cnotes Posts:33372 Followers:38
On 01/25/2012 06:01 PM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes Wednesday's Best Bets NCAAB-NBA-NHL !

Missouri Back On The Road At Oklahoma State

College basketball betting is far different than the NBA with about 10 times as many teams to choose from.

With so many choices, bettors can’t just focus on the major conferences. A quick look at the updated against the spread records show the top-5 schools of Middle Tennessee State (15-4), Nevada (12-3), Manhattan (14-5), South Dakota State (10-2-1) and Bowling Green (11-4) all from smaller conferences.

Wednesday night in college basketball only features one of the teams above (Bowling Green hosting Central Michigan), but we do get a look at one of the major conference ATS stalwarts in Missouri (10-4). Here’s our daily preview.

Penn State at No. 3 Ohio State – 6:30 p.m. (ET)

Penn State (10-11 straight up, 6-10 ATS) was having a difficult season before the passing of former football coach and school icon, Joe Paterno. The team heard the news on Sunday and then had to play at Indiana a few hours later, losing 73-54 as 15-point underdogs.

The Nittany Lions are now 0-4 SU and ATS in Big Ten road games this year, with an average score of 70-55. Expect to see a huge spread in this game, although Penn State has covered two of the last three in Columbus.

Ohio State (17-3 SU, 9-6 ATS) is ranked No. 3 in the Coaches Poll ahead of Syracuse, with the teams flip-flopped in the AP. The AP seems fairer with the Orange only suffering one defeat. The Buckeyes did have an excuse in their earlier loss at Kansas (78-67) with Jared Sullinger out, but not in the more recent ones at Indiana (74-70) and Illinois (79-74).

Coach Thad Matta’s guys are 14-0 SU and 7-2 ATS at home and it’s almost unfair having three of the top 10 scorers in the conference in Sullinger (17.1 PPG), William Buford (15.2 PPG) and the emerging Deshaun Thomas (15.0 PPG).

The ‘over’ is 6-0 in the last six meetings between Ohio State and Penn State.

No. 2 Missouri Tigers at Oklahoma State Cowboys – 7:30 p.m. (ET) on ESPN2

Missouri (18-1 SU, 10-4 ATS) jumped from No. 5 in the Coaches Poll after the Saturday carnage that saw both Syracuse and Duke lose. The Tigers also did their own part by upsetting then No. 3 Baylor, 89-88 as 4½-point road ‘dogs. It was their first road win over a top-5 team since 1994, doing a great job outrebounding (27-24) a much taller Baylor squad.

Coach Frank Haith has his Missouri team going in the right direction at 4-0 SU and ATS in the last four. That includes another tough road win at Iowa State, 76-69 as 4-point favorites. Haith needs to make sure there is no letdown on Wednesday.

Oklahoma State (9-10 SU, 8-9 ATS) has lost 3-straight and eight of 11. Scoring (65.9 PPG) is an issue overall at just eighth in the conference. That’s far less than up-tempo Missouri (83.4 PPG) who ranks first in the Big 12 and fourth nationally.

Both teams like to play with small lineups, but Missouri is much better at rebounding and hitting the ‘three.’ The Cowboys only real hope is playing at Gallagher-Iba Area where they’re 7-2 SU (although just 2-5 ATS).

Missouri is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings between the teams. However, Oklahoma State did win and cover last year in Stillwater, 76-70 as 2-point ‘dogs.

No. 6 Duke Blue Devils at Maryland Terrapins – 9:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN

Duke (16-3 SU, 7-12 ATS) has a lot to prove after a 76-73 Saturday loss to Florida State as 10 ½-point favorites. That snapped an incredible 45-game home winning streak, with 37.5 percent shooting (15-of-40) from inside the arc mostly to blame.

The Blue Devils now have to venture away from Cameron Indoor Stadium. They’re 2-2 SU (1-3 ATS) in true road games with losses at Ohio State (85-63) and Temple (78-73), followed by ACC wins over at Georgia Tech (81-74) and Clemson (73-66). The Clemson game was the only cover, just beating the 6½-point number.

The Terrapins (12-6 SU, 5-8-1 ATS) return home after road losses at Temple (73-60) and Florida State (84-70). The record at home in the Comcast Center is 10-1 SU, but just 2-4-1 ATS. They’re also 2-5 ATS as an underdog, which will surely be the case on Wednesday.

Sophomore guard Terrell Stoglin (21.2 PPG) is the ACC’s leading scorer and fifth in the nation. The problem is he scores a whopping 30.9 percent of Maryland’s points (68.7 PPG). Stoglin must have a monster game to beat a balanced Duke offense (80.5 PPG) that has five players averaging double-digits.

Duke won all three meetings last season, covering two of the games, including 80-62 as 4½-point favorites in College Park last February.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33372 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:03 PM

Woeful Wizards Fire Saunders After 2-15 Start

We might only be about a quarter of the way through the NBA betting campaign, but for the Washington Wizards, it is already time to hit the reset button. After just a 2-15 start to the season that also saw them go a woeful 5-12 ATS, the Wizards fired head coach Flip Saunders on Tuesday.

Saunders’ replacement will likely be assistant coach Randy Wittman, If Wittman were to take the Wizards over, it would be the second time in his career that he was given the interim tag. He replaced Dwane Casey with the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2007. Wittman became the full time coach the next season, but was fired two years later. He has a 100-207 record as a head coach in five seasons.

If there is good news for Washington, it is that the team is going to take on the Charlotte Bobcats at Verizon Center on Wednesday night. Charlotte is only a game better off than the Wizards are this year, and a dreadful 1-8 SU and 4-5 ATS on the road. This 7:00 p.m. (ET) tip can be seen on local Comcast Sports networks.

The Wizards aren’t the only team trying to figure out how to get back on track that will be playing on Wednesday night. The Miami Heat, who were shocked at home against the Milwaukee Bucks on Sunday, will take on the Detroit Pistons at the Palace of Auburn Hills. Miami likely will still be without Dwyane Wade in this one, and that means more pressure on LeBron James.

James has answered the bell, scoring at least 28 points in each of his last five games. However, the Heat are just 3-4 SU and ATS in their last seven games overall.

Tip time from Motown is scheduled for 7:30 (ET), and this prime-time tilt can be seen on Sun Sports and FOX Sports Detroit.

NBA TV has a doubleheader of fantastic clashes as well on Wednesday, both of which feature major divisional rivals.

The Indiana Pacers and Chicago Bulls begin the festivities at 8:00 (ET) at the Windy City's United Center. The Bulls have still yet to lose a game this year on their home court, going 8-0 SU and 5-3 ATS. They have won four in a row and are 3-1 ATS in those four clashes.

Meanwhile, Indiana will be trying to make a statement by taking down the clear top dogs of the Central Division. The Pacers are only three-games out of first place, pending completion of their Tuesday night battle at home against Orlando, and winning this one would be humongous for a team that is trying to prove that it can contend in the Easteren Conference.

Luol Deng has a wrist injury, while Taj Gibson is still nursing an injured ankle, and neither are likely to play for Chicago. That being said, the Bulls are still going to be expected to run their record to a league-best 14-games over .500.

The nightcap is the second meeting of the year between the Los Angeles' two entries in the Association, the Lakers and Clippers. The Clippers took the first clash in impressive fashion a week and a half ago, 102-94. Though Kobe Bryant was the high scorer with 42 points, Chris Paul had 33 while Blake Griffin poured in 22 points and had 14 rebounds.

Staples Center is home to both squads, but the team listed as the official host is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, which is good news for the Lakers. The Clippers are 5-1 ATS in their last six overall heading into this 10:30 p.m. (ET) Wednesday night clash.

There are certainly some mismatches on the Wednesday NBA rotation schedule. The Philadelphia 76ers will be huge favorites over the New Jersey Nets in the City of Brotherly Love, while the same could be said for the Oklahoma City Thunder at home against the New Orleans Hornets and the Utah Jazz at home against the Toronto Raptors.

The Dallas Mavericks will still be without Dirk Nowitzki, who is nursing a knee injury, and they host the Minnesota Timberwolves in an 8:30 (ET) start time.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33372 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:05 PM

Red Wings And Canadiens Close Season's First Half

The Detroit Red Wings will try to head into the NHL All-Star break on an eight-game winning streak and stay atop the Western Conference when they visit the Montreal Canadiens on Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. (ET). It's the only contest on the schedule before the league takes a few days off to hold its annual all-star tilt that is set for Sunday at Ottawa's Scotiabank Place.

