allamerican Posts:195 Followers:4
On 01/20/2012 12:54 PM in Cappers

Joe D's NFL FREE Winner

NY Giants vs. San Francisco, 01/22/2012 18:30
Point Spread: +3/-135 NY Giants

This weekend's FREE NFL WINNER is New York Giants over San Francisco.

Hey sports fans, as you know, I rode the 49ers train for at least 5 or 6 winners this season. However, this is the post-season. The lack of Playoff experience as a unit will hurt San Fran. Even if you look at their opposition, they haven't faced the top shelf teams ( Washington, Arizona twice, St. Louis twice, and Seattle) in 6 of their L10 games which shows me that the 49ers are all heart and well-coached. When you get to the post-season, it is all about the experience. As a unit, doesn't have the brotherhood that they will face this Sunday. Alex Smith is young and has his issues in the red zone as the "O" has just 22 TDs in 54 red zone opportunities. They are the 3rd worst in the NFC in red zone TDs. Now with all 4 of the Giants DL healthy, the quartet of Umenyiora, Pierre-Paul, Tuck, and Kiwanuka will frustrate the San Fran QB and force Smith to make mistakes. Alex Smith will be under more strain than he experienced against New Orleans LW. San Francisco only played 5 winning teams this year, don't forget that SF failed to win against lesser teams like Seattle and ST. Louis. Only 3 times in their L10 outings has the 49ers topped 21 points. Their "D" did a good job against the Saints, but still yielded over 500 yards of offense and committed 5 TOs. The 9ers "O" must now face a Giants "D" that is healthy and made both Matt Ryan and Aaron Rodgers look bad. NY had to go through one of the NFL's toughest schedules this season. But, QB, Eli Manning is just about the best post-season QB out there. Just as a playoff visitor, Manning is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS as a 'dog. Manning's receivers of Cruz, Nicks, and Manningham are fatal. During the on-start of the season, NY suffered from injuries. They are now healthy, hence the success of the tandem ground game of Jacobs and Bradshaw. Remember that the Giants still consist of 15 players that were on the Championship team. Over the last month, the Giants beat the Jets, Cowboys, Falcons, and Packers by a combined, 121-50. Their ground game has come to life which allows Manning to create his magic. Overall over the L2 weeks, NY's running game has averaged 133 YPG. Manning shines in January, as Eli has 9 TDs and just 1 INT over his L3 games. The lack of elite competition will be San Fran's demise here. The Giants are 5-1 ATS their L6 games played vs. the 49ers, 7-0 ATS their L7 road Playoff games, and 6-0 ATS their L6 games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take New York. Thank you.

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