steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 01/11/2012 02:35 PM in Cappers

NCAAB FREE PICK: Michigan -8

Northwestern vs. Michigan, 01/11/2012 18:30
Point Spread: -8/-102 Michigan

My money is on the Wolverines to take care of business and hand Northwestern a big loss tonight. This might seem like a lot of points to lay in a conference game, but the Wolverines are a perfect 10-0 at home this season, winning by an average score of 68-52.

Northwestern is a solid team, as they come into this game with a 11-4 overall record, but the wheels have started to fall off. The Wildcats are just 1-3 in their last four games, including two ugly losses at Creighton and Ohio State.

The last time Northwestern played was last Wednesday. Rest is a good thing, but too much rest tends to lead to sluggish play in the first game back, especially on the road against a superior team. The Wildcats haven't exactly stacked up well against the top teams, as they are a dismal 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Michigan is a ridiculous 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall, 14-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons, and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games. BET THE WOLVERINES -8!

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