The Red Wings (33-15-1) beat the St. Louis Blues 3-1 on Monday for their 17th straight home victory and continue to lead one of the most competitive divisions in hockey. Detroit, St. Louis and the Chicago Blackhawks all reside in the Central Division and are the three teams with the most points in the West. However, the Blues and Blackhawks are relegated to the fourth and fifth spots in the conference and would square off in the first round of the playoffs if the postseason started today.

While they own the NHL’s best home record, the Red Wings are simply average on the road with a 13-13 mark. Of their past seven consecutive wins overall though, four were decided in a shootout and another ended in overtime. The ‘under’ also cashed in every one of those games.

Meanwhile, Montreal (18-21-9) has dropped three of four at home and will try to get back on track there following a two-game road trip. The Canadiens split road games against the Toronto Maple Leafs and Pittsburgh Penguins last Friday and Saturday, and they will be facing Detroit for the first time this season.

The teams met only once last season, with the Red Wings winning 4-2 at home.

In other league news, Washington Capitals forward Alex Ovechkin was suspended three games without pay on Monday for a charging incident against Pittsburgh defenseman Zbynek Michalek in a 4-3 overtime loss. Ovechkin started serving the suspension Tuesday against the Bruins but would have been eligible to play in Sunday’s NHL All-Star Game before he opted out of the event.

The Capitals find themselves in a competitive race for one of the eight playoff spots in the Eastern Conference. They were sitting in the final spot going into Tuesday’s action but trailed the Florida Panthers by just one point for the lead in the Southeast Division. Passing the Panthers would vault Washington into the No. 3 spot.

Defending Stanley Cup champion Boston and the New York Rangers appear to be the clear favorites in the East right now as the only two teams in the conference to reach 30 wins. The two division leaders just faced each other last Saturday, with the Rangers winning 3-2 at TD Garden in overtime.

The Bruins bounced back though with a 6-5 shootout victory on the road against the Philadelphia Flyers on Sunday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33372 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:08 PM

ACC Live Underdogs

January 25, 2012

Bettors following the ACC during conference play have seen underdogs cash at an eye-opening pace this season. The ‘dogs have gone 20-8-1 (71%) against the spread in conference games this season and that includes some big outright upsets too.

On Wednesday, bettors have two games in this situation.
Florida State (13-6 SU, 10-7 ATS) at Wake Forest (11-8 SU, 8-7-1 ATS)

The Seminoles extended their conference winning streak to four games both SU and ATS, which included an upset last Saturday at Duke (76-73)
Despite beating Duke on the road, FSU is just 3-5 both SU and ATS outside of Tallahassee
After starting the season with a flurry of ‘under’ tickets, the ‘Noles have seen the ‘over’ go 7-1 in the last eight
As a favorite of six points or more, FSU is 7-2 ATS this season
Wake Forest has gone 2-3 SU and 3-1-1 ATS in ACC play this season, with wins coming against Boston College (2-3) and Virginia Tech (1-4)
The Demon Deacons are 7-3 SU and 3-5 ATS at home, 0-2 both SU and ATS when catching points
Last season, FSU dominated Wake Forest in both meetings (85-61, 84-66). The ‘over’ cashed in both games

Duke (16-3 SU, 7-12 ATS) at Maryland (12-6 SU, 5-8-1 ATS)

Duke has gone 4-1 SU and 1-4 ATS in conference play
The Blue Devils’ lone cover came in a win against Clemson (73-66) as 6 ½-point favorite
Outside of Durham, Duke is 7-2 SU and 3-6 ATS
The Blue Devils are 4-8 ATS as double-digit favorites
Off a loss this season, Coach K and company have gone 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS, scoring 87 and 81 points in both bounce back games
Maryland has gone 2-2 SU and 2-1-1 ATS in ACC action, both wins coming at home
The Terrapins are 11-1 SU and 4-4 ATS at home this season
As double-digit ‘dogs, the Terps are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS
Duke has won nine of the last 10 meetings against Maryland, covering six of those games
The total opened at 151 and has been dropping quickly, down to 148 ½ at some shops

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33372 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:11 PM

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

January 25, 2012


The Mavericks are 10-0 ATS (8.7 ppg) since April 05, 2003 at home when seeking revenge for a loss as a road favorite in which they were out-rebounded by double-digits.


The Spurs are 0-11 OU (-9.0 ppg) since December 07, 2001 as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a win in which their DPA was at least plus 15 points.


The Warriors are 11-0 OU (20.5 ppg) since November 16, 2007 after a loss at home in which Monta Ellis had more turnovers than assists.


The Trailblazers are 12-0 OU (11.9 ppg) since November 04, 2010 after a game in which they allowed less than 40% from the field.


The Kings are 8-0 OU (10.1 ppg) since February 04, 2011 with at least a day of rest after a loss in which Demarcus Cousins was the Kings’ high scorer.The Raptors are 0-8-1 OU (-10.9 ppg) since January 12, 2011 after a win in which Andrea Bargnani was the Raptors’ high scorer.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33372 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:13 PM

Wednesday Tips

January 24, 2012

The Wednesday NBA card is filled with 13 games for bettors to wager on, including three matchups with both teams owning winning records. The Lakers and Clippers renew acquaintances in the late game at Staples Center, as the Purple and Gold look to halt a three-game losing skid. We'll begin with another division battle in the Windy City as Indiana tries to slow down Chicago in a playoff rematch.

Pacers at Bulls - 8:05 PM EST

Chicago is rolling right now with a perfect 8-0 mark at the United Center, as the Bulls welcome in the surprising Pacers. Indiana has jumped out to an 11-5 record after qualifying as the eighth seed last season before getting eliminated by Chicago in the first round of the playoffs. Now, the Pacers try to prove that this start isn't a fluke by attempting to end a nine-game losing streak in Chicago that dates back to November 2008.

The Bulls got reining MVP Derrick Rose back in the lineup for Monday's 110-95 victory over the Nets, while cashing as 13 ½-point favorites. Rose missed five games with a toe injury, as Chicago put together a 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS mark in that span. The Bulls own a 5-3 ATS record at the United Center, as Chicago is listed as a home favorite of less than nine points for just the second time this season.

Indiana has been used to playing away from Conseco Fieldhouse this season after taking the court at home only six times. The Pacers hit the hardwood in Chicago for their 11th away contest, while going 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS on the highway. The last time Frank Vogel's team played on the road, the Pacers rallied past the Lakers on Sunday night, 98-96 to cash as 5 ½-point underdogs.

The Bulls claimed seven of nine meetings last season, including a 4-1 mark in the first-round elimination of the Pacers. Indiana managed a pair of covers as double-digit 'dogs in the first two games of the playoffs, but lost by 27 in the elimination contest as 8 ½-point 'dogs.

Hawks at Spurs - 8:35 PM EST

San Antonio returns home for just one game before hitting the road for three more contests as the Spurs welcome in the Hawks. Atlanta is rolling with wins in nine of their last 11, while coming off a 97-92 triumph at Milwaukee on Monday as short 'chalk.' Now, the Hawks look to break a 13-game jinx at San Antonio, dating back to the Christian Laettner days in 1997.

Atlanta has cleaned up against lower-tier competition by beating New Jersey three times, Charlotte twice, Cleveland, Minnesota, Washington, and Toronto to account for nine of its 13 victories. The Hawks continue a five-game road trip, while trying to improve on a 2-3 ATS record as an away underdog. Two of those losses came by double-digits in defeats at Indiana and Philadelphia, while scoring 29 second-half points in a 90-76 loss to the Sixers last Friday.

San Antonio suffered its first home loss of the season in a shocking 88-86 setback to Sacramento as 10 ½-point favorites last Friday. The Spurs dropped a three-point decision the next night in Houston as Tim Duncan rested on the second end of the back-to-back, but covered as 4 ½-point 'dogs. Gregg Popovich's squad struggled in Monday's two-point win over the horrible Hornets, failing to cash as four-point 'chalk.' Following a 3-1 ATS start, the Spurs are just 5-9 ATS the last 14 games, but are 4-1 ATS as a home favorite of five points or less.

Clippers at Lakers - 10:35 PM EST

Southern California bragging rights are on the line once again when these two city rivals meet up at Staples Center. The Lakers have turned into pointspread poison of late with six consecutive ATS losses, while failing to win each of their last three games. The court will be purple and gold this time around against a Clippers' team that tripped up the Lakers on January 14 as 2 ½-point home favorites, 102-94.

Chris Paul is listed as 'questionable' for Wednesday's contest with a hamstring injury that has cost him the last five games (3-2 SU/ATS). The Clippers have done very little traveling through the first month with just four road games, with the furthest trip going to San Antonio the second game of the season. Los Angeles has failed to cover in all three opportunities as an away underdog, while allowing at least 100 points in each defeat.

The offense is slowly fading for the Lakers, who have failed to break the 100-point plateau in all but one game. The 'under' has turned into a solid play for Mike Brown's club, cashing in 13 of 18 games, including an 8-3 mark at home. Dating back to last January, the Lakers are just 10-18 ATS as a home favorite in the regular season, including three consecutive non-covers at Staples.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33372 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:15 PM

Paul set to return for battle of L.A. Wednesday



Tip-off: Wednesday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: L.A. Lakers -3.5, Total: 186.5

The new-look Clippers have a chance to further claim Los Angeles when they play a “road” game against the Lakers Wednesday night.

The Clippers already beat the Lakers in the Staples Center once, 102-94 on Jan. 14, a Clippers home game. But while this is the same building, it plays much different when the Lakers are the designated home team. It’s not just the different season ticket holders, but the blackout lighting the Lakers use creates a different backdrop for shooters. It’s part of the reason why, over the past four seasons, the Lakers are 6-0 SU and 3-3 ATS as the home team but only 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS as the visiting team in this series. During that span, the Clippers hit 44.1% of their field goals and 36.7% of their threes as the home team, but just 41.5% of their shots and 29.8% of their threes as the visitors. Factor in the Lakers’ far better play at home this year (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS), and they should be able to hold serve. The LAKERS are the pick.

The FoxSheets have a trend backing the Lakers:

L.A. CLIPPERS are 11-30 ATS (26.8%, -22.0 Units) in road games after one or more consecutive overs over the last 3 seasons. The average score was LA CLIPPERS 95.4, OPPONENT 106.8 - (Rating = 2*).

The Under is 12-6 in Lakers games this season, and this FoxSheets foresees the UNDER occurring again on Wednesday.

Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (L.A. LAKERS) - poor three point shooting team (<=33%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 42% or less. (33-12 since 1996.) (73.3%, +19.8 units. Rating = 2*).

The Clippers are still awaiting the return of PG Chris Paul (18.0 PPG, 52% FG, 8.4 APG) from a hamstring injury. He’s been practicing of late, and expects to start on Wednesday night for his first action since the last meeting with the Lakers, a span of five games. Paul has been a Lakers killer. He had 33 points on 12-of-22 shooting and six assists in the teams’ first meeting of the year, and over the past six seasons is averaging 21.9 PPG on 50.2% shooting and 12.1 APG against the Lakers. The fact that Paul will likely be less than 100 percent does not bode well for the Clippers.

The Clippers are 3-2 SU and ATS with Paul out of the lineup, but dropped their only road game in embarrassing fashion, 108-79 in Utah. Since returning from a foot injury of his own PG Mo Williams has absolutely lit it up over three games without Paul, averaging 25.7 PPG on 64.4% shooting from the field and 61.5% shooting from three. It’s helped make up for mini-slumps from PF Blake Griffin (21.0 PPG, 11.5 RPG), who’s averaging just 17.2 PPG on 47.1% shooting with Paul out and G Chauncey Billups (15.8 PPG, 4.4 APG), who’s averaging 15.2 PPG on 31.9% shooting since Paul went down.

The Lakers are trying to recover from a three-game SU slide (and a six-game ATS slide). They lost tough games in Miami and Orlando before coming home to be upset by the Pacers in a game they led in the final two minutes. The trio of SG Kobe Bryant (30.5 PPG), PF Paul Gasol (15.8 PPG, 9.3 RPG) and C Andrew Bynum (15.9 PPG, 13.2 RPG) is getting little offensive help during this recent slide. They’re averaging 29.0 PPG, 15.7 PPG and 13.7 PPG respectively, but no one else on the team is scoring more than 6.7 PPG over the Lakers’ past three. The team has averaged 87.7 PPG on 40.7% shooting in those games, and they’ve topped 100 points just once all season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33372 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:16 PM

Warriors try to snap skid hosting Blazers



Tip-off: Wednesday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Golden State -3.5, Total: 192

The Blazers look for their third straight win when they visit the reeling Warriors, losers of three in a row (SU and ATS).

Portland hasn’t fared too well away from the Rose Garden this year, sporting a 3-6 record (both SU and ATS). But Golden State has an identical 3-6 mark (SU and ATS) at home, losing five of their past six home tilts. However, in terms of this series, it has been very lopsided in favor of the Warriors who are 7-1 ATS against the Blazers in the past three seasons, including three straight victories (SU and ATS) by seven points, 21 points and 24 points. Portland has shot the ball terribly on the road (40.8% FG) and will have tired legs playing in its fifth game in four different cities in a six-game span. The pick here is GOLDEN STATE to win and cover.

The FoxSheets have a three-star trend backing the Warriors:

Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PORTLAND) - an average offensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games. (35-11 since 1996.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*).

Portland has lost 11 of its past 12 trips to Oracle Arena, due in large part to star PF LaMarcus Aldridge’s struggles. In the past seven games at Golden State, Aldridge has just 13.9 PPG (39.2% FG) and 5.9 RPG. But lately, he has thrived on the road, averaging 25.2 PPG and 10.7 RPG in the past six away from home. He also led Portland with 23 points in Tuesday’s win over Memphis. C Marcus Camby wasn’t even expected to play against the Grizzlies because of a groin injury, but he grabbed 22 rebounds, blocked five shots and registered a +29 rating in his 32 minutes of action.

The Warriors are slumping, but they are not getting blown out, losing three straight games by a combined 11 points. They lost to Memphis 91-90 on Monday after being up by 20 points in the second half and leading by 16 after three quarters. SG Monta Ellis (23.1 PPG, 6.9 APG) is starting to heat up, averaging 25.0 PPG on 58% FG during the three-game skid. Ellis has also torched Portland lately, averaging 32.3 PPG in the past four meetings with the Blazers. PG Stephen Curry (15.1 PPG, 5.1 APG) has struggled a bit since his return from an ankle injury, scoring a total of 30 points in two games on 13-of-33 shooting (39%). But he has loved facing Portland, scoring 23.0 PPG in the past four meetings, including a career-best 42 points last April.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33372 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:17 PM

Bulls try to extend win streak vs. Pacers



Tip-off: Wednesday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Chicago -9, Total: 184.5

Two surging Central Division teams meet in Chicago Wednesday night when the Pacers (7-3 in past 10 games) take on a Bulls team riding a four-game win streak. Chicago also has a streak going against Indiana with nine straight home wins in the series.

This matchup pits two of the top-five scoring defenses in the NBA, so it figures to be low scoring, a big advantage for the heavy underdog. The Pacers have played a pretty easy schedule thus far, but they are still 11-5 SU overall (9-7 ATS) with road wins at L.A. Lakers, Boston and Golden State. And although they lost handily to Orlando on Tuesday night, they are a perfect 4-0 (SU and ATS) following an SU loss, and 5-1 (SU and ATS) following an ATS defeat this season. Chicago is playing great thanks mostly to SF Luol Deng (19.5 PPG during four-game win streak), but Deng will miss this game with a wrist injury. PF Taj Gibson (ankle) is also out for the Bulls, and both PG Derrick Rose (toe) and C Joakim Noah (ankle) are less than 100 percent. The pick here is INDIANA to win against the spread.

The Bulls have played five straight games Over the total, but FoxSheets trend also expects the UNDER to occur with two great defensive teams.

Play Under - Any team (CHICAGO) - after 5 or more consecutive overs, good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game. (135-81 since 1996.) (62.5%, +45.9 units. Rating = 2*).

Indiana also has a tremendous defense, allowing 41.3% shooting (2nd in NBA) and 90.5 PPG (5th in NBA). Before allowing 102 points to Orlando Tuesday night, its previous nine opponents had all failed to reach 100 points, and only one (Philadelphia) had shot better than 46% from the floor in this stretch. But the offense has struggled for most of the season. Indiana has just one 100-point game all season (Jan. 2 at New Jersey) and has the fifth-worst FG Pct. in the league (41.8% FG). But the Pacers do a great job on the glass (45.2 RPG, 2nd in NBA), and have the size down low with Roy Hibbert (14.0 PPG, 10.1 RPG) and David West (11.3 PPG, 6.6 RPG) to give Chicago fits. SF Danny Granger leads the team in scoring at 16.1 PPG, but he has struggled with his accuracy (35.7% FG). Granger has 19.0 PPG in his past five games, but is shooting just 41.8% FG during this scoring surge. Three other players average 10+ points per game, including PG Darren Collison (11.1 PPG, 5.2 APG), and the SG tandem of Paul George (10.8 PPG, 46% 3-pt FG) and George Hill (10.0 PPG, 43% 3-pt FG). Indiana needs to take better care of the basketball, with 19 turnovers and just eight assists in Tuesday’s loss to Orlando.

Chicago’s defense has been amazing at home this year (76.9 PPG on 39.4% FG), which is a big reason the team is unbeaten at United Center (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS). The offense is also finding its rhythm with 110+ points in three of the past four games. In addition to Deng, SG Richard Hamilton (14.2 PPG) has been excellent in four games since returning from injury (16.5 PPG on 58% FG). Hamilton had 22 points and 10 assists in Monday’s win over New Jersey. PF Carlos Boozer (15.2 PPG, 8.5 RPG) has also stepped up during the four-game win streak, averaging 21.8 PPG (58% FG) and 9.5 RPG. In the past two regular seasons, Boozer has averaged 23.4 PPG and 11.6 RPG in five meetings with Indiana.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33372 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:18 PM

Louisville favored big over surging Villanova

VILLANOVA WILDCATS (10-10, 3-5 Big East)

at LOUISVILLE CARDINALS (15-5, 3-4 Big East)

Tip-Off: Wednesday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Louisville -8.5, Total: 139

Villanova looks to build off its first two-game conference winning streak when it travels to the KFC Yum! Center to take on Louisville on Wednesday night.

The Wildcats took down Seton Hall in an impressive 84-76 win last Wednesday to grab just their second Big East victory in seven games, and followed it up with a 79-76 overtime win at St. John’s for their first road win of the season. ‘Nova is just 5-11 ATS on the season, but appears to be turning a corner with a 4-2-1 ATS mark over its past seven games, including 2-0-1 ATS in three road games during this stretch. Junior point guard Maalik Wayns (18.7 PPG—2nd in Big East) has been absolutely sensational, scoring 92 points over his past three games (30.7 PPG), including a career-high 39 points in an 82-78 loss to Cincinnati on January 14. Louisville has been extremely inconsistent—unable to string together two wins in a row since beginning conference play. The Cardinals (8-8 ATS) played their most impressive game of the year on Saturday night, disposing of Pittsburgh 73-62 in a hostile environment on national television. Louisville’s offense looked much more fluid with the return of leading scorer Kyle Kuric (13.4 PPG), but the Cardinals are just 1-5-1 ATS over their past seven home games. With the Wildcats gaining form, look for VILLANOVA to keep things close and cover the spread.

This pair of FoxSheets trends also favor the Wildcats:

Play On - A road team (VILLANOVA) - after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games, with just two starters returning from last season. (183-123 over the last 5 seasons.) (59.8%, +47.7 units. Rating = 2*).

Jay Wright is 9-1 ATS (90.0%, +7.9 Units) after 3 straight games with 41 or more rebounds as the coach of VILLANOVA. The average score was VILLANOVA 82.0, OPPONENT 73.8 - (Rating = 2*).

The staple of Villanova basketball over the last decade has been superior guard play, and Maalik Wayns is doing an exceptional job of filling that role this season. Wayns has scored 20+ points in five of eight Big East games, and also averages a team-high 4.8 assists per game. Junior guard Dominic Cheek (12.4 PPG) starts alongside Wayns to form one of the more underrated backcourts in the conference. The Wildcats will look for a big game from junior center Mouphtaou Yarou (11.6 PPG, 8.3 RPG), who will have his hands full with a talented Louisville front line. Yarou, who fouled out in the win at St. John’s, must stay out of foul trouble, otherwise the Cats lack the depth to stop the Cards from scoring easy points in the paint.

The Cardinals look to build off the momentum gained from the win at Pittsburgh with a lineup that looks to finally be (close to) fully healthy. With Kuric’s ankle injury—along with Peyton Siva’s sprained ankle earlier in the season—the Cardinals struggled to find consistency and rhythm on offense. Look for Louisville to work the ball inside to sophomore center Gorgui Dieng (10.2 PPG, 9.4 RPG) and freshman forward Chane Behanan (9.0 PPG, 7.4 RPG), both of whom look better and better each game. The two big men combined for 32 points and 19 rebounds in the win over the Panthers. Kuric also had a huge game for the Cardinals on Saturday, putting up a game-high 21 points (5-of-9 from 3-point range) after missing the previous two games with his injury.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: