cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
10/27/2011 11:09 PM

College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 9

Rice Owls at Houston Cougars (-27.5, 70.5)

Why Rice will cover: The Owls scored 20 or more in all but one game (at Texas A&M), which means Houston would have to put up 50-plus to cover that spread.

Why Houston will cover: Houston has the top-ranked pass offense (442 ypg) and top-ranked scoring offense (49.3 ppg). Rice’s defense ranks in the bottom 25 in every category.

Points: The under has hit in Rice’s last three and in two of Houston’s last four games.

Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan Wolverines (-13, 52.5)

Why Purdue will cover: The Boilermakers are led by a defense that doesn’t allow big plays, which is how the Wolverines have been winning.

Why Michigan will cover: The team has something to prove after the meltdown two weeks ago at Michigan State. The defense still ranks No. 8 in scoring (14.8 ppg). The home team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 in this series.

Points: Both teams are led by defenses that bend but don’t break.

Michigan State Spartans at Nebraska Cornhuskers (-4, 49.5)

Why Michigan State will cover: The Spartans beat a Wisconsin team that spanked the Huskers earlier this season. MSU is 4-0 ATS recently and 8-2 in its last 10 against teams with a winning record, while NU is 2-5 ATS this season.

Why Nebraska will cover: Nebraska is a new team, outscoring Ohio State 28-7 in the second half of a win and rolling at Minnesota last week. The Huskers don’t lose often at home.

Points: With a Big Ten division title possibly in the balance, both teams are due for breakout offensive games.

Missouri Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies (-11.5, 61.5)

Why Missouri will cover: Texas A&M ranks dead last against the pass, but if the defense is focused on stopping Mizzou’s 39th-ranked pass game, its 12th-ranked run game will get it.

Why Texas A&M will cover: The Aggies offense averages better than 40 ppg and the defense, while poor against the pass, is No. 5 against the run.

Points: The over is 4-3 for both teams, and both teams seem poised to put up yards.

Arkansas Razorbacks at Vanderbilt Commodores (+10, 52)

Why Arkansas will cover: Arkansas’ offense can go off at any moment. The team is 11-3 in its last 14 SEC games, while Vandy is 2-8 in its last 10.

Why Vanderbilt will cover: Vandy’s defense has been reliable, and the offense can run the ball and grind the clock if it gets a lead.

Points: If Vandy gets an early lead, the under could hit. If Arkansas comes out firing, the over is favorable.

Virginia Tech Hokies at Duke Blue Devils (+15, 53.5)

Why Virginia Tech will cover: The Hokies run the ball and stop the run for success. Duke won’t be able to run, and a one-dimensional offense isn’t going to get it done.

Why Duke will cover: Duke’s run defense is decent, and if the Devils get down, they have shown the ability to move the ball through the air.

Points: The under is 8-1-1 in Duke’s last 10 and 10-4-1 in Va. Tech’s last 15.

Washington State Cougars at Oregon Ducks (-36.5, 69)

Why Washington State will cover: That’s a monster spread for a BCS conference game. Especially against a WSU team ranking 10th in passing and 32nd in scoring (34 ppg).

Why Oregon will cover: The banged-up Ducks are getting healthier every week. Washington State can’t stop them, and the defense doesn’t allow big points.

Points: That’s a big total, but Oregon games have hit higher.

Oklahoma Sooners at Kansas State Wildcats (13.5, 58.5)

Why Oklahoma will cover: The Sooners still have an ultra-explosive offense that ranks No. 4 in passing (379 ypg) and No. 7 in scoring (44.3 ppg). OU is 7-3 ATS against teams with a winning record.

Why Kansas State will cover: K-State is 6-0 ATS in its last six because its defense is solid at every level and QB Collin Klein has emerged as a hard-to-handle dual-threat.

Points: The over has hit in four of the last five for both teams.

West Virginia Mountaineers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (6.5, 53.5)

Why West Virginia will cover: The Mountaineers average 374 yards with the pass. Rutgers’ offense, meanwhile, has been inconsistent at best.

Why Rutgers will cover: Rutgers’ defense has kept teams within distance; the team is 5-2 ATS this season. The Knights saw how Syracuse dismantled WVU last week.

Points: The over is 6-0 for West Virginia in its last six, but the under is 4-0 in Rutgers’ last four.

Baylor Bears at Oklahoma State Cowboys (-14, 79)

Why Baylor will cover: Baylor can score on anyone, averaging 549 ypg (No. 2). The defense isn’t great, but neither is OSU’s.

Why Oklahoma State will cover: OSU’s offense is third in yards, second in pass yards and second in scoring nationally. Baylor’s defense is in the bottom-third in every major category. The favorite is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

Points: The over is 10-1 in Baylor’s last 11 in conference. There could easily be 1,000 yards of offense.

Illinois Fighting Illini at Penn State Nittany Lions (-4.5, 40.5)

Why Illinois will cover: While Penn State’s offense can’t do much, Illinois can run the ball well. PSU is just 2-6 ATS.

Why Penn State will cover: The Lions’ defense is in the top 20 in every category, including fifth in points allowed. Illinois’ offense has been shut down in the last two weeks.

Points: Both teams rely on stout defenses for success.

Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs (-3, 49)

Why Florida will cover: The Gators are 7-1 ATS in its last eight neutral site games (this one’s in Jacksonville). The defense has been stout, especially against the pass.

Why Georgia will cover: Florida will struggle to throw on Georgia, so if the Bulldogs can build a lead early, they might win handily.

Points: This game could be a grind-it-out slugfest.

Colorado Buffaloes at Arizona State Sun Devils (-30.5, 56)

Why Colorado will cover: Colorado has struggled, but that’s a good-sized spread against an ASU team that isn’t necessarily lighting the world on fire.

Why Arizona State will cover: ASU’s numbers aren’t terrific, but it still ranks No. 31 in points scored and No. 36 in points allowed. Colorado simply can’t keep up.

Points: ASU piles up the points at home, but can it score enough knowing Colorado isn’t likely to help much?

Iowa State Cyclones at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-15, 66.5)

Why Iowa State will cover: The Cyclones have a balanced offense that can keep an undisciplined defense on edge. If ISU has a strength on defense, it’s defending the pass.

Why Texas Tech will cover: Confidence must be high after winning at Oklahoma last week. ISU won’t be able to keep up in a shootout. The Cyclones are 2-6 ATS in its last eight road games.

Points: The over has hit in six straight for TTU and three of the last four for ISU.

South Carolina Gamecocks at Tennessee Volunteers (3.5, 43.5)

Why South Carolina will cover: USC’s defense is No. 1 against the pass, and Tennessee can’t run the ball.

Why Tennessee will cover: After playing LSU and Alabama in the last two weeks, anything else will feel like a breather. Its defense has been decent against teams not named Alabama or LSU.

Points: The over is 12-4-1 in UT’s last 17 at home.

Stanford Cardinal at USC Trojans (7, 60)

Why Stanford will cover: The Cardinal have covered every game this season, and this is the smallest spread for the squad that ranks No. 3 in scoring and No. 4 in scoring defense.

Why USC will cover: USC has shut down offenses not from Arizona or Arizona State, and has an offense led by a strong pass game that is never out of it. We’ll see what Stanford really has.

Points: If USC gets going offensively, the over could be hit by the end of the third quarter.

Wisconsin Badgers at Ohio State Buckeyes (7, 50.5)

Why Wisconsin will cover: Wisconsin wants to prove it can rebound from the Hail-Mary loss to Michigan State and has the horses to punish OSU. If Wisconsin gets ahead and OSU is forced to rally, the Buckeyes rank just 115th in passing. UW is 8-1 ATS in its last nine.

Why Ohio State will cover: The Buckeyes’ defense has no weaknesses, and if the run game can get established, anything can happen, especially at home.

Points: The under is 8-2 in OSU’s last 10, but the over is 4-0 in UW’s last four.

Southern Mississippi Eagles at UTEP Miners (10, 57)

Why Southern Miss will cover: The Eagles are balanced on both sides, ranking 21st in scoring offense and scoring defense. USM is 5-0 ATS in its last five.

Why UTEP will cover: If the Miners can get their ground game going, they have a chance to win SU. UTEP is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 against teams with winning records.

Points: The under has been hitting for both teams.

Clemson Tigers at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (3.5, 63.5)

Why Clemson will cover: The Tigers are 6-0 ATS in their last six and show no signs slowing offensively. Georgia Tech’s offense has been exposed in recent weeks. We’ll see if Clemson can take advantage.

Why Georgia Tech will cover: Georgia Tech can still run the rock, and Clemson ranks 76th at stopping it. Clemson’s main strength – passing – matches up well with Tech’s top defensive strength.

Points: The over is 7-2 in Clemson’s last nine and was 5-0 in GT’s first five before the under has it in the last three. Could see some major points scored.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
10/27/2011 11:11 PM

College football's best non-BCS conference bets

Over the last five years, few college football teams have been more profitable for bettors than Boise State. Since 2006, the Broncos are 42-26-2 ATS, including a 4-3 ATS record this season.

But the national attention surrounding Boise State’s program, combined with a switch to the Mountain West Conference, has eliminated some of the Broncos’ value. Boise State has been favored by at least 20 points in every game since a season-opening win against Georgia as a 3-point favorite.
The market, it seems, has finally adjusted.

Since Boise State isn’t among the best non-BCS teams against the spread this season, let’s take a look at the teams that are. Perhaps one of them has the potential to be the next Boise State in the years to come.


If a team wants to go unnoticed by the betting market, the Sun Belt is the place to be. Arkansas State lives in relative obscurity and has continued to get favorable lines despite being 5-2 straight up and 6-1 against the spread.

First-year head coach Hugh Freeze is the primary reason for the Red Wolves’ fast start, and if he keeps it up, he’ll be fielding offers from bigger programs sooner rather than later.

Arkansas State ranks 29th in total defense and 26th in points allowed, holding opponents to 24 points or less in all five of its wins. The Red Wolves won 34-16 as 3.5-point favorites against Florida International last week, and I might be inclined to ride them a bit longer as there still appears to be some value.

TEXAS EL PASO (4-3, 6-1 ATS)

UTEP is covering spreads primarily because it has far exceeded preseason expectations. The Miners had just 11 returning starters and lost all five starting offensive linemen from last year’s team.

The Miners have won six straight games ATS since failing to cover against FCS Stony Brook in the season opener. The first five times UTEP covered, it was listed as an underdog. But last week, the Miners defeated Colorado State 31-17 as 10-point favorites.

UTEP should have a chance to qualify for a bowl game down the stretch, but if you’re looking for value, you probably won’t find it on the Miners going forward.

TEMPLE (5-3, 6-2 ATS)

There hasn’t been any value on Temple since it covered in consecutive weeks against Penn State and Maryland in late September. Temple blasted the Terrapins 38-7 as eight-point underdogs and then soaked up all the media attention that came with it. Of course, that was when we thought Maryland was actually good, which clearly isn’t the case.

Since that win, the Owls are 2-2 ATS and have been favored by eight or more points in every game. Twice they’ve lost outright as 8-point and 12-point favorites, once at home and once on the road.

If anything, look to fade the Owls going forward.

HOUSTON (7-0, 5-2 ATS)

One of the underrated joys of this college football season has been watching how quickly Houston lines get bet up after being posted at the Wynn Las Vegas. Oddsmakers can’t set the Cougars’ lines high enough.

This week, Houston opened as a 26.5-point home favorite against Rice, a line that seemed a few points too high. And yet, it still got bet up by a point. In recent weeks, Houston lines have moved by as many as four or five points.

Case Keenum is an easily recognizable figure and the Cougars’ top-ranked offense is averaging 49.3 points. The public always gravitates to these types of teams, but that doesn’t mean you have to follow. If the unbeaten Cougars hope to keep covering, they’ll have to earn it. Bet Houston only if you are able to get an early line.

UAB (1-6, 5-2 ATS)

The Blazers have covered five straight times and are so undervalued that I’ve spent the last 15 minutes deciding whether or not I should write about them.

Since losing to Tulane 49-10 as 12-point favorites in Week 2, UAB has been an underdog of at least two touchdowns in every game. The Blazers lost by five as 14.5-point dogs at East Carolina and lost by one as a 15.5-point road underdog at Troy.

Last week, the Blazers defeated Central Florida 26-24 as a 16.5-point underdog.

UAB isn’t as bad as its record indicates and has become increasingly competitive against superior opponents in recent weeks. Keep backing the Blazers until the market adjusts.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
10/27/2011 11:14 PM

Top 5 NCAAF Trends

MICH Over is 8-0-1 in MICH last 9 games following a bye week.

MTENN Over is 7-0-2 in MTENN last 9 games overall.

VAN Under is 7-0-1 in VAN last 8 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.

MD Under is 8-0 in BCOLL last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.

MD Under is 7-0-1 in BCOLL last 8 conference games.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
10/28/2011 06:44 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/27/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/26/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/25/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
10/22/11 22-­25-­0 46.81% -­2750 Detail
10/21/11 3-­0-­1 100.00% +­1500 Detail
10/20/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/18/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/15/11 33-­31-­3 51.56% -­550 Detail
10/14/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/13/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/08/11 29-­19-­0 60.42% +­4050 Detail
10/07/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/06/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
10/01/11 55-­45-­2 55.00% +­2750 Detail
Totals 156-­132-­6 54.17% +5400

Friday, October 28

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Brigham Young - 8:00 PM ET Texas Christian -13.5 500

Texas Christian - Under 56 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
10/29/2011 11:26 AM

Georgia-Florida resume rivalry in Jacksonville


Jacksonville Municipal Stadium - Jacksonville, FL
Kickoff: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Georgia -3, Total 48.5

No. 22 Georgia and slumping Florida square off for their yearly meeting in Jacksonville, FL on Saturday afternoon.

The World’s Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party has been an annual celebration for Florida, which has won 11 of the past 13 meetings (8-4-1 ATS) with Georgia. But currently, it’s the Gators that are doing the losing (three straight SU and ATS defeats), while the Bulldogs are riding a five-game win streak (4-1 ATS). The one non-cover was last week’s 33-28 win at Vanderbilt behind 326 yards and 3 TD from Aaron Murray. The Gators offense has been dreadful, scoring a total of 27 points during the three-game skid, but QB John Brantley (ankle) is expected to return to the field. Turnovers could go a long way in determining the winner here. Florida’s last defensive turnover occurred more than 13 quarters ago, and Georgia has only two multi-TO games this year. The Gators offense has 10 giveaways in the past four weeks, while Georgia’s defense has nine takeaways in its past four contests. The pick here is GEORGIA.

This FoxSheets trend also sides with the Bulldogs:

Mark Richt is 30-19 ATS (61.2%, +9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record as the coach of GEORGIA. The average score was GEORGIA 26.7, OPPONENT 22.0.

Murray is eager to avenge last year’s 34-31 loss to Florida when he tossed three interceptions to ruin a 313-yard, 3-TD effort. The sophomore has thrown multiple touchdown passes in six of his seven games this season, totaling 16 TD and 7 INT on the year. RB Isaiah Crowell used the bye week to rest his injured wrist and he should be able to start this rivalry game. The freshman has three 100-yard games against SEC opponents already, but has been held to 93 yards on 29 carries (3.2 YPC) in the past two games.

Georgia’s defense ranks sixth in the country in yardage (273 total YPG) and has been especially proficient in defending opponents’ aerial attacks. The Bulldogs rank sixth in passing efficiency defense (97.90) and ninth in passing yardage (171 YPG).

Florida has not lost four straight games since 1988. Brantley will certainly give his team a boost, but he did not have a great game in Jacksonville last year, completing 16-of-25 passes for 193 yards, 0 TD and 1 INT. He has not reached 230 passing yards in any of his five games, but Brantley’s 9.2 yards per attempt ratio is pretty strong. The bye week also helped Jeff Demps heal from his bum ankle. Demps is averaging 8.3 YPC this season and he had 81 total yards and a touchdown against the Bulldogs last year. The Gators are hopeful Demps will inject some life into a ground game that has 194 rushing yards (64.7 per game) in its past three contests. Leading rusher Chris Rainey (500 rush yds) has only 89 yards (2.2 YPC) since piling up three straight 100-yard games earlier in the year. But Rainey had 241 all-purpose yards in last year’s meeting with Georgia, and could be a huge factor again on Saturday.

Other than its lack of turnovers, Florida’s defense has been mostly good this year. The Gators allowed a ton of yards to the nation’s top two teams (Alabama and LSU), but held Auburn to 278 total yards last week.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
10/29/2011 11:27 AM

Baylor-Oklahoma State meet for potential shootout


Kickoff: Saturday, 3:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Oklahoma State -13.5, Total: 79

Superstar quarterbacks will be on display as Baylor’s Robert Griffin III takes on Oklahoma State’s Brandon Weeden.

Griffin III is third in the nation with 374 total YPG while Weeden is eighth with 336 YPG. Two of the nation’s elite receivers will also be showcasing their stuff. Baylor WR Kendall Wright ranks fifth in the nation with 126 receiving YPG, while OSU star wideout Justin Blackmon is averaging 8.7 catches per game (sixth in FBS). Blackmon missed the second half of last game with concussion-like symptoms, but he is expected to start on Saturday. The Cowboys have won 14 of the past 15 meetings, including outscoring the Bears 234-79 during a five-game series win streak. They will rack up plenty of points against Baylor’s 97th-ranked defense (425 YPG) on Saturday afternoon. The pick here is OKLAHOMA STATE to win and cover.

This four-star FoxSheets trend also supports the Cowboys:

OKLAHOMA STATE is 12-1 ATS (92.3%, +10.9 Units) after gaining 475 or more total yards/game over their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. The average score was OKLAHOMA STATE 42.0, OPPONENT 24.3 - (Rating = 4*).

Although the total is about as big a number as you’ll see, the FoxSheets provide a rare SIX-star trend urging bettors to take the OVER.

OKLAHOMA STATE is 18-1 OVER (94.7%, +16.9 Units) in home games after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game since 1992. The average score was OKLAHOMA STATE 40.6, OPPONENT 25.5 - (Rating = 6*).

The Bears have the nation’s No. 2 offense, averaging 550 yards per game. Griffin III leads the country in passing efficiency (22 TD, 2 INT) and is third in total offense with 374 yards per game. Although his team lost big in its last game to Texas A&M two weeks ago (55-28), Griffin III threw for 430 yards and three touchdowns in the defeat. The Baylor QB has not been very good in two career starts versus Oklahoma State though, completing 45-of-75 passes for 429 yards, 0 TD and 1 INT. Wright is actually slumping a bit after starting the season off with four 100-yard receiving efforts, which included 201 yards at Kansas State. He has failed to reach 70 yards in each of the past two games, although he has scored in every contest this season (9 total TD). The Bears aren’t thought of as a great running team, but they have had some huge games, rushing for 391 versus Iowa State, 306 versus Rice and 266 versus Stephen F. Austin. It has been a different story on the road though, as Baylor rushed for 83 yards (2.8 YPC) at Kansas State and gained just 50 yards (1.6 YPC) at Texas A&M two weeks ago. Senior Terrance Ganaway leads the team with 570 yards and seven scores, but was held to 34 yards on 16 carries against the Aggies.

The Bears rushing defense has been dreadful all year (186 YPG, 90th in nation), allowing 206 YPG to their five FBS opponents. The passing defense has been just as terrible (240 YPG, 84th in nation), which increases to 263 YPG if you don’t include FCS opponent Stephen F. Austin.

Weeden continues to impress (11 TD, 1 INT in past five games) and he certainly impressed Baylor when he faced them last year, connecting on 34-of-42 passes (81%) for 435 yards, 3 TD and 0 INT. Blackmon (30 TD in his past 19 games) caught 13 of those passes for 173 yards and a touchdown, and also ran for a 69-yard score in that 55-28 demolition of the Bears. The Cowboys also know how to run the football with five games of 170+ rushing yards this season. Joseph Randle rushed for 138 yards on just 14 carries last week, finding the end zone three times. Jeremy Smith also had a nice game with 71 yards on 13 attempts (5.5 YPC). The duo now has 1,115 yards (6.0 YPC) and 19 TD this season.

Oklahoma State leads the nation in turnover margin (+2.1 per game), which has helped compensate for a defense allowing 432 YPG (103rd in nation). The Cowboys do a nice job rushing the QB though, with 2.9 sacks per game (16th in nation) and 7.7 Tackles For Loss per game (15th in FBS).

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
10/29/2011 11:55 AM

Saturday, October 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

North Carolina State - 12:00 PM ET Florida State -18.5 500
Florida State -

Northwestern - 12:00 PM ET Over 54 500
Indiana - Over 62.5 500

Syracuse - 12:00 PM ET Louisville -3 500
Louisville - Under 44 500

Purdue - 12:00 PM ET Purdue +14 500
Michigan - Over 54 500

Michigan State - 12:00 PM ET Michigan State +4 500
Nebraska -

Alabama-Birmingham - 12:00 PM ET Marshall -5.5 500
Marshall -

Central Michigan - 12:00 PM ET Akron +7 500
Akron - Over 51 500

Missouri - 12:00 PM ET Missouri +10 500
Texas A&M - Over 63.5 500

Arkansas - 12:21 PM ET Vanderbilt +8.5 500
Vanderbilt -

Virginia Tech - 12:30 PM ET Virginia Tech -14.5 500
Duke -

Bowling Green - 1:00 PM ET Kent State +3.5 500
Kent State - Over 39.5 500

Ball State - 2:00 PM ET Ball State +12.5 500
Western Michigan -

Air Force - 2:00 PM ET Air Force -30.5 500
New Mexico - Under 63 500

Boston College - 3:00 PM ET Maryland -6.5 500
Maryland - Under 48.5 500

Washington State - 3:00 PM ET Washington State +34.5 500
Oregon -

Florida - 3:30 PM ET Florida +3 500
Georgia -

Iowa - 3:30 PM ET Iowa -15.5 500

Tulane - 3:30 PM ET East Carolina -16.5 500
East Carolina -

Wake Forest - 3:30 PM ET Wake Forest +7 500
North Carolina -

West Virginia - 3:30 PM ET West Virginia -6.5 500
Rutgers -

Buffalo - 3:30 PM ET Wake Forest +7 500
Miami (Ohio) -

Baylor - 3:30 PM ET Oklahoma State -14 500
Oklahoma State -

Southern Methodist - 3:30 PM ET Southern Methodist +2.5 500
Tulsa - Over 58 500

Illinois - 3:30 PM ET Illinois +5 500
Penn State - Under 39 500

Oklahoma - 3:30 PM ET Kansas State +13 500
Kansas State -

Western Kentucky - 3:30 PM ET Western Kentucky +6 500
UL Monroe - Over 47.5 500

Navy - 3:30 PM ET Navy +23 500
Notre Dame -

Fordham - 3:30 PM ET Army -31 500
Army -

Memphis - 4:00 PM ET Central Florida -29.5 500
Central Florida -

San Jose State - 4:00 PM ET San Jose State +7 500
Louisiana Tech -

Hawaii - 5:00 PM ET Hawaii -7 500
Idaho -

Colorado State - 6:00 PM ET Colorado State -2.5 500

Colorado - 6:30 PM ET Arizona State -31.5 500
Arizona State -

Check back later for the evening games.......

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
10/29/2011 04:36 PM

Unbeaten Road 'Chalk'

October 29, 2011

Week 9 of the 2011 college football season offers us a pair of primetime games with unbeaten road favorites trying to stay in the national-title picture.

Let’s start on The Flats in Midtown Atlanta, where a slumping Georgia Tech (6-2 straight up, 4-3-1 against the spread) squad will host Clemson. As of Friday afternoon, most betting shops had the Tigers installed as 3 ½-point favorites with the total in the 62-63 range. Gamblers can take the Yellow Jackets to win outright for a plus-150 return (risk $100 to win $150).

Clemson (8-0 SU, 7-1 ATS) has covered the spread in six straight games, including last week’s 59-38 win over North Carolina as a 9 ½-point home favorite. Tajh Boy enjoyed another tremendous performance, throwing for 367 yards and five touchdowns without being intercepted. He also added a rushing score.

For the season, Boyd has an incredible 24/4 touchdowns-to-interceptions ratio. The sophomore signal caller has a dynamic freshman weapon in wide receiver Sammy Watkins, who has 55 receptions for 819 yards and nine TDs. Watkins has 1,391 all-purpose yards and had a kickoff return for a TD that played a crucial role in a comeback win at Maryland two weeks ago.


Junior RB Andre Ellington has a team-high 745 rushing yards and seven TDs while averaging 5.1 yards per carry. However, Ellington has been limited at practice this week with an ankle injury and is listed as ‘questionable.’

Ga. Tech raced out to a 6-0 start but has gone down in back-to-back road games. On Oct. 15, Paul Johnson’s team lost a 24-21 decision at Virginia as a 7 ½-point road ‘chalk.’ Then last week in South Florida, Miami thumped the Yellow Jackets 24-7 as a three-point home favorite.

The Hurricanes limited Ga. Tech’s offense to merely 211 yards of total offense. QB Tevin Washington was held to only 36 rushing yards on 20 carries and he threw a costly interception.

Washington played extremely well in Tech’s first six wins. For the season, he has 460 rushing yards and nine TDs. The junior signal caller has 1,139 passing yards and a 10/5 TD-INT ratio.

Junior RB Orwin Smith leads the Jackets in rushing with 516 yards and eight TDs. Smith averages an eye-opening 12.3 YPC. He also has 12 receptions for 286 yards and one TD.

As a home underdog during Johnson’s four-year tenure, Ga. Tech has posted a 1-1 record both SU and ATS. Clemson owns a 4-3 spread record in seven games as a road favorite on Dabo Swinney’s watch.

When these teams met last season, Clemson captured a 27-13 win as a 4 ½-point home favorite. However, the Tigers lost 30-27 in their last trip to Atlanta in 2009 and also lost to the Jackets that same year by a 39-34 count in the ACC Championship Game.

The ‘over’ is 6-2 overall for Clemson this year, 1-1 in its two road assignments. Meanwhile, Ga. Tech has watched the ‘over’ go 5-3 overall, 3-1 in its home games. The ‘under’ is 5-2 in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these ACC adversaries.

This game will come off the board at 8:00 p.m. Eastern and will be a part of ESPN’s Game Plan package (channel 789 on DirecTV).

Stanford (7-0 SU, 7-0 ATS) is another unbeaten road favorite with a dangerous game Saturday night. David Shaw’s team will come to The Coliseum to face a hot Southern Cal squad.

Stanford has won its seven games by 26 points or more, scoring 44 points or more on its own in six of those contests. The Cardinal blasted a 5-1 Washington team by a 65-21 count as a 20 ½-point home ‘chalk’ last week.

Junior QB Andrew Luck, who is the plus-150 favorite to win the Heisman Trophy at, threw a pair of TDs to improve his TD-INT ratio to 20/3. Stepfan Taylor burned the Huskies for 138 yards and one score on just 10 carries.

Taylor has rushed for 697 yards and six TDs while averaging 6.3 YPC. His back-ups, Anthony Wilkerson and Tyler Gaffney, have combined to rush for 465 yards and eight scores.

USC (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) has won three in a row since getting routed by Arizona St. in Tempe. The Trojans were extremely impressive last week, going to South Bend and emerging with a 31-17 win as 9 ½-point road underdogs.

Junior QB Matt Barkley threw for 224 yards and three TDs without getting picked off. Curtis McNeal carried the load on the ground, rushing 24 times for 118 yards.

For the year, Barkley has 19 TD passes compared to only four interceptions.

Stanford has been dynamite as a road favorite recently, going 7-1 ATS in its last eight such spots. The Cardinal has a 9-3 spread record in its last 12 games as a single-digit favorite (regardless of home/away).

USC has only been a home ‘dog once on Lane Kiffin’s watch. In that spot, So. Cal got pounded 53-32 by Oregon as a 6 ½-point home ‘dog.

When these Pac-12 rivals met in Palo Alto last season, Stanford won a 37-35 decision but the Trojans took the cash as double-digit underdogs.

The ‘under’ is 4-3 overall for USC, 2-2 in its home games. As for Stanford, it has seen the ‘under’ go 4-3 overall, 3-0 in its road tilts.

Most spots are listing Stanford as an eight-point favorite with a total of 60 1/2. The Trojans are plus-250 on the money line (risk $100 to win $250).

ABC will have the telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
10/29/2011 04:55 PM

Some Early Morning Results:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/29/11 12-*5-*0 70.59% +*3250 Detail

Mississippi - 7:00 PM ET Auburn -12.5 500
Auburn - Over 51 500

California - 7:00 PM ET UCLA +4 500
UCLA - Under 51 500

Mississippi State - 7:00 PM ET Mississippi State -10 500
Kentucky - Under 41.5 500

Kansas - 7:00 PM ET Texas -28 500
Texas - Under 64.5 500

Oregon State - 7:00 PM ET Utah -5 500
Utah - Over 49.5 500

North Texas - 7:00 PM ET Arkansas State -17.5 500
Arkansas State - Over 54 500

Iowa State - 7:00 PM ET Texas Tech -14 500
Texas Tech - Over 67 500

South Carolina - 7:15 PM ET Tennessee +3.5 500
Tennessee -

UL Lafayette - 7:30 PM ET Middle Tennessee -3 500
Middle Tennessee - Over 61.5 500

Clemson - 8:00 PM ET Clemson -3.5 500
Georgia Tech - Over 61.5 500

Nevada - 8:00 PM ET New Mexico State +15 500 WAC DOG
New Mexico State - Over 60.5 500

Stanford - 8:00 PM ET Stanford -7 500
Southern California - Over 62 500

Wisconsin - 8:00 PM ET Ohio State +7.5 500 BIG 10 DOG
Ohio State - Over 48.5 500

Southern Mississippi - 8:00 PM ET Southern Mississippi -10 500
Texas El Paso -

Wyoming - 10:00 PM ET Wyoming +18.5 500
San Diego State -

Arizona - 10:30 PM ET Arizona +3.5 500
Washington -

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33329 Followers:38
10/30/2011 01:44 PM

Finished the Month of October in the positive column + 119.50 units for all best bets and opinions.

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/29/11 45-­27-­0 62.50% +­7650 Detail Best Weekend of the Month

10/28/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/27/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/26/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/25/11 1-­1-­0 50.00% -­50 Detail
10/22/11 22-­25-­0 46.81% -­2750 Detail
10/21/11 3-­0-­1 100.00% +­1500 Detail
10/20/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/18/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/15/11 33-­31-­3 51.56% -­550 Detail
10/14/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/13/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/08/11 29-­19-­0 60.42% +­4050 Detail
10/07/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/06/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
10/01/11 55-­45-­2 55.00% +­2750 Detail

Totals 201-­161-­6 55.52% +11950

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: