cnotes Posts:33065 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:20 PM

No. 8 Duke visits Maryland Wednesday



Tip-off: Wednesday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Duke -10.5, Total: 149.5

Mark Turgeon will have his first shot as the Maryland head coach to take on Mike Krzyzewski as No. 8 Duke heads to the Comcast Center for an ACC matchup. There will also be a ceremony during this game, naming the court after Gary Williams, the Terrapins’ head coach since 1989, who stepped down prior to this season.

Maryland has struggled under its new coach and is coming off its first pair of back-to-back losses. In both of those defeats (to Temple and Florida State), the Terps were getting double-digit points as underdogs, but failed to cover. One of the keys to beating Duke this season, and taming the nation’s 10th-best offense (80.5 PPG), is beating the Blue Devils in the paint. They average just 35.6 RPG, while the Terrapins average 36.5 RPG. Their biggest threat in the interior is 7-foot-1 center Alex Len (6.0 RPG, 2.0 BPG), but he suffered an ankle injury in the loss to Temple. He is currently listed as probable, but any diminished play or reduced minutes for him would be critical as he tries to contain Mason Plumlee (11.2 PPG, 9.3 RPG) and Miles Plumlee (6.6 PPG, 6.4 RPG) in the paint. On the outside, Maryland’s leading scorer, sophomore Terrell Stoglin (21.2 PPG), has performed miserably against the Blue Devils in his career. He shot 4-of-24 from the field in three contests against Duke in his freshman year, with 10 turnovers. Additionally, the Blue Devils have shown they can beat the lines against Maryland, with a 6-3-1 ATS record against the Terrapins in their past 10 meetings. Play on DUKE as the chalk for this road victory.

This pair of highly-rated FoxSheets trends also like the Blue Devils to win and cover on Wednesday.

Play Against - Home underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (MARYLAND) - averaging 6 or less steals/game on the season, on Wednesday games. (65-27 since 1997.) (70.7%, +35.3 units. Rating = 3*).

MARYLAND is 3-13 ATS (18.8%, -11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MARYLAND 70.4, OPPONENT 75.3 - (Rating = 2*).

Although the Over is 13-5 in Duke games this season, this four-star FoxSheets trend expects the UNDER to occur on Wednesday.

DUKE is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) vs. teams who are called for 3+ less fouls/game than their opponents after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. The average score was DUKE 73.0, OPPONENT 60.8 - (Rating = 4*).

Duke is coming off a tough loss to Florida State, which came on a last-second buzzer beater and snapped the team’s 45-game home winning streak. There were positives in that game however, as Austin Rivers (14.4 PPG) scored a team-high 19 points. After scoring 20 in the previous game against Wake Forest, Rivers showed he is out his funk. Andre Dawkins (10.4 PPG) has also been especially hot lately, with 19.7 PPG in his past three contests and 15 three-pointers in that span. Seth Curry (12.6 PPG) rounds out the backcourt, while the Plumlee brothers comprise a formidable duo in the paint. If they can bully around the injured Len for rebounds, they should easily cover this double-digit margin.

Maryland seemingly only has one source of offense this season, Stoglin. He is a strong driver and shooter, with 2.7 three-pointers per game on a very respectable 43% clip. Beyond him, though, the offense is thin with Sean Mosley (10.2 PPG), James Padgett (9.2 PPG) and Nick Faust (7.2 PPG) also adding important minutes. What makes Maryland a tough pick, though, is their inability to force turnovers on the defensive end. They swipe just 3.8 steals per game, the 3rd-lowest amount in the nation. Play against them at home here.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33065 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:21 PM

Wings aim for 8th straight win at Montreal

DETROIT RED WINGS (33-15-1, 67 points)

at MONTREAL CANADIENS (18-21-9, 45 points)

Puck drops: Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Detroit -170, Montreal +150, Total: 5.5

Two Original Six franchises square off in the league’s final game before the All-Star break as the Red Wings take their NHL-best, seven-game winning streak into Montreal to face the Canadiens on Wednesday night.

The Wings are the hottest team in the Western Conference and sit atop the Central Division standings after beating the Blues 3-1 on Monday night. The win extended Detroit’s home winning-streak to an incredible 17 games, just three shy of matching an NHL record. Workhorse G Jimmy Howard (30-10-1, 1.95 GAA, .926 SV Pct.) should get the start for Detroit after picking up his NHL-best 30th win of the season Monday night. Howard has allowed two goals or less in 30 of his 41 starts this season and is a perfect 2-0-0 against Montreal all-time. The Canadiens are coming off a 3-1 win in Toronto on Saturday, but have struggled against top-tier teams this season. Since December 1, the Habs are just 4-8-4 record against teams currently in the top eight of their conference. Montreal is also below .500 at home this season with an unimpressive 8-9-7 record. Look for DETROIT to extend its winning streak and pick up the road victory in this one.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Red Wings:

MONTREAL is 0-6 ATS (-7.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season. The average score was MONTREAL 2.0, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 3*).

The Red Wings’ offense and defense both rank in the top five in the league, averaging 3.1 goals per game while allowing just 2.2. Detroit features five skaters with 30+ points, led by C Pavel Datsyuk (14 G, 39 A) and RW Johan Franzen (19 G, 22 A).

41-year-old Nicklas Lidstrom (10 G, 16 A) leads the stout defense, partnered with offseason acquisition Ian White (6 G, 18 A). White has done a phenomenal job replacing elite puck-mover Brian Rafalski, who retired over the summer.

Montreal’s struggles this season are well-documented, as the proud franchise sits tied for last place in the conference with 45 points. Wingers Erik Cole (18 G, 18 A) and Max Pacioretty (16 G, 17 A) lead all scorers for an offense averaging 2.5 goals per game (18th in NHL). The Canadiens feature the league’s worst power play, converting at just a 12.2 percent clip on the season.

Goaltender Carey Price (16-17-8, 2.41 GAA, .914 SV Pct.) should get the start for the Habs on Wednesday. Price’s numbers are down from last season, and he is just 1-2-1 in four career starts against Detroit.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33065 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:23 PM

Wednesday’s betting tips: Can Wizards cash with new coach?

Who’s hot

NBA: Philadelphia leads the NBA at 12-4-1 against the spread.

NBA: Oklahoma City is 7-1 against the spread in its last eight overall.

NHL: The under is 13-3 in Detroit’s last 16 overall.

NCAAB: The under is 9-3 in Xavier’s last 12 home games.

NCAAB: Evansville is 9-1 against the spread in its last 10.

Who’s not

NBA: Toronto is 1-11 against the spread in its last 12 meetings with Utah.

NBA: The over is 7-20 in Golden State’s last 27 home games.

NHL: Montreal is 4-14 in its last 18 games as an underdog.

NCAAB: Villanova is 6-21 against the spread in its last 27.

NCAAB: Missouri is 18-39 in its last 57 road games.

Key stat

19.58 – The Detroit Red Wings lead the NHL’s puckline standings heading into the final game before the All-Star break, having earned 19.58 units for their supporters. The Wings are set as -155 road favorites at Montreal on Wednesday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Carey Price, Montreal Canadiens – Montreal’s star goaltender suffered a laceration to his lower body during Saturday's game against the Maple Leafs. He was kept out of Sunday's practice for precautionary reasons but is considered probable for Wednesday's game against the Red Wings.

Game of the day

Los Angeles Clippers at Los Angeles Lakers (N/A)

Notable quotable

"It's a lot of matches and a lot tennis," said Federer, a record 16-time Grand Slam champion. "Either I have been around for a long time or I'm extremely fit. You decide which way you want to describe it. But I'm happy." – Roger Federer after winning his 1,000th career match against Juan Martin del Potro, advancing to the Australian Open semifinal against Rafael Nadal. Federer is set as a -165 favorite.

Notes and tips

After a 2-15 straight up start to the season, the Washington Wizards have fired head coach Flip Saunders. The Wizards were blown out 103-83 at the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday, a game in which they trailed by 30 points at halftime. Saunders was in his third year as head coach of the team, and led the Wizards to a record of 51-130 under his tenure. Wizards assistant coach Randy Wittman will take over an interim basis as the team gets ready for Wednesday’s date with Charlotte. Washington, which is 5-12 against the spread this season, is set as a 5.5-point favorite.

Ohio State has seen a number of fat pointspreads over the last while and hasn’t had much trouble covering. The Buckeyes have been favored by double digits six times over the last eight games and covered in each of those matchups. They’re favored by 23.5 against Penn State on Wednesday and have beaten four Big Ten rivals with losing records by an average of 31.8 points.

Kansas State junior forward Jordan Henriquez has been reinstated on Tuesday after being suspended indefinitely for conduct detrimental to the team. Wildcats coach Frank Martin detailed that the 6-foot-11 Henriquez would be available to play in Wednesday's road game versus Texas Tech. Henriquez has played in 17 contests this season - starting six - and is averaging 7.1 points and 5.1 rebounds.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33065 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:24 PM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Detroit replaces Victor Martinez by signing Prince Fielder for 9 years at a total cost of $214M. Tigers won AL Cemtral by 15 games LY, are going to be the heavy favorite again this season.

-- With Fielder bagging a $214M deal, that means at the standard 4% rate that agents get, scumweasel agent Scott Boras bags a cool $8.56M.

-- This is the 13th Super Bowl that is a rematch of a regular season tilt; the winner of the first meeting is 5-7 in the Super Bowl meeting.

-- Knicks won by 33 at Charlotte, but Carmelo Anthony scored only one point. Something's amiss with the Knickerbockers.

-- Luol Deng has a torn ligament in his left wrist, so the Bulls' star is out for an extended time, just another injured NBA star in a weird season.

-- Michigan won by hoop at Purdue, as Boilermakers' Robbie Hummel was 6-14 from floor, and is now 16-46 (.348) in his last four games.


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud........

13) Houston Astros are thinking of changing their team's name for 2013, when they move into the American League; if they do that, I'd like to give them a suggestion-- how about the Armadillos??? Sounds good to me.

12) Took San Diego State's basketball team over 20 hours to get from San Diego to Laramie for last night's game with Wyoming, their last trip to Laramie, since they're moving to the Big West next season. No more long plane rides to the Rockies, just bus trips in California. Aztecs won 52-42 by the way, yet another win for this surprising young team.

11) Navy joined the Big East in football, which will make them a yearly thorn-in-the-side of everyone else in the league, since defending the option is no picnic, even for teams with superior size/athletic ability.

10) Presidential candidate Mitt Romney made $42M the last two years, and paid $6.2M in taxes. Tim Lincecum just signed a two-year deal worth $40.5M; wonder how much he'll pay in taxes on that deal?

9) By the way, no matter who gets elected President this fall, I'm voting for Mrs Romney as First Lady-- well I'd vote for her if I could.

8) When you listen to Portland Trailblazer broadcasts on TV, the analyst is Mike Rice, former coach at Youngstown State/Duquesne who is father of Rutgers coach Mike Rice- the elder Rice is an excellent analyst.

7) Damn I feel old reading that Trey Griffey, Ken Griffey Jr's son, signed to play WR at Arizona for Rich Rodriguez. I'm not that much younger than Ken Griffey Sr, the kid's grandfather.

6) UCLA coach Ben Howland has a weird habit of using up his timeouts before the last 5:00 of a game; now Howland is a good coach who has won a ton of games, but his program at UCLA is struggling and the vultures are out. Blowing a 13-point halftime lead at Oregon, and using his 4th of five timeouts with 8:01 left, when he had a TV timeout on the next whistle, is something that makes that naysayers howl.

5) Speaking of Oregon, games at Matt Knight Arena are hard to watch on TV because the court is painted in such a funky way. Every time I watch a game from Eugene I think my TV is screwed up.

4) Oakland Raiders hired Denver DC Dennis Allen as head coach, so next fall the Broncos will have their 7th defensive coordinator in seven years, while the Raiders will be working on their 7th coach since Jon Gruden left Oakland after the 2001 season.

3) Orlando Magic won by 19 at Indiana last night, a night after scoring 20 points in the second half at Boston Monday. How does a pro team score 20 points in a half, especially a very good team?

2) A year ago this week, neither Butler or VCU got one vote for the top 25, but both wound up in the Final Four. Any teams like that this year?

1) If anyone has concerns about Prince Fielder's big contract, his weight and durability issues, there's this: Fielder has played six full seasons in the big leagues, playing 157-158-159-162-161-162 games, in the league that doesn't have the DH, so you know you're getting a player who plays.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33065 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:25 PM


Minnesota at Michigan State
The Spartans look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 road games as an underdog of 7 to 12 1/2 points. Michigan State is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spartans favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-10 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 741-742: Penn State at Ohio State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Penn State 59.186; Ohio State 80.139
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 21; 122
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 23 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Penn State (+23 1/2); Under

Game 743-744: Delaware at Northeastern (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 51.116; Northeastern 57.911
Dunkel Line: Northeastern by 7; 131
Vegas Line: Northeastern by 5 1/2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick Northeastern (-5 1/2); Over

Game 745-746: George Mason at Hofstra (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 61.567; Hofstra 56.752
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 5; 142
Vegas Line: George Mason by 3 1/2; 136
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-3 1/2); Over

Game 747-748: VCU at Towson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 60.235; Towson 40.567
Dunkel Line: VCU by 19 1/2; 111
Vegas Line: VCU by 21; 116
Dunkel Pick: Towson (+21); Under

Game 749-750: Providence at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Providence 56.379; Pittsburgh 66.631
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 10 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 8 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-8 1/2); Under

Game 751-752: Villanova at Louisville (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 60.687; Louisville 67.078
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 6 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Louisville by 8 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: Villanova (+8 1/2); Over

Game 753-754: West Virginia at St. John's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 68.401; St. John's 62.514
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 6; 138
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 8; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. John's (+8); Over

Game 755-756: Georgia State at Drexel (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 58.230; Drexel 67.637
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 9 1/2; 108
Vegas Line: Drexel by 5 1/2; 114 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-5 1/2); Under

Game 757-758: Fordham at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 48.331; Richmond 65.128
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 17; 130
Vegas Line: Richmond by 13; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-13); Under

Game 759-760: St. Bonaventure at Rhode Island (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 60.428; Rhode Island 57.645
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 3; 142
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 5; 137
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (+5); Over

Game 761-762: Florida State at Wake Forest (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 63.308; Wake Forest 57.849
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 5 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: Florida State by 8 1/2; 135
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+8 1/2); Over

Game 763-764: George Washington at LaSalle (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Washington 50.725; LaSalle 67.192
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 16 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 10 1/2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (-10 1/2); Under

Game 765-766: Dayton at St. Joseph's (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 60.215; St. Joseph's 66.598
Dunkel Line: St. Joseph's by 6 1/2; 144
Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 4; 141
Dunkel Pick: St. Joseph's (-4); Over

Game 767-768: Missouri State at Illinois State (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri State 59.349; Illinois State 60.283
Dunkel Line: Illinois State by 1; 126
Vegas Line: Illinois State by 2 1/2; 130
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (+2 1/2); Under

Game 769-770: BYU at Virginia Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 62.983; Virginia Tech 64.290
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 1 1/2; 146
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 2 1/2; 140
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+2 1/2); Over

Game 771-772: Southern Mississippi at East Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 61.815; East Carolina 56.243
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 5 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 3; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-3); Under

Game 773-774: St. Louis at Xavier (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 64.657; Xavier 65.387
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 1; 133
Vegas Line: Xavier by 2 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+2 1/2); Over

Game 775-776: Old Dominion at NC-Wilmington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 58.695; NC-Wilmington 53.819
Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 5; 122
Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 2 1/2; 128
Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (-2 1/2); Under

Game 777-778: DePaul at Rutgers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: DePaul 53.684; Rutgers 67.776
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 14; 153
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 10 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: Rutgers (-10 1/2); Over

Game 779-780: Illinois-Chicago at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois-Chicago 49.791; Wright State 57.362
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 7 1/2; 108
Vegas Line: Wright State by 8; 115 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois-Chicago (+8); Under

Game 781-782: UAB at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 55.131; Marshall 66.259
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 11; 112
Vegas Line: Marshall by 9 1/2; 118
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-9 1/2); Under

Game 783-784: Loyola-Chicago at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Loyola-Chicago 44.043; Detroit 56.580
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 12 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Detroit by 14 1/2; 124 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Loyola-Chicago (+14 1/2); Over

Game 785-786: Toledo at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 45.117; Miami (OH) 58.555
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 13 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 8; 128
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-8); Under

Game 787-788: Central Michigan at Bowling Green (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 48.415; Bowling Green 53.747
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 5 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 8; 132
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+8); Over

Game 789-790: Western Michigan at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 55.826; Ohio 65.057
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 9; 144
Vegas Line: Ohio by 11; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+11); Over

Game 791-792: Northern Illinois at Kent State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 40.011; Kent State 64.541
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 24 1/2; 125
Vegas Line: Kent State by 21 1/2; 130
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-21 1/2); Under

Game 793-794: Northern Iowa at Indiana State (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 61.202; Indiana State 56.552
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 4 1/2; 120
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 2; 125 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northern Iowa (-2); Under

Game 795-796: Air Force at TCU (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 55.996; TCU 56.973
Dunkel Line: TCU by 1; 135
Vegas Line: TCU by 4; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (+4); Over

Game 797-798: Temple at Charlotte (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 62.452; Charlotte 62.914
Dunkel Line: Even; 135
Vegas Line: Temple by 2 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+2 1/2); Under

Game 799-800: Missouri at Oklahoma State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 73.271; Oklahoma State 63.001
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 10 1/2; 147
Vegas Line: Missouri by 8 1/2; 141
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-8 1/2); Over

Game 801-802: Central Florida at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 60.518; Tulsa 62.014
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1 1/2; 117
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3; 121
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+3); Under

Game 803-804: Notre Dame at Seton Hall (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 62.273; Seton Hall 73.125
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 11; 134
Vegas Line: Seton Hall by 6 1/2; 129
Dunkel Pick: Seton Hall (-6 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: LSU at Mississippi State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 60.374; Mississippi State 71.109
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 10 1/2; 126
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 8 1/2; 131
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-8 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Creighton at Drake (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 66.121; Drake 63.970
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 2; 152
Vegas Line: Creighton by 6; 148 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+6); Over

Game 809-810: Evansville at Wichita State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 58.604; Wichita State 72.005
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 13 1/2; 154
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 15 1/2; 146
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+15 1/2); Over

Game 811-812: Rice at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 54.584; Memphis 71.971
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 17 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Memphis by 13; 136
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-13); Under

Game 813-814: SMU at Tulane (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 56.335; Tulane 57.923
Dunkel Line: Tulane by 1 1/2; 101
Vegas Line: Tulane by 4; 107 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+4); Under

Game 815-816: Alabama at South Carolina (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 68.586; South Carolina 60.553
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 8; 122
Vegas Line: Alabama by 6; 119
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-6); Over

Game 817-818: North Texas at UL-Lafayette (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 54.525; UL-Lafayette 59.270
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 4 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 6 1/2; 138 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+6 1/2); Over

Game 819-820: Minnesota at Michigan State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 63.622; Michigan State 78.159
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 14 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 10 1/2; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-10 1/2); Under

Game 821-822: Kansas State at Texas Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 69.200; Texas Tech 54.439
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 15; 129
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 11; 134 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-11); Under

Game 823-824: Duke at Maryland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 71.432; Maryland 62.310
Dunkel Line: Duke by 9; 156
Vegas Line: Duke by 11; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+11); Over

Game 825-826: Auburn at Arkansas (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 53.466; Arkansas 67.265
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 14; 130
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 10; 134
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-10); Under

Game 827-828: UNLV at Boise State (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 70.019; Boise State 61.753
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 8 1/2; 154
Vegas Line: UNLV by 9 1/2; 147
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (+9 1/2); Over

Game 829-830: Colorado State at New Mexico (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 59.231; New Mexico 70.384
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 11; 144
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 12 1/2; 139
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+12 1/2); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33065 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:26 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, January 25

Villanova is 5-3 in last eight games with Louisville, winning 92-84/88-74 in last two meetings; Wildcats won two of last three visits here, but are 1-3 on Big East road this season, losing by 4-4-14 points- they're 2-9 vs top 100 teams, with seven of nine losses by 10+ points. Big East home favorites of 8+ points are 10-11-1 vs spread. Louisville is 3-5 in its last eight games, losing two of last three at home, but all three of those wins are by 11+ points.

Georgia State beat Drexel 58-44 at home Jan 2, outscoring Dragons 27-9 on foul line, just their second win in last nine series games- they lost last four visits here, by 16-7-17-24 points. That was Drexel's only loss in its last 13 games- they've won seven in row since. Panthers split last six games since an 11-game win streak, losing last three road games, all by three points, last game in double OT. Drexel CAA home favorites of less than eight points are 5-10 vs spread.

Florida State won its last four games, winning at Duke, beating Carolina by 33; they're terrific defensive team, holding foes to 27.5% behind arc. State won its last two road games by total of 7 point after losing its first three away tilts. Seminoles won their last three games with Wake Forest by 4-24-18 points; they're just 2-4 in last six visits here. Deacons are 2-3 in ACC, losing by 6-36-18 points; they allowed 55-56 points in their two ACC wins. ACC home dogs are 7-4 vs spread, 6-1 if spread is 6+.

Dayton won four of last five games with St Joe's, but home side is 8-0 in last eight series games; Flyers lost their last three visits here, by 14-1-6 points, but beat Hawks 64-61 in A-14 tourney LY. Flyers are 6-1 in last seven games, but are 1-3 on road this year, losing by 5-17-8 points, with only win at Temple. Atlantic 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 11-3 vs spread. St Joe's lost five of last seven games, with three losses by 5 or less points- they're 8-1 at home this season.

Saint Louis lost its last seven games with Xavier, losing last three here, by 14-26-8 points; Billikens lost last three games vs top 100 teams, by 4-7-5 points- they're 2-3 on road, winning at So Illinois/Charlotte. A-14 home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-2 vs spread. Xavier won its last three home games by 28-13-13 points, but they did lose to Dayton last game, its fourth loss in row vs top 50 teams. Saint Louis force turnovers on 24.7% of possessions, 20th in country.

Missouri won five of last seven games with Oklahoma State, going 2-1 in last three visits here; four of its last five series wins were by 8+ points. Tigers won last game at Baylor- their other three conference wins are all by 7+ points. Cowboys are 3-8 in last 11 games, losing last three in row by 41-3-8 points- they're 2-4 in league, with 106-65 debacle at Baylor only conference loss by more than 9 points. Big X single digit underdogs are 8-6 against the spread.

Home side won nine of last ten Central Florida-Tulsa games, as Knights lost last four visits here, by 2-18-9-20 points. UCF won six of last seven games, with only loss by point at Marshall; they're 2-3 on road, winning at ECU/UAB. Tulsa allowed 54.3 ppg in winning its last four games that followed a 7-9 start; Hurricane is 2-5 vs top 100 teams, with wins over Texas-Arlington/Mercer. Conference USA home favorites of 5 or less points are 5-6-1 vs spread.

Seton Hall is 10-0 at home this year, but lost its last two games, 56-55 at USF, 84-76 at Villanova; Pirates are 4-3 in Big East, with all four wins by 9+ points. Notre Dame won eight of last nine games with Seton Hall, winning last two meetings by 12 points each; their last six series wins all by 9+ points. Irish handed Syracuse its first loss in last game; they lost two of three Big East road games, losing by 16 at Cincinnati, at Rutgers by 7. Big East single digit home favorites are 10-11 vs spread.

LSU lost four of last five games vs Mississippi State, with last three all decided by 1 or 2 points; Tigers won two of their last three visits here, but lost last three road games overall, by 16-9-12 points. Bulldogs won both SEC home games, by 4 points each; five of last seven games were decided by 7 or less points- they were down 11 at half at Vandy in last games but won in OT, making 10-20 from arc. SEC home favorites of 6+ points are 6-1 against the spread.

Minnesota lost 10 of last 11 games with Michigan State, losing seven in a row at Breslin Center, by 11-19-24-6-29-7-9 points. Gophers won last three games after starting out 0-4 in Big Dozen, with an upset at Indiana their best win. Only one of Minnesota's last four losses was by more than 9 points. Big Dozen double digit home favorites are 7-4 vs spread. Spartans have been erratic on road but are 12-0 at home, winning league games by 15-34-25 points.

ACC double digit underdogs are 8-0-1 vs spread this season, interesting fact; Coach K won eight of his last nine games vs Gary Williams- tonight is Turgeon's first ACC game with Duke team that is 6-3 vs teams in top 100, but 0-2 on road, losing at Ohio State/Temple. Maryland lost last two games by 14-13 points, but they're 10-1 at home, with only loss vs Illinois. Blue Devils won three of last four visits here, with wins by 9-11-18 points- they lost at home to Florida State in last game.

Auburn lost three of last four games with Arkansas, losing seven of last eight visits here, last two here by 3-9 points. Tigers lost four of five on road, with three losses by 22+ points- two of their last three games got to OT. Arkansas is 14-0 at home, winning its SEC home games by 9-10 points; they had 20-point lead in last game vs Michigan, hung on to win by a hoop. SEC double digit home favorites are 3-4 vs spread. Auburn is turning ball over 21.2% of time, bad news vs Arkansas pressure.

UNLV won nine of its last ten games, with only loss at San Diego State; Rebels are 4-3 on road, with wins by 6-16-5-32 points- except for 64-48 win at Illinois, they've played much better at home. Boise State lost last four games, starting out 0-3 in MWC, with losses by 15-11-2 points and a home loss to Air Force- they're 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with losses by 10-19-17-9 points. Broncos scored 56.3 ppg in their last four games. Mountain West home teams are 4-8 against the spread.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33065 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:27 PM


Wednesday, January 25

College funds: Wednesday's best NCAAB bets

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Seton Hall Pirates (-6.5, 129)

When the Notre Dame Fighting Irish shocked the then-undefeated No. 1 Syracuse Orange last weekend, Irish coach Mike Brey’s cell phone blew up.

One of the messages he received was a note from New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, who also happens to be leading the charge to make sports gambling legal in the Garden State.

“Awesome win, I'll be there to welcome you to the state of New Jersey," Christie texted Brey.

That’s the big challenge for Notre Dame here. After such a big win, sometimes it’s hard to follow that up.

“Most teams -- and it doesn’t make them bad teams -- most teams would have a problem being ready to go Wednesday after Saturday,” Brey told reporters. “Can we be not like most teams and maybe show some special things? That's the challenge over the next two days."

The Irish have covered the number in four of their last five meetings with the Pirates and could be catching them at a good time. Seton Hall has dropped consecutive games straight up and against the number.

Pick: Fighting Irish

LSU Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs (-8.5, 131)

Mississippi State won 15 of its first 19 games, but victory No. 16 may have been the one that launched the Bulldogs into the upper echelon of the SEC.

Coming off a bitter loss to rival Mississippi that dropped the Bulldogs to .500 in conference play, Mississippi State outlasted Vanderbilt in overtime Saturday.

The Bulldogs recovered from a rough first half at Vanderbilt, turning an 11-point deficit into a late lead. And while Mississippi State lost the advantage in the final minutes of regulation, it made the plays in overtime for a critical 78-77 victory. Dee Bost scored a game-high 24, and Arnett Moultrie posted his 11th double-double of the season with 21 points and 14 rebounds.

Now they host LSU looking to stay within striking distance of the top three in the SEC (Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Florida). The Tigers sit in a three-way tie for seventh, and have dropped three of their past four games entering a week in which LSU plays the Bulldogs and then hosts top-ranked Kentucky on Saturday.

Pick: Bulldogs

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33065 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:28 PM


Wednesday, January 25

Exposing the Top 25: Where the NCAAB polls went wrong

Most overrated Top-25 team: Murray State Racers

I understand that Murray State, at 20-0 and ranked 11th in this week's poll, is a nice story. But the Racers don’t deserve their lofty ranking. To be in this spot, they had to be ranked above UNLV, San Diego State, Florida, Creighton, and Marquette.

Beating up on college basketball's 266th toughest schedule (according to the Pomeroy rankings) doesn't impress me as much as the pollsters. To me, the Racers are college basketball's version of college football's Boise State Broncos. We are talking about good, solid teams with the ability to get fired up for that one big game. But the occasional game against Dayton or Southern Miss does not compare to teams playing in power conferences.

If the Racers were playing in one of those power conferences, their downfall would be mediocre rebounding and the lack of an inside game. Unfortunately, we will not see Murray State challenged by any major teams until a potential March Madness tilt. But don't be surprised if Murray State is involved in a close, tough contest against surging Austin Peay on February 11, or in one or both of its remaining contests with SE Missouri State.

Most underrated To-25 team: UNLV Runnin' Rebels

Even with the recent loss at San Diego State, I believe the Rebels could easily be ranked eighth or ninth in the nation. Their only losses came on the road to the 13th-ranked Aztecs, at Wichita State (arguably the most underrated team in Div. I) and at Wisconsin. At the same time, they pounded then top-ranked North Carolina and crushed New Mexico in their most recent game.

While UNLV is one of the highest scoring teams in the nation, it has also proven that it can win at a deliberate pace. Illinois tried to slow things down in Chicago and the Rebels rocked the Illini, 64-48. David Rice inherited a boatload of talent when Lon Kruger left for Oklahoma, and Rice has made them a better team by allowing his players' athleticism to shine.

However, this is not just a group of athletes thrown together. There are some major recruits who started elsewhere, but landed in Las Vegas. UNLV still has tough road games at Wyoming and New Mexico along with a rematch with SDSU at the Thomas & Mack on the slate.

Unranked team that should be: Wichita State Shockers

If the pollsters looked beyond the traditional programs a little more, I wouldn't have to alternate Harvard and Wichita State over the last three weeks. At the same time, let the pollsters and casual fans continue to overestimate and underestimate certain teams so we can take advantage at the betting window.

My argument for the Shockers has been made for weeks and I'm not backing down. Adding fuel to my fire is the latest Pomeroy rankings that also feel WSU is highly underrated. In fact, they have the Shockers ranked eighth in the nation. I won't go that far, but 20th seems about right to me. But they are ranked 31st - a full 154 points behind 25th ranked Wisconsin in this week's poll.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33065 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:30 PM

Short Sheet

Wednesday's Top College Basketball Trends

INDIANA ST is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) against conference opponents (vs N Iowa)

MEMPHIS is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 (vs Rice)

OHIO ST is 14-1 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite (vs Penn St)

EVANSVILLE is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after scoring 75 points or more 3 straight games (vs Wichita St)

BOWLING GREEN is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses (vs C Michigan)

DREXEL is 7-0 ATS (+7 Units) after 2 consecutive conference games (vs Georgia St)

GEORGE MASON is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) after 2 consecutive conference games (vs Hofstra)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33065 Followers:38
01/25/2012 06:34 PM


New York at Cleveland
The Cavaliers look to build on their 10-3 ATS record in their last 13 games against teams with a losing record. Cleveland is the pick (+3) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3). Here are all of today's picks


Game 701-702: Charlotte at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 106.673; Washington 116.069
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 9 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 6 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-6 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: New York at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 115.232; Cleveland 114.546
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 1; 200
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+3); Over

Game 705-706: New Jersey at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 113.883; Philadelphia 122.369
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 8 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 11 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+11 1/2); Over

Game 707-708: Miami at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 127.428; Detroit 112.088
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 15 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 8; 187
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-8); Under

Game 709-710: Indiana at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.317; Chicago 129.665
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 14 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 8 1/2; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-8 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: New Orleans at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.874; Oklahoma City 124.784
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10;
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 13 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+13 1/2); Under

Game 713-714: Milwaukee at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 118.965; Houston 121.292
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+4 1/2); Over

Game 715-716: Atlanta at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 117.992; San Antonio 124.748
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 181
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4 1/2; 188
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-4 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Minnesota at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 115.270; Dallas 126.578
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 11 1/2; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 5 1/2; 185
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-5 1/2); Under

Game 719-720: Toronto at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 109.623; Utah 119.000
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 9 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 11; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+11); Over

Game 721-722: Denver at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.531; Sacramento 113.061
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 7 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-5 1/2); Over

Game 723-724: Portland at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 115.766; Golden State 120.866
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 5; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 3 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-3 1/2); Under

Game 725-726: LA Clippers at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 119.024; LA Lakers 126.303
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3 1/2; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-3 1/2); Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: