cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
10/21/2011 06:41 PM

Dallas Cowboys 13-Point Favorites Vs. St. Louis Rams

The status of St. Louis quarterback Sam Bradford is the big question heading into Sunday’s game at the Dallas Cowboys.

St. Louis is a 13-point ‘dog at Don Best after opening at 12. The NFL betting total is down a point from the open, 44 ½ to 43 ½, with kickoff from Cowboys Stadium at 4:15 p.m. (ET) on FOX.

The Rams (0-5 straight up and against the spread) have taken a giant step back after an 7-9 SU campaign last year and almost winning the woeful NFC West. A tough schedule hasn’t helped, but the biggest culprit is ranking last in red-zone touchdowns (25 percent) and scoring (9.8 PPG).

Those numbers were with the talented Bradford starting, but he suffered a high ankle sprain last week at Green Bay and should be a game-time decision after not practicing through Thursday. The backup option is veteran A.J. Feeley, who hasn’t started since 2007 with Philadelphia.

Both quarterbacks are happy with the deadline addition of Denver receiver Brandon Lloyd. He led the NFL with 1,448 receiving yards last year and will acclimate quickly to the offense being familiar with coordinator Josh McDaniels’ system. St. Louis’ passing offense ranks just 25th this season (210.8 YPG).

Running back Steven Jackson had 96 yards against Green Bay and is looking healthy after an early-season quad injury. He will be badly needed to keep the Dallas defense honest and not pinning its ears back. The Cowboys are first in the NFL in run defense (69.6 YPG), although they did surrender 101 yards to the Patriots last week.

The Rams were 14-point underdogs versus Green Bay, the only time they’ve been greater than a touchdown ‘dog this year. They actually out-gained the Pack in total yards (424-399) despite the 24-3 loss.

St. Louis is just 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games as a 10 ½-point road ‘dog or greater.

The Cowboys may only be 2-3 SU (2-2-1 ATS), but they are much more talented than their record suggest with all three losses coming by four points or less. The Don Best Linemakers Poll agrees with the ‘Boys ranked eighth in the NFL (95.1 rating). St. Louis is 29th with an 86.5 rating.

The latest heartbreaker for Dallas was a 20-16 loss at New England as 6 ½-point ‘dogs. The team held Tom Brady and company in check until the game-winning 80-yard drive. That was precipitated by some conservative play calling by coach Jason Garrett, preferring his defense to win the game instead of quarterback Tony Romo.

The 36 combined points scored went way ‘under’ the 54 ½-point total. The ‘over’ is 3-2 for Dallas on the year and 1-1 at home. The ‘over’ is 10-1 its last 11 home games overall.

Romo had a nice day statistically vs. New England (27-of-41, 317 yards) and has the fifth-highest yards per attempt in the league (8.24). However, red-zone offense also kills this team at 33 percent touchdown success, second-worst to the Rams.

Romo had one interception last week and five in the last three games. His penchant for costly turnovers is the reason Garrett was conservative last week in crunch time. The quarterback should be much more comfortable going against a decimated Rams cornerback position that has 36-year-old Al Harris starting.

Dallas running back Felix Jones (ankle) is out, with rookie DeMarco Murray the likely starter and backed up by Tashard Choice. Dallas is a pass first team, but can have success against the Rams worst-ranked run defense (161.8 YPG), although the unit did hold Green Bay to just 90 yards last week.

Defensively, coordinator Rob Ryan should be extra aggressive after also being passive on New England’s final drive. If Bradford plays, expect Ryan to unleash his defense like a lion on a hurt gazelle. McDaniels will try to slow down the blitzing with screen passes, but Dallas will be ready for that.

The Cowboys are 1-1 SU and 0-2 ATS at home this year. They had a comeback win over Washington (18-16) as 3 ½-point favorites and blew a huge lead against Detroit, losing 34-30 as 2 ½-point ‘chalk.’

Dallas is just 1-7 ATS in its last eight games as a home favorite and a complete effort for 60 minutes is needed to cover this large spread.

Weather is expected to have some morning thunderstorms, but it should be clear by game-time with temps in the 70s. Closing the roof is always an option for owner Jerry Jones.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
10/23/2011 10:48 AM

Today's Games Trends:

San Diego:

Over is 28-11-4 in SD last 43 road games.
Over is 7-3-1 in SD last 11 games in October.

N.Y. Jets:

Over is 6-2 in NYJ last 8 games in October.
Over is 22-8 in NYJ last 30 games overall.
Over is 21-8-1 in NYJ last 30 vs. AFC



Over is 7-1 in DEN last 8 games in October.
Over is 8-2-1 in DEN last 11 games in Week 7.
Over is 20-6 in DEN last 26 games overall.


MIA are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Over is 6-2 in MIA last 8 games as a home underdog.
MIA are 17-47-1 ATS in their last 65 home games.



Under is 7-2 in CHI last 9 road games.
Under is 9-3 in CHI last 12 games in Week 7.
Over is 7-3 in CHI last 10 games on grass.

Tampa Bay:

TB are 6-17 ATS in their last 23 home games.
Over is 5-2-1 in TB last 8 home games.
TB are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games in October.



Over is 7-1 in HOU last 8 games as an underdog.
Over is 19-8 in HOU last 27 vs. AFC South.


Under is 9-2 in TEN last 11 vs. AFC South.
Over is 6-2 in TEN last 8 games on grass.
TEN are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 7.

Head to Head:

HOU are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.



Over is 13-3 in SEA last 16 games overall.
Over is 20-8-1 in SEA last 29 games as an underdog.
Over is 36-15 in SEA last 51 games on grass.


CLE are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
CLE are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
Over is 6-2 in CLE last 8 home games.



Under is 7-1 in WAS last 8 games on grass.
Under is 8-2 in WAS last 10 games as an underdog.
Under is 11-3-1 in WAS last 15 games in October.


Under is 10-2 in CAR last 12 games in Week 7.
CAR are 2-7 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 16-5 in CAR last 21 games as a favorite.

Head to Head:

Underdog is 9-0 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.



Over is 6-1-1 in ATL last 8 road games.
Over is 6-2 in ATL last 8 games as a road underdog.
Over is 11-5-2 in ATL last 18 games overall.


DET are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. NFC.
Over is 8-3-1 in DET last 12 games in October.
Over is 13-5-1 in DET last 19 games overall.


Kansas City:

KC are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games in Week 7.
KC are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC.
Over is 17-8-2 in KC last 27 games in October.


OAK are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC West.
Under is 6-2-1 in OAK last 9 games as a favorite.
Over is 6-2 in OAK last 8 vs. AFC West.

Head to Head:

Underdog is 8-0 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
KC are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Oakland.



PIT are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Over is 7-3 in PIT last 10 games overall.
PIT are 7-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.


Over is 23-9 in ARI last 32 home games.
Over is 20-8 in ARI last 28 games in October.
ARI are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall.


St. Louis:

STL are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 7-3 in STL last 10 games in Week 7.


Over is 10-1 in DAL last 11 home games.
Over is 9-1 in DAL last 10 games as a favorite.
Over is 8-1 in DAL last 9 games as a home favorite.



Over is 13-3 in IND last 16 road games.
IND are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
IND are 15-7-2 ATS in their last 24 road games.

New Orleans:

NO are 2-10 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 10-4-1 in NO last 15 games in Week 7.



Over is 6-2 in BAL last 8 road games.
BAL are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 7.
BAL are 15-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.


JAC are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Mon. games.
JAC are 3-10 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 12-5 in JAC last 17 vs. AFC.

Head to Head: Over is 12-5-1 in the last 18 meetings.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
10/23/2011 11:29 AM

Sunday, October 23

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Diego - 1:00 PM ET San Diego +1 500
N.Y. Jets - Over 43.5 500

Seattle - 1:00 PM ET Seattle +3 500 ( Morning Blowout )
Cleveland - Over 41 500

Atlanta - 1:00 PM ET Detroit -4 500
Detroit - Over 47 500

Washington - 1:00 PM ET Washington +1.5 500
Carolina - Under 43.5 500 ( TOTAL OF THE DAY )

Chicago - 1:00 PM ET Tampa Bay +1 500 ( NFC NORTH POD )
Tampa Bay - Under 43.5 500

Denver - 1:00 PM ET Denver -1 500
Miami - Over 41.5 500

Houston - 1:00 PM ET Tennessee -3 500
Tennessee - Under 44 500

Kansas City - 4:05 PM ET Kansas City +3.5 500 ( AFC WEST SHOCKER )
Oakland - Under 41.5 500

Green Bay - 4:15 PM ET Green Bay -9.5 500
Minnesota - Over 46.5 500

St. Louis - 4:15 PM ET St. Louis +13.5 500
Dallas - Over 43 500

Indianapolis - 8:20 PM ET Indianapolis +13.5 500
New Orleans - Under 49.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
10/24/2011 05:27 PM

Jaguars Face Long Odds At Baltimore Ravens

In a game where the Baltimore Ravens seemingly have every advantage except playing on their home field, the Jacksonville Jaguars will look to their running game and defense to keep them competitive on Monday Night Football.

The Ravens (4-1) jumped up to No. 3 in the latest Don Best Linemakers Poll while the Jaguars (1-5) are dead last at No. 32.

Jacksonville was at an even bigger disadvantage though last week against another AFC North title contender and managed to cover the spread in a 17-13 road loss to the Pittsburgh Steelers as 12 ½-point underdogs. The Jaguars are as high as 10-point home dogs this week according to the Don Best odds screen after opening at +8 ½.

The total has also moved from 38 to 40.

Rookie quarterback Blaine Gabbert will make his prime-time debut for Jacksonville and go against one of the toughest defenses in the NFL. Gabbert has completed just under 50 percent of his passes in five games with four touchdowns passes, two interceptions and two fumbles lost. The former Mizzou star was mistake-free against the Steelers but threw for just 109 yards on 12-of-26 passing as the Jaguars relied heavily on running back Maurice Jones-Drew.

That will likely be the case again on Monday night, as Jones-Drew is ranked third in the NFL in rushing with 572 yards.

Baltimore last played Jacksonville in 2008 and won 27-7 at home as a 10-point favorite. The Ravens are coming off an impressive 29-14 home victory against the Houston Texans, covering as 7-point favorites, but their offense stalled in the red zone as they had to settle for five Billy Cundiff field goals. Pittsburgh found a lot of success running the ball against the Jaguars with Rashard Mendenhall rushing for a season-high 146 yards and one touchdown.

The key for Baltimore to beat the spread is to get ahead by a few scores early, although the Steelers led 17-3 at halftime and saw Jacksonville score the final 10 points of the game. However, the Ravens have a better vertical passing game than Pittsburgh and should be able to attack deep with wide receivers Anquan Boldin and Torrey Smith.

They also have a very dangerous weapon in RB Ray Rice, who is one of two backs in the NFL with more than 300 yards rushing and receiving.

The Jaguars may be even weaker defensively if third-leading tackler Dawan Landry is limited due to a thigh injury. The former Baltimore safety was upgraded to probable on the injury report, but his presence and ability to make plays in the secondary will be critical to Jacksonville’s success.

The weather should not be a factor as the game-time temperature will be around 68 degrees with a 10 percent chance of rain.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
10/24/2011 05:29 PM

MNF - Ravens at Jaguars

October 23, 2011

The Week 7 card wraps up in north Florida on Monday night as the struggling Jaguars (1-5) host the red-hot Ravens (4-1). Baltimore has an opportunity over the next two weeks to pad its record to 6-1 and help its cause to receive the top seed in the AFC. Meanwhile, Jacksonville is trying to get its offense started up against one of the league's top defensive units.

The Jaguars have scored 13 points or less in four of five losses since an opening week victory over the Titans. In fact, Jack Del Rio's team has reached the end zone just five times during this five-game skid, including one touchdown in a 17-13 setback at Pittsburgh last Sunday. The only good news that came out of that loss was Jacksonville cashed as 12 ½-point underdogs after cutting a 17-0 deficit to four in the final five minutes.

The Ravens received a reality check after an embarrassing Week 2 defeat at Tennessee, 26-13 as 5 ½-point favorites. Baltimore rebounded nicely with three double-digit victories over the Rams, Jets, and Texans, while covering each game with ease. John Harbaugh's squad held a two-point lead heading into the fourth quarter of last week's win over Houston prior to a 13-point outburst in the final 15 minutes to cash as seven-point favorites.

Baltimore is known for being a hungry defensive team, but the Ravens are one of the league's top 'over' plays through the first six weeks. In fact, the Ravens eclipsed the 'over' in each of the first four games, but barely finished 'under' the total of 43 ½ in a 29-14 victory over Houston. On the flip side, the Jaguars are 5-1 to the 'under,' with the lone 'over' coming in a surprising shootout against the Bengals in a 30-20 loss.

This rookie class of quarterbacks has several players looking to make impacts, including Jacksonville's Blaine Gabbert. The former Missouri signal-caller is 0-4 as a starter since replacing Luke McCown beginning in Week 3 at Carolina, while completing just 48.8% of his passes. Jacksonville has thrown for the second-fewest touchdowns (4) in the league, while owning the least amount of passing yards (826).

Baltimore doesn't throw it around as many may think, completing just 89 passes through five games (Jacksonville is right behind with 83 completions). The Ravens have balanced things nicely with a sound running game by averaging 121 yards/game on the ground (12th in league), while Ray Rice racked up over 100 yards for the second time this season in the victory over Houston.

Harbaugh has gotten his team up for Monday night affairs since taking over as head coach in 2008 by posting a 4-0 ATS and 3-1 SU mark. The only defeat came in an overtime setback at Pittsburgh in his first season, but the Ravens took the money as six-point 'dogs, 23-20. In fact, the Ravens haven't hosted a Monday night contest under Harbaugh, while coming off road wins over the Jets and Texans last season.

The Ravens have put together a solid record as a road favorite since 2008 with an 8-4 ATS mark. Six of those victories are against non-division foes, while going 3-1 ATS as road 'chalk' of seven points or more. Jacksonville is just 1-4 ATS the last five games in the home underdog role, including losses to Cincinnati and New Orleans this season.

The Jaguars are playing their fourth game under the Monday night lights since 2007, coming off three blowout losses to Indianapolis ('07), Houston ('08), and Tennessee ('10). The ugliest defeat came last season against the Titans as three-point home 'dogs, 30-3, as Jacksonville had won its previous two games prior to that home blowout.

Baltimore is listed as a heavy 9 ½-point road favorite, while the number is creeping up to 10 as several outfits. The total is set at 40 across the board with several 39 ½'s hanging out as the weather should be nice with temperatures in the low 70's. The game will be televised nationally on ESPN and kicks off at 8:30 PM EST from EverBank Field.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
10/24/2011 05:31 PM

Post-Bye Week Struggles

October 24, 2011

The bye weeks always seemed like a good time to rest and recuperate, but this season the open date is putting teams at a disadvantage for their next game. Through two weeks, 12 teams coming off the bye own a 3-9 straight-up and 4-7-1 record against the spread. Six more clubs (Giants, Bills, Bengals, 49ers, Patriots, and Eagles) play with rest this week, but how will the bye affect them? Let's take a look at how this trend is profitable this season.

Week 6

Redskins (+3) at Eagles - LOSS

Washington entered this game at 3-1 against a desperate Philadelphia squad. The Redskins fell behind 20-3 at the half prior to losing, 20-13, while dropping their second divisional game of the season. Mike Shanahan's team has lost four consecutive games off the bye dating back to 2008.

Rams (+14) at Packers - LOSS

St. Louis' offense has been dreadful all season long, but a week off to prepare for the defending Super Bowl Champions meant nothing. The Packers jumped out to a 24-0 lead as Green Bay cruised to a 24-3 victory. After losing at Dallas on Sunday, the Rams are 0-6 SU/ATS, the only team in the league that has lost every game against the spread.

Ravens (-7) vs. Texans - WIN

Baltimore improved to a perfect 4-0 ATS following the bye week under John Harbaugh after pulling away late from Houston, 29-14. The Ravens scored 13 points in the final quarter to cash as a touchdown favorite, while moving to 3-0 SU/ATS at home this season.

Browns (+6 ½) at Raiders - LOSS

Cleveland felt on top of the world following a 2-1 start, but after an embarrassing home setback to the Titans, the Browns needed to regroup. Pat Shurmur's club fell behind, 24-7 at Oakland before scoring 10 late points to lose 24-17. The Browns played on the road after the bye for just the second time since 2005, as Cleveland picked up a 27-20 victory at St. Louis in its 10-6 season of 2007 following the open date.

Cowboys (+6 ½) at Patriots - WIN

Dallas had an excellent opportunity to win this game outright, but a late rally led by Tom Brady helped New England grab a 20-16 victory. The Cowboys managed their second cover in a road loss this season (Jets in Week 1), while improving to 6-1 ATS following the bye week since 2004.

Dolphins (+7) at Jets - LOSS

Miami has been a train-wreck all season long at 0-6, but this loss stung pretty bad as the Dolphins converted just two field goals in a 24-6 defeat to their rivals. The Fins won the previous two road meetings against the Jets, while losing their fourth straight road game dating back to last season.

Week 7

Titans (-3) vs. Texans - LOSS

Tennessee entered Sunday's action leading the AFC South race, but the Titans were quickly humbled by the reeling Texans. Houston jumped out to a 20-0 halftime en route to a 41-7 romp in Nashville to move above the .500 mark. Tennessee is 0-2 ATS in two opportunities as a home favorite, while dropping its second straight game after a 3-1 start.

Broncos (-1) at Dolphins - WIN

Miami was coasting to a 15-0 triumph over Denver, but Tim Tebow's heroics led the Broncos to an improbable 18-15 overtime victory. Denver improved to 2-1 ATS away from the Mile High city, while John Fox has won his fourth straight game off the bye dating back to his days as coach of Carolina.

Chargers (-1) at Jets - LOSS

Many people questioned San Diego's 4-1 start after beating Minnesota, Kansas City, Miami, and Denver (combined 4-17 entering Week 7). The Chargers headed cross-country and jumped out to a 21-10 advantage, but the Jets rallied back to stun San Diego, 27-21 as short home 'dogs.

Seahawks (+3) at Browns - PUSH

In probably the most unwatchable game of the season, Seattle managed a 'push' in a 6-3 defeat at Cleveland. The Seahawks had a punt-return for a touchdown called back due to a push in the back, while failing to score a touchdown with first goal at the eight. This was Seattle's third game played in the Eastern Time Zone this season, as the Hawks play three of their final four road contests in the Central Time Zone.

Chiefs (+3 ½) at Raiders - WIN

This line moved all the way up to six mid-week, but when the news came out that newly-acquired Carson Palmer wouldn't start and kicker Sebastian Janikowski was injured, the number dropped by nearly a field goal. Kansas City looked strong off the bye with a 28-0 whipping of Oakland, winning for the seventh time in eight tries at the Black Hole.

Cardinals (+4) vs. Steelers - LOSS

This rematch of Super Bowl XLIII turned into a blowout as Pittsburgh took care of Arizona, 32-20. The Cardinals fell to 3-6 in their previous nine home games since last November, while dropping to 2-3 ATS since 2007 after the bye week.

Week 8

Giants (-10) vs. Dolphins
Bills (-5 ½) vs. Redskins
Bengals (-2 ½) at Seahawks
49ers (-9 ½) vs. Browns
Patriots (-2 ½) at Steelers
Eagles (-3 ½) vs. Cowboys

Favorites are 2-2 SU/ATS

Underdogs are 1-7 SU and 2-5-1 ATS

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
10/24/2011 05:33 PM

Week 7 Preview: Ravens at Jaguars



Kickoff: Monday, 8:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Baltimore -10, Total: 39

The sizzling-hot Ravens try to notch their fourth win in a row (SU and ATS) and hand the Jaguars their sixth straight defeat when the two teams hook up on Monday Night Football.

Baltimore is putting up 33.3 PPG during its three-game surge, while Jacksonville has scored only 11.2 PPG during its slide. The Jags have used RB Maurice Jones-Drew and an improved defense to stay competitive since rookie QB Blaine Gabbert took over, but the Ravens defense will be the toughest test Gabbert has faced yet. The Ravens have allowed 100 team rushing yards just once through five games, so Gabbert will likely have to make a play at some point. That’s bad news for Jacksonville considering the rookie’s league-worst 48.8% completion percentage. The Ravens have established themselves as a decent offensive team to go along with their elite defense. QB Joe Flacco is coming off his second 300-yard passing performance in his past three games. The Ravens are 7-1 SU (3-2-3 ATS) against the Jags since 2000, including a 27-7 crushing the last time they met in 2008. The pick here is BALTIMORE to keep on rolling with a big win.

This pair of FoxSheets trends also favor the Ravens:

John Harbaugh is 12-3 ATS (80.0%, +8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of BALTIMORE. The average score was BALTIMORE 30.1, OPPONENT 12.5 - (Rating = 2*).

JACKSONVILLE is 3-14 ATS (17.6%, -12.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons. The average score was JACKSONVILLE 18.2, OPPONENT 26.8 - (Rating = 2*).

Flacco (7 TD, 4 INT) has been wildly inconsistent, and his 51.4% completion rate is third-worst in the league among starting quarterbacks. The same cannot be said for RB Ray Rice, who has 700 total yards and four touchdowns this year. He rushed for 101 yards and added 60 more through the air in last week’s win over Houston. The Ravens are 4-0 when outrushing their opponent this year, averaging 141 rushing YPG in the four victories. The defense remains top-notch, leading the NFL in scoring (14.2 PPG) and ranking third in the league in yardage (286 YPG). This is even more remarkable considering the team has just 10 sacks on the year (T-22nd in NFL), and two of its cornerbacks have missed nearly the entire season (Chris Carr - hamstring and Jimmy Smith - ankle), and will likely not play Monday night either.

The Jaguars have even more injuries to concern themselves with. TE Zach Miller (shoulder) was placed on IR and OG Eben Britton was a late scratch before Sunday’s loss to Pittsburgh when his back tightened up in pre-game warmups. The defense is a bigger mess, as DE Aaron Kampman (knee), LB Clint Session (elbow) and CB Derek Cox (groin) are all questionable to suit up. If Jacksonville is to hang around in this game, it will be due to the legs of Maurice Jones-Drew. Despite his team’s poor record and league-worst passing game (138 YPG), Jones-Drew has rushed for 80+ yards and 4.0 YPC in all six games, totaling 572 yards on 4.8 YPC. The defense has played pretty well all things considered (325 YPG, 8th in NFL), but it has only generated 11 sacks and six turnovers in six games. The strength of the defense is the linebackers, as Paul Posluszny and Daryl Smith each have 32 solo tackles and five passes defensed this year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
10/24/2011 05:40 PM

Monday, October 24

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Baltimore - 8:30 PM ET Jacksonville +10 500

Jacksonville - Over 38.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33254 Followers:38
10/24/2011 06:02 PM

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday..........

13) Denver's first 11 drives Sunday:
51 plays, 158 yards, 10 first downs, zero points.
Denver's last two drives in regulation Sunday:
18 plays, 136 yards, 8 first downs, 15 points.

Winning FG in OT was set up by a Miami fumble; Broncos didn't need a first down in OT, as Prater drilled a 52-yard FG that almost went over the damn net. Say what you want about Tim Tebow; he competes like hell, and he wins an awful lot more than he loses. What else matters?

12) Rams were 56-24 in Kurt Warner's last five years there; they're 35-83 since he left. Arizona was 27-21 in Warner's last three years there; they're 6-16 since he retired.

11) Tampa Bay Bucs went to London on Monday; Bears didn't go until Thursday; everyone said the Bucs' would be fresher after spending a week across the pond. Maybe they were, but the Bears won 24-18.

10) If you invested in Cleveland, -3 or 3.5, you've got to be sick after they had a 24-yard FG blocked with 3:05 left that would've given them a 9-3 lead. Field goals very, very rarely get blocked in the NFL, especially short field goals. Seattle gained 137 yards on 50 plays and still covered.

Seattle traded a 3rd round pick for Charlie Whitehurst? Yikes.

9) So they say on TV that Colt McCoy is more comfortable operating out of the shotgun; problem is the Browns are now a West Coast offense team, and those teams very rarely operate from the shotgun. Is that an ideal situation having your franchise QB running an offense he's not comfortable in? How hard will it be for him to get comfortable, or is it too late?

8) Only two of the last 10 teams to host a Super Bowl have had a winning record that season; none of them made the playoffs. Last team to make the playoffs in a season they hosted the Super Bowl? The 2000 Bucs.

7) Gutty effort by the Colts Sunday night.

Why the hell was Darren Sproles running the ball with 4:30 left in a game the Saints were leading 62-7? How is this smart?

6) Through the first seven weeks, minus the Monday night game, 50.9% of NFL drives have started 80+ yards from the end zone. Over is 54-44-5 so far this season, but only 32-37-2 since Week 3.

Looking at the ratio of offensive TDs scored to field goals tried, we see that in Weeks 1-2, that ratio was 1.37, but since then, only 1.05. Defense is catching up to offense after the shortened offseason; teams are finding it increasingly difficult to score in the red zone as the season goes on.

5) In their last five games, Rams have been outscored 103-16 in first half. Since I've been a Ram fan since 1966, its my duty to inform anyone who might be reading that Jeff Fisher is unemployed; he's a really good coach. Just a suggestion-- it might help. No doubt it cannot hurt.

4) Since August 26, Texas Rangers are now 14-0 in game following their last 14 losses.

3) Tony Gonzalez is now 2nd all-time in the NFL in passes caught; the guy played basketball in college. Quite a career he's having.

2) TV announcers meet with the head coach either the Friday/Saturday of game week; wonder what Jim Schwartz thought about meeting with Brian Billick of FOX, seeing as Billick and Atlanta coach Mike Smith are related; their wives are sisters-- think its ever a problem for Billick?

1) Denver Broncos are the first NFL team since 1970 to win a game they trailed in by 15+ points with 3:00 left.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: