steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 01/13/2012 04:33 PM in Cappers

NCAAB FREE PICK: Evansville -4.5

Drake vs. Evansville, 01/13/2012 20:05
Point Spread: -4½/-105 Evansville

While the betting public has jumped all over Drake as 4.5-point underdogs, my money is on Evansville to not only cover the spread but when this game easily.

Drake is one of the worst road teams in college basketball. They are 0-4 straight up and 0-4 ATS in true road games this season. The Bulldogs aren't just getting beat, they are getting blownout. Those four losses were all by double-digits. If you include games played on a neutral site, the Bulldogs are 1-6 straight up and 1-6 ATS.

Evansville has lost three straight games by a combined total of 5-points! The Purple Aces were at least 8-point underdogs in all three of those games. I look for Evansville to come out with a sense of urgency in this game, as they don't want to lose another close game, especially in front of their home crowd.

Last year Evansville hosted Drake as a 5.5-point favorite, which is what the line opened up at in this game. The Purple Aces came out and dominated the game in a 67-51 win.

Evansville is 8-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons, while Drake is 1-8 ATS in road games off a home win over the last 2 seasons. BET THE PURPLE ACES -4.5!

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