cnotes Posts:33257 Followers:38
On 02/06/2012 02:47 PM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes Monday's Best Bets NCAAB-NBA-NHL !

UConn At Louisville Highlights Big Monday

There's a fairly light college hoops schedule over the next two days as the bulk of North American sports fans turn their attention to the NFL Championship Game. Still, trying to cover a shorter slate for one day is difficult enough, much less two days in the same article, so let's get cracking.

West Virginia at Providence
Sunday, 12:00 p.m. (ET) ESPN3

It's certainly not a marquee matchup according to the rankings or current Big East standings, but it's a huge game for Bob Huggins and the Mountaineers. West Virginia has dropped three straight – games that should have or could have been won – to sit smack-dab in the middle of the conference standings with a level 5-5 record.

Recent series trends between the Mountaineers and Friars point to this being an excellent opportunity for WVU to get back into the win column. West Virginia has won seven straight vs. the Friars, three of the last four in Providence and is a perfect 6-0 since Huggins came to Morgantown.

Still, winning on the road in the Big East isn't easy regardless of the competition or trends. The Mountaineers proved that on Jan. 25 when they fell 78-62 at St. John's as 7½-point favorites, and are just 1-4 away from home on the conference schedule so far (2-3 against the spread).

Providence did have the big 90-59 home upset against Louisville a little more than three weeks ago, but has otherwise been a disappointment in front of the home fans. The Friars are 2-3 SU and ATS at Dunkin' Donuts Center in Big East play.

Michigan at Michigan State
Sunday, 1:00 p.m. (ET) CBS

This one has all the qualifications to be the most compelling matchup over the next two days, from being the only contest between ranked clubs, to the natural rivalry between the two schools and a share of the Big Ten lead potentially on the line for the visiting Wolverines.

There's also the rematch angle after Michigan nipped the Spartans three weeks ago in Ann Arbor, 60-59. That contest hovered around a pick 'em before closing with Michigan State laying a point on the NCAA odds. The victory for the Wolverines was their third straight in this series that had been dominated by the Spartans before the 2010-11 season.

State is coming off a horrible effort at Illinois this past Tuesday, a 42-41 loss as small road chalk. The Spartans couldn't buy a bucket against the Illini, hitting less than 25 percent from the field, and were without leading scorer Draymond Green for most of the game due to foul trouble and a sprained left knee that occurred late in the contest. Green, averaging 14.9 points per game along with a team-leading 10.3 rebounds, is probable for Sunday's game with the Wolverines.

Connecticut at Louisville
Monday, 7:00 p.m. (ET) ESPN

Oh, how the mighty have fallen. Louisville's 12-0 run to open the campaign came to a crashing halt with five losses in a seven game stretch from late-December to mid-January. Four of those defeats came to Big East squads, but the Cardinals had rebounded with three consecutive wins entering play on Saturday when Louisville was a 10½-point favorite at home vs. Rutgers (result pending).

Meanwhile, the wheels have fallen off Connecticut's season in the past two weeks as the Huskies entered their Saturday matchup at home vs. Seton Hall on a four game slide and sporting a sub-.500 mark in the conference standings at 4-5. Adding to that misery is head coach Jim Calhoun sidelined for an indefinite period due to back problems. Calhoun will not be on the sidelines for either Saturday's game, with UConn laying seven against the Pirates, or this road trip to Louisville.

These two met in the finals of last year's Big East Tournament, a 69-66 Huskies win as 3-point 'dogs. The Cardinals had won the previous four regular season clashes, UConn's last victory in Louisville coming on Feb. 2, 2009. The last two meetings have finished 'under' the total.

Texas at Texas A&M
Monday, 9:00 p.m. (ET), ESPN

It's been a hugely disappointing season for both the Aggies and Longhorns who headed into their Saturday battles tied near the bottom of the Big 12 standings, each with 3-6 records. Neither squad is even remotely in the NCAA Tournament discussion, and it would take a strong run from either to even warrant an NIT invite at this stage. Still, Monday's game between the bitter rivals bears mentioning if only for the fact this could be Texas' last visit to College Station for a long, long time.

The season has been a total disaster for the Aggies who were ranked 19/20 in the two preseason polls. Bad news started before the team ever took to the floor when first year head coach Billy Kennedy was diagnosed with the early stages of Parkinson's disease. Top freshman recruit Jamal Branch decided to transfer just 12 games into the schedule, and the team has been hampered by injuries to star forward Khris Middleton (knee), point guard Dash Harris (foot) and forward Kourtney Roberson (ankle). Middleton and Harris could be back for Monday's tilt, but Roberson appears to still be a week away from returning.

Texas came into the season with far less expectations than the Aggies thanks to early departures from last season's roster. Rick Barnes' boys have been particularly vulnerable playing outside of Austin, going 1-7 in road or neutral site games and winless in four Big 12 trips. The one bright spot is the 'Horns have at least covered their last two away from home (at Kansas State and Baylor).

It has been a little more than three weeks since A&M and UT engaged for the first time this campaign. The Longhorns registered a 61-51 win in Austin, failing to cover the 12-point spread. That victory extended Texas' win string in the series to four but snapped a three game cover run. The Jan. 11 tilt just stayed 'under' the 123-point total, the fourth time in six games that the final failed to reach the scoreboard tally.

The results from their Saturday's games are still pending as we go to press. Texas A&M was getting 11½ on the road at Kansas State while Texas was laying a whopping 18½ at home to Texas Tech.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33257 Followers:38
02/06/2012 02:50 PM

Games to Watch

February 6, 2012

The men's college basketball season continues to press-on towards tournament- time and while there has already been an amazing number of stunning upsets and fantastic finishes, you cannot help but believe that the best is yet to come. The remaining schedule is filled with a number of matchups that will have a huge impact on shaping the field of 68 teams for the madness of March's NCAA Tournament.

The following is a brief look at the top matchups for each day this week along with a few facts and figures to help handicap the games.

Monday, February 6 - No. 4 Missouri vs. Oklahoma (ESPNU)

Missouri pushed its current winning streak to three games with a crucial 74-71 victory over No. 8 Kansas this past Saturday as a three-point home favorite. The Tigers are now 21-2 straight-up (10-6-2 against the spread) overall and tied for the lead in the Big 12 at 8-2 SU.

Oklahoma's 77-70 loss to Iowa State as a three-point home favorite this past Saturday was its fourth in its last five games and it dropped the Sooners to 13-9 SU and 7-11 ATS. They are 9-3 SU this season at home, but just 3-5 ATS. The total has stayed 'under' in five of the eight games. Oklahoma has been opened as a five point home underdog against the Tigers.

Tuesday, February 7 - No. 11 Florida vs. No. 1 Kentucky (ESPN)

Florida notched its seventh-straight win with a solid 73-65 victory over Vanderbilt this past Saturday as a 6 ½-point home favorite. The Gators are now 19-4 SU and 9-8-1 ATS. They remain a game and half behind the Wildcats in the SEC with a conference record of 7-1 SU.

Kentucky has not lost since early December and ran its overall record to 23-1 ATS with Saturday's 86-52 rout over South Carolina. The Wildcats are a costly 8-14-1 ATS this season, but they have covered in five of their last six games. They are 15-0 SU at home (3-10-1 ATS) and the total has stayed 'under' in 14 of 23 games overall.

Wednesday, February 8 - No. 5 Duke vs. No. 6 North Carolina (ESPN)

Sunday's stunning 78-74 overtime loss to Miami as a 12-point home favorite dropped Duke to 19-4 SU and 9-14 ATS. The Blue Devils 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games and the total has gone 'over' in five of their last seven. They now trail both North Carolina and Florida by a game in the ACC at 6-2 SU.

North Carolina got past Maryland 83-74 on Saturday but could not cover as a 12-point road favorite. It is now 20-3 SU on the year and 11-11 ATS. The Tar Heels are 14-0 SU at home and 7-6 ATS. The total has stayed 'under' in eight of the 13 games. They remain ranked first in the nation in both points and rebounds per game.

Thursday, February 9 - Mississippi vs. No. 19 Mississippi State (ESPN2)

Ole Miss was on the wrong end of a 69-67 double-overtime thriller with Alabama this past Saturday as a 10 ½-point road underdog. The loss dropped the Rebels to 14-8 SU overall and to 4-4 SU in the SEC. They are 10-9-1 ATS and the total has gone 'over' in six of nine games on the road.

Mississippi State squeaked by Auburn 91-88 as an 11 ½-point home favorite this past Saturday. The Bulldogs are now 18-5 SU overall, but they are just 2-7 ATS in their last nine games and 10-12 ATS overall. They are 14-1 SU at home this season, but 5-9 ATS. The total has gone 'over' in four of their last five games.

Friday, February 10 - Iona vs. Loyola-Maryland (ESPNU)

Iona comes into this game at 19-5 SU (10-10-2 ATS) and 11-2 SU in the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference. The Gaels have won eight of their last 10 games SU and are 5-4-1 ATS. The total has stayed 'under' in six last their last eight games.

Loyola-Maryland has already lost to the Gaels this season 74-63 as an 11-point road underdog, but is tied with Iona in conference play at 11-2 SU. The Greyhounds are 18-5 SU overall and 8-6-3 ATS. They are 6-1-2 ATS in their last nine games and the total has stayed 'under' in their last six.

Saturday, February 11 - No. 10 Michigan State vs. No. 3 Ohio State (ESPN)

Michigan State posted a huge 64-54 victory over No.22 Michigan this past Sunday as a seven-point home favorite. The Spartans are now 18-5 SU and 13-7 ATS heading into a Wednesday night matchup with Penn State. They are 4-3 ATS on the road this season and the total has stayed 'under' in four of the seven games.

Ohio State ran its overall record to 20-3 SU and 12-6 SU with a 58-52 win over No.20 Wisconsin this past Saturday as a 3 ½-point road favorite. The Buckeyes are 8-2 SU in Big Ten play and a game ahead of the Spartans in the standings heading into Tuesday's contest against Purdue. Ohio State is 16-0 SU and 9-2 ATS at home this season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33257 Followers:38
02/06/2012 02:53 PM

Three & Three ATS Results

January 24, 2012

This shortened NBA season has many bettors scrambling through the first two weeks as things are starting to settle. Many teams are playing back-to-backs and four games in five nights, but what about the newly-instituted three games in three nights? In order to condense as many contests as possible over the next four months, every team will play at least one set of three consecutive games in three days.
Below are the situations for this season and the results against the spread


12/27 LAL 96, UT 71 -5.5 W
12/31 HOU 95, ATL 84 -1 W
1/2 DEN 91, MIL 86 -4.5 W
1/5 SAC 103, MIL 100 +3 W
1/7 ATL 109, CHI 94 +6 W
1/8 OKC 108, SA 96 -6.5 W
1/10 MIN 100, CHI 111 +6.5 L
1/11 CHI 78, WSH 64 -11.5 W
1/11 PHI 79, NY 85 +4 L
1/11 TOR 91, SAC 98 -5.5 L
1/14 CHA 112, GS 100 +3.5 W
1/18 LAC 91, DAL 89 +3.5 W
1/18 ORL 83, SA 85 -5.5 L
1/23 NJ 95, CHI 110 +13.5 L
1/25 POR 93, GS 101 +3.5 L
2/1 DET 96, NJ 99 +6 W
2/4 NY 99, NJ 92 -6.5 W
2/4 DEN 97, POR 117 +6.5 L
2/14 MIA at IND
2/14 UT at OKC
2/15 PHX vs. ATL
2/16 POR vs. LAC
2/16 IND vs. NJ
2/20 NJ at NY
2/22 NO at CLE
3/1 MIN at PHX
3/10 DAL at GS
3/16 PHX vs. DET
3/22 LAC at NO
3/24 MIL vs. IND*
3/25 ATL vs. UT
3/25 SA vs. PHI
3/26 WSH vs. DET
4/4 MEM at DAL
4/6 WSH at NJ
4/15 BOS at CHA
4/15 CLE vs. ORL
4/18 PHI at CLE
4/18 SA at SAC
4/19 DET vs. MIN
4/22 GS at MIN

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33257 Followers:38
02/06/2012 02:55 PM

Hoop Trends - Monday

February 6, 2012


The Hawks are 0-14 ATS (-13.6 ppg) since April 28, 2010 at home with at least one day of rest after a game in which they allowed at least 50% from the field and committeed more than five turnovers


The Wizards are 0-13-1 OU (-10.7 ppg) since February 11, 2007 at home with at least one day of rest off a loss in which they never led.


The Spurs are 0-10 ATS (-12.3 ppg) since May 03, 2010 on the road after a win where they allowed less than 102 points in which Richard Jefferson scored fewer than 10 points.


The Kings are 0-14 ATS (-9.4 ppg) since December 07, 2007 with a total under 214 after a home win in which their DPA was greater than 0.5.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33257 Followers:38
02/06/2012 02:58 PM

Cram Session

February 6, 2012

The Affects Of A Strike-Shortened NBA Season

When the NBA settled its lockout in December last year the league was forced to condense a 66-game schedule into a four-month span.

With that we examined the affect of this season's NBA crammed schedule on the teams and their play on the court. The results in games played through Sunday, February 5 have been interesting. All results are ATS (against The Spread) unless noted otherwise…

Advantage: Linemaker

The linemaker's have done a solid job balancing the action with home teams holding a slight edge, going 186-170 ATS overall.

The one area they've failed to get a handle on, though, over compensated teams off back-to-back wins in their last two games as these squads are just 75-101 ATS this season, including 7-23 ATS when facing an angry foe that was upset as a favorite in its previous game.

Totally Unfair

The action on teams playing with no rest has been fairly balanced as those who played the previous day are 112-115 ATS overall.

Breaking it down, unrested teams versus rested opponents are 56-69 SU and 62-63 ATS, including 7-19 ATS when facing an opponent off back-to-back defeats.

However, when it comes to Over/Under totals involving teams in back-to-backers the UNDER players have cleaned up.

That's confirmed by the fact that 'Overs' are just 93-130-4 ATS, including 28-66-2 ATS in a battle of two unrested opponents and a mind-blowing 8-38-2 ATS if the total in the game is 190 or greater.

In Need Of Oxygen

Matchups involving a pair of unrested foes have seen road teams taking their lumps, going 17-31 ATS.

These same tired travelers slip to 6-19 ATS when facing an unrest host off a win.

Ménage A Trois

Teams forced to play three games in three days have been moneymakers this campaign as evidenced by a 10-8 SU and 11-7 ATS record.

Breaking them down home teams have delivered a glossy 10-3 ATS log while visiting teams in the 3rd of 3 straight road games are just 1-4 ATS.

FYI: Teams off back-to-back losses in the backend of three-games in three-days are 5-0 ATS.

48 Hours

As you might expect, having the luxury of two or more days of rest has proven beneficial with these teams checking in at 37-28 ATS to date this season.

Bring them in off a loss and they improve to 21-8 ATS. Those off back-to-back losses zoom to 16-3 ATS.

And for what it's worth teams with two or more days of rest taking on an unrested foe are 13-7 ATS.

Chew On This

In closing here are a few other tidbits to chew on in this year's accommodation of billionaires and millionaires:

Favorites of more than 12 points are 17-6 ATS

Teams off a SU favorite loss are 23-7 ATS when facing an opponent off a pair of wins

Teams off back-to-back SU and ATS wins is 42-61 ATS, including 3-14 ATS if they were underdogs in both victories

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33257 Followers:38
02/06/2012 03:00 PM

Thunder roll into Portland for Monday showdown



Tip-off: Monday, 10:05 p.m. ET
Line: Oklahoma City -1.5, Total: 195.5

Portland will be a home underdog for the first time this season when they host Oklahoma City on Monday night.

Which team will prevail on Monday night? Check out the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three at Three finished a perfect 3-0 ATS last Monday.

The Thunder are coming off an uninspired effort in San Antonio on Saturday. They trailed by 24 late in the third quarter and scored the game’s final six points just to cut it to 11. They’ve been shaky defensively of late with their top perimeter defender, SG Thabo Sefolosha (foot), out of the lineup. He’s expected to miss Monday’s game too. Sefolosha has missed the past four games and the Thunder allowed 99.8 PPG during that span, including 107 in San Antonio and 112 on the road to the Clippers a week ago. They’re 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS this season with Sefolosha out.

Over the years, Kevin Durant (26.8 PPG) has generally struggled at Portland, averaging 23.6 PPG in his career but shooting just 41.1% from the field. Erratic PG Russell Westbrook (21.7 PPG) has been an outright disaster at the Rose Garden, where he’s hit just 33.0% of his shots over six career games. However, the FoxSheets have a strong three-star trend backing the Thunder:

OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-2 ATS (87.5%, +11.8 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points over the last 2 seasons. The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 101.9, OPPONENT 99.3 - (Rating = 3*).

Portland has won five in a row, SU and ATS, at home, including a 20-point crushing of Denver on Saturday. The Blazers are averaging 105.8 PPG and shooting 47.3% from the field and 36.4% from three at home, versus 90.7 PPG on 41.7% shooting from the field and 27.4% from three on the road this year.

In the Denver win, SF Nicolas Batum (12.4 PPG, 44.7% 3-pt FG) returned from a two-game absence and made the Nuggets pay for doubling LaMarcus Aldridge. Batum lit it up with 33 points, including 9-for-15 shooting from three. Aldridge (23.1 PPG) still finished with 29 points on 13-for-18 shooting. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend supporting the Blazers:

Play On - Any team (PORTLAND) - a good defensive team (88-92 PPG) against an average defensive team (92-98 PPG), after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half. (29-7 over the last 5 seasons, 80.6%, +21.3 units. Rating = 3*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33257 Followers:38
02/06/2012 03:01 PM

Surging Lakers visit Philly on Monday



Tip-off: Monday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Line: Philadelphia -3.5, Total: 177

The Lakers might be starting to turn things around on the road, and they’ll have a tough test in Kobe Bryant’s annual homecoming when they visit Philadelphia on Monday night.

Bryant hasn’t dominated in his hometown over the past four matchups, averaging just 21.0 PPG on 42.5% shooting, but the Lakers notched SU and ATS wins in all of those games, winning each of their past three matchups by eight points or more. But the 76ers have been excellent at home this year (12-3 SU, 11-4 ATS), holding opponents to a paltry 82.5 PPG on 41.1% FG. Can the Lakers pull off the mild upset on the road? Check out the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three at Three finished a perfect 3-0 ATS last Monday.

The 76ers have certainly been one of the NBA’s most pleasant surprises this season, but a closer look reveals a lot of good breaks so far. They’ve played 15 of their 24 games at home, and their 17-7 SU and ATS record has included wins over some teams missing key players: Indiana (minus Danny Granger), Chicago (minus Luol Deng) and Atlanta (minus Al Horford). As far as other elite opponents, they’ve been hammered by Miami twice in the last 16 days.

They were missing C Spencer Hawes (10.7 PPG, 8.5 RPG) in Friday’s 20-point home loss to Miami but bounced back nicely in Atlanta the following night, getting their usual balanced attack (six players in double-digits, four of them off the bench). Philly has six players averaging double-digit points on the season, led by sixth man Louis Williams (15.1 PPG). More importantly, they’ve been the NBA’s best defensive team so far, leading the league in defensive efficiency and points allowed (86.5 PPG). The FoxSheets provide a three-star trend backing Philly:

PHILADELPHIA is 11-1 ATS (91.7%, +9.9 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game this season. The average score was PHILADELPHIA 98.7, OPPONENT 82.0 - (Rating = 3*).

After dropping six of their first seven road games of the season, SU and ATS, the Lakers have won two of three away from home, including an impressive victory at Denver on Friday. They dropped a game in Utah on Saturday, but the Lakers have been much better when well-rested this year, going 10-5 SU and 8-7 ATS with a day or more of rest.

After some struggles offensively, the Lakers have been much better of late. They’re averaging 98.0 PPG and, after topping 100 points just once in their first 20 games, have been in triple-digits in two of their past four contests. Bryant (29.4 PPG) has averaged 26.3 PPG during that stretch, while C Andrew Bynum (17.0 PPG, 12.0 RPG) has 21.0 PPG (65.4% FG) and 10.0 RPG and PF Pau Gasol (16.5 PPG, 10.0 RPG) added 18.8 PPG on 52.6% shooting and 12.0 RPG. The FoxSheets have a trend in favor of Lakers (and former Cleveland) coach Mike Brown:

Brown is 89-58 ATS (60.5%, +25.2 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in all games he has coached since 1996. The average score was Brown 98.2, OPPONENT 95.0 - (Rating = 1*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33257 Followers:38
02/06/2012 03:03 PM

UConn heads to Louisville on Monday night

CONNECTICUT HUSKIES (15-7, 5-5 Big East)

at LOUISVILLE CARDINALS (18-5, 6-4 Big East)

Tip-Off: Monday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Louisville -4, Total: 129

After grabbing its first win in 2½ weeks on Saturday, UConn looks to get a signature road victory as the Huskies travel to Louisville to take on the Cardinals in a Big East showdown on Monday night.

The Huskies snapped a four-game losing streak (SU and ATS) this weekend taking down Seton Hall 69-46 in Hartford. Louisville has been extremely inconsistent—unable to string together two wins in a row since beginning conference play. Huskies have lost four of their past five road games, mustering only 44 points in an ugly loss to Georgetown last Wednesday. Louisville has ramped up its play over the past two weeks, winning four consecutive games (SU and ATS) after a 2-4 start in Big East play. Both of these teams rebound well, but which school will prevail on Monday? Check out the College Basketball Weekday 6-Pack for picks covering all the big games in college basketball each week. In Friday’s edition, the 6-Pack finished 4-1-1 ATS, improving to 7-4-1 ATS (64%) on the year.

UConn will play its second consecutive game without Head Coach Jim Calhoun, who is on an indefinite leave of absence due to a severe back condition. The Huskies have averaged just 38.7 percent from the field over their past five games. Freshman Ryan Boatright (9.8 PPG, 3.5 APG) had a breakout game in Saturday’s win over Seton Hall, scoring 19 points (8-of-12 FG) and five assists. It’s been a tumultuous season for Boatright, who’s missed nine games due to a much-maligned NCAA investigation. Boatright has taken over the starting point guard role from sophomore Shabazz Napier (13.3 PGG, 5.7 APG), and the offense looks to run with more fluidity as a result. Boatright has the ability to create shots off the dribble, a spot in which Napier and sophomore Jeremy Lamb (17.6 PPG) haven’t been as successful. It will be crucial for UConn’s guards to run the offense through freshman center Andre Drummond (10.2 PPG, 7.7 RPG) and attack Louisville’s talented frontcourt. The Huskies simply don’t have the outside shooting ability to win games settling for jump shots.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also sides with the Huskies:

CONNECTICUT is 10-1 ATS (90.9%, +8.9 Units) in road games after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons. The average score was CONNECTICUT 73.6, OPPONENT 64.5 - (Rating = 3*).

The Cardinals (11-8 ATS) are fully healthy for the first time all season, and the offense is really clicking at home, averaging 73.8 PPG at the KFC Yum! Center compared to just 65.6 PPG on the road. Cardinals’ leading scorer Kyle Kuric (13.2 PPG) has 14 or more points in three of his past four games after an ankle injury sidelined him for two contests. With Kuric’s injury—along with Peyton Siva’s earlier in the season—the Cardinals struggled to find consistency and rhythm on offense early in the season. Look for Louisville to press a turnover-prone UConn team into early mistakes. With sophomore center Gorgui Dieng (10.2 PPG, 9.5 RPG) doubtful to play because of a knee injury, the Cards will try to work the ball inside to freshman forward Chane Behanan (9.7 PPG, 7.7 RPG). Behanan is coming off a career-high 23 points along with 11 rebounds in Louisville’s 78-66 win over Rutgers on Saturday. This anti-UConn FoxSheets trend also favors the Cardinals:

CONNECTICUT is 25-46 ATS (35.2%, -25.6 Units) in road games off a home win by 10 points or more since 1997. The average score was CONNECTICUT 72.1, OPPONENT 68.8 - (Rating = 1*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33257 Followers:38
02/06/2012 03:05 PM

Texas, Texas A&M could have final meeting Monday

TEXAS LONGHORNS (14-9, 4-6 Big 12)

at TEXAS A&M AGGIES (12-10, 3-7 Big 12)

Tip-Off: Monday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas -2½, Total: 125½

Two struggling rivals could be meeting for the final time when Texas travels to Texas A&M on Monday night.

With the Aggies moving to the SEC next year, this long-standing rivalry could finish its final chapter on Monday. Both teams are trying to get closer to .500 in the Big 12 as Texas has dropped five of seven, while A&M has lost four of its past six games. In terms of the lines, the Horns have not won a game both SU and ATS since 2012 began, going 3-7 ATS (4-6 SU) in these 10 contests. Meanwhile, the Aggies have been quite profitable, going 7-1 ATS in their past eight games, which started with an ATS victory (10-point loss) at Texas on Jan. 11. With the Longhorns just 1-7 SU (3-5 ATS) outside of Austin this season, the pick here is TEXAS A&M to win as a home underdog.

This pair of highly-rated FoxSheets trends also side with the Aggies:

TEXAS A&M is 19-6 ATS (76.0%, +12.4 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was TEXAS A&M 69.3, OPPONENT 62.0 - (Rating = 2*).

TEXAS is 4-17 ATS (19.0%, -14.7 Units) in road games versus very good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=39% after 15+ games since 1997. The average score was TEXAS 72.0, OPPONENT 82.0 - (Rating = 2*).

Texas has been ice-cold in its past five games, shooting just 40.6% from the floor. J’Covan Brown leads the team with 19.6 PPG, but he is making just 41% FG for the season and 33% FG over his past six contests. Brown was a dreadful 2-of-12 from the floor against Texas A&M, but helped his team win by going 10-for-10 from the foul line, and adding six rebounds and six assists. Freshman Julien Lewis (7.8 PPG) was the team’s high scorer in the win over the Aggies with 16 points on 6-of-10 shooting. But since that game, Lewis is averaging just 5.7 PPG on 31% FG and 2-of-17 from three-point land. Clint Chapman (7.5 PPG, 5.7 RPG) shined brightest for Texas in Saturday’s 74-57 rout of Texas Tech. Chapman scored a season-high 20 points and pulled down nine boards against the Red Raiders. He had 11 points and seven boards against the Aggies in January.

Texas A&M ranks 290th in the nation in scoring at 62.2 PPG and has two starters who are questionable with injuries. Khris Middleton (12.4 PPG, 5.4 RPG) has missed four straight games with a knee injury, while Dash Harris (5.8 PPG, 4.4 APG) hasn’t played in three straight games due to a foot ailment. Middleton was the best player in the earlier meeting with Texas, scoring 19 points with 10 rebounds. Elston Turner (14.3 PPG) had 13 against the Horns, and he has been the go-to scorer lately with 19.2 PPG in his past five contests. Despite the big points, Turner has not shot better than 43% in any of these five games, combining to go 30-for-80 from the field. David Loubeau also helps with the scoring load, averaging 10.8 PPG on 48% FG.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33257 Followers:38
02/06/2012 03:06 PM

Monday’s betting tips: Kings heating up ATS

Who’s hot

NBA: New York is 4-11 against the spread in its last 15 home games.

NBA: Sacramento has covered in four straight overall and is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 meetings with New Orleans.

NHL: Edmonton has won four of its last five and has at least one point in all five of those games.

NHL: Detroit is 26-10 in its last 36.

NCAAB: Louisville has covered the number in four straight.

NCAAB: The under is 17-8-1 in Missouri’s last 26 home games.

Who’s not

NBA: Chicago is 3-12 in its last 15 games in New Jersey.

NBA: The Los Angeles Lakers are 3-10 against the spread in their last 13 road games.

NHL: The over is 2-9 in Toronto’s last 11 games overall.

NHL: Calgary is 4-22-4 in its last 30 games in Anaheim.

NCAAB: Oklahoma has dropped five of its last six against the spread.

NCAAB: DePaul is 4-10-1 against the spread in its last 15 Big East games.

Key stat

74 – Toronto Maple Leafs goaltender James Reimer has stopped 74 consecutive shots in back-to-back shutouts heading into Monday’s home game against the surging Edmonton Oilers. Toronto coach Ron Wilson has yet to name his starting goaltender, but you’d have to assume he will ride the hot hand. The Maple Leafs are pegged as -170 home favorites.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Elton Brand, Philadelphia 76ers – Brand missed Saturday’s win at Atlanta with a sprained thumb and is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Lakers. Brand is averaging 10.1 points and 6.7 rebounds per game.

Game of the day

Los Angeles Clippers at Orlando Magic (1, 192)

Notable quotable

"This meeting made all the difference in the world. I apologized for being selfish. If I'm the captain of this team, I have to take responsibility for what happens, whether I'm playing or not. Roscoe [Smith] spoke, too. He said, 'When we win, we all look good.' – UConn Huskies captain Alex Oriakhi about calling a team meeting before the club snapped a four-game losing skid Saturday.

Notes and tips

The New York Knicks may have a new point guard. Knicks coach Mike D'Antoni said he was leaning toward started second-year player Jeremy Lin after his breakout performance Saturday night. Lin came off the bench to score a career-high 25 points to go with seven assists and five rebounds to lift the slumping Knicks to a 99-92 victory over the New Jersey Nets. The Knicks have struggled at the point all season. They signed veteran Baron Davis a week before the season, but he is dealing with a bulging disk and is expected back sometime this month. The Knicks are 4-point favorites at home to Utah on Monday.

Charlotte Bobcats center Chris Kaman is expected to be in uniform for Monday night's game against the Sacramento Kings. The team announced Saturday that Kaman is back with the team and will practice Sunday. Kaman has been sidelined for six games since general manager Dell Demps announced he was planning to trade him. The 7-foot Kaman was acquired from the Los Angeles Clippers in the Chris Paul trade. The 29-year-old is averaging 9.2 points and 6.6 rebounds in 17 games for the Hornets this season.

The Oklahoma Sooners allowed Iowa to hit 15 3-pointers in its 77-70 loss on Saturday. The Sooners are allowing opponents to hit 33.8 percent from downtown and face a Missouri Tigers club that hit 45.5 (10 of 22) percent of its treys during Saturday’s massive win over Kansas.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: