cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
On 01/23/2012 05:50 PM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes Monday's Best Bets NCAAB - NBA - NHL !

Orange At Cincinnati Bearcats Minus Fab Melo

Now that was a college basketball Saturday that we've come to know and love. The heavy slate saw four of the top 11 teams in the coaches poll go down in defeat, including two on their own courts, while several others barely escaped upsets.

Among those to suffer losses was previously unbeaten and No. 1 Syracuse. The Orange became the latest victim of Joyce Center mystique in a 67-58 setback to Notre Dame that should end Syracuse's six-week reign at the top of the polls when the new rankings are released on Monday. It also whittled the list of teams without a loss down to one, the Murray State Racers.

Jim Boeheim's squad won't have much time to dwell on the defeat. The Orange will be in Cincinnati on Monday night and under the spotlight of ESPN's cameras once again for the 7:00 p.m. (ET) tip from Fifth Third Arena. Syracuse opened as 5-point road chalk with the oddsmakers starting the total at 136.

Nobody expected 'Cuse to go through the season unbeaten, but few probably expected the run would end against what had been a remarkably inconsistent Notre Dame team. It took something of a perfect storm for the Irish to grab the dubya, starting with their hot shooting at the outset. Notre Dame became just the second team this season to hit at least 50 percent from the field against Syracuse, the other being North Carolina State in mid-December.

Meanwhile, the Orange never got their transition game going and were both outmuscled and outhustled on the glass. Some of the shortcomings in the rebounding department might be blamed on the absence of center Fab Melo who leads the team averaging 5.7 boards per game. The big Brazilian did not accompany the team to South Bend, nor will he be in Cincinnati, due to what is being reported as academic issues.

Melo's absence didn't really affect the spread in Saturday's game. The line dropped from -9 to -8½ initially upon the announcement Melo wouldn't play, but it bounced back to the original Orange -9 at close.

Not having Melo still doesn't explain why Syracuse shot so poorly. When NC State shot so well against the Orange on Dec. 17, Boeheim's bunch countered with their own efficient offense and scored 88 points in the win in Raleigh. The Orange had averaged over 85 PPG in their four true road games before Saturday's 58 at the Fighting Irish.

With such a deep roster like Boeheim has, it's somewhat silly to point to one player as the key in any single game. Still, Kris Joseph has fallen into a slump the last couple of weeks, going especially cold from outside the arc. The senior forward has averaged 11.2 PPG the past four games, not far off his team-leading 13.6 rate, but he's just 15-for-42 from the field (36%) and has converted on just three of his last 19 from 3-point range.

Coincidence or not, Syracuse is 3-0-1 to the 'under' in that span, which presents a direct contrast to Cincinnati's recent 4-0 trend to the 'over.'

The Bearcats were in Morgantown on Saturday where they fell to West Virginia in overtime, 77-74. Mick Cronin's crew has been a bit of an enigma so far, getting upset at home by the likes of Presbyterian, Marshall and St. John's, all the while playing the role of an elite squad in road victories at Pitt, Georgetown and UConn.

Part of their inconsistency might be due to the team missing several key players for various lengths because of suspensions in the brawl-marred Xavier game. Cincinnati might once again have a shorter roster for Monday's game, this time because of an injury. Leading scorer Sean Kilpatrick (16.2 PPG) is listed as questionable because of a groin problem. If he's out, it will put more of a load on junior Jaquon Parker and freshman Jeremiah Davis.

This will be the ninth meeting between the two teams, all since Cincinnati started Big East play a little more than six years ago. Syracuse is 6-2 all-time and has won the last three. The Orange were 7½-point favorites at home in a 67-52 win in the most recent meeting (Jan. 2011). The Bearcats' last victory came Jan. 2008 in Cincinnati, a 74-66 upset as 3½-point underdogs.

Both teams will take the rest of the workweek off before next hitting the court on Saturday. The Bearcats will be at Rutgers that day while the Orange return to the Carrier Dome to host West Virginia.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
01/23/2012 05:53 PM

Hedo Turkoglu, Orlando at Boston – 7:30 p.m. (ET) Monday

This is the first half of an NBA-TV doubleheader. Orlando’s Turkoglu (back) is questionable after missing the last two games. Scoring has been down without him with an 85-83 (OT) loss to San Antonio on Wednesday and 92-80 win over the Lakers on Friday. The ‘under’ was 3-0 in the Magic’s just completed, mini-homestand.

Orlando (11-4 SU, 9-6 ATS) is 4-0 SU and ATS in its last four road games, plus gets the aging and injured Celtics in the second half of a back-to-back.

Derrick Rose, Chicago hosting New Jersey – 8:00 p.m. (ET) Monday

Chicago is 14-3 SU and 11-6 ATS pending Saturday night’s result against Charlotte. Rose was listed as doubtful with his toe injury after missing the prior three games (Chicago 2-1 SU and ATS). The offense has exploded for 116 PPG the last two with C.J. Watson (38 total points) starting at point guard.

The Nets (4-11 SU, 7-8 ATS) will be playing the third game of a back-to-back-to-back on Monday. They had home games on Saturday night versus Oklahoma City and Sunday against Charlotte. This is already a team in turmoil with center Brook Lopez (foot) missing the whole season so far and star guard Deron Williams looking for an exit strategy.

Stephen Curry, Golden State hosting Memphis – 10:30 p.m. (ET) Monday

This is the second half of the NBA-TV doubleheader. Golden State (5-10 SU, 7-8 ATS) last played Friday at home, losing 94-91 to Indiana as 1-point ‘dogs. Curry (ankle) returned after missing eight games (Golden State 3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS), but was held to just 12 points on 5-of-15 shooting. He will play Monday and should work his way back into shape.

Memphis (8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS) has a Saturday home game with Sacramento before flying out to the West Coast to begin a 4-game trip. The Grizzlies have won 5-straight (4-1 ATS) pending Saturday’s final. Rudy Gay is averaging 21.8 PPG over that span, compensating for the loss of power forward Zach Randolph (knee), who’s out indefinitely after getting injured 10 games ago.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
01/23/2012 05:55 PM

Utah Jazz Streaking At NBA Betting Windows

The Urah Jazz are the hottest team in the NBA, going 8-2 SU and ATS their last 10.
NBA betting action is at the quarter pole of the season, and today, we’re taking a look at some of the hottest an coldest teams on the basketball odds of late.

Sitting at the very top of the season-long list of spread beaters are the Philadelphia 76ers (11-5 straight up, 12-4 against the spread). They're followed by the Denver Nuggets (12-5 SU & ATS), defending champion Dallas Mavericks (10-7 SU, 11-6 ATS), Minnesota Timberwolves (7-9 SU, 10-6 ATS) and Chicago Bulls (15-3 SU, 11-7 ATS).

Behind that quintet are the Utah Jazz (10-5 SU, 9-6 ATS), one of the pleasant surprises of the season. They have climbed into third place of the Northwest Division after a miserable 1-3 SU and ATS start to the campaign, turning things around with an 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 games, making them the hottest team in the league.

In a season in which scoring has been at a premium at times, Utah has been fantastic, scoring at least 106 points in four out of the past five games and ranking 13th overall with a 95.4 average thus far. Al Jefferson is averaging 18.3 PPG, one of only three double-digit scorers on this team. Still, there are nine players averaging at least 5.7 PPG, and that balance is keeping Jazz opponents singing the blues.

The Oklahoma City Thunder (13-3 SU, 9-7 ATS) became the first team to win three games in three days early in January, and they have gone 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS since that point. In this stretch, there has only been one dud of a game, a 105-102 loss at the lowly Washington Wizards. The schedule hasn’t been brutal, but the Thunder continue to prove why they are one of the favorites to win the NBA Finals this year out of the Western Conference.

Another team that is coming on strong of late is the Memphis Grizzlies (9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS). The Grizz haven’t had Zach Randolph in the lineup since the beginning of the new year, but they have been on a roll the past 10 days with a 6-game win streak. Rudy Gay has scored at least 23 points in five out of six, and Memphis is 5-1 ATS in that stretch. The team has also averaged 103.8 PPG in that run, including dropping 128 on the Sacramento Kings on Saturday.

At the other end of the spectrum are a ton of teams that figured to do well this year.

The Los Angeles Lakers (10-7 SU, 7-10 ATS) clearly aren’t the same team that they have been in years past. Despite Kobe Bryant is averaging over 30 PPG, LA would be struggling just to get into the playoffs if they started today.

Over the last five games, Los Angeles has gone just 2-3 SU and a woeful 0-5 ATS. The schedule has been brutal though, as the last four games have come against the Orlando Magic, Miami Heat, Dallas Mavericks and Los Angeles Clippers, each one of those teams a good bet to be in the postseason.

The 76ers are still leading the Atlantic Division by a comfortable margin this year because of how poor the New York Knicks (6-10 SU, 3-13 ATS) and the Boston Celtics (5-9 SU, 6-8 ATS) have played.

New York has the worst ATS record in the league by far at just 3-13 ATS, and has gone winless both SU and ATS in its last six games. The Knicks now have a four-game road trip ahead, and perhaps that is good news for a team that is just 1-8 ATS at Madison Square Garden this year.

The Celtics look like an incredibly old team right now. They have very little spunk, and are averaging just 88.9 PPG, No. 26 in the league.

Since January 6, Boston is 1-6 SU and ATS. If you look at the victories that this team has this season (Detroit, Washington twice, New Jersey and Toronto), none are against teams that figure to challenge to be in the postseason. Against playoff teams from last year, the C’s are 0-6 SU and 2-4 ATS.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
01/23/2012 05:59 PM

Games to Watch

January 23, 2012

There have already been a number of stunning upsets and fantastic finishes in this year’s men’s college basketball season but the best is yet to come as teams continue their quest for a spot in March’s NCAA Tournament. Every game on the schedule from now until the end of the regular season is another chance to build a resume that is worthy of an earning an automatic invitation to the big dance.
The following is a brief look at the top matchups for each day this week along with a few facts and figures to help handicap the games.

Monday, Jan. 23 - No. 3 Syracuse Orange vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Syracuse fell from the top spot in the nation when the new weekly polls are released later today after Saturday’s 67-58 loss to Notre Dame as a nine-point road favorite. It was its first straight up loss of the season against 20 wins. The Orange are 13-7-1 against the spread and the total has gone 9-10-1.

Cincinnati comes in at 15-5 SU (7-7 ATS) after Saturday’s 77-74 loss to West Virginia in overtime as a 4 ½-point road underdog. The Bearcats are 10-3 SU at home this season, but just 1-6 ATS. The total has gone 8-6 overall and is 3-4 in seven home games. They have been opened as 4 ½-point home underdogs against Syracuse with the total set at 135.

Tuesday, Jan. 24 - No. 1 Kentucky Wildcats vs. Georgia Bulldogs

Kentucky regain the No. 1 spot in the polls after knocking-off Alabama 77-71 this past Saturday as a 10-point home favorite. The Wildcats are a stellar 19-1 SU, but a walking disaster ATS at 4-14-1. They have covered the spread just once in their past 16 games and the total has gone 7-11-1 overall.

Georgia has lost four of its last five games SU including a 66-63 setback to Mississippi last Saturday as a 2 ½-point home favorite. The Bulldogs have dropped to 10-9 SU on the year and 7-8 ATS. They are 8-4 SU at home this season, but just 3-5 ATS. The total has stayed ‘under’ in five of their eight home games.

Wednesday, Jan. 25 - No. 8 Duke Blue Devils vs. Maryland Terrapins

Duke blew a golden opportunity to move up in the rankings with a 76-73 loss to Florida State as a 10 ½-point home favorite this past Saturday. It was the Blue Devils’ third loss of the season against 16 victories and they are now 7-12 ATS. The total has gone ‘over’ in 13 of their 16 games overall.

Maryland has lost its last two games including a 73-60 nonconference setback to Temple as a 10-point road underdog this past Saturday. The Terrapins are now 12-6 SU on the year and 5-8-1 ATS. They are 3-4-1 ATS at home and the total has been evenly split at 4-4 in the eight games.

Thursday, Jan. 26 - North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. No. 7 North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina State extended its current winning streak to three games with a 78-73 upset of Miami, Fl. on Saturday as a three-point road underdog. The Wolfpack have actually won nine of their past 10 games SU, but are just 2-3 ATS in their last five. Overall, NC State is 15-5 SU and 8-8 ATS. The total has gone ‘over’ in 10 of the 16 games.

North Carolina should be well-rested for this matchup after posting an 82-68 victory over Virginia Tech last Thursday as a 6 ½-point road favorite. The Tar Heels are now 16-3 SU overall and 10-8 ATS. They are a perfect 12-0 SU at home, but just 6-5 ATS. The total has gone an even 9-9 overall and 4-7 at home.

Friday, Jan. 27 - Harvard Crimson vs. Yale Bulldogs

Harvard continues to get outside votes in the latest rankings with an impressive 16-2 SU record overall. It posted it second-straight win in Ivy League play with a 54-38 victory over Dartmouth this past Saturday as a 14-point home favorite. The Crimson are 8-5 ATS overall and 4-2 ATS on the road. The total has stayed ‘under’ in 10 of 13 games this season.

Yale has the second-best overall record in the conference at 12-4 SU and is 3-2-1 ATS. The Bulldogs posted their fourth straight win on Saturday with a 73-60 victory over Brown as six-point road favorites. They are 5-0 SU (0-1 ATS) at home this season and the total has stayed ‘under’ in four of six games overall.

Saturday, Jan. 28- Texas Longhorns vs. No. 6 Baylor Bears

Texas has dropped its last three games heading into Tuesday’s matchup with Iowa State. The latest was a 69-66 loss to then No. 7 Kansas, but it did cover as a 3 ½-point home underdog. The Longhorns are 12-7 SU overall and 5-9 ATS. They are 2-3 ATS on the road this season and the total has gone 6-8 overall.

Baylor’s perfect 17-0 start fell by the wayside this past week with a 92-74 rout at the hands of Kansas as a 6 ½-point road underdog last Monday followed by an 89-88 loss to No. 5 Missouri on Saturday as a 4 ½-point home favorite. The Bears face Oklahoma on the road this Tuesday before returning home to play Texas. They are now 6-6 ATS overall and the total has gone ‘over’ in eight of the 12 games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
01/23/2012 06:01 PM

College Notebook

January 23, 2012

Syracuse fell from the top spot in the rankings after losing their first game of the season to Notre Dame Saturday dropping them down to No. 3 in this week’s AP Rankings. This paved the way for Kentucky to be our new No. 1. However, Syracuse still holds the top slot in the RPI rankings just above Duke.

Syracuse’s 67-58 loss at Notre Dame can be blamed in part because of seven-foot center Fab Melo being suspended due to academic reasons, but the fact remains that Syracuse’s shooting performance (34%) in that game was their worst since shooting 31.7 percent in a 63-49 loss to then No. 1 Connecticut in 2009. On the season, Syracuse has averaged 48% shooting. Melo’s suspension will have a severe impact on the Orange defense where he leads the team in blocked shots (3.0) and rebounds (5.7).

"Fab is the key to our defense. He's an anchor. It wasn't that, though. Our offense wasn't going (Saturday)," senior guard Scoop Jardine said. "Fab only averaged six points for us. That's not too much points. You know, we missed him truly but we needed to make more shots regardless."

Murray State remains the only undefeated team in the nation (20-0) and has a great shot of running the table until the NCAA Tournament starts. They moved up one spot to No. 11 in the national poll, but are still No. 33 in the RPI rankings. The Racers come into this week having not covered a spread in their last four games thanks to extremely inflated prices. They started the year 8-2 against the spread, but have since gone 1-5 ATS.

"Someone texted me that the media attention is going to get even crazier," Murray State coach Steve Prohm said. "That’s good, but it’s not our focus. Our focus is winning a conference championship and 20-0 is great, but 8-0 (in OVC) is even better than that."

Our new No. 1 team in the country, Kentucky, has beaten everyone but Indiana (72-73) in their path thus far, but they have been awful against-the-spread in Las Vegas. Since covering their first three games on the season, they have gone 2-14 ATS. Last week, they covered against Arkansas (-16), but only won by six points (77-71) at home against Alabama (-11).

Part of the reason they don't cover is that their overall rating makes their number way too high and almost unachievable. Sixteen of their last 19 spreads have been double digits and 11 of those have been spreads of -17 or more. However, when the spread is below double digits, Kentucky is 2-1 ATS with covers against Kansas (-6.5) and North Carolina (-6.5) and a loss at Indiana (-5.5).

Don't expect to see many single-digit lines the rest of the way. Their toughest games come on the road in the last four weeks of the season of SEC play, a conference ranked No. 4 in the RPI's just above the Mountain West.

Despite having North Carolina and Duke in the ACC, the conference took a slide over the week in the RPI rankings dropping them from fifth to No. 6 (.5271).

The Big Ten (.5941) tops the rankings followed by the Big East (.5781), Big 12 (.5771), SEC (.5698), MWC (.5662), ACC, Atlantic-10 (.5491), MVC (.5449) and then the lowly Pac 12 (.5322) at No. 9.

The Pac 12 doesn't have a team ranked in the Top-25 and their top rated RPI team is California (16-5) at No. 37. The conference is 0-12 against ranked teams this season. No one seems to want to take control of the conference. Oregon (15-5) is currently waving its hand the highest right now as a contender with a four-game winning streak that includes knocking off both Arizona schools on the road. Outside of the Ducks, no team has a streak going of more than two wins with pitiful USC dropping eight games in a row.

Middle Tennessee State (19-2) isn't getting much love from the national media as far as ranking go (they received 9 votes this week), but if the poll was up to Las Vegas bettors, they'd be in the Top-5. They have gone 15-4 ATS this season with an impressive 9-1 ATS mark on the road. The spread is starting to catch up with them as they haven't covered their last three games when favored by 14-points or more, but despite the inflation, they are on a streak of covering six of their last seven.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
01/23/2012 06:04 PM

Hoop Trends - Monday

January 23, 2012


The Magic are 15-0-1 ATS (7.5 ppg) since November 27, 2006 on the road after a double digit home win in which they allowed less than 40% from the field.


The Bulls are 10-0-1 OU (15.6 ppg) since December 31, 2008 at home after a game in which they had at least five fewer turnovers than their season-to-date average.


The Magic are 0-10-1 OU (-6.1 ppg) since February 26, 2007 after two home games in which Dwight Howard played more than 40 minutes in each.


The Hornets are 0-11 ATS (-8.0 ppg) since November 18, 2005 with at most one day of rest after a home loss in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.


The Grizzlies are 9-0 OU (15.2 ppg) since April 10, 2011 with at least a day of rest after a win at home in which Mike Conley was not the Grizzlies’ high scorer.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
01/23/2012 06:06 PM

Western Conference Notes

January 23, 2012

1) Oklahoma City (13-3 SU, 9-7 ATS)

Betting Notes: The Thunder was expected to do big things this season and haven't disappointed. OKC began the season at 5-0, while also putting together a seven-game winning streak in January. The Thunder angered bettors with a 3-6 ATS start, but bounced back with covers in six of their next seven games. Through six games with no rest, Scott Brooks' club is 2-4 ATS, while putting a 1-3 ATS mark against unrested squads.

Second-Quarter Outlook: Oklahoma City hits the road for a crucial stretch with eight of nine games away from home starting January 27 at Golden State. There will be several tests on the highway when the Thunder battles the Mavs, Clippers, Spurs, and Warriors before Valentine's Day.

2) Denver (12-5 SU, 12-5 ATS)

Betting Notes: The Nuggets got the best end of the Carmelo Anthony deal as Denver is rolling, while New York is slumping. George Karl's team is 5-3 ATS at home, in spite of two straight-up losses as double-digit favorites to the Jazz and Hornets. The Nuggets continue to roll as road underdogs by compiling a 4-1 ATS record, as each of the last three games have been decided by four points or less.

Second-Quarter Outlook: There is a mix of home and road games in the upcoming stretch for the Nuggets, including home contests against the Clippers, Lakers, and Mavs. Denver faces several road blocks away from the Pepsi Center with visits to Memphis, Oklahoma City, Indiana, and Portland.

3) Utah (10-5 SU, 9-6 ATS)

Betting Notes: The Jazz began the season slow with a 1-3 SU/ATS record, but Utah won eight of its next 10 games to come back to life. The domination in Salt Lake is evident (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS), while both losses are to the Lakers to the Mavs. Utah has played only five road games, including two from January 2 to January 25.

Second-Quarter Outlook: After traveling to Dallas on January 27, the Jazz returns home for three more games, followed by six of the next eight contests on the highway. The two games at EnergySolutions Arena in this stretch are against the Lakers (2/4) and Thunder (2/10).

4) L.A. Clippers (9-5 SU, 8-6 ATS)

Betting Notes: The expectations are sky-high for the other L.A. team this season after picking up Chris Paul from New Orleans. The Clippers have lost consecutive games just once this season, while going 4-1 ATS off a defeat. Vinny Del Negro's club owns a 9-2 SU and 7-3 ATS mark at home, as the Clips are in the midst of playing without Paul.

Second-Quarter Outlook: The Clippers leave Southern California for a six-game road trip from February 4 through February 13, including winnable games at Washington, Cleveland, and Charlotte. Los Angeles will see plenty of home tests in this stretch against Memphis, Oklahoma City, Denver, and San Antonio.

5) Memphis (9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS)

Betting Notes: The Grizzlies fell flat out of the gate with a 3-6 SU/ATS record, while Zach Randolph suffered a knee injury to keep him out for a few months. However, Memphis bounced back with six consecutive wins and five covers in this stretch. Several losses since the start of the season are against quality opponents (Thunder twice, Spurs, Lakers, Bulls, and Jazz). Memphis owns a 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS record at FedEx Forum, including four straight victories.

Second-Quarter Outlook: The highway will be Memphis' friend coming up with seven of the next nine games coming away from FedEx Forum. The Grizzlies begin a rough stretch from January 30 until February 6 by facing the Spurs twice, Nuggets, Hawks, Thunder, and Celtics.

6) San Antonio (10-7 SU, 8-9 ATS)

Betting Notes: No matter how old the Spurs get, San Antonio still manages to be a force in the Western Conference. Gregg Popovich's team owns a 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS mark at home, in spite of losing guard Manu Ginobili to a broken hand on January 2. The road has been a different story with a 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS ledger away from San Antonio, including three straight-up losses in the road favorite role.

Second-Quarter Outlook: The annual "Rodeo Trip" will keep the Spurs away from Texas for nine games from February 6 through February 23. San Antonio can bolster its record with a three-game homestand against Houston, New Orleans, and Oklahoma City to start February, including the Hornets and Thunder coming in with no rest.

7) Dallas (10-7 SU, 11-6 ATS)

Betting Notes: The Mavericks felt the hangover of winning the title last summer with losses in four of the first five games. Dallas rebounded nicely by winning nine of the next 12 games, including six straight at home. Rick Carlisle's club has turned into a solid ATS play as a home favorite (5-1 ATS) and road underdog (4-1 ATS), while going 1-3 ATS in the role of a road favorite.

Second-Quarter Outlook: The Mavs may have a long-term concern on their hands with Dirk Nowitzki's knee injury, as the star forward is out until late January. Dallas plays six of the next seven games at home, including meetings with Oklahoma City, Utah, San Antonio, and Indiana.

8) Houston (9-7 SU, 9-7 ATS)

Betting Notes: The Rockets were set to dismantle their team in the preseason, but Houston overcame a 3-7 start to win six straight contests. Kevin McHale's team has helped backers with a 7-2 ATS record the last nine games, including a 6-2 ATS mark at the Toyota Center.

Second-Quarter Outlook: Houston plays five of six games at home, all against teams sitting below .500 (Milwaukee, Washington, New York, Minnesota, and Phoenix). The Rockets hit the road for six games starting on February 4, all against Western Conference foes.

9) Portland (9-7 SU, 8-7-1 ATS)

Betting Notes: The Blazers started the season on fire with seven victories in the first nine games, but went backwards losses in five of the next seven contests. Home is where the heart is for Portland, who is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS at the Rose Garden. However, Nate McMillan's squad owns a 3-6 ATS ledger on the highway, including a 1-3 ATS record as a road underdog.

Second-Quarter Outlook: Portland returns home from a disastrous 2-4 SU/ATS road swing to play seven of the next 10 games at the Rose Garden. The Blazers should clean up with home contests against Sacramento, Phoenix, and Charlotte, while taking on the Nuggets, Thunder, and Rockets in three straight at home from February 4 through February 8.

10) L.A. Lakers (10-8 SU, 7-11 ATS)

Betting Notes: It's hard to imagine nearly one month into the season that the Lakers would sit in this spot right now. The Lakers overcame a pair of losses to start the season by winning nine of 11 games. Los Angeles stubbed its toe with losses in four of the previous five contests, while failing to cover in six straight games. Mike Brown's team has disappointed in the role of a road underdog by compiling an 0-5 SU/ATS record.

Second-Quarter Outlook: Eight of the next ten games take place away from Staples Center, including an East Coast swing to Philadelphia, Boston, and New York. The Lakers will play with rest in 10 of the next 13 games after starting the season with 10 games in 15 days.

11) Minnesota (7-9 SU, 10-6 ATS)

Betting Notes: The young Wolves covered each of their first five games this season, including outright wins over Dallas and San Antonio. Minnesota lost four of its next five, but picked up victories and covers in four of its following six. Playing in the underdog role has turned into a nice profit with a 7-3 ATS mark when receiving points.

Second-Quarter Outlook: Minnesota takes the court at the Target Center for six of the next nine games, including tough contests against the Spurs, Lakers, and Pacers. The Wolves will face the Rockets four times in the next three weeks, as Minnesota has played only two divisional games so far.

12) Phoenix (6-9 SU, 7-8 ATS)

Betting Notes: The Suns split their first eight games of the season, while covering five times in that stretch. Phoenix cooled off with five straight defeats, but picked up a pair of quality road underdog victories at New York and Boston.

Second-Quarter Outlook: There will be plenty of back-and-forth travel for the Suns coming up with no more than two consecutive games on the road or at home through February 9. Phoenix will be tested in the Valley with matchups against Memphis, Dallas, and Houston over the next two weeks.

13) Sacramento (6-11 SU, 6-11 ATS)

Betting Notes: The Kings have dealt with plenty of drama through the first month, including the firing of head coach Paul Westphal following a 2-5 start. Sacramento has won back-to-back games just once so far, while going 2-8 ATS as a road underdog. The Kings have eclipsed the 100-point mark in just two games, while being listed as a favorite just once in a win over the Hornets.

Second-Quarter Outlook: Sacramento plays just five of its next 15 games at home prior to the All-Star break, including a six-game road trip starting February 14 at Chicago.

14) Golden State (5-10 SU, 7-8 ATS)

Betting Notes: The Warriors stunned the Bulls and Knicks during a fast 2-1 start, but fell back to Earth with losses in seven of the next eight games. Golden State was without guard Stephen Curry for nine games with an ankle injury, as he returned in last Friday's loss to Indiana. The Warriors are profiting in the role of a road underdog with a 4-2 ATS mark.

Second-Quarter Outlook: Golden State is in the midst of a 10-of-12 games at Oracle Arena, including taking on four teams that will play with no rest (Portland twice, Utah, Oklahoma City).

15) New Orleans (3-13 SU, 7-9 ATS)

Betting Notes: It's no surprise the Hornets are sitting at the bottom of the Western Conference after the losses of Chris Paul and David West in the offseason. New Orleans won its first two games over Phoenix and Boston, but proceeded to lose 13 of the next 14 contests. Another big loss was leading scorer Eric Gordon, who suffered a bruised knee in the season opener at Phoenix. The Hornets own a 2-6 ATS record in the role of a home underdog, while losing each game by at least six points.

Second-Quarter Outlook: It doesn't get easier for New Orleans, who heads to Oklahoma City on Wednesday, followed by games against Orlando, Atlanta, and Miami the next seven days. The Hornets get a reprieve with a four-game homestand starting February 6 against the Kings, but New Orleans may not win more than 15 games this season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
01/23/2012 06:08 PM

Grizzlies aim for 7th straight win visiting Golden State



Tip-off: Monday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Golden State -1.5, Total: 194.5

Memphis seeks its seventh straight win on Monday as it begins a four-game West Coast road trip at Golden State.

The Grizzlies are outscoring their opponents by 15.3 PPG during the win streak, beating each team by at least six points. They have really done it on both ends of the floor, shooting greater than 54% FG in three of the past four games and not allowing any of the six teams to reach 100 points. Golden State has been wildly inconsistent and the team is currently in another funk, dropping four of six since upsetting Miami on Jan. 10. The Warriors haven’t beaten a Western Conference opponent so far (0-5 SU, 2-3 ATS), losing those five games by a healthy 8.8 PPG margin. And they have also been shooting terribly at home (43.6% FG) where they are just 3-5 (SU and ATS). The pick here is red-hot MEMPHIS to keep rolling and pick up another victory before the really difficult part of the schedule arrives.

The FoxSheets provide a strong trend siding with the Grizzlies:

MEMPHIS is 34-16 ATS (68.0%, +16.4 Units) versus teams who attempt 18 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was MEMPHIS 101.2, OPPONENT 98.9 - (Rating = 2*).

The Grizzlies have not enjoyed traveling to Oakland, losing seven of nine and allowing 115.0 PPG. But they are playing some hard-nosed defense lately, holding teams to 88.5 PPG on 43.1% FG during the six-game surge. Offensively, SF Rudy Gay has been the standout during the streak with 22.0 PPG on 56% FG and 6-of-14 threes (43%). C Marc Gasol is asserting himself more offensively in the six games, averaging 18.0 PPG on 61% FG, while grabbing 10.2 RPG. PG Mike Conley continues to man the point effectively with 49 assists and 15 turnovers (3.3 Ast/TO ratio) during the win streak. He also averages 2.5 steals per game and is a big reason his team leads the NBA with 10.4 SPG. And the long-range shooting has come from SG O.J. Mayo, hitting a blistering 16-of-27 from three-point range during the win surge.

The Warriors rank 27th in the league scoring defense (99.4 PPG) and are slightly above average in scoring at 95.6 PPG (14th in NBA). SG Monta Ellis leads the charge with 23.3 PPG, but has made just 41% of his shots, including a woeful 24% from three-point land. PG Stephen Curry (14.7 PPG, 5.2 APG) is finally back in the lineup after missing eight games with a sprained ankle. He was certainly rusty against Indiana, scoring just 12 points on 5-of-15 shooting and committing as many turnovers (three) as assists. For the Warriors to deal with Gasol’s size down low, David Lee (18.6 PPG, 10.6 RPG) will need to have a big game down low. Lee has been wildly inconsistent all year, and most recently he followed up a five-game streak of 20+ points with two straight duds (22 points on 8-of-26 shooting) in the team’s past two contests.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
01/23/2012 06:09 PM

Dirk-less Mavs try to retain dominance of Suns



Tip-off: Monday, 8:35 p.m. ET
Line: Dallas -6, Total: 183

The Mavericks look to beat the Suns for the ninth straight time at home when the clubs meet Monday night.

The Mavs will not have the services of Dirk Nowitzki (17.5 PPG), who is out until at least Jan. 29 with a sore right knee. But they did just fine without him on Saturday, beating New Orleans 83-81 on the road. Now Dallas returns home where it has won six straight games by an average of 19.2 PPG. However, Phoenix is also playing great basketball, with wins at New York and at Boston in its past two games after losing its five previous contests (both SU and ATS). In addition to Nowitzki being out, SG Vince Carter (9.5 PPG) is questionable for this game with a foot injury. That doesn’t bode well for a Mavs offense struggling to score, posting just 84.0 PPG on 42.1% FG in the past four games. Look for the Suns dynamic duo of Steve Nash and Marcin Gortat to control the tempo and keep this game extremely close. Dallas will win, but PHOENIX is the choice for the ATS winner.

This highly-rated FoxSheets trend also sides with the Suns:

Play Against - Home teams (DALLAS) - extremely tired team - playing 9 or more games in 14 days, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team. (30-9 since 1996.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 2*).

Gortat is riding a seven-game streak of double-doubles, averaging 17.6 PPG and 12.3 RPG during this run. He only faced the Mavs once last year, but he made that meeting count with 22 points (10-of-15 FG) and 10 rebounds. Gortat is averaging 19.0 PPG and 11.3 RPG in his past three meetings with the Dallas. Nash currently leads the NBA with 10.0 APG, but he’s been looking to score more lately with 20.5 PPG on 62% FG in his past four games. But in the past five meetings with Dallas, Nash is averaging just 9.2 PPG on 2-of-10 three-pointers.

Lamar Odom, who is finally starting to show some life in his first season in Dallas, is replacing Nowitzki in the starting lineup. Odom began the season with 6.8 PPG on 31% FG, but has 10.5 PPG on 43% FG in his past four contests, which includes a season-high 16 points in Saturday’s win in New Orleans. SG Delonte West also had 16 points that game (one shy of his season-best output) while chipping in six assists and five rebounds. But the one player that has really stepped up lately is SF Shawn Marion, who has 16.0 PPG (55% FG) and 9.7 RPG in his past three contests. Marion, who played nine seasons in Phoenix, hasn’t been great against his former team though, averaging just 12.9 PPG on 41% FG in the past three seasons versus the Suns.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32918 Followers:38
01/23/2012 06:15 PM

Red-hot Magic visit Boston Monday



Tip-off: Monday, 7:35 p.m. ET
Line: Orlando -4, Total: 177.5

The Orlando Magic have won six of their past seven games and travel to Boston to take on the Celtics, who have not found similar success this season.

The Magic enter this game having won four straight road games (SU and ATS). The Celtics are just 3-6 ATS at home and enter this game battered and bruised. Rajon Rondo (9.4 APG) has missed the past two games with a wrist injury while Ray Allen exited Sunday’s game early with an ankle ailment. Both are questionable for this game, a potentially huge factor in determining the lines. But even if both Boston starters do suit up, Orlando is still the play in this game. A weakened backcourt bodes well for the Magic who make an NBA-best 10.0 three-pointers per game on a 40.1% clip (2nd-best in the league). Between that outside game and the skills of Dwight Howard (20.2 PPG, 16.1 RPG) in the post, a tired Celtics squad (5-17 ATS on zero days rest in past two seasons) will not be able to keep up. Play on ORLANDO to win and cover.

This FoxSheets trend also favors the Magic on Monday:

BOSTON is 14-31 ATS (31.1%, -20.1 Units) after a game where they covered the spread over the last 2 seasons. The average score was BOSTON 93.0, OPPONENT 92.8 - (Rating = 2*).

The Under is 8-1 in the past nine Celtics game, and this three-star FoxSheets trend also sides with the UNDER.

ORLANDO is 27-9 UNDER (75.0%, +17.1 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The average score was ORLANDO 95.2, OPPONENT 89.0 - (Rating = 3*).

Watch out for a number of injury reports in this game, primarily pertaining to Rondo and Allen, but also Orlando forward Hedo Turkoglu (14.5 PPG, 48% 3-pt FG) who has missed time recently with a back injury, although the Magic expect him to play Monday night.

Orlando’s two most dynamic players are its two interior ones. Howard paces the team in points, rebounds and blocks (2.33 BPG) while Ryan Anderson is second in points (17.5 PPG) and rebounds (7.3 RPG). They complement each other nicely, as Howard is exclusively a post player while Anderson stretches defenses out with his offensive range. He leads the Magic’s elite three-point attack with 3.3 treys per game. The Magic are difficult to guard with so many different threats, such as J.J. Redick (12.5 PPG) and Jason Richardson (11.2 PPG) who bring different attacking styles when they are on the floor. Richardson had missed three straight games with a knee injury, but looked pretty healthy in Friday’s 92-80 win over the Lakers, scoring 12 points on 5-of-11 shooting. And, even though Glen Davis (7.9 PPG, 5.1 RPG) is not a leading contributor on this team, look for him to be aggressive in his first game against his former team.

Allen (14.9 PPG) was averaging 18.7 PPG in his first nine games, but has just 8.0 PPG on 38.9% FG in his past five contests. But while Allen has cooled down, Paul Pierce (16.3 PPG) has heated up. Pierce looked like his old self in Boston’s win over the Wizards on Sunday, notching 34 points (10-of-15 FG), 10 assists, eight rebounds and three steals. Especially with Allen and Rondo’s health in question, Pierce will have a heavy burden to bear on the offensive end. Kevin Garnett (13.5 PPG, 7.1 RPG) will also have to step up and try to match up with the Magic’s big men. With so many injury questions and coming off a game Sunday, play against this aging team.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: