spooky Posts:4696 Followers:319
On 12/05/2013 01:51 PM in NCAA Football


All selections, analysis and thoughts will be posted on the Bowl Express Thread



Wednesday, Jan 1, 12:00 pm

To me, this bowl game here is one that should be one of the more interesting, evenly matched bowl games, with the only difference being a defensive statistic. In terms of their per game averages on offense you are going to see that they rank anywhere from 47th to 71st between the two teams in all of the stats. That's pretty crazy when you find two teams that are this evenly matched in the Heart of Dallas bowl.

The UNLV Runnin' Rebels are sitting at 7-5 overall, and they average 31.3 points per game. Their defense has been their real issue, as it's never a good thing when you allow more points on average than you score, as they allow 31.5 points per game. Their offense has some firepower, but the defense has the ability to break down at different points, which makes for a scary combination for sports bettors.

The North Texas Mean Green on the other side are 8-4 this year, and they average almost the same in points per game at 31.5. On defense though this is where the huge difference really comes in. North Texas has a much better defense than UNLV does, allowing just 18.1 points per game. They've also won six of their last seven games of this year.

While North Texas was hot to end the year, they had a few tough losses, with a close one coming against Ohio, and also losing to the Georgia Bulldogs early in the year. UNLV on the other side went 3-3 to end the year, but all three of their losses came against bowl teams, who are all strong competition.


The UNLV Rebels do walk into a difficult spot here. North Texas essentially has a home game because they are so close to home. The Mean Green will be plenty comfortable in this one. Dan McCarney is North Texas’ coach, and he has the Mean Green playing some tremendous defense. UNLV’s run defense still hasn’t proven it can stop a good rushing attack, and I think North Texas has their way on the ground here. UNLV has had a great season, but I don’t like this matchup at all for the Rebels. North Texas is an interesting team, their defense has really been impressive at times this year, especially against evenly matched, or overmatched competition. This is a spot where I think it really does favor the Mean Green, as UNLV has a solid offense, but not one that I can see dominating this North Texas defense. UNLV's defense is also a real liability, and I can see North Texas taking advantage of this. Look for the North Texas defense and home-field advantage to lead to a comfortable win for the Mean Green. Either the public is underestimating these non BCS teams or we are in for a big surprise. North Texas will win this game by more than 2 touchdowns and surprise most everyone but Spooky. Will update as we get closer to game. The current spread on this game is at -6.5 for the Mean Green, and I love this at under a touchdown for the better team in my opinion and have been recommending this wager for weeks. I think the Mean Green win this game by more than two touchdowns though.


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stormy1114 Posts:155 Followers:0
12/20/2013 04:17 PM

north texas 5 star selection