cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
11/13/2013 03:34 PM

Miami-Ohio (0-9) at Kent State (2-8)

The Sports Network

DATE & TIME: Wednesday, November 13, 8 p.m. (et)

FACTS & STATS: Site: Dix Stadium (25,319) -- Kent, Ohio. Television: ESPNU. Home Record: Miami 0-4, KSU 1-3. Away Record: Miami 0-5, KSU 1-5. Neutral Record: Miami 0-0, KSU 0-0. Conference Record: Miami 0-5, KSU 1-5. Series Record: Miami-Ohio leads, 46-14.

GAME NOTES: The Miami-Ohio RedHawks hope to collect their first win of the 2013 campaign as they collide with the Kent State Golden Flashes in a Mid- American Conference tilt at Dix Stadium.

The RedHawks are still winless after nine contests and have been outscored by an average of 23.9 points per game. Interim head coach Mike Bath has been in charge of the program for the last four outings after the school parted ways with Don Treadwell, who went 8-21 in 29 career games at Miami. The RedHawks were defeated, 45-3, by Bowling Green at home last Tuesday, which marked their 13th loss in a row dating back to last season. They are the only squad left in the MAC without a win over a league rival.

Kent State had high hopes after finishing the 2012 season with an 11-3 overall record. The team has not maintained that level of success under first-year head coach Paul Haynes, who watched his career record fall to 2-8 on Nov. 2 when the Golden Flashes suffered a 16-7 setback at Akron. The loss was the fifth in a row for the defending East Division champions.

This will be the 61st meeting in history between Miami and Kent State. The Golden Flashes coasted to a 48-32 decision in last season's matchup at Yager Stadium in Oxford to improve to 14-46 versus the RedHawks in the all-time series.

Bath's job as interim coach became even more difficult when senior quarterback Austin Boucher suffered a season ending injury on Oct. 26 in the RedHawks' 41-16 loss to Ohio University at Peden Stadium. In Miami's first game without Boucher, redshirt sophomore Drew Kummer stepped in to throw for a career-high 100 yards on 9-of-19 efficiency. Redshirt freshman signal caller Austin Gearing, who is the team's leading rusher on the season with 300 yards on 73 attempts, also contributed to the aerial attack as he connected on all six of his pass attempts for 31 yards. The inexperienced duo did not help Miami solve its offensive woes as it tallied only 228 total yards and scored its only points on a 51-yard field goal by Kaleb Patterson.

The RedHawks are ranked last among the 123 FBS programs in scoring offense with an average of only 10 ppg. They are just one spot higher in total offense (228.1 ypg) due to a very inefficient running game that is netting only 2.6 yards per carry. Miami has scored just three touchdowns on the ground and it has just 834 rushing yards on the season, leaving it as the lone MAC program below the 1,000-yard mark through nine games.

The RedHawks defense has also been a disappointment with allowed averages of 473.6 total yards and 33.9 points per contest. They surrendered 447 yards, 30 first downs and five offensive touchdowns to the Falcons last Tuesday. Despite the poor overall performance, sophomore defensive end Bryson Albright had a strong showing with three sacks after he entered the game with only two quarterback takedowns on the season.

Kent State has been inconsistent on the offensive side of the ball this season due to inexperience both at the quarterback position and on the line. It is ranked ninth in the MAC in total offense (344.3 ypg) and 10th in scoring offense (18.1 ppg).

The Golden Flashes have a pair of all-conference caliber players in the backfield in Trayion Durham and Dri Archer. Durham has been a workhorse throughout the campaign en route to 640 yards and five touchdowns on 151 carries. Archer (7.5 ypc) sat for the majority of the first four games of the season due to injury, but exhibited his ability to take over games in 2012 with 1,429 rushing yards, 561 receiving yards and 23 total TDs including three kick returns that he took the distance. He is expected to be an impact special teams player on Sundays next season. Both running backs lost fumbles in KSU's loss to Akron and redshirt freshman quarterback Colin Reardon was picked off three times in the fourth quarter, while the team unsuccessfully tried to rally back to take the lead.

Reardon has connected on just 58.5 percent of his pass attempts for 1,597 yards, with 11 TDs and nine INTs. Wideout Chris Humphrey has been the top receiving threat, with 45 catches for 519 yards and three scores. Archer and Casey Pierce have reeled in four touchdown passes apiece.

Kent State's defense did its part versus the Zips, holding them to only 304 total yards and one offensive touchdown. The Golden Flashes have not been able to overcome a challenging schedule that included LSU, Penn State, Northern Illinois, South Alabama and Buffalo, all of which scored at least 34 points against them. They did manage to hold Ball State's high octane attack to just 27 points. The squad ranks fourth to last among MAC schools with an allowance of 453.9 ypg. The struggles have come despite the strong leadership of Luke Wollet (722tackles, two INTs). Jordan Italiano is a close second on the team's tackling leaderboard with 69 stops. Roosevelt Nix has also played well among the turmoil with 10.5 tackles for loss to further his position as the school's all-time leader with 62.5 TFL. Nix was named the MAC East Defensive Player of the Week following his outing at Akron which consisted of three TFL, two sacks, four solo tackles and a forced fumble.

Although KSU has been disappointing to this point, it holds a clear upper hand heading into its home bout with Miami, which has shown no signs of life in its first season without Zac Dysert leading the offensive charge. Archer and Durham should have a much easier time breaking off big runs against the RedHawks, who clearly need to reload in the offseason before they will be able to take any steps in the right direction.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
11/13/2013 03:36 PM

Ball State (9-1) at (20) Northern Illinois (9-0)

Wednesday, November 13, 8 p.m. (et)

The Sports Network

GAME NOTES: The Ball State Cardinals can punch their ticket to the Mid- American Conference Championship on Wednesday as they square off with No. 20 Northern Illinois at Huskie Stadium in a battle that could decide the West Division champion.

The Cardinals improved to 9-1 overall and 6-0 in league action last Wednesday with a 44-24 rout of Central Michigan. The victory was the seventh in a row for Ball State, which has also come out of its last four road games with a victory. Coach Pete Lembo's squad has notched impressive wins over Army, Toledo and Virginia during the course of its season and its lone loss came on Sept. 14 at North Texas. A decision over the Huskies would mark the 12th consecutive MAC win for Ball State, which could claim the West Division crown on Wednesday as well.

Northern Illinois has not missed a beat under first-year head coach Rod Carey as it enters with a perfect 9-0 record, including a 5-0 mark versus conference foes. The Huskies are currently on the longest active conference winning streak in the nation having defeated their last 22 MAC opponents. They also own the nation's longest active home winning streak due to their 22 straight triumphs in DeKalb. Carey's squad became the first team in conference history to defeat two Big Ten teams in the same season as it took down Iowa (30-27) and Purdue (55-24) during its non-league slate. The Huskies completed a 63-19 rout of Massachusetts in their last appearance on Nov. 2 and should be well rested after having an open week following the win.

NIU and Ball State are the only two teams remaining in the West Division without a loss in league play. The Cardinals have just one game remaining after this week, while NIU still has to face Toledo and Western Michigan to conclude its regular season. This will be the 41st meeting in history between the two schools. Ball State owns a 20-18-2 all-time series lead and will be looking to avenge the 35-23 loss it was handed by the Huskies in Muncie in 2012.

"I know last year, I think they finished pretty strong," said NIU quarterback Jordan Lynch on this week's opponent. "In their season ender, they were one of the toughest opponents of the MAC last year, they gave us trouble at their place. When the schedule came out, you try to take it only one game at the time, but everyone takes a peek a little farther and saw we had Ball State."

The Cardinals rank No. 1 in the MAC and 16th in the country in passing offense with 323 yards per game and are also second in the conference and 14th nationally in scoring offense at 39.9 ppg. Senior quarterback Keith Wenning has been the leader of the attack. He is the only FBS signal caller with at least 300 passing yards in eight games this year. Wenning continued to impress last week as he completed 20-of-29 attempts for 299 yards and four touchdowns versus CMU. Willie Snead reeled in nine catches for 118 yards and a pair of scores, while Jamill Smith finished with six receptions for 91 yards and one touchdown.

Snead is the MAC's leading receiver across the board this season with 74 catches, 1175 yards and 12 touchdowns through 10 games. He is ranked sixth among FBS players with an average of 117.5 ypg. Horactio Banks paced the team on the ground with 143 yards and a touchdown on just 11 carries last Wednesday. Jahwan Edwards added 90 yards on a team-high 18 rushing attempts. Edwards is tied with Jordan Lynch for the MAC lead with 12 rushing scores despite playing only eight games.

BSU's defense has held every one of its opponents besides North Texas under 30 points this season and is in the middle of the pack in the conference with 419.9 yards allowed per game. Ben Ingle is the leader of the defensive unit with 77 total tackles. Brian Jones has also been a force with 77 stops, two forced fumbles and three fumble recoveries. The Cardinals have kept their opposition off the board by registering 26 takeaways, which is the fifth most among FBS schools.

The Cardinals will have trouble holding the Huskies under the 30-point mark due to the presence of Lynch under center. The senior field general has been the engine to NIU's success with an average of 335.7 total yards of offense per game. Lynch ranks second in nationally in points responsible for with 19 passing touchdowns, 12 rushing scores and a receiving touchdown. Lynch ran for 119 yards on 17 carries with four touchdowns and also completed 10-of-13 passes for 160 yards with a score in just two-plus quarters of play against the Minutemen.

While Lynch is leading the Huskies and the MAC on the ground with 1,150 yards on 173 carries, NIU has a capable tailback in Cameron Stingily, who is sixth in the league with 98 yards per game. More help is on the way as Akeem Daniels, who contributed 447 yards and nine TDs in 2012, is also nearing a return. Tommylee Lewis (62 rec., 552 yards, three TDs) and Da'Ron Brown (33 rec, 480 yards, seven TDs) are Lynch's most frequent targets.

The Huskies were shaky on the defensive side of the ball at the start of the season, but they have clearly developed into a solid unit. They are permitting an average of 25.0 ppg, while stifling opposing ball carriers to only 147.1 ypg to rank second in the MAC in rushing defense. NIU is still last among the 13 teams in the conference versus the pass with an allowance of 271.6 ypg. Jimmy Ward has helped the two-time defending MAC champions overcome their weakness against strong passing attacks with a team-high 39 solo tackles and five interceptions. Senior defensive tackle Ken Bishop is receiving more and more credit each week for his contributions on the front.

"His first step is really quick. He uses his post hand really well, and then when he gets his other hand in there he can shed a block extremely quick," said Carey when explaining how Bishop has managed to be so disruptive. "He has good hips so his body can torque, so when he's shedding a block his feet can be going one way, and his upper body can be going the other. When you have that combination and you put it with the way he prepares through the week of watching film and knowing what he's going to get and being able to expect certain things versus certain things, then you have a real dangerous player."

While NIU has been the only team from the MAC to receive national attention due to its perfection, the Cardinals have quietly been taking care of business with consistency. Ball State's only loss came on the road to the Mean Green, who are currently at the top of the Conference USA standings. The Huskies' inability to stop the pass may ultimately be their Achilles' heel as Wenning is the one quarterback in the MAC capable of out-dueling Lynch.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
11/13/2013 03:38 PM


Wednesday, November 13

Two key betting trends for Ball State-Northern Illinois

Ball State (9-3 SU, 7-3 ATS) travels to face Northern Illinois (9-0, 6-3 ATS) in a key Mid-American Conference game tonight.

The road team in this rivalry has covered in the last four meetings. The Cardinals have also gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games coming off a bye week.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
11/13/2013 03:40 PM

Short Sheet

Week 12

Wednesday, November 13

Ball State at Northern Illinois, 8:00 ET
Ball State: 15-2 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less
Northern Illinois: 34-18 UNDER off a win against a conference rival

Miami Ohio at Kent State, 8:00 ET
Miami Ohio: 1-9 ATS as a road underdog
Kent State: 6-0 OVER when the total is between 42.5 and 49



Wednesday, November 13

Road has been a costly place for Miami-Ohio bettors

Miami (Ohio), meeting Kent State tonight, is just 1-7-1 ATS in its last nine road games, including 0-4 ATS this season.


Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
11/13/2013 03:41 PM

Wednesday, November 13


BALL ST (9 - 1) at N ILLINOIS (9 - 0) - 11/13/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BALL ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-1 against the spread versus BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


MIAMI OHIO (0 - 9) at KENT ST (2 - 8) - 11/13/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
11/13/2013 03:43 PM

Ball State at Northern Illinois

November 13, 2013

Matchup: Ball State at Northern Illinois
Venue: Huskie Stadium (Field Turf) from DeKalb, Illinois
Date: Wednesday, Nov. 13, 2013
Time/TV: 8:00 pm. ET - ESPN2
Line: Northern Illinois -7, Over/Under 72
Last Meeting: 2012, Northern Illinois (-3) 35 at Ball State 23

Northern Illinois will put the nation’s longest home winning streak of 24 games on the line tonight at Huskie Stadium in Dekalb. For all intents and purposes, the MAC’s West Division will also be at stake when Ball State comes to town. As of early this morning, most books had Northern Illinois (9-0 straight up, 6-3 against the spread) as a seven-point favorite with a total of 72. Gamblers can take the Cardinals on the money line for a +240 return (risk $100 to win $240). For first-half wagers, the Huskies are favored by four with a total of 37.

Since losing 34-27 at North Texas in Week 3, Ball St. (9-1 SU, 7-3 ATS) has won seven consecutive games. The Cardinals had gone 5-1 ATS in their last six contests until giving up a backdoor cover in a 44-24 win over Central Michigan last Wednesday.

Ball St. led the Chippewas 34-3 and 41-10 in the third quarter and appeared on its way to an easy spread cover. But CMU’s Kooper Rush threw a TD pass and ran for another in the fourth quarter to hook up bettors on the underdog.

Ball St. QB Keith Wennington threw for 299 yards and four TDs without committing a turnover. Horactio Banks rushed 11 times for 143 yards and one TDs, while WR Willie Snead had nine receptions for 118 yards and two TDs.

Wennington is completing 62.9 percent of his passes for 3,164 yards with a 27/5 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Snead is his favorite target, hauling in 74 catches for 1,175 yards and 12 TDs.

Jahwan Edwards has rushed for a team-high 749 yards and 12 TDs, while his back-up Banks has rushed for 595 yards and seven scores.

No. Illinois is gunning for a second straight trip to a BCS bowl. Rod Carey’s squad has wins at Iowa and at Purdue, in addition to a win over a 9-1 FCS school in Eastern Illinois.

Just like in 2012 when its only defeats came at Iowa (18-17) and vs. FSU at the Orange Bowl, NIU’s leader is quarterback Jordan Lynch. The senior is enjoying another incredible season. Lynch has rushed for 1,150 yards and 12 TDs while averaging 6.6 yards per carry. He has 1,871 passing yards with a 19/5 TD-INT ratio.

Cameron Stingily is the Huskies’ second-leading rusher with 784 yards and eight TD. Tommylee Lewis leads NIU in receiving with 62 grabs for 552 yards and three TDs, while Da’Ron Brown has a team-high seven TD receptions.

NIU is seventh in the country in scoring with a 44.2 points-per-game average. The ‘over’ is 6-3 overall for the Huskies, 2-1 in their three home games. They have seen their games average a combined score of 69.2 PPG.

Ball St. has seen the ‘over’ go 6-4 overall, 4-1 in its road assignments. The Cardinals’ games have averaged a combined score of 63.5 PPG.

No. Illinois has won four in a row over Ball St, including last year’s 35-23 win as a three-point road favorite. Trailing 23-21 with 4:58 remaining, Lynch threw a 54-yard TD pass to Akeem Daniels. Then with 3:03 left, Lynch scored on a 71-yard TD run to put the game on ice.

Weather could play a major role tonight. The temperature for kickoff is expected to be in the low 30s with a wind chill in the upper teens. Winds could blow as high as 20 miles per hour.

ESPN2 will have the telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

-- In other MAC action last night, Bowling Green cruised to a 49-0 win over Ohio as an 8.5-point home favorite. The Falcons saw the ‘under’ improve to 8-2 in their games when the 49 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 52-point total. Travis Greene ran for 149 yards and two TDs for the winners.

-- Toledo played without leading rusher David Fluellen for a second straight week but still won both SU and ATS. The Rockets beat Buffalo 51-41 as 5.5-point home favorites in freezing temperature at The Glass Bowl. Toledo raced out to a 31-0 halftime lead. Buffalo finally produced some offense in the second half but it was too late, at least for those backing the Bulls to start the night. For gamblers taking Buffalo +1.5 at halftime, they cashed easy winners. So did those who took Buffalo’s second-half team total to go ‘over’ 10 points.

-- Florida lost a 10th player to a season-ending injury when starting middle linebacker Antonio Morrison tore his meniscus in Saturday’s 34-17 home loss to Vanderbilt.

-- BYU’s second-leading receiver Mitch Mathews is out for the season with a shoulder injury suffered in a 27-17 loss at Wisconsin. Mathews finished 2013 with 23 catches for 397 yards and four TDs.

-- Northwestern senior RB Venric Mark will miss the rest of the season with a fractured ankle and will apply for a medical redshirt. Mark played just one entire game in a home loss to Ohio State. He left in the first half of the opener against Cal and the first half of a loss at Wisconsin the week after the defeat against the Buckeyes.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
11/13/2013 03:48 PM

Wednesday, November 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Miami (Ohio) - 8:00 PM ET Kent State -18 500 POD # 3

Kent State - Under 48 500 POD # 4

Ball State - 8:00 PM ET Ball State +9 500 POD # 1

Northern Illinois - Over 72.5 500 POD # 2

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
11/14/2013 01:34 AM

Georgia Tech at Clemson

November 13, 2013

After two heavyweight games with major national implications last Thursday, this week’s slate does not have the same impact. The ACC matchup between Georgia Tech and Clemson will be a meaningful game in the ACC Coastal division race and will impact the still alive BCS bowl berth chances for both teams and it was a very exciting competitive game last season despite a misleading final score.

Here is a look at the Thursday night college football game in the ACC.

Matchup: Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Clemson Tigers
Venue: Clemson Memorial Stadium in Clemson, South Carolina (grass)
Time/TV: 7:30 p.m. ET – ESPN
Line: Clemson -10½, Over/Under 59½
Last Meeting: 2012, Clemson (-10½) 47-31 at Clemson

With the shuffling of the ACC with the addition of Syracuse and Pittsburgh, Georgia Tech has to play at Clemson two years in a row. The Tigers stormed to near the top of the national picture with its opening week win over Georgia but the season goals went up in smoke with a blowout home loss on Oct. 19 to Florida State (51-14) that knocked them out of the national title picture as well as the ACC Atlantic race. While Clemson won’t win its own division, the Tigers would have a chance to go 11-1 and be in strong consideration for the team’s second BCS bowl bid in the last three years as an at-large candidate as they are currently 8th in the BCS standings. Clemson will need to win this week and then also win at South Carolina to close the season for that to be a possibility.

Last season Georgia Tech represented the ACC Coastal division going up against Florida State in the ACC Championship game as a three-way tie on top of the division was handed to the Yellow Jackets with Miami and North Carolina ineligible for the postseason. After starting last season just 3-5 Georgia Tech rallied to finish 7-7, respectably playing with the Seminoles in a six-point defeat in the title game and then getting a notable bowl win over USC in the Sun Bowl. This season has featured another rocky start with three losses in a row at one point but with three straight wins Georgia Tech leads the Coastal division at 5-2. Virginia Tech and Miami also have just two losses and they have both already defeated Georgia Tech but Duke is also in the mix and potential tiebreaker scenarios could possibly work out for the Yellow Jackets if Duke would beat Miami this weekend.

Having the extra week to prepare for Georgia Tech’s unique offense can be an advantage and the Clemson defense has been good against the run this season, allowing 141 yards per game but on just 3.7 yards per rush. Only twice this season has Clemson been out-rushed, though that is almost certain to be the case in this matchup. Last season Georgia Tech had 339 rushing yards against Clemson and the Yellow Jackets average nearly 312 yards per game on the ground. Whether or not Clemson can run the ball in this game might determine the result as Georgia Tech allows just 103 yards per game on the ground defensively, holding foes to just 3.4 yards per rush. While the total yardage edges are significant for Clemson on offense and Georgia Tech on defense, the statistics are a bit misleading as Georgia Tech has been more productive on a per play basis on offense while Clemson has been slightly better on defense in terms of yards per play allowed.

While Clemson quarterback Tajh Boyd has fallen off the map after being a preseason Heisman Trophy contender, he still owns strong numbers with 20 touchdown passes and just six interceptions. He is completing almost 66 percent of his passes but he has not been quite as productive as last season in the air or on the ground as he wraps up what has been a fine career in the coming weeks. Leading Georgia Tech is sophomore Vad Lee who has thrown for over 1,000 yards while rushing for nearly 400 yards. In the triple-option Lee does not put up great conventional statistics for a quarterback with just 45 percent completions and just 2.9 yards per rush but he has been able to stay healthy this season and has become the leader for the offense even after facing some doubts and criticism on the losing streak earlier in the season.

Last Meeting: Last year’s game with Clemson was the low-point for Georgia Tech as they fell to just 2-4 on the season and 1-3 in ACC play before going 4-0 in the remaining conference games. While Clemson eventually won by 16, Georgia Tech actually led 31-30 in the fourth quarter. Clemson got a touchdown and a two-point conversion and then just seconds later had a safety that helped to put the game away, adding another touchdown in the final minute to cover the spread in what was a misleading final score. Clemson did post 601 yards of offense compared with 483 for Georgia Tech as the Tigers overcame two interceptions. Current NFL players DeAndre Hopkins and Andre Ellington did most of the damage for Clemson as Sammy Watkins had a quiet day and the big numbers for Tajh Boyd were padded with the big fourth quarter. Vad Lee did not play in the game as Tevin Washington was still the quarterback for Georgia Tech.

Series History: The home team has won and covered in the last three meetings in this series. These teams also played in the 2009 ACC championship game with Georgia Tech winning 39-34 as a slight favorite. Georgia Tech has won 11 of the last 17 meetings but Clemson is 13-7 ATS in the last 20 meetings going back to 1994. Since 1989 Clemson is just 4-10 ATS as a favorite in this series however, though they have won and covered in the last three meetings as a home favorite. This year’s spread is currently a point lower than last season’s closing number. Dabo Swinney’s first game as head coach of Clemson came hosting Georgia Tech halfway through the 2008 season with Georgia Tech winning 21-17.

Line Movement: The line opened at Clemson -10 and has slowly climbed to 10½. The total is up to 59 after opening at 58½.

Georgia Tech Historical Trends: Georgia Tech is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 games as a double-digit underdog but Georgia Tech is just 4-7-2 ATS in the last 13 road games. Since Paul Johnson took over in 2008 Georgia Tech is 13-12 ATS as an underdog, winning eight times SU.

Clemson Historical Trends: Under Swinney Clemson is 18-17 ATS at home and 27-23 ATS as a favorite, going 14-13 ATS as a double-digit favorite. Clemson has failed to cover in four of the last five games as a home favorite and six of the last nine games as a double-digit home favorite.

Also on Thursday…

Marshall (-14) at Tulsa (FS1, 7:30 p.m. ET)

Tulsa has endured a rough 2-7 season and the Golden Hurricane sit at just 1-8 ATS on the year. It has been a steep fall for the 2012 Conference USA champions and it has been somewhat unexpected as many predicted Tulsa to repeat as at least the West division champion. Tulsa has been bowl eligible in seven of the last eight seasons and this program has won at least 10 games in four of the last six years but last week’s loss clinched a losing season in 2013. Tulsa has played better at home and this was a team that did not lose at Chapman Stadium last season. Quarterback play has been a big reason for the tough season as freshman Dane Evans has completed just 45 percent of his passes.

Tulsa won 45-38 last season at Marshall and the Thundering Herd are not the same team on the road. Marshall is 1-3 both SU and ATS in road games this season with only a one-point victory over Florida Atlantic in the win column. Despite winning at least five games five different years since 2005, Marshall has gone just 11-42 SU and 18-32 ATS in road games since the start of the 2005 season. Quarterback Rakeem Cato has excellent numbers with 23 touchdowns and just six interceptions but it has been a dramatic defensive improvement that makes the Thundering Herd a contender in Conference USA this season, allowing just 21 points and 359 yards per game this season after surrendering 43 points and 457 yards per game last season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
11/14/2013 01:44 AM

Inside the Stats

November 13, 2013

Each week we take a look inside the numbers, from both a statistical and a pointspread aspect, on the college football and NFL cards.

Here are this week’s findings…

As The Noose Tightens

November is, unquestionably, the best time of the season for sports fans. The NFL enters its second-half race. College Football concludes with teams scurrying for bowl bids while the NBA and College Basketball tip off new campaigns. It’s also a great time for handicappers as value aplenty abounds.

Our focus in the world of College Football begins to center around postseason bowl games during turkey month. In particular, we like to zero in on undefeated teams at this stage of the season. That’s because the deeper they get into the season, the more pressure there is on them to remain unbeaten. As a result, the noose certainly gets tighter and tighter each week, especially when these perfect teams take to the road.

This is confirmed by the fact that, since 1980, undefeated college football teams playing on the regular season road from “Game 10” on out are 99-34-1 SU and 57-67-2 ATS. Hence, these teams tend to suffer their first loss of the season nearly one-third of the time. A warning signal has been sounded for Alabama and Ohio State this week.

Pair them up against an under the radar opponent who won 8 or fewer games last season and watch them immediately play down to the level of the opposition as they dip to 6-21 ATS. Bring these same guys in off a win of 20 or more points and they have a difficult time getting their head through the door, going just 3-19 ATS.

Both the Crimson Tide and the Buckeyes look to meet their financial maker this week.

Alabama at Mississippi State
Ohio State at Illinois

Down The Stretch

Its stretch-run time in college football and with it a list of teams that have been either moneymakers or money breakers at this stage of the season.

From my powerful database, here is how various teams have fared of late from Game Ten out during the regular season heading in to this year. As usual, all results are ATS (Against The Spread) with a minimum five occurrences.

Best Dogs: Arizona 11-1, Boston College 7-1, Memphis 7-1, San Jose State 6-0, Virginia Tech 6-1 and West Virginia 9-1.

Worst Dogs: Air Force 0-8, Michigan 0-5-1, Middle Tennessee State 1-9, Oklahoma State 1-10-1 and Texas Tech 1-5.

Best Favorites: Arkansas 7-0, Arkansas State 5-0, Baylor 5-0, Kansas 6-1, Middle Tennessee State 9-1, Oregon State 5-1, Troy 7-0 and UCLA 5-1.

Worst Favorites: Arizona 1-11, Boise State 0-8, Florida State 1-6, Navy 0-5, Louisville 1-5, Oklahoma 1-5, UAB 1-5 and Utah 0-5.

Note: See our ‘Stat Of The Week’ below for the crème de la crème of this study.

Pennzoil Plays

Fading favorites who have lost the stats in each of their previous three games has proven to be a long-term winning investment.

These ‘leaking oil’ favorites now stand at 17-19 ATS overall this season, including 12-13 in CFB and 5-6 in the NFL.

This week’s plays would be against…

NCAAFB: Central Michigan, Colorado, Kent State, West Virginia
NFL: Atlanta


As we alluded to here last week, OVER players have been taking down the cash in non-conference games this season.

After yet another unassailable 4-0 performance last week, non-conference games (AFC vs. NFC) are now 35-11 OVER this season, including a bookie busting 11-0 the last three weeks.

This week’s potential non-conference OVERS look to be:

Detroit at Pittsburgh
Baltimore at Chicago
Arizona at Jacksonville
New England at Carolina (MNF)

Stat of The Week

The underdog in Arizona Wildcats football games is 22-2 ATS from “Game 10” out during the regular season.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33240 Followers:38
11/18/2013 05:17 PM

College football odds: Week 13 opening line report

Practically every week in college football, there’s a major showdown in the Southeastern Conference. That’s certainly the case for Week 13, which is highlighted by reigning Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel and Texas A&M traveling to Baton Rouge to battle LSU.

The Aggies (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS), coming off a bye, haven’t had trouble in the scoring department all season, scoring 41 points or more in all 10 games. And they’ve racked up huge totals the past few weeks, breaking 50 in each of their last three games while going 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS), including a 51-41 home victory Nov. 9 against Mississippi State – though they fell short of covering in that contest as 19.5-point favorites.

LSU (7-3, 4-5-1 ATS), also coming off a bye, got off to a strong 4-0 SU start this year, but the Tigers are just 3-3 SU (2-3-1 ATS) in their last six games and have failed to cover in their last three outings. That includes a 38-17 loss catching 14 points at top-ranked Alabama on Nov. 9.

Peter Korner, founder of Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, found the total on this game intriguing, as he expects a shootout in the bayou.

“This is another great game to watch,” Korner said. “The total we sent out is 78, so you know this is going to be an up-and-down game. What Texas A&M game isn't?”

As for the spread, Korner had to give the nod to the host.

“Our range of numbers went from LSU pick to -4.5, and we settled on LSU -3. Of course, Texas A&M has a great chance of winning this game straight up, but playing at LSU this late in the year is a tough challenge for any team – even one led by Johnny Football. We think this line will hold close to our opener by kickoff. A&M has a good, steady flow of cash that has followed them all year.”

Arizona State Sun Devils (-1.5) at UCLA Bruins

ASU (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS) heads to the West Coast toting a five-game SU win streak (3-2 SU), and the Sun Devils have gotten it done in blowout fashion and grind-it-out fashion. In wins over Colorado, Washington and at Washington State, ASU rang up 54, 53 and 55 points respectively; the past two weeks, the Sun Devils fended off host Utah 20-19 laying seven points and bested visiting Oregon State 30-17, barely failing to cash as a 13.5-point chalk.

It appears UCLA (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) has gotten over brutal back-to-back road trips. Since losing 24-10 at Stanford and 42-14 at Oregon, the Bruins have won three in a row, covering their last two while averaging 39 ppg in that stretch, including a 41-31 home win over Washington.

“This is a very good game, and the line is representative of how unpredictable this game is,” Korner said. "Our range of numbers went from UCLA -3 to ASU -2. After discussing the teams overall strengths and recent play, we made ASU the road favorite. We're going to open this game at ASU -1.5 and see where
that takes us. We see the offshores had play on ASU, and that ASU was up to -3. But we're not going that high here in Nevada with the large Los Angeles following we have in our sportsbooks on the weekend.”

Baylor Bears (-11) at Oklahoma State Cowboys

Baylor (9-0 SU) aims to keep its name in the national championship conversation. If scoring and spread-covering ability were part of the BCS formula, the Bears would definitely be No. 1. They average a whopping 61.2 ppg, rolling to a 63-34 win over Texas Tech on Saturday laying 27.5 points at AT&T Stadium, and their 8-1 ATS record (4-0 last four) ranks third in the nation.

Oklahoma State (9-1 SU) is also no slouch at the betting window, with a 7-3 ATS mark (14th), and like Baylor, offense is a big part of the formula. The Cowboys have won six in a row SU and five in a row ATS, scoring 38 points or more four times in that stretch, including two games in the 50s.

“Nevada books continue to get trampled by Baylor each and every week,” Korner said. “We don't want to be light on this team. Our range of numbers went from Baylor -10 to -14. We saw the number diminish from -10.5 to -9.5 early Sunday morning, but we're not falling for that. We stuck a -11 as our opener and fully expected that weak -9.5 to jump back up in no time.”

Northern Illinois Huskies (-2.5) at Toledo Rockets

Northern Illinois (10-0 SU, 7-3 ATS) is looking to become a BCS bowl buster for the second straight year. The Huskies had their hands full at home last week against Ball State, but pulled away in the fourth quarter for a 48-27 win and cover as an 8.5-point favorite. NIU has cashed four in a row and six of its last seven.

Toledo (7-3 SU) has been a good bet this season, with a 7-2-1 ATS mark (10th nationally), and the Rockets’ scoring production has been strong over the past few weeks. Toledo has won five in a row SU (4-1 ATS), scoring 45 points or more in four of those games, including a 51-41 home win over Buffalo as a 5.5-point chalk last week.

“This game will be an excellent one, with two very good teams going at it,” Korner said. “Apparently, it was a no-brainer, as everyone had Northern Illinois -2.5 -- all five of our oddsmakers and the offshores. Nothing to see here, keep it moving.”

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: