cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
11/10/2011 07:16 PM

Top 5 NFL Trends

CIN CIN are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.

SF SF are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

SF SF are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

KC Under is 7-0 in KC last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

CLE Under is 6-0-1 in STL last 7 road games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
11/12/2011 03:23 PM

Tight Lines Abound

November 10, 2011

With half of the pro football season in the books, it’s safe to say that we’re starting to separate the contenders from pretenders.
Or are we?

Looking at the Week 10 betting board, you would be led to believe that the league is competitive, especially for our purposes. Eight of the 16 games on tap this week have lines that are listed between 2 ½ points and 3 ½ points.

Is it just a coincidence? Instead of debating parity in the NFL, we looked at the most common number in Week 10.

Through nine weeks of the season, there have been 35 games that have seen a closing number between 2 ½ and 3 ½ points.

Favorites in this position have gone 20-15 straight up (57%), which isn’t stellar but it isn’t horrible either. Against the spread is a different story, with that mark standing at 13-19-3 (40%).

Delving into the numbers a little closer, gamblers have watched home favorites between 2 ½ and 3 ½-points have gone 11-6 SU and 6-10-1 ATS. Road favorites between 2 ½ and 3 ½ points have gone 9-9 SU and 7-9-2 ATS.

The games that ended in pushes this season are below:

Dallas (-3) 27 at San Francisco 24
Detroit (-3) 26 at Minnesota 23
Cleveland (-3) 6 vs. Seattle 3

Below are this week’s games fitting the above scenario and some quick hitters on each contest:

Week 10 Road Favorites between 2 ½ and 3 ½ points

Pittsburgh (-3) at Cincinnati: The Steelers are 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS as road favorites this season. Cincinnati has covered five straight and seven of eight this season. The Bengals have been a home ‘dog (+3) once this season, winning outright against Buffalo (23-20). Pitt has been a road favorite in its last four trips to Cincy, posting a 3-1 record both SU and ATS.

Jacksonville (-3) at Indianapolis: The Jaguars are 0-4 SU and 1-2-1 ATS on the road, and they’ve never been a favorite. Outside of last week’s blowout loss (7-31) to Atlanta at home, the Colts have dropped their other three games from Lucas Oil Stadium by a combined 15 points.

Houston (-3) at Tampa Bay: The Texans have gone 2-2 both SU and ATS on the road, winning and covering in their only opportunity as a favorite in Week 2 at Miami (23-13). The Buccaneers stopped the Saints 26-20 on Oct. 16 in their only game as home underdogs this season.

Week 10 Home Favorites between 2 ½ and 3 ½ points

Kansas City vs. Denver: Hard to lay points with the Chiefs in the spot, considering their play as home favorites this season. KC has gone 0-2 both SU and ATS, with the losses by a combined score of 72-10 (Buffalo, Miami). Outside of the beating at Lambeau from the Packers (23-49), Denver has gone 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in its three other road tilts. Three of the last four in this series has been decided by 20-plus points or more.

Carolina vs. Tennessee: The Panthers are 2-3 SU but 4-1 ATS at home. Carolina has been made a home favorite three times (2-1) this season, posting wins over the Jaguars and Redskins but losing outright to the Vikings. The Titans have only played three road games (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS), the lone win against Cleveland.

Chicago vs. Detroit: The Bears have ripped off three straight wins and covers, plus they’ve been tough at Soldier Field (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS) this season. The lone loss came to Green Bay (17-27), which isn’t shocking. The Lions are off the bye and can lay claim as one of three teams to be perfect on the road (4-0 SU, 3-0-1 ATS). Detroit defeated Chicago 24-13 in their Week 5 showdown on MNF.

Cleveland vs. St. Louis: The Browns are 2-1 SU and 1-1-1 ATS as home favorites this season. The Rams haven’t won on the road (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS), losing all by six points or more.

San Francisco vs. N.Y. Giants: The 49ers have been a beast this season, going 7-1 SU and 7-0-1 ATS. The club is 3-1 both SU and ATS at home, covering all three spots as favorites. After losing at the Redskins in Week 1, the Giants have won three straight on the road, twice outright as healthy ‘dogs against the Eagles and Patriots. The lone loss for SF did come at home to another NFC East foe, Dallas (24-27) albeit in overtime.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
11/12/2011 03:28 PM

Bettors continue to fade Colts

November 11, 2011

Heading into Week 10 of the NFL season there's one thing that's become abundantly clear: Peyton Manning is an important member of the Indianapolis Colts.

Like, really important.

OK, so everyone already knew that, but even the biggest Manning fan might not have predicted how far the Colts would fall without their star quarterback. Indianapolis is 0-9 and has been outscored 283-128 in those nine losses. The team's minus-155 point differential is the worst in the NFL by a wide margin.

Sunday the Colts host Jacksonville (2-6) in what might be their best chance for a win this season. We've got the Jaguars by a field goal, and so far we've booked most of the action on the road team. In fact, we've had to aggressively manage our moneyline to attract Indy money. If you like the Colts +3, you can bet $100 to win $105.

Get all your NFL betting lines at Bodog's online sportsbook.

I've already written a few times this year about the Green Bay Packers and how we can't seem to give their opponents enough points to convince bettors to go against the defending champs. We've got the Pack by 14 for Monday's game versus the Vikings at Lambeau, and I don't expect we'll be wanting for action on the home team. Not after Green Bay covered yet another spread Sunday in San Diego.

The issue we have with the Packers is the same issue we have with the Colts, only the exact opposite. Indy's failed to cover its last five spreads and bettors have cleaned up in the process. We can't seem to give the Colts enough points to convince bettors they can beat the spread. I mean, take this week. We're talking about a 6-2 Jaguars team that hasn't won on the road this season, and they're still favored by a field goal.

Indy's effort last week versus the Falcons didn't help matters any. Atlanta smoked the Colts, 31-7, while the crowd at Lucas Oil Stadium serenaded the beleaguered home team with boos.

"I haven't had nightmares like that in a long time," Colts coach Jim Caldwell said after the game. "It's not something that you anticipate is going to happen. We just aren't performing well right now."

Of course, there's another theory floating around that might explain the team's dreadful season. Are the Colts intentionally tanking so they can draft Andrew Luck?

For what it's worth, I'd never expect the players to intentionally lose games. Not only does it go against their competitive instincts, many of them are playing for contracts, and not necessarily with their current team.

The coaches and management, however, are a different story. Clearly the Colts have nothing left to play for. This is a lost season. Hey, you know what other season was a lost one in Indianapolis? When the Colts went 3-13 in 1997. Their reward? Peyton Manning. You do the math.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
11/13/2011 11:11 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks and six least popular picks in Hilton handicapping contest, which has 517 contestants, all of whom who pick five NFL games a week against the spread. They put up $1,500 each, so these are serious handicappers........

6) Carolina Panthers 123
5) Atlanta Falcons 134
4) New York Giants 141
3) Buffalo Bills 160
2) Houston Texans 179
1) Pittsburgh Steelers 202

27) Cleveland Browns 35
T28) Denver Broncos 31
T28) Tennessee Titans 31
30) Green Bay Packers 30
31) Arizona Cardinals 19
32) Oakland Raiders 15

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
11/13/2011 11:14 AM

Total Talk - Week 10

November 12, 2011

Week 9 Recap

The low-scoring run continued last week with 67% (8-4-1) of the games going ‘under’ the number. Outside of a few West Coast shootouts in the late afternoon, most of Sunday’s action was rather calm. Unfortunately for the sportsbooks, the ‘over’ cashed for the betting public in the two primetime games (see below). It took 10 weeks, but the ‘over’ reign is done. On the season, the ‘under’ stands at 64-61-4 (51%).

Divisional Trends

Week 10 has seven divisional battles on tap this week, including three matchups that will feature teams meeting for the second time this season.

Pittsburgh at Cincinnati: The Steelers (5-4) and Bengals (5-3) have both shaded to the ‘over’ this season. After some early season struggles, Pitt’s offense has put up 32, 25 and 20 points the last three weeks. Cincinnati’s defense (17.6 PPG) has been solid, but it’s safe to say that Big Ben will be the first legitimate quarterback the team will face. The ‘over’ is 3-0 in the last three encounters in Cincinnati between this pair.

Denver at Kansas City: The Broncos and Chiefs have both inconsistent on offense this season, which makes this total even tougher to ‘cap. You don’t know which attack will show up, which would make most lean more toward the ‘under.’ However, the ‘over’ has gone 6-2 in the last eight meetings between Denver and Kansas City. The total opened at 42 ½ and has been pushed down to 41 at most books. Do yourself a favor and check the wind on this contest come Sunday.

New Orleans at Atlanta: This contest has seen the total drop too, down two points to 49 ½ at most shops. Games played indoors usually have fireworks but Atlanta has proven to be a decent defensive club lately. The team has given up an average of 16.3 PPG in their last four, and that includes only 25 points to Green Bay, which is considered a very good job these days. New Orleans has the weapons to score but its attack has only put up 20 and 21 its last two on the road. The ‘over/under’ has gone 2-2 over the past two regular seasons.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis: (See Rust Affect)

Detroit at Chicago: (See Rust Affect)

New England at N.Y. Jets: (See Under the Lights)

Minnesota at Green Bay: (See Under the Lights)

Rust Affect

Even though the numbers weren’t eye-opening, the ‘under’ still posted a 4-3 record in the seven games with teams coming off the BYE. On the season, the number stands at 18-7 (72%) to the ‘under.’ We have four more teams playing with rest again this week.

Jacksonville at Indianapolis: The total on this game is hovering between 37 and 38 points and when you look at the attacks, it should be lower. The Jaguars (12.3 PPG) and Colts (14.2 PPG) have both been inconsistent on offense this season. However, Jacksonville could see a surge this weekend against Indy’s defense (31.4 PPG), which is ranked dead last in the league. The ‘over’ has gone 6-2 in the last eight in this series, but the past history must be tossed out here without Peyton Manning playing for the Colts.

Carolina vs. Tennessee: Carolina’s offense (23.4 PPG) has been a surprise behind rookie QB Cam Newton, plus the defense (25.9 PPG) hasn’t been good due to key injuries. When you have that combination, you usually see high-scoring affairs and ‘over’ tickets. Despite some inflated numbers, Carolina has watched the ‘over’ go 5-3. This week’s number (46) could be a little too high against Tennessee, who is only playing its fourth road game of the season. The Titans have seen the ‘over’ go 2-1 in the first three games outside of Nashville.

Detroit at Chicago: The Lions beat the Bears 24-13 in a MNF battle on Oct. 10. The total (47) was never threatened and the score should’ve been lower if it wasn’t for two big-play touchdowns from Detroit. This week, the number is down to 44 ½ points and it could get lower due to some poor weather conditions. The ‘over’ has cashed in four of the last six meetings here.

Minnesota at Green Bay: (See Under the Lights)

Under the Lights

Even when you know, you just don’t know! That’s how some bettors probably felt after watching both the SNF and MNF affairs last week. The ‘under’ in the Steelers-Ravens game had a great pace (9-6) at the half and even heading into the fourth quarter (16-6) too. Sure enough, 21 points in the final 15 minutes, seven coming at the end as Baltimore notched a 23-20 win and the game jumped ‘over’ the closing number of 42. Fast forward to MNF and it looked liked the Bears would be leading the Eagles 10-3 but two big turnovers turned into 14 points and Chicago led 17-10 at the break. Philadelphia posted 14 points in the second half but still came up short (30-24) to the Bears, but the ‘over’ cashed. Through nine weeks, the ‘over’ is 12-7-1 in primetime battles.

New England at New York: The last four in this series has gone ‘over’ the number, including the first meeting this season on Oct. 9, but it was very fortunate. The game closed at 50 ½ and the Patriots won 30-21, but the score was 10-7 at halftime. Prior to holding Buffalo to 11 points on the road last week, the Jets were giving up

Minnesota at Green Bay: The Vikings and Packers have watched the ‘over’ cash in seven of the last nine meetings, and that includes the shootout between the pair on Oct. 23. Green Bay captured a 33-27 road victory and the combined 60 points easily jumped ‘over’ the closing number of 46 ½. The Packers’ lowest output on offense this season has been 24 points. And most would expect them to get above that number again, since Minnesota hasn’t allowed less than 22 points in any of its four road games. This week’s number is hovering close to 51, which is inflated, but certainly doable.

Fearless Predictions

The Best Bet ‘over’ prediction between Atlanta and Indianapolis had a nice pace (21-7) at the half but only 10 points were scored in the final 30 minutes. The Falcons did their job (31) but the Colts (7) got no points from their offense. While that was tough to stomach, the Bengals-Titans barely slid ‘under’ the closing number. The team total (Denver 17.5) also looked good at half with the Broncos putting up seven points, but not before they posted 31 points in the second-half. The teaser hit again, but the deficit was still $20. On the season, we’re up 90 cents ($90). As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!

Best Over: Houston-Tampa Bay 46.5

Best Under: Denver-Kansas City 41.5

Best Team Total: Under Carolina 24.5

Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100):
Over Houston-Tampa Bay 37.5
Over New Orleans-Atlanta 40.5
Over Buffalo-Dallas 39

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
11/13/2011 11:18 AM

Gridiron Trends - Week 10

November 12, 2011


The Bengals are 10-0 ATS (6.8 ppg) since December 14, 2008 as a dog after a game as a dog where they did not fail to score TDs on at least three trips to the red zone.


The Browns are 0-10 ATS (-11.6 ppg) since November 6, 2008 after a game where they allowed more points than expected and held the ball for less than 28 minutes.


The Saints are 12-0 OU (14.9 ppg) since November 4, 2007 after game where they led by at least 14 points at the half and covered.


Wyoming is 10-0 ATS (8.2 ppg) since 2002 when they covered by between 6 and 12.5 points last week, and aren’t a 23+ point dog.


Florida is 0-10 ATS (-10.1 ppg) since 2003 when they won by single digits last game as a favorite and aren’t playing at a neutral site.


The Ravens are 11-0 ATS (+17.3 ppg) since December 30th 2007 when they are off a game in which they allowed more than 17 points and had three or fewer sacks.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
11/13/2011 11:29 AM

Sunday, November 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Jacksonville - 1:00 PM ET Jacksonville -3 500
Indianapolis - Over 37.5 500

Denver - 1:00 PM ET Denver +3 500
Kansas City - Over 42.5 500

Pittsburgh - 1:00 PM ET ( Cincinnati +4 500 BENGALS ARE REAL STEELERS GETTING OLD )
Cincinnati - Under 40.5 500

Buffalo - 1:00 PM ET Dallas -5.5 500
Dallas - Under 48 500

New Orleans - 1:00 PM ET New Orleans +1 500
Atlanta - Under 49.5 500

St. Louis - 1:00 PM ET Cleveland -2.5 500
Cleveland - Under 36.5 500

Washington - 1:00 PM ET Washington +4 500
Miami - ( Under 37.5 500 TOTAL OF THE DAY )

Houston - 1:00 PM ET Tampa Bay +3.5 500
Tampa Bay - Under 45.5 500

Tennessee - 1:00 PM ET Tennessee +3.5 500
Carolina - Under 46.5 500

Arizona - 1:00 PM ET Philadelphia -13.5 500
Philadelphia - Over 46.5 500

Baltimore - 4:05 PM ET ( Seattle +6.5 500 DOG OF THE DAY )
Seattle - Under 41 500

Detroit - 4:15 PM ET Detroit +2.5 500
Chicago - Over 43 500

N.Y. Giants - 4:15 PM ET ( San Francisco -3.5 500 NFL GOW )
San Francisco - Under 42.5 500

New England - 8:20 PM ET N.Y. Jets -1 500
N.Y. Jets - Under 47.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
11/13/2011 11:32 AM

SNF - Patriots at Jets

November 13, 2011

Two old rivals renew acquaintances on Sunday night as the Patriots battle the Jets in a key AFC East showdown. New England (5-3) has lost consecutive games for only the fourth time since 2002, as the Patriots are coming off back-to-back defeats to the Steelers and Giants. The Jets (5-3), meanwhile, are riding a three-game winning streak after losing at Gillette Stadium in Week 5.

The Patriots went through a taste of déjà-vu against the Giants last Sunday by allowing a late Eli Manning touchdown in the final minute. Manning's fade-pattern pass to Plaxico Burress ended New England's run at a 19-0 season in Super Bowl XLII, while the former Ole Miss star's touchdown toss to Jake Ballard with 15 seconds left gave the Pats their first home defeat of the season. The Patriots have failed to cover three consecutive games for the first time since 2009, as Bill Belichick's club has scored 20 points or less in each of the previous three contests.

The Jets were rolling out of the gate after beating the Cowboys and Jaguars at home, but three consecutive road setbacks slowed down the momentum of Gang Green. Rex Ryan's crew has responded with home victories over the Dolphins and Chargers, while dominating the Bills in a sound 27-11 thumping in Orchard Park last Sunday. The Jets held the ball for nearly 38 minutes as Mark Sanchez threw for 230 yards and a touchdown, helping New York cash as a 2 ½-point underdog.

In the last meeting between these divisional rivals, the Patriots knocked off the Jets, 30-21 as 7 ½-point favorites on October 10. New England exacted a modicum of revenge from last season's divisional playoff loss to New York by receiving a pair of touchdown runs from BenJarvus Green-Ellis and a 321-yard passing effort from Tom Brady. The game sailed 'over' the total of 50 ½ thanks to a late Stephen Gostkowski field goal in the final minute, the fourth straight 'over' in the series.

These clubs have split six meetings since Ryan arrived on the Jets' sidelines in 2009, but New York is 2-0 SU/ATS in the two games in East Rutherford. The Jets won both times as a three-point home underdog, including a 28-14 triumph in Week 2 of last season. New York has responded well off a divisional game the last 11 instances by putting together a 9-2 ATS mark, coming off the Bills' victory. Ryan gets his players up for AFC East battles with an 8-3 ATS record within the division since November 2009.

Despite not being able to follow up the loss at Pittsburgh with another defeat to the Giants, New England owns a solid 21-8 ATS record since 2003 off a straight-up loss. This system is even tighter when the Pats play on the road off a defeat, going 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS in this span, with the lone loss coming at Miami in 2009.

From the totals standpoint, the Patriots have cashed the 'under' in four of the last five games, while the total has closed at 50 or above in each of the previous seven contests. The Jets are 5-3 to the 'over,' as New York has eclipsed the 24-point mark in all four home contests.

New York is listed as a favorite over New England for the first since 2002, as the Jets are laying 1 ½ points. The total is set at 47 ½ as the game will be televised nationally on NBC for an 8:30 PM EST kickoff.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
11/14/2011 06:20 PM

Monday’s betting tips: Weather may impact MNF bettors

Weather to watch

As of Sunday evening, meteorologists were predicting partly cloudy conditions for Monday’s Vikings-Packers game with a low around 33. Southwest wind between 9 and 13 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Who’s hot

NFL: Green Bay is 12-3-1 against the spread in its last 16 home games.

NHL: Philadelphia has won nine of its last 10 games against Carolina.

NCAAB: Marquette has covered in seven of its last 10 home games.

Who’s not

NFL: Minnesota is 5-11 against the spread in its last 16 home games.

NHL: Winnipeg/Atlanta has dropped 12 straight meetings with Tampa Bay.

NCAAB: UNLV is 1-7 against the spread in its last 10 home games.

Key stat

50 – Montreal Canadiens defenseman P.K. Subban leads the league with 50 shots on goal but hasn’t scored yet this season. Montreal’s power play sits 27th in the league (11.9 percent) heading into Monday’s game with Buffalo. The Canadiens are set as -105 underdogs.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Antoine Winfield, Minnesota Vikings – Minnesota cornerback Antoine Winfield is expected to return to the lineup for the first time in six weeks after suffering a neck injury. He didn’t play in Minnesota’s loss to Green Bay earlier this season when Aaron Rodgers shredded the Vikings for 335 yards and three touchdowns.

Game of the day

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-13, 50)

Notable quotable

"I just stuck around because I wanted to say what a piece of [feces] I think Lucic is. Fifty pounds on me, and he runs me like that? It's unbelievable. Everyone in this city see him as a big, tough, solid player. I respected him for how hard he plays. That was gutless. Gutless. Piece of [feces]." – Buffalo Sabres goaltender Ryan Miller after being hammered by Milan Lucic. The Sabres visit Montreal Monday, but Miller could sit out with an upper body injury.

Notes and tips

It’s been a tough start for college basketball underdogs. Just nine dogs have won outright in 71 games with posted spreads this season, while favorites are covering the number better than 54 percent of the time.

The heavy chalk isn’t scaring Green Bay bettors away. The Packers are set as 13-point favorites at home to Minnesota and more than 61 percent of *********** Consensus bettors are supporting Green Bay. The total has dropped to 49.5 at some shops after opening as high as 51.5.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
11/14/2011 06:22 PM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- ESPN's college hoop marathon, which runs from Monday night thru the day Tuesday, is further proof that if TV wants it, college teams will play at 2am, 4am, 6am, noon....anything TV wants, TV gets.

-- Cleveland State went to Nashville and upset Vanderbilt. Commodores are a soft team. Cleveland State simply outhustled them, and badly.

-- Eldrick Woods finished third at the Australian Open. There was a time where he cared only about winning. Now he's encouraged about finishing third in Australia. Everything's relative, I guess.

-- I had forgotten how good Snickers bars are. This could be bad.

-- World champion Cardinals named Mike Matheny manager. Will be very interesting to see if Dave Duncan stays as pitching coach.

-- The Chevy commercial where the son buys his dad the old car he used to have is one of the best new commercials in years. Excelllent.


Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday......

13) 49ers had a 16-yard edge in average field position, improved to 8-1 on Sunday, holding off the Giants 27-20 at Candlestick. Giants got inside the 49ers' 20-yard line four times, managed only one TD, two FGs.

12) Chicago crushed the Lions 37-13 but scored only one offensive TD, and that came on a 30-yard drive. Devin Hester ran a punt back for a TD and the Bears' defense ran two INTs back for a score, as Stafford broke the index finger on passing hand, but continued to play (poorly). Why?

11) Detroit-Chicago game started at 4:15, and went to the half at 6:01. By the way, it is officially stupid to punt the ball to either Hester or Patrick Peterson. Isn't that obvious by now????? Punt it out of bounds.

10) Saints lost the coin toss in all ten games this year, and they also lost the coin toss before overtime in Atlanta. Referee hosed the Falcons on a first down spot/replay overturn in OT, then Mike Smith went for it on fourth down and cost his team the game.

Actually throwing the ball to a fullback on 3rd-and-short is one of my pet peeves in football. Fullbacks get paid to block, not to handle the pigskin, especially in a situation where the game is on the line. Throwing to their fullback was stupid and ultimately a fatal mistake.

9) At 2:10 Sunday afternoon, Tony Romo was 18-19 for 237 yards with three TDs. Jessica Simpson probably texted him by 2:30.

8) Bengals started three drives in Pittsburgh territory, and managed only a field goal and two INTs on subsequent drives. They lost 24-17, so you do the math. Baltimore's loss in Seattle helps both teams.

7) Alex Smith has played for seven offensive coordinators in his seven years as quarterback of the 49ers.

6) Last team that was 3-6 but wound up in playoffs were Jacksonville Jaguars, way back in 1996. Coached by a guy named Coughlin.

5) All four NFC West teams won Sunday; how long has it been since that happened?

4) According to, Rams have seven players on their roster with a number in the 50's; three of the seven went to BYU. All seven are white. Would it kill the front office to get some linebackers who can run fast? Would this be a bad thing? Not talking about Lauranitis, he's very good.

Cleveland lost because their long snapper bounced a snap to the holder as the Browns were trying a 21-yard FG in the last 2:00. Not the prettiest of games. Watching it I'm wondering, how the hell have the Browns beaten three teams? Teams they've beaten: Seattle-Miami-Indianapolis. Oh.

3) Odd scheduling: Chicago's next four games are against the AFC West. Very strange, especially this late in the season.

2) Under was 10-5 Sunday, as over bettors need psychiatric help; there were only five defensive TDs and two special teams TDs Sunday, and the Bears had three of them. Over the last five weeks, as defenses have now more than caught up to the offenses, under is 45-22.

The new kickoff rule is hurting scoring. For the year, 177 of 334 drives (53.0%) started 80+ yds from end zone. (That is eliminating drives at end of each half that aren't completed). When teams have to drive 80+ yards to score a touchdown, not many touchdowns are scored.

1) You can't be minus-3 in turnovers and miss a 23-yard FG and expect to win an NFL game, epecially against the Patriots. Seven of 15 losers this were minus-2 or worse in turnovers- they lost by average score of 33-11. After than the Packers, I have zero idea who the second-best team is, but it ain't the Jets or the Ravens, who have lost to Jaguars/Seahawks.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: