cnotes Posts:32923 Followers:38
On 01/16/2012 10:11 AM in NBA

Cnotes Monday's MLK Best Bets NBA-NCAAB-NHL !

Heavy NBA Betting Schedule For MLK Day

The Miami Heat are not a better team without Dwyane Wade, but NBA bettors have certainly been happier with him missing this season.

The Heat just dropped the final three games of their 5-game trip. The first two were in overtime at Golden State (111-106) and the Clippers (95-89), renewing criticism of their inability to close games. The last one was a 117-104 loss at Denver on Friday night.

The losses coincided with the return of Wade from a foot injury. He then hurt his ankle versus Denver, with the extent of the injury unknown. Bettors may be happy if he’s out with Miami 3-0 SU and ATS without him, compared to 5-4 SU and 2-7 ATS with him.

The Heat are off until Tuesday when they host San Antonio, but there is plenty of solid action before then.

NFL Playoffs lead into NBA Sunday night

The NFL playoffs on Sunday afternoon make way for two interesting NBA games that night. It begins with Denver hosting Utah at 8:00 p.m. (ET) and still feeling good about that Miami win.

Denver (8-4 SU, 9-3 ATS) is the second-highest scoring team in the league (104.8 PPG), with five guys in double-digits led by point guard Ty Lawson (17.1 PPG). However, the ‘over’ is surprisingly just 6-6. Only Philadelphia has a better ATS record (8-2-1) and the Nuggets are 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS at home.

The Jazz (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS) will be playing the second half of a back-to-back. They hosted New Jersey on Saturday night as 9-point favorites with the result pending. They’re 1-3 SU and ATS away, scoring just 87 PPG.

Phoenix (4-7 SU, 5-6 ATS) at San Antonio (8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS) is at 9:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN. The Suns are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three, most recently home losses to lowly Cleveland (101-90) and New Jersey (110-103).

The New Jersey contest on Friday was played without Steve Nash (thigh, back) and Grant Hill (quad). They’re each questionable for Sunday. Relying on players age 37 and 39 is never a good idea, but much more dangerous in this condensed season. Shannon Brown and Ronnie Price combined for 31 points in their absence last game, but Nash is badly needed.

San Antonio has its own injury problem with Manu Ginobili (hand) out several weeks. This is a deep group that has rookie Kawhi Leonard replacing him after previously going with Gary Neal. The Spurs are perfect at home (8-0 SU) and winless away (0-4 SU). The home ATS mark is 5-3 overall, but 2-3 ATS since Ginobili went out.

Full slate on Martin Luther King Jr. Day

Editor’s note: All games featured Monday are with teams playing Saturday night. Those games are still pending.

The MLK holiday means a heavy 11-game slate starting at 1:00 p.m. (ET). That’s when Chicago (11-2 SU, 9-4 ATS) visits Memphis (4-6 SU and ATS) on ESPN.

Chicago has the NBA’s best record and is looking like a serious contender to Miami in the East. The Bulls are 4-0 SU and ATS the last four despite Richard Hamilton (groin) missing them all. Derrick Rose came back from a 1-game toe injury to score 25 points in an 88-79 Friday night win at Boston.

The Grizzlies had a nice 94-83 home win over the Knicks on Thursday. They were helped by 26 points by Rudy Gay and ice-cold 37.3 percent shooting from New York. The power forward position has been a problem since Zach Randolph (knee) went out. New starter Marreese Speights had just two points in over 22 minutes last game and that won’t cut it against Chicago.

NBA-TV grabs the coverage at 4:00 p.m. (ET) with Toronto (4-8 SU, 6-6 ATS) at Atlanta (8-4, 7-5 ATS). The Hawks recently suffered a big blow with center Al Horford (pectoral) out until April. Zaza Pachulia is the new starter. The Raptors could be without their center and leading scorer Andrea Bargnani (22.3 PPG) due to a calf injury.

TNT wraps things up at 8:00 p.m. (ET) with a doubleheader of Oklahoma City (10-2 SU, 6-6 ATS) at Boston (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS), followed by Dallas (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS) at the Los Angeles Lakers (9-4 SU, 7-6 ATS).

This will be the first return to Boston for center Kendrick Perkins after the controversial trade last February. He’s not a scorer, but brings defense and toughness to the Western Conference’s best team. The Celtics are reeling with over-the-hill former superstars. They’ve dropped their last three, all at home, scoring 79.3 PPG with the ‘under’ 3-0.

The defending champion Mavericks are 4-0 SU and ATS the last four after starting 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS. The Lakers have won 5-straight (3-2 ATS) and will be coming off an emotional ‘battle of L.A.’ Saturday night versus the upstart Clippers.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32923 Followers:38
01/16/2012 10:13 AM

No. 4 Baylor at No. 10 Kansas

Monday, Jan. 16 – 9:30 p.m. (ET) ESPN

Early control of the Big 12 will be on the line Monday at Allen Fieldhouse in Lawrence where the Bears and Jayhawks tangle. That's assuming both Baylor and Kansas take care of business and don't get caught looking ahead to this game in their Saturday matchups which were still pending. Both crews were at home and laying big points with the Bears 13½-point favorites against Oklahoma State while the Jayhawks were giving up 14 to the Iowa State Cyclones.

Baylor went into the contest against the Cowboys as one of only three unbeatens remaining, Scott Drew's troops racing out to a 16-0 mark and going 5-3-1 against the spread in the process. Don't mistake having just nine lined games on the college basketball betting front with the Bears playing an easy schedule. They got past San Diego State early on, just covering a 9-point spread in a 77-67 win over the Aztecs, and have since taken down BYU, Saint Mary's, West Virginia and Kansas State either on the road or at neutral sites.

Bill Self and Kansas were riding a 6-game win streak into Saturday, that stretch starting after an 80-74 loss to Davidson in the not-so-neutral confines of Kansas City's Sprint Center on Dec. 19. The Jayhawks were whopping 13½-point favorites in that game which caught them in a combination letdown-layoff spot after beating Ohio State nine days earlier.

Kansas had covered four of the five lined games during the win streak, all five of those contests staying 'under' the total and the Jayhawks 11-3 to the low side for the campaign. That contrasts the last two meetings between Kansas and Baylor which have gone 'over.'

This will be the first time Baylor will be involved in a Big 12 matchup between top 10 teams, something Kansas obviously has more experience with. The Jayhawks have dominated this series, going 16-2 overall and 9-0 at home. Baylor's last win over Kansas came in the 2009 conference tournament played in Oklahoma City, and the Bears have covered three of the last five battles.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32923 Followers:38
01/16/2012 10:17 AM

Hoop Trends - Monday

January 16, 2012


The Raptors are 11-0 ATS (8.3 ppg) since November 25, 2005 on the road with at most one day of rest after a road loss in which they committed fewer than ten turnovers.


The Magic are 0-11 OU (-12.5 ppg) since April 26, 2009 on the road with at least one day of rest after a game in which they scored more than 25% of their points from the free throw line.


The Bulls are 11-0 ATS (10.0 ppg) since December 15, 2010 on the road after a win at home in which Joakim Noah took fewer than 10 shots.


The Timberwolves are 0-11 ATS (-8.6 ppg) since January 07, 2011 at home after a loss in which Wesley Johnson shot worse than 33% from the field.


The Kings are 9-0 ATS (7.0 ppg) since November 24, 1995 on the road with at least one day of rest after a road loss in which they had fewer than fifteen assists.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32923 Followers:38
01/16/2012 10:20 AM

Dallas seeks 6th straight win visiting Lakers



Tip-off: Monday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Los Angeles -4, Total: 181.5

Two sizzling-hot teams square off Monday night when Dallas brings a five-game win streak (SU and ATS) into L.A. to face a Lakers team that has won five of six.

The Mavericks have held opponents to a paltry 77.6 PPG on 37.7% FG during their win streak, including limiting Sacramento to a Dallas franchise-record 60 points on 26% shooting (2-of-21 threes) in Saturday night’s 99-60 blowout. Dallas is 8-2 ATS in the past 10 road meetings with the Lakers, winning four of those games outright. The team has also been a stellar bet as a road underdog, going 23-8 ATS (74%) in this role since the start of last season. Kobe Bryant shot a mere 40.7% FG (1-of-10 on threes) against Dallas last season, while Dirk Nowitzki had 22.0 PPG (46% FG) and 10.3 RPG versus the Lakers. The pick here is DALLAS, with a healthy Jason Kidd back in the lineup, to win ATS.

This pair of three-star FoxSheets trends also support picking the Mavericks:

DALLAS is 22-6 ATS (78.6%, +15.4 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DALLAS 100.3, OPPONENT 91.5 - (Rating = 3*).

DALLAS is 23-7 ATS (76.7%, +15.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The average score was DALLAS 99.1, OPPONENT 92.2 - (Rating = 3*).

Although the Under is 9-1 in the past 10 Mavericks games, this three-star FoxSheets trend expects the OVER to occur on Monday.

Play Over - Any team (DALLAS) - good defensive team - shooting pct defense of <=43% on the season, after a game - allowing a shooting pct. of 30% or less. (41-14 since 1996.) (74.5%, +25.6 units. Rating = 3*).

The Mavs have been tremendous defensively, but the five teams they beat have a combined 18-42 record this year. But their once-struggling offense is coming around now, with 97.8 PPG on 49% FG in the past four games. Kidd didn’t miss a beat in his return to the court after missing four games with a back injury. He racked up six assists and six steals in just 29 minutes of action against Sacramento. His return will certainly help Dirk Nowitzki, who is averaging under 20 points per game (17.7 PPG) for the first time since 1999-2000, his second year in the league. Nowitzki scored just 13.8 PPG in the four games without Kidd, but had 14 points in just 20 minutes on Saturday. He also dominated the Lakers during last season’s playoff sweep, tallying 25.3 PPG (57% FG) and 9.3 RPG in the four games.

Dallas is also starting to get better contributions off the bench from Vince Carter and Lamar Odom, who posted ratings of +31 and +32 respectively on Saturday. Carter has scored 16 points in each of the past two games on a combined 13-of-18 shooting (5-of-6 from three-point land). Odom, who will be facing his former team, is shooting an anemic 31% FG this season (19% on threes), but is starting to work the glass with a combined 13 rebounds in 46 minutes over his past two games. Jason Terry (14.9 PPG, 45% 3-pt FG) continues to be one of the best sixth men in the NBA, leading Dallas with 21 points on Saturday, giving him 18.7 PPG in his past three contests.

Kobe Bryant (NBA-high 32.0 PPG) has been scalding hot lately with 40+ points in each of his past four games on 50.4% FG. He dropped 42 (14-of-28 FG) on the Clippers Saturday, but his team still lost 102-94. Bryant has been held in check against Dallas in the past two seasons, scoring just 18.6 PPG on 40% FG (3-of-23 on threes). PF Paul Gasol also struggled in the playoff series loss to Dallas, averaging a mere 12.5 PPG in the four meetings. But Gasol has been productive lately with six straight double-doubles (15.5 PPG, 11.5 RPG). He has worked well inside with C Andrew Bynum who has 16.4 PPG and a whopping 13.8 RPG in his 10 games this season. He’s also blocked 20 shots, while committing just 23 personal fouls.

L.A.’s strong interior defense is a big reason the team ranks third in the league in FG Pct. defense (41.3%). But the Lakers (45.7 RPG, 2nd in NBA) were out-rebounded in Saturday’s loss to the Clippers, and could also struggle against a Dallas team that has 45.9 RPG in the past seven contests, good for fourth-most in the league.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32923 Followers:38
01/16/2012 10:22 AM

No. 1 Syracuse hosts slumping Pitt on Monday



Tip-Off: Monday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Syracuse -15, Total: 139.5

No. 1 Syracuse looks to start the season 20-0 when it hosts a struggling Pittsburgh team that has dominated the Orange in recent years.

The Panthers may be last in the Big East at 0-5, but they have beaten Syracuse in eight straight regular-season games. They have not lost at the Carrier Dome since a two-point defeat in 2003, winning five straight meetings on the Orange home court. But this year has been a different story as Pittsburgh has six straight losses (1-5 ATS), including dropping games to Wagner, DePaul and Rutgers (by 23 at home). Syracuse is 6-0 (5-1 ATS) in Big East play, outscoring conference opponents by 17.0 PPG. But the Orange are just 7-5 ATS at home while the Panthers are 3-2 ATS on the road, allowing just 66.4 PPG in these five contests. And other than the Rutgers debacle where it shot 21% FG (12-of-57), Pittsburgh has kept games close, losing just one other game this year by more than 10 points, and that was back in November. Syracuse will win this game, but the pick here is for PITTSBURGH to keep the final margin within a dozen points.

This pair of highly-rated FoxSheets trends also backs the Panthers:

Play Against - Home favorites of 10 or more points (SYRACUSE) - after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games, with 2 more starters returning from last year than opponent. (85-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.5%, +42.1 units. Rating = 3*).

Jamie Dixon is 26-11 ATS (70.3%, +13.9 Units) as a road underdog or pick as the coach of PITTSBURGH. The average score was PITTSBURGH 67.1, OPPONENT 65.2 - (Rating = 2*).

The Under is 8-5 in the past 13 meetings between these schools, and this four-star FoxSheets coaching trend also sides with the UNDER for Monday night:

Jamie Dixon is 21-5 UNDER (80.8%, +15.5 Units) in road games versus good passing teams, averaging >=16 assists/game after 15+ games as the coach of PITTSBURGH. The average score was PITTSBURGH 63.7, OPPONENT 62.0 - (Rating = 4*).

For the Panthers to stay in this game, SG Ashton Gibbs will have to come up big again. Not only did he score a career-high 29 points in Saturday’s 62-57 loss (ATS win) at Marquette, but Gibbs poured in 24 points with eight rebounds in his last visit to the Carrier Dome two years ago. After shooting 47% FG (49% three-pointers) in his junior season, Gibbs is making just 39% FG (35% on threes) as a senior. Part of the reason for his struggles is the absence of point guard Travon Woodall, who has been out with a groin/abdominal strain, and will not likely return for Monday’s action. Gibbs has been running the point instead of playing his natural 2-guard spot, and hasn’t been great with 3.3 APG and 1.8 turnovers per game.

The one area Pittsburgh should have the advantage in this matchup is rebounding. The Panthers are 22nd in the nation with 39.6 RPG, and have only been out-rebounded once in their past 13 games. Syracuse (37.1 RPG, 78th in nation) has been out-rebounded in six of its past 11 contests. Five different Pittsburgh players average at least five boards per game, led by Nasir Robinson’s 6.8 RPG. Gibbs (16.9 PPG) and Robinson (12.4 PPG) are the only Panthers to average double-figure scoring, but the team is shooting a respectable 46.2% (76th in nation) from the floor this year.

Usually when these teams meet, Pittsburgh has the edge in depth, as Syracuse has historically employed seven or eight-man rotations. But this year, the Orange have 10 different players averaging 12+ minutes. Because of all the fresh bodies, Syracuse has been able to force the third-most turnovers in the nation this year at 18.6 per game. This could be problematic for a Panthers team that committed a costly 10 second-half turnovers in Saturday’s loss to Marquette.

Forward Kris Joseph leads the Orange in scoring at 13.7 PPG, and he had a team-high 13 in Saturday’s 78-55 home win over Providence. Sophomore guard Dion Waiters is arguably the most valuable player on the team despite playing just 22.3 minutes per game off the bench. Waiters (12.9 PPG) has scored 12+ points in seven straight games, and has swiped 2+ steals in each of these seven contests. Seven-foot center Fab Melo also plays 22.3 MPG and leads the team in rebounds (5.4 RPG) and blocks (2.8 BPG). Point guard Scoop Jardine (8.4 PPG, 4.5 APG) started slow this season, but has 28 assists and just nine turnovers in his past four games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32923 Followers:38
01/16/2012 10:24 AM

Monday’s betting tips: Tired Rockets primed for a letdown?

Who’s hot

NBA: Cleveland is 10-4 against the spread in its last 14 overall.

NBA: Dallas is 12-3-1 against the spread in its last 16 road games.

NHL: Colorado is 10-4 in its last 14.

NCAAB: Missouri is 8-3 against the spread in its last 11 games overall.

NCAAB: Pitt is 5-0 against the spread in its last five games in Syracuse. The Panthers are also 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings between the two teams.

Who’s not

NBA: Boston has dropped four straight against the number.

NBA: New York is 3-11 against the spread in its last 14 overall and 1-7 ATS in its last eight home games.

NHL: Buffalo is 1-4 in its last five and has lost eight straight road games.

NCAAB: Kansas is 0-6 against the spread in its last six home games against Baylor.

NCAAB: Marquette is 1-7-1 against the spread in its last nine home games.

Key stat

4 – Kobe Bryant has scored at least 40 points in four straight games and sits third in NBA history with 110 40-point games in his career, trailing only Wilt Chamberlin and Michael Jordan. Bryant, who is still battling a wrist injury, leads the league averaging 32 points per game. The Lakers host the Dallas Mavericks Monday.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Jamie Benn, Dallas Stars – Benn will be out of action for up to three weeks after undergoing an appendectomy on Sunday. Benn is the club’s leading scoring, piling up 13 goals and 29 assists for 42 points in 43 games. The Stars are set as +175 underdogs at St. Louis Monday.

Game of the day

Baylor Bears at Kansas Jayhawks (-6, 136.5)

Notable quotable

"They're playing too many minutes - we've got to give them more rest, there's no doubt. But while they're getting that rest we've got to be able to maintain leads and expand leads." – Houston Rockets coach Kevin McHale on playing his backcourt of Kyle Lowry and Kevin Martin a combined 180 minutes in back-to-back wins over the weekend. After an off day on Sunday, the Rockets are back at it for a matinee in Washington against the hapless Wizards, so maybe McHale will look to get them more rest. Houston, which has covered the number in five straight is set as a 5.5-point favorite.

Notes and tips

Los Angeles Clippers point guard Chris Paul suffered a strained left hamstring in the fourth quarter of Saturday’s 102-94 win over the rival Los Angeles Lakers and is questionable for Monday’s game against New Jersey. Paul scored 33 points and dished out six assists in the win Saturday. He’s averaging 18 points and 8.4 assists in his first season with the Clippers.

The Pitt Panthers have been known for their tight man-to-man defense over the years, but Jamie Dixon is ready to do anything to snap his club's six-game losing streak. Dixon has had his team work on zone defense lately and could use it Monday against Syracuse. At this point, it's worth a shot. The Panthers rank 14th in the Big East allowing 66.5 points per game. The Panthers are set as big 15-point underdogs.

New York Knicks leading scorer Carmelo Anthony is expected to return for Monday’s matinee against the Orlando Magic. He sat out Saturday’s loss at Oklahoma City with a sprained right ankle and left wrist injury, but should return to action after practicing Sunday. Anthony is averaging 25.5 points per game.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32923 Followers:38
01/16/2012 10:26 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Super Bowl participants in the playoffs the next season........
2011-- Steelers L23-29 ot.......Packers L13-30

2010-- Colts L16-17........Saints L36-41

2009-- Steelers DNP........Cardinals W51-45 ot/L14-45

2008-- Patriots DNP........Giants L11-23

2007-- Colts L24-28.........Bears DNP

2006-- Steelers DNP........Seahawks W21-20/L24-27 ot


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.........

13) Network TV announcers should know better, but they don't; the team that gives up the most yards doesn't necessarily have the worst defense. Teams that are behind try harder to score; NFL teams that are ahead get so conservativs that their offensive numbers suffer, so it figures that when a team is ahead all the time , their defense will give up more yardage.

Put it this way, if the Packers/Patriots had the two worst defenses in the league, they wouldn't have been the #1 seeds in their conference.

12) Its the same reason you can't play totals in the NFL, because teams that are winning, except for Sean Payton/Norv Turner's teams and couple other clubs, pull in the reins on offense when they're winning. So teams they're beating don't give up as many yards as they should.

11) NFL referee Gene Steratore worked the Denver-New England game Saturday night in Foxboro, then did the Indiana-Ohio State hoop game in Columbus at 4:30 Sunday. Man raked in lot of cash this weekend.

10) If St John's basketball coach Steve Lavin was healthy enough to be in Springfield recruiting Sunday, shouldn't he have been coaching his team in its game with Georgetown? I'm just asking.....

9) There is a golfer on the European tour named Andrew Parr. Cool.

8) A regulation NFL football helmet costs between $200-250.

7) USC's basketball team is incredibly unwatchable; hard to imagine that Kevin O'Neill won't get fired this spring. Bad and boring doesn't work. In a year when the Pac-12 has slipped to 9th in conference power ratings, Trojans are still winless, and usually don't even score 50 points. Yikes.

6) The words "silent" and "listen" contain the same letters.

5) Joe Flacco earned a $200,000 bonus when the Ravens won Sunday.

4) Defending Super Bowl champs have now lost their last five playoff games; last defending champ to win a playoff game? '05 Patriots. Last time the two conference championship games were both #1 seed against the #2 seed? Way back in 2004.

3) If you like tennis and you have DirecTV, channels 702-706 are all set on different courts in Melbourne, so you can watch many of the matches going on at the same time at the Australian Open.

2) Good season for the Houston Texans; in retrospect, best thing for the Texans was Matt Leinart getting hurt, since TJ Yates is better. Now they know they have a quality backup for Matt Schaub next season.

1) Now Chris Paul and Dwyane Wade are hurt; at this rate, rosters for the NBA All-Star Game next month are going to have some unfamiliar faces.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32923 Followers:38
01/16/2012 10:28 AM


Monday, January 16

Trend Report

1:00 PM
Orlando is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home

1:00 PM
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games on the road
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

2:00 PM
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Charlotte is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games
Charlotte is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Cleveland

2:00 PM
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

2:00 PM
Milwaukee is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games

3:00 PM
Portland is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland

3:30 PM
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Jersey's last 7 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing at home against New Jersey
LA Clippers are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against New Jersey

4:00 PM
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Toronto's last 25 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing at home against Toronto
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Boston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

8:00 PM
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home

10:30 PM
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Dallas is 6-19 SU in their last 25 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Dallas
LA Lakers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing Dallas

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32923 Followers:38
01/16/2012 10:29 AM


Monday, January 16

NBA weekly odds tip-off: Hot and cold betting trends

HOTTEST BET: Philadelphia 76ers

It may be time to start believing in whatever is going on in the City of Brotherly Love. The Sixers have emerged as one of the biggest surprises in the league, opening with victories in nine of their first 12 games. They've been especially sizzling when it comes to the spread, going 7-1 ATS so far in 2012. That includes a 3-1 mark last week in which their only failure to cover came in a hard-fought six-point loss against the Knicks in New York.

Defense has been the biggest catalyst for the Philadelphia resurgence. The Sixers are allowing the second-fewest points per game in the NBA; only the Chicago Bulls have been stingier. Another solid season from Andre Iguodala, along with potent bench scoring from Louis Williams and Evan Turner, has Philadelphia looking like one of the more well-balanced offenses in the Eastern Conference. Expect oddsmakers to start respecting the Sixers a lot more moving forward.

COLDEST BET: Boston Celtics

Considered one of the East's playoff locks heading into the season, the Celtics have looked an awful lot like a team that won't be playing in May. It's been a campaign of streaks so far, with Boston losing its first three games, winning the next four and then putting together a four-game skid featuring some of the worst offensive showings of any team this season. Boston went 0-3 ATS last week and has come up on the short end in four straight games overall, failing to score more than 85 points in any of them.

With the Celtics' Big Three another year older, the loss of Jeff Green to an offseason heart issue has been devastating. Green was being counted on to provide significant bench offense with Boston hoping to give Paul Pierce, Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen more rest than in seasons past. The result: balanced scoring from four of the five starters but virtually nothing from any reserve not named Brandon Bass. That problem will only become more pronounced as the grueling season wears on.

BEST OVER/UNDER BET: Minnesota Timberwolves (under)

Playoff basketball is still a few years away from making its return to Minnesota, but the Timberwolves have been giving opponents fits in ways they hadn't been for most of the previous decade. They have yet to lose a game by more than 11 points, and five of their seven defeats have been by four points or fewer. The biggest change: a vastly improved defense that few experts could have seen coming, and one that has resulted in a remarkable number of under results.

The Timberwolves played under the total three times in four games last week (though two of those came within three points of the line), and have nine unders through 11 contests so far this season. Oddsmakers have had trouble keeping up with a Minnesota team allowing just 93.7 points per game - a full 14 points fewer than last season, when they boasted the worst defensive unit in the league. Young legs and a new commitment to the defensive end has given T-Wolves fans reason for optimism.


** The Los Angeles Clippers have had one of the cushiest January schedules in the league so far, playing just six times over the first 15 days of the month. That changes this week, with Blake Griffin and Co. facing a three-games-in-three-nights stretch featuring home games against New Jersey and Dallas sandwiched around a road trip to Utah. The Clippers will play five games in the week, wrapping it up with home dates against Minnesota and Toronto.

** The San Antonio Spurs have what could be the biggest gimme of the week, putting their spotless home record on the line against a Sacramento Kings team that was thumped by 39 points in Dallas on Saturday. The Kings have been one of the worst road clubs so far this season, going 1-6 while being outscored in those losses by an average of more than 24 points per game.

** The Washington Wizards get four cracks at home to add to their grand victory total of one. The John Wall-led Wizards will host the Houston Rockets, Oklahoma City Thunder and Nuggets before winding down the week with a date against the Boston Celtics. The Wizards' only win so far this season came in Washington, a 93-78 triumph over the Toronto Raptors on Jan. 10.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32923 Followers:38
01/16/2012 10:30 AM


Monday, January 16

Referee report: Betting NBA referee trends and stats

We all know how much NBA referees can impact the result of your daily wagers.

That’s why if you aren’t scouting the daily official assignments before laying down your cash, we have no sympathy for you and your busted bankroll.

Most teams have already played 10 games in this 66-game season, so we thought it was about time to take a look at the most significant referee betting trends we’ve seen so far.

Daily referee assignments are normally posted about 11 a.m. ET on this page and you can keep track of all the NBA’s referee betting statistics here.

Hot homer refs:

Kevin Cutler: Cutler has seen the home team cover in eight of the nine games he’s officiated so far this season, with the home club averaging 101.2 points per game.

Marc Davis: Home teams are averaging a whopping 103.7 points per home game while going 6-1 against the spread.

Mark Lindsay: Home teams are 7-2 against the spread in the nine games Lindsay has worked, winning by an average score of 8.4 points. Lindsay also saw home teams go 38-23 against the spread last season.

Hot over refs:

Zach Zarba: Eight of the 10 games Zarba has officiated have played over the total. Those games averaged 206.9 points per contest.

Michael Smith: Smith has seen seven of his nine games play over the number even though those games averaged only 195.6 points.

Hot under bets:

David Jones: All nine games that Jones has worked have checked in under the total. Teams combined for just 170.1 points in those games.

Mike Callahan: Callaghan has under bettors on an 8-0 run to start the season. The under ended up with a 40-34 record in his games last year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: