marksmoneymakers Posts:29759 Followers:142
07/27/2013 10:06 AM

RickJ's Handicapping Picks Saturday MLB Plays
all 1/2 unit

959 - A Cashner
960 - ARI - T Skaggs -115

973 - R Dempster
974 - BAL - S Feldman -122

marksmoneymakers Posts:29759 Followers:142
07/27/2013 10:06 AM


The A's are the best team in the AL at home so just off that alone we know there is a good chance they win today's game. I really like the way Milone pitches at its just a matter of time before he becomes a household name. The Angels continue to struggle and are not a very good road team. Take the A's

marksmoneymakers Posts:29759 Followers:142
07/27/2013 11:15 AM

Dave Essler MLB Total Sat, 07/27/13 - 3:05 PM

double-dime bet - 954 WAS / 953 NYM - OVER 8
Analysis: This is an odd one. First, the weather pattern is great in DC for this play, but what really strikes me is that in spite of people jumping on the Mets, the side is shaded towards the Nationals. That tells me, that even with Bryce Harper listed as questionable, that they Nationals will finally score. Gee isn't quite the same on the road, so I can see why. And what is there to think that Haren is all of a sudden going to pitch well. Most of his worst starts have come at home, oddly enough. However, he can hit, which gives the Nationals the extra stick. And they may need it, because they're bullpen ERA since the break is well over 6.00, which is simply not acceptable.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29759 Followers:142
07/27/2013 04:34 PM


MLB Baseball Premium Picks

-= TOP PLAY =-
MLB Jul 27 '13 (7:05p)
25* Philadelphia Phillies +220 over Detroit Tigers

25* graded play on the Philadelphia Phillies as they take on the Detroit Tigers in inter-league action set to start at 7:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Philadelphia will end their 6-game losing skid with a win tonight. All-Star Cliff Lee has been scratched due to a sore neck and has given way to Raul Valdez for tonight's start. The left-hander went 3-4 with a 3.10 ERA and 59 strikeouts in 66 2-3 innings over 12 starts for Triple-A Lehigh Valley before being recalled Tuesday, when he allowed one run and two hits in 1 1-3 innings in relief of a 4-1 loss at St. Louis. Aside from the positive projections calling for the upset win by the Phillies, the line really stands out in my eyes. Scherzer can become the first Tiger pitcher to start 15-1 since 1919 and is going up against a young inexperienced starter and a team that is walking on egg shells ahead of the July 31 trading deadline. The fact that Lee was scratched for a 'sore neck' immediately brings to light the possibility of a trade. A sore neck? Are you serious? Lee is a horse and it would take far more for him to be scratched from any start on any team. he has never been on the DL for arm, shoulder, elbow, or even neck injuries in his entire career. Thought I would just mention that. Valdez has thrown just 21 1/3 innings this season, so don't let the flash stats fool you. I truly believe he can contain the best hitting team in MLB, especially without 2012 Triple-crown winner Cabrera still sidelined with a hip flexor strain. Scherzer loves to get ahead in the count and the Phillies will sit fastball on that first pitch and attack early in the count. Detroit is just 7-14 (-14.4 Units) against the money line after allowing 1 run or less this season; 5-10 (-8.1 Units) against the money line after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less this season. Take Philadelphia.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29759 Followers:142
07/27/2013 04:34 PM

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick

Game: Milwaukee at Colorado (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Colorado -120 (moneyline) at 5dimes

The Milwaukee Brewers have played very good baseball at home over the past few years, but for the most part they have been a train wreck on the road. So far this season, they are 16-31 on the highway. They were beaten badly here last night 8-3. Since pitching three consecutive shutouts, the Brewers' staff has fallen sharply as they have allowed 30 runs in their last five games. The Rockies' pitching has allowed just 27 runs in their last 11 games, and the way they swing the bats certainly poises them to come out on top here. Milwaukee has really struggled in anticipated offensive games, as they are 3-14 in their last 17 with a total from 9 to 10.5. The Rockies have cashed in on 20 of the last 26 meetings played here, and have the edge tonight. Take the Rockies.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29759 Followers:142
07/27/2013 04:35 PM

Sportswagers MLB

Today's Free Picks for Jul 27, 2013

L.A. Angels @ OAKLAND
L.A. Angels +126 over OAKLAND

The A’s went off for six runs last night and evened up the series with a 6-4 win but it came against career stiff, Jerome Williams. When facing a half-decent pitcher, the A’s have very little chance of scoring more than three times. In fact, they’ve been held to three runs or fewer in 12 of their past 19 games. Over that stretch they scored more than three times against Wade Davis, Luis Mendoza, Jerome Williams twice, and in Houston against three Astro starters. From July 3 to July 20, Oakland was held to three runs or fewer in 10 of 12 games and their .211 batting average in July is the worst in the majors. They A’s are no better than at least three quarters of the teams in MLB but some incredible luck, extremely timely hitting and misleading record continues to have them way overpriced. Enter Tommy Milone. Milone's upside is capped, for now. A control artist in the minors, Milone's ability to maintain similar accuracy in his second MLB season has been integral to his success but it's hard to overlook a few glaring negatives in his skill set. Milone has allowed far too many fly balls and line drives, but pitching home games at Coliseum (-12% RHB HR, -31% LHB HR) has worked to his benefit (3.20 home ERA/4.88 road ERA). His groundball/fly-ball split is an alarming 33%/48%. Righties continue to give him problems, as they have hit .276 against him and the Angels line-up can load up with right-handed hitters. Milone’s 1.26 WHIP is average and his xERA of 4.64 reminds us not to overpay. If you bet on him today, you’re overpaying.
Garrett Richards will be making his first start since April. Despite a 6.26 ERA in those four starts, Richards was pretty solid (18/7 K/BB) and probably didn't deserve to lose his rotation spot. Overall, Richards has been quite good this season, albeit mostly as a reliever, with an elite 57% groundball rate. Over the past month (31 days), Richards’ groundball rate was 64% and he struck out 13 batters in 13 frames while issuing just four walks. Richards has always had the potential and if he seizes this chance he could claim a more permanent rotation spot. At pitcher-friendly Coliseum against the weak hitting Athletics, his chances of winning are greater than the A’s with Milone going.

Our Pick
L.A. Angels +126 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.52)

Minnesota @ SEATTLE
Minnesota +131 over SEATTLE

The Twins won the opener here last night in a Felix Hernandez start and they get a much easier assignment here against Aaron Harang. Harang is coming off a 2-1 victory over the Indians and while that’s impressive, neither he nor the Mariners have won consecutive games that he’s started the entire season. Harang is hit and miss but he's playing with fire now. He’s allowed 15 bombs in just 90 innings and has a fly-ball bias profile of 38% groundballs and 44% fly-balls. Harang’s 5.06 ERA is fully supported by his xERA of 4.70. Harang is prone to the occasional blowup, rarely pitches a gem and his chances of losing remain greater than his chances of winning (5 W’s in 18 starts).
Samuel Deduno has pitched under the radar the entire season and continues to be undervalued. His strikeout total is low with just 36 in 69 innings but he’s a groundball artist with a rate of 64%, the highest mark in the majors among starters with at least 40 innings pitched. Deduno also has a 50%/13% dominant start/disaster start split and at this level, that’s an impressive stat. Deduno also has an elite 17% line-drive rate and 11% line-drive rate over his past four starts. The Mariners were hot but they’ve lost two of their last three and could not win with Felix Hernandez opposing Scott Diamond (one of the biggest mismatches on the mound this year) last night. Surely, they are much too risky (and overvalued) with Harang favored by this much over Deduno.

Our Pick
Minnesota +131 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.62)

marksmoneymakers Posts:29759 Followers:142
07/27/2013 04:36 PM

Playersbet 19-2 run paid and confirmed by me

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners

This is a very interesting match up. Both teams come into this game riding really good records in their last 10 games. Minnesota is 7-3 L10 while Seattle is 8-2 L10. Minnesota took game 2 of this series in extra innings and this works in our favor. After a win Minnesota is just 21-22 and as an away team just 21-32. In back to back games the Twins have posted a 35-50 record. Seattle is at home facing one of the worst teams in baseball, the Twins who are depleted without Joe Mauer and Josh Willingham. All of these factors work in our favor and we are going to ride with this red hot Seattle team today.

3 units: Seattle Mariners ML

marksmoneymakers Posts:29759 Followers:142
07/27/2013 04:36 PM


8-Unit MLB Game of the Year

Seattle Mariners