cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
01/07/2012 12:46 PM

Saturday, January 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Southern Methodist - 1:00 PM ET Southern Methodist +3.5 500

Pittsburgh - Over 47 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
01/07/2012 12:49 PM

SMU And Pitt Collide In BBVA Compass Bowl

Once upon a time in college football history (and within memory for many), a bowl matchup between SMU and Pittsburgh stopped everyone in their tracks. More on that in a moment.

Their next meeting on Saturday isn’t likely to generate nearly as much attention, but the contest will at least remind supporters both ways of better times and the hope that someday the Mustangs and Panthers might return to the nation’s elite.

The schedule tells us that SMU (7-5 straight up, 4-8 against the spread) will be facing Pittsburgh (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS) at Birmingham’s venerable Legion Field on Saturday in the BBVA Compass Bowl. A check of the Don Best odds pages notes that the Big East Panthers are priced anywhere from 3-3½ point favorites at most Las Vegas wagering outlets, with the total mostly at 47 (though a stray 47½ or 48 could still be found at midweek).

Kickoff on Saturday will be at 1:00 p.m. (ET), before NFL playoff action commences later in the day. ESPN will provide TV coverage.

Mention of SMU and Pitt in the same breath will forever recall the memorable 1982 season, and the January 1, 1983 Cotton Bowl in particular. Those were the "Pony Express" Mustangs of Eric Dickerson and Craig James, and the Panthers of Dan Marino.

Both hovered near the top of the polls all season, and for one week in early November actually ran 1-2 in the rankings before Pitt was stunned by Notre Dame, 31-16, in what might have been Gerry Faust’s finest hour as Irish coach. SMU stayed unbeaten and was then jockeying with Herschel Walker’s Georgia for the top spot in the polls before a regular-season ending 17-17 draw vs. Lou Holtz’ Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas Stadium, the home base of the Ponies in those days. That hurt national championship hopes but SMU had still done enough to win the old Southwest Conference and a New Year’s Day berth in Dallas at the Cotton Bowl.

Meanwhile, Pitt, which relinquished serious national title hopes after the loss to Notre Dame, also dropped its finale vs. Penn State, but was still regarded as a desirable bowl entry because of Marino. The Panthers, sixth in the final regular-season polls, would tackle fourth-ranked SMU in the Cotton Bowl.

In retrospect, that 1983 Cotton Bowl was a showcase for two of the biggest college stars of the generation, Dickerson and Marino, each of whom would go on to record-setting NFL careers and become featured components of the fabled '83 NFL Draft. Marino’s senior year had been something of a disappointment, caused, some believed, by the coaching switch prior to that ‘82 season in which Jackie Sherrill jumped from Pitt to Texas A&M.

Foge Fazio, promoted from defensive coordinator to head coach, provided uninspired leadership for the Panthers, immediately reflected in the downturn in Marino’s stats and ultimately causing his NFL Draft stock to plummet to the bottom of a star-filled and QB-heavy first round. That's where Don Shula and the Miami Dolphins selected Marino, and you know the rest of that story.

As for Fazio, he oversaw a decline in Panther fortunes until his dismissal after the 1986 campaign. SMU also had a first-year coach in 1982, Bobby Collins, brought in from Southern Miss to replace Ron Meyer, who moved to the NFL New England Patriots.

The bowl meeting between the schools which promised so much offense instead evolved into a defensive war. Both sides reached deep into the other’s territory in their first drives, only to be sidetracked by fumbles, Pitt’s caused by hard-hitting SMU safety Wes Hopkins, another from that Cotton Bowl who would go on to a long and decorated NFL career.

Pitt, which confused the Ponies early with then-radical four wideout looks that day in Dallas, was eventually stymied. Meanwhile, the robust Panther "D" was keeping the Pony Express in relative check, as the reconfigured Mustang alignments with both Dickerson and James in the backfield at once (rather than rotating as usual) netted only modest results.

The Panthers did not get onto the board until a third quarter drive netted Eric Schubert’s 43-yard field goal to putt Pitt up 3-0. SMU answered, however, with QB Lance McIlhenny piloting an 80-yard drive that spanned into the fourth quarter. A key 42-yard pass to WR Bobby Leach moved the ball to the Pitt 20. Three plays later, McIlhenny ran a basic option, first faking a handoff to Dickerson on the dive, then faking a pitch to James before keeping the ball himself for a 9-yard TD run with 13:43 to play.

That was it for the scoring on the day, although the Ponies still needed to pick off Marino in the SMU end zone deep in the fourth quarter on a pass deflected by that man Hopkins into the hands of safety Blane Smith. The 7-3 scoreline in favor of SMU stood until the final gun. Stat-wise, Dickerson rushed for 124 yards and James 54 more, while Marino posted decidedly modest stats (19-of -37, 181 yards).

Yet memories of that game are a bit bittersweet for both sides, as neither has hinted at national honors since. SMU, of course, endured the unthinkable death penalty four years later. Perhaps Saturday’s BBVA Compass Bowl will provide the impetus for both programs to eventually recall those past glories.

In the meantime, this year’s meeting has its own intriguing storylines, though they have little to do with action on the field. In the Panthers’ case, coach Todd Graham abruptly resigned during preparation for the bowl, taking the Arizona State job and leaving Pitt to be coached on an interim basis by defensive coordinator Keith Patterson for the bowl game. Wisconsin offensive coordinator Paul Chryst has been enlisted as the Panthers’ new coach for 2012.

If the scenario sounds a bit familiar at Pitt, it should, because the Panthers were in a similar predicament last year at this very bowl game in Birmingham. Twelve months ago, the Panthers had just fired coach Dave Wannstedt, then dismissed successor Mike Haywood due to domestic violence charges before the bowl game vs. Kentucky. Defensive coordinator Phil Bennett, who ironically had earlier been SMU’s head coach, then stewarded Pitt to a 27-10 win over the Wildcats. So it’s a little deja vu for Pitt in Birmingham.

As for the Mustangs, they’ve had an interesting six weeks since their regular season concluded, too, as coach June Jones seemed set to take the Arizona State job before boosters in Tempe nixed the deal. And, as mentioned, it was Pitt’s Graham who eventually took the Sun Devils’ post.

Though SMU’s 7-5 straight-up record is better than Pitt’s 6-6, the Mustangs were not playing better than the Panthers down the stretch. Indeed, SMU dropped its last six pointspread decisions as the Jones’ Red Gun offense began to stall behind increasingly erratic performances from QB T.J. McDermott, who tossed 11 picks and just six TD passes in the second half of the campaign. The Ponies also weren’t helped when leading rusher Zach Line, who gained 1224 yards rushing, went down with a November knee injury and will miss the bowl game.

Even with Line, the Ponies’ rush game was one of the worst in the country, and ranks a lowly 118th. Moreover, SMU was very mistake-prone, with a nation’s-worst -17 turnover margin.

Meanwhile, Pitt enters Birmingham having covered five in a row and narrowly missing out on an unlikely BCS bid had the Panthers not blown a late lead in the Backyard Brawl at West Virginia on November 25. Graham’s offense, however, looked nothing like the attack he presided over in his previous stop Tulsa, perhaps because offensive coordinator Chad Morris didn’t accompany Graham to Pitt (Morris moved to a similar role at Clemson).

Panther QBs were sacked a nation’s-high 55 times this season, and QB Tino Sunseri’s numbers were not as good as they were a year ago. Moreover, top rusher Ray Graham went down at midseason with a knee injury, though Wisconsin transfer Zach Brown ran with some flair before he, too, was injured in the Syracuse finale. Sources say Brown’s bruised sternum healed enough for him to play vs. SMU.

Defensively, sources believe Pitt might have an advantage with the nation’s fourth-ranked sack defense led by DE Aaron Donald and OLB Brandon Lindsey, who combined for 18½ sacks between them.

Still, who knows what might transpire in Birmingham? We might see another 7-3 scoreline, just like we witnessed 29 years ago when these sides last met in Dallas.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
01/07/2012 12:52 PM

Huskies & Red Wolves At Bowl

Two of this season’s most exciting non-BCS teams meet in the Bowl Sunday night when the Arkansas State Red Wolves take on the Northern Illinois Huskies in Mobile, Alabama.

Arkansas State is currently a slight 1½-point favorite on the Don Best odds screen. The game will be televised nationally on ESPN and will begin at 9:00 p.m. (ET).

Anyone who favors offense over defense will have one more chance before Monday’s defense-heavy BCS National Championship Game to enjoy some shoot-out football. Arkansas State’s Ryan Aplin and Northern Illinois’ Chandler Harnish are both exciting dual-threat quarterbacks that have produced highlight-reel plays all season long.

Northern Illinois (10-3) started the season off 2-3 SU (1-4 ATS), but hit its stride after the conference loss to Central Michigan and went on to win the final eight games (4-4 ATS), including the MAC Championship over Ohio.

Harnish was magnificent both throwing and running the ball. His 2,942 passing yards with 26 touchdown passes to just five interceptions was impressive enough, but the senior quarterback also rushed for 1,382 yards (averaging 7.5 yards per carry) and 11 touchdowns. Along with running back Jasmin Hopkins who rushed for 932 yards and 15 touchdowns, Harnish led Northern Illinois to the eighth best rushing attack in the nation (247.6 points per game) and the 13th ranked scoring offense (38.3 points per game).

Arkansas State (10-2) was one of the best betting options of the 2011 season. After starting off the year 1-2 SU (but 3-0 ATS covering the spread in losses at Illinois and Virginia Tech), the Red Wolves finished the season with nine straight wins (7-2 ATS) to go undefeated in the Sun Belt Conference and lock up the title.

Fueled by Ryan Aplin’s 3,235 passing yards and 18 passing touchdowns (with 13 interceptions), the Red Wolves finished the season 18th in the nation in passing yards per game and 26th in the nation in scoring with 33.5 points per game. Aplin also added 605 yards and nine touchdowns on the ground on 151 carries. Wide receiver Dwayne Frampton should have a big day Sunday, hauling in 90 catches for 1,125 yards and six touchdowns this season.

While the Red Wolves had a strong season offensively, the key to their success this season, and perhaps the key to this game, was their defense. Just one year removed from an abysmal unit that gave up 31 points a contest, this year’s Arkansas State team finished 14th in the nation in scoring defense by allowing just 19.3 points per game. The defense was consistent too, as Arkansas State didn’t allow more than 24 points in any of its eight conference games.

Going up against a Northern Illinois team that finished 89th in the nation allowing 31.1 points per game, Arkansas State’s edge on defense could be the difference. That said, Northern Illinois has the slight edge on offense, so it may all just come down to the tempo of the game.

With Arkansas State’s strong defensive efforts this season, the total went ‘under’ in eight of its 12 games. The total has also gone ‘under’ in four of Northern Illinois’ last six games. Sunday’s total is currently set at 63.

Mother Nature isn't expected to interfere with the game. There's just a 10 percent chance of rain Sunday in Mobile where cloudy skies and the thermometer in the upper-50s are in the forecast.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
01/08/2012 11:39 AM

What bettors need to know: Go Bowl

Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Northern Illinois Huskies (+1.5, 65)


1. Arkansas State has a new coach in Gus Malzahn, the former offensive coordinator at Auburn. But Malzahn, who tutored Heisman Trophy winner Cam Newton and helped the Tigers win the 2010 national championship, will not be on the sidelines. Arkansas State will be led by interim head coach David Gunn, who was recently asked by Malzahn to return and be a part of the staff. Gunn was named interim coach after Hugh Freeze resigned to become head coach at Ole Miss.

2. Arkansas State has won nine straight thanks to a balanced approach. The Red Wolves became the first team in school history to record 5,000 yards of offense, scored 30 or more points in eight games this season and more than 45 in their last two contests. They also rank No. 1 in in the Sun Belt in total defense and scoring defense.

3. Northern Illinois QB Chandler Harnish has been impressive under pressure. He’s coming off perhaps his best performance, leading the Huskies to a 23-20 comeback win against Ohio in the MAC championship game. The four-year starter was voted the MAC’s Player of the Year and needs only 45 rushing yards to become the third FBS quarterback to rush for 3,000 yards and pass for 8,000 yards in his career.


WEATHER: There is a 29 percent chance of rain in Mobile, Alabama. Temperatures will be in the high 50s.

LINE: Arkansas State has moved slightly from -1 to -1.5. The total has jumped from 62 to 65 points since post.

ABOUT ARKANSAS STATE (10-2, 8-0 Sun Belt, 10-2 ATS): The Red Wolves feature the Players of the Year on offense and defense from the Sun Belt Conference. Quarterback Ryan Aplin led the conference in total offense with 320 yard per game. Aplin threw for 269.6 yards per game and 18 touchdowns, while rushing for an additional 10 scores. He became only the second player in conference history to record 3,000 yards of total offense in two different seasons. The defensive leader is lineman Brandon Joiner, who led the league with 12 sacks and had 15.5 tackles for loss. Other first-team all-conference players include receiver Dwayne Frampton (90 catches, 1,125 yards, six TDs), offensive lineman Tom Castilaw, linebacker Demario Davis (65 tackles), and defensive backs Darryl Feemster (five interceptions) and Kelcie McCray (62 tackles, four interceptions).

ABOUT NORTHERN ILLINOIS (10-3, 7-1 MAC, 5-8 ATS): The Huskies revolve around QB Chandler Harnish, who led the MAC in rushing (112.6 yards). Harnish rushed for 1,351 yards and threw for 2,692 yards and 23 touchdowns, with only four interceptions. He’s got an outstanding offensive line, led by center Scott Wedige and tackle Trevor Olson, both all-MAC selections. The line hasn’t allowed a sack all season. Running back Jasmin Hopkins ran for 872 yards and scored a team-leading 15 TDs. The young defense is led by linebacker Pat Schiller (108 tackles, 10 tackles for loss), end Sean Progar (11 tackles for loss, 5.5 sacks) and safety Jimmie Ward (93 tackles). Kicker Mathew Sims hit 18 of 23 field goals and scored a school-record 111 points.


* Red Wolves are 4-1 ATS in their last five non-conference games.
* Huskies are 1-8 ATS in their last nine neutral-site games.
* Under is 12-3-1 in Red Wolves' last 16 non-conference games.
* Under is 7-1 in Huskies' last eight neutral-site games.

PREDICTION: Northern Illinois 34, Arkansas State 28 – Two-way threat Harnish closes his remarkable career with a bowl victory.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
01/08/2012 11:42 AM


Sunday, January 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Arkansas State - 9:00 PM ET Arkansas State -1.5 500

Northern Illinois - Over 63 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
01/09/2012 05:30 PM

Alabama-LSU betting news: Action surges on Tide

Alabama is steamy hot at Nevada and offshore sportsbooks.

Multiple bookmakers bumped the Crimson Tide up to -2 over the weekend, including Coast Casinos race and sports manager Bob Scucci.

“Around New Year’s Eve, we started to get some sharp money on Alabama, and we quickly moved the line to Alabama -1.5,” Scucci told ***********. “We are currently at Alabama -2, where we haven’t gotten any more sharp action, but all the public money seems to be on LSU.”

The Atlantis Reno and South Point also were offering -2 as of Sunday afternoon, as were several offshore sportsbooks.

Scucci also believes that professional bettors may be pounding Alabama to try to make the line get to -3, so they can grab the other side.

Big bets have been coming in on both sides at the Las Vegas Wynn and have sportsbook director John Avello predicting the highest handle ever for a BCS National Championship Game.

Avello has taken six-figure bets on LSU and Alabama, “not just one or two, but a few,” he added.

“The matchup is right, the spread it right, which makes it a great game to bet, I think it’s going to be the most-bet national championship game ever.”

The Superbook at the Las Vegas Hotel and Casino had twice as many LSU bets as Alabama, but had the bigger bets were mostly on the Tide, director Jay Kornegay reported Sunday afternoon.

“More money on Alabama, but more tickets on LSU, which is what we expected,” Kornegay said. “We’ve taken more than a handful of five-figure bets, Most of them were on Alabama, until we moved to -2; then we took a big one on LSU, and now we’re back at -1.5.”

Kornegay said the betting action at his book was about average for a BCS title game.

“Hopefully, we’ll get a late rush tomorrow, but despite all the hype the media is trying to give this thing it’s about average. I think people are interested in watching it, but I just don’t think they’re overly excited about it. It’s just lukewarm outside of SEC country. I think we would have more action if it was Oklahoma State vs. LSU.”

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
01/09/2012 05:33 PM


Monday, January 9

BCS National Championship: What bettors need to know

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers (+2, 40.5)


1. The SEC will claim its sixth straight national title at the conclusion of an epic rematch between No. 1 LSU and No. 2 Alabama. Les Miles’ undefeated Tigers nipped Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide, 9-6, in overtime on Nov. 5 in Tuscaloosa, Ala. Miles is looking for his second national title; Saban is after his third.

2. Not a lot has changed since the November meeting. The same 22 players that started for Alabama against LSU the first time also started the Tide’s rout of Auburn in the regular-season finale. The only significant change in LSU’s lineup is at quarterback. Jarrett Lee started against Alabama, but was quickly replaced by current starter Jordan Jefferson. It’s unquestionably Jefferson’s team now.

3. Alabama is No. 1 in total defense; LSU is No. 2. So a shootout is unlikely. Neither offense amassed 300 yards or reached the end zone in the first meeting. Special teams might be the difference, and LSU has the advantage. The Crimson Tide missed three field goals in the first game.

4. This is a historically close championship game with Las Vegas sportsbooks listing the pointspread at Pick ‘em in late December. No BCS National Championship Game or Super Bowl has ever had a closing line of Pick 'em.

5. LSU has played the toughest schedule in the nation. The Tigers’ opponents are 78-44. Alabama’s opponents went 68-45.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, Monday, Jan. 9.

LINE: LSU opened as a 1.5-point favorite but action on Alabama flipped the spread. The Crimson Tide recently jumped to -2. The total opened at 40 points and has remained steady with a few 39.5-point and 40.5-point numbers out there.

ABOUT ALABAMA (11-1, 7-1 SEC, 8-4 ATS): RB Trent Richardson led the Tide in rushing and receiving against LSU. He’ll need some help from sophomore quarterback A.J. McCarron and a receiving corps that lacks a go-to guy for the Tide offense to have a better showing this time. In his first year starting, McCarron has been solid, but unspectacular. He completed 66.7 percent of his pass attempts with 16 touchdowns and five interceptions. He hit 16 of 28 passes against LSU with an interception.

Even if Alabama’s offense struggles, its defense is very capable of keeping the Tide in the game. As many as five starters are projected to be early NFL draft picks, led by like strong safety Mark Barron and star linebackers Dont’a Hightower and Courtney Upshaw.

Kicker Jeremy Shelley has made 16 of 20 field goals with a long of 37. He has missed both his attempts of 40 yards or longer.

ABOUT LSU (13-0, 8-0 SEC, 10-3 ATS): LSU’s defense is equally talented, featuring a loaded secondary led by game-changers Morris Claiborne and Tyrann Mathieu.

Offensively, Jefferson, a dual-threat, has been a sparkplug. He was suspended the first four games for altercation outside a Baton Rouge establishment and was used sparingly behind Lee until the Alabama game. The Tigers averaged 44 points with Jefferson starting their last four games.

Don’t underestimate LSU’s advantage on special teams, which includes punter Brad Wingo. LSU is allowing .35 yards per punt return, thanks to Wingo’s booming hang-time.

Kicker Drew Alleman has made 16 of 18 field goals and is 3 of 3 from beyond 40 yards.


* Crimson Tide are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
* Road team is 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings.
* Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.
* Over is 5-0 in Crimson Tide's last five Bowl games.
* Over is 5-2-1 in Tigers' last eight games overall.

PREDICTION: LSU 24, Alabama 20 – Another overtime thriller between these two evenly matched teams wouldn’t be surprising. LSU’s advantage in special teams could be the difference again.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
01/09/2012 05:34 PM


Monday, January 9

Tale of the tape: Alabama vs. LSU

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. LSU Tigers (2, 40)


The LSU Tigers average 38.5 points and 374.5 yards per game thanks to a strong rushing attack. Michael Ford and Spencer Ware combined for more than 1,400 rushing yards and 15 touchdowns this year while quarterback Jordan Jefferson added 248 rushing yards and three scores. Jefferson missed four games due to suspension and finished with 684 yards and three touchdowns, but Jarrett Lee was more of a passing threat, totaling 1306 passing yards and 13 touchdowns to just three interceptions while completing 62.3 percent of his attempts. Rueben Randall is the club’s best receiving threat. He averaged better than 18 yards per catch, pulling in 50 grabs for 904 yards and eight touchdowns.

Alabama does most of its damage on the ground as well. The Tide rank 14th nationally putting up 219.8 yards per game thanks to a huge season from Trent Richardson. The junior averaged six yards per carry and had 1583 rushing yards and 20 majors on the ground this season. He also chipped in 327 receiving yards and three touchdowns. Quarterback averaged 8.2 yards per attempt and completed 66.7 percent of his passes while piling up 2,400 passing yards and 16 touchdowns compared to five interceptions. The Tide managed 36 points per game.

Edge: LSU


Both defenses are spectacular, but Alabama holds the decided edge after ranking first in the nation in total defense, passing defense, rushing defense and scoring defense. Opposing quarterbacks complete just 48.3 percent of their passes against the Tide and the team allows only 8.8 points per game. Alabama held its opposition to fewer than 10 points eight different times this season and allows only 191.3 yards per game, more than 60 fewer yards than LSU’s second-ranked total defense.

The Tigers were also second in points allowed per game (10.5) and were third in rushing defense giving up 85.5 yards per game. LSU does get to the quarterback better than Alabama with 37 sacks on the year compared to 26 for the Tide and the Tigers have 18 interceptions to 12 for the Tide. Sam Montgomery and Barkevious Mingo combined for 17 sacks on the year while Morris Claiborne and Tyrann Mathieu give LSU a major 1-2 punch in the secondary as first-team AP All-Americans.

Edge: Alabama

Special teams

Special teams errors killed Alabama in the first meeting of the season between these two teams and may be a major factor again this time. The Tide missed four field goals in that loss and they hit just 62.1 percent of their field goal tries this season while punter Cody Mandell was mediocre with a 38.9-yard average. Marquis Maze averages 12.4 yard per punt return and 28.5 yards on kick returns, though Richardson could see more work in this area.

LSU kicker Drew Alleman hit 16 of his 18 field goal attempts this season and punter Brad Wing averaged 44.1 yards per boot. Claiborne consistently gives LSU strong field position averaging 26.1 yards per kickoff return while Mathieu averages 16.2 yards on punt returns and has two majors.

Edge: LSU

Word on the street

"Not only do we have the support of Louisiana but we have the New Orleans Saints, too. This place will be rocking. Saints people may not even leave their seats. They may just stay here." – LSU defensive end Sam Montgomery on playing Monday’s game at the Superdome in New Orleans.

"I love my kickers. We've got to put them in situations that are good for everybody. We put them in low-percentage plays and that's our fault. It's a funny position because that's all you do. You can be either a hero or a villain. Some people have blamed our loss solely on the kickers and that's untrue." - Tide offensive tackle Barrett Jones.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
01/09/2012 05:35 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

BCS Championship Game

First meeting: LSU (+4.5) won 9-6 at Alabama, when Crimson Tide was 2-6 on field goals; Tigers outrushed Bama 148-96. Last time teams met in bowl after playing during season was Washington-Nebraska LY, when Cornhuskers killed U-Dub during season, then got upset in the bowl.

LSU is 9-3 in its last 12 games vs Alabama, with these teams both play on grass, but this game is on Superdome's carpet, which figures to favor LSU's blazing-fast defense. Before 9-6 game, average total in previous five series meetings was 49.8. Don't forget, LSU's coach for some of the earlier wins against Alabama was Nick Saban, before he went to Miami.

Alabama won three of last four bowls, with loss coming to Utah here in Sugar Bowl three years ago 31-17 (-9); they won national title two years ago. LSU won four of last five bowls, scoring 38+ points in all five wins. Only loss was 19-17 to Penn State in Capital One Bowl two years ago. Tigers won national title four years ago.

Oregon-West Va-Arkansas are only teams to score more than 11 points against LSU this year; they've got a great defense, which masks all the deficiencies their offense has. McCarron is first-year starting QB for the Tide. Neither team played many close games; they crushed opponents.

Biggest factor in LSU's favor is because Miles is so quirky, his teams play loose in big spots, moreso than the ultra-tense Saban, who could make coffee nervous. Tremendous amount of pressure on kicking group from Alabama (snapper/holder/kicker). I don't think LSU winning first meeting makes winning this game any harder.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33145 Followers:38
01/09/2012 05:40 PM

Best BCS National Championship game prop bets

The BCS Championship Game isn’t quite as big as the Super Bowl but prop bets are a fun option for newbie bettors and degenerates alike and bookmakers don’t leave us short of options.

Here’s a look at some of the more interesting prop bets for LSU vs. Alabama:

Who wins the coin toss

Alabama -115
LSU -115

Will there be a score in the first 7:30 of the first quarter?

Yes -130
No +100

First score of the game will be

Touchdown -175
Field goal or safety +145

First turnover of the game will be

Fumble +125
Interception -155
No turnovers in game +800

Will a special teams or defensive TD be scored

Yes +160
No -200

Will either team score three unanswered times in game

Yes -172
No +142

The longest touchdown score in the game will be

Over 39.5 yards (-115)
Under 39.5 yards (-115)

McCarron vs. Jefferson: Most passing yards

A.J. McCarron -40.5 passing yards (-110)
Jordan Jefferson +40.5 passing yards (-120)

Total rushing yards made by Trent Richardson

Over 110.5 rushing yards (-110)
Under 110.5 rushing yards (-120)

Total rush + receiving yards by Eddie Lacy

Over 42.5 (-115)
Under 42.5 (-115)

Total rushing attempts made by Spencer Ware

Over 9.5 (-110)
Under 9.5 (-120)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: