cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
On 09/05/2011 08:42 AM in MLB

Cnotes Labor Day Best Bets !

Phillies Host Atlanta Braves MLB Odds Preview

Catching the Philadelphia Phillies for the NL East title remains a goal for the Atlanta Braves. Just maintaining their nice lead in the NL Wild Card standings and staying healthy the next four weeks is probably at the forefront of manager Fredi Gonzalez's mind, however.

Gonzalez and the Braves begin a difficult week on the road Monday night when they open a 3-game set in Philadelphia. Atlanta will travel to three cities and play eight games over the next seven days, a doubleheader makeup against the Mets on Thursday in the middle of 3-game sets at the Phillies and Cardinals.

Weather could be a factor the first four days of the journey with the remnants of Tropical Storm Lee bringing good rain chances in Philadelphia and New York. Monday's opener at Citizens Bank Park (7:05 p.m. ET) is looking at a 30 percent chance of a thunderstorm in the City of Brotherly Love with temps in the 70s most of the game.

Philadelphia held an 8.5-game lead in the division over the Braves entering play Sunday. Atlanta was 7.5 ahead of the Cardinals for the wild card. Both clubs were finishing weekend series, the Phillies laying -220 on the road in Florida behind Roy Halladay and the Braves 120 home 'dogs to Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers.

Monday finds a mound matchup between a couple of veterans that have recently been on their games. Derek Lowe (15-14, 4.52) will begin the series for Atlanta opposite Philadelphia's Cliff Lee (18-9, 2.59). It's the fourth start for each hurler this season against the opposing lineups and a rematch of a May 6 game at Citizens Bank Park.

Lee has strung together six consecutive wins and is coming off a fabulous month of August when he was a perfect 5-0 with a minuscule 0.45 ERA. Philly is 0-3 in his 2011 assignments vs. the Braves, Lee's ERA up there at 4.91 due to a pounding he took in Atlanta back in April.

Lowe has had his ups and downs all season, but has been up his last three starts with the Braves winning two. He's chopped more than a third of a run off his season ERA during the recent run, and has pitched very well in three tries vs. the Phils this season (19 IP, 2.84 ERA) though Atlanta is just 1-2 in those games.

The May 6 clash in Philadelphia between the two pitchers went to Lowe and the Braves who were +130 on the betting lines. Lowe worked six scoreless frames in the 5-0 victory, striking out four and allowing just two hits. Braves relievers did the rest of the work, striking out six of the 10 batters they faced the final three innings.

Lee struck out a career-high 16 and walked just one over seven innings, but Atlanta's lineup got to him for nine hits and scored three times.

Atlanta just got infielder Jack Wilson back from the disabled list following a short stint due to a heel injury. The Phillies are still doing without shortstop Jimmy Rollins (groin), and his status is in doubt for the entire series.

Twelve previous meetings between the clubs this year have been split down the middle, as well as split 3-3 at each locale. The 'under' is 4-1-1 in the six games hosted by the Phillies.

The clubs reconvene Tuesday night for Game 2 of the set, veteran Tim Hudson working for the Braves against Phillies rookie Vance Worley.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/05/2011 08:45 AM

Cleveland Indians, Detroit Tigers MLB Betting Preview

The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Indians will meet six more times during the 2011 season and it will likely determine the American League Central Division champion. Both teams are ready for Monday’s series opener at 1:05 p.m. (ET) at Progressive Field.

Detroit is likely counting down the days in the clubhouse and has a magic number of 19 to win the division. The Tigers have played well during the month of September the last two-plus seasons, posting a 33-24 record.

Tigers manager Jim Leyland will need to continue leading his club through a difficult stretch, as it will be playing its 11th of 19-straight games against AL Central foes. It’s been a winning situation for the team, entering Sunday’s series finale with the Chicago White Sox with a 36-21 record in such contests.

Doug Fister (6-13, 3.26 ERA) has fit in the Tigers’ starting rotation nicely since coming over from the Seattle Mariners, posting a 3-1 record and 2.97 ERA in six starts. He has allowed just two home runs in 36 1/3 innings over that span.

The right-hander has displayed pinpoint control in leading the team to three consecutive victories, issuing just a single walk and registering 18 strikeouts in 21 2/3 frames.

Fister will be facing the Indians for the seventh time in his career, entering with a 1-2 record and 3.12 ERA. He has failed to record a decision in three appearances at Progressive Field, giving up seven runs (six earned) and 14 hits over 16 1/3 innings.

Bettors will be interested in knowing that the Tigers are 4-0 in the last four meetings, outscoring the Indians by a 26-12 margin.

Cleveland simply can’t afford to drop this three-game series and has posted a 28-30 record over its last 58 games. The Indians have enjoyed great success when opening a week and bring in a 12-4 record on Mondays.

The bullpen has been a major strength for the club the entire season and currently ranks fifth in the majors with a 3.14 ERA. The group has been even better over its last nine games by allowing just six runs in 30 2/3 innings (1.76 ERA).

Ubaldo Jimenez (8-10, 4.70 ERA) is starting to show signs of why the team acquired him from the Colorado Rockies, leading the squad to consecutive home wins over the Oakland Athletics and Kansas City Royals. The right-hander allowed four runs and 13 hits in 13 innings of work in those two contests and is 2-1 with a 5.56 ERA in his six starts in an Indians uniform.

Jimenez will be toeing the rubber for the sixth time against the Tigers, and third time since joining the Tribe in July. He's got a 2-3 record and 5.93 ERA in the previous assignments, allowing them to hit for a .316 average against him. Jimenez will need to pitch carefully to Detroit outfielder Delmon Young, who is 6-for-9 with a home run and four RBIs against him.

The Indians are likely to be favored in the betting odds and are 35-17 in their last 52 home games when facing a right-handed starter.

Weather forecasts suggest cloudy skies and game-time temperatures in the mid-60s. A relatively strong 10-15 mph wind will be blowing in a northerly direction (in from center). The ‘under’ is 4-1 at Progressive Field in those conditions.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/05/2011 08:47 AM

Brewers, Cardinals Square Off In St. Louis

The Milwaukee Brewers visit the St. Louis Cardinals in the opener of a three-game series on Monday, as the National League Central rivals square off for the last time this year. The Brewers just lost three straight to the Cardinals at home last week and have dropped four in a row in the season series after winning seven of the previous eight meetings.

Milwaukee had won 12 of 15 road games heading into Sunday’s series finale at Houston after winning the first two games against the Astros by identical 8-2 scores.

Starting pitcher Randy Wolf (11-9, 3.58 ERA) got hammered by St. Louis last time out on Wednesday as a 130 MLB odds favorite, surrendering six runs and seven hits – including three homers – in five innings of an 8-3 loss.

Wolf had gone 5-0 in his previous six starts for the Brewers, who won each of those games. However, only two of those games were on the road, where he has gone 4-6 in 14 starts with a 3.70 ERA. He pitched well in earning a road victory against the Cardinals on August 10, allowing just one run and five hits in eight innings of a 5-1 win.

St. Louis will counter with veteran Jake Westbrook (11-7, 4.72) and has won each of his last three starts. Westbrook has made three of his last four starts on the road, losing only once during that stretch at Pittsburgh on August 15. He gave up five runs and nine hits to the Pirates in 5 2/3 innings of a 6-2 loss.

Westbrook has not fared well at home this year with a 3-4 mark and 5.96 ERA in 13 starts. He was on the winning end of the 8-3 win against Wolf and Milwaukee on the road last Wednesday as a 120 underdog, allowing two earned runs and eight hits in five innings with no walks and one strikeout.

The Brewers won two of three at Busch Stadium in their last trip there in the middle of August with the ‘under’ going 2-0-1. The ‘over went 2-1 when the teams met again last week in Milwaukee and has cashed in the past two games between them with 23 total runs scored.

The Cards will be continuing a nine-game homestand after hosting Cincinnati over the weekend while the Brewers wrap up a six-game home trip in St. Louis after visiting Houston. Even though Milwaukee has been playing much better away from home lately, the team remained under .500 at 33-38 heading into Sunday.

The Brewers are the lone division leader to have a losing road record, but they also have the best home record in baseball.

Game time is scheduled for 4:15 p.m. (ET). The weather forecast for St. Louis on Monday calls for a high temperature of 75 degrees under sunny skies after isolated thunderstorms pass through the area on Sunday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/05/2011 08:49 AM

Eskimos Visit Calgary Stampeders In CFL Odds Battle

The CFL's Labour Day Weekend slate ends Monday afternoon in Calgary where the Stampeders host the Edmonton Eskimos in the first of back-to-back's between the two top squads in the West Division.

Early odds for the contest have the Stampeders big 9-point favorites with 47½ for the total.

Calgary (6-2 straight up, 5-3 against the spread) should come into this game with plenty of rest and flying high off a 38-31 win at home over Montreal last Saturday. The Stampeders spotted the Alouettes a 10-1 lead in the first quarter before rallying in the victory, their fourth straight since a loss to these Eskimos.

Henry Burris connected on 26 of his 42 aerials for 422 yards and three scores, and broke a 31-31 tie late in the final quarter with a 6-yard touchdown scramble. Two of his TD passes were hauled in by Johnny Forzani.

Burris, who topped the 40,000-yard mark for his career in the win, is just two yards behind Montreal's Anthony Calvillo in passing yards this season with 2,462. The 12-year veteran out of Temple has a 13:5 touchdown-to-interception ratio and is rekindling memories of a remarkable 2008 campaign.

The win kept the Stampeders a game ahead of Edmonton (5-3 SU, 4-4 ATS) in the West Division with the defeat dropping the Alouettes two games behind Winnipeg in the East.

Edmonton stumbles into this matchup off a bye week that was preceded by three consecutive defeats following a 5-0 start to the 2011 campaign. Scoring has been the Eskimos' biggest bugaboo in the losing skid, totaling just 21 points in the three defeats, the most recent an embarrassing 36-1 showing at home against the BC Lions in Week 8.

Monday's tilt is the second meeting between the clubs this year with the Eskimos winning 24-19 as 3-point CFL odds underdogs in Week 4. That victory snapped a 6-game losing streak for Edmonton in this series.

Calgary will have to find a way to pressure Eskimos quarterback Ricky Ray in this contest. The Stampeders only got to Ray one time in that first meeting.

Fred Stamps, who hauled in five of Ray's 12 completions for 161 yards and two scores in that win, won't present a problem for Calgary in this one. The slotback is expected to miss another couple of weeks with an abdominal injury.

Edmonton will also be without a key member of the offensive line as center Aaron Fiacconi (shoulder) is out for the rest of the season. The Eskimos recently added former 1st-round pick Dylan Steenbergen in a trade from Montreal to offset Fiacconi's absence, and they expect to have Gord Hinse back for this game as well.

Calgary is listing linebacker Daren Stone (biceps) as questionable for Monday's game. The Stampeders are also still without kicker Rob Maver (quad), though Rene Paredes has filled in nicely for him since Maver went out in the season opener. Paredes booted three field goals in last week's win, the last from 46 yards out.

The 9-point spread seems a little high on first glance when you look at two teams separated by just a game in the standings. But there's very little to like about the Eskimos in this one with an offensive line being reworked and their top receiver Stamps out of action.

The clubs played in this same scheduling spot last season with the Stampeders rolling to a 52-5 victory, and followed that up with a 36-20 win in Edmonton the next week.

By the way, the new 2012 calendars are out featuring the Calgary Outriders cheer/dance gals. Click here for a look at that, and never again say we don't have all your bases covered at Don Best. There must not be a single tattoo parlour in Calgary, either that or, well, back to football.

Kickoff this week from McMahon Stadium is 4:30 p.m. (ET) with TSN providing coverage as usual. The clubs will have very little time off before reconvening Friday (Sept. 9) at Edmonton's Commonwealth Stadium for Week 11 CFL action.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/05/2011 08:57 AM

Miami Hurricanes At Maryland Terrapins NCAA Betting Preview

Most of the Miami Hurricanes will open the 2011 schedule by visiting the Maryland Terrapins on Monday in an early and key Atlantic Coast Conference duel. But the bigger story for bettors revolves around who will not be taking the field due to NCAA sanctions handed down on Tuesday.

Eight Hurricanes will miss the season opener, including starting quarterback Jacory Harris.

The game is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. (ET) and will be televised nationally on ESPN. Miami opened as a 5½-point favorite but it's Maryland who is currently listed as a 3-point favorite according to the Don Best odds screen with the total at 47.

New Miami head coach Al Golden has a big challenge ahead of him in his first year at the school, as 12 of his players overall accepted improper benefits from former booster Nevin Shapiro before he even got there. Eight of them will miss at least game, led by Harris and safety Ray Ray Armstrong, who will miss four games along with tight end Dyron Dye.

Defensive lineman Olivier Vernon received the harshest penalty and must sit out six games.

Sophomore Stephen Morris will replace Harris under center for the Hurricanes, and he saw action in six games last season when they finished a disappointing 7-6. Morris played in most of the team’s 33-17 Sun Bowl loss to Notre Dame and performed well in relief of Harris.

Miami was 2-4 in the games Morris played, but one of the two wins came against the Terrapins last November 6. Morris threw for a season-high 286 yards and tossed the game-winning touchdown pass to wide receiver Leonard Hankerson with 37 seconds left.

The Hurricanes ended their season with three losses, both straight up and against the spread, and the ‘under’ is 6-1-1 in their past eight.

Maryland is coming off a successful 9-4 campaign that ended with a 51-20 rout of East Carolina in the Military Bowl. The Terps finished 2-10 in '09 and sent Ralph Friedgen out as ACC Coach of the Year. Friedgen was fired following the game after serving at his alma mater for 10 seasons.

Former Connecticut head coach Randy Edsall takes over the reins of the program and did an outstanding job building up the Huskies from a Division I-AA team in 1998 to a Big East co-champion last year. Edsall was 74-70 at UConn overall and has 12 starters coming back at Maryland, five on offense and seven on defense.

Sophomore quarterback Danny O’Brien was the ACC Freshman of the Year for the Terps last season, throwing 22 touchdown passes and finishing fourth overall in the conference with a 134.5 rating. O’Brien will be without top target Torrey Smith, who was selected by the Baltimore Ravens in the second round of the NFL draft.

Maryland closed out last year covering six of seven games with the ‘over’ going 5-1-1 during that stretch.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/05/2011 09:02 AM

What bettors need to know
Miami Hurricanes at Maryland Terrapins:

Miami Hurricanes at Maryland Terrapins (-4, 46.5)

THE STORY: Miami will be without six starters and two reserves when it opens at Maryland on Monday. Quarterback Jacory Harris, linebacker Sean Spence, wideout Travis Benjamin and five others were suspended by the NCAA from one to six games for receiving impermissible benefits from former booster/convicted felon Nevin Shapiro.

The investigation has overshadowed the Miami coaching debut of Al Golden, formerly of Temple, and the Maryland coaching debut of Randy Edsall, formerly of UConn. With the senior Harris ineligible, dual-threat sophomore Stephen Morris will start at quarterback. Morris, who runs a 4.6 forty, nearly beat out Harris in camp.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Maryland -4

ABOUT MARYLAND (2010: 9-4, 5-3 ACC): Edsall has a ton of offensive talent to work with, led by QB Danny O’Brien (2,438 yards, 22 TDs, 8 INTs), and RBs Davin Meggett (720 yards) and D.J. Adams (11 TDs). The Terps ranked second in the ACC in scoring last season (32.2 points) and should be near the top again. LB Kenny Tate leads seven returning starters on defense.

ABOUT MIAMI (2010: 7-6, 5-3 ACC): Harris and Morris split first-string reps during camp. Morris played extensively at the end of last season, throwing for 1,240 yards in six games with seven touchdowns and nine interceptions. Due to the suspensions, Golden is listing eight true freshmen and five redshirt freshmen on his two-deep depth chart.


1. Edsall finished 8-5 or better in his last four seasons at UConn.

2. Miami's suspended players are not allowed to travel to the game but can continue practicing with the team.

3. Miami won last year’s meeting 26-20 in Coral Gables, Fla., on a last-minute TD throw from Morris.


The Hurricanes are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 conference games and 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.

The Terrapins are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall and 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games.

The under is 6-1-1 in the 'Canes' last eight games.


Oddsmakers opened this game with the visiting Hurricanes favored by 6 to 5.5 points. The game was taken off the board following the news of Miami's player suspensions. Oddsmakers re-opened with the Terrapins favored by 3.5 points and most shops have moved up to Maryland -4.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/05/2011 09:05 AM

Tale of the tape: Miami at Maryland

Miami at Maryland (-4, 46.5)

The line

Maryland opened as a 4-point home underdog before the news of Miami’s suspensions came down. After learning eight Hurricanes were banned, including quarterback Jacory Harris and Sean Spence, oddsmakers moved Maryland to a 4-point favorite. The total is down to 46.5 after opening at around 48.


Backed by a balanced offense, Miami put up 421 yards and 26.2 points per game last season. The Hurricanes averaged 5.8 yards per play despite a completion percentage of 53. With the quarterback situation still up in the air, the ‘Canes will pound the running game again this season. They averaged 182.5 yards per game on the ground last season, piling up five yards per rushing play. Two areas they’ll look to improve this season are red zone efficiency and discipline. They scored 76 percent of the time inside the 20 last year and were whistled for 72 penalty yards per game.

With Danny O’Brien taking the snaps last season, the Terrapins piled up 32.2 points per game. O’Brien was efficient, firing for more than 2,400 yards with 22 touchdowns and eight interceptions. The Terps averaged 7.3 yards per pass and completed around 57 percent of their attempts, while allowing 22 sacks on the season. Maryland’s running game put up about 138 yards per game, averaging 4.1 yards per attempt.


Last year’s Hurricanes gave up just 150 yards per game through the air – good for third in the nation – while also tying for sixth overall with 21 interceptions. Miami also did a great job getting after the quarterback with 37 sacks last season (14th in FBS). That helped this unit allow 342 yards and 22.4 points per game, while holding its opposition to fewer than five yards per play on the year. The Hurricanes really buckled down on third down, allowing offenses to convert only 35 percent of those attempts.

Maryland stuffed the run last season, allowing only 3.6 yards per rush and 134 yards per game on the ground. That helped them yield only 23.8 points per game (377 yards). The Terps finished last season with 28 sacks and 19 interceptions, while averaging two takeaways per contest. Maryland’s opposition scored only 74 percent of the time when they entered the red zone

Special teams

Maryland hit 77.8 percent of its field goal attempts last season (47th in FBS) and was 48th in the nation averaging 41.7 yards per punt. The Terps really struggled with kickoff returns, managing just 18.3 yards, but were much better returning punts. They averaged 16.9 yards per punt return, which ranked them third in the nation.

Miami’s punt return game was terrible at 4.5 yards per return, though the kickoff return numbers were a bit better at 19.7 yards per attempt. The Hurricanes converted 76.5 percent of their field goals, but attempted just 17 on the year while also missing three extra point tries. They averaged 44 yards per punt (41.4 yards net).

Word on the street

"We're not really focusing who's going to play there, who's not. It's going to be the same scheme. They're going to be athletic. They're going to be fast. They're going to be aggressive. They have playmakers." – Maryland quarterback Danny O’Brien on facing the shorthanded Hurricanes.

"We're playing a lot of freshmen under the lights in a big setting. …Ultimately, you've got to cut the cord and let them go do it." – Hurricanes coach Al Golden.

Final score prediction

Maryland 27 Miami 17

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/05/2011 09:17 AM

Monday’s betting tips: 'Canes-Terps line still moving

Weather to watch

After a weekend in which weather played a huge role in college football’s opening weekend, meteorologists expect a 40 percent chance of rain or thunderstorms for Monday’s game between Miami and Maryland. Temperatures should be around 84 degrees with winds between 7-12 mph.

Who’s hot

MLB: The Red Sox have won 13 of their last 17 games in Toronto.

MLB: Los Angeles has won 13 of its last 16 overall.

NCAAF: Maryland has covered in six of its last seven.

CFL: The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between Montreal and Hamilton.

Who’s not

MLB: Detroit is 3-13 in its last 16 games in Cleveland.

MLB: Pittsburgh is 1-8 in its last nine games as a favorite.

NCAAF: The over is 1-6-1 in Miami’s last eight.

CFL: Edmonton has covered in only two of its last eight meetings with Calgary.

Key stat

66.4 – MLB road favorites had won 66.4 percent of their games over the last 30 days heading into Sunday’s action.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Tommy Streeter, Miami Hurricanes – Miami coach Al Golden says he’s “counting on” Streeter to play Monday against Maryland. The banged-up wideout caught five touchdowns in two preseason scrimmages this season.

Game of the day

Miami at Maryland (-4, 46.5)

Notable quotable

"I think talent-wise, this is one of the best teams I've been on in my whole life, so I'm excited. I mean, Ingram, he's explosive. Sproles, everybody knows about Sproles. And Pierre, if he stays healthy he's going to be something special, too. So we've just got to grind it out and do better than we did even two years ago when we won the Super Bowl." – New Orleans Saints offensive lineman Carl Nicks on his club’s running game. The Saints opened as 5.5-point underdogs at Green Bay for Thursday’s season opener but now sit at +4.

Notes and tips

While Miami will be without seven starters for Monday’s tilt with Maryland, the Terps won’t be playing with a full deck either. Maryland tailback D.J. Adams and offensive lineman Cody Blue have been banned for Monday’s home date with the Hurricanes for violating team rules. That leaves a couple of freshmen running backs in the backup tailback role as Randy Edsall makes his coaching debut with the team.

Rafael Nadal collapsed to the floor during a post-match news conference following Sunday's victory over David Nalbandian at the U.S. Open. The world's No. 2 player and defending champion was talking to the media when he slumped to the back of the chair and began reaching for his leg. Nadal then slipped to the floor as medical staff came to his aid. Nadal was able to overcome a blister on his right foot to advance in the tournament. He faces Gilles Muller, who posted a 6-1, 6-4, 6-4 over Russian Igor Kunitsyn.

The rumor out of Kansas City is that Chiefs quarterback Matt Cassel suffered a cracked rib in the team’s last final preseason game. Cassel didn’t attempt a pass in Kansas City’s 20-19 loss to Green Bay, but did have one rush for seven yards. The team has yet to address the issue and the Chiefs remain 6-point favorites against the Buffalo Bills in Week 1.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/05/2011 09:18 AM


Week 10


Game 295-296: Montreal at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 116.673; Hamilton 111.084
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 5 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Montreal by 2 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-2 1/2); Under

Game 297-298: Edmonton at Calgary (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 112.450; Calgary 118.638
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 6; 53
Vegas Line: Calgary by 9; 48
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+9); Over

Long Sheet

Week 10

Monday, September 5


MONTREAL (5 - 3) at HAMILTON (4 - 4) - 9/5/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-3 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 5-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


EDMONTON (5 - 3) at CALGARY (6 - 2) - 9/5/2011, 4:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-3 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 7-2 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons



Week 10

Trend Report

1:00 PM
Montreal is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Montreal is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games when playing Hamilton
Hamilton is 4-20 SU in its last 24 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Hamilton's last 8 games when playing Montreal

4:30 PM
Edmonton is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Edmonton is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Calgary's last 22 games
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games




Canadian Bacon: CFL Week 10 odds and picks

Montreal Alouettes at Hamilton Tiger Cats (+2.5, 55)

Montreal’s secondary has been pretty banged up and the coaching staff had to fill many holes before heading to Hamilton where the Tiger Cats are hoping to prove they can win a big game against the Alouettes.

Already without DB Jerald Brown and S Etienne Boulay, the Alouettes will have to manage without CB Mark Estelle for the reminder of the season. LB Diamond Ferri has been hospitalized earlier this week with a pancreatitis, DE Jermaine McElveen is still nursing a knee injury and that MLB Shae Emry suffered a concussion that might prevent him of playing.

That means the Als head to Hamilton missing seven of their 12 defensive starters.

The Tiger Cats can still make a run for first place in the East and, if not for a few bad calls from their coaches, should have won against Winnipeg last week. With a great group of young receivers (Chris Williams, Aaron Kelly and Bakari Grant) at his disposal, QB Kevin Glenn will also welcome the return of Maurice Mann.

Pick: Hamilton

Edmonton Eskimos at Calgary Stampeders (-8.5, 48)

If you were only going by the standings you might think this is a game between the two best teams in the West. It’s not the case.
The Eskimos are depleted by injuries and we still can’t figure out who Ricky Ray will throw the ball on Labour Day for this showdown between Alberta’s archrivals.

C Aaron Fiacconi is the latest casualty and will be out for the rest of season which is no good news for a QB who has been sacked 18 times in the last three games, all losses.

Also note that since they released Arkee Whitlock after Week 5, the Eskimos ground game has been stalled.

Henry Burris and the Stampeders offense are rolling on all wheels and gave a stupendous demonstration of their potential last Saturday against the Alouettes. Burris and WR Johnny Forzani were named Offensive and Canadian player of the month in August, leading the Stampeders to three wins in as many games.

The Stampeders have won the last four Labour Day “Battle of Albertas”.

Pick: Calgary

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33099 Followers:38
09/05/2011 09:19 AM


Sunday, September 5

Monday’s streaking and slumping starting pitchers


Doug Fister (6-13, 3.26 ERA), Detroit Tigers

Fister is proving to be a nice pick-up from the Mariners. He’s gone at least seven innings in four of his six starts with the Tigers and owns a tidy 0.83 ERA and a minuscule 0.73 WHIP (walks + hits per inning) over his last three starts.

Javier Vazquez (8-11, 4.42 ERA), Florida Marlins

Funny to think this veteran hurler would contemplate retirement when he’s pitching this well. Vazquez held the Mets scoreless over seven innings in his last outing, extending his quality start streak to four games.


Randy Wolf (11-9, 3.58), Milwaukee Brewers

Seems like it’s been one good start and then one bad one from the Wolfman. The Brewers lefty starter gave up six runs on seven hits and three home runs against the Cardinals last week.

It marks the third time in his last six outings he’s been tagged for five or more runs. Oddly enough the under is still 7-3 in his last 10 starts.

Anthony Vasquez (1-1, 11.57 ERA), Seattle Mariners

There’s not much to tell about Anthony Vasquez. He stinks and so do the M’s. Vasquez has only two career starts, both over the last two weeks, and both times he gave up a lot of runs.



Sunday, September 5

Hot lines: Monday’s best MLB bets

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals (-120, 9)

One sign of a legitimate playoff contending team is its ability to bounce back. Right now the Brewers are showing everybody exactly what they’re made of.

After suffering a three-game sweep at home to the second-place Cardinals, the Brewers rebounded to hammer the terrible Houston Astros in three straight. St. Louis, meanwhile, just dropped two out of three to Cincinnati, making this home series with the Brew Crew that much more important.

Now the Cardinals barely have any margin for error, sitting 9.5 games back of Milwaukee. The Brewers aren’t letting the playoff race get to them – they dressed up in cowboy attire for their flight out of Houston to St. Louis.

"It's not about staying loose for the Cardinals," left fielder Ryan Braun said. "It's just staying loose in general. By this time in the season everything has been the same for months. Same routine, same travel, same collared shirt. It's a good time to mix things up a little."

We like the makeup of this group of jokers.

Pick: Brewers

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels (-280, 7.5)

The Los Angeles Angels head into this series with a huge opportunity to make up some ground on the AL West-leading Texas Rangers. They head into Monday’s action 3.5 games back of the Rangers after winning their rubber match with the Twins on Sunday.

Joel Pineiro picked up his first win in almost two months and Bobby Abreu homered as the Angels dropped the Twins 4-1 to keep pace with the Rangers, who picked up another win against Boston.

The Mariners have won just 17 of their last 53 games overall and should be heavy underdogs throughout this series, so if you’re looking for an Angels bet, you’re going to have to pay for it.

We don’t mind high prices every now and then, but this chalk is out of the question. With the struggling Anthony Vasquez sharing the hill with Dan Haren, we’ll hop on the over.

Pick: Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: