jack_jones Posts:79 Followers:1
On 01/06/2012 01:02 PM in Cappers

Jack's Free Pick Friday!

Cleveland vs. Minnesota, 01/06/2012 20:00
Point Spread: +7/-105 Cleveland

The Minnesota Timberwolves are simply getting too much respect from oddsmakers with this line Friday. While they have made some improvements this offseason, it's not really showing up in the win column. It's going to take a lot more time for Minnesota to gel as a team with all of the new additions they have.

The Timberwolves have opened 2-4 this season despite playing five of their first six games at home. The Cleveland Cavaliers are 3-3 despite having little expectations coming into the year. I like what I've seen from the Cavs considering their three wins all came in blowout fashion by double digits. Two of their three losses have been by single-digits.

Minnesota is banged up right now with key players like Jose Barea and Brad Miller out with hamstring and knee injuries, respectively. Also, Anthony Tolliver and Nokola Pekovic are each questionable to play tonight. The Timberwolves are definitely thin right now, while the Cavaliers are near full strength.

The Timberwolves are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 verus dominant rebounding teams - averaging 53 or more rebounds/game. The Cavaliers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record. Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5. The Cavs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest. Minnesota is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Bet Cleveland Friday.

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