steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 07/26/2013 10:52 AM in Cappers

FRIDAY'S MLB FREE PICK ---Tampa Bay Rays +110---

Tampa Bay vs. NY Yankees, 07/26/2013 19:05
Money Line: +110 Tampa Bay

FRIDAY'S MLB FREE PICK ---Tampa Bay Rays +110---

The Rays are showing some solid value tonight against the Yankees. New York has lost 6 of 9 and will be sending out a struggling C.C. Sabathia to face a team that he's not had a whole lot of success against this season. Sabathia has an uncharacteristic 6.50 ERA and 1.667 WHIP over his last three starts and his struggles against division opponents continued in his most recent outing. Sabathia allowed 7 runs on 9 hits in just 5 innings of work in loss at Boston, jumping his ERA against the AL East to 5.45. He's faced the Rays three times this season and has allowed 17 runs over 21 innings while surrendering 7 home runs.

Tampa Bay will counter with Jeremy Hellickson, who comes in with a solid 3.00 ERA over his last three starts and he hasn't lacked in confidence when facing the Yankees. He's allowed a total of just 5 earned runs over his last three starts vs New York (21 and 2/3 innings) and in his most recent start he nearly had a complete game shutout (8 2/3 scoreless).

What makes this a strong play is the Rays as a team are riding a high right now with 7 wins over their last 8 games and are an impressive 17-3 in the month of July. They have been just as strong on the road as at home. They are 6-1 over their L7 road games vs a team with a winning home record.

One of the key reasons the Sabathia has struggled against the Rays is due to their ability to hit left-handed pitching. Tampa Bay is 21-11 vs left-handed starters this season, thanks to an offense that is averaging 5.0 runs/game with a solid .272 average. Going back even further we see the Rays are 37-15 over their last 52 games vs lefties. BET THE RAYS!

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