cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
On 09/07/2011 10:50 PM in MLB

Cnotes Thursday's Best Bets MLB-WNBA !

NY Mets Host Braves In Hurricane Doubleheader

The ’over’ has cashed four of the seven Mets, Braves games in New York.
Hurricane Irene initially caused the problem and leftovers from Tropical Storm Lee may compound the issue.

There's a doubleheader on tap at Citi Field Thursday where the New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves on a day originally scheduled to be a break for both clubs. The games were made necessary when Irene wiped out most of a weekend set near the end of August.

Mother Nature may try and interfere again with a 70 percent chance of thundershowers in Thursday's forecast for Queens. Afternoon highs are barely going to creep into the 70s.

Atlanta probably wishes the series in Philadelphia this week had been knocked out by inclement weather. The Braves dropped the first two games of the set and went into Wednesday's finale as 120 underdogs to Roy Oswalt and the Phils.

The good news is Atlanta will have at least a 6.5-game lead in the National League Wild Card race when this doubleheader begins. The bad news is the Braves are sliding into a rut at the wrong time of the season, losing four of their last five before Wednesday's game.

Game 1 of Thursday's twinbill (4:10 p.m. ET) has a couple of rookies set to start against each other according to the clubs' sites. Julio Teheran (0-2, 5.19) will make his third MLB start for Atlanta against New York's Chris Schwinden, who is making his major league debut.

Teheran is Atlanta's next great pitching prospect after tearing up the International League this season (15-3, 2.55 ERA). The 20-year-old Colombian filled in briefly for the parent club in May, both of his assignments coming on the road (Philadelphia and Arizona), both ending in defeat for the Braves and Teheran failing to last through five full innings in either game.

Schwinden started the year in Double-A before an early promotion to the Triple-A Buffalo squad, also in the International League. The 43rd-round draft pick from 2008 made 26 starts for Buffalo with an 8-8 record and 3.95 ERA.

Thursday's nightcap is currently listed for a 7:30 p.m. (ET) first pitch and also will feature a pair of young hurlers in lefty Mike Minor (8-3, 4.09) for the Braves and Dillon Gee (15-8, 4.48) for the Mets.

It's a rematch of an Aug. 7 game at Citi Field in which neither pitched well and Atlanta won 6-5 getting +105 on the MLB odds. Minor came out in the sixth after allowing four of New York's runs, and Gee left after the fifth having been charged with five Braves runners coming plateward.

The teams enter the doubleheader with New York owning a slight 7-6 advantage in head-to-head meetings this season. They will meet once more in a little more than a week for three games in Atlanta. 'Under' bettors have gone home happy in seven of the meetings so far, with one 'push, ' but the 'over' has cashed four of the seven in New York.

The Mets remain at home this weekend for three games against the Cubs, the series concluding with the ESPN Sunday Night encounter that we will preview here at Don Best Sports. Atlanta continues a tough weeklong trek away from home with three in St. Louis.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
09/07/2011 10:52 PM

Cleveland Indians At White Sox MLB Odds Preview

The Chicago White Sox begin the weekend with a 31-37 record at home.
The Detroit Tigers are red hot right now and starting to pull away from the rest of the field in the AL Central. The two teams that are trying to run them down will meet in MLB betting action starting on Thursday night for the first of a four-game set when the Cleveland Indians face off with the Chicago White Sox.

The first pitch from US Cellular Field is slated for 8:10 p.m. (ET), and baseball betting aficionados can catch the game live on the MLB Network and Comcast Sports.

The Tribe kept themselves in the pennant race through the month of July thanks to the fact they played so well at home. However, the Indians fell out of things just a bit thanks to a shoddy road record that sits at 31-37 coming into play this weekend, and without a massive turnaround in a hurry, they'll miss the postseason and barely challenge the .500 mark.

Cleveland isn't helped by the fact that it is just 4-13 over the course of the last 17 games against the White Sox, including a 3-6 mark this season. If there's good news though, it's that the Indians took two out of three here in the Windy City just a few weeks ago in a series that really damaged Chicago's chances of making the playoffs.

For just the eighth time this year, southpaw David Huff is going to take the mound for Cleveland. Thursday's starter is just 2-3 despite a 2.81 ERA. However, this is a very small sample set that we're looking at, and we have to remember that this is still a man with a 5.44 ERA for his career.

Huff has allowed five runs in two of his last three starts, both of which came on the road. He hasn't survived longer than six innings in a game since July 18, which is only going to further tax a Cleveland bullpen that just threw 6 2/3-innings on Tuesday night when Fausto Carmona was blown up by the aforementioned Tigers.

Chicago has the opposite problem that Cleveland does in that the White Sox never quite figured out how to play well in front of their own crowd at US Cellular Field. The Pale Hose are only 31-37 at home on the campaign, and even though they are two games above .500, it doesn't look good for them running down Detroit.

Manager Ozzie Guillen knows that he is probably in his last few weeks managing this team, and he is just hoping that some magic can come out of some of his starting pitchers to keep his squad in the chase until the dying days of the season.

On Thursday, it'll be up to the inconsistent Gavin Floyd to get the job done. Floyd is 12-10 with a 4.45 ERA, but we know that he has the ability to mix great games with not-so-great outings.

The righty hasn't been beaten in a game since August 3, but in games in which he didn't get the win of late, he has allowed four runs in five innings, five runs in 5 2/3-innings, 10 runs in 2 1/3-innings, and seven runs in 3 2/3-innings.

For whatever reason though, the bats are helping out Floyd tremendously. He has gotten at least eight runs of support in four straight starts. Needless to say, Chicago is 3-1 in those outings.

Mother Nature doesn't have a fantastic night in store for baseball at "The Cell." Rain is expected in the forecast, and winds could be as high as 25-30 mph out of the northeast, blowing out to right field.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
09/08/2011 07:25 AM

Thursday, September 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

LA Dodgers - 1:05 PM ET LA Dodgers +109 500
Washington - Over 8.5 500

NY Yankees - 1:05 PM ET NY Yankees -190 500
Baltimore - Over 9.5 500

Atlanta - 4:10 PM ET Atlanta -117 500
NY Mets - Under 8.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
09/08/2011 05:48 PM

Diamond Trends - Thursday

September 8, 2011


The Braves are 0-10 since April 26, 2010 on the road after a one run loss and it is the first game of a series for a net profit of $1175 when playing against.


The Mets are 0-7 OU since April 20, 2010 as a home dog vs a team that has lost at least their last three games for a net profit of $700 when playing the under.


The Indians are 0-9 since April 26, 2010 when David Huff starts as a 140+ dog after his team lost the last time he started for a net profit of $900 when playing against.


The Indians are 1-15 (-3.4 rpg) since 2009 when they are off a game in which they scored at least six runs, hit at least two home runs but lost nonetheless.


The Yankees are 8-0 since June 06, 2010 as a road favorite after a loss in which they left 18+ men on base for a net profit of $800.

The Royals are 0-7 since May 11, 2010 as a favorite after a loss and it is the first game of the series for a net profit of $870 when playing against.

The Indians are 0-7 OU since April 15, 2010 when David Huff starts when the bullpen has allowed at least one run for two straight games for a net profit of $700 when playing the under.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
09/08/2011 05:50 PM

Playoff Pulse

September 8, 2011

The MLB playoff field is virtually set and the odds on a World Series champion wager may be better now than when the playoffs actually start. In recent years the overwhelming favorite has rarely been the winner of the Fall Classic so it is worth taking a look at some of futures odds and considering which teams may have some value.
Philadelphia Phillies - 2/1

The Phillies are again overwhelming favorites given the brilliant pitching staff and a fairly unthreatening path in the National League. This is a very average hitting team however, batting .254 for the season while hitting only 135 home runs. Either of Philadelphia’s first round opponents Arizona or Milwaukee has scored more runs on the season and there will be some questions with how the pitching staff will be handled. There are five viable starting options but obviously Philadelphia will not need five starters and it remains to be seen if the team will attempt to use someone like Roy Oswalt or Vance Worley in the bullpen in the playoffs. How they handle John Mayberry and Raul Ibanez is also another interesting question and in a short series it will be tough to maximize the potential of the team. Milwaukee and Atlanta both have starting rotations that can hang with the Phillies and both may have more reliable closing options as well. At 2/1 there is certainly no value in taking the Phillies as they showed last year anything can happen in a short series if a team gets hot.

Boston Red Sox - 7/2

The Red Sox have been sinking in the AL East standings and the injury to Josh Beckett certainly could be a problematic blow to the team. Still Boston has the strongest odds in the American League. The Red Sox are the top hitting team in baseball at .280 but New York has scored more runs while allowing fewer runs despite the perception that New York’s pitching is vulnerable. Boston has very average bullpen numbers for the season including a 23-17 record in games decided by the bullpen and while Jonathan Papelbon has done his part the Red Sox have converted just 33 saves on the year as they have not played a great deal of close games. In the playoffs those type of blowout wins will be much less likely and right now it looks like the Red Sox will be on the road for the first series possibly going against Justin Verlander or C.J. Wilson in game 1, which will not be an easy situation. Boston is definitely a threat to win it all but the pitching staff looks a bit less reliable than hoped for and in the playoffs pitching is certainly critical.

New York Yankees - 5/1

The Yankees are the most popular team in baseball by a mile but this team may actually be undervalued. New York is the highest scoring team in baseball and they have hit the most home runs in baseball by a wide margin. The pitching staff seems to be a question mark but C.C. Sabathia will start many of the key games and he has shown an ability to make starts on short rest in past playoff series. The offense is also always going to be capable of bailing the team out even if they get a marginal starting effort. Everyone is quick to criticize A.J. Burnett but they probably won’t need him in the playoffs as Ivan Nova has been very capable in the starting role and Freddy Garcia and Bartolo Colon seem to still have something in the tank. Phil Hughes has also been very good in a few of his starts as well though he has been hit-or-miss lately. The big edge that the Yankees have is the bullpen, featuring the lowest bullpen ERA in the American League and only twelve losses by relievers all season, the fewest in baseball. New York appears on track to win the division and have a home field edge until the World Series should they get there so it is surprising that New York is not among the overwhelming favorites and there could be value playing the Yankees now as the odds could certainly drop as they get more attention.

Milwaukee Brewers - 13/2

The Brewers have been a fun story and with an amazing record since the All Star break few teams are playing better. Milwaukee has not played a lot of top flight competition as the NL Central has been a really weak division this season and the Brewers have cleaned up with a 45-25 in division record. Milwaukee was just 6-9 in interleague play including going 1-5 versus Boston and New York and the Brewers are also 3-5 against the Braves and 3-4 against Arizona so few of the wins in the overall record have been high quality. Milwaukee has a good starting rotation but no starter has been dominant and the bullpen lacks left-handed options though presumably Chris Narveson or Randy Wolf could be used in relief in the playoffs. Milwaukee has been a dominant home team but even with better play of late the overall road record is ugly. Milwaukee has a quality team on both sides of the ball and will not be an easy out in the postseason but ultimately the chances of a first ever title for the Brewers is probably less likely than these odds suggest as the number is set low due to the great recent run and the big money that Brewer backers have made in the last two months.

