steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 02/08/2012 12:26 PM in Cappers

NCAAB FREE PICK: Nebraska Cornhuskers +3

Michigan vs. Nebraska, 02/08/2012 20:30
Point Spread: +3/-102 Nebraska

This may look like a safe spot to bet Michigan as a small road favorite, but I believe your money needs to be on the Cornhuskers. Michigan is simply not a very good team on the road, where Nebraska easily plays their best basketball at home. In conference play the Wolverines are just 1-4 on the road, with their only win coming by 2-points at Purdue. Eight of Nebraska's 11 wins have came at home, including a shocking win over Indiana as 3.5-point underdog.

Even though Michigan comes into this game off a loss, I think it's going to be extremely hard for them to get motivated to play a poor team like Nebraska, especially with two huge home games against Illinois and Ohio State next up on the schedule.

Nebraska simply isn't a popular team to bet on in college basketball, which in turn has allowed the oddsmakers to really set up the public. The Cornhuskers are 32-12 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 since 1997 and are 15-4 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997. BET NEBRASKA!

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