cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
On 02/02/2012 01:07 PM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes Thursday's NCAAB-NBA-NHL Best Bets !

Huskies And Bears Lead Thursday Pac-12 Card

Oh, how times have changed. Death, taxes and UCLA basketball used to be three of the most dependable things in life. Sadly, only death and taxes remain as such.

Indeed, these are tough times on the Pac-12 college basketball front. The decline of the UCLA Bruins is a big reason for the overall falloff in the conference, but not the only cause since no other school has stepped forward to pick up the slack. It's just as likely today that you'll hear fans and bettors discussing other left coast teams like Saint Mary's, Gonzaga or San Diego State as there is mention of a Pac-12 squad.

Just how bad things have become can be found in the latest AP and coaches polls. The California Golden Bears are the only bunch getting even a sniff of respect in either rankings, and with just two points from the coaches, their days as part of the "others receiving votes" list could be numbered.

Four teams made it to the NCAA Tournament a year ago, which isn't an embarrassing number until you realize half of that quartet made it by the skin of their teeth. Southern Cal received an at-large bid thanks to the field being increased to 68. The Trojans promptly fell in one of the 'First Four' contests, dropping a 59-46 decision as 4-point favorites to Virginia Commonwealth out of the Colonial Athletic Association, the Rams using that victory as a springboard all the way to the Final Four.

Washington played their way into the 2011 NCAA Tournament by winning the (then) Pac-10 tourney in a bit of a surprise. Arizona and UCLA each received at-large bids, with the Wildcats just falling short in the West Regional Finals to eventual national champ Connecticut.

The current quality of play in the Pac-12 might not warrant four teams getting an invite to March Madness. California is the closest thing to a lock at this point based on solid positioning in RPI (31st) and the Ken Pomeroy rankings (19th), not to mention the Bears being the only team to be found in the two major polls. Washington is the next highest in RPI (73rd), with UCLA, Arizona, Stanford and Oregon State all sitting between Cal and Washington according to Pomeroy.

The Bears and Huskies are presently tied for the conference lead with 7-2 Pac-12 records, and both will be on their home courts Thursday looking to improve their standing with the selection committee.

UCLA at Washington – 9:00 p.m. (ET) ESPN
Alaska Airlines Arena, Seattle

Followers of series trends should have no trouble making their play on the Huskies and the 'under.' Washington opened as 4-point chalk and has won the last seven home tilts vs. UCLA while covering six of those contests. The lone spread defeat came last March when the Huskies narrowly missed beating the 8-point line with a 70-63 triumph.

Thursday's total hit the college basketball betting board at 140. Nine of the last 13 in this series have finished 'under,' with five of the last seven in Seattle never reaching the scoreboard tally. That plays well to a current 6-game run for the Huskies to the 'under.' It goes against the grain for UCLA, however; the Bruins enter riding a 6-game string to the 'over.'

Washington does have CJ Wilcox back into the mix after the sophomore guard missed three games with a hip injury. Wilcox is third on the team averaging 14.8 points per game, and scored 15 in the Huskies' 69-67 win as 4½-point 'dogs at Arizona last Saturday.

Arizona at California – 11:00 p.m. (ET)
Haas Pavilion, Berkeley

It's just shy of a year ago when these teams last met and put on a helluva' show, as the Wildcats came away with a 107-105 road win in triple-overtime to 'push' the 2-point spread. In a game that had more than its fair share of statistical storylines, Arizona's bench players outscoring their Cal counterparts 52-3 stood out the most.

The Bears are home favorites this time and being asked to cover nine points on the NCAA odds. Thursday's scoreboard hurdle started at 129.

Arizona's loss to Washington last Saturday snapped a 3-game cover streak for the Wildcats who have won just two of their last six away games this season. Cal is a perfect 14-0 at home this season (9-3 ATS), 16-0 at Haas Pavilion dating back to last season.

The teams have split the last six clashes, but Bears backers have grabbed the cash in four of those to go along with the one 'push' from last February.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
02/02/2012 01:09 PM

Chicago Bulls Tip TNT Thursday At NY Knicks

There are six games on the NBA Thursday slate, including the Denver Nuggets visiting the Los Angeles Clippers.

The Nuggets will likely be an underdog, a role they’ve excelled in at 5-1 against the spread. Some other top ‘dogs are Minnesota (10-3 ATS), Dallas (5-2 ATS) and Cleveland (10-5 ATS).

Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks
8:00 p.m. (ET) on TNT

Chicago (18-5 straight up, 14-9 ATS) will be playing the second half of a back-to-back after visiting Philadelphia on Wednesday. That result between division leaders is still pending. The Bulls long 9-game trip started with a 97-93 loss at Miami and 98-88 win at Washington. Both were covers and they’re 5-1 ATS in their last six away.

Forward Luol Deng (wrist) was doubtful against Philly after missing five games. Richard Hamilton (groin) is also out indefinitely, with Kyle Korver now starting. That makes the bench very thin with the starters logging a lot of minutes. Having no rest on Thursday won’t help.

New York (8-13 SU, 6-15 ATS) may be the NBA's most underachieving team and coach Mike D’Antoni is feeling the pressure. There was some good news on Tuesday night, a 113-86 win as 9-point home favorites over lowly Detroit, the only team with a worse ATS record.

Carmelo Anthony came back rested after missing two games and scored 25 points. He also shot 9-of-14 from the field after a brutal 40-of-126 (31.7 percent) stretch. Anthony’s effort helped last game go ‘over’ the 183 points. The ‘under’ was 12-2 in New York’s previous 14, only breaking 100 points four times.

This is the first meeting between the teams this year. The ‘under’ is 7-1 in the last eight in the Big Apple.

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers
10:30 p.m. (ET) on TNT

These teams met last Sunday in Denver with Los Angeles getting a 109-105 win as 5½-point underdogs. The Clippers have now won three straight in the series and covered six in a row.

The Nuggets (14-7 SU and ATS) had their 6-game winning streak snapped against the Clips and then lost Tuesday night at Memphis, 100-97 in overtime. Their 91 points scored in regulation was their lowest in 11 games, although they’re leading the league in scoring overall (105.4 PPG).

Denver had seen the ‘over’ go 8-2 in its previous 10 games before Memphis. Balanced scoring is the ticket with six guys in double-digits.

The Clippers (12-6 SU, 11-7 ATS) are ranked fifth overall in scoring at 98.6 PPG. However, they seem to be really hitting their stride offensively with the 109 points at Denver and winning 112-100 at home against Oklahoma City on Monday.

Los Angeles will be the more tired team after traveling to Utah on Wednesday (result pending). However, this is a pretty young group with good guard depth now that Chris Paul (hamstring) is back healthy. The team is 4-1 SU and ATS on zero days rest this year.

Other Thursday news and notes

Memphis (11-10 SU, 10-11 ATS) is 0-3 SU and ATS away in its last three as it visits Atlanta (16-6 SU, 12-9-1 ATS). The ‘under’ is 10-1 in Memphis’ road games. Atlanta is playing hard for coach Larry Drew and is 9-2 SU (6-4-1 ATS) since Al Horford went out with a pectoral injury.

New Orleans (4-17 SU, 10-11 ATS) has played almost the whole year without guard Eric Gordon and the last four without backup center Chris Kaman, who is currently being shopped. Points are at a premium (87.4 PPG, ranked 28th), but the ‘over’ is 3-2 in the last five with some low totals. The Hornets visit San Antonio (13-9 SU, 11-11 ATS), with both teams playing back-to-backs.

Sacramento (6-15 SU, 8-13 ATS) is 4-4 SU at home versus 2-11 SU away. The team is playing without second-leading scorer Marcus Thornton (16.4 PPG) and Jimmer Fredette needs to consistently step up. Portland (12-9 SU, 11-9-1 ATS) is just 3-8 SU and ATS on the road and hosts Charlotte on Wednesday before flying to Sacramento.

Utah (12-7 SU, 10-9 ATS) visits Golden State (7-12 SU, 8-11 ATS) and could be without big man Al Jefferson (ankle). He was doubtful for Wednesday versus the Clippers. Golden State is finishing a disappointing 6-game homestand that has gone 3-2 SU and 1-4 ATS so far.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
02/02/2012 01:11 PM

Gonzaga And BYU Close Thursday Hoops Slate

Tuesday night on the college hardwood produced a number of relatively low-scoring games. The average final score only tallied 123.2 PPG, and there were almost as many teams that scored in the 40s (six) than teams that got into the 70s or 80s (seven).

The end result saw 'under' bettors finish the evening at 7-6, and on Thursday, there are definitely some trends that point to more low-scoring games as well.

We'll start with the final tip of the evening at 11:00 (ET), as the Gonzaga Bulldogs take on the BYU Cougars in Provo. This game is obviously huge for both teams, with each needing some big time victories to prove that they are worthy candidates for the NCAA Tournament as at-large bids, assuming that the Saint Mary's Gaels take the conference tournament title.

BYU and Gonzaga have a combined record in the totals department of 25-14 to the 'under.' The Cougars have played seven of their last nine beneath the total, while the Zags have gone 11-1-1 for 'under' bettors in their last 13.

You can catch this crucial bubble battle on ESPN2 or ESPN3.

Though the Duke Blue Devils have double the number of 'overs' as they do 'unders,' they are definitely going to be on under alert when they take on the Virginia Tech Hokies on Thursday. These two ACC foes have played four of their last five games below the total, which only bolsters the fact that Va Tech has gone 6-2 for 'under' bettors in its last eight games.

The Hokies badly need to win this game and get on a roll if they hope to have a chance of dancing this year, while the Dookies are still trying to claim a top seed in the tournament.

The action unfolds from Blacksburg at 7:00 (ET) on ESPN.

The Murray State Racers remain as the nation's only undefeated team, and they are going to put that mark on the line against arguably their toughest conference competition when they host the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks on Thursday. Even though the Racers are a Top 10 team in the AP Poll, they aren't necessarily going to even be in the top half of the bracket when the Selection Committee is said and done, and the more impressive wins that can be had, the better.

Murray State will inch closer to wrapping up the top seed in the Ohio Valley Tournament with a win on Thursday night, and will be a huge favorite on the NCAA basketball odds to do so. This 8:00 (ET) tip can be seen on ESPNU.

In the only other two games featuring ranked teams on Thursday, the Florida Gators will host the South Carolina Gamecocks at 9:00 (ET) on ESPN2 and ESPN3, while the St. Mary's Gaels will take on the San Diego Toreros at 10:00 (ET).

The Nebraska Cornhuskers and Northwestern Wildcats meet in a Big Ten battle at 7:00 (ET) on ESPN2 and ESPN3, a game that is immediately followed by the UCLA Bruins and Washington Huskies squaring off at Alaska Airlines Arena at 9:00 (ET) on the Deuce.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
02/02/2012 01:13 PM

Blackhawks Continue Long Trip At Edmonton Oilers

The All-Star break provided a few NHL playoff contenders some extra rest to get healthy and make a run at the Stanley Cup in the second half of the season. The Chicago Blackhawks are one of those teams, and welcomed back two of their top scorers on Tuesday when center Jonathan Toews and winger Patrick Sharp were activated from injured reserve at the start of a nine-game road trip.

Toews and Sharp each were recovering from wrist injuries, but their return was not enough to prevent a 3-2 overtime loss to the Vancouver Canucks (31-15-4). They will try to help their team bounce back and end a three-game skid on the next stop of their trip against the Edmonton Oilers on Thursday night at 9:30 p.m. (ET).

The Oilers (19-26-5) are coming off a 3-2 home win over the Colorado Avalanche on Tuesday and have won the last two meetings, including a 9-2 rout back on November 19. That game highlights a slate of eight games overall on Thursday.

The Blackhawks (29-15-7) are still chasing the Detroit Red Wings (34-16-1) for the lead in the very competitive Central Division that had four of the Western Conference’s top six teams heading into Wednesday. The St. Louis Blues (29-13-7) are the only team of that group that will not play until Friday when they host the Los Angeles Kings (24-16-10).

Detroit maintained its cushion out west and won for the eighth time in nine games on Tuesday with a 3-1 road victory against the Calgary Flames (23-22-6), while the Nashville Predators (31-16-4) also did the Central proud by rallying back from a three-goal deficit in the third period for a 5-4 win over the Minnesota Wild (24-19-7) away from home as well. Both teams will be in action again on Thursday as Nashville wraps up a two-game road trip against the Philadelphia Flyers (29-14-6) at 7:00 p.m. before Detroit visits Vancouver at 10:00 p.m.

The Predators have won their last five games, tied for the second-longest current winning streak with the Tampa Bay Lightning (22-23-4), who host the Winnipeg Jets (23-22-6) on Thursday at 7:30 p.m. The Pittsburgh Penguins (29-17-4) had won eight in a row prior to visiting the Toronto Maple Leafs (25-19-6) on Wednesday.

The Penguins are chasing the Flyers and New York Rangers (31-12-5) in the Atlantic Division and got some positive news on Tuesday when it was announced that captain Sidney Crosby is suffering from a soft tissue injury in his neck that is more treatable than a concussion or fracture. Crosby skated with teammates on Tuesday morning but still is nowhere close to being cleared to play

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
02/02/2012 01:18 PM

Thursday's Tips

February 2, 2012

**South Carolina at Florida**

--Most betting shops opened Florida (17-4 straight up, 9-7 against the spread) as a 15-point favorite with a total of 136 ½. As of late this morning, most spots had the Gators as 14 1/2-point favorites with a total of 134 1/2. The Las Vegas Hilton has the Gamecocks available at 10/1 odds to win outright (risk $100 to win $1,000).

--Billy Donovan’s club has won five in a row since losing at Tennessee, improving to 5-1 in SEC play. The Gators dropped Mississippi St. by a 69-57 count as 8 ½-point home favorites this past Saturday afternoon at the O-Dome. Bradley Beal scored a game-high 19 points to lead four Florida players in double figures. Erik Murphy scored 14 points and Patric Young finished with 12 points and six rebounds. Young had several crown-igniting dunks and limited MSU’s Arnett Moultrie to just 12 points.

--UF is unbeaten in 13 home games, compiling a 5-4 spread record in the nine lined contests. The Gators have been double-digit home favorites seven times, going 3-4 versus the number.

--South Carolina (9-11 SU, 7-8 ATS) got its first SEC win last week over Alabama, but the Gamecocks are still in the conference cellar with a 1-5 record in league play. This has fourth-year head coach Darrin Horn on a serious hot seat.

--USC is coming off a 66-62 loss at Ole Miss as a five-point underdog. Malik Cooke scored 17 points in the losing effort, while Brenton Williams chipped in with 15 points.

--When these SEC East rivals met in Columbia on Jan 14, Florida overcame a one-point halftime deficit by draining 12-of-24 attempts from 3-point range en route to a 79-65 win as a seven-point road ‘chalk.’ Kenny Boynton knocked down four of those treys and finished with a team-high 15 points. Bruce Ellington had a game-high 17 points for the ‘Cocks.

--The ‘over’ is 11-5 overall for UF, 8-2 in its home games. However, the ‘under’ has cashed at a 4-2 clip in the Gators’ last six outings.

--The ‘under’ is 8-7 overall for South Carolina, but the ‘over’ is 4-3 in its road games.

The ‘over’ has hit in four straight head-to-head meetings between these schools.

--Tip-off is slated for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

**Gonzaga at Brigham Young**

--Most books opened BYU (18-6 SU, 10-10 ATS) as a three-point favorite with a total of 147 ½. As of late this morning, the opening numbers really hadn't budged at all with the exception of a few books moving the Cougars to 3 1/2. Gamblers can take Gonzaga on the money line for a plus-150 return (risk $100 to win $150).

--Dave Rose’s team needs this victory badly to bolster its hopes of earning an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament, especially after suffering an embarrassing 80-66 home loss to Saint Mary’s this past Saturday night as a 2 ½-point favorite. Noah Hartsock and Matt Carlino scored 15 points apiece and Brandon Davies finished with 14 points and seven rebounds.

--Gonzaga (17-3 SU, 9-11 ATS) has won four consecutive games since getting trounced at Saint Mary’s, but the Bulldogs are mired in a 0-5 ATS slide. They are coming off a 74-62 win at Portland as 15-point road favorites. Gary Bell Jr. scored a team-high 18 points, while Elias Harris had a double-double with 17 points and 10 boards.

--Mark Few’s squad has been an underdog three times, going 1-2 both SU and ATS. The ‘Zags lost to Illinois and Saint Mary’s, but they won outright at Xavier.

--BYU is 10-3 SU and 5-4 ATS at home.

--The ‘under’ is 14-5-1 overall for Gonzaga, cashing in eight of its last nine games. Meanwhile, the ‘under’ is 12-8 overall for BYU although the ‘over’ is 5-4 in its home outings.

--When these teams met in the second round of the NCAA Tournament last year, Jimmer Fredette led BYU to an easy 89-67 win to advance to the Sweet 16. The Cougars won in blowout fashion as one-point favorites.

--ESPN2 will have the telecast at 11:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--The Pitt Panthers aren’t dead yet.

--Best BracketBuster Matchups:
1-Saint Mary’s at Murray St.
2-Long Beach St. at Creighton
3-Wichita St. at Davidson
4-Nevada at Iona
5-No. Iowa at VCU

--Manhattan and Middle Tennessee are now sporting the nation’s best ATS records with 16-5 ATS marks. The Blue Raiders took the cash in a seven-point loss at Vandy this past Saturday as nine-point ‘dogs.

--Take Kentucky off of the fade list. The ‘Cats have bounced back from an atrocious 0-13-1 ATS slump to cover the number in four of their last five games.

--I went 3-0 in college hoops last night, cashing winners with Michigan, So. Miss and Maryland. The Golden Eagles finally beat Memphis for the first time since 2004 to improve to 20-3 on the season.

--Syracuse's Fab Melo will return to the lineup Saturday versus St. John's. Melo has sat out the last three games due to academic issues. Melo averages 7.2 points and 5.7 rebounds per game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
02/02/2012 01:21 PM

Hoop Trends - Thursday

February 2, 2012


The Hornets are 11-0-1 ATS (11.2 ppg) since March 29, 2006 as a dog when they have lost their last three games SU and ATS.


The Nuggets are 0-10 OU (-9.8 ppg) since February 06, 2003 as a dog with at most one day of rest off an overtime game.


The Trailblazers are 10-0 ATS (9.1 ppg) since March 11, 2008 on the road as a favorite after winning the previous matchup in which Lamarcus Aldridge had a double double.


The Bulls are 10-0 ATS (14.4 ppg) since January 16, 2008 when they are playing in at least their fourth straight road game and they have no rest.


The Hornets are 13-0 ATS (12.4 ppg) since December 06, 2001 as a dog with at most one day of rest after a loss in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
02/02/2012 01:23 PM

Thursday’s betting tips: Murray St. sliding ATS

Who’s hot

NBA: The under is 10-0-1 in the last 11 meetings between Utah and Golden State.

NBA: Atlanta is 4-1-1 against the number in its last six overall.

NHL: Nashville is 20-7 in its last 27.

NHL: Chicago has won six of its last seven games in Edmonton.

NCAAB: The over has cashed in UCLA’s last six games.

NCAAB: Cal has covered in three of its last four overall and in nine of its last 11 home games.

Who’s not

NBA: Sacramento is 1-6 against the number in its last seven meetings with Portland.

NBA: Memphis is 4-10 against the spread in its last 14 road games.

NHL: Montreal is 6-13 in its last 19 overall.

NHL: Carolina is 13-27 in its 40.

NCAAB: Virginia Tech is 1-6 against the spread in its last seven.

NCAAB: Murray State is 21-0 straight up this year, but only 0-4-1 against the spread in its last five.

Key stat

4 – The Butler Bulldogs own the worst record against the spread in the nation, covering only four times in the 20 games they’ve seen a pointspread going 4-12-2. The Bulldogs have dropped three straight against the number heading into Thursday’s meeting with Wright State.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Luol Deng, Chicago Bulls – Deng, who has been out of action with a wrist ligament injury since Jan. 21, is expected to return to the lineup Thursday when the Bulls visit the Knicks. Deng is averaging 15.9 points and 7.5 rebounds per game.

Game of the day

Denver Nuggets at Los Angeles Clippers (-2, 207.5)

Notable quotable

"I cannot believe how bad the NBA is right now. I'm a fan first and foremost; watching the NBA right now, I'm embarrassed about the product we're putting out there right now. They have all these built-in excuses about it's the lockout. Let me tell you something: If these teams played once a week, they would still suck. You watch one of these teams, and if they rested for a week they would still suck." – Former NBA All-Star Charles Barkley on an ESPN radio station about the state of the league.

Notes and tips

New England Patriots tight end Rob Gronkowski said Wednesday that the team is looking into a specialized cleat he could wear in Sunday's Super Bowl to make it easier for him to play with a high left ankle sprain. The tight end didn’t practice again on Wednesday. "I think he's making improvements, getting better every day. We'll just take it day-to-day and see what he's able to do today," said Patriots head coach Brian Belichick. Gronkowski has not practiced since suffering the injury in the third quarter against the Baltimore Ravens during the AFC Championship game. The 22-year-old has caught 15 passes for 232 yards and three touchdowns in two postseason games to date.

The Boston Bruins will welcome defenseman Andrew Ference back to the lineup Thursday at home against the Carolina Hurricanes. Ference served a three-game suspension for his hit on Rangers defenseman Ryan McDonagh and had two goals and two assists in his previous three games. Ference has notched 20 points and a plus-15 rating in 43 matches this season.

Rasheed Wallace is contemplating coming out of retirement and returning to the NBA, according to YAHOO! Sports. Wallace contacted the Los Angeles Lakers a few weeks ago and expressed interest in joining the team. The four-time NBA All-Star retired after the 2009-10 season, but has told friends he's interested in returning to the NBA. The 37-year-old averaged nine points and 4.1 rebounds in 79 games for the Boston Celtics in his final season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
02/02/2012 01:24 PM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

-- Southern Miss ended eight years of frustration by beating Memphis 75-72, ending an 18-game losing streak against the Tigers.

-- Miami Heat scored 40 points in first quarter, 37 in second half as the Bucks upset them 105-97 in Milwaukee.

-- Maryland's Terrell Stoglin scored 33 points, but was 6-19 outside the arc, 3-6 inside it, as Terps lost 90-86 in double overtime at Miami.

-- UConn is struggling; Huskies lost 58-44 at Georgetown, fourth loss in a row, second game in row they scored less than 50 points.

-- Clippers ended a 16-game losing streak in Utah by holding the Jazz off, 107-105. Could the Clippers be the NBA's best team?

-- Odd fact of the day: The father of Boise State QB Kellen Moore had San Diego State's Steve Fisher as a high school basketball coach.


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Throwing around some Super Bowl props

One of the few Las Vegas sports books I haven’t been in is the one at the Las Vegas Hilton; I’m going next time I’m out there. In the meantime, they’ve listed over 400 prop bets for the Super Bowl. Here is a sampling of some of the investments you can make on Sunday’s game. All in all, they have a PDF file with 44 pages of Super Bowl props......

13) Most basic of all wagers is Patriots, -3, with an over/under of 55. My opinion is that there is value with these Patriots; too many folks are hopping on the New Jersey bandwagon. Four years ago, no one gave the Giants a chance; those are the teams that pull upsets.

12) Coin toss: Don’t laugh, I’ve seen multiple people wager significant money on this, which is part of why Sunday is the busiest day of the year for Gamblers’ Anonymous........You can also bet on which team will get the most penalty yards. Who would do this?

11) Will either team score in the first 5:30 of the game? Yes +$105, No -$125. Since teams played already this season, think it lessens the chance for a big play early on. Less surprises in return matchups.

10) Total TD’s: over 6.5, +$105, under 6.5 -$125.
These are the simple, football-related props. There are crazier ones that get into the Phoenix Open and stats from NBA games this weekend, but in good conscience, I’m not going to promote chaos. If you just want action, go play Quick Draw.

9) Largest lead of the game: over 13.5, -$160, under 13.5, +$140.
So the bet here is that, at any point in the game, will either team lead by 14+ points?

8) If you want to cash a big ticket, go against the grain with one of these investments: over 69.5 points- +$400, Giants -10.5, +$550, Patriots -17.5, +750. My personal favorite is Patriots -10.5, getting +$290.

7) Will there be overtime? Never has been an OT in a Super Bowl (this is the 46th one), though they’ve come close a few times. Yes +$800, No -$1,100.

6) What happens first? Patriots score -$120, Patriots punt, even. Don’t forget, a Patriot turnover on the first possession doesn’t end this one. Has to be either a score or a punt to win.

5) Longest field goal of game; over or under 44.5 yards.

4) More receiving yards: Victor Cruz -8.5 over Wes Welker. Chances are Welker catches more passes, but his will be shorter. Cruz has become a home run hitter, capable of the huge play.

3) Longest TD by either side 49.5 yards. Perception is that these two defenses are sub-par, but you don’t get this far with a bad defense.

2) Over/under for Giants' rushing yards is 104.5 yards. If you want to bet on Brandon Jacobs' carries: over 7.5 $+105, under 7.5, -$125.

I like under here on Jacobs' carries, unless of course Bradshaw gets hurt. No way to know that beforehand.

1) And a terrific idea to keep everyone interested until the end, will the last score be a TD or something else (PAT counts as part of the TD)? Touchdown, -$240, anything other than a TD, +$200.

Good luck to everyone on Sunday; I'm doing my tax return during the game, so I'm going to make

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
02/02/2012 01:26 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 2

Road team is 5-1 vs spread in Duke's ACC games; Blue Devils are 2-1 as road favorites, winning by 7 at Ga Tech, 7 at Clemson, 13 at Maryland. Duke lost 64-60 here LY, but then beat Hokies by 14 in ACC tourney two weeks later. Virginia Tech is 1-5 in ACC, 0-2 at home, losing by 4 to Florida State, 14 to North Carolina (led by 5 at half). Hokies usually play their best ball as an underdog, which they obiously are here. ACC home teams are 3-7 against spread when number is less than 5 points.

Northwestern lost five of last six games, dropping last three by 20-23-2 points, as dreams of making NCAAs for first time slip away; they're 1-2 as a Big Dozen favorite, 2-2 SU at home, beating Michigan State by 7, Penn State by 12, losing to Illinois/Purdue by 1-2 points. Nebraska covered five of last six games, including last three road games- they're 3-2 SU in last five games, winning at Iowa in last games, a full week ago. Big Dozen single digit home favorites are 11-13 against the spread.

Middle Tennessee is 9-0 in Sun Belt, covering six of last eight conference games; they lost by 7 at Vanderbilt in last game Saturday, meaning they probably have to win Sun Belt tourney to make NCAAs. Blue Raiders are 4-0 as Sun Belt road favorite, winning road games by 10-11-13-21 points. North Texas won six of last eight games, covering all eight; their three Sun Belt losses are by 3-3-2 points. Sun Belt home underdogs of more than 4 points are 1-6 against the spread.

Denver won six of its last seven games; they're 4-1 on Sun Belt road, but last two away games were decided by total of 4 points. Pioneers lost last six visits here, losing two of last three years in OT. UL-Lafayette is 3-1 at home in conference, with only loss to South Alabama; they're 4-1 in last five games, but are 1-2 vs spread as an underdog, 1-6 vs spread last seven games overall. Sun Belt home teams are 5-3 vs spread if number is 3 or less points. ULL lost by 12 in only other game vs top 100 team.

Florida (-7) won 79-65 at South Carolina Jan 14, after trailing by point at half; Gators shot 53% for game, made 12-24 from arc. Florida is 3-0 at home in SEC (2-1 as home fave) winning at home by 22-12-12 points. South Carolina is 2-0 as SEC road underdog, losing away games by 15-11-4 points; their last two games were decided by total of 6 points. SEC home favorites of 15+ points are 3-1 against the spread. Florida has big game with Vanderbilt Saturday, could look past this game.

Favorites are 5-0 vs spread in Washington's Pac-12 home games, with Huskies 4-1 SU (all four wins by 10+ points). Home team won eight of UCLA's nine conference games, with only win on "road" at crosstown rival USC; Bruins are 0-4 in Pac-12 outside of LA, losing by 1-16-3-7 points- they're 1-2 as Pac-12 road dogs. UCLA is 2-7 against teams in top 100- their conference losses are by 1-16-3-7 points. Pac-12 single digit home favorites are 15-11 vs spread, 4-5 if spread is 4 or less.

Oregon State won its last three games, scoring 80.3 ppg, but they're 0-4 in Pac-12 outside state of Oregon, losing by 15-5-8-10 points. Beavers are 1-2 as Pac-12 road underdog. Colorado is 5-0 at home in conference, 4-1 as home favorite, winning by 40-18-11-1-15 points. Buffs are 2-5 in games against top 100 teams. Pac-12 home favorites of 4 or less points are 4-5 against the spread. Curious to see how Oregon State's fast-paced style of play works in the high altitude.

Arizona's last three losses are by combined total of five points; all five of their Pac-12 wins are by 8+ points. Wildcats beat Cal Bears twice LY, winning game here in triple OT. Arizona lost three of last five games; in three losses, they scored 67 or less points; they scored 77+ in last three wins. Cal Bears are 3-2 as Pac-12 home favorites, winning in Berkeley by 4-16-7-36-10 points-they won five of last six games overall. Pac-12 home favorites of 7+ points are 15-5 against the spread.

Nevada is 7-0 in WAC, 5-2 vs spread, 2-1 as home favorites, winning at home by 24-3-13 points; Wolf Pack went to Utah State Jan 7 and beat the Aggies 78-71 (+4.5), making 10-26 from arc. WAC single digit home favorites are 5-11 against the spread. Utah State is 0-2 as WAC road dog losing road games by 20 at New Mexico State, 3 at Idaho- their only win on WAC road was by 4 at La Tech-- Aggies lost four of last five games on road overall, with non-league losses at Miss State/Seattle.

Cal Poly (-7) won first meeting 73-67 with Fullerton, game they led by 17 at half, but Mustangs are 2-3 in last five games, and had to rally back from down 14 at half to beat woeful UC-Davis by hoop in last game on Saturday. Poly is 2-3 on Big West road, losing by 5-7-10. Fullerton won its three conference home games by 1-5-11 points; they're 1-2 as home favorites. Big West home teams are 3-9 vs spread if number is 5 or less points. Titans won three of last four games overall.

BYU hammered Gonzaga 89-67 in second round of NCAAs last spring, their last win of Jimmer Era; this is their first meeting as WCC rivals. Gonzaga won its last four games, but didn't cover any of them; their last three wins are by 11-17-12 points. Bulldogs are 1-2 as underdogs this season, losing by 21 at St Mary's, 7 at Illinois, winning at Xavier. BYU lost its last two home games, to LMU/St Mary's; they're 2-5 last seven games as a favorite. WCC home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-2.

SE Missouri State is 7-2 in OVC, only team within striking distance of unbeaten Murray State; Redhawks' OVC losses are at Eastern Kentucky by 4, at Tennessee Tech by 15. SEMo won four of last five games, are 3-1 vs spread as an OVC underdog. OVC double digit home favorites are 6-8 against the spread. Murray State got injured F Aska back, so they'll be at full strength once he gets back in shape. Racers failed to cover last five games- they're 1-3 as an OVC home favorite.

Oral Roberts is 12-0 in Summit League play, winning road games by 7-12-9-1-10 points- they're 3-2 as road favorite. Titans (-7.5) beat South Dakota State 97-75 in first meeting Jan 7, shooting 61% from the floor, 10-21 from arc, with only six turnovers. Jackrabbits are 6-0 at home in conference, scoring 84.2 ppg- they're 5-1 as home favorites, 8-0 when they allow less than 92 points. Titans' last loss was by 6 at Gonzaga on Dec 15- they're 3-3 against teams ranked in top 100.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:34935 Followers:38
02/02/2012 01:27 PM


Thursday, February 2

Fullcourt report: College hoops betting news and notes


Virginia starting center Assane Sene will miss as many as six weeks of action because of a broken ankle that required surgery. Sene is a 7-foot senior averaging 4.9 points and 3.7 rebounds in 21 minutes per game. He started every game for the Cavaliers and they went 15-2 SU over their first 17 games. Since Sene’s injury, Virginia has gone 2-1 SU but just 1-2 ATS with their lone spread win coming in a 61-60 game as a 2-point underdog.

“Assane is a senior and an integral part of our team,” Virginia head coach Tony Bennett told reporters. “In all my years of coaching, he is one of the most team-first players I’ve been around. I know he’ll do whatever he can from a rehabilitation standpoint to try and return to action before the end of the season.”

BIG 10:

Illinois has a talented 7-foot-1 sophomore center dominating the paint this season. Meyers Leonard has opened many eyes with his play and he is currently projected as a future lottery pick in the NBA draft. Leonard is a high-energy guy that also logs a lot of minutes for the Illini.

He averages well over 30 minutes per game and is has also shot better than 50 percent in six of Illinois’ eight Big 10 games so far this season. But despite Leonard’s play, Illinois is just 3-5 ATS in conference play.

BIG 12:

The Cyclones are made up of a bunch of transfers and head coach Fred Hoiberg has done a tremendous job molding those guys together. One of them is Minnesota transfer Royce White, who is averaging 13.6 points and 9.6 rebounds per game. White is doing great work despite suffering from an anxiety disorder since childhood.

“To an extent it’s almost a good thing," White told reporters. "It’s almost a gift in the sense because I really focus. “Sometimes it’s a curse, too, because my fatigue level is always real high because of it. I never get to sleep.”

Iowa State is 6-2 ATS in Big 12 play, including 5-1 ATS as an underdog.


The Hoyas opened the season at 13-1 SU, but since then they’ve gone just 3-3 SU over their last six games. They’ve been even worse against the spread going just 1-7 ATS over their last eight games.

A major reason for their decline in play has been their defense. The Hoyas have allowed 70 points or more in four of their last seven games after holding 12 of their previous 13 opponents to 68 points or fewer.

“From the defensive end, lack of communication to lack of effort to breakdown,” said head coach John Thompson III.

PAC 12:

The Ducks have won nine of their past 12 games, and they are 6-3 in conference play. Transfers are playing a big role for Oregon as Devoe Joseph (Minnesota) is the leading scorer, Tony Woods (Wake Forest) is the leading rebounder, and the top reserve is Olu Ashaolu (LA Tech). Oregon owns three road wins in conference play and the Ducks are also 10-1 SU in games decided by fewer than 10 points, including a 4-0 SU mark in games decided by fewer than five points.

One reason is that the Ducks are shooting 88.3 percent (68-of-77) from the line in the final five minutes of games decided by fewer than 10 points. Oregon is 3-1 ATS as a road underdog in conference play, and we expect the pointspread covers to continue.


The Tigers are just 12-9 SU overall and 2-5 SU in SEC play this season, but LSU has played a brutal schedule, playing three ranked opponents in succession. They have no games scheduled for this upcoming week, which is a major advantage to have this late in the season.

LSU’s remaining schedule is very manageable as only three of the Tigers' remaining nine opponents are over .500 in conference play. The Tigers are just 3-5 ATS over their last eight games, but this team will present some good pointspread value going forward, especially in the underdog role.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: