marksmoneymakers Posts:30746 Followers:142
On 07/20/2013 07:44 AM in MLB

Some Saturday MLB Helpful Information

Jeffrey James (7-3 Last 10)

#919 Detroit Tigers with Verlander moneyline -150 (7:10 edt)<p>

Verlander completly owns the Royals with a career record of 15-2 against them. His last start against them was 7 scoreless innings in a no decision. Verlander has righted his ship after a tough little stretch of 4 games without a win. Guthrie is having a decent season but his ERA has increased .65 in his last 6 games with only 1 win and 4 losses. The Tigers are in a tight battle for the division lead so they will be extra motivated as well. All sighs point to the boys from the Motor City here.

marksmoneymakers Posts:30746 Followers:142
07/20/2013 07:44 AM

Favorites & Live Long Shots to Win MLB Cy Young Awards
by Jason Logan

The first half of the MLB schedule has given us some front runners for the 2013 Cy Young Awards, honoring the top pitchers in the American and National Leagues. There’s a lot of baseball to play this summer, and spotting an ace before they get hot can pay off big in the Cy Young futures.

We take a look at the favorites and some live long shots to earn each league’s top pitching honor.

American League Cy Young

Favorite: Max Scherzer, Detroit Tigers (-300)

Scherzer picked up 13 wins before suffering his first blemish of the season right before the break. The Tigers righty has a 3.19 ERA and owns the sixth-best WHIP in baseball. Last season, he posted a 2.69 ERA and an 8-2 record after the break and has been at his best in the second half of the sked, with a 3.03 ERA and a 19-12 record over the past three seasons.

Long shot: Yu Darvish, Texas Rangers (+2,000)

Darvish was a scratch from the All-Star Game due to injury but the Rangers’ second-year hurler got some much needed down time and will be ready to go in the second half of the slate. He boasts an 8-4 record and 3.02 ERA and leads the majors in Ks with 157 at the break. The Japanese righty struggled in the second half of 2012 but if Texas makes a push in the AL West, you can be sure he’ll be the catalyst.

National League Cy Young

Favorite: Adam Wainwright, St. Louis Cardinals (+200)

Wainwright was another top ace that sat out the All-star Game, instead resting up for the home stretch. The Cardinals have soared to the top of the National League on the back of their 6-foot-7 right-hander, who is 12-5 with a 2.45 ERA at the break. Wainwright, who missed all of 2011, was stellar in the post-break schedule last summer, with a 3.28 ERA and 1.14 WHIP.

Long shot: Jordan Zimmermann, Washington Nationals (+600)

The Nationals have struggled to repeat last year’s success but Zimmermann has kept their heads above water with a 12-4 record and 2.58 ERA at the break. The righty was solid in the second half of 2012, going 7-2 with a 3.38 ERA and if Washington finds its form, there is great value in Zimmermann to bring home the hardware.

Odds to win National League Cy Young

Adam Wainwright (Cardinals) +200
Patrick Corbin (Diamondbacks) +350
Clayton Kershaw (Dodgers) +400
Jordan Zimmermann (Nationals) +600
Cliff Lee (Phillies) +800
Lance Lynn (Cardinals) +900
Jason Grilli (Pirates) +1,200
Jeff Locke (Pirates) +1,200
Craig Kimbrel (Braves) +1,500
Shelby Miller (Cardinals) +1,500
Matt Harvey (Mets) +1,500
A.J. Burnett (Pirates) +4,000

Odds to win American League Cy Young

Max Scherzer (Tigers) -300
Joe Nathan (Rangers) +600
Bartolo Colon (Athletics) +800
Clay Buchholz (Red Sox) +1,000
Matt Moore (Rays) +1,200
Yu Darvish (Rangers) +2,000
Felix Hernandez (Mariners) +2,500
Mariano Rivera (Yankees) +3,000
Addison Reed (White Sox) +5,000
Justin Verlander (Tigers) +5,000
Anibal Sanchez (Tigers) +10,000

marksmoneymakers Posts:30746 Followers:142
07/20/2013 07:45 AM

Handicapping MLB's Best 'Hitters' Ballparks

The MLB All-Star break presents the perfect opportunity to study the first half of the baseball season in search of key statistics and trends that can serve as a handicapping guide for the rest of the year.

Some of the most telling stats revolve around how each of the 30 MLB ballparks held up against the hitters it faced. While there are many different factors that help make a “hitters’ park”, the proof of which ones where truly the best still lie in the numbers.

There are a number of different ways to measure ballparks in terms of whether or not they were favorable to hitters, but the top statistic is its OPS. This is a combination of on-base percentage and slugging percentage that measures the ability to get on base as well as hitting for power.

Through the first half of the season the Top 5 hitters’ ballparks according to OPS were as follows:

1. Fenway Park, Boston - .772

2. Rogers Centre, Toronto - .766

3. Coors Field, Colorado - .764

4. Comerica Park, Detroit - .762

5. Miller Park, Milwaukee - .757

It’s no big surprise that Fenway tops this list as that has always been known as a hitters’ park. It also helps when the home team is ranked first in the majors in runs scored with 498 through 97 games. The Red Sox are also ranked first overall in OPS at .793.

Comerica Park’s high OPS has also aided by the hitting power of its tenant. The Tigers are ranked second in the Majors with an OPS of .785. They are the second-highest scoring team in MLB with an average of 5.08 runs per game.

The best pure hitters’ park on this list would probably be Miller Park in Milwaukee, considering that the hometown Brewers are ranked 14th in the majors in OPS at .714 and ranked 23rd in scoring with an average of 3.9 runs a game.

If you just want to rank a hitters’ park on slugging percentage alone then the Rogers Centre would move to the top of the list with a SLG of .445. The Blue Jays are ranked sixth overall in slugging percentage at .416, and their team OPS is .732. Fenway ranks second in slugging percentage at .438, and Coors Field is tied with Camden Yards in Baltimore for third with a SLG of .434.

Some people like to equate a hitters’ park with the number of home runs it has given up. Camden Yards would be at the top of this list after yielding 138 homers so far this year. This number has been greatly aided by the fact that the Orioles have accounted for 132 of these blasts through 96 games.

Another good measure of what constitutes a good hitters’ park is a team’s over/under. While this may have little to do with actual baseball statistics and is more a measure of how the oddsmakers set the line, it still provides a valuable handicapping tool for predicting future results.

The final score has gone over in 51 of Detroit’s first 94 games - 54 3 percent. This stands to reason considering that the Tigers are one of the best hitting teams in baseball. A few other teams that have been profitable on the total in terms of games going over the total are not necessarily known for their hitting ability.

The total has gone over in 53.1 percent of Philadelphia and San Diego’s 96 games so far. While the Phillies could be considered a middle-of-the-road team when it comes to OPS and slugging percentage, the Padres remain one of the worst overall hitting teams in the majors.

marksmoneymakers Posts:30746 Followers:142
07/20/2013 07:45 AM

MLB Top 3 Baseball's Best Runline Bets After The All-Star Break

The marathon MLB season can start to wear on bettors after the break, which makes it a good time to mix up your wagers with something new. If you’ve been betting nothing but moneylines, try your hand at the runline – baseball’s version of the spread.

We take a look back over the past five seasons to find out which clubs have constantly covered the runline after the All-Star break.

Records between 2008-2012.

Best Post-Break Runline Bets

Baltimore Orioles (164-202 SU, 197-169 ATS)

The Orioles constantly get love on the runline from oddsmakers due to playing in the ultra-competitive AL East. Baltimore has made the most of those extra runs, covering the spread 53.8 percent of the time after the break since 2008. This year, the O’s are 54-42 against the runline for +15.86 units.

Oakland Athletics (186-175 SU, 196-165 ATS)

The A’s get a similar treatment in the AL West, where the Angels and Rangers hog the spotlight. Oakland has put together some strong second half pushes, including last summer when the club went 51-25 SU and 52-24 ATS in the latter half of the schedule. So far this season, the A’s are 51-44 against the runline for +10.20 units.

Kansas City Royals (157-206 SU, 195-167 ATS)

The Milwaukee Brewers actually have a better second-half runline record (196-163 ATS) than the Royals but K.C. provides much more value due to its losing record. Kansas City was a beast ATS in 2011, posting a 46-25 ATS mark despite winning only 34 of those 71 post-break contests. In 2012, the club went 45-33 ATS. The Royals have struggled against the runline in 2013, going 42-50 ATS for -14.24 units at the break.

Other notables:

Milwaukee Brewers (200-161 SU, 196-163 ATS)
New York Yankees (217-149 SU, 191-175 ATS)
Toronto Blue Jays (177-181 SU, 190-168 ATS

marksmoneymakers Posts:30746 Followers:142
07/20/2013 07:45 AM

MLB Top 3 Baseball's 'Worst Runline Bets After the All-Star Break

The marathon MLB season can start to wear on bettors after the break, which makes it a good time to mix up your wagers with something new. If you’ve been betting nothing but moneylines, try your hand at the runline – baseball’s version of the spread.

We take a look back over the past five seasons to find out which clubs have constantly fallen short of the runline after the All-Star break.

Records between 2008-2012.

Worst Post-Break Runline Bets

New York Mets (156-207 SU, 164-199 ATS)

Runline bettors are rotten in the Big Apple with the Mets falling short against the spread. New York, which is down -7.83 units on the runline this season, went a combined 96-125 ATS after the break from 2010-12. The Mets haven't finished above .500 versus the runline after the break since 2008, when they posted a 34-33 ATS mark in the second half of the slate.

Pittsburgh Pirates (130-234 SU, 167-197 ATS)

On top of being the worst post-break moneyline wager over the past five years (-78.30 units), the Pirates have burned plenty of booty on the runline as well. Pittsburgh hasn’t been too bad ATS in recent seasons but was a terrible 59-82 ATS between 2008 and 2009. The Bucs are currently up +21.00 units on the runline at the break.

Detroit Tigers (188-178 SU, 169-199 ATS)

The Tigers have been good but not good enough to cover the runline. Detroit, which is down -1.94 units on the runline heading into the second half of the sked, was the worst late-summer runline wager in 2009, going 28-47 ATS. Since then, the Tigers are 112-110 against the runline after the break. Good but not GREEEAAAT!

Other notables

Boston Red Sox (178-183 SU, 166-195 ATS)
Chicago White Sox (181-183 SU, 168-195 ATS)
Minnesota Twins (177-189 SU, 176-190 ATS)

marksmoneymakers Posts:30746 Followers:142
07/20/2013 07:47 AM


Saturday MLB Thoughts

Phillies at Mets: My inclination was to take the Mets, but Wheeler's great outing was against the Giants, the team that traded him, and his other good outing was against Atlanta who hadn't seen him and is streaky anyways. Have to lean Phillies here at first look. Although, the Mets obviously know him as well as anyone, but he was hit pretty hard by them lat month, so perhaps a measure of revenge. Coin flip and would follow money there.

Pirates-Reds: I said what I meant when I swore off betting on or against the Reds. No chance of laying -140 anyway and think the Pirates actually have a better back end. Well, I know they do. Pirates RL here.

Washington-Dodgers: We've had great success earlier in the season, but he seems to have rounded back into form. The Dodgers are under .500 against LHP and on the road, and Gio has handled them well with limited exposure. Collectively the Nationals have hit Grienke well, although Suzuki and Span have the Lions' share of the at bats. Still, I;d have to take the Nationals here.

Miami-Milwaukee: I just usually have a hard time backing Gallardo, because when he's bad he's really bad. In this case, he shut down the Fish on four hits last month, so perhaps the Fish get their revenge. I think that was also before Stanton came back and Pierre may have even been out, too. Very possible we could play the Fish RL. Have not looked at the weather, but with the roof open here there could be some runs scored.

Cardinals-Padres: I know that the Cardinals are clearly the better team, but with Volquez's capabilities here and RL cost of only +120 on the Padres, that's what I'd do. Lynn is simply not THAT dominant every time out.

Cubs-Rockies: Still trying to grasp the Cubs meltdown last Sunday night, and with Villenueva pitching that almost assuredly will bring the Chicago bullpen into play sooner rather than later. Nicasio at home is nothing to brag about (most Colorado pitchers aren't) and I'd have loved to take the over, but at 9.5 it does give me pause. No chance of laying 150, however, so maybe Cubs RL, because with a total that high it might be affordable.

Arizona-San Francisco: My instinct here tells me that it might be time to fade Cain again, especially since it's been three weeks since he threw an actual game. But, since Miley has regressed and the Giants fare well against him, I'll look at the over in that one, perhaps, but think the Giants are the right side.

Rays at Jays: How can Buerhle only be -110 at home to a flyball pitcher like Hellickson against a free swinging team in Toronto, in a day game, when the roof should be wide open. Looks like el-trapo to me. Especially when Hellickson just one-hit Toronto not long ago. Yes, he (Buerhle) was lit up by the Orioles right before the break, but the old man in much better in the Rogers Centre than not. Toronto or nothing.

Yankees-Boston: We keep waiting for the Lackey implosion at some point. The ONE thing that concerns me here is that south breeze blowing out to right field here, and clearly both lineups will be stacked with lefties, IMO. That would have concerned me if Lackey wasn't holding lefties to a .204 average. I know what Kuroda CAN do, and because of that I actually think this total might be high even for Fenway and the conditions.

Detroit at Kansas City: Totally not happening that I lay -160 on the road and I'd have said that even if Verlander weren't hit hard last time out. Guthrie can be solid and the Royals have a bullpen advantage, so Royals RL or moving on.

Cleveland at Minnesota: I don't care who has the better lineup here, I just don't think Cory Kluber is a -130 pitcher on the road. In fact, he has been terrible on the road. Minnesota or pass. At nine I can perhaps make a reasonable case for the over here, but the weather isn't overly warm and little breeze to help. We'll see what happens on Friday.

Seattle-Houston: I really wanted to take Norris on Friday, but couldn't quite get past the Mariners recent offensive output. I do like Bedard in certain situations, and this could be one of them. Iwakuma has given up 11 HR's in his last five starts, and four of those were in pitcher-friendly Seattle. Since Houston has already seen him this season, and was shut down by him, I have to think Houston and/or over here.

Baltimore-Texas: For a second I thought that was RANDY Wolf Since the Orioles haven't seen ROSS Wolf, and Ross is not a starter, hence on a pitch count, this game is totally predicated on how much bullpen each team uses on Friday. Gonzalez JUST shut down the Rangers in Baltimore right before the break, and that was essentially the first time they'd seen him. Might consider over in this one, but detest 9.5. Again, see Friday.

Oakland-LA Angels: Looks like Peggy Wilson got his groove back. HOWEVER, two of those three good starts were against weak teams, and in the win against Boston he did give up ten hits. That's enough to tell me to take the A's or pass here. But, because of the pitchers and the park, that total of only 8 might be an over play.

marksmoneymakers Posts:30746 Followers:142
07/20/2013 07:47 AM

Chicago Syndicate Saturday Top Plays Only

Phillies -125
Blue Jays -107
Red Sox/Yankees Under 9.5
Rockies -150 (Triple Play)

marksmoneymakers Posts:30746 Followers:142
07/20/2013 07:47 AM

LA Syndicate Saturday Top Plays

Nationals -125
Rockies -150
Angels/A's Over 8
Mariners/Astros Over 8

marksmoneymakers Posts:30746 Followers:142
07/20/2013 07:48 AM

Today's MLB Picks
Cleveland at Minnesota

The Indians look to take advantage of a Minnesota team that is 0-4 in Kevin Correia's last 4 starts as an underdog. Cleveland is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Philadelphia at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 15.524; NY Mets (Wheeler) 16.691
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+115); Over

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.516; Cincinnati (Latos) 17.111
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-140); Under

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 15.557; Washington (Gonzalez) 16.956
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-130); Under

Game 907-908: Miami at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 16.093; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.990
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+135); Over

Game 909-910: San Diego at St. Louis (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Volquez) 14.462; St. Louis (Lynn) 14.185
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+180); Over

Game 911-912: Chicago Cubs at Colorado (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Villanueva) 14.427; Colorado (Nicasio) 15.866
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-150); Under

Game 913-914: Arizona at San Francisco (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 13.592; San Francisco (Cain) 15.028
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-145); Over

Game 915-916: Tampa Bay at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 16.233; Toronto (Buehrle) 14.618
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-110); Under

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Boston (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.669; Boston (Lackey) 14.822
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+130); Under

Game 919-920: Detroit at Kansas City (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Verlander) 16.390; Kansas City (Guthrie) 14.701
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-155); Over

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Minnesota (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Kluber) 16.912; Minnesota (Correia) 15.489
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-125); Under

Game 923-924: Seattle at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Iwakuma) 14.167; Houston (Bedard) 15.121
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+120); Over

Game 925-926: Baltimore at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 15.212; Texas (Wolf) 14.236
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+100); Under

Game 927-928: Oakland at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Straily) 15.506; LA Angels (Wilson) 16.944
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-140); Over

Game 929-930: Atlanta at Chicago White Sox (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Maholm) 16.168; White Sox (Peavy) 15.063
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Over

marksmoneymakers Posts:30746 Followers:142
07/20/2013 07:48 AM

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Nationals on Friday and likes the Nationals on Saturday.

The deficit is 1381 sirignanos.