cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/18/2011 09:22 AM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 18

Puerto Rico tournament

Temple won its first two games by 6-14 points; they won 69-55 in first game here, holding Western Michigan to 35% from floor, while forcing 17 turnoveers. Owls are picked #2 in MAC; they've got four starters back from 26-8 team that was 14-2 in A-14. Purdue made 12-25 on arc and had just seven turnovers in 91-90 win Thursday. Interesting game that could have a bearing on what happens Selection Sunday.

Wichita State beat Alabama 66-57 in NIT finals last spring. Bama held Maryland to 27% from floor in 62-42 win yesterday; Tide was +16 on boards- they've allowed only 47.7 ppg in winning their first three games, by 20-17-20 points. Wichita State made 8-20 from arc, got to foul line only 8 times in 67-58 yesterday; Shockers have three starters back from 29-8 team that was 14-4 in Valley.

Maryland scored only 42 points in loss to Alabama yesterday, shooting 27% from floor, 14-25 from line; they lost three starters after a 19-14 year (7-9 ACC) LY. Colorado turned ball over 17 times, was minus-11 on boards yesterday- they lost 74% of scoring from LY, are picked to finish 10th in Pac-12. Pac-12 teams are 4-3-1 vs spread in games with single digit spread.

Charleston tournament

Tulsa won its first three games by 15-16-16 points, allowing 50.0 ppg; Hurricane held Western Kentucky to 27% from floor while putting them on line only seven times in easy win. Princeton offense is tough to prep for in a day, advantage for Northwestern squad that was 12-31 from arc vs LSU and whose best player played all 40 minutes Thursday, scoring 37 points. Wildcats had 10 offensive boards, a lot for them.

Seton Hall has only two upperclassmen as they rebuild; Pirates got 20 points from excellent guard Theodore in suprisingly easy win over VCU, as Pirates won despite getting no points in 43 minutes (0-3 FG) from their bench. St Joe's held first two opponents 27-37% from floor in winning first two games, by 11-13 points. A-14 teams are 8-4 vs spread in games with single-digit spread.

Coaches vs Cancer Tournament at Madison Square Garden

Middleton is out for Texas A&M, who turned ball over 16 times in loss to Miss State last night; Aggies also put State on line 31 times. St John's has home court edge, but has almost whole new team after LY's senior-laden group went 21-12. Red Storm won three of their first four games, scoring 76.5 ppg- last night was their first game in the Garden. Big X teams are 1-7 vs spread in games with single digit spread.

Mississippi State is 3-1, losing at home to Akron; their young guards gave them big spark in win over Texas A&M, and the talented transfer Moultrie from UTEP has been big help. Arizona won its first four games by 9-8-10-9 points- they made 14-29 from arc last night. Wildcats gave up an average of 65.3 ppg in those four wins. Bulldogs have older guys; if Sidney is effective playing second night in row, they'll be a handful.

Other games

Home team won last eight Ball State-Indiana State games; Cardinals lost last four visits here, by 1-1-11-5 points. Ball lost its opener at Arizona by 10, game they led by 9 at half, but were outscored 31-6 at foul line. Sycamores won their first two games, scoring 75 ppg. MAC underdogs are 7-3 vs spread, 4-2 on road. Indiana State is picked #3 in NVC; Ball State is picked #2 in its half of the MAC.

Home team won last five Miami-Xavier games; Red Hawks lost four of last five visits here, losing last three by 15-7-3 points. Musketeers won first two games by 11-23 points, allowing 63 points in both games. A-14 favorites are 10-5 vs spread this season, 4-2 at home. Miami forced 22 Dayton turnovers in upetting the Flyers in OT in its opener.

Veteran Cleveland State team won by 13 at Vanderbilt, holding Vandy to 35% from floor while forcing 20 turnovers; home side won the last three Cleveland-St Bonaventure contests, with Bonnies losing 69-51 here LY. Bonnies pounded Cornell its their opener- Nicholson might be best kid Bonnies have had since Bob Lanier 40 years ago. Vikings are picked #2 in Horizon, Bonnies are picked #7 in A-14, so they're getting better.

Home team won last two Akron-Valparaiso games; teams didn't play last year, but Zips lost here by 8 in '08, win by 20 at home next season. Zips already have win at talented Mississippi State; they've taken only 26 fouls hots in two games. Valpo lost by 9 at Arizona, beat Georgia Southern by 9; they're picked #5 in Horizon. Akron is picked second behind Kent State in their half of the MAC.

Arkansas now coached by Mike Anderson, so they're going to run and press for 40 minutes; Hogs/Houston used to be SWC rivals, but now are in different leagues. Hogs scored 87 ppg in winning first two games, with a 24-point win over Oakland. Houston scored 86 ppg in winning first two games, with 13-point win over Utah Valley. Double digit favorites from SEC are 2-4 against spread; C-USA road underdogs are 0-3.

Arizona State lost 76-62 in LY's opener at New Mexico; Sun Devils and Lobos both got upset at home in last game, with Lobos losing to in-state rival New Mexico State, shooting 28% with 20 turnovers- they miss the graduated PG Gary. Sun Devils lost 66-60 at home to Pepperdine, bad loss for team that finished last in Pac-10 LY. ASU shot 34%, and if you take away Lockett's 8-11, they made just 23.8% of their shots.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/18/2011 09:23 AM


St. Bonaventure at Cleveland State
The Bonnies look to build on their 13-3 ATS record in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 1 to 6 1/2 points. St. Bonaventure is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Vikings favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+6). Here are all of today's games.


Game 741-742: Ball State at Indiana State (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 53.768; Indiana State 60.097
Dunkel Line: Indiana State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Indiana State by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (-5 1/2)

Game 743-744: Delaware at Villanova (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 52.780; Villanova 63.709
Dunkel Line: Villanova by 11
Vegas Line: Villanova by 16
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (+16)

Game 745-746: UC-Riverside at Youngstown State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Riverside 49.725; Youngstown State 51.385
Dunkel Line: Youngstown State by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Youngstown State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UC-Riverside (+4 1/2)

Game 747-748: Arkansas-Little Rock at Eastern Michigan (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas-Little Rock 50.417; Eastern Michigan 55.201
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 5
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-1 1/2)

Game 749-750: St. Bonaventure at Cleveland State (7:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Bonaventure 59.992; Cleveland State 62.359
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 6
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (+6)

Game 751-752: Miami (OH) at Xavier (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 52.904; Xavier 71.925
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 19
Vegas Line: Xavier by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (-15 1/2)

Game 753-754: Houston at Arkansas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 55.539; Arkansas 68.579
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 13; 143
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 10; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-10); Under

Game 755-756: New Mexico at Arizona State (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 63.440; Arizona State 61.761
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 5
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+5)

Game 757-758: Stanford at UC-Davis (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 64.241; UC-Davis 51.625
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Stanford by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-10 1/2)

Game 759-760: Norfolk State vs. Drexel (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Norfolk State 42.543; Drexel 56.145
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 15
Dunkel Pick: Norfolk State (+15)

Game 761-762: Drake vs. Mississippi (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drake 54.759; Mississippi 63.785
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 9
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-6 1/2)

Game 763-764: TCU vs. Virginia (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 55.717; Virginia 61.783
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 6
Vegas Line: Virginia by 8
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+8)

Game 765-766: Winthrop at Marquette (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winthrop 49.695; Marquette 66.520
Dunkel Line: Marquette by 17
Vegas Line: Marquette by 18
Dunkel Pick: Winthrop (+18)

Game 767-768: Purdue vs. Temple (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 67.946; Temple 64.622
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 769-770: Western Michigan vs. Iona (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 53.994; Iona 61.976
Dunkel Line: Iona by 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 771-772: Maryland vs. Colorado (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 62.405; Colorado 63.332
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 773-774: Wichita State vs. Alabama (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 71.489; Alabama 69.324
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 775-776: Western Kentucky vs. LSU (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 49.732; LSU 53.279
Dunkel Line: LSU by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 777-778: Northwestern vs. Tulsa (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 62.799; Tulsa 61.999
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 779-780: Seton Hall vs. St. Joseph's (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seton Hall 63.536; St. Joseph's 59.565
Dunkel Line: Seton Hall by 4
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 781-782: VCU vs. Georgia Tech (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: VCU 59.179; Georgia Tech 59.942
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 1
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 783-784: Texas A&M at St. John's (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 67.119; St. John's 64.146
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 3
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 785-786: Mississippi State vs. Arizona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 61.904; Arizona 67.981
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 6
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 787-788: Lehigh vs. William & Mary (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Lehigh 50.372; William & Mary 50.164
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Lehigh by 2
Dunkel Pick: William & Mary (+2)

Game 789-790: Eastern Kentucky at Liberty (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Kentucky 47.110; Liberty 50.097
Dunkel Line: Liberty by 3
Vegas Line: Liberty by 5
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+5)

Game 791-792: CS-Fullerton at Nicholls State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 56.414; Nicholls State 43.889
Dunkel Line: CS-Fullerton by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: CS-Fullerton by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (-8 1/2)

Game 793-794: Houston Baptist at UL-Lafayette (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston Baptist 37.941; UL-Lafayette 54.133
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 16
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 18
Dunkel Pick: Houston Baptist (+18)

Game 795-796: Akron at Valparaiso (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 61.741; Valparaiso 57.608
Dunkel Line: Akron by 4
Vegas Line: Akron by 1
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-1)

Game 797-798: Davidson at Duke (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Davidson 58.256; Duke 73.304
Dunkel Line: Duke by 15; 153
Vegas Line: Duke by 18 1/2; 149 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (+18 1/2); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/18/2011 09:25 AM


Dallas at Colorado
The Avalanche look to take advantage of a Dallas team that is coming off a 6-0 loss to Florida and is 2-6 in its last 8 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Colorado is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+110). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 51-52: Buffalo at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.212; Carolina 10.305
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-135); Over

Game 53-54: Dallas at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.341; Colorado 11.254
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+110); Under

Game 55-56: Chicago at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.654; Calgary 11.708
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+120); Over

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/18/2011 09:26 AM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 18

Hot teams
-- Sabres won seven of their nine road games.
-- Chicago won its last four games, outscoring foes 21-8.

Cold teams
-- Hurricanes lost six of their last seven games.
-- Dallas Stars lost their last three games, outscored 14-3. Colorado lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Flames lost their last three home games, outscored 11-2.

-- Four of last five Buffalo games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Colorado road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Calgary games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Sabres lost three of last four games against Carolina.
-- Colorado lost last three ganes against Dallas, allowing 14 goals.
-- Flames lost nine of last eleven games against Chicago.


Friday, November 18

Trend Report

7:00 PM
Buffalo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games when playing Buffalo

9:00 PM
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games at home

9:00 PM
Dallas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 12 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 12 games when playing Dallas

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/18/2011 09:28 AM

Long Sheet

Friday, November 18


BUFFALO (11-7-0-0, 22 pts.) at CAROLINA (6-10-0-3, 15 pts.) - 11/18/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 176-122 ATS (+31.5 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
BUFFALO is 27-17 ATS (+45.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 6-14 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 4-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 10-27 ATS (-22.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
CAROLINA is 32-63 ATS (+103.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 5-4 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-4-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.2 Units)


DALLAS (11-6-0-0, 22 pts.) at COLORADO (8-9-0-1, 17 pts.) - 11/18/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 25-17 ATS (+47.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 11-5 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 37-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 160-102 ATS (+34.7 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
DALLAS is 11-5 ATS (+16.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
COLORADO is 20-41 ATS (-31.0 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 5-4 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 5-4-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.5 Units)


CHICAGO (12-4-0-3, 27 pts.) at CALGARY (7-9-0-1, 15 pts.) - 11/18/2011, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 233-265 ATS (-105.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 118-141 ATS (-59.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.
CALGARY is 17-9 ATS (+7.2 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 11-18 ATS (-15.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 6-12 ATS (-12.0 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-2 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-2-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)



Friday, November 18

Ice picks: Friday's best NHL bets

Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes (+120, 5.5)

Patience is running very thin in Carolina.

The Hurricanes have dropped seven of their last eight and were absolutely terrible in Wednesday’s listless 4-0 loss to Montreal. They were outshot 36-25, failed to convert on six power play attempts and even show any resistance until it was too late in the third period.

Eric Staal continues to struggle with just eight points on the season and didn’t look any better in his third game as a left winger, a strategy Paul Maurice is trying to take some heat off his captain.

Carolina now has more points than only the Islanders and woeful Blue Jackets and can’t afford this slide to continue much longer. Rumors are beginning to swirl.

"That was a very bad game," GM Jim Rutherford told reporters Wednesday. "I am looking at everything (but) no decisions have been made. I have a lot of ideas in my head but I have not come to any conclusions yet."

The Sabres are also coming off a bad loss, but we like their chances of bouncing back a lot more than Carolina’s.

Pick: Sabres

Chicago Blackhawks at Calgary Flames (+120, 5.5)

Sometimes it’s better to start an extended road trip with stiff test and set the tone for the rest of the swing.

The Blackhawks jumped all over the Canucks in their first game of a six-contest road trip on Wednesday, pounding Vancouver 5-1. Captain Jonathan Toews scored and added a helper and Marian Hossa dished out three assists to help Chicago to its fourth straight victory.

“We just played much smarter,” Toews told reporters. “We did give up scoring chances, but not too many of them. ... When we did get in trouble, we were just being smart and not making it worse than it was.”

The Blackhawks were whistled for just three penalties all night long and that kind of discipline will serve them well moving forward. Calgary has won only once in the last four games and won’t be any match for the Hawks if they bring it again Friday.

Pick: Blackhawks

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/18/2011 09:29 AM

Friday’s betting tips: Bettors bank on OSU's road record

Who’s hot

NCAAF: Oklahoma State is 6-1 against the number in its last seven conference games.

NCAAF: Toledo is 4-0 against the spread in its last four versus a team with a losing record.

NCAAB: Winthrop is 12-5 against the number in its last 17 neutral site games.

NCAAB: The under is 19-7 in Marquette’s last 26.

NHL: Chicago has won eight of its last 10 versus Calgary.

Who’s not

NCAAF: Central Michigan is 1-10 against the spread this season.

NCAAF: The over is 8-20 in Iowa State’s last 28 overall.

NCAAB: Xavier is 4-10-1 against the spread in its last 15 home games.

NCAAB: Duke is 1-4 against the spread in its last five home games.

NHL: Colorado is 6-20 in its last 26 home games.

Key stat

10 – The basketball Duke Blue Devils have won 38 consecutive games at home and have won 32 of those games by at least 10 points. They opened as 18.5-point favorites at home to Davidson.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Adam Burish, Dallas Stars – Burish is expected to be out for four weeks with a broken hand after he was hit with a shot. He was off to a good start with three goals and five assists to go along with 32 penalty minutes for the Stars. The good news is Dallas activated Steve Ott from the injured reserve and the pesky forward is expected to be in the lineup Friday against Colorado.

Game of the day

Oklahoma State at Iowa State Cyclones (27, 67.5)

Notable quotable

"There's no worse feeling than letting down your other 10 team members. Sometimes you feel worse for the player than the player feels for himself. These guys are trying their guts out to put points on the board and they were playing very, very well coming to the end of the day. It's just the way it played out, unfortunately for us." – International captain Greg Norman on trailing 4-2 to the United States at the President’s Cup.

Notes and tips

Oklahoma State is working on a ridiculous 20-6-1 run against the spread on the road heading into Friday’s game at Iowa State. The Cowboys have covered the number in all five of their visiting dates this season and almost 72 percent of *********** Consensus bettors are backing them as big 27-point favorites against the Cyclones.

Missouri football coach Gary Pinkel was arrested on suspicion of drunken driving on Wednesday night. The 11-year coach of the Tigers was pulled over for moving violations at approximately 10:15 p.m. in Columbia (Mo.) and jailed on suspicion. He was released from Boone County Jail after posting a $500 bond. The sheriff's department has video footage of the arrest, but will not air it until the investigation is completed, according to KMOU-TV. Missouri announced Thursday that Pinkel will miss Saturday's game against Texas Tech. The Tigers are set as 18-point home favorites.

Philadelphia Eagles quarterback Michael Vick missed his second consecutive day of practice, leaving his status uncertain for Sunday's game against the New York Giants. Vick played with two broken ribs in last week's stunning loss to the Arizona Cardinals. He was not on the practice field Thursday, though little has been said about his status. Backup Vince Young will likely get the start if Vick can't play. The 31-year-old Vick has thrown for 2,193 yards with 11 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. He has also run the ball 65 times for 535 yards.

Washington freshman quarterback Nick Montana will start his first career game against Oregon State on Saturday. Montana, son of Hall of Fame quarterback Joe Montana, will start in place of Keith Price, who is dealing with a knee injury. Montana entered in relief of Price in a loss to Southern California last week, going 9 of 15 for 73 yards with his first career touchdown pass.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/18/2011 09:30 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- Tulane covered only four of its last 21 home games.

-- Oklahoma State covered its last eleven road games.

-- Texas A&M covered once in its last eight games as a favorite.

-- Georgia Bulldogs covered seven of their last eight games.

-- Eight of nine Jacksonville games this year stayed under the total.

-- Packers covered 12 of their last 15 games.


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Things I'm looking for this weekend....

13) Will Giants put the Eagles out of their misery Sunday night? Philly won its last four visits to the Swamp, scoring 45-38 points in last two.

12) In the last five weeks, USC has been an underdog of 7-9-15 points. When was the last time that happened? They beat Notre Dame and took Stanford to OT; interesting to see what they do with the high-flying Ducks in Eugene.

11) Ravens-Bengals is a big game Sunday; curious to see how many carries Ray Rice gets. He only had five in Seattle. Cincy has a history of playing the Ravens tough.

10) Vanderbilt is favored to win in Neyland Stadium? Someone wearing orange pants has some recruitin’ to do.

9) Miami is 2-7 but has played very well the last two games; Buffalo is 5-4, but has gotten waxed the last two weeks. Can the Bills keep their season alive with a road win?

8) BYU hosts New Mexico State this week, while rumors swirl that the Cougars are headed to the Big East for football. Last time I checked, BYU was in Utah. Boise State is in Idaho. Can we at least make them change the name of the league?

7) Sunday night’s NFL wrapup show on NFL Network, after the NBC game, is always good, because Deion Sanders/Michael Irvin make it good. Their egos are so big they don’t suck up to (most) people, so when Irvin was asked if he could be happy playing for a Denver team that completed two passes last week, Irvin thought about and said something to the effect of “No!!! I have to feed my kids!!!” Good stuff.

6) Kansas State may be setting a record for most times a good team has been an underdog in one season. Wildcats are 8-2; will they be an underdog in their bowl game too?

5) How do the Vikings bounce back from their Monday night tank job in Lambeau? Oakland has four extra days to prepare this week, since they played on Thursday last week.

4) Rough week for QB’s last week; Schaub-Vick-Big Ben-Cassel all broke bones. Tyler Palko makes his first NFL start Monday night in Foxboro. Good luck there.

3) How will Penn State get treated in their first game away from home? Nittany Lions can still somehow get to the Rose Bowl; am guessing the people in Pasadena would just as soon that didn't happen.

2) Titans have beaten Atlanta five times in a row, but when Bud Adams visits the Georgia Dome, I’m sure he thinks back to January 2000, when the Titans lost Super Bowl XXXIV in Atlanta by one yard.

1) Is it me, or has this college football season been very flat so far? Just not many great moments or great games. Only three Saturdays left; which game will be the best this weekend?

19 of 48 lined games have a single-digit spread. Oklahoma-Baylor could be fun, if the Bears’ defense can make a couple tackles.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/18/2011 09:33 AM

Cowboys And Cyclones Under Friday Night Lights

Mike Gundy has the Oklahoma State Cowboys two games away from a shot at the BCS title. You can count Bill Hancock among the fans cheering them along.

Oklahoma State heads out on the Big 12 highway this Friday with a prime-time affair against the Iowa State Cyclones. Early college football odds were scattered from 24½-27, the early consensus at Oklahoma State -26½.

Don Best Sports' Kenny White sent his initial total out at 66, exactly what Oklahoma State scored by itself last week.

Hancock, the BCS executive director, is a rah-rah machine right now behind both the Cowboys and LSU Tigers. If both schools win out to finish the regular season undefeated, they'll meet in New Orleans next January for the big enchilada and give the BCS folks another easy matchup to show their system is working.

Should either lose a game, there's going to be a lot of debate about which one-loss school should play in the BCS Championship. If both drop a game, all hell is likely to break loose.

This is a potential look-ahead game for Gundy and his guys, but don't count on it for a couple of reasons. The Cowboys have been facing the same prospect of thinking too much about their Dec. 3 home date with Oklahoma just about the entire season, but especially since Oct. 22 when the Sooners were upset on their turf by Texas Tech. Oklahoma State has responded by taking out Baylor, Kansas State and Texas Tech by a combined 167-75 tally.

Secondly, the game against the Sooners isn't on the immediate horizon. The Cowboys will have a week off between this battle with the Cyclones and Oklahoma's visit to Stillwater.

The only looking ahead by Oklahoma State this past week was done by the backups who were wondering when Gundy might pull the first stringers at Lubbock. The Cowboys, who were laying 19½, raced to a 49-0 lead over Texas Tech at the half and never looked back in a 66-6 rout. Brandon Weeden played pitch-and-catch with his receivers, completing 31-of-37 tosses for 423 yards and five scores.

A bigger story against the Red Raiders was the Oklahoma State defense. Seth Doege and Tech entered the game 11th in the nation in total yardage, but were held under 300 yards for only the second time this season and never scored, the Red Raiders' lone points courtesy of their defense.

Weeden has certainly deserved his share of the spotlight all season, and the defense was remarkable last game. Almost lost in the Cowboys' climb to No. 2 in the BCS – No. 4 in the latest Don Best Linemakers Poll – has been the play of running back Joseph Randle. The sophomore is seven shy of the 1,000-yard rushing mark and has gotten into the end zone personally more often than all but one player in 2011, Wisconsin's Montee Ball. Randle has scored 14 touchdowns the last four weeks alone, 12 of them carrying the rock.

It would seem impossible for Iowa State not to give the Cowboys more of a fight than the Red Raiders put up last Saturday. The Cyclones should have a vocal crowd behind them for a rare national prime-time broadcast from Jack Trice Stadium. Paul Rhoads' club also needs two wins among the final three games to become bowl eligible.

Getting just one win the rest of the way will be tough enough. Iowa State finishes the 2011 schedule on the road at Oklahoma and Kansas State.

The Cyclones have had two weeks off since escaping with a 13-10 win at home as 14½-point favorites against Kansas, one of the worst teams in the FBS ranks. Oklahoma State manhandled the Jayhawks in early October, 70-28, the Cowboys scoring half of their points in the opening quarter.

Iowa State's defense ranks 90th in the country allowing 420 yards per game, and it has yet to face the likes of the Cowboys or Sooners who rank 3-4 nationally in total offense.

Oklahoma State has been a money machine on the road this year, covering the spread in all five away contests. The Cyclones are 2-3 ATS at home.

The Cyclones will get leading receiver Darius Reynolds back for this game after the senior was suspended for the Kansas game. Oklahoma State is not reporting any new injuries.

Mostly clear skies give way to clouds and a 20 percent chance of showers in Ames during the evening hours on Friday. The thermometer is expected to be in the mid-to-upper 40s when ESPN begins its broadcast at 8:00 p.m. (ET).


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/18/2011 09:36 AM

Oklahoma St. at Iowa St.

November 17, 2011

Oklahoma State will put its unbeaten record on the line Friday night when it travels to Ames to face Iowa State. The Cowboys are vying for their first trip to the BCS Championship Game and are in control of their own destiny if they can win out.

As of early Thursday night, most betting shops had Oklahoma State (10-0 straight up, 8-2 against the spread) installed as a 27 ½-point favorite with a total of 68. Several offshore books had the Cyclones available on the money line for an 18/1 payout (risk $100 to win $1,800).

Mike Gundy’s squad has been a dynamite money maker all season long, especially on the road where it is a perfect 5-0 ATS. During Gundy’s seven-year tenure in Stillwater, OSU owns an incredible 15-3 spread record. The Cowboys have taken the cash in 11 consecutive such spots.

OSU is coming off a 66-6 win at Texas Tech as a 19-point road favorite. The 72 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 79-point total.

Senior quarterback Brandon Weeden produced another outstanding performance, completing 31-of-37 passes for 423 yards and five touchdowns without an interception. His favorite target, Justin Blackmon, hauled in six receptions for 103 yards and two TDs. Joseph Randle rushed for 78 yards and three TDs, while his back-up, redshirt freshman Hershel Sims, rushed for a team-high 109 yards on 13 carries.

OSU limited Texas Tech’s offense to only 270 total yards and didn’t allow any scoring. The Red Raiders, who scored 41 points on Oklahoma’s defense in Norman, got their only touchdown on a scoop and score from the defense.

Iowa State (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) had an open date to prepare for a daunting three-game stretch that begins Friday night and continues with road games at Oklahoma next week and at Kansas St. in the regular-season finale. The Cyclones are hoping to win at least one of those in order to become bowl eligible, but they’ll most likely be double-digit underdogs in all three contests.

Paul Rhoads’s squad has won back-to-back games, including a 13-10 home win over Kansas two weeks ago. The previous week, Iowa St. went into Lubbock and caught Texas Tech in a classic letdown spot and cruised to a 41-7 win as a 15 ½-point underdog.

In both victories, ISU rushed for more than 250 yards and it’ll need that same production from the ground game to pull an upset Friday against OSU. The Cyclones are led in rushing by sophomore James White, who has 618 yards and seven TD runs on 129 carries. White is averaging 4.8 yards per carry.

Jared Barnett has taken over at quarterback for ISU’s last two wins. The redshirt freshman is a potent scrambler, as evidenced by 304 rushing yards and one TD on 58 carries for a 5.2 yards-per-carry average. Barnett has completed 49-of-100 passes for 524 yards with one TD and a pair of interceptions.

Weeden is a legit candidate to win the Heisman Trophy. The 28-year-old senior has connected on 73.1 percent of passes for 3,635 yards with a 31/9 touchdowns-to-interceptions ratio. He has one of the country’s premier receivers in Blackmon, who has 93 catches for 1,142 yards and 14 TDs.

Randle is a workhorse RB on the verge of eclipsing the 1,000-yard mark for the season. He has rushed for 993 yards and 21 TD while averaging 5.9 YPC.

When these teams met in Ames in 2009, OSU captured a 34-8 win as a 7 ½-point road ‘chalk.’ The Cowboys have won three of the last four over the Cyclones both SU and ATS.

The ‘under’ has cashed in three straight games for ISU this year and is 5-4 overall, 3-2 in its home games. As for OSU’s totals, they’ve been a wash (4-4-2) with the ‘under’ going 3-1-1 in its five road assignments.

Kickoff is slated for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/18/2011 09:38 AM

Oklahoma State seeks 11th straight road win


Kickoff: Friday, 7:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Oklahoma State -27.5, Total: 67

No. 2 Oklahoma State looks to stay unbeaten heading into next week’s showdown with Oklahoma, when it travels to Ames, IA for a Friday night matchup with Iowa State on senior night.

OSU keeps rolling, pummeling Texas Tech 66-6 in Lubbock last week for its 10th straight road win. QB Brandon Weeden has 23 TD (11 to Justin Blackmon) and 3 INT in Big 12 play. After allowing 42.8 PPG during a four-game losing skid, Iowa State has allowed a total of 17 points during a two-game win streak, and the team is fresh coming off a bye week. However, the last three times Oklahoma State was favored over ISU, the Cowboys won big each game: 36-7, 59-17 and 34-8 in 2009. OSU is 8-2 ATS this year and is outscoring opponents by a healthy 25.4 PPG margin. This includes a whopping 24.0 PPG on the road. Iowa State will put forth a great effort, but its inability to both rush the passer (94th in FBS in sacks) and stop the run (203 YPG, 104th in nation) will allow the OSU offensive juggernaut to post another 50-point game. The pick here is OKLAHOMA STATE to win and cover the beefed-up spread.

This pair of rare five-star FoxSheets trends also side with the Cowboys.

Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OKLAHOMA STATE) - after gaining 475 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games, with an experienced QB returning as starter. (37-7 since 1992.) (84.1%, +29.3 units. Rating = 5*).

OKLAHOMA STATE is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was OKLAHOMA STATE 43.1, OPPONENT 20.7 - (Rating = 5*).

This OSU offense is just incredible, ranking second in FBS in scoring (51.7 PPG) and third in total offense (565 YPG). Weeden (364 passing YPG) and Blackmon (14 rec. TD, T-1st in nation) have been outstanding for two seasons now, but another key to this brilliant offense has been sophomore RB Joseph Randle. He is averaging 5.9 yards per carry and has scored 12 of his 23 touchdowns in the past four games. Despite the eye-popping numbers, the Cowboys are very smart and disciplined in their attack, leading the nation in turnover margin at +18.

To be fair, this +18 number has more to do with a talented, playmaking defense with 34 takeaways (19 INT, 15 fumble recoveries), which is six more than any other team in the country. Senior DL Jamie Blatnick leads the front four with a team-high seven sacks, while LB James Thomas and DB Broderick Brown each have four interceptions.

The Cyclones have shown their resolve with two straight victories on the heels of four straight losses to start the Big 12 slate. The biggest reason for the turnaround has been dual-threat freshman QB Jared Barnett who has racked up 536 total yards (319 passing, 217 rushing) during the two victories. Although he’s only thrown two picks in his 100 pass attempts this year, Barnett still needs to improve his accuracy (49% completion rate). RB James White leads the team with 618 rushing yards and 7 TD, but he has only two games of 65+ rushing yards all season (148 at Baylor and 138 at Texas Tech).

Despite the defensive improvement the past two games, Iowa State still ranks 91st in total defense (420 YPG) and 81st in scoring (29.8 PPG). On the positive side, the Cyclones rank second in the conference in passing defense, allowing just 217 YPG in the pass-happy Big 12. Turnovers have killed this team all year, as only 10 FBS teams have a worse turnover rate than the -0.89 per game the Cyclones have tallied (15 takeaways, 23 giveaways).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: