cnotes Posts:33043 Followers:38
10/31/2011 05:58 PM

San Diego Chargers, Kansas City Chiefs Monday Night Football

The Kansas City Chiefs may have turned in the most surprising performance of Week 7 and hope to carry that over to Monday Night Football when they host the San Diego Chargers in a key AFC West matchup.

Will Kansas City fans get a trick or a treat though when their team takes the field at Arrowhead Stadium on Halloween night?

The Chiefs (3-3) looked nothing like the defending division champions through the first three weeks of the season, but they have bounced back by winning three in a row and will try to beat the Chargers (4-2) for just the second time in nine meetings. Which Kansas City team shows up will be the key to who wins this game following the Chiefs' impressive 28-0 road win against the Oakland Raiders.

Game time is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. (ET) with television coverage provided by ESPN. San Diego opened as a 3 ½-point favorite according to the Don Best odds screen and has remained there while the total is steady at 44.

The Chargers fell from No. 5 to No. 7 this week in the Don Best Linemakers Poll after losing on the road to the New York Jets, 27-21. The setback snapped a three-game winning streak that started with a 20-17 home win over the 23rd-ranked Chiefs in Week 3.

San Diego failed to cover the 14 ½-point spread against Kansas City in the first meeting this season, as the team could not find a way to get up by more than 10 at any point. The Chargers have covered just two of their six games this year with the ‘over’ cashing in the last two.

The Chiefs played their first full game without running back Jamaal Charles at San Diego and have since found a capable replacement in Jackie Battle, who carried the ball just one time for two yards in that Sept. 25 game. He has averaged nearly 98 yards on 35 combined rushing attempts over the last past two.

Kansas City quarterback Matt Cassel has also played much better in the last three games, all resulting in wins. Cassel had failed to throw for more than 176 yards during the team’s 0-3 start with three touchdowns and five interceptions. In the three wins, he has averaged 226 passing yard with five touchdowns and two picks.

San Diego has beaten Kansas City in the last two meetings since losing last year’s season opener at Arrowhead Stadium, 21-14. The Chargers were also favored by four points in that game and wound up seeing their streak of four straight AFC West titles come to an end despite pounding the Chiefs 31-0 in the rematch.

The Chargers have some health concerns on offense, specifically the left side of their line and the backfield. Tackle Marcus McNeill is doubtful with a neck injury and guard Kris Dielman is questionable with a concussion.

Ryan Mathews (thumb) is probable but his backfield mate Mike Tolbert is questionable with a hamstring injury.

The Chiefs are not reporting any new injuries.

The weather forecast for Kansas City on Monday calls for a high temperature of 66 cooling down to 42 at night.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33043 Followers:38
10/31/2011 06:00 PM

MNF - Chargers at Chiefs

October 29, 2011

Halloween night in the NFL showcases a pair of AFC West rivals getting together in Kansas City to close out Week 8. The suddenly surging 3-3 Chiefs welcome in the 4-2 Chargers to Arrowhead Stadium with first-place on the line in the division. San Diego has heard the criticism all season that it hasn't beaten any quality opponents, as the Bolts try to put a bad loss at New York last week behind them.

The Chargers thought they had jumped a hurdle by taking a 21-10 lead over the Jets in Week 7, but New York responded by scoring the final 17 points in a 27-21 victory as short home 'dogs. Philip Rivers threw for a season-low 179 yards in the defeat, while the Chargers were held scoreless in the second half. Norv Turner's squad maintained its hold atop the AFC West as the Raiders put up a horrendous performance at home last Sunday.

Oakland fell to 4-3 after Kansas City went to the Black Hole and tossed a 28-0 shutout against its hated rival. The Chiefs blanked their first opponent since a 41-0 thrashing of the 49ers at home in 2006, while Kansas City evened its mark at 3-3. Todd Haley's defense intercepted six passes in the win, while returning a pair of picks for touchdowns. Matt Cassel didn't help the Chiefs' offense by tossing two interceptions of his own, but Kansas City received a pair of rushing touchdowns to cover as 3 ½-point underdogs.

The Chiefs have now cashed in four straight games after an 0-2 start, as the defending AFC West champions are finally scoring points. Kansas City was outscored 89-10 in blowout losses to Buffalo and Detroit, but the confidence turned upward in a Week 3 setback at San Diego. The Chargers were laying 14 ½ points, but the Chiefs made things interesting with a 20-17 defeat to finally cover for backers. Since then, Kansas City is averaging 26 points a game, while turning into the hottest team from an ATS standpoint since Week 3.

The knock on the Chargers in the past was starting slow out of the gate, but San Diego can't even get credit this season in spite of a 4-2 record. The Bolts beat the Vikings in Week 1, the previously winless Chiefs in Week 3, the winless Dolphins in Week 4, and the struggling Broncos in Week 5. However, the two losses came to a pair of playoff teams from a year ago, the Patriots and Jets.

San Diego has won seven of the previous eight meetings in this series, as the lone Chiefs' victory came in the season opener at Arrowhead Stadium last season. In a driving rainstorm, Kansas City's quest to a division title began with a 21-14 triumph as four-point home 'dogs. The Chiefs used a pair of big plays from Jamaal Charles and Dexter McCluster to spark the win, despite racking up only 197 yards of offense. Taking away that slip-up last season, the Bolts are 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS the previous four matchups in Western Missouri.

From a totals standpoint, the Chargers are 3-3 to the 'over,' but the three 'overs' have come away from Southern California. Kansas City is also 3-3 in the totals department, while splitting the two home games ('over' vs. Buffalo and 'under' vs. Minnesota). The Chiefs are 6-2 to the 'under' in their last eight home contests since last October.

Kansas City is playing just its second Monday night game since 2006, while San Diego is 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS in that same span under the Monday lights (six games against AFC West competition). The Bolts need to improve on a 3-6 ATS record as a road favorite since the start of 2010. On the flip side, the Chiefs are a solid 10-4 ATS as underdogs in the last 14 games under Haley, dating back to December 2009.

The Chargers opened up as four-point road 'chalk,' but that number has dropped to three pretty much across the board. The total is set at 44 ½, as temperatures are expected to be in the low 60's and clear. The game will be televised nationally on ESPN and kicks off at 8:30 PM EST from Arrowhead Stadium.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33043 Followers:38
10/31/2011 06:04 PM

Big 'dogs help Books

October 31, 2011

What looked to be an early NFL schedule of ugly games uglier turned out to be the prettiest gateway to success for Las Vegas sports books, who had their best Sunday of the season.
“What a bunch of ugly early pro games the bettors had to watch,“ said Station Casino’s sports book director Jason McCormick. “We had a hard time figuring out what was the most competitive game to broadcast sound throughout the book.”

That type of indecision wasn’t difficult for bettors. They knew who they liked, and didn’t like, and a few of the large early points-spreads enticed them to play the perceived better teams and it cost them dearly.

“The Dolphins, Rams and Cardinals killed a large portion of the parlays on the day in the early games,” said McCormick.

Those three teams alone had been a thorn in the side of the sports books all season with a combined 2-15-1 record against the spread. Some bettors have found it’s easier to just blindly bet against these teams than actually handicap because they have been so reliably bad. The Dolphins and Cardinals played very well against the Giants and Ravens respectively, almost getting the upset while covering, with the Rams winning outright as 13-point home underdogs to the Saints, 31-21.

Through eight weeks of the season last year, bettors were getting punished with the sports books winning large in all but one of the weeks. This year, the tables have been turned with the bad teams being really bad and a select few good teams being really good.

Even though the one of the bettor’s favorite teams to bet against, the Colts, still lost and didn’t cover to the Titans, just about everything tied to them had died with the other dregs playing well.

Once the afternoon games came along, the books didn’t see the type of large extended risk on the parlays like the previous seven weeks.

“We won with the Steelers in the late game and lost the other four games, but the loss wasn‘t like what we have seen the last few weeks because most of the liability from the early games had been eliminated making the risk minimal, said McCormick. “It was almost like the afternoon games started with a clean slate.“

“Those early games helped us not only with parlays, but wiped out the majority of our teaser risk as well,” said South Point sports book director Bert Osborne. “It seemed like every teaser on the day had the Saints and Ravens attached.”

“The late games were basically a wash for us. There was sharp money on Seattle, Cleveland and Washington, while the public won betting against those teams. We won with the Steelers and the public won with the Lions.”

In the NFL, we’re not supposed to see such a glaring disparity between teams like we do in college because they’re professionals. It’s not uncommon to see one or two really bad teams, but usually, the number is always solid and pulls them closer. This year, that hasn’t been the case. But it looks like week 8 might be the start of a turnaround for the books, who always need the bad teams to cover.

“The best about thing about the week, beyond finally having a good day, was that it was encouraging to see some of these bad teams play well on the road, and one of them (Rams) finally get a win,“ said Osborne. “Most of this season, it’s been pretty easy for the bettors just picking on five or six teams every week.”

“It was a glowing weekend for us overall between the college and pro games,” said McCormick. “We definitely needed a strong weekend to close out the month of October.”

The sports books were indeed due for a good day.

Shrewd Rood

Who would have thought the Cincinnati Bengals would be 5-2 after eight weeks? MGM Resorts sports book director Jay Rood might have. Rood posted the first NFL season win totals in Las Vegas with the Bengals being the team everyone picked on early going UNDER 8 ½ wins.

Bettors were licking their chops trying get as much as they could on the UNDER and laid any number all the way to down to 7. Why not? A bad head coach with a team of jurisprudence stories and a rookie starting quarterback, Andy Dalton. Seems like a good enough reason to think they’d do poorly, again, coming off a 4-12 season.

Rood said at the time that he was trying to drive handle and create some decisions for his sports books as being the reason to being the first up with the totals, but also liked the Bengals to improve upon their 2010 campaign.

A virgin number always creates the most interest and isn’t diluted by offshore or competing books where bettors just scalp prices with little handicapping involved. This was just straight forward handicapping with nothing else to go off but the bettors knowledge against the book’s line.

Between local radio shows and professional betting experts, Rood’s number on the Bengals was routinely criticized, as if their own personal opinion was the proper one. With nine games to go the Bengals have to win four games for Rood to scoop in all the chips. Three wins would still get the MGM most of the money as well with the first couple of wagers pushing the Bengals off of the initial total.

In the end, should these experts lose, they’ll still say they had the right side just like Phil Helmuth does when he loses a hand of poker. Either way, it’s refreshing to see a sports book offer something early before everyone else does with a stale market number and also having so many people actually betting it with their own opinions.

Wynn Book First Class

I have to hand it to Johnny Avello and the Wynn for running a first class race and sports book. Avello is the ultimate ambassador of his room, saying hello to new and old guests alike as a good host does for high rollers. Between his friendly staff, clean room, luxurious surroundings and upscale clientele inhabiting the book, I can’t think of a better place to play horses and watch games on a weekend than the Wynn.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33043 Followers:38
10/31/2011 06:10 PM

Monday, October 31

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Diego - 8:30 PM ET San Diego -3 500

Kansas City - Over 44.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33043 Followers:38
10/31/2011 06:59 PM

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday......

13) Wow. Talk about something coming out of nowhere, the Rams clobber the Saints, not only their first win of season, their first cover of the year.

Saints were fourth NFL team in last 40 years to score 62+ points in game; three of those four teams lost their next game. Go figure.

12) Rams had 183 rushing yards, six sacks, scored TDs on all three trips inside the red zone. Not sure why the Broncos traded Brandon Lloyd, but he's made a huge difference in the Rams' passing game in a short time.

11) Steelers were very sharp, running 78 plays for 427 yards; Patriots ran only 50 plays for 213 yards- they couldn't Big Ben off the field. Pitt was 10-16 on third down, New England only 3-10. Big win for the Steelers.

10) Arizona led 24-6 at the half in Baltimore, but their three TDs came on a 2-yard drive, a punt return TD and a 25-yard drive. Ravens had 405-207 edge in yardage, but 10 of their 13 drives started 80+ yards from paydirt. Cardinals' offense couldn't do much against the stout Baltimore defense.

9) There were 50 offensive TDs scored in 12 games Sunday; 14 of the 50 came on drives of less than 50 yards. Under was 8-4, as scoring is going to be down because of the new kickoff rule, which is hurting teams' average starting field position.

8) If Houston can get Andre Johnson healthy, they're going to be pretty freakin' good; Texans have lot of offensive weapons and a good QB, and it looks like they're going to make the plaoffs for the first time this season.

7) Eagles scored on their first six possessions and just dismantled Dallas' defense; Andy Reid is now 13-0 in the first game after his bye week.

6) Carolina is the most fun team to watch, but Olindo Mare missed an easy (31-yard) field goal with 0:26 left, after a bogus holding call on Steve Smith deprived the Panthers of a first-and-goal on the Vikings' 2-yard line. Cam Newton is definitely Rookie of the Year; he might finish pretty high in the MVP voting, too.

5) Then there's the Seahawks, whose punt coverage team allowed Bengals a mere 39 yards per return Sunday; Pete Carroll butchered the end of the first half, costing Seattle an easy FG when he went for a TD instead. His team got within 17-12 in the third quarter; could've used that field goal. Carroll really traded a 3rd round pick for Charlie Whitehurst? He bolted USC because of their impending probation; he's stealing Seattle's money.

4) I agree with something I heard on ESPN last week; the starting QB of the Denver Broncos in 2012 isn't currently a Bronco. Tim Tebow is a lot like a QB the Bears had 40 years ago, a tough lefty named Bobby Douglass who could really run but couldn't hit sand with a throw if he was standing on a beach. You know John Elway has to cringe watching Tebow pass.

3) Redskins had 26 yards rushing, 178 total yards in a hideous shutout loss to the Bills in Toronto. Who is their quarterback of the future?

2) I think Tony Sparano is a pretty good coach, but he's toast in Miami, as most 0-7 coaches get fired anyway. Dolphins play hard, but they need a franchise quarterback. Their owner will go for a big name to sell tickets.

1) So the last two years the Rams won their first game of the season when I was in Las Vegas; guess I have to visit on Opening Day next season, not wait until freakin' Week 8.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: