spooky Posts:4728 Followers:319
On 12/22/2011 11:15 AM in NCAA Football


All selections, analysis and thoughts will be posted on the Bowl Express Thread


Military Bowl
Toledo vs. Air Force

Wednesday, Dec. 28, 4:30 pm

The only service academy in this bowl season will play here: the Air Force Falcons from the Mountain West. They will take on the Toldeo Rockets out of the MAC. Toledo was in the hunt all season for the MAC West title, when a shootout loss to Northern Illinois prevented them from making the MAC title game. But, when you can put up 40 points per game, it’s no wonder how the Rockets were able to stay close to the top of the conference. The Rockets love to run a dual quarterback offense, instituting Austin Dantin as the primary player with Terrance Owens as the backup. There also wasn’t any shortage of play-makers on the ground, as both Adonis Thomas and Morgan Williams had 11 rushing TDs each. They’d better have this high powered offense up and running, because their defense was none too spectacular. Routinely giving up 3-4 touchdowns a game should make a team lose 9 times out of 10, and with Air Force’s penchant for running the ball, the defense better buckle down. Losing head coach Tim Beckman to Illinois doesn’t help the team’s psyche much either.

For Air Force the ground has been their friend. Asher Clark is the leading Falcons rusher with 1100 yards on the season but, with the triple option formations the team runs, both running back Mike DeWitt and quarterback Tim Jefferson have rushed for the same amount of yards; all three totaled for 26 TDs on the ground. While Jefferson has been known to pass to keep the pressure off of the run, everyone knows that’s not how the Falcons play. Defensively, Air Force are in the same boat as Toledo, having a schizophrenic defense. While giving up more than 40 points to the likes of Notre Dame or San Diego State, the Falcons have also recorded a shutout victory on the year.

I don’t know which defense will show up, but this match will prove to be a high scoring affair. I have Toledo winning this game by 4 points, and that is almost where the line sits. They have more options to go to rather than just run the ball but I will wait until closer to game time to make a final decision although its hard to go against Toledo to win the game. Plus its a bowling night outside the bowl games so not going to go overboard with a huge weekend ahead. As I posted weeks ago Toledo and the Over small.



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