cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
On 02/03/2012 05:50 PM in NBA

Cnotes Friday's Best Bets NCAAB-NBA-NHL !

Manhattan Jaspers Top College Betting Charts

The Manhattan Jaspers have covered seven of their last eight contests.
Punxsutawney Phil's forecast calls for six more weeks of winter, though spring generally arrives from a sports perspective when one hears those four magical words, "Pitchers and catchers report."

From a sports betting perspective, however, spring is already here with college basketball in full bloom. We're seeing more and more conference rematches plus a settling of offensive and defensive statistics with some of the elite facing much tougher opponents within their leagues.

But whether it has been conference play or out of conference, some teams have been steady winners against the NCAA odds, while others have been unable to beat the spreads. Seventeen teams with at least 10 games appearing on college basketball betting boards are covering numbers at a 65 percent clip or better, led by the Manhattan Jaspers of the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference.

Manhattan currently clocks in with a 16-5 record against the spread, that 76.2 percent conversion translating to 10.5 units of profit for bettors. The Jaspers are also winning on the court, 16-7 overall and 9-2 in the MAAC standings. Backers have gone to the pay window following seven of Manhattan's last eight games, the team's signature win to date coming Jan. 12 at Iona where the Jaspers pulled off the 75-72 outright upset as 13-point underdogs.

Another team bringing home the bacon for gamblers as well as providing wins for their fans is Nevada. The Wolf Pack take a 15-game win streak into their Feb. 2 home contest against Utah State, and stand 18-3 overall with an unbeaten 7-0 mark in WAC action. Nevada's 13-4 ATS mark remains one of the best though it has taken a couple of hits to the losing side in the Pack's last four lined games.

California is the only squad from the Big 6 conferences to cover spreads at a 65 percent rate or better. The Golden Bears are 13-7 ATS, but have split their last 10 vs. the number.

La Salle (12-4-1 ATS) and St. Joseph's (13-6 ATS) are the top two cover teams from the Atlantic 10, and the two Philadelphia schools will collide this Saturday (Feb. 4) on the Hawks' floor for the only regular season meeting between the rivals. The Explorers have covered their last three and presently sit atop the A-10 with a 6-2 conference record. St. Joe's got off to an incredible start vs. the odds by covering 10 of its first 12 games with spreads, but the Hawks have since fallen off that pace with a 3-4 ATS mark over the last seven contests.

Creighton (13-6 ATS) has seen its spreads inflated recently, but the Bluejays continue to beat the number with a 5-2 ATS run to go with an 11-game straight-up win streak.

The remaining teams that had covered 65 percent of their games or better through Feb. 1 are South Dakota State (11-3-1), Middle Tennessee State (15-5-1), North Texas (12-4), New Mexico (14-5), Arkansas-Little Rock (14-5), Bowling Green (13-5), Dartmouth (7-3-1), Pennsylvania (11-5), Pacific (11-5), Appalachian State (10-5) and Drexel (14-7).

Last Year's Finalists Lead List Of Teams Worth Fading

They were the last two teams standing a season ago, but the 2011-12 campaign has been anything but kind to the Butler Bulldogs and Connecticut Huskies, or their backers.

Butler tops all teams that have failed to cover at least a third of their lined games. The Bulldogs entered their Feb. 2 game vs. Wright State just 12-11 overall – 6-5 in Horizon League games – and owning a 4-14-2 ATS mark. Butler has just two covers and a 'push' to show for the last 10 contests.

Defending champ UConn has really done an about face since the Big East schedule arrived. The Huskies dropped their fourth consecutive game (SU & ATS) at Georgetown on Wednesday, never coming close to covering the +2½-point spread in a 58-44 setback. The defeat left Connecticut 4-5 in league play, and a money-burning 2-8-1 ATS over the course of the last 11 tilts.

The Huskies aren't alone in the Big East when it comes to the fade list. Villanova is also suffering through a down season, with the Wildcats 10-12 overall, 3-7 in conference and 5-13-1 ATS.

Three more Big 6 schools experiencing forgettable seasons all around are Clemson (11-10 SU, 5-11 ATS), Arizona State (7-14 SU, 6-15 ATS) and Texas Tech (7-14 SU, 4-12-1 ATS).

The fade list (less than 33% covers) also includes Western Carolina (6-13 ATS), Cal-Davis (5-13-1 ATS), George Washington (6-13-1 ATS), Santa Clara (5-13 ATS) and Northern Arizona (4-13-1 ATS).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
02/03/2012 05:52 PM

MAAC And Ivy League Lead Light Friday Night

There are only nine games on the Friday college basketball schedule, including just one ranked team, but there are a number of interesting betting trends.

The nine games break down to four from the Ivy League and three from the MAAC. There is one each from the Horizon League and Atlantic Sun.

Note that road teams in MAAC play have gone 27-22-4 ATS this year (55 percent). The Ivy League started its in-conference season late with road teams covering at a 60 percent rate (9-6).

Rider Broncs at Loyola (MD) Greyhounds
7:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPNU

Loyola (MD) is 16-5 straight up and 6-6-3 against the spread on the season. The MAAC mark is 9-2 SU, tied for first with Iona and Manhattan, with those teams hosting bottom dwellers Canisius and Marist respectively on Thursday (results pending).

The Greyhounds are sixth in the conference in scoring (68 PPG) and third in defense (64 PPG). They’re on a 4-game winning streak, tightening up defensively at 54.5 PPG. Playing the MAAC’s three lowest scoring teams (Canisius, Siena, St. Peter’s) has helped, but they also shut down a potent Niagara bunch (69-57 away). The ‘under’ is 5-0 in their last five games overall.

The Broncs (9-14 SU, 10-7-1 ATS) come into this contest on a 3-game winning streak. Those were home wins and covers as favorites over Canisius (89-65), St. Peter’s (90-55) and Siena (83-72), with the ‘over’ 3-0.

Rider will present some problems defensively on Friday, but averaged just 67.3 PPG the last three away, losing them all (1-1-1 ATS). It would be a big break if Loyola (MD) leading scorer Dylon Cormier (14.5 PPG) is out with an ankle injury. He’s questionable after missing last game.

This is the first meeting between the teams this season. The road team has covered each of the last six.

Cornell Big Red at No. 23 Harvard Crimson
7:00 p.m. (ET)

The Big Red (7-11 SU, 5-5 ATS) must feel like they’re going to the slaughterhouse. Not only are they playing the undisputed conference power, but they’re winless on the road (0-9 SU, 3-4 ATS).

The one Cornell road game in the Ivy League was at Columbia on Jan. 21. The 61-56 final failed to stay within the 3½-point line and went ‘under’ the 126-point total. The ‘under’ is 7-2-1 for Cornell this year, scoring (65.7 PPG) almost exactly the same as Harvard, but giving up 14 more points at 67.5 PPG.

The Crimson (18-2 SU, 9-6 ATS) have been making waves since Thanksgiving after beating Utah (75-47), Florida State (46-41) and Central Florida (59-49) on the way to the Battle 4 Atlantic championship.

Harvard is 4-0 SU (2-2 ATS) in the conference. Only one of those games was at home, 63-47 over Dartmouth on Jan. 7, failing to cover the huge 22-point spread. Harvard ranks third nationally in scoring defense (53.4 PPG) under coach Tommy Amaker. The ‘under’ is 11-4 overall and 3-1 in the conference (allowing just 44.8 PPG).

Harvard won and covered both meetings last year, winning 78-57 at home as 11-point favorites.

Cleveland State Vikings at Loyola (IL) Ramblers
9:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPNU

This is an interesting betting matchup despite Cleveland State (9-2 SU) leading the Horizon League and Loyola (IL) at the bottom at 0-11 SU.

The Vikings are 18-4 SU and 9-9-1 ATS, looking for just their third March Madness trip ever, most recently in 2009. They’re 6-1 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games, including a 69-48 win over Loyola (IL) as 14-point home favorites on January 7.

Cleveland State is not an explosive team at 67 PPG (199th nationally), but that’s good enough for third in this anemic conference. The last game was a 67-47 win at Youngstown State last Saturday, going ‘under’ the 132½-point total. The ‘over’ was 10-0 in the Vikings’ previous 10 games with a total.

The Ramblers are the nation’s fifth-lowest scoring team (54.5 PPG). It’s hard to imagine things getting much worse offensively, but second-leading scorer Walt Gibler (13.4 PPG) is questionable with a shoulder injury. They could only manage 41 points without him last Friday at Wright State, a 47-41 loss as 9-point ‘dogs.

Loyola (IL) has covered three straight, including losing 63-57 to Butler as 7½-point home underdogs on January 21. However, the team failed to cover in its previous four home games with a spread.

Cleveland State is 4-0 SU and ATS the last four meetings overall, winning 81-70 last year in Chicago as 3-point favorites.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
02/03/2012 05:56 PM

Miami Heat Face Revenge-Minded Philadelphia 76ers

The Philadelphia 76ers aren't getting mentioned much as legitimate challengers for the NBA title this season. Instead, nearly every basketball expert thinks it’s just a formality that the Chicago Bulls will face the Miami Heat again in a repeat of last year’s Eastern Conference Finals.

While that may indeed end up being true, the 76ers are doing everything they can to disprove that theory and state their case as the best team in the Eastern Conference.

Philadelphia (16-6) will bring a four-game winning streak into Friday’s matchup with the Heat (16-6) after crushing the Bulls 98-82 on Wednesday. The game is scheduled to tip-off at 7:00 p.m. (ET) and will be the second meeting between the teams this year after Miami routed the 76ers 113-92 on January 21. The Heat also beat Philly 4-1 in the first round of last year’s playoffs.

Miami fell to 6-4 on the road Wednesday with a 105-97 loss to the Milwaukee Bucks (10-11). The Heat led 40-23 at the end of the opening quarter but were outscored 58-37 in the second half to waste a 40-point performance from LeBron James, who scored 24 in the first 12 minutes.

Milwaukee got a team-high 31 points from point guard Brandon Jennings against Miami, as he connected on 7-of-14 shot attempts from 3-point range and also added eight assists with no turnovers and four steals. The Bucks are just 3-9 on the road though and travel to Detroit for a Central Division battle with the Pistons on Friday at 7:30 p.m.

ESPN’s nationally televised doubleheader features a pair of NBA finalists from two years ago that are struggling to find their way during this shortened season. The Boston Celtics (11-10) host the New York Knicks (8-13) in the first game at 8:00 p.m. followed by the Los Angeles Lakers (13-9) visiting the Denver Nuggets (14-7) at 10:30 p.m. The Celtics and Lakers faced each other in the 2010 NBA Finals, but both teams have struggled at times this season and ranked seventh in their respective conferences heading into Thursday.

Boston has shown some signs of life lately though, going over the .500 mark for only the second time this year following a 100-64 blowout win over the Toronto Raptors (7-16) on Wednesday. The Celtics improved to 6-2 without point guard Rajon Rondo, who has been out with a wrist injury but is expected to return against the Knicks.

New York has dropped nine of 11 and will be coming off a nationally televised home game Thursday against the Bulls (18-6) on TNT.

Los Angeles has been off since knocking off the Charlotte Bobcats 106-73 at home on Tuesday, the team’s third win in four games overall. The Bobcats own the league’s worst record at 3-20, but the Lakers have also played like them on the road, dropping four of five en route to a 2-7 mark away from home this year.

Meanwhile, Denver will be returning home from LA after visiting the Clippers on Thursday in another nationally televised game on TNT. The Nuggets and Lakers have split two meetings so far this season

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
02/03/2012 05:57 PM

LA Kings Start Road Trip At St. Louis Blues

The NHL was abuzz with controversy at the end of action Wednesday night as the Los Angeles Kings defeated the Columbus Blue Jackets in controversial fashion. Drew Doughty scored with 0.4 seconds left on the clock to give the Kings the 3-2 win; but after the game went final, the league realized that the Staples Center clock had stopped running for a full second at 1.8.

The goal should not have counted, and the league is investigating the situation.

The rest of the Western Conference can’t be too happy with the apparent clock malfunction, but the Los Angeles Kings will gladly take their two points and run as they prepare for a six-game road trip that starts this Friday night at 8:00 p.m. (ET) in St. Louis against the Blues.

With two of the top three defenses in the NHL clashing in this one – LA ranks third with 2.1 goals against per game, St. Louis is first with 2.0 – expect goals to be at a premium. The Kings (25-16-10) and the Blues (29-13-7) have both trended heavily towards the ‘under’ this season, and the ‘under’ is 4-0-1 in their last five meetings.

St. Louis had won seven straight games against the Kings coming into this season, but Los Angeles is 2-0 against St. Louis so far this campaign. This game could play a huge role in playoff seeding down the stretch.

Also out west, the Chicago Blackhawks visit the Calgary Flames Friday night at 9:00 p.m. (ET). Chicago (29-15-7) will be playing the final game of its Western Canada swing after skating in Vancouver on Tuesday night and Edmonton on Thursday. While Chicago is trying to keep up with St. Louis and Detroit in the Central Division race, Calgary (23-22-6) is just trying to climb back into the playoff hunt. The Flames are just 5-7-2 (5-9 on the moneyline) over their last 14 games.

The Ottawa Senators hope to get things back on track Friday when they host the New York Islanders at 7:30 p.m. (ET). Ottawa (27-20-6) had been red hot, putting together a 10-1-1 stretch from the end of December to the middle of January, but the Senators are now mired in a four-game losing streak.

New York (20-22-7) appears to be out of playoff contention at this point, but is a respectable 4-1-1 over its last six games. Included in those four wins were nice road underdog payouts of +168 in a 3-0 win at Washington and +170 in a 4-1 win at Philadelphia.

Rounding out Friday’s NHL betting slate are the Winnipeg Jets (23-22-6) at Florida Panthers (23-15-11) at 7:30 p.m. (ET) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (13-32-6) at Anaheim Ducks (19-24-7) at 10:00 p.m. (ET). The victory over Washington on Wednesday night was just the third in the last 10 games for the Panthers, but still good enough to move Florida back on top of the Southeast Division.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
02/03/2012 06:01 PM

Friday's Game of the Day

February 3, 2012

Miami (16-6 SU, 9-13 ATS) at Philadelphia (16-6 SU, 16-6 ATS)

LeBron James and the Miami Heat visit the “City of Brotherly Love” on Friday for a rematch with the Philadelphia 76ers. The first encounter between the pair took place less than two weeks ago in South Beach, where Miami handily beat the 76ers (113-92) and notched a point-spread cover (-7) in the process. But, the result for the 76ers also left a big question mark on their legitimacy as a “for real” team in this league. No one has given the 76ers credit for beating the bad teams, which is attributed to their outstanding record thus far. However my view is “beating the teams or not beating the bad teams you are suppose to beat” makes all the difference in the success or lack thereof for a club during a season; and could be a difference maker when playoff seeding scenarios occur. Both the Heat and the 76ers are atop their respective divisions, both have a winning percentage better than .700 and both have beaten the Chicago Bulls (18-6) this season.
Contender or Pretender?

When it comes to the collecting at the window, which is the most important thing to bettors, then the 76ers are clearly the contender and the Heat the Pretender.

The 76ers boast a 16-6 (73%) overall record against the spread and they own a sterling 12-2 (86%) ledger when playing at the Wells Fargo Center. They are 12-3 (80%) straight up versus the Eastern Conference and 11-4 (73%) against the spread. They have crushed the Southeast Division with a 6-1 (86%) record and accommodated Vegas with a 5-2 (71%) mark against the spread in those games, but make a note that four of the wins came against the Wizards and Bobcats.

The Heat on the other hand owns a 16-6 straight up record as well, but their ATS numbers hardly match up to the 76ers. In fact, Miami is 9-13 (42%) against the spread overall and on the road they own a very poor 3-7 (30%) record. They have handled the Atlantic Division thus far, winning all four of their matchups, but have only managed to come away with two point-spread covers.

Who will cover this game?

The 76ers come into this game riding a four-game winning streak – beating teams like the Orlando Magic (74-69) and Chicago Bulls (98-82) during that stretch. The verdict that has been out on the 76ers not beating good teams should now be in, as they have proven they can compete in this league.

But before we run to the window to make a wager on this game, we cannot overlook how easily the Heat beat the 76ers in their last meeting…albeit it was a road game for Philadelphia and the performance they deliver on the road compared to playing at home is staggering. Doug Collins team is 4-4 SU and 5-3 ATS away from home.

Philadelphia is a young and fun team to watch with an excellent coach in Collins, and I am a fan of their style of play. And even though their defense is stifling (giving up fewer than 86 points per game) the fact of the matter is, Miami has too many weapons and is a much better team – especially executing on the offensive end.

After seeing their five-game winning streak snapped on Wednesday at Milwaukee (97-105), I believe the Heat will prove superior once again versus Philadelphia.

Betting Notes:

-- opened Miami opened as a 3 ½-point road favorite over Philadelphia. The number has already come down to 2.

-- Including the aforementioned meeting this season, Miami has won 12 of 13 against Philadelphia.

-- The Heat are 7-6 ATS during this span.

-- Miami is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games and is 0-5 ATS in its last five road battles.

-- Philadelphia has only been an underdog four times this season (1-3 SU, 2-2 ATS) and the lone outright win came Wednesday against Chicago.

-- Total players are looking at an opener of 194, which has been dropped to 193. The 76ers have seen the ‘under’ go 11-3 at home, while the Heat have been an ‘over’ (7-3) team on the road.

Injury Notes:

76ers: Spencer Hawes, Center – out indefinitely (Achilles)
Heat: None

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
02/03/2012 06:03 PM

Hoop Trends - Friday

February 3, 2012


The Suns are 13-0-1 ATS (9.9 ppg) since May 09, 2005 with at least one day of rest after a road win in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.


The Pistons are 10-0-1 OU (11.5 ppg) since December 28, 2002 at home with at least one day of rest after a game on the road in which they had at least five fewer turnovers than their season-to-date average.


The Thunder are 11-0 ATS (10.3 ppg) since March 07, 2010 if not more than six point dogs, after winning the previous matchup in which Russell Westbrook scored at least 30 points.


Play against a team averaging a -6 or worse average ppg margin playing at home after a squeak by win. In Database history, this weak home dog is shut down the next day 80-33-3 (2.7, 70.7%) ATS!


The League is 0-11 ATS (-9.9 ppg) since December 10, 2010 at home with at least one day of rest after a double digit loss in which they has more than 10 refereed turnovers. Active on Toronto.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
02/03/2012 06:05 PM

Struggling Knicks visits Boston on Friday



Tip-off: Friday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Boston -6½, Total: 182.5

The struggling Knicks seek a rare win at Boston on Friday night, trying to beat the Celtics on their home floor for the first time since 2006, a span of 11 straight meetings.

Can the Knicks get their fifth ATS win in the past seven games? Check out the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three at Three began the week with a perfect 3-0 ATS record on Monday.

New York is just 2-10 in its past 12 games, but the team played very hard in Thursday’s 105-102 loss to Chicago. The Knicks made 54% of their two-point FG tries and had 48 points in the paint, 10 more than Chicago. Amar’e Stoudemire poured in 34 points with 11 rebounds, and Carmelo Anthony scored 26 points. But Stoudemire only took 11 shots (making eight) in the December win over Boston, and in last season’s playoff sweep against the Celtics, he averaged just 14.5 PPG on 38% FG. Anthony put up great quantitative numbers in the series loss (26.0 PPG, 10.3 RPG, 4.8 APG), but he also shot poorly from the field (38%). The FoxSheets provide a three-star trend siding with the Knicks:

BOSTON is 9-28 ATS (24.3%, -21.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 90.7, OPPONENT 90.9 - (Rating = 3*).

Rondo has missed eight straight games, but his backups, Avery Bradley and E’Twaun Moore have played pretty well in his absence, helping Boston go 6-2 without its point guard. The biggest area of weakness for the Celtics is rebounding, where they rank second-to-last in the NBA with 38.6 RPG, and carry a minus-2.5 RPG margin. But the Boston starters should not be tired, getting a day of rest after playing limited minutes in a 100-64 blowout of Toronto on Wednesday. Paul Pierce led his team with 17 points, eight assists and a +28 rating in just 26 minutes of action. Pierce, who is averaging 21.0 PPG with 7.3 APG in his past six games, didn’t play against New York this season, but scored 26.0 PPG on 53% FG (7-of-12 threes) with 10.0 RPG in three regular-season meetings in 2010-11. Kevin Garnett averaged a double-double (22.7 PPG, 11.3 RPG) with eight steals in the three regular-season meetings with the Knicks last year. The FoxSheets have a two-star trend backing the Celtics:

Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOSTON) - revenging a road loss vs. opponent, off a home win by 10 points or more. (97-56 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.4%, +35.4 units. Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
02/03/2012 06:07 PM

Memphis has tall task at OKC Friday



Tip-off: Friday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Oklahoma City -9, Total: 192.5

Memphis has put together two big victories in a row, but it will be hard-pressed to extend the win streak playing at 17-4 Oklahoma City on Friday.

Can the Thunder win and cover the big spread against a surging Grizzlies squad? Check out the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three at Three began the week with a perfect 3-0 ATS record on Monday.

Fatigue could be a factor for Memphis on Friday, as this is its fourth game in five days. And the Grizzlies offense has sputtered away from home this season with just 86.7 PPG on 42.5% FG. But Memphis was firing on all cylinders in Thursday’s 96-77 blowout win in Atlanta. Rudy Gay led the way with 21 points, as his team is now 9-1 when Gay scores 20+ points (3-9 when he does not). But Gay has been off the mark in two games against Oklahoma City this season, making just 16-of-45 field goal attempts (35.6%). The FoxSheets have a three-star trend backing the Grizzlies:

Play On - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MEMPHIS) - off a road win by 10 points or more, extremely tired team - playing their 5th game in 7 days. (36-12 since 1996.) (75%, +22.8 units. Rating = 3*).

The Thunder are 6-2 ATS in the past eight home meetings with Memphis, winning those six contests by 13.5 PPG. They also lead the NBA by shooting 50.9% FG at home this season. Oklahoma City’s dynamic duo led the way in an impressive 95-86 victory in Dallas on Wednesday night. Russell Westbrook (21.9 PPG) scored 33 points and Kevin Durant (26.6 PPG) added 23. But Serge Ibaka was probably the team’s MVP that night with 11 rebounds and 10 blocked shots. The FoxSheets provide another trend favoring the Thunder:

OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-11 ATS (69.4%, +12.9 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons. The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 102.3, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 1*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
02/03/2012 06:08 PM

Heat look to retain dominance over 76ers



Tip-off: Friday, 7:05 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -2, Total: 193.5

The red-hot 76ers seek their fifth straight win when they host a Miami team with an identical 16-6 SU record on Friday night. But the Heat have won 12 of the past 13 matchups in this series, including the postseason.

Can the 76ers keep their current win streak alive against the talented Heat? Check out the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three at Three began the week with a perfect 3-0 ATS record on Monday.

The Heat are a paltry 2-7 ATS as a road favorite this year, allowing 100.7 PPG, but they have dominated Philly recently, including a five-game playoff series win last year. Dwyane Wade (20.3 PPG) has been the biggest thorn in Philly’s side, scoring 30.3 PPG in his past six regular-season meetings with the 76ers. Wade also had 23 points in his team’s last game, a 105-97 loss to Milwaukee on Wednesday. Teammate LeBron James scored a season-high 40 points against the Bucks, with 24 of those coming in the first quarter. James continues to be the league’s best all-around player with 29.7 PPG, 8.3 RPG, 7.0 APG, 1.8 SPG, 55% FG and 44% threes. Chris Bosh (20.4 PPG, 7.8 RPG) is having a big season, but has struggled in his past two games, scoring just 21 points (9-of-22 FG) and grabbing only a dozen rebounds. But he scored a game-high 30 points in a 113-92 win over Philadelphia on Jan. 21. The FoxSheets provide another trend siding with the Heat:

Play On - Road teams (MIAMI) - after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days. (32-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.7%, +18.8 units. Rating = 2*).

Philly has outscored all opponents by a whopping 11.6 PPG, and is 11-3 ATS at home, giving up a paltry 81.3 PPG at Wells Fargo Center. The 76ers are also 11-4 ATS with at least one day of rest. They are coming off maybe their best performance of the year on Wednesday, beating Chicago handily, 98-82. Philly has allowed a mere 74.3 PPG on 37% FG during its four-game win streak. Andre Iguodala has been doing it all for Philly, averaging 13.1 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 5.0 APG, 1.9 SPG, 46% FG and 39% threes. But he was limited to four points on 2-of-6 shooting in the January loss to Miami. Leading scorer Lou Williams (15.3 PPG) comes off the bench, and he scored 22 points in that Heat loss. Williams hit a three-pointer in the closing seconds of last year’s Game 4 of the playoffs to give the 76ers their only win over Miami since March 15, 2009. The FoxSheets have a two-star trend backing the 76ers:

Play On - All teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHILADELPHIA) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season. (81-43 over the last 5 seasons.) (65.3%, +33.7 units. Rating = 2*).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
02/03/2012 06:10 PM

Lakers start road trip Friday in Denver



Tip-off: Friday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Denver -4, Total: 197.5

The Lakers begin a six-game road trip on Friday night with their first stop in Denver likely being the most difficult.

The Lakers have not been a good road bet this year (2-7 ATS), but they had an impressive 106-101 victory in Minnesota on Sunday night. After failing to reach 100 points in 13 straight games, L.A. has scored 106 points in each of its past two contests, making 53% of its shots. Meanwhile, the Nuggets have struggled a bit at home lately, losing by 10 points to Utah, then failing to reach 100 against the lowly Raptors, then losing by four to the Clippers. Denver will likely win, but expect the Lakers to keep it very close. The pick here is LOS ANGELES to notch the ATS victory.

The FoxSheets provide a coaching trend backing the Lakers:

Mike Brown is 83-51 ATS (61.9%, +26.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in all games he has coached since 1996. The average score was Brown 98.1, OPPONENT 91.8 - (Rating = 1*).

Despite a mediocre 13-9 SU record, Los Angeles leads the NBA in FG Pct. defense (41.4% FG), ranks third in rebounding (44.3 RPG) and places fifth in scoring defense (90.6 PPG). The Lakers will surely improve upon their last trip to Denver, a 99-90 loss on New Year’s Day. L.A. made just 4-of-23 three-pointers and Kobe Bryant finished a dreadful 6-for-28 from the floor in that defeat. This was really perplexing considering the Nuggets are a below-average defensive team, and Bryant entered the game with a career 47% FG clip (and 25.5 PPG) against them. Andrew Bynum still ranks third in the league in rebounding (12.1 RPG), but he was pulling down 13.6 RPG before tallying just 8.2 RPG in his past five contests. He has been a beast against the Nuggets this year though, with 23.5 PPG and 14.5 RPG in two meetings. Pau Gasol (16.3 PPG, 9.5 RPG) has been inconsistent this year, but he has also burned the Nuggets for 18.5 PPG on 60% FG in two games this season.

Denver’s offense remains the top-scoring unit in the NBA with 105.4 PPG, but it was the defense that carried the team to its win over the Clippers. After trailing by 13 after one quarter, the Nuggets held L.A. to just 59 points in the final three quarters to win easily, 112-91. Danilo Gallinari led five double-figure scorers with 21 points (5-for-5 on threes) in just 27 minutes of action. Ty Lawson pitched in with 18 points and six assists and the team’s other point guard, Andre Miller added eight points and eight assists against the Clippers. Denver’s top producer against the Lakers this season has been Al Harrington averaging a team-high 16.5 PPG and 7.0 RPG in the two meetings with Los Angeles.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: