cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
On 12/12/2011 06:03 PM in NFL

Cnotes Monday's Best Bets NFL-NHL-NCAAB !

Week 14 Preview: Rams at Seahawks



Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Seattle -10, Total: 36.5

Surging Seattle couldn’t ask for a better matchup as the Rams and their pathetic offense pay CenturyLink Field a visit on Monday night.

This is probably not the Monday Night Football matchup you waited all week for, especially if QB Sam Bradford can’t play for the Rams. He is questionable with a high ankle sprain. Their A.J. Feeley-led offense had an anemic 157 total yards in the 26-0 blanking by San Francisco last week. And with Seattle playing at home with a few more days rest after Thursday’s win, this could be another ugly result for the Rams. Seahawks RB Marshawn Lynch has been running like a man possessed, gaining 591 yards and 5 TD in his past five games, and St. Louis has the worst rushing defense in the NFL (158 YPG). Also, since 2005, Seattle is 12-1 SU (10-3 ATS) against the Rams, including a dominating 24-7 win three weeks ago in St. Louis. All signs point to a comfortable win for SEATTLE.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also sides with the Seahawks:

Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ST. LOUIS) - after scoring 14 points or less last game against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game. (43-13 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.8%, +28.7 units. Rating = 3*).

St. Louis has played seven of its past nine games Under the Total, and this three-star FoxSheets trend expects another offensive struggle with the final score coming in UNDER the total.

Play Under - Any team against the total (SEATTLE) - versus division opponents, off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog. (36-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.6%, +23.9 units. Rating = 3*).

With Feeley (thumb) ruled out, Tom Brandstater would start if Bradford can’t play. Brandstater, drafted in 2009 out of Fresno State, has never played in the NFL. St. Louis has dropped three straight games and is now 2-10 (both SU and ATS) on the year. The team has scored just 8.7 PPG on the road in 2011 while allowing 23.8 PPG to the home teams. RB Steven Jackson has clearly been the team’s best offensive player (994 total yards), but opposing defenses have really focused on stopping Jackson lately. In the past three weeks, Jackson has carried the ball 42 times for 125 yards (3.0 YPC), and he has not found the end zone in five straight games. However, Jackson has gained 1,426 total yards and 7 TD in 14 lifetime meetings with Seattle. Leading WR Brandon Lloyd saw his three-game TD streak end last Sunday when Feeley targeted him just two times against the 49ers. St. Louis has to be careful with turnovers, as the team has nine giveaways in the past four weeks while Seattle has 12 takeaways in this same four-game span.

The Seahawks have won three of four games, and could easily be riding a four-game win streak had they not blown a 10-point, fourth-quarter lead at home to Washington two weeks ago. Lynch has become the focal point of this offense, but the team still needs QB Tarvaris Jackson (10 TD, 12 INT) to perform at a higher level. He certainly reached that higher level last Thursday night when he completed 13-of-16 passes for 190 yards and a touchdown. With star WR Sidney Rice done for the year, Jackson will continue to spread the wealth in terms of targets. The Seahawks usually dominate in their home stadium, but are only 3-3 (4-2 ATS) in Seattle this season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
12/12/2011 06:11 PM

MNF Betting Notes

December 11, 2011

St. Louis (2-10 SU, 4-8 ATS) at Seattle (5-7 SU, 7-5 ATS)


The Seahawks have an outside chance to earn a wild card spot in the NFC playoffs but they’ll need to win out and get some help along the way as well. Seattle looked sharp last Thursday when it beat Philadelphia 31-14 at home. The win could’ve been their fourth straight but in Week 12 the Seahawks blew a double-digit lead at home en route to a 23-17 loss to the Redskins. After starting the season 0-6, the Rams showed some life by winning two of three, which including a 31-21 victory at home against New Orleans. Since that three-game stretch, St. Louis had dropped three in a row both straight up and against the spread.

ATS Angles

The Rams are 2-10 ATS this season
The Rams have gone 1-5 both SU and ATS on the road, the lone win coming against Cleveland (13-12)
The Rams have scored more than 20 points on two occasions this season
The Rams have seen the ‘under’ go 8-3-1 this season, including 0-5-1 on the road
The Seahawks are 7-4-1 ATS this season
The Seahawks have gone 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS at home
The Seahawks have seen the ‘over’ go 4-2 at home

The opener was sent out at Seattle -9, with a total of 37. Currently the number is 10 at most shops, with one major offshore pushing 11 as of late Sunday. The total is still hovering between 36 and 37 points.

Seattle has been a favorite (-3) once this season and it lost at home to Washington, 23-17.

St. Louis has been a double-digit underdog four times in 2011, and its gone 1-3 both SU and ATS. The lone win and cover against the Saints.

Injury Notes

Sam Bradford (ankle) practiced on Saturday for the Rams but the quarterback is listed as ‘doubtful’ in most reports. Backup A.J. Feely (thumb) is also listed as ‘doubtful’ which means Tom Brandstarter could be the starter. College followers will recall his days with Fresno State, where he was decent. However, he hasn’t had a snap in the NFL.

Head-to-Head Notes

Seattle has won 12 of 13 against St. Louis, including the first meeting this season. In the last four trips to the Great Northwest, the Rams have been outscored 114-25. Four of the last five in this series has gone ‘under’ the total.

Seattle 24 at St. Louis 7 (Seahawks +3, Under 40.5)

Seattle 16 vs. St. Louis 6 (Seahawks +4, Under 42)
St. Louis 20 vs. Seattle 3 (Rams -2.5, Under 40)

Seattle 27 at St. Louis 17 (Seahawks -3.5, Over 42.5)
Seattle 28 vs. St. Louis (Seahawks -7.5, Under 43)

MNF Trends

Favorites are 10-4 SU this season
Favorites are 8-6 ATS this season
Favorites have covered four straight on MNF, all wins by double digits
The ‘over’ has gone 7-6-1 on MNF this season and is on a 4-1 run the last five weeks
St. Louis has gone 0-1 both SU and ATS on MNF, losing at the N.Y. Giants 28-16 in Week 2

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
12/12/2011 06:12 PM

Seattle Seahawks Host St. Louis Rams Monday Night Football

Last year, the second meeting between the St. Louis Rams and the Seattle Seahawks determined the NFC West title. The Seahawks (5-7) emerged victorious and made the playoffs while the Rams (2-10) looked to be a team on the rise with higher expectations for this season.

St. Louis has struggled with injuries to several key players and been one of the NFL’s biggest disappointments, with second-year quarterback Sam Bradford missing three games already. Bradford is currently dealing with a high-ankle sprain and could miss another game when his Rams visit Seattle’s CenturyLink Field on Monday Night Football.

Game time is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. (ET) with television coverage provided by ESPN. There is currently no line available according to the Don Best odds screen due to St. Louis’ QB situation.

Not only is Bradford’s status up in the air, but backup A.J. Feeley (thumb) also did not practice on Wednesday. Tom Brandstater has been taking snaps with the first-team offense, and the team added Kellen Clemens off waivers after he was released by the Houston Texans. Brandstater has never taken an NFL snap and was recently promoted from the practice squad.

The Seahawks have also dealt with injuries throughout the season, but they are playing their best football right now. They have earned three of their five wins in the past four weeks, capped by a 31-14 rout of the Philadelphia Eagles last Thursday night. They have had extra time to prepare for a banged-up Rams team and hope running back Marshawn Lynch does not cool off following his torrid stretch.

Lynch has averaged 118.2 yards over the last five games, and he is coming off a season-high 148 on 22 carries against the Eagles. He also had two touchdowns against Philadelphia and has scored at least one in seven of the past eight games he has played.

Seattle’s offensive line lost rookie tackles John Moffitt and James Carpenter to knee injuries last month and former first-round draft pick Russell Okung just went on injured reserve with a torn pectoral muscle. That has made Lynch’s strong play of late even more impressive, especially since opposing teams are keying on him. Wide receiver Sidney Rice was also placed on IR last week due to a concussion.

The Rams have dropped eight of the last nine meetings with the Seahawks both straight-up and against the spread. They are also 1-10 ATS in their past 11 games against NFC opponents and 1-7 ATS in their previous eight away from home. Seattle is 6-2 ATS in its past eight home games, and the ‘over’ has cashed in 14 of the team’s last 18 games against NFC foes.

The weather forecast for Seattle on Monday calls for a high temperature of 40 under partly cloudy skies, cooling down to 34 at night.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
12/12/2011 06:19 PM

Monday, December 12


ST LOUIS (2 - 10) at SEATTLE (5 - 7) - 12/12/2011, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
ST LOUIS is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
ST LOUIS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
ST LOUIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
ST LOUIS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-1 against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-1 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Monday, 12/12/2011

ST LOUIS: 16-6 Under in road games
SEATTLE: 0-6 ATS off win by 14+

** (TC) Denotes Time Change


Monday, December 12

8:30 PM
St. Louis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis



Game 133-134: St. Louis at Seattle (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 119.480; Seattle 134.089
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 14 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Seattle by 5; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-5); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
12/12/2011 06:20 PM


Monday, December 12

What bettors need to know: St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-10, 36.5)

THE STORY: The last time the St. Louis Rams squared off with the Seattle Seahawks, the NFC West title and a berth in the playoffs were on the line. The stakes will be considerably lower when the Rams visit Seattle on Monday night. The Seahawks, who are making their second straight appearance in prime time, still have a fleeting chance at a wild card slot while the Rams have already assured themselves of double-digit losses for the fourth time in the past five seasons. Seattle has dominated the rivalry with St. Louis, winning the last 12 of 13 overall and six straight at CenturyLink Field.

TV: ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET.

LINE: Seahawks -10, O/U 37. Oddsmakers had Seattle set around -9.5 at the open, so it's up about half a point since then. The total is sitting around 36.5 or 37.

ABOUT THE RAMS (2-10): St. Louis bottomed out in last week’s 26-0 loss at San Francisco. The league’s lowest-scoring team managed a season-worst 157 yards of total offense and lost backup QB A.J. Feeley to a broken thumb on his throwing hand. With starter Sam Bradford still hampered by a high ankle sprain, St. Louis may have to turn to untested Tom Brandstater, who has never played a down in the NFL. However, Bradford did participate in Saturday's workout. Running back Steven Jackson was limited to 42 yards in a 24-7 loss to the Seahawks last month.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (5-7): RB Marshawn Lynch has been the catalyst for the turnaround in Seattle, which has won three of its last four games. Lynch has ripped off four 100-yard games in the last five and has scored a touchdown in eight consecutive games. The only game in which he failed to reach 100 in the last five came against the Rams, when he went for 88 yards on 27 carries. Much-maligned QB Tarvaris Jackson had his best game in the 31-14 rout of the Eagles, going 13 of 16 for 190 yards and a TD.


- St. Louis is 3-13 against the spread in its last 16 games overall.
- Seattle is 6-2 against the spread in its last eight home games.
- The over is 5-0 in Seattle's last five home games.
- St. Louis is 1-8 against the spread in its last nine meetings with Seattle.


1. Lynch has rushed for 591 yards in the past five games, the most in the NFL.

2. Rams DE Chris Long has a six-game sack streak, collecting nine in that span.

3. In the last four meetings in Seattle, the Seahawks have outscored the Rams 114-25.

PREDICTION: Seahawks 27, Rams 10. St. Louis’ woes in the Pacific Northwest continue.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
12/12/2011 06:21 PM


Monday, December 12

Tale of the tape: St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-10, 36.5)


St. Louis’ offense remains up in the air with starting quarterback Sam Bradford and backup A.J. Feely both questionable and it’s not like the Rams were tearing it up to begin with. They picked up a season-low 157 yards in last week’s 26-0 loss to San Francisco and average only 11.7 points per game this year.

Steven Jackson is normally the highlight of this offense and is averaging a career-high 4.6 yards per carry this season, but he has been held to just 41.6 rushing yards over the last three games.

Seattle’s offense also centers around its running back. Marshawn Lynch picked up just 261 rushing yards through his first six games of the year, but has rebounded to post an NFL-best 591 yards since Week 9. He went off for a season-high 148 yards and added a couple of touchdowns in last week’s win over Philadelphia.

Outside of Lynch, this offense isn’t anything to write home about either, averaging only 298.5 total yards per game (28th in the NFL).

Edge: Seahawks


Seattle’s pass defense ranks just 20th in the league, but is improving quickly. The Seahawks have picked off 10 passes in the last six games and are giving up about 220 passing yards per contest over that stretch. Meanwhile, the run defense held Frank Gore to just 59 yards on 22 attempts last week and normally allows only 103.7 rushing yards per game this season.

Chris Long is an immerging star for the Rams and sits tied for third in the league with 12 sacks, helping to hold St. Louis’ opposition to just 208.4 passing yards per game. However, the Rams still give up 24.7 points per game and have the worst rushing defense in the league, allowing 157.8 yards per game on the ground.

Edge: Seahawks

Special teams

St. Louis kicker Josh Brown has had a tough year, missing four of his 19 field goals with a long of 49 yards on the year, while Steven Hauschka has missed only three of his 21 attempts for Seattle with a long of 52 yards.

Seattle kick returner Leon Washington is a major weapon averaging 24.2 yards per attempt on kickoffs and 9.9 yards on punts. St. Louis’ Quinn Porter averages 22.2 yards per kickoff return but his longest return of the year went for just 32 yards.

Edge: Seahawks

Word on the street

"When a guy like that is working that hard and you know what he can do, if we get on our guys and stay on them he's going to do the rest of the work. He gives us a spark, and he doesn't need much." – Seattle left guard Robert Gallery told the team's official website about Lynch.

“While we are in their stadium it’s going to be really loud, so we’re going to help out and make sure that we try to calm down their pass rush. Got to keep those guys guessing.” - St. Louis running back Steven Jackson about the club’s game plan in Seattle.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
12/12/2011 06:23 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
12/11/11 15-­13-­0 53.57% +­350 Detail
12/08/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
12/05/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
12/04/11 15-­13-­0 53.57% +­350 Detail
12/01/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
Totals 31-­31-­0 50.00% -­1550

Monday, December 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

St. Louis - 8:30 PM ET Seattle -10 500

Seattle - Under 36.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
12/12/2011 06:25 PM

Monday’s betting tips: Bradford still questionable

Who’s hot

NFL: Seattle is 8-2 against the spread in its last 10 games on fieldturf.

NHL: New Jersey is 19-7 in its last 26 meetings with Tampa Bay.

NCAAB: The under is 4-0 in Fordham’s last four road games.

NCAAB: Arkansas-Little Rock is 7-3-1 against the spread in its last 11.

Who’s not

NFL: St. Louis is 1-7 against the spread in its last eight road games.

NHL: The under is 0-4 in Tampa Bay’s last four home games.

NCAAB: Oregon is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight overall.

NCAAB: Siena is 6-19-2 against the spread in its last 27 home games.

Key stat

5 – The Seattle Seahawks have rushed for at least 100 yards in five straight games, which is only the second time they’ve managed to do that in the last 15 years. Seattle faces a Rams defense that ranks last in the league against the run, allowing 157.8 points per game.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams - St. Louis Rams quarterback Sam Bradford practiced Saturday for the first time this week and could be in line to start Monday night's game against the Seattle Seahawks. Bradford has missed a pair of games with a high ankle sprain, suffered against Green Bay on Oct. 16. Backup quarterback A.J. Feeley is also out with a fractured right thumb. Third-string quarterback Tom Brandstater, who has never taken a snap in an NFL game, could be in line to make the start. He split snaps during Friday's practice with newly signed Kellen Clemens, who was claimed off waivers from the Houston Texans.

Game of the day

St. Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks (-10, 36.5)

Notable quotable

"You've got to go back to basics. It's not about the plays. It's about grinding it out and getting ugly." – Tampa Bay Lightning coach Guy Boucher on his club’s recent skid. The Lightning have dropped six of their last seven games.

Notes and tips

Cincinnati suspended four players for their roles in a brawl that ended their lopsided loss to Xavier. Yancy Gages, Octavius Ellis and Cheikh Mbodj were handed six-game suspensions and Ge'Lawn Guyn is banned for one contest. The punishments include the NCAA's automatic one-game suspensions that result for ejections from fighting. The Bearcats are back in action Wednesday at Wright State.

The Auburn Tigers have suspended sophomore running back Michael Dyer for the upcoming Chick-fil-A Bowl game against Virginia for violating team rules. Dyer, who was the offensive MVP of last year’s BCS title game, rushed for 1,242 yards and 10 touchdowns this season – second in the SEC. Backup running back Onterio McCalebb will take over as the Tigers' top rushing option. He rushed for 532 yards and four touchdowns this year. Auburn currently sits as a 1.5-point favorite.

Boston Bruins captain Zdeno Chara is expected to miss at least three games with a leg injury, the Boston Globe reported on Sunday. The towering blue-liner suffered the injury during Saturday's game against the Columbus Blue Jackets. He appeared to hurt his leg after getting locked up with Antoine Vermette of the Blue Jackets. Chara had put Boston ahead with a power-play goal in the first minute of the second period. He has six goals and 13 assists on the season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
12/12/2011 06:26 PM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Matt Leinart's injury saved the Texans' season; TJ Yates is lot better than the USC lefty. Now Houston might have to sit Yates out as they prepare for the playoffs; who would've ever thought that?

-- Falcons' coach Mike Smith had chest pains after Atlanta's win over the Panthers and spent the night in Charlotte. He is supposed to return to Atlanta Monday. These coaches are under a lot of stress.

-- Chicago-Denver game was just second NFL game this year that was scoreless at the half, Giants-Patriots being the other.

-- Three of NFL's six oldest defensive backs play for the Broncos.

-- Murray State is 10-0 after winning at Memphis, third C-USA team they've beaten this year. Racers don't play a team ranked higher than #181 the rest of the season, so they'll still have to win OVC tourney.

-- Tim McCarver got into the Hall of Fame as a broadcaster? They have to stop giving that award every year; they've run out of candidates who deserve to be chosen. Now its just a lifetime achievement award.


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend........

13) Tim Tebow was 3-16 passing in the first three quarters against Bears Sunday; after that, he was 18-24, rallying Denver from a 10-0 deficit in the last 3:00 to beat Chicago in OT, providing FOX with more great TV ratings. Why does he play so much better late in the game?

12) Wouldn't be surprised if Cincinnati-Xavier rivalry took a year or two off after Saturday's brawl-filled debacle; either that, or put the game in the arena downtown instead of the on-campus gyms. Game has to be a huge moneymaker, so its hard to put it on ice, but can't have stuff going on that went on Saturday. Would also be nice if players showed some maturity.

11) Its too bad for the Atlantic 14, which had a big weekend, as Temple beat Villanova, Xavier won their game, St Joe's beat Creighton and Saint Louis coach Rick Majerus won his 500th career game, but no one noticed after what could have turned into a much uglier incident than it was.

10) How about the Houston Texans, who led for only 4:59 at Cincinnati Sunday, but scored winning TD with 0:02 left and clinched first division title when the Saints won at Tennessee? Wade Phillips turned a porous defense into a team strength. Do they have an award for the best assistant coach in the NFL? Phillips would get it this season.

9) Indiana's dramatic win over Kentucky was great theater Saturday, but they've got to provide better security for the visiting team. Very lucky no one got hurt with so many students rushing the floor.

8) Minnesota was -6 in turnovers and still had the ball on the 1-yard line to win on the last play in Detroit; Vikings ran ball for 269 yards but lost. Two of Detroit's four TDs were scored by the defense. Still puzzled as to how the officials missed the facemask penalty on the last play, but the Lions got a big break and a much-needed win.

7) Wisconsin soph Ben Brust was 7-7 behind the arc Saturday as he led the Badgers to a 62-51 win over a good UNLV team in Madison. Not too often anyone goes 7-7 from the foul line, much less behind the arc.

6) 49ers' loss in Arizona puts them in a tie with New Orleans for the #2 seed in the NFC, but Niners have one less conference loss right now, so they own the tie-breaker. 49ers play Pittsburgh next Monday night, and close with division rivals Seattle/St Louis.

5) ACC is down to #5 conference in college hoop so far this season, little unusual. Mountain West passed the Pac-12 this week, too, moving into the #6 spot. Down year for the Pac-12, except Arizona/Washington.

4) Football is an emotional game; its amazing there aren't more blowups on the sidelines between players/coaches like the one between Patriots' offensive coordinator Bill O'Brien and Tom Brady Sunday. Problem for the Patriots is that there is ton of pressure on the offense to score because their defense isn't very good. I mean, they already had 34 points when the big blowup happened. 34 points should be enough to win.

3) Villanova is just 5-4 and is going to struggle to make NCAA tourney in March; Wildcats lost 78-67 to Temple Saturday. They're just not good.

2) Favorites are 6-9 vs spread this week; home teams are 8-7, the over is 8-6-1. Six teams scored defensive TD's; all of them won except Buffalo, which also gave one up to the Chargers.

1) My friend John e-mailed Sunday to clue me in that while the Alabama-LSU bowl game is a pick 'em, other seven SEC bowl teams are all favored to win their games. Not much doubt which college league is best.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:32869 Followers:38
12/12/2011 06:28 PM


Fordham at Siena
The Saints look to take advantage of a Fordham team that is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games as a road underdog of 7 to 12 1/2 points. Siena is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Siena (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's games.


Game 741-742: Fordham at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 39.794; Siena 53.588
Dunkel Line: Siena by 14; 133
Vegas Line: Siena by 7 1/2; 128 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Siena (-7 1/2); Over

Game 743-744: Portland State at Oregon (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 46.473; Oregon 60.113
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 13 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: Oregon by 14 1/2; 145
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+14 1/2); Under

Game 751-752: Oral Roberts at Arkansas-Little Rock (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oral Roberts 58.802; Arkansas-Little Rock 50.425
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 8 1/2; 128
Vegas Line: Oral Roberts by 7; 131
Dunkel Pick: Oral Roberts (-7); Under

Long Sheet

Monday, December 12


FORDHAM (3 - 5) at SIENA (3 - 6) - 12/12/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FORDHAM is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
FORDHAM is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
FORDHAM is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
SIENA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
SIENA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SIENA is 0-11 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.


PORTLAND ST (5 - 3) at OREGON (5 - 2) - 12/12/2011, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-0 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-0 straight up against PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


ORAL ROBERTS (6 - 3) at ARK-LITTLE ROCK (3 - 7) - 12/12/2011, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORAL ROBERTS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 1-1 against the spread versus ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 2-1 straight up against ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 12

Siena lost six of its last seven games. Saints allowed 60 or less points in its three wins, by 9-12-4 points. Fordham is 3-5 this year, 4-22 in last 26 games overall; they're 0-4 away from home, losing by 25-14-34-15 points. Fordham allowed 78+ points in four of five losses, three teams they beat were all ranked #237 (Siena is #219). Atlantic 14 road dogs are 21-17, 14-13 if spread is single digits. MAAC home favorites are 2-4.

Oregon won five of last six games, but defections have thinned its roster; their last three wins are by 7-5-4 points; Ducks beat Portland State LY, 68-49. Vikings are 0-3 on road, losing by 8-14-6 points, with Denver, Wyoming two best teams they've played. Best team Portland State beat is #222 Seattle. Pac-12 double digit home favorites are 10-16 vs spread. Big Sky double digit road underdogs are 9-7. Portland State is the worst 3-point shooting team in America, making 19.4% behind arc. Yikes.

Ark-Little Rock won three of last four games vs Oral Roberts, losing by 26 in Tulsa in first meeting LY; UALR lost its last six games vs teams in D-I, losing games vs top 100 teams by 16-22-8 points. Oral Roberts is 6-1 in last seven games, losing by 14 at Oklahoma last game; Titans lost by 7 at West Virginia in their other road game. Sun Belt single digit home underdogs are 7-4 vs spread. ORU is ranked #12 on offensive boards.


Monday, December 12

Trend Report

7:00 PM
Fordham is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Siena is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Siena is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

7:30 PM
No trends available
Rutgers is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Rutgers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
No trends available
Louisiana-Monroe is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Nicholls State
Louisiana-Monroe is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
No trends available
Arkansas-Little Rock is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

8:05 PM
No trends available
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

10:00 PM
Portland State is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Portland State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oregon
Oregon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland State
Oregon is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home



Monday, December 12

College funds: Monday's best NCAAB bet

Portland State at Oregon (-14.5, 145)

Oregon seeks to remain unbeaten at home when Portland State buses down Interstate 5 for Monday’s game in Eugene. The Ducks are 4-0 at home after defeating Fresno State on Saturday and won’t play on the road again until opening Pac-12 play at Washington State on Dec. 29.

Portland State had a three-game winning streak snapped Saturday when it lost at Utah Valley. The Vikings are 0-3 on the road, having previously lost at Denver and Wyoming. The Vikings had their worst defensive effort of the season in the 93-87 loss to Utah Valley. Portland State hadn’t allowed more than 69 points until that loss.

The Ducks shot a season-best 56.3 percent in Saturday’s 74-70 victory over Fresno State.

We think the spread's a little inflated for this rivalry game even though the home side is clearly playing better right now.

Pick: Portland State +14.5

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: