationally in scoring defense. Virginia likes to make teams play at its pace, then relies on Scott to score enough to get the win.

Whether he can score enough to cover the big number is a tough one, but we'll get in on the under.

Pick: Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
02/08/2012 04:14 PM

Short Sheet

Wednesday's Top College Basketball Trends

BOWLING GREEN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog (vs Ball St)

DREXEL is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after 2 consecutive conference games (vs James Madison)

MIAMI OHIO is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record (vs N Illinois)

NOTRE DAME is 10-0 ATS (+10 Units) in a road game where the total is 129.5 or less (vs W Virginia)

KANSAS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 (vs Baylor)

BRADLEY is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) on Wednesday games (vs Indiana St)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
02/08/2012 04:16 PM


Houston at Portland
The Rockets look to take advantage of a Portland team that is coming off a 111-107 loss to Oklahoma City and is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games after scoring 100 or more points in the previous game. Houston is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blazers favored by only 5. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks


Game 501-502: Miami at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.524; Orlando 120.914
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 3; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-3); Under

Game 503-504: New York at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 113.650; Washington 114.657
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 199
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 1 1/2; 195
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Milwaukee at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 115.433; Toronto 112.582
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 3; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-1 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: San Antonio at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 123.254; Philadelphia 125.623
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2 1/2; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 4; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+4); Under

Game 509-510: LA Clippers at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 122.790; Cleveland 113.429
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 9 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5 1/2; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-5 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Indiana at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 120.859; Atlanta 119.556
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: Detroit at New Jersey (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 109.180; New Jersey 114.736
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 5 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey by 4; 186
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-4); Under

Game 515-516: Chicago at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 122.546; New Orleans 115.939
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 6 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 182
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+9); Over

Game 517-518: Minnesota at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 115.710; Memphis 125.026
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 9 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 7 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-7 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Dallas at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 118.486; Denver 122.612
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1; 196
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1); Under

Game 521-522: Houston at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.190; Portland 125.105
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+7 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
02/08/2012 04:17 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 8

Hot Teams
-- Miami won eight of its last nine games. Magic won three of four.
-- Philly won six of its last seven games. Spurs won last five games, covered last six.
-- Clippers won six of their last seven games.
-- Pacers won five of their last six games.
-- Bulls covered 11 of their last 15 road games.
-- Minnesota won four of its last five games.
-- Portland won/covered five of its last six home games.

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost six of their last seven road games; they're 5-0 vs spread in last five games overall. Wizards lost four of their last five games.
-- Toronto lost four of its last five home games. Bucks lost their last three games, scoring 91.7 ppg.
-- Cavaliers lost eight of last eleven games (2-1-1 as home dog).
-- Hawks lost last three games, all at home, scoring 84.7 ppg.
-- Pistons are 2-10-1 vs spread as a road underdog. Nets lost four of last five games (2-2 as home favorite).
-- New Orleans hasn't won/covered any of its last six games.
-- Grizzlies lost last three games, scoring 86 ppg.
-- Denver lost five of its last six games. Mavericks lost last three games, scoring 87 ppg.
-- Rockets are 3-7 against spread as a road underdog.

Wear and Tear
-- Heat: 3rd game/4 nites. Magic: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Knicks: 5th game/7 nites. Wizards: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Bucks: 4th game/6 nites. Raptors: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Spurs: 3rd game/5 nites. 76ers: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Clippers: 3rd game/5 nites. Cavaliers: 4th game/6 nites.
-- Pacers: 6th game/9 nites. Hawks: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Pistons: Had last three nites off. Nets: 6th game/9 nites.
-- Bulls: 3rd game/5 nites. Hornets: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Wolves: 4th game/6 nites. Grizzlies: 7th game/10 nites.
-- Mavericks: Had last three nites off. Nuggets: 5th game/7 nites.
-- Rockets: 4th game/6 nites. Blazers: 3rd game/5 nites.

-- Over is 8-3 in Miami's road games this season.
-- Under is 11-1 in New York's road games.
-- Eight of last nine Milwaukee games went over.
-- Four of last five San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Clipper road games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Indiana games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Detroit games went over total.
-- Last four Chicago games went over the total.
-- Over is 8-3 in Minnesota's last eleven games. Under is 10-2 in last 12 Memphis games.
-- Under is 7-3 in last ten Dallas road games.
-- Six of last eight Houston road games stayed under.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: