steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 01/18/2012 02:49 PM in Cappers

NBA FREE PICK: Minnesota Timberwolves -8.5

Detroit vs. Minnesota, 01/18/2012 20:00
Point Spread: -8½/-105 Minnesota

Minnesota isn't exactly a team I would normally lay 8.5-points on, but with the Pistons coming to town I can't pass up, especially with Detroit playing the second of back-to-back road games.

Detroit has won just one road game all season, and that came against a bad Charlotte team. In their six losses they Pistons have lost every game by at least 9 points. While Minnesota is just 3-5 at home, two of those wins came against the Mavericks and Spurs.

Not only are the Pistons playing the second game of a back-to-back set on the road, but this is their fourth road and fifth game overall in the last week.

Detroit comes in off two straight losses, and are a miserable 3-12 ATS in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Not to mention the Pistons are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.

Minnesota comes in of a 13-point win and cover against the Kings at home. The Timberwolves are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. BET MINNESOTA!

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