Atlanta Braves - 9/1

The Braves are perhaps the least interesting of the playoff teams but they are a viable threat. Only four teams in baseball currently have a better record than the Braves and Atlanta has a huge advantage in the National League in that they will not have to play Philadelphia in the wild card round. Atlanta quietly has a strong road record at 38-31 and only Philadelphia and San Francisco have allowed fewer runs in the National League. Atlanta has a high quality starting rotation and the pitching staff has a lot of playoff experience, unlike Milwaukee or Arizona. Atlanta currently has the best bullpen ERA of any team that will make the playoffs as rookie Craig Kimbrel has been dominant and there are several high quality late innings options. The offense has less punch than all of the other playoff contenders but the Braves have hit 156 home runs and while strikeouts can be common this is a team that quietly is finding ways to win and can be very tough to beat in close games. Atlanta won’t be favored in the wild card round if they face the Brewers but that may not be accurate and there is some value on a pitching oriented team that quietly enters the playoffs as San Francisco showed last season.

Texas Rangers - 10/1

The defending American League champions will have to go through one of the AL East powers in the first round but the Rangers have the offensive potential to win in a slugfest with either squad. The Rangers have the second best team batting average in baseball and they will get games in the humid heat in Arlington which can be a big advantage. Texas has the most risk wagering this far away from the playoffs as there is a legitimate chance that the Angels catch the Rangers in the standings. Only New York, Philadelphia, and Boston have better run differentials for the season and Texas is the third highest scoring team in baseball. Texas has the worst bullpen among the playoff-bound teams but the unit performed well in the playoffs last year and the struggles of the bullpen are somewhat a reflection of the lack of depth in the starting rotation. After C.J. Wilson there are few proven options as Matt Harrison and Derek Holland can be inconsistent and Alexi Ogando seems to be running out of gas. Colby Lewis is veteran option and Scott Feldman could work his way back in the mix with a strong final month. In reality the back of the rotation is no worse than what the Yankees, Tigers, or Red Sox are offering so that weakness should not be a great concern. With that said the battle in the AL West could get tight down the stretch and the Rangers may be the only team that enters the playoffs with a less than ideal rotation lined up given that they may need to win in the final week. Texas does not have a lot of value at this point as last year’s run will be hard to replicate.

Detroit Tigers - 12/1

The Tigers surprised the Yankees in the wild card round the last time they were in the playoffs and they could get that opportunity again. Detroit could actually pass the AL West leader in the coming weeks so Comerica Park could host the wild card winner and Detroit will be a tough match-up in game 1 with likely Cy Young winner Justin Verlander on the mound. Detroit does not have a great bullpen and the rest of the rotation has been hit-or-miss with Rick Porcello and Max Scherzer but Doug Fister has really pitched well since joining the team and he could move into a key role on this team in a short series. Porcello and Scherzer are not capable of giving you great starts every week but they have the potential to deliver one great start in a series and that is all the Tigers may need to move on. Detroit’s offense has great numbers and may be undervalued a bit given that Comerica Park is a clear pitcher’s park. The Tigers are batting .274 on the season, third best in baseball and the lineup takes a great deal of walks. Detroit also seems to have a lot of late season momentum and with Jim Leyland on the bench Detroit could be a team that makes one of those special runs as they have the stars and storylines to make a fitting end. The odds were better a few weeks ago on the Tigers but this is still a team that can be worth a look for a big potential payday.

Arizona Diamondbacks - 15/1

Arizona will be the team that is quickly dismissed as a World Series contender as most are shocked that this is a .500 team, let alone a team that is 20-games above .500 and running away from last year’s World Series champion in the NL West. Arizona most likely will have to play Philadelphia in the first round which means these odds could even be steeper but passing Milwaukee is still certainly a possibility. Getting caught by the Giants is also still a risk although it has not looked likely in the last few weeks. Arizona is a very tough home team and the offense is much better than anyone realizes. Arizona has scored more runs than any of the other NL playoff teams and while the team average is just .250 the Diamondbacks have a lot of extra-base hits in a home stadium that is favorable to batters. The pitching staff has also come together to deliver remarkable results especially considering the difficulty of pitching at Chase Field. Ian Kennedy and Daniel Hudson form a near elite top two for the staff and Joe Saunders and Josh Collmenter are both capable of delivering a strong outing when needed. The Arizona bullpen does not have great overall numbers but J.J. Putz has solidified the back end and Collmenter could be very effective if he is moved back to a relief role for a short series. Arizona should not be discounted but ultimately given the road faced in the playoffs it will be hard see this team winning three consecutive series as healthy underdogs and the odds do present enough value to make a case.

