cnotes Posts:33122 Followers:38
10/20/2011 10:58 PM

Friday’s betting tips: Rutgers-Louisville line still moving

Who’s hot

NCAAF: West Virginia has covered in seven of its last 10 meetings with Syracuse.

NCAAF: Rutgers is 5-1-1 against the spread in its last seven overall.

NHL: Detroit is 4-0 to start the season.

NHL: New Jersey is 19-7 in its last 26 home games.

CFL: Edmonton is 9-4-1 in its last 15 games in Toronto.

Who’s not

NCAAF: Syracuse is riding a 1-4 slump against the spread.

NCAAF: Louisville is 0-5 against the spread in its last five home games.

NHL: Dallas is 1-4 in its last five games in Anaheim.

NHL: San Jose is 2-8 in its last 10 meetings with New Jersey.

CFL: Saskatchewan is 4-10 against the spread in its last 14.

Key stat

1 – The Columbus Blue Jackets have just one regulation win in its last 28 games.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Martin Brodeur, New Jersey Devils – New Jersey Devils goaltender Martin Brodeur will be sidelined for 7-to-10 days with his injured shoulder. The future Hall of Famer said he "tweaked" his shoulder while diving back into the net in the first period of Thursday's game against the visiting Los Angeles Kings. The injury forced Brodeur to leave the game, and he sat out Saturday's contest against the Nashville Predators as well. Johan Hedberg, 38, will continue to start in his absence for the Devils, who return to the ice on Friday versus the San Jose Sharks. Brodeur, 39, is 0-1-0 with a 3.00 goals-against average so far this season for the Devils.

Game of the day

West Virginia Mountaineers at Syracuse Orange (14, 59)

Notable quotable

"The truth of this whole situation is I still need to evaluate (Palmer) and give him an opportunity to feel comfortable with our football team, with himself. Like (Palmer) said, he's been sitting on the couch, so what I want to do is make sure that at the end of the day I'm making the right decision for our football team, for our organization, for him, for everybody." – Oakland Raiders coach Hue Jackson on the speculation that newly-acquired quarterback Carson Palmer would start this week against Kansas. Oakland is currently set as a 5-point favorite.

Notes and tips

Rutgers heads into its date with Louisville riding a 5-1 run both against the spread and straight up, but after opening as 1.5-point favorites, action has forced the books to flip the line. It bounced around a bit Thursday but currently sits at Standford -2. We talked to Todd Fuhrman, race and sportsbook analyst at Caesar's in Las Vegas earlier this week for our Mid-week line moves piece. “This is a Louisville team which drew a ton of wiseguy action last week against Cincinnati and it looks to be more of the same this week," Fuhrman said. "The Cardinal have shown steady improvement this year and the university has shown faith in Charlie Strong by adding seven years to his deal. Rutgers has been a pleasant surprise but I'm not sure they were ready to be road chalk."

St. Louis Rams quarterback Sam Bradford was held out of practice for a second straight session Thursday in hopes the extra rest will help his recovery from a high-ankle sprain. The second-year QB is expected to be a game-time decision for Sunday's game against the host Dallas Cowboys. Bradford suffered the injury in last weekend's 24-3 loss to the Green Bay Packers. The 23-year-old has completed 53.1 per cent of his passes this season, throwing for 1,177 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions. A.J. Feeley will get the call if Bradford can't go Sunday.

Vanderbilt quarterback Jordan Rodgers will make his first career start in Saturday's game against Army. The brother of Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers, he has appeared in all six games for the Commodores this season. Rodgers struggled last week, completing 4-of-19 passes for 47 yards and an interception last week against Georgia. He has thrown for 236 yards with one touchdown and three picks. He will replace Larry Smith, who has exited all six games this season.

The Texas Rangers have announced their starters for their first two home games in the World Series, opting for lefthanders Matt Harrison in Game 3 and Derek Holland in Game 4. Harrison has been decent in two postseason starts, going 1-0 with a 4.22 ERA and 12 strikeouts in 10 2/3 innings. The 26-year-old went 14-9 in the regular season with a 3.39 ERA over 30 starts. Holland's playoff resume is not as impressive, as he's 1-0 with a 5.27 ERA in four games (three starts). He had a career year with 16 victories and a 3.95 ERA in 32 regular-season outings. The Cardinals have not confirmed their pitchers for Games 3 and 4.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33122 Followers:38
10/21/2011 06:00 PM

Big 10 Report - Week 8

October 21, 2011

Michigan State (+8.5) vs. Wisconsin - 8:00 PM EST, ESPN

MSU: 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS - Last week: vs. Michigan, W 28-14
WISC: 6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS - Last week: vs. Indiana, W 59-7

We're just about halfway through the College Football season and right now it's Wisconsin and Michigan State that look like the two favorites to represent its respective divisions in the inaugural Big Ten Title game. The Badgers have not had much luck visiting East Lansing in recent history, including their only regular season loss last season. ESPN's GameDay crew will be on hand, adding even more excitement at Spartan Stadium for this Big Ten night game.

What happens when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object? We'll all find out on Saturday when Wisconsin's offense (8th in total offense at 523 YPG and 1st in scoring offense at 50.2 PPG) meets Michigan State's defense (1st in total defense at 186 YPG allowed and 4th in scoring defense at 10.8 PPG allowed). MSU has allowed eight offensive touchdowns all season long. Wisconsin averages 6.7 offensive touchdowns per game. The Spartans held Wisconsin to its lowest point total in Big Ten play a season ago (24 points). However, it was the first conference game for the Badgers and they averaged 48.2 PPG after that loss.

The Badgers' stop-unit is also performing at an extremely high level. It ranks 7th in total defense and 3rd in points allowed. Although this will be Wisconsin's first true road game of the season and other than a home win over #11 Nebraska, the Badgers have mostly beaten up on sub-par talent.

Michigan State is off of a convincing victory against archrival Michigan last week. The Spartans held dangerous Michigan QB Robinson to just 9-of-24 passing for 123 yards (1 TD and 1 INT) and just 42 rush yards. MSU will try to avoid a "hangover" and do the same to Wisconsin QB Wilson (completing 74.2% with 14 TD and just 1 INT this season).

Something to consider: Wisconsin is 13-1 ATS in its past 14 games overall and has covered 8 straight Big Ten games in that span. Michigan State is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 as an underdog.

Purdue (+6) vs. Illinois - 12:00 PM EST, ESPN2

PU: 3-3 SU, 3-3 ATS - Last week: at Penn State, L 18-23
ILL: 6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS - Last week: vs. Ohio State, L 7-17

Both teams are off of a loss and need a win here. Purdue needs a win to salvage any hopes at a Bowl game, while Illinois needs this win to keep pace with Wisconsin and Penn State in the Big Ten Leaders division. The Illini dominated this meeting last season, holding Purdue to just 205 yards and 9 first downs in the 44-10 win. However, they haven't won in West Lafayette since 2001, dropping three straight by an average of 26 points per game.

Despite the loss, Purdue had a promising performance on the road against Penn State last week. The Boilers final drive ended in an interception (their third of the game) and they lost by five points on the road. Purdue put up 162 rush yards (4.9 YPC) on a PSU defense that had been surrendering just 91.2 rush yards through its first six games. The Boilers will look for a similar performance against this Illinois defense that allowed 211 rush yards to Ohio State a week ago.

Illinois was yielding just 79 rush yards per game before last week. Ohio State only completed one pass (!) against this Illini defense and still won. Illinois' offense was sluggish the entire game and managed just 285 yards and 7 points while turning the ball over three times in the process. Sophomore QB Scheelhaase had his worst performance of the season with just 169 pass yards with one touchdown and two interceptions while the Illini rushed for just 116 yards on 3.3 YPC (had been averaging 226 YPG).

Something to consider: Illinois was 4-1 SU & ATS after a loss last season. But this will be the first time that Illinois is a Big Ten road favorite since October of 2009 and the Illini are just 2-7 ATS their previous nine as a conference road chalk.

Northwestern (+4) vs. Penn State - 7:00 PM EST, Big Ten Network

NW: 2-4 SU, 2-4 ATS - Last week: at Iowa, L 31-41
PSU: 6-1 SU, 1-6 ATS - Last week: vs. Purdue, W 23-18

Penn State has somehow managed to win six of seven games this season without solid quarterback play. QB's McGloin and Bolden have combined for just 51% completions with six touchdowns and six interceptions. It's the defensive unit that's holding this team together as it ranks 6th nationally in total defense and scoring defense (also has 17 forced turnovers - 10th nationally). Still, the Nittany Lions are playing with fire. They've failed to cover five of six games this season and four of their six wins are by 10 points or less.

If Penn State's dormant offense (78th total offense and 96th in scoring offense) is ever going to wake up, it will have a good chance of doing so against Northwestern. The Wildcats defense ranks near the bottom of every major defensive category. They allow 433 yards per game (101st) and 30 points per game (88th). In three Big Ten games alone, Northwestern has allowed 40 points per game.

For Northwestern, it's now desperation time. A team that was considered a threat to compete in the Legends division has now lost four straight and really can't afford another loss if it wants any shot at a Bowl game this season. Northwestern arguably outplayed the Hawkeyes in the 10-point loss last week.

The Wildcats gained 495 yards and 29 first downs and had +17 minutes time of possession against Iowa. They even converted 16-of-22 (73%) of their 3rd down conversions. Iowa returned an interception 98 yards for a touchdown in the first quarter and that was at least a 10 and maybe 14 point swing that Northwestern couldn't overcome.

Something to consider: Penn State scored 35 unanswered points to win last year's meeting, 35-21. PSU has now won & covered three straight in this series (average score of 34-14).

Minnesota (+25) vs. Nebraska - 3:30 PM EST, ABC

MINN: 1-5 SU, 2-4 ATS - Last week: BYE
NEB: 5-1 SU, 1-5 ATS - Last week: BYE

Minnesota had a bye last week after surrendering 103 points in back-to-back Big Ten losses to open conference play. This one could get ugly for Minnesota as the Gophers are ranked near the bottom in every major offensive and defensive category. They rank 110th in total offense, 109th in scoring offense, 93rd in total defense, and 109th in scoring defense.

Nebraska also had a week off after its huge comeback win over Ohio State. The Huskers scored 28 unanswered points to win by seven over the visiting Buckeyes. Nebraska QB Martinez has seen his share of struggles through the air (54% with 6 touchdowns and 6 interceptions), but the Huskers are churning out 247 rush yards per game - good for 11th nationally. Expect a lot of rush attempts against this feeble Gophers defense.

Minnesota QB Gray should be back and healthy after missing time with a toe injury, and his athletic ability should help the Gophers this week. He may see a little less pressure coming from the Nebraska defense as Huskers star DT Jared Crick was ruled out for the season with a torn pectoral muscle. That's a big blow to a defense that has underachieved thus far, but don't expect to see much of a dropoff against the Gophers on Saturday.

Something to consider: This is only the seventh time in the past 12 years that a Big Ten team has been a 25+ point favorite in a conference road game (1-4 ATS).

Iowa (-23) vs. Indiana - 12:00 PM EST, Big Ten Network

IOWA: 4-2 SU, 3-3 ATS - Last week: vs. Northwestern, W 41-31
IND: 1-6 SU, 3-4 ATS - Last week: at Wisconsin, L 7-59

Indiana nearly walked away with an upset win over the Hawkeyes last season, but standout WR Belcher dropped the game-winning touchdown with 28 seconds remaining and left the Hoosiers with a 13-18 loss. They've now dropped three straight to the Hawkeyes by an average score of 35-15.

Although Indiana didn't lose by 63 points this year against Wisconsin, it didn't exactly walk away with much confidence after a 52 point loss at the hands of the Badgers. Wisconsin has made a lot of teams look bad, but outside of a 62-yard touchdown run, the Hoosiers looked completely helpless. This Indiana defense now ranks 105th in yards allowed, 117th in rush yards allowed, and 95th in points allowed.

A week after failing to score a touchdown against Penn State, Iowa scored five against Northwestern in a 10-point win. RB Coker finally had a breakout game with 124 rush yards and two scores. There are still some concerns on defense as this unit is allowing north of 400 yards per game and 29 points per game to BCS conference foes this season. With Indiana this week and Minnesota next week, Iowa has a chance to gain some momentum if it can take care of business against below average Big Ten opponents.

Something to consider: Iowa is 1-7 ATS and just 3-4 straight up as a 15-point or more favorite.

Michigan - BYE

MICH: 6-1 SU, 5-2 ATS - Last week: at Michigan State, L 14-28

After a +25.5 margin of victory through a 6-0 start, Michigan came crashing down last week against archrival Michigan State. The Wolverines offense managed just 250 yards and 14 points while QB Robinson looked human with just 165 total yards (had been averaging 308 YPG). Up next the Wolverines have a winnable game against Purdue before a grueling four-game finish: at Iowa, at Illinois, Nebraska, and Ohio State.

Ohio State - BYE

OSU: 4-3 SU, 4-3 ATS - Last week: at Illinois, W 17-7

Ohio State needed just one completed pass to beat the Illini last weekend. Proving you can still win playing old fashion football: a ground-and-pound running attack and suffocating defense. The run game was fueled by the return of previously suspended RB Herron, who scampered for 114 yards and a score. It's hard to imagine that Ohio State can continue this recipe for the rest of the season, but it was a nice way to head into the bye week. They'll need an extra week to prepare for a home-meeting with Wisconsin - just a year after Wisconsin upset then #1 OSU in Madison.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33122 Followers:38
10/21/2011 06:16 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/20/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/18/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail
10/15/11 33-­31-­3 51.56% -­550 Detail
10/14/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/13/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/08/11 29-­19-­0 60.42% +­4050 Detail
10/07/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/06/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
10/01/11 55-­45-­2 55.00% +­2750 Detail
Totals 127-­103-­5 55.22% +6850

Friday, October 21

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Rutgers - 8:00 PM ET Rutgers +2 500

Louisville - Under 39.5 500

West Virginia - 8:00 PM ET Syracuse +14 500

Syracuse - Over 59 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33122 Followers:38
10/21/2011 06:30 PM

UNC looks to knock Clemson from unbeaten list


Kickoff: Saturday, 12:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Clemson -10.5, Total: 58

No. 8 Clemson tries to start 8-0 for the first time since 2000 when North Carolina pays a visit to Death Valley on Saturday.

Clemson is 5-2 in the past seven meetings with UNC, but the Tar Heels have covered the spread in four of these seven games, including a 21-16 win over the Tigers at home last year. Despite losing to Miami last week, Carolina ended the game on a 21-3 run. Clemson’s defense was certainly exposed last Saturday when Maryland hung 45 points and 291 rushing yards on the Tigers. Although dynamic QB Tajh Boyd and freshman sensation Sammy Watkins will be the difference in the win column, the pick here is for NORTH CAROLINA to keep this game tight throughout, and not lose by double digits.

This four-star FoxSheets trend strongly cautions against expecting the Tigers to cover for a sixth straight game:

Play Against - Any team (CLEMSON) - off a big road win scoring 38 or more points, in the second half of the season. (32-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.1%, +24.3 units. Rating = 4*).

Tar Heels QB Bryn Renner threw for a career-best 288 yards in last week’s defeat and has 11 TD and 2 INT in his past five games. His 75.3 completion percentage and 174.1 passer rating are both tops in the ACC. His numbers might be even better if his offensive line protected him more. UNC has allowed four sacks in each of the past two games. Renner’s top receiver continues to be Dwight Jones, who has at least 80 receiving yards in all six games this year. Jones has doubled last year’s TD total with eight touchdowns in 2011, including four in the past three games. Another consistently excellent player on this Carolina offense is freshman RB Giovani Bernard, who is riding a string of five straight 100-yard games. He’s averaging 5.9 yards per carry this year and has scored in four straight contests, giving him 9 TD on the season (tied for 10th in nation).

The Heels run-stop unit has really clamped down since allowing Georgia Tech to run for 312 yards. In the past three weeks, UNC has held opponents to 72 rushing YPG on 2.5 yards per carry. Carolina has a slew of players nursing ankle injuries, including Renner, who is expected to start. But RB A.J. Blue, OL T.J. Leifheit and SS Jonathan Smith could all miss another game due to their bad ankles.

Boyd’s four TD passes in last week’s 56-45 comeback win over Maryland gives him 19 on the year, and just 3 INT. He should thrive against UNC’s 92nd-ranked pass defense, especially with Watkins emerging into a superstar. Watkins amassed a school record 345 all-purpose yards against Maryland. He had eight catches for 105 yards and two scores, and added 207 return yards, which included an 89-yard kickoff return TD with under eight minutes left. Watkins has 728 receiving yards (2nd in ACC) and is tied for the conference lead with 8 TD. RB Andre Ellington also had a huge night against the Terps, galloping for a career-best 212 yards with 2 TD. He now has 329 rushing yards on 7.2 YPC in the past two games.

Clemson’s rush defense will be tested again, and the Tigers haven’t passed many of these tests this year, allowing 291 yards to Maryland last week, surrendering 272 yards to FCS opponent Wofford in Week 2 and giving up 237 rushing yards to Auburn. Clemson has forced a turnover in all seven games though, totaling 11 takeaways on the year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33122 Followers:38
10/21/2011 06:31 PM

Oklahoma seeks 40th straight home win Saturday


Kickoff: Saturday, 8:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Oklahoma -29, Total: 70

No. 3 Oklahoma looks for another convincing Big 12 victory when it hosts slumping Texas Tech on Saturday.

The Red Raiders have dropped two straight games since their 4-0 start, and they haven’t won in Norman since 1996, spanning seven visits. Oklahoma has won 39 consecutive home games (the longest streak in the nation), including 32 straight in Big 12 play. The Sooners crushed Tech 45-7 last year, as Landry Jones went 22-of-29 for 317 yards, 5 TD (three to Ryan Broyles) and 0 INT. The Sooners finished off Kansas with 23 unanswered points last week, for their 11th straight SU victory, the past three coming by an average of 41.3 PPG. Texas Tech also has a potent offense, led by QB Seth Doege who has just 10 fewer passing yards than Jones this year. But the Red Raiders do not have their best running back, Eric Stephens, who is out for the year with a knee injury, and Oklahoma has one of the best pass rushes in the land, tying for second with 4.0 sacks per game. Expect the Sooners to make Doege mighty uncomfortable in the pocket. Although the spread is lofty, the pick here is OKLAHOMA to cover.

This rare five-star FoxSheets trend also backs the Sooners:

Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (OKLAHOMA) - after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in 2 consecutive games, with 8 offensive starters returning. (31-4 since 1992.) (88.6%, +26.6 units. Rating = 5*).

Doege (18 TD, 4 INT) ranks second in the nation in total offense with 375 YPG, but he tossed three interceptions in last week’s 41-34 loss to Kansas State. He’ll likely be a bit short-handed as WR Darrin Moore (339 rec. yds, 4 TD) is doubtful to play Saturday because of a knee injury. Sophomore Eric Ward remains the first option in the air attack with 38 catches and eight touchdowns this year. Ward had scored in every game before KSU kept him out of the end zone last week. Junior Alex Torres leads TTU with 381 receiving yards, including back-to-back 100-yard efforts. Aaron Crawford is the new featured back with Stephens sidelined, and put up good numbers against the Wildcats, gaining 91 yards on 21 carries. However, his YPC was inflated with a 51-yard TD run, giving him only 40 yards on his other 20 carries.

The Red Raiders defense ranks 82nd in the nation in both scoring (29.5 PPG) and yardage (407 YPG), with their run-stop unit being especially generous (219 YPG, 111th in nation). In Big 12 play, TTU has allowed 40.0 PPG and 212 rushing YPG.

The Sooners have the nation’s fourth-best offense (547 YPG) and rank sixth in the nation in scoring at 45.3 PPG. Jones threw for 363 yards and 3 TD in last week’s win over Kansas, including a school-record 217 to Broyles. The senior wideout also set the NCAA career record for receptions (326) and the Big 12 record for TD catches (44) with two more scores. OU’s running game also has an emerging star in junior Dominique Whaley, who rumbled for a career-best 165 yards against the Jayhawks. Whaley has nine touchdowns this season and ranks third in the Big 12 with 105 rushing YPG. Despite the gaudy offensive numbers, the Sooners haven’t been very proficient in the red zone, scoring touchdowns on just 56% of their red-zone trips.

Oklahoma’s defense has also been top-notch all season, ranking 11th in the nation in scoring defense (15.8 PPG) by holding five of six opponents to 17 points or less. The defensive leaders have been DL Frank Alexander (6.5 sacks) and LB Travis Lewis, who has 40 tackles in five games. Although the OU defense did not force a turnover last week, it has 3+ takeaways in four of six games this year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33122 Followers:38
10/21/2011 06:32 PM

Virginia Tech tries to add to BC's misery


Kickoff: Saturday, 3:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Virginia Tech -20.5, Total: 43.5

Boston College hasn’t beaten an FBS team this year, and No. 16 Virginia Tech will try to keep this skid intact when it hosts the Eagles on Saturday.

BC has very little chance at keeping this game close, ranking 105th in the country in offense (318 YPG) and 95th in defense (419 YPG). The Eagles are 0-5 against FBS schools this year, getting outscored 66-17 in two road defeats. Their top RB Montel Harris is done for the season (knee), and they’re going up against No. 8 run defense in the land (84 YPG). Virginia Tech QB Logan Thomas has lit up his past two ACC foes for 658 total yards and 9 TD, while RB David Wilson has four straight 120-yard rushing games. This will be over by the first quarter. The pick here is VIRGINIA TECH to win and cover.

This pair of FoxSheets trends also supports the Hokies:

Frank Beamer is 42-21 ATS (66.7%, +18.9 Units) off a road win as the coach of VIRGINIA TECH. The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 34.2, OPPONENT 12.8 - (Rating = 2*).

Play On - A home team (VIRGINIA TECH) - good offensive team (390 to 440 YPG) against a team with a poor defense (390 to 440 YPG), after outgaining opponent by 125 or more total yards in their previous game. (26-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.8%, +18.3 units. Rating = 2*).

The Eagles are averaging 14.4 PPG in their five FBS defeats this year, failing to reach 20 points in any of these games. However, the hopeful return of RB Andre Williams (ankle) would certainly improve this offense. The sophomore rushed for 324 yards and three touchdowns in his four full games this season. QB Chase Rettig has seen his yardage totals drop in each of the past four weeks (247, 196, 188 and 129), but he has 6 TD and only 2 INT in these four contests. Sophomore WR Bobby Swigert gained a season-high 93 receiving yards and scored his first touchdown of the season in the last game against Clemson.

The BC defense has just been dreadful, ranking 105th in the country in sacks (1.0 per game) and 101st in passing defense (262 YPG). In three ACC games, the Eagles have surrendered 992 yards through the air (331 YPG). Although they forced four turnovers against FCS opponent UMass, BC has only three takeaways in five matchups with BCS teams.

Virginia Tech has crushed Boston College in each of the past three seasons, outscoring the Eagles 97 to 26. The Hokies ended last week’s game versus Wake Forest (which had won four straight games) on a 30-3 run. In addition to his strong performance throwing the football, Thomas has also scored four rushing touchdowns in the past two games. He’s the reason Wilson only has three rushing TD in his past six contests. Wilson leads the ACC and ranks fifth in the nation in rushing yardage (129 YPG), but has been limited to 101 yards on 29 carries (3.5 YPC) in two career games versus Boston College.

VT’s defense ranks 14th in scoring defense (16.4 PPG) and 15th in yardage (298 YPG), and these numbers would be even greater if the team wasn’t ravaged by injuries. DE James Gayle (ankle) missed last week’s game against Wake Forest and star CB Jayron Holsey injured his hamstring in the first quarter of the win over the Demon Deacons. Both Gayle (3.5 sacks) and Holsey (team-high 3 INT) are questionable for Saturday’s game. DT Antoine Hopkins (knee) and LB Jeron Gouveia-Winslow (foot) are already out for the year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33122 Followers:38
10/21/2011 06:34 PM

Oklahoma St. tries to end Missouri's home win streak


Kickoff: Saturday, 12:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Oklahoma State -6.5, Total: 68.5

Missouri puts its 10-game home win streak on the line when unbeaten No. 6 Oklahoma State rolls into Faurot Field on Saturday.

The Cowboys are well-known for their air attack, ranking second in the nation with 396 passing YPG, but it’s their ground game that was a huge against Texas last week. Jeremy Smith and Joseph Randle combined for 208 yards on 24 carries (8.7 YPC) against a Longhorns team that had been allowing only 106 rushing YPG. The Cowboys have a +13 turnover margin in the past four games, while Missouri is +1 in this span. OSU’s dynamic quarterback Brandon Weeden did not have a great game against Texas, but he’ll face a Missouri defense that allowed 448 passing yards to Oklahoma and 388 to Arizona State this year. OKLAHOMA STATE has had no problem scoring points on the road this season (42.3 PPG), and will rack up a fifth double-digit victory on Saturday.

This rare five-star FoxSheets coaching trend also sides with the Cowboys:

Mike Gundy is 13-1 ATS (92.9%, +11.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of OKLAHOMA STATE. The average score was OKLAHOMA STATE 36.5, OPPONENT 19.9 - (Rating = 5*).

OSU is second in the nation in both scoring (49.2 PPG) and total offense (551 YPG). Weeden has completed 73 percent of his passes for 944 yards, 8 TD and 0 INT in three Big 12 games, leading his team to 46.0 PPG in these three victories. Junior WR Justin Blackmon has 53 catches for 608 yards this year, and has scored in five straight games. Senior WR Josh Cooper has been a nice second fiddle to Blackmon with 35 catches for 372 yards and two scores on the year. Speaking of touchdowns, Smith has scored in 10 straight contests, the school’s longest such streak since Barry Sanders found the end zone in 15 consecutive games in 1987 and 1988. The Cowboys have not been great defensively, allowing 26+ points in five of six games and ranking 100th in the land in yardage (427 YPG). But they have faced some high-powered offenses in Texas A&M, Texas, Arizona and Tulsa, and their potent pass rush (3.2 sacks per game, 11th in nation) should be able to rattle the Tigers.

Missouri QB James Franklin scored 5 TD as the Tigers outgained Iowa State 583 to 343 in last week’s 52-17 drubbing. Franklin ranks 11th in the nation in total offense (313 YPG), but has thrown 3 INT in the past two games and is completing just 55.6% of his passes in Big 12 play. Franklin is also not getting enough completions to his top two receivers, WR T.J. Moe and TE Michael Egnew. Last year, the duo combined for 182 catches, 1,807 yards and 11 TD with Blaine Gabbert under center, but have only 53 grabs for 650 yards and 4 TD in six games with Franklin as their QB. Part of their decline has to do with the performance of sophomore RB Henry Josey who is leading the Big 12 with 120 rushing YPG. This includes 580 rushing yards on just 59 carries (9.8 YPC) in his past four contests. The defense is in world of hurt with LB Will Ebner (ankle) and DLs Terrell Resonno (ankle) and Brayden Burnett (2.5 sacks) all unable to play this Saturday. These teams last met in 2009, as Missouri turned the ball over four times in a 33-17 loss at Oklahoma State.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33122 Followers:38
10/22/2011 03:00 AM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/21/11 3-­0-­1 100.00% +­1500 Detail
10/20/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/18/11 2-­0-­0 100.00% +­1000 Detail

10/15/11 33-­31-­3 51.56% -­550 Detail
10/14/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/13/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/08/11 29-­19-­0 60.42% +­4050 Detail
10/07/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/06/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
10/01/11 55-­45-­2 55.00% +­2750 Detail

Totals 130-­103-­6 55.79% +8350

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33122 Followers:38
10/22/2011 09:29 AM

Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 22

Saturday's best games

Illinois lost first game last week, getting outrushed 211-116; they're -6 in turnovers in Big Dozen games (2-1) with wins by 3-21 points. Purdue is 1-1 in league play, running ball for 379 yards since getting crushed 38-10 by Notre Dame three weeks ago- they're 5-7-1 in last 13 games as home dogs. Illini is 1-4 in last five games as road favorites. Favorites are 5-3 in Big Dozen games when spread is single digits. Four of Illinois' six lined games stayed under the total.

Underdog covered five of last six Cincinnati-South Florida games, with Bearcats winning four of last five- they won 34-17/38-33 in last couple visits here. Cincinnati won its last four games, allowing 11 ppg, but none of victims are any good- they're 0-5 as road underdogs under Jones. USF scored 17-10 points in losing last two games, both on road- they're 3-5 as home favorites under Holtz. Underdogs are 4-0 vs spread in Big East conference games with single digit spread.

Clemson is 7-0, covering their last five games; they're 4-0 as favorites in Death Valley this year, 10-5 overall under Swinney. Tigers won five of last seven games vs North Carolina, with faves 6-3 vs spread in series; Tar Heels lost three of last four visits here, this is their first visit since '06. Carolina is 5-2 but 1-2 in ACC, allowing 35-30 points in its losses; they're 6-3 in last nine games as road underdogs. Home favorites are 5-6 vs spread in ACC games.

Cowboys had big win at Texas this week; they've covered nine games in row as road favorites, but they've also allowed 23+ points in each of last four games. Missouri is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on road- they've played three stiffs at home; Tigers are 2-0 as underdogs this year, 6-7 as home dogs the last decade. Underdogs are 4-3 SU in last seven OSU-Mizzou games, as five of seven games were decided by 7 or less points. Cowboys are an amazing +13 in turnovers over last four games, with 17 takeaways.

Cal allowed 31-43-30 points in losing last three games, outscored 49-12 in second half; they're playing home games in San Francisco this year, as their stadium in Berkeley is being refurbished- they've covered 14 of 17 as a home favorite (1-0 so far this year). Utah (+3) beat Bears 37-27 in Poinsettia Bowl in '09; this is teams' first meeting as Pac-12 rivals. Utes would be 3-0 as road dogs this year, if not for blocked FG/TD by USC on last play of that game. Pac-12 home favorites are 3-6 vs spread in games where spread is less than 20.

Kansas State won last four Saturdays as an underdog, now are favored in rivalry game at Lawrence, where they won 59-7 (-3) LY, their first win in last four visits, and just second cover in last 13 tries as road favorites. Kansas is horrible, allowing 57 ppg during 4-game losing streak; even in their last win, they gave up 42 points. Jayhawks are 3-8 in last 11 games as a home underdog, 1-1 this year. Big 12 double digit favorites are 2-4 so far this season.

Oregon State won five of last seven games vs Washington State; Coogs covered once in last four games as series favorite. Both teams are 1-2 in Pac-12 games; OSU is allowing 29.7 ppg in league games, WSU 33 ppg. Road teams are 6-4 vs spread in Pac-12 games with single digit spread, but this game is in Seattle, but I guess Wazzu is still home side. Last three Beaver games went over total; last three Coog games stayed under. Oregon State was outscored 59-31 in second half of last three games.

Penn State won its last four games vs Northwestern, last three by 14-21-26 points; they won four of last five visits here, but only one of the four was by more than 5 points, as dogs covered four of the five games. Lions won last five games but covered only one of the five, with three wins by 6 or less points- they're 9-3 in last twelve games as road favorites, 0-2 this year. Wildcats are 12-8 in last 20 games as a home underdog. In LY's game, Northwestern (+6.5) led 21-0, wound up losing 35-21.

Notre Dame (+4.5) beat USC 20-16 LY, its first win in last nine tries vs Trojans; USC won its last four visits here-- underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in last seven series games played here. Irish won last four games, scoring 35.8 ppg; they ran ball for 287-266 yards last two weeks. ND is 2-1 as home favorite this year, but since '03, they're 14-26-2. Over last decade, USC is 6-3 as road underdogs. Pac-10 non-conference road underdogs are 3-7 vs spread so far this season.

Southern Miss won 28-7/28-12 in its two C-USA meetings with SMU, but teams haven't met since '08; Eagles are 10-8 as home favorites under Fedora, 1-1 this year. SMU is 16-12-1 in last 29 games as road dog; they won at TCU three weeks ago. C-USA home favoritea are 4-7 vs spread in conference play. Mustangs won last five games despite a -7 turnover ratio in those games- they scored 42-40-38 points last three games, but Southern Miss scored 30-48-63 in winning its last three games.

Stanford won five of last six games vs Washington, winning last three by combined score of 110-42; favorites covered Huskies' last three visits to the Farm. Cardinal won/covered all six games, with 45-19 win vs UCLA closest game they've played. 5-1 Washington's only loss this year was 51-38 (+17) at Nebraska, so they'll compete here; they've covered last five games, are 4-2 in last six games as road dog. Pac-10 home favorites of 15+ points are 4-1 vs spread this season.

LSU has three key guys suspended here, Auburn is starting different QB so lot of issues on both sides. Home favorites are 8-2 vs spread in SEC games this year; SEC favorites of 14+ points are 7-1 this year. Auburn lost last five visits here, going 2-3 vs spread- they had 440 rushing yards in 24-17 (-5.5) home win vs LSU LY. Favorites are 5-2 vs spread in last seven series games. LSU covered four of last five games, winning its last four games by 26+ points, but Mathieu being out is big loss.

Home side won last six Wisconsin-Michigan State games, as underdogs covered four of last five series games, with three of last four decided by 8 or less points. Badgers lost last three visits here by 10-1-35 points; the average total in last four series games played here, 58.5. Spartans beat Ohio State/Michigan last two games, which doesn't happen much; they are just 2-5-2 in last nine games as home dog. Wisconsin is 8-6-1 as road favorite under Bielema; this is their first true road game this year. Single digit favorites are 4-2 in Big Dozen games so far this year.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33122 Followers:38
10/22/2011 09:38 AM


Saturday, October 22

Wisconsin at Michigan State: What bettors need to know

Wisconsin Badgers at Michigan State Spartans (+7, 49)

THE STORY: Last season, it came down to one-loss Wisconsin, Ohio State and Michigan State to determine the Big Ten champion. While the new conference championship game will make things a bit clearer this time, the No. 4 Badgers (sixth in the BCS standings) would still like to exact revenge from the host Spartans on Saturday. Michigan State handed Wisconsin its only regular-season setback in 2010 and kept them out of the national championship picture. No. 15 Michigan State is upset-minded again this year after sending its seniors out undefeated against rival Michigan with a win last weekend. The Spartans' pass defense is the best in the nation while Wisconsin features the most efficient quarterback in the country in Russell Wilson to go along with a power running game.


WEATHER: Game-time tempeatures will dip into the low 40s at East Lansing, otherwise skied will be clear and winds will remain around 5 mph.

LINE MOVES: The Badgers opened as 9.5-road favorites and have been bet down to a touchdown. The total has climbed from its opening of 47.5 to 49.

ABOUT WISCONSIN (6-0, 2-0 Big Ten, 5-0-1 ATS): The Badgers lead the nation in scoring offense at 50.2 points and rank third in scoring defense, limiting opponents to 9.7 points. Wilson is completing 74.2 percent of his passes and has at least one touchdown pass in 30 straight games. He is helped by running back Montee Ball, who is tied for first in the nation with 17 touchdowns. Wisconsin has won each of its first six games by at least 30 points, the longest such streak to start the season for an FBS team since at least 1950.

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (5-1, 2-0, 4-2 ATS): The Spartans aren’t quite as explosive offensively as the Badgers but they make up for it on the other side of the ball, where they rank fourth in the nation in scoring defense. Their lone loss came at Notre Dame on Sept. 17 and they have opened the Big Ten slate with consecutive victories over Ohio State and Michigan.


1. Wisconsin leading receiver Nick Toon missed last week's game with a foot injury, but is probable to play Saturday.

2. The Big Ten suspended Michigan State defensive end William Gholston for Saturday's game. Gholston was called for a pair of personal fouls against Michigan last week, one of which came after he punched offensive lineman Taylor Lewan.

3. The Badgers have won nine straight Big Ten games by an average of 29.5 points.


* Over is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.
* Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Badgers are 8-0 ATS in their last eight conference games.
* Spartans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as underdogs.

PREDICTION: Wisconsin 45, Michigan State 20 - The Spartans are strong against the pass, so Wilson and company will be content to run their way to victory.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: