coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
01/05/2014 12:09 PM

Let's Get Trendy

San Diego at Cincinnati, 1:05 ET
San Diego: 2-11 ATS off 1 or more straight overs
Cincinnati: 6-0 ATS in home games against conference opponents

San Francisco at Green Bay, 4:40 ET
San Francisco: 8-1 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less
Green Bay: 1-5 ATS after allowing 25 points or more in 2 straight games

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
01/05/2014 12:10 PM

Weather Update

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
01/05/2014 12:15 PM

updated odds
The NFL playoff picture is complete and oddsmakers haven’t wasted any time pricing out the favorites to win Super Bowl XLVIII.

Here’s a look at the updated futures to win the big game, as well as the conference championships, courtesy of the LVH Superbook in Las Vegas:


49ERS 7/1
COLTS 25/1


49ERS 7-2


COLTS 11/1

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
01/05/2014 12:16 PM

Road team in Bengals games has covered only 2 of last 18

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
01/05/2014 12:17 PM


Perfect day yesterday and looking to get things started on the right note...

1) Chargers +7

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
01/05/2014 12:17 PM

Chargers biggest Super Bowl longshot: 44/1

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
01/05/2014 12:18 PM


The Bengals are ranked seventh in the league in points averaging 26.9 a game. They are ranked 10th in yards averaging 368.2 yards and eight in passing yards with 258.5. The Bengals are second in the league in touchdowns scored with 54 - 14 rushing and 33 receiving. Wide receiver A.J. Green has 98 receptions, 11 touchdowns and 1,426 total yards. Second-year wide receiver Marvin Jones has also been a key target for Andy Dalton with 51 receptions for 712 yards and 10 touchdowns. Quarterback Andy Dalton has put up a 61.9 percent completion percentage and is ranked seventh overall in total yards with 4,293.

The Chargers have five players this season who have at least 30 catches and one touchdown. Rookie wide receiver Keenan Allen set the receiving record with 1,046 yards and 71 catches. Allen became the first 1,000-yard rookie since A.J. Green in 2011 and is the fifth rookie since 2000 to go over the 1,000-yard mark. Quarterback Philip Rivers leads the NFL in completion percentage over 200 throws with 69.5 percent. He has a 32 touchdowns and 11 interceptions and is ranked fifth overall in total yards with 4,478.

Edge: Bengals

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
01/05/2014 12:18 PM


The Bengals defense is ranked in the top five in points allowed (19.1), yards (305.5), passing yards (209) and rushing yards (96.5). The Bengals have seven players with three or more sacks and their defense has recovered 11 fumbles. The Bengals have generated 20 interceptions that tie them for fifth in the league. Outside linebacker Vontaze Burfict leads the NFL in total combined tackles with 171. Alongside Burfict, middle linebacker Rey Maualuga’s versatility with pressuring the pocket and his ability to drop back into coverage helps complete the Bengals' dangerous defense.

The Chargers defense have been good at stopping the run allowing only 107.8 average yards. They have struggled in passing yards allowed (258.7) ranking them 29th and total yards 366.5. The Chargers only have one player with 100 or more tackles, free safety Eric Weddle with 115 combined tackles. Weddle also leads the team in interceptions with two. The Chargers defense has not been very good at getting to the quarterback and is ranked 23rd in total sacks with 35.

Edge: Bengals

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
01/05/2014 12:18 PM

Special Teams

Wide receiver Brandon Tate has returned 36 punts and has 16 fair catches averaging 9.3 yards per return. Cornerback Adam Jones has 11 returns averaging 8.0 yards per return. Brandon Tate has been exceptional at punt returns with 35 for 914 yards averaging 26.1 yards per return including a long of 43 yards. Kicker Mike Nugent has made 18-of-22 field goals (82 percent) with a long of 54 yards. Nugent has had one field goal attempt blocked.

Wide receivers Keenan Allen and Eddie Royal have returned punts for the Chargers. Allen has 15 returns and 13 fair catches averaging 8.3 yards per return. Royal has seven returns and seven fair catches averaging 5.9 yards per return. The Chargers have three players with over 100 yards in kick returns. Danny Woodhead has 12 kick returns for 262 yards including a long of 37 yards. Kicker Nick Novak has made 34-of-37 field goals (92 percent). He is a perfect 9-of-9 in field goal attempts between 40-49 yards and 2-of-2 in attempts of 50 or more yards.

Edge: Chargers

coleryan Posts:21705 Followers:24
01/05/2014 12:18 PM

Wunderdog says: "The Bengals are a perfect 8-0 at home, but that just begins to tell the story. Their last five home games show a composite score of 208-78, which works out to a margin of victory of 26 points per game. It isn't often a team survives four INTs by their QB and wins by 17 points, but that was the case last week with Cincinnati. Just 28 teams in NFL history have committed four turnovers and won by more than two TDs. That's how good this Bengals team can be at home.

"They have a solid defense, holding six teams to 20 or fewer at home, including just six points allowed to New England. It could be another long day for Philip Rivers as the Bengals have held opposing QBs to a 60.6 passer rating in this building, while registering 24 sacks. The Bengals are now 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games. And the Chargers are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games versus high-scoring offenses like the Bengals (teams that average 24-plus points per game). Andy Dalton is at his best versus bad pass defenses like San Diego's.

"San Diego had the ultimate backdoor playoff entry, but the Chargers have won four straight and their defense has played much better down the stretch. However, San Diego still has no running game, which becomes a lethal liability in the playoffs. And the Chargers have allowed opposing QBs to complete 66.4 percent of their passes.

"Dalton is 12-3 ATS versus teams that allow 61 percent-and-above completions. Lay the points on Cincy."

Pick: Bengals