Los Angeles Angels - 30/1

The Angels obviously have nice payout at the current odds and should Los Angeles make the playoffs they will be a dangerous team with a starting pitching 1-2-3 that would be the best in the American League. The chance of the Angels making the playoffs appears to slim however as the Angels have a more difficult schedule than the Rangers ahead with a series against the Yankees and a long road trip. The Angels do have the final series at home against Texas so there is a chance but at this point it would be worth waiting until the Angels make the playoffs and then taking the Angels as only slightly less substantial underdogs entering the postseason.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
09/08/2011 05:54 PM

Thursday betting tips: Saints-Packers playing over

Who’s hot

NFL: Green Bay is 11-4 against the spread in its last 15 games in September.

NCAAF: Oklahoma State is 9-3 against the spread in its last 12.

MLB: The Los Angeles Dodgers have won 12 of their last 15.

MLB: The New York Yankees have won 22 of their last 30 games in Baltimore.

Who’s not

NFL: The under is 3-9 in New Orleans’ last 12 Week 1 games.

NCAAF: The under is 2-6 in Arizona’s last eight games.

MLB: Milwaukee is 3-7 in its last 10 meetings with Philadelphia.

MLB: San Diego is 0-9 in its last nine games as an underdog.

Key stat

61.6 – The Green Bay Packers and New Orleans Saints have combined for 61.6 points per game over their last five meetings – all of which have played over the total. Oddsmakers have the total for Thursday’s matchup pegged at 47.5 points.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Lance Moore, New Orleans Saints – The Saints ruled wide receiver Lance Moore out of Thursday night’s season-opener at Green Bay on Tuesday. Moore, who has 66 catches and 763 receiving yards last season, has been battling a groin issue for the last few weeks. Green Bay is set as a 4-point favorite.

Game of the day

New Orleans Saints at Green Bay Packers (-4, 47.5)

Notable quotable

“I feel good about our offense. I think we have a lot of weapons and we have enough depth to really play fast. We can even play with more tempo than we did (Saturday) night. There’s always room for improvement ... but I’m comfortable with where we’re at. I’m comfortable with the number of guys that we have that can make plays, I think we have some offensive linemen that can roll in and keep in some of our guys fresh.” – Oklahoma State head coach Mike Gundy on his offense after the Cowboys put 66 points on the board in Sunday’s win over Louisiana-Lafayette. The Cowboys are now set as big 13-point home favorites Thursday against Arizona on the short week.

Notes and tips

The Green Bay Packers opened around -4.5 or -5 at most books for Thursday’s game against the New Orleans Saints, but dropped to as low as -3.5 at a few books over the last week. Now that kickoff is closing in, Packers supporters are weighing in, moving Green Bay back to around -4. Right now about 55 percent of *********** Consensus bettors are backing the Cheeseheads.

Arizona wide receiver Juron Criner missed his second practice in a row Tuesday with an undisclosed illness, leaving his status for Thursday night’s big showdown with Oklahoma State. Criner went crazy last weekend by hauling in six catches for 151 yards against Northern Arizona.

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Washington Nationals will play a doubleheader Thursday after rain forced MLB officals to call off Wednesday's game. Dave Eveland is expected to get the call for L.A. against Chien-Ming Wang in the matinee, while Chad Billingsley will square off against Ross Detwiler in the nightcap.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
09/08/2011 05:56 PM

Thursday's six-pack

-- According to reports, if the Big 12 collapses and Iowa State/Baylor get bounced outside the BCS, it could cost the schools as much as $17M a year, which is why they're trying to keep the Big 12 afloat.

-- Depending on who you believe, the SEC will pursue either Missouri or West Virginia as its 14th team.

-- Guillermo Moscoso tossed seven perfect innings, beating Royals 7-0 Wednesday. At one point, over a two-game stretch, Moscoco retired an Oakland A's-record 30 straight batters.

-- A's pitcher Brandon McCarthy is 27 years old; he is 8-7, 3.41 with a WHIP of 1.16 this year, making only $1M this year. He's earned a nice contract for next year; unfortunately, it probably won't be in Oakland.

-- Why does the Clippers' Chris Kaman play for the German national hoop team? Better question: why does he make $12M a year?

-- NHL regular season starts four weeks from tonight.


Thursday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for in the NFL....

13) Will Carson Palmer really retire, leaving million$ on the table? Will the Bengals refuse to trade him and let him retire, weakening their team for no reason other than stubbornness? Who roots for this team?

12) Eli Manning isn’t mobile. Giants’ offensive line is in flux for first time since Eli has played in the Swamp, plus he lost two of his favorite receivers during the offseason. Are the naysayers right? Will it be a down year for the G-Men?

11) Think its going be an enormous year for Adrian Peterson; think the new coaching staff will take heat off Donovan McNabb by running the ball and utilizing their best offensive weapon. Fantasy owners can thank me later.

10) Can Wade Phillips improve the Texans defense enough for Houston to win the AFC South and save Gary Kubiak’s job?

9) ESPN’s Merrill Hoge think the Bills are much-improved and can finish 8-8. While I have great respect for Mr Hoge, I’m skeptical of any team whose starting QB didn’t get a college scholarship to play football.

8) David Garrard will never be mistaken for Dan Marino, but why hasn’t he been scooped up by another NFL team? When did Jacksonville decide they didn’t want him around anymore? If you tell me they made this decision less than a week before the season opener, I’ll tell you nitwits are calling the shots down there.

7) Can Norv Turner avoid another 2-3 start? Seriously, given their early schedule, if the Chargers start 2-3 again, Norv will be home giving out candy to the neighborhood kids on Halloween.

6) Just don’t see Chad85Johnson and Bill Belichick lasting a whole season together; Johnson is an attention addict, a player whose performance doesn’t come near living up to the publicity he generates. Belichick isn't fond of guys like that. We’ll see, but ol’ Chad could be back at Santa Monica College coaching the WR’s before this season is over.

5) Arizona finished 31st in passing yardage LY; seeing as there are 32 NFL teams, they gave Kevin Kolb a $63.5M contract to be the savior under center. We’ll see if he’s worth it.

4) Dallas Cowboys definitely have the NFL’s best stadium, but they’ve won one playoff game in the last 14 years, so now they’ve got another new coach. I’d feel better about the Pokes if Tony Romo had been organizing offseason workouts for his teammates, instead of playing golf.

3) Carolina has a rookie coach and a rookie QB whose backups are Derek Anderson/Jimmy Clausen; who thinks this season is going to end well for them? Me neither.

2) The best rivalry in the NFL is Saints-Falcons; they’re also two of the three best NFC teams, and they play on Monday night in Week 16, the night after Christmas. Game could very well be for the NFC South title.

1) For years I’ve sworn Colts would be 4-12 without Peyton Manning; now we get to find out. Have the feeling Jim Caldwell is going to think he’s back at Wake Forest, the way Indy is going to get smoked by revenge-minded rivals. At least until #18 is healthy again.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
09/08/2011 05:58 PM

Long Sheet

Thursday, September 8


CHICAGO (14 - 17) at MINNESOTA (25 - 7) - 9/8/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


TULSA (3 - 28) at PHOENIX (18 - 13) - 9/8/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 26-38 ATS (-15.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
TULSA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games in August or September games since 1997.
PHOENIX is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15+ games after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 3 or more days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-3 against the spread versus TULSA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-1 straight up against TULSA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Chicago at Minnesota
The Sky look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games versus Western Conference teams. Chicago is the pick (+10) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by only 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+10). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 651-652: Chicago at Minnesota (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 110.107; Minnesota 116.709
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 146
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 10; 149
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+10); Under

Game 653-654: Tulsa at Phoenix (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 100.695; Phoenix 117.315
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 16 1/2; 174
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 15; 171
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-15); Over


Thursday, September 8

Trend Report

8:00 PM
Chicago is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Chicago is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

10:00 PM
Tulsa is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Tulsa
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tulsa

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
09/08/2011 05:59 PM


Boston at Toronto
The Red Sox look to build on their 9-1 record in Andrew Miller's last 10 starts when the total is set at 9 to 10 1/2 runs. Boston is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 901-902: LA Dodgers at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Eveland) 14.802; Washington (Wang) 15.191
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-120); Under

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.024; Milwaukee (Narveson) 15.730
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Over

Game 905-906: San Diego at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Luebke) 14.108; Arizona (Kennedy) 16.352
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-170); Over

Game 907-908: Boston at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Miller) 15.685; Toronto (Morrow) 15.106
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+120); Under

Game 909-910: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Huff) 14.463; White Sox (Floyd) 14.811
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-150); Under

Game 911-912: Kansas City at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 15.302; Seattle (Vargas) 14.090
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Over

Game 913-914: Atlanta at NY Mets (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 15.530; NY Mets (Schwinden) 14.205
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-125); Under

Game 915-916: Atlanta at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Teheran) 14.276; NY Mets (Gee) 15.302
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-120); Over

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Baltimore (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 16.394; Baltimore (Simon) 15.071
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-200); Over

Game 919-920: LA Dodgers at Washington (4:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 14.503; Washington (Detwiler) 15.432
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
09/08/2011 06:00 PM


Thursday, September 8

Hot pitchers
-- Eveland allowed one run in eight IP in his first '11 start.
-- Hamels is 2-2, 2.40 in his last seven starts.
-- Minor is 3-0, 3.18 in his last four starts.
-- Kennedy is 10-1, 2.25 in his last 11 starts.

-- Floyd is 2-0, 2.79 in his last three starts.
-- Nova is 11-0, 3.43 in his last twelve starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Billingsley is 0-1, 6.21 in his last five starts. Wang is 0-1, 4.67 in his last three starts. Detwiler is 1-5, 5.40 in his last six starts.
-- Narveson has a 6.17 RA in his last four starts.
-- Luebke is 0-2, 5.17 in his last three starts.
-- Gee is 1-1, 9.20 in his last three starts. Schwinden is 8-8, 3.95 in 26 AAA starts this season; this is his big league debut. Teheran is 0-1, 5.19 in two starts this season.

-- Romero is 1-1, 5.30 in his last three starts. Miller has a 6.85 RA in his last five starts.
-- Huff is 1-2, 6.28 in his last three starts.
-- Hochevar is 2-2, 4.91 in his last five starts. Vargas is 0-3, 9.97 in his last four starts.
-- Simon is 1-4, 6.69 in his last six starts.

-- Over is 8-3-1 in Dodgers' last twelve road games.
-- Over is 11-3-1 in Philly's last fifteen games.
-- Five of last six Kennedy starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of Gee's last eight starts went over the total.

-- 11 of last 14 Toronto games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Floyd starts went over the total. Five of six Huff starts stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Hochevar starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in Nova's last ten road starts.

Hot Teams
-- Dodgers won 14 of their last 19 games.
-- Phillies won nine of their last eleven games.
-- Arizona won 13 of its last 15 games.
-- Mets won ten of their last thirteen games.

-- Blue Jays lost four of their last six games.
-- White Sox are 14-7 in their last 21 road games.
-- Royals won three of their last four road games.
-- Bronx won nine of its last eleven games.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost 12 of its last 14 games.
-- Milwaukee is 4-5 in its last nine games.
-- Padres lost 11 of their last 13 games.
-- Braves are 4-8 in their last twelve games.

-- Boston lost five of its last seven games.
-- Indians lost their last three games, allowing 22 runs.
-- Mariners lost 16 of their last 22 games.
-- Baltimore lost eight of its last eleven games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: