cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/04/2011 06:56 PM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 10

Friday's games

Central Michigan lost five of last seven games, winning last week when woeful Akron went for 2-point conversion and win on last play of game; Chippewas won three of last four series games, but teams haven't played since '07. Six of Central's last seven games went over total; five of Kent's last six games stayed under. Kent's defense is improving, giving up 10-9 points in last two games, after losing first five games vs I-A teams by an average score of 32-8. Central is 1-5 on road, allowing 31+ points in four of last five- they were outscored 50-20 in second half of last two games.

Colorado is terrible, losing last six games (0-6 vs spread) by an average of 47-15, losing last four games by 41-28-43-34 points. Buffaloes allowed an average of 291 rushing yards in last three games. Would expect USC to pound ball and wear talent-thin Colorado down; Trojans just played tough games with Notre Dame/Stanford, losing 56-48 in OT to Cardinal at home six days ago, so they've got to be little flat here. Pac-12 favorites of 20+ points are 7-1 vs spread this season. USC is 2-1 on road, beating Cal/Notre Dame, losing 43-22 at Arizona State- they're 3-2 against the spread as a favorite this season. Colorado is 1-6 as an underdog.

Saturday's best games

UConn coach Pasqualoni coached at Syracuse for 14 years; his firing was not very popular- his Huskies won their last four games vs Syracuse, all by 17+ points, but this is first time he is facing Orange. UConn is 2-5 vs I-A teams, beating Buffalo/South Florida; they're 1-2 at home, losing to Iowa State/Western Michigan. Over is 5-2 in Syracuse games, 3-1 in last four UConn games. Syracuse is 1-2 on road, winning 37-34 at Tulane, losing by 21 at USC, 17 at Louisville. Big East home teams are 8-4 vs spread in conference play.

Underdogs are 6-2-2 vs spread in last ten Michigan-Iowa games, 4-0-1 in last five visits here, with Wolverines losing two of last three visits to this site. Michigan is 7-1 this year, winning 42-24 (-7) at Northwestern, then losing 28-14 (+2.5) at rival Michigan Statein its only road games. Big 11 home teams are 7-5 against spread in games where spread is less than 8 points. Hawkeyes are 4-0 at home, 0-3 on road; none of the teams they beat are any good.

Underdogs covered six of last nine Texas Tech-Texas games; Red Raiders lost last six visits here by average score of 48-23 (2-4 vs spread). Tech lost last two series games, both by 10 points- they allowed 34+ points in each of last six games overall, getting waxed 41-7 at home by lowly Iowa State last week, after they stunned Oklahoma in Norman. Texas is 2-1 as home favorite this year, 6-11 in last 17 tries overall. Tech is 5-8 in last 13 games as road dog- they won/covered all three road games so far this season, scoring an average of 48.3 ppg.

Texas A&M upset Oklahoma 33-19 LY, snapping 7-game series losing streak, winning for just second time in last 12 series games. A&M is 5-3 this season; they led 20-3/35-17/28-17 at halftime of those three games, so an easy out they ain't. Aggies are 4-7-1 in last 12 games as road dog, but this is first time they're underdog this year. Sooners are 5-4 as double digit series favorites. Oklahoma's last four wins are all by 30+, but they did lose to Texas Tech two weeks ago- they're 22-10-1 in last 33 games as a home favorite.

South Carolina has a great defense, allowing 35 points last seven games, but this is their third straight road game, and Wilson is best QB they've faced since Georgia's Murray eight weeks ago. Faves are 10-4 vs spread in last 14 South Carolina-Arkansas games, as Gamecocks lost five of last six visits here (2-4 vs spread) with losses by 17-12-22-3-34 points. Over is 5-2 in last seven Arkansas games, 1-5 in last six Carolina games. Hogs won four of last five series games, with last three wins all by 12+ points. SEC favorites are 21-9-1 vs spread this season, 11-2 at home.

Underdogs are 11-2 vs spread in last 13 North Carolina-NC State games, with 10 SU wins; Tar Heels lost three of last four visits here, with dogs covering four of last five. Tar Heels are 6-3, allowing 35-30-59 points in three losses- they're 3-3 as a favorite, 1-0 on road (4-6 as road fave since 2006). State is 2-4 vs I-A teams, but they're 7-3 vs spread in their last 10 games as a home dog. ACC home teams are 6-2 vs spread when spread is less than five points. Last three Carolina games went over the total.

Favorites are 5-2-2 in last nine LSU-Alabama games, with Tigers 8-3 in last 11 SU, winning four of last five visits here (Saban did some of that damage when he coached LSU). LSU is 5-8 as underdog under Miles, 4-6 on road, but they haven't been a dog this year, winning all seven games vs I-A opponents by 13+ points, with road wins at Miss State (19-6), West Va (47-21) and Tennessee (38-7). Alabama is 7-1 vs spread, with only non-cover a 41-0 win when they were favored by 46. Over is 3-1-1 in last five LSU games. Tide outscored last four foes 100-0 in 2nd half.

Oregon won its last seven games vs Washington by an average score of 43-16 (7-0 vs spread), winning last two visits here 43-19/55-34. Ducks scored 41+ points in every game since the loss to LSU, winning on road at Arizona (56-31, -16), Colorado (45-2, -31). Washington won four of last five games, covered six of last seven; they're 5-2 vs I-A teams, with losses at Nebraska (51-38, +17), at Stanford (65-21, +20). Huskies beat four cupcakes at home this year; they're 4-3 as home underdogs under Sarkisian. Five of last seven games for both teams went over the total.

Arizona State lost five of last six visits to UCLA, with only win 24-20 in 2007 (-6.5); favorites covered last three series games. ASU is +14 in turnovers its last five games, but they're just 1-2 on road, losing 17-14 at Illinois (+1), 41-27 (,+16) at Oregon, beating Utah (35-14, -4). Bruins are 3-1 at home, losing 49-20 to Texas; they're 15-7 in last 22 games as home underdog, but just 8-7 under Neuheisel. Pac-10 home underdogs are 3-7 vs spread this season, 0-4 if spread is double digits. Last five ASU tilts went over total; four of last five UCLA games stayed under.

Since 2001, Wake Forest is 16-9-1 as a home underdog, 2-1 this season, upsetting NC State/Florida State at home, losing to Va Tech 38-7; Wake is playing fir sixth week in row, while Notre Dame had bye three weeks ago and an easy win over Navy last week. Irish are on road for first time in five weeks; they're 2-2 as road favorite under Kelly, 1-2 this year, as ND lost at Michigan (31-35, -3.5), beat Pitt (15-12, -7), Purdue (38-10, -12). ACC non-conference underdogs are 0-5 this season, 0-2 at home.

Utah-Arizona haven't met since 2005; Wildcats are 1-6 vs I-A teams, the coach has been fired and their season is a disaster, but they did cover the one game they were favored at home, and are 11-6 as home faves since '08. Since 2001, Utah is 15-8 as a road underdog, 2-2 this year, winning at BYU (54-10, +5.5), Pitt (26-14, +7). Five of Arizona's six losses are by 10+ points. Four of last five Arizona games went over total, four of last five Utah games stayed under. Single digit home favorites are 6-2 vs spread in Pac-10 play so far this season.

Baylor (+14) won 40-32 at Missouri LY, its first win in last seven games against the Tigers; Bears were underdog in all seven games. Mizzou won its last three visits here, 31-28/30-10/47-22. The 2011 Bears don't have much defense, allowing 114 points in their last two games, losing 55-28 at A&M (+9.5), 59-24 at Oklahoma State (+14.5)- they're 3-0 at home, scoring 51.7 ppg. Baylor is 7-4 as home favorite under Briles. Missouri is 3-0 as road dog this season, losing 37-30 at Arizona State (+8), 38-28 at Oklahoma (+20), winning 38-31 in OT at A&M (+11.5).

Underdogs covered three of last four Cincinnati-Pitt games; Bearcats are 2-4 in last six series games, winning 45-44 (-2) in last visit here, only win in their last three visits to Pitt. Home underdogs are 4-1 vs spread in Big East games this season. Three of last four Cincinnati games stayed under the total. Bearcats won last five games (4-1 vs spread); they're 2-1 away from home, winning 37-34 at South Florida, 27-0 at Miami O, losing at Tennessee 45-23. Cincy is 4-2 in last six games as road favorite, Pitt lost four of last six games; they're 4-1 in last five games as a home dog.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/04/2011 07:02 PM


Friday, November 4

USC at Colorado: What bettors need to know

USC Trojans at Colorado Buffaloes (+21, 58.5)

THE STORY: USC gave up a school-record 56 points in its gut-wrenching triple-overtime loss to No. 3 Stanford last weekend. Now, the Trojans, who dropped to 64th nationally in scoring defense at 26.8 points per game, look to bounce back with a win at Colorado. The Buffaloes have yet to win a conference game in their first-ever Pac-12 season and they are riding a six-game losing streak for the first time since 2006, when they started the year 0-6.

This is USC’s first Friday night game since 1999 and it’s Colorado’s first-ever game on Friday. The Trojans lead this all-time series 5-0, but these teams haven’t met since 2002.


LINE MOVES: Southern Cal opened as high as -22 and has been bet down to -21. The total opened at 56.5 points and has been bet up to 58.5.

ABOUT USC (6-2, 3-2 Pac-12, 4-4 ATS): If there was one positive for the Trojans to take from the loss to Stanford, it was the offense’s continued dominance. Southern Cal scored at least 30 points for the fourth consecutive game and fifth time this season. Running back Curtis McNeal rushed for a career-high 145 yards and two touchdowns and wideout Robert Woods kept his outstanding season going with 89 yards and a touchdown. The sophomore is tied for second nationally with 10.1 receptions per game and is on pace to break USC’s single-season receptions record.

ABOUT COLORADO (1-8, 0-5 Pac-12, 2-7 ATS): After back-to-back blowout losses to Oregon and Arizona State, the Buffaloes’ tough Pac-12 schedule continues this Friday. Colorado is struggling on both sides of the ball, ranking in the bottom 30 nationally in both total offense and total defense, while allowing 38 points per game. Quarterback Tyler Hansen is one of the few bright spots. The senior moved into fifth place on Colorado’s all-time career passing yards list after throwing for 285 yards and a touchdown in a 48-14 loss at Arizona State.


1. USC quarterback Matt Barkley needs 108 yards of total offense to move into third on the school’s career total offense list.

2. The forecast in Boulder calls for snow this weekend, and temperatures are expected to be in the 30s Friday evening. That’s extra cold for kids from California.

3. The Buffaloes have lost their last four games by an average of 36.5 points.


* Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as road favorites.
* Buffaloes are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games as home underdogs.
* Under is 6-2 in Trojans' last eight games as favorites.
* Over is 8-3 in Buffaloes' last 11 games as home underdogs.

PREDICTION: USC 45, Colorado 20. The Trojans might struggle initially to get over such a tough loss, but in the end they’ll blow past a weak Buffaloes defense.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/04/2011 07:03 PM

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 10

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Michigan State Spartans (-27.5, 47)

Why Minnesota will cover: The underdog is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Minnesota is coming off a SU win vs. Iowa. Perhaps the team is figuring things out.

Why Michigan State will cover: The Gophers rank 107th in passing, while the Spartans are No. 1 in pass defense. Once MSU takes a lead, it’s only going to get worse.

Points: The under is 6-2 in MSU’s last eight.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Longhorns (-12, 60.5)

Why Texas Tech will cover: Texas Tech can score with the best of them and if it can get a lead, the Longhorns aren’t great at rallying. Texas is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine in the Big 12.

Why Texas will cover: The Longhorns are 17th in rushing, and the Raiders are 114th at stopping the run. Texas’ defense remains strong at all levels.

Points: The under is 7-3 in Texas Tech’s last 10 as an underdog.

Louisville Cardinals at West Virginia Mountaineers (-13.5, 51.5)

Why Louisville will cover: The Cardinals are 4-0 ATS in their last four, thanks to a defense that ranks 11th in scoring (16.2 ppg) and 11th in rushing (97.4).

Why West Virginia will cover: No game is out of reach for the Mountaineers and their No. 7 passing offense, as evidenced by last week’s big rally over Rutgers.

Points: The over has hit in WVU’s last seven games, but the under is 7-0-1- for UofL.

Michigan Wolverines at Iowa Hawkeyes (+4, 57)

Why Michigan will cover: Michigan’s defense ranks sixth in points allowed (14.6 ppg), and Iowa’s offense doesn’t have much going on right now. Iowa is just 1-6-1 ATS in its last eight in the Big 10.

Why Iowa will cover: The underdog is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Iowa is a perfect 5-0 at home.

Points: As Michigan’s defense has improved, so have the chances for the under.

New Mexico State Aggies at Georgia Bulldogs (-34.5, 57.5)

Why New Mexico State will cover: The Aggies have scored 31 or more points in their last four games. Scoring enough to cover shouldn’t take that many.

Why Georgia will cover: The Bulldogs’ defense ranks in the top 25 in every category, and that’s mainly against SEC competition. How are the Aggies going to put up big numbers?

Points: The over has hit in NMSU’s last five games, but the under is 4-1 in Georgia’s last five.

Northwestern Wildcats at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-17.5, 63.5)

Why Northwestern will cover: The Wildcats’ offense can score in multiple ways. If they can get a lead, Nebraska can’t throw.

Why Nebraska will cover: The Huskers’ defense seems to be figuring things out, allowing just 17 points the last two games. Nebraska has the potential to run away with this one, especially at home.

Points: The over is 5-0 in Northwestern’s last five and Nebraska can hit on a big play at any moment.

Texas A&M Aggies at Oklahoma Sooners (-13.5, 68.5)

Why Texas A&M will cover: Texas A&M’s three losses have come by a combined 12 points - less than the spread of this one. The Aggies have the offense to keep up.

Why Oklahoma will cover: Oklahoma averages 397 ypg through the air (No. 2), Texas A&M allows 318 ypg through the air (No. 120). The home team is 11-2 in the last 13 in this series.

Points: We should see more touchdowns than punts in this one.

Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers (+20.5, 60.5)

Why Stanford will cover: The Cardinal had a wake-up call last week, and still won at USC in overtime. And still covered (8-0 ATS).

Why Oregon State will cover: The Beavers can move the ball through the air, which could keep them in the game into the fourth quarter.

Points: The over has hit in four of OSU’s last five and in Stanford’s last two.

Purdue Boilermakers at Wisconsin Badgers (-25.5, 57)

Why Purdue will cover: Purdue has a balanced offense and had been playing better before last week’s rough loss to Michigan. The Boilermakers are 3-1 ATS in their last four.

Why Wisconsin will cover: Two losses on two Hail Marys in two weeks? Hard to imagine happening at home against a team ranked 90th in passing. UW is 12-3-1 in last 16 at home and overall.

Points: The Badgers average 45 ppg and should be poised to pour it on. Purdue can also score.

Southern Miss Eagles at East Carolina Pirates (+8.5, 58)

Why Southern Miss will cover: Southern Mississippi is 6-0 ATS in its last six, and is a team on the rise. ECU struggles to run the ball and stop the run.

Why East Carolina will cover: The Pirates, however, can pass the ball and stop the pass. They’ve scored 34, 35 and 38 in their last three.

Points: The under is 6-2 in USM games, but this is an offense that can score in a hurry. So can ECU.

Cincinnati Bearcats at Pittsburgh Panthers (+2.5, 54)

Why Cincinnati will cover: The Bearcats’ offense averages more than 200 yards both rushing and passing and 41 ppg. That’s a small spread for a team that has been scoring at will.

Why Pittsburgh will cover: Cincy is just 3-9 ATS in its last 12 Big East games, while Pitt is 14-5 in its last 19. Cincinnati ranks 109th in pass defense.

Points: If the conditions are right, the over could be hit by halftime.

Houston Cougars at UAB Blazers (+28, 73)

Why Houston will cover: The Cougars are 6-2 ATS thanks to the nation’s best offense, which is tops in scoring (52.2 ppg) and passing (453 ypg). UAB’s defense can’t defend the pass.

Why UAB will cover: The Blazers did cover their previous five before last week’s blowout loss to Marshall.

Points: The under is 7-3 in UAB’s last 10, but the over is 6-2 for Houston this season.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Arkansas Razorbacks (-5, 52.5)

Why South Carolina will cover: The Gamecocks’ strengths (run offense, pass defense) match up well with what the Razorbacks will be looking to do.

Why Arkansas will cover: Arkansas is 8-2 ATS against USC in the last 10 meetings, and 4-1 ATS at home this season.

Points: The under is 5-1 in USC’s last six. This is a game that could go in either direction.

Arizona State Sun Devils at UCLA Bruins (+9.5, 55)

Why Arizona State will cover: Statistically, ASU has the edge in just about every conceivable way. UCLA is a miserable 3-13 ATS in its last 16.

Why UCLA will cover: The Bruins are 6-2 ATS against the Devils in their last eight. Maybe the impressive win at Cal sparks a UCLA team that was expected to be better.

Points: The over is 7-1 in ASU games and could run away with this one, but the under has hit in UCLA’s last three.

LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-5, 41.5)

Why LSU will cover: The Tigers have no weaknesses; they can run, pass (on the rare times they have to), stop the run and stop the pass. LSU has fared well against comparable Alabama opponents.

Why Alabama will cover: Bama’s defense may go down as one of the best of all time. It currently ranks No. 1 nationally in points allowed (6.9 ppg), rushing yards (44.9) and total yards (180.5) and No. 2 in pass yards (135.6). The offense isn’t bad either, in the top 15 in rushing yards and points scored. Plus, getting this showdown at home at night doesn’t hurt.

Points: It’s hard to imagine this game becoming a shootout.

Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-21, 68)

Why Kansas State will cover: The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven, ranking 20th in rushing and 17th in rush defense. OSU’s defense is 84th against the run.

Why Oklahoma State will cover: The only team hotter than KSU is OSU, which is 7-0 ATS in its last seven. The Cowboys rank fourth in passing and second in scoring, while KSU’s defense is 103rd in pass defense.

Points: Both teams have great offenses and so-so defenses. Could make for a big day on both sides.

Boise State Broncos at UNLV Runnin’ Rebels (+41, 59.5)

Why Boise State will cover: The Rebels have little chance of forcing more than 1-2 punts from the Broncos. If Boise State scores TDs and doesn’t settle for FGs — like usual — it might win by 60.

Why UNLV will cover: If UNLV has a strength, it’s running the ball. Keep it on the ground, score twice late, and covering that monstrous spread at home is possible. It does enter on a one-game win streak.

Points: Boise State will do its part to hit the over.

Oregon Ducks at Washington Huskies (+16, 74)

Why Oregon will cover: Washington’s defense has struggled, and Oregon’s offense is No. 4 in scoring and rushing. The favorite is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Why Washington will cover: The Huskies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven and 7-1-1 in their last nine conference games, and the team’s offense can generate the points to stick around, as it has all season.

Points: The scoreboard will be bright by the end of this one.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/04/2011 07:04 PM


Saturday, November 5

College football betting weather report: Week 10

Nothing lasts forever in the cold November rain. Guns and Roses might have been talking about college football – maybe? Either way, the cold winter weather is showing up in Week 10. Find out how it will impact your bets:

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Michigan State Spartans (-27.5, 47.5)

Winds will pick up in East Lansing, blowing SE at speeds of up to 12 mph. That will drop the temperature on the field to a chilly 45 degrees before kickoff.

Michigan Wolverines at Iowa Hawkeyes (+3.5, 58)

The forecast in Iowa City is calling from winds, blowing south from end to end, at speeds of up to 17 mph.

Texas Tech Red Raiders at Texas Longhorns (-14, 61.5)

Passing could be slowed by the winds in Austin Saturday. The forecast calls for winds, blowing SSE, to pick up speed in the second half, reaching 15 mph.

Vanderbilt Commodores at Florida Gators (-13.5, 44.5)

Winds will reach speeds of 12 mph, blowing NE from corner to corner in Gainesville Saturday.

North Carolina Tar Heels at North Carolina State Wolfpack (+3.5, 55)

The forecast in Raleigh is calling for winds, blowing NE from sideline to sideline, at speeds of up to 13 mph.

Kansas Jayhawks at Iowa State Cyclones (-14, 60.5)

It’s no cyclone, but the wind will blow south from end to end, at speeds of up to 21 mph in Ames Saturday.

TCU Horned Frogs at Wyoming Cowboys (+19.5, 57.5)

The Frogs will be out of their element when they play in the snow at War Memorial Stadium. The forecast is calling for a 59 percent chance of the white stuff, with temperatures dipping into the low 30s. Wind will also play a factor, blowing WNW from sideline to sideline at speeds of up to 22 mph.

Northwestern Wildcats at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-17.5, 64)

Wind will come into play in Lincoln, with gusts expected to get up around 26 mph, blowing south from end to end.

Texas A&M Aggies at Oklahoma Sooners (-13.5, 69)

Strong winds could slow down these Big 12 scoring machines. Winds are expected to blow south at speeds of up to 26 mph in Norman.

Purdue Boilermakers at Wisconsin Badgers (-25.5, 58.5)

The forecast for Madison is calling for 12-mph winds, blowing SSE from end to end.

Army Black Knights at Air Force Falcons (-16.5, 59)

Rain is in the forecast for the Academy, with a 20 percent chance of showers and winds blowing west at 12 mph.

Stanford Cardinal at Oregon State Beavers (+20.5, 60.5)

The undefeated Cardinal will face a hostile crowd and some classic Oregon weather Saturday. The forecast for Corvallis is calling for an 80 percent chance of rain, with winds blowing south from corner to corner at speeds of up to 13 mph. Game-time temperatures will fall into the low 40s.

Arkansas State Red Wolves at Florida Atlantic Owls (+16.5, 47)

Winds will blow NE across the field at speeds of up to 13 mph in Miami Saturday.

Idaho Vandals at San Jose State Spartans (-8, 47)

The forecast in San Jose is calling for a 16 percent chance of rain Saturday.

Washington State Cougars at California Golden Bears (-9.5, 56)

Cal is still calling AT&T Park home and could get hit by thundershowers Saturday. There’s a 23 percent chance of rain and winds blowing at speeds of up to 13 mph in the Bay Area.

South Florida Bulls at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (+2.5, 49)

The Bulls will be playing in some chilly Jersey weather Saturday. Game-time temperatures will fall into the low 40s.

Missouri Tigers at Baylor Bears (-2.5, 73.5)

Winds will blow in Waco, reaching speeds of up to 12 mph and moving SSE from corner to corner at Floyd Casey Stadium.

Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-21, 69.5)

The forecast in Stillwater is calling for fairly strong winds, blowing SSE at speeds of up to 20 mph from sideline to sideline.

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs at Fresno State Bulldogs (-3, 58.5)

The battle of the Bulldogs could be a wet one with the forecast calling for a 41 percent chance of showers Saturday.

Utah State Aggies at Hawaii Warriors (-3.5, 59.5)

So much for the classic Hawaiian sun and surf. The forecast is calling for a 55 percent chance of showers and winds reaching speeds of 12 mph at Aloha Stadium.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/04/2011 07:05 PM


Saturday, November 5

LSU at Alabama: What bettors need to know

LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-4.5, 41)

THE STORY: The national championship technically won't be decided until Jan. 9 in New Orleans, but the matchup of No. 1 LSU and No. 2 Alabama on Saturday in Tuscaloosa, Ala., might as well serve as a national semifinal. The winner of the SEC West showdown immediately becomes the front-runner to win the BCS crown, while the loser will need plenty of help to get back in the national title picture. The meeting is the first between No. 1 and No. 2 outside the SEC championship game since top-ranked Ohio State beat No. 2 Michigan in 2006. Neither team has really been challenged. The Tigers' closest call was a 19-6 win at Mississippi State on Sept. 15, while the Crimson Tide's narrowest margin was a 27-11 victory at Penn State on Sept. 10. Alabama leads the all-time series 45-24-5 and has won two of the past three meetings.


LINE MOVES: Alabama opened at high as a 6-point favorite but has since been bet down to -4.5. The total opened as high as 43.5 points and has come down to 41.

WEATHER: Clear skies and game-time temperatures in the mid 50s are in the forecast for Tuscaloosa. There will be a light wind blowing east at 3 mph.

ABOUT LSU (8-0, 5-0 SEC West, 6-2 ATS): The Tigers are off to their best start since winning their first nine games in 1973. The effectiveness of LSU's defense, which ranks in the top 10 nationally in four major categories - third in scoring and rush defense, fourth in total defense and fifth in pass efficiency defense - is no surprise. But the offense has been surprisingly potent with the quarterback duo of Jarrett Lee and Jordan Jefferson splitting time, averaging 39.2 points per game, second in the SEC behind Alabama. The Tigers were without three players - defensive backs Tyrann Mathieu and Tharold Simon, and running back Spencer Ware - for their 45-10 victory over Auburn two weeks ago because the trio failed drug tests. Their suspensions were expected to be for one game, but coach Les Miles had not announced their reinstatement as of Wednesday night. Mathieu is the team's top all-around defensive player, and Ware is the leading rusher with 512 yards and six touchdowns.

ABOUT ALABAMA (8-0, 5-0, 7-1 ATS): The Crimson Tide lead the SEC it total offense (457.6 yards per game), total defense (180.5 yards), scoring offense (39.4 points per game) and scoring defense (6.9 points). Led by the trio of running back Trent Richardson (989 rushing yards, 17 touchdowns), quarterback A.J. McCarron (1,664 passing yards, 10 touchdowns, three interceptions) and wide receiver Marquis Maze (39 catches, 482 yards, touchdown), the offense has extended Alabama's school-record streak of consecutive games scoring at least 20 points to 27. Alabama has won 25 of its past 26 games at Bryant-Denny Stadium dating to the start of the 2008 season.


1. Alabama has won nine straight games by 16 or more points, its longest such streak since 1950. The Crimson Tide have not allowed more than 14 points in any of those nine games. LSU has won its past nine games by at least 13 points and has allowed more than 11 points only three times during that stretch.

2. In 480 minutes this season, LSU has trailed for only 6 minutes, 33 seconds. The Tigers have not trailed since the second quarter of their season-opening 40-27 win over Oregon and have scored first in every game this season.

3. Alabama has outscored its last six opponents 142-7 in the second half and has not allowed a point after halftime in its past four games. The Tide have outscored opponents 69-8 in the fourth quarter this season.


* Tigers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in Alabama.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine meetings.
* Road team is 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings.

PREDICTION: Alabama 27, LSU 19 - Both teams have outstanding defenses, but the Crimson Tide have more weapons on offense and the home-field advantage.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/05/2011 10:28 AM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
11/04/11 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
11/03/11 4-*2-*0 66.67% +*900 Detail
11/02/11 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail
11/01/11 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
Totals 8-*6-*0 57.14% +700

Saturday, November 5

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Minnesota - 12:00 PM ET Minnesota +28 500
Michigan State - Over 46.5 500

Indiana - 12:00 PM ET Ohio State -27.5 500
Ohio State - Under 52.5 500

Texas Tech - 12:00 PM ET Texas Tech +14 500
Texas - Over 60.5 500

Louisville - 12:00 PM ET Louisville +12.5 500
West Virginia -

Ball State - 12:00 PM ET Ball State +2.5 500
Eastern Michigan - Over 54 500

Michigan - 12:00 PM ET Michigan -3.5 500

Vanderbilt - 12:21 PM ET Vanderbilt +13.5 500
Florida -

New Mexico State - 12:30 PM ET New Mexico State +34.5 500
Georgia - Over 56.5 500

Kansas - 12:30 PM ET Iowa State -14 500
Iowa State -

Virginia - 12:30 PM ET Maryland +3 500
Maryland - Over 53 500

North Carolina - 12:30 PM ET North Carolina -3.5 500
North Carolina State - Over 55 500

Texas Christian - 2:00 PM ET Wyoming +19.5 500

Duke - 3:00 PM ET Duke +15.5 500
Miami -

Tulane - 3:00 PM ET Southern Methodist -26.5 500
Southern Methodist -

Mississippi - 3:30 PM ET Mississippi -2 500
Kentucky - Over 45 500

Northwestern - 3:30 PM ET Nebraska -17.5 500
Nebraska -

Texas A&M - 3:30 PM ET Oklahoma -13.5 500
Oklahoma -

Stanford - 3:30 PM ET Stanford -20.5 500
Oregon State -

Texas El Paso - 3:30 PM ET Rice +1 500
Rice -

Purdue - 3:30 PM ET Wisconsin -26 500
Wisconsin -

UL Monroe - 3:30 PM ET UL Lafayette -5.5 500
UL Lafayette -

Army - 3:30 PM ET Army +16 500
Air Force -

Troy - 3:30 PM ET Troy +6.5 500
Navy -

Southern Mississippi - 4:00 PM ET Southern Mississippi -8.5 500
East Carolina -

Arkansas State - 4:00 PM ET Arkansas State -16.5 500
Florida Atlantic -

Idaho - 4:00 PM ET San Jose State -8 500
San Jose State -

Florida International - 4:00 PM ET Western Kentucky +3 500
Western Kentucky - Over 49.5 500

Washington State - 6:30 PM ET Washington State +8 500
California - Over 56 500

Evening Games posted Later......GOOD LUCK All !

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33139 Followers:38
11/05/2011 10:58 AM

Saturday’s betting tips: Ducks quacking with Thomas, James

Who’s hot

CFB: Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last seven overall and 4-0 ATS in its last four home games.

CFB: Kansas State is 6-1 ATS in its last seven overall and the over is 5-1 in its last six overall.

CFB: The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings between Purdue and Wisconsin.

NHL: The Sharks are 6-1 in their last seven overall.

CFL: Winnipeg is 4-0-1 ATS in its last five meetings with Calgary.

Who’s not

CFB: Maryland is 1-6 ATS in its last seven overall and 0-5 ATS in its last five home games.

CFB: Vanderbilt is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games.

CFB: Nebraska is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games.

NHL: The Islanders are 0-6 in their last six overall.

CFL: Montreal is 0-4 ATS in its last four overall and 1-4 ATS in its last five road games.

Key stat

305, 4, 0 – Andrew Luck had a field day last season against Oregon State, passing for 305 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions in a 38-0 blowout. Another barrage of passing can be expected when Stanford, a 20.5-point favorite, visits Oregon State on Saturday night. A porous Beaver defense is ranked 60th in the nation in passing yards allowed at 222.2 yards per game.

Injuries that shouldn’t be overlooked

Can 6-2 Washington stay within 16.5 points of 7-1 Oregon on Saturday night? That’s the question bettors are asking of the host Huskies. In order to do so, they will have to contain a high-powered Oregon attack that is expected to have all hands on deck.

The Ducks are without suspended cornerback Cliff Harris, but quarterback Darron Thomas and running back LaMichael James are good to go. An October knee injury forced Thomas to miss a game against Colorado and he played sparingly last week against Washington State. James, who missed two games and rushed only 13 times versus Wazzou, is reportedly 100 percent for the first time since an October 6 knee injury against California.

Biggest games on the slate

LSU Tigers at Alabama Crimson Tide (-4.5, 41.5)

Notable quotable

"You can't get frustrated winning. You can get frustrated by not starting out like you expect your team to do. We know how good we are. We expect to start faster. We expect to play way better than we played." – Arkansas’ receiver Jarius Wright after his team’s 31-28 escape last weekend against Vanderbilt. The Razorbacks trailed 21-7 in the second quarter and 28-17 in the third before clawing their way back. They are hosting South Carolina in a matchup of 7-1 teams on Saturday.

Tips and notes

The San Jose Sharks were not too pleased with their 5-2 loss at the Rangers on Monday. In fact, Joe Thornton put the setback entirely on his own team and called New York "the softest team we played against on this road trip." On said road trip, the Sharks won five in a row before ending it with Monday's loss. They bounced back with an inspired performance on Thursday and beat Pittsburgh 4-3 in a shootout. San Jose has scored at least two goals in seven straight games and has scored four goals four times in this seven-game stretch heading into Saturday's contest against Nashville.

Something will have to give when Utah visits Arizona on Saturday. Utah, a 3.5-point underdog, boats the Pac-12's best defense at 325.6 yards per game (yes, that is the best in the conference; 22nd in the nation). The unit is second in the conference and 11th in the nation in passing defense. Facing the Utes is Wildcats' quarterback Nick Foles, who is third in the country with 2934 passing yards and first with more than 32 completions per game.

It may be a good idea to wait until the last minute to take action on Sunday's NFC West clash between Arizona and St. Louis. The status of both starting quarterbacks is up in the air as of Friday night, although the news is better for St. Louis. Sam Bradford is questionable after missing two games with a high ankle sprain. Capable backup A.J. Feeley will start again if Bradford can't go. For the Cardinals, Kevin Kolb is doubtful with turf toe. It should be a safe bet that John Skelton will get the nod, although the team's website reported Skelton as saying, "As far I heard, Kevin is still a possibility."

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: