cnotes Posts:33141 Followers:38
On 11/21/2011 06:06 PM in NCAA Basketball

Cnotes Monday's NCAAB + NHL Best Bets !

Mid-Major Report

November 16, 2011

Since 1999 when it advanced to the Elite Eight to begin a 13-year run of NCAA Tournament appearances that’s still alive today, Gonzaga has set the standard when it comes to college basketball success among ‘mid-major’ programs.

But with all due respect to Mark Few’s program, Butler has eclipsed its accomplishments with back-to-back runner-up finishes in the NCAA finals. Also, Virginia Commonwealth made it to the Final Four last season and Davidson got all the way to the 2008 Midwest Regional finals before missing a potential game-winning shot at the buzzer against eventual-champ Kansas.

In other words, we have more teams to discuss than Gonzaga in terms of mid-major contenders. Nevertheless, we’ll start with Few’s bunch that always plays the nation’s most challenging non-conference schedule.

The ‘Zags are off to a 2-0 start with wins over Eastern Washington (77-69) and Washington State (89-81), but they failed to cover the number as double-digit favorites in both contests.

Gonzaga usually uses frequent-flyer miles galore in November and December, but that’s not the case nearly as much this year. The Bulldogs play at Illinois (Dec. 3) and at Xavier on New Year’s Eve, but they’ll take on most of their non-conference slate at home. Teams like Notre Dame (Nov. 30), Michigan St. (Dec. 10), Arizona (Dec. 17) and Butler (Dec. 20) will travel to Spokane.

Butler captured its first win of the year on Nov. 15, knocking off Chattanooga by a 57-46 count as a 13 ½-point home favorite. The Bulldogs fell to 0-2 ATS after also failing to hook up their backers in a season-opening 80-77 overtime loss at Evansville.

Brad Stevens’s squad lost three of its best players in Matt Howard (16.6 points per game), Shelvin Mack (16.0 PPG) and Shawn Vanzant. Andrew Smith, a six-foot 10-inch sophomore center, has all the makings of becoming a premier player. He scored 16 points and pulled down 10 rebounds against the Moccasins.

Another sophomore big man, forward Khyle Marshall, is expecting to make a big jump in 2011-2012 after playing outstanding in last year’s Tournament, especially in the second half against Florida. Chase Stigall, Ronald Nored and Chrishawn Hopkins will often be on the court together to compose a 3-guard lineup.

Nored might be the country’s best on-the-ball defender along the perimeter, but his lack of a perimeter jumper often limits his offensive impact. Stigall is a streaky 3-point shooter that needs to have a big season.

Stevens will lead his team into the following non-conference games: vs. Louisville (Nov. 19), at Indiana (Nov. 27), vs. Xavier (Dec. 7), vs. Purdue (in Indianapolis on Dec. 17), at Gonzaga (Dec. 20) and at Stanford (Dec. 22).

Akron is a team that really caught my eye with its 78-68 win at Mississippi St. as a nine-point underdog. The Zips have all the ingredients needed to pulla first-round upset in the NCAA Tournament. For starters, they have a pair of solid ‘bigs,’ including one of the country’s best shot blockers in Zeke Marshall, who forced Arnett Moultrie into a 2-for-13 shooting performance while swatting away five shots.

Keith Dambrot’s team has experienced guards that take care of the basketball and get after it defensively. He employs a nine-man rotation that includes Xavier transfer Brian Walsh, junior forward Quincy Diggs, who had a team-high 19 points at The Hump, and a pair of impact freshmen in Nick Harney and Demetrius Treadwell.

I think bettors would be wise to keep an eye on the Zips, who will probably be an attractive underdog spot Nov. 28 at West Virginia.

Then again, maybe Akron won’t be too healthy an underdog in Morgantown. We say that because fellow MAC contender, Kent State, beat the Mountaineers by double digits on Nov. 15 as a nine-point road underdog.

Belmont is another school we’ll most likely be reminded of again on Selection Sunday. The Bruins return nine of 11 key players from last year’s 30-win team and they gave Duke a scare in a 77-76 loss at Cameron Indoor Stadium in their season opener. Belmont wasn’t quite as competitive on Nov. 15 when Memphis pulled away late for a 97-81 victory.

Unfortunately for everyone, Belmont doesn’t have anymore attractive games remaining with the possible exception for a BracketBuster matchup in February.

Harvard and Princeton are poised to engage in another memorable fight for the Ivy League’s NCAA bid. The Tigers needed a buzzer-beater in a tiebreaker game to prevent the Crimson from earning its first NCAA bid since 1946.

Harvard returns its entire roster, while Princeton has a new coach in alum Mitch Henderson and eight of its top-10 scorers back.

Tommy Amaker’s squad plays at UConn on Dec. 8 and will try to win at Boston College for a second straight season on Dec. 29. Harvard also hosts St. Joseph’s and George Washington from out of the A-10.

Princeton nearly pulled a stunning first-round upset of Kentucky last year in the NCAA Tourney’s opening round, but it got off to an inauspicious start a few days ago when it lost at home to Wagner by 16. The Tigers’ non-conference slate includes these matchups: at North Carolina St. (Nov. 16), at Rutgers (Dec. 7), at Siena (Dec. 22) and at Florida State (Dec. 30).

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--The hot seat for LSU’s Trent Johnson became warmer Nov. 15 when Coastal Carolina won a 71-63 decision over the Tigers. The same can be said for Darrin Horn at South Carolina after losing 58-53 at Elon College.

--Saint Mary’s is another mid-major that’s become prominent in recent years, as Randy Bennett has done an excellent job, particularly with his recruitment of foreign players. The Gaels thumped Northern Iowa, a Sweet 16 team two seasons ago, in one of ESPN’s late-night games during its Tip-Off Marathon.

--UCF second-year head coach Donnie Jones, who held the same post at Marshall and served under Billy Donovan at Florida as an assistant for a decade, has been suspended for the first three games of the season amid an NCAA probe. The same investigation resulted in the resignation of UCF AD Keith Tribble last week.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33141 Followers:38
11/21/2011 06:08 PM

Deep field again at Maui Invitational

November 20, 2011

LAHAINA, Hawaii (AP) - The eight coaches sat at a table perched on soft grass, leis around their necks, palms swaying above their heads, the Pacific Ocean crashing behind.

When it comes to settings for a basketball tournament, it doesn't get much better than the Maui Invitational.

The basketball figures to be just as good.

A tournament known for its beautiful surroundings and deep fields, the Maui Invitational could be on the verge of one-upping itself as the pre-eminent holiday hoops tournament with seven teams coming off NCAA Tournament appearances and a field that's combined for 20 national championships.

``That's the reason it's been such a great tournament because they've always had great fields,'' Duke coach Mike Krzyzewski said Sunday, just a few yards from picturesque Kaanapali Beach. ``This one measures up to any of the others in the past.''

After a so-so field in 2009, the Maui Invitational was back in full force last year with a bracket that included some of college basketball's best programs and coaches. Connecticut won the title behind one-man gang Kemba Walker, a win in paradise that served as a warm-up to the Huskies' national title in Houston.

This year's tournament has a chance to be even better.

There's No. 6 Duke, the four-time Maui champions who are 12-0 under Krzyzewski at the tournament. Josh Pastner returns to the Maui Invitational for the first time as a coach, leading 10th-ranked Memphis after playing and serving as an assistant coach for Arizona in two previous trips here.

No. 12 Kansas, a three-time NCAA champion, is back in Maui for the first time since 2005 with a talented but inexperienced team.

No. 17 Michigan, which won a national championship in 1989, is back in Maui after a 13-year absence with a team that returns four starters and 12 players from a team that brought the buzz back to the program last season.

UCLA has the deepest resume with 11 national titles and the 2006 Maui title, but is looking to bounce back after two ugly losses to open a season that started with high expectations.

Throw in Tennessee, Georgetown and upset-specialist Chaminade, the tournament host, and it could be an entertaining three days at quaint Lahaina Civic Center.

``There's so much talent, there's so many good players from each of these teams represented here, and obviously well-coached,'' said UCLA coach Ben Howland, whose team opens with Chaminade. ``It's very exciting. It's always the best tournament in the country this time every year.''

The list of coaches is impressive.

Krzyzewski has won four national titles and passed mentor Bobby Knight last week to become the winningest Division I men's coach. Bill Self earned a national title with Kansas in 2008 and has won 83 percent of his games in nine seasons in Lawrence. Howland took UCLA to the Final Four three straight seasons. With Michigan's John Beilein, Georgetown's John Thompson III and Tennessee's Cuonzo Martin, six of the eight coaches have combined to win over 2,600 games.

Pastner is considered one of the nation's best young coaches and Chaminade's Eric Bovaird takes over a program that shocked the basketball world by beating mighty Virginia and Ralph Sampson in 1982 in Hawaii.

``It's an honor just to be here with all these great coaches,'' said Bovaird, who initially turned down the job at Chaminade before taking it.

The players, as you might expect with teams like these, include some of the best in the country.

The list includes six on the preseason Wooden Award watch list: Will Barton and Joe Jackson of Memphis, UCLA's Joshua Smith and Reeves Nelson, Michigan's Tim Hardaway Jr. and Thomas Robinson of Kansas.

Duke has the Plumlee brothers, Seth Curry and Austin Rivers, considered by most recruiting services to be the top incoming freshman for 2011-12. Georgetown returns a pair of good scorers in Hollis Thompson and senior guard Jason Clark, and Tennessee has five players averaging double figures in its first season under Martin, the former Missouri State coach who took over for Bruce Pearl after an NCAA investigation.

``It's no secret that you need great players performing well to win,'' Krzyzewski said.

With so many good teams, there are no real letups, no chances for teams to coast into the next round.

The tournament gets started Monday morning with Michigan facing Memphis in a matchup of Top 25 teams. Duke opens with Tennessee, while Kansas and Georgetown play each other in the first round.

UCLA doesn't figure to have it easy with Chaminade in its opener, either. Picked as the favorites to win the Pac-12, the Bruins opened the season with double-digit losses to mid-majors and are facing a team that relishes the underdog role on its home turf.

``The competition is fierce,'' Howland said.

Perhaps more this year than any other.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33141 Followers:38
11/21/2011 06:10 PM

Duke and Tennessee clash in Maui



Maui Invitational – First Round – Maui, HI
Tip-off: Tuesday, 5:35 p.m. EDT
Line: Duke -12, Total: 144.5

In the first round of the EA Sports Maui Invitational, Duke takes on an inexperienced Tennessee squad that has won its first two games of the season with a new coach, Cuonzo Martin.

Despite being 4-0 SU, the Blue Devils are just 1-3 ATS to start the season. But there are reasons for Duke fans to be encouraged. The biggest question for Blue Devils’ head coach Mike Krzyzewski this season has been in the frontcourt, which showed its skills against a talented Davidson crew of big men (Jake Cohen and De’Mon Brooks), with Mason Plumlee registering 16 points and 13 rebounds. Plumlee is averaging 12.3 PPG and 10.0 RPG this season. Duke is usually known for its sharp shooting, and this group can certainly stroke it, shooting 51% FG (23rd in nation) including an impressive 46.4% from three-point land. Additionally, the Blue Devils were 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in regular season tournaments last year, so play on DUKE to win and cover against a new coach in his first regular-season tournament.

These two highly-rated FoxSheets trends also like the Blue Devils on Monday.

Mike Krzyzewski is 43-23 ATS (65.2%, +17.7 Units) off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite as the coach of DUKE. The average score was DUKE 82.3, OPPONENT 65.4 - (Rating = 2*).

TENNESSEE is 20-44 ATS (31.3%, -28.4 Units) in all tournament games since 1997. The average score was TENNESSEE 71.7, OPPONENT 72.1 - (Rating = 2*).

Duke (4-0) has worlds of talent but is still struggling to use it effectively. Although the Blue Devils scored 82 points in their most recent outing against Davidson, they entered the half losing to their mid-major opponent and only registered 10 assists on their 29 field goals made. The key for them winning against Tennessee will be their post players remaining as efficient on the offensive end as they have been this season. Mason Plumlee, Miles Plumlee and Ryan Kelly are a combined 44-of-74 (60%) from the field so far this season, which has created good looks for Seth Curry and Andre Dawkins who have combined to make 19-of-38 three-point attempts.

Tennessee is 2-0 (SU and ATS) so far, winning by 29 points over UNC-Greensboro and beating Louisiana-Monroe by 23 points. Like Duke, the Vols know how to shoot the rock (53% FG, 49% three-point FG). They have relied on perimeter play from Trae Golden (23.0 PPG) who has nailed six treys through two games with 20 assists and just five turnovers. However, Tennessee has only one returning starter from last year and is void of the talent and size in the post to defend against the efficient Duke crew. Until the Volunteers prove they can defeat a big-conference squad with legitimate post players, play against them in major matchups.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33141 Followers:38
11/21/2011 06:11 PM

Memphis and Michigan open Maui Invitational Monday



Maui Invitational – First Round – Maui, HI
Tip-off: Monday, 3:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Memphis -6, Total: 131

College basketball’s preseason tournament season kicks into full swing when Michigan and Memphis tip off the Maui Invitational on Monday afternoon.

Michigan hasn’t been tested yet this year, pounding on Ferris State and Towson before barely squeaking by a Western Illinois team that went 2-16 in the Summit League a year ago. A lot of people thought Memphis would be caught off-guard by a very good Belmont team in their opener, but they won comfortably, 97-81. Dating back to last year, the Tigers have won five in a row ATS, and they have the clear edge in talent in this matchup. MEMPHIS, which was a perfect 3-0 (SU and ATS) in regular-season tournament games last year, is the pick here.

The FoxSheets have a three-star trend backing the Tigers:

Play Against - Neutral court teams (MICHIGAN) - good defensive team from last season - allowed 64 or less points/game, after allowing 30 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games. (73-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.9%, +36.7 units. Rating = 3*).

The Wolverines will try to slow things down in this one. They’re one of the slowest-tempo teams in the nation, which is what allows them to stay close against superior talent. While they went just 1-9 SU against ranked teams a year ago, they were 8-2 ATS in those games and lost by five or less, or went to overtime, in six of those nine losses.

They’re still trying to find their way without star point guard Darius Morris, who left for the NBA. Tim Hardaway Jr. (14.3 PPG) is a legitimate lead scorer, but he’s the only double-digit scorer returning from last year’s team. Michigan relies heavily on the three-pointer (they’ve already attempted 73 through three games), but the Wolverines are shooting just 30% from behind the arc so far this year. They are also shooting a subpar 43% FG and a horrific 58% from the free-throw line, and have 38 assists to 34 turnovers as a team.

Memphis blitzed Belmont in their opener, shooting 59% from the field, with talented-but-erratic swingman Wesley Witherspoon making all eight of his shots from the field, including three threes, en route to 22 points. The backcourt tandem of Joe Jackson (20 points) and Will Barton (23) was nearly unguardable, getting to the line a combined 23 times in the win over Belmont. They’ll present difficult matchups across the board for the Wolverines.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33141 Followers:38
11/21/2011 06:12 PM

Kansas-Georgetown square off Monday in Maui



Maui Invitational – First Round – Maui, HI
Tip-off: Monday, 11:59 p.m. EDT
Line: Kansas -5, Total: 139.5

Kansas and Georgetown both have something to prove when they wrap up Day 1 at the Maui Invitational Monday night.

Both teams are considered to be relatively down this season. After losing their top three scorers, Kansas was beaten by 10 on a neutral court by Kentucky, and Georgetown is trying to replace their top two players from last year’s team with a middling recruiting class. The Jayhawks should be better prepared for this one after their game with Kentucky, and they have an edge in the frontcourt with power forward Thomas Robinson and shot-blocking 7-footer Jeff Withey. This will be the Hoyas’ first real test of the year, and they finished last season in awful fashion. Georgetown lost six of their final seven SU, and dropped all seven of those games ATS. KANSAS is the pick.

The FoxSheets have a three-star trend centered on head coach Bill Self that bodes well for the Jayhawks:

Self is 37-13 ATS (74.0%, +22.7 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in all games he has coached since 1997. The average score was Self 76.1, OPPONENT 64.7 - (Rating = 3*).

Georgetown scored a couple of easy victories over Savannah State and UNC-Greensboro to start off the year, hitting 54.2% of their shots and 40.5% of their threes along the way. Junior swingman Hollis Thompson, the team’s leading returning scorer, is averaging 16.0 PPG in just 21.5 minutes per game because neither game was competitive so far. The Hoyas are also getting big contributions from senior center Henry Sims (13.5 PPG, 6.5 RPG, 4.0 APG), who was a bit player in his first three seasons.

After trouncing Towson State 100-54 in the opener, the Jayhawks struggled against Kentucky, shooting just 33.9% from the field in a 75-65 loss. Robinson got into foul trouble, fouling out after another double-double. The one positive was the aggressiveness of senior point guard Tyshawn Taylor, considered an underachiever coming into the year. Taylor shot just 3-for-13 from the field, but got to the line frequently (15-for-17) en route to 22 points. With his quickness, he has a chance to be the catalyst of the Jayhawks’ offense.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33141 Followers:38
11/21/2011 06:14 PM

Ohio seeks 5th straight win hosting Miami Ohio


Kickoff: Tuesday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Ohio -7.5

Ohio University goes for its fifth straight win on Tuesday when it hosts a Miami Ohio team coming off two consecutive three-point losses.

The Bobcats have won the past five meetings (SU and ATS) with their in-state rival RedHawks, beating them by an average of 15.2 PPG during this series streak. Ohio has won these games by out-rushing Miami by a whopping margin of 1,159 to 415 over this five-game span, which averages out to 232 to 83 YPG. Bobcats star RB Donte Harden has done a good chunk of this damage with 183 yards (8.3 YPC) and 4 TD in two career games against the RedHawks. And considering Miami ranks last in all of FBS in rushing offense (75 YPG), it makes sense to expect this rushing discrepancy to continue. The pick here is for OHIO to win and cover.

This FoxSheets coaching trend also supports the Bobcats.

Frank Solich is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of OHIO. The average score was OHIO 31.8, OPPONENT 22.0 - (Rating = 2*).

The RedHawks do not usually have success running the football, gaining just 117 yards on 54 carries (2.2 YPC) in the past two games. But QB Zac Dysert is no slouch, averaging 291 total YPG, third-most in the MAC. Dysert’s arm has really gotten a workout in the past five games, completing 126-of-172 passes (73%) for 1,638 yards (328 YPG), 15 TD and 6 INT. Dysert has struggled in his career against Ohio, throwing for 498 yards, 2 INT and 6 INT in two meetings. But WR Nick Harwell had a monster game against the Bobcats last year, catching 11 passes for 219 yards. Harwell has also been unreal in his past two games, grabbing 29 passes for 367 yards and 5 TD. Considering Ohio has allowed 594 passing yards in the past two weeks, Harwell should have another big night. Dysert has suffered from poor pass protection all year, as Miami has allowed the second-most sacks in the nation at 3.8 per game.

On defense, Miami has been much better since Toledo hung 49 on them in late October. The RedHawks are allowing just 16.0 PPG in the four games since. Miami’s pass defense has been very good (194 YPG, 25th in nation), but its run defense has been porous at times, allowing 163 YPG (68th in FBS).

Ohio ranks 20th in the country in rushing yards (211 YPG), but it can also throw the ball with QB Tyler Tettleton. The sophomore has thrown for 2,665 yards (242 YPG), and at least one touchdown in each of his 11 games this season. He has also scored a rushing touchdown in four straight games, giving him a total of 31 TD (23 passing, 8 INT), and only six interceptions this season. Senior WR LaVon Brazill had his four-game streak of 100+ receiving yards snapped last week at Bowling Green, but he still caught his 10th TD pass of the season.

Defensively, the Bobcats are pretty sound (343 YPG, 31st in nation) despite just 1.4 sacks per game (102nd in FBS). They created three Bowling Green turnovers last week, and will look to attack a Miami offense that has 12 giveaways in the past six games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33141 Followers:38
11/21/2011 06:16 PM


Monday, November 21

College funds: Monday's best NCAAB bets

Michigan Wolverines at Memphis Tigers (-4)

It wasn’t pretty, but the Michigan Wolverines did take some positives away from a 59-55 squeaker of a win over Western Illinois.

"We needed a game like that, to kind of wake us up a little bit," Jordan Morgan told reporters. "Not just wake us up -- get used to playing in those situations where we've got to knock down free throws late, and we've got to get key stops and key baskets. We needed to feel that pressure."

They need to get a lot better in a lot of different aspects of the game if they’re going to hang around with Memphis at the Maui Invitational. Will Barton, Wesley Witherspoon and Joe Jackson all cracked the 20-point plateau in Memphis’ 97-81 beatdown of Belmont as a 3-point favorite to open the season.

We haven’t seen much of Memphis yet, but it’s not hard to see what a tough team this is going to be. The Tigers’ length and athleticism could be tough for Michigan to match.

Pick: Memphis

Georgetown Hoyas at Kansas Jayhawks (-5)

Kansas coach Bill Self has no illusions about his club at this point in the season. The Jayhawks have potential, but they were in over their heads in a 75-65 loss against Kansas last week as 6.5-point underdogs.

"If you look at our team individually, we don't jump off the paper at you at all," Self told reporters. "That doesn't mean we don't have good players. We do, but not like we have from the marquee standpoint in the past. You have to become one, and we're not one yet."

The Hoyas have a way to go as well, though you have to like the quick start they’re off to. Hollis Thompson and Jason Clark look poised in the offense and Georgetown’s crop of freshmen appear to be ready for a big workload this season.

The Hoyas covered easily as 19-point favorites in a 86-45 rout of UNC Greensboro but obviously have a much stiffer test ahead of them here.

Pick: Jayhawks

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33141 Followers:38
11/21/2011 06:17 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, November 21

Boston College is off to shaky start, losing to Holy Cross by 22, barely beating New Hampshire by 3; Eagles won eight of last nine games with UMass, winning last three by 4-12-5 points. UMass is 3-0 with decisive wins over Elon/Northeastern- they scored 84 ppg in those games. ACC teams are 3-5 vs spread when number is 6 or less; A-14 teams are 9-5.

Pepperdine pulled 66-60 upset at Arizona State, then somehow lost to Cal-Bakersfield in next game; Waves lead country, making 61.5% from arc in first three games. MAC road teams are 0-5 vs spread when number is 6 or less points. Pepperdine is picked #8 in 9-team WCC; Chippewas are picked #3 in their half of MAC. Central Michigan lost first game vs D-I foe in double OT to Charlotte.

Memphis pulled away from good Belmont team by 16 in it opener; they have have all five starters back from 25-10 team that was 10-6 in C-USA LY. Michigan allowed 51 ppg in winning by 17-4 point vs pair of stiff D-I teams. Wolverines have new PG, have other four starters back from LY's 21-12 team that went 9-9 in Big 11- they're #4 pick this year. Big Dozen road teams are 6-2 vs spread if spread is less than 5 points.

Tennessee lost four starters and its coach from 19-15 team that was 8-8 in SEC; Vols allowed 62.5 ppg in waxing couple of stiffs by 29-23, but they don't force as many turnovers as under Pearl, which could be issue vs Duke team that doesn't have real PG, but they're shooting 46% from arc and they get to foul line a lot. SEC underdogs are 4-1 against spread. ACC favorites are 5-5.

Georgetown crushed couple of cupcakes to open its season; Hoyas lost three starters from 21-11 team that was 10-8 in Big East LY- now they step up in class, play Kansas team that is younger/thinner than usual, but is still picked to win Big X. Jayhawks' three starting guards made just 8-30 from floor in 75-65 loss to Kentucky; Taylor was 15-17 from line though. Kansas shot 34% from floor, forced 19 turnovers.

NC State's Leslie had 20 points off bench in his return from suspension, but Wolfpack put Vandy on line 33 times, made just 13-22 themelves, in 7-point loss where both teams shot 50%+. Texas lost to Oregon State in OT; guard Cunningham torched them for 37 points (20-23 from line), as Longhorns put OSU on line 43 times. ACC underdogs are 1-4 vs spread so far this season.

Oregon State abandoned 1-3-1 defense, is playing faster style and its off to good start, with Beavers beating Texas in OT and crushing Hofstra; OSU has four starters back from 11-20 team that was 5-13 in Pac-10 LY. Vanderbilt lost to Cleveland State but had solid win over NC State Saturday; they've got four of starters back from LY, with Ezili, the 5th starter, still suspended. SEC single digit favorites are 7-3.

Missouri has all five starters back from 23-11 team that was 8-8 in Big 12 LY; they've got new coach who will play slower pace. Tigers are off to 3-0 start, making 48% from arc, but haven't played anyone in top 200 yet. Notre Dame is 4-0 against cupcakes; they've got two starters back from 27-7 team that was 14-4 in league. Big X favorites of less than 15 points are 2-8-1 against the spread.

California has four starters back from 18-15 team that was 10-8 in league LY; Bears are off to 3-0 start, winning by 21-27-17 points, allowing 55 ppg. Georgia has two starters back from 23-12 team (9-7 in SEC), but they've got lot of young talent and are expected to be strong in the tough SEC East. Dawgs allowed 54.7 ppg in winning their first three games of season. Pac-12 single digit favorites are 3-5 vs spread.

Is it good to have four starters back from 6-25 team that was 3-15 in its league? Manhattan got crushed by Syracuse, then nipped Brown by 2, so they're struggling under new coach Masiello. Fresno State has three starters back from LY's 14-17 team that was 6-10 in WAC; they've got new coach too,. Bulldogs allowed 52.7 ppg in winning two of last three games, beating SMU/Illinois State, losing to Stanford by 16.

St Bonaventure beat Cornell by 21, lost at good Cleveland State team by 3; Bonnies are making 61% of 2-point shots in first three games. Siena is 2-0 vs stiffs, allowing 54.5 ppg- they lost 82-79 to Bonnies LY. Saints have three starters back from LY's 13-18 team that was 8-10 in MAAC. A-14 road favorites are 8-4 against the spread. MAAC single digit road underdogs are 2-3 vs spread.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33141 Followers:38
11/21/2011 06:18 PM


Monday, November 21

Trend Report

1:00 PM
No trends available
Drexel is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Drexel's last 16 games

3:00 PM
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis's last 15 games
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
No trends available
Virginia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

5:00 PM
No trends available
George Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games

5:30 PM
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Duke's last 5 games
Duke is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

6:00 PM
No trends available
Florida International is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Florida International's last 17 games

6:30 PM
No trends available
Indiana is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games at home
Indiana is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games

6:30 PM
No trends available
Texas is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games

7:00 PM
No trends available
Rider is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Rider is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games at home

7:00 PM
Massachusetts is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Massachusetts is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston College
Boston College is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Massachusetts
Boston College is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Massachusetts

7:00 PM
No trends available
Butler is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Butler's last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
No trends available
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games

7:00 PM
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. Bonaventure's last 13 games on the road
St. Bonaventure is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Siena is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Siena is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Bonaventure

7:00 PM
Wright State is 7-16-2 ATS in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wright State's last 7 games on the road
Florida is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games
Florida is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

7:00 PM
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games

7:00 PM
No trends available
Chattanooga is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Chattanooga is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:05 PM
Wisc-Green Bay is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Indiana State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Indiana State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

7:05 PM
No trends available
The Citadel is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The Citadel is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games at home

7:30 PM
No trends available
Missouri is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
Austin Peay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Bowling Green is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
Bowling Green is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

7:30 PM
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Brown's last 8 games on the road
Brown is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of George Mason's last 5 games
George Mason is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Mississippi State is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games at home
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
No trends available
Toledo is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games

8:00 PM
Miami (Ohio) is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Miami (Ohio) is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
No trends available

8:00 PM
No trends available
Minnesota is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home
Minnesota is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games

8:15 PM
No trends available
Davidson is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
Davidson is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

8:30 PM
No trends available
Ohio State is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
Ohio State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

8:30 PM
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern Methodist's last 7 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
No trends available

8:30 PM
No trends available
Marquette is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

9:30 PM
No trends available
Colorado State is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Colorado State's last 9 games at home

9:45 PM
No trends available
Georgia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
No trends available
Pacific is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
Central Michigan is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Central Michigan's last 14 games on the road
Pepperdine is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pepperdine is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games

10:05 PM
No trends available
Portland State is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

11:59 PM
No trends available
Kansas is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games
Kansas is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33141 Followers:38
11/21/2011 06:19 PM


UL-Monroe at Mississippi State
The Warhawks look to take advantage of a Mississippi State team that is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games as a home favorite of 13 points or greater. UL-Monroe is the pick (+21) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by only 18 1/2. Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+21). Here are all of today's games.


Game 541-542: Massachusetts at Boston College (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 56.636; Boston College 55.008
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 1
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (-1 1/2)

Game 543-544: Wright State vs. Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 55.413; Florida 73.672
Dunkel Line: Florida by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 21
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (+21)

Game 545-546: WI-Green Bay at Indiana State (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 52.887; Indiana State 62.564
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-8 1/2)

Game 547-548: UL-Monroe at Mississippi State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 43.880; Mississippi State 62.299
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 18 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 21
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+21)

Game 549-550: Central Michigan at Pepperdine (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 47.195; Pepperdine 49.679
Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 5
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+5)

Game 551-552: Drexel vs. Winthrop (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 58.145; Winthrop 46.695
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 8
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-8)

Game 553-554: Virginia vs. Drake (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 62.783; Drake 56.283
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia by 8
Dunkel Pick: Drake (+8)

Game 555-556: TCU vs. Mississippi (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 51.672; Mississippi 59.728
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 557-558: Norfolk State vs. Marquette (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 48.684; Marquette 74.092
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 25 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 559-560: Michigan vs. Memphis (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 61.061; Memphis 69.120
Dunkel Line: Memphis by 8; 136
Vegas Line: Memphis by 6; 131
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-6); Over

Game 561-562: Tennessee vs. Duke (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 63.213; Duke 76.063
Dunkel Line: Duke by 13; 141
Vegas Line: Duke by 11 1/2; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-11 1/2); Under

Game 563-564: UCLA at Chaminade (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 55.326; Chaminade 44.108
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 11; 132
Vegas Line: UCLA by 14; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chaminade (+14); Under

Game 565-566: Georgetown vs. Kansas (11:50 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgetown 69.620; Kansas 77.497
Dunkel Line: Kansas by 8; 145
Vegas Line: Kansas by 5; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-5); Over

Game 567-568: Detroit vs. George Washington (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 56.830; George Washington 55.932
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1
Vegas Line: Detroit by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Washington (+5 1/2)

Game 569-570: Austin Peay at Bowling Green (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 51.710; Bowling Green 53.075
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 3
Dunkel Pick: Austin Peay (+3)

Game 571-572: Niagara vs. South Dakota State (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Niagara 44.789; South Dakota State 55.807
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 11
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Dakota State (-9 1/2)

Game 573-574: Sam Houston State at Mercer (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sam Houston State 46.352; Mercer 59.055
Dunkel Line: Mercer by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Mercer by 10
Dunkel Pick: Mercer (-10)

Game 575-576: NC State vs. Texas (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 65.236; Texas 66.594
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1
Vegas Line: Texas by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NC State (+2 1/2)

Game 577-578: Vanderbilt vs. Oregon State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 64.980; Oregon State 57.099
Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 8
Vegas Line: Vanderbilt by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon State (+8 1/2)

Game 579-580: Notre Dame vs. Missouri (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 65.276; Missouri 71.580
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 6 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Missouri by 3 1/2; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-3 1/2); Under

Game 581-582: California vs. Georgia (9:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 69.796; Georgia 62.277
Dunkel Line: California by 7 1/2; 141
Vegas Line: California by 6 1/2; 132 1/2
Dunkel Pick: California (-6 1/2); Over

Game 583-584: Monmouth vs. Albany (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 40.164; Albany 45.705
Dunkel Line: Albany by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Albany by 7
Dunkel Pick: Monmouth (+7)

Game 585-586: Brown at George Mason (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 45.381; George Mason 63.372
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 18
Vegas Line: George Mason by 16
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-16)

Game 587-588: AR-Pine Bluff vs. Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: AR-Pine Bluff 41.174; Florida International 48.663
Dunkel Line: Florida International by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida International by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: AR-Pine Bluff (+8 1/2)

Game 589-590: SMU at Oral Roberts (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 51.357; Oral Roberts 64.102
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Oral Roberts by 11
Dunkel Pick: Oral Roberts (-11)

Game 591-592: Manhattan vs. Fresno State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 48.189; Fresno State 51.506
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Manhattan (+4 1/2)

Game 593-594: TX-San Antonio at Colorado State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 56.641; Colorado State 59.305
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 5
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+5)

Game 595-596: St. Bonaventure at Siena (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 58.183; Siena 50.777
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-5 1/2)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: