cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
On 10/11/2011 06:01 PM in NHL

Cnotes Tuesday's NHL Best Bets !

Penguins host Panthers in Tuesday's home opener

FLORIDA PANTHERS (1-0-0, 2 points)

at PITTSBURGH PENGUINS (2-0-1, 5 points)

Puck drops: Tuesday, 7:30 p.m. EDT
Line: Pittsburgh -165, Florida +145, Total: 5.5

After a three-game swing through Northwest Canada to start the season, the Pittsburgh Penguins return to the Steel City for their home opener against the Florida Panthers. The Pens have not played at home since losing 1-0 to the Tampa Bay Lightning in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals—blowing a 3-1 series lead.

Pittsburgh swept the season series with Florida last year 4-0, with the Panthers picking up just one standings point in a shootout loss in March. In fact, they have just one victory over the Pens in the last two years. Florida tied with Colorado for the third-worst road record in the NHL last season, posting an unimpressive 14-23-4 record away from home. The Panthers roster is much improved this year—adding a dozen new players in the offseason—but it will certainly take some time to gel. Even without sniper Evgeni Malkin in the lineup (lower body injury), expect a hard-working PITTSBURGH team to pick up the victory in front of an energized home crowd on Tuesday night.

The FoxSheets also like the UNDER (-130) in this game:

Play Under - Any team against the total (FLORIDA) - off a road win, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the first half of the season. (151-95 over the last 5 seasons.) (61.4%, +47.5 units. Rating = 2*).

The Panthers won their season opener on Saturday night, blanking the New York Islanders 2-0 on Long Island. Free-agent pickup Jose Theodore (.916 SV Pct. in 32 games last year) made 27 saves to record a shutout in his first start with his new squad.

Defenseman Brian Campbell (27 points in 2010-11 with Chicago) also had a nice debut for the Panthers, chipping in two assists. Long-tenured Panther Stephen Weiss (team-high 49 points last season) scored for Florida, along with D Jason Garrison.

Penguins’ goalie Marc-Andre Fleury (.918 SV Pct. in 2010-11) picked up wins in his first two starts this year against Vancouver and Calgary. The acrobatic netminder can be very streaky, but when he’s dialed in, he’s one of the most dynamic goaltenders in the league.Pittsburgh is still without captain Sidney Crosby (concussion). It’s also unlikely shutdown defenseman Brooks Orpik (194 hits) will suite up, as he recovers from offseason hernia surgery.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
10/11/2011 06:03 PM

Tuesday betting tips: ALCS Game 3 ump hits overs

Who’s hot

MLB: Detroit is 20-8 in its last 28 home games.

NHL: Ottawa has won five of its last six home games.

NHL: The over is 9-3-2 in Pittsburgh’s last 15 games overall.

Who’s not

MLB: Texas is 5-17 in its last 22 games in Detroit.

NHL: Minnesota is 6-16 in its last 22 games playing on zero days’ rest.

NHL: Florida is 0-5 in its last five trips to Pittsburgh.

Key stat

-10 – The Philadelphia Eagles’ turnover differential through five games sits at -10, the club’s worst since 1977.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Mario Williams, Houston Texans - Linebacker Mario Williams will undergo season-ending surgery this week to repair torn pectoral muscle. Williams was injured in the second quarter of the Texans' 25-20 loss at the hands of the Oakland Raiders. The 26-year-old was replaced by Brooks Reed at outside linebacker. The North Carolina State star was enjoying a fantastic season in Houston, recording five sacks through his team's first five games. Houston opened as an early 7-point underdog at Baltimore this week.

Game of the day

Texas Rangers at Detroit Tigers (-130, 8.5)

Notable quotable

"It'll be nice pitching in front of our fans back home. We have a great atmosphere back there. After seeing our fan base, especially in the playoffs, it's an incredible feeling to stand up and look in the crowd and see everybody waving their white towels and being up, screaming on their feet. I'm looking forward to pitching in that atmosphere.” – Detroit Tigers Game 3 starter Doug Fister about heading home to Detroit down 2-0 in the ALCS to Texas.

Notes and tips

Jim Wolf is scheduled to be behind the plate when the Texas Rangers take on the Detroit Tigers in Game 3 of the ALCS. Wolf saw the over go 18-11 in the regular season with an average of 9.24 runs scored in his games. The over is 4-2-1 in his last seven games and he has seen the Rangers go over in each of their last three games with him behind the plate. Check out ***********'s umpire stats here.

Ottawa Senators forward Nikita Filatov will be a fourth-liner for his team's next game Tuesday night against the Minnesota Wild - if he plays at all. Filatov skated with the fourth line in Monday's practice after going through a dreadful weekend that saw the Senators lose to the Detroit Red Wings and rival Toronto Maple Leafs. The 21-year-old left-winger recorded a single assist in the back-to-back defeats and, while is one of the few players on the team with a plus rating, Senators coach Paul MacLean hasn't been impressed with his play so far. The former first-round pick has just six goals and eight assists in 46 career NHL games. Meanwhile, Ottawa captain Daniel Alfredsson (illness) is considered questionable for Monday’s game.

Florida head coach Will Muschamp confirmed Monday that Gators quarterback John Brantley will not be in the lineup for Saturday's showdown with the 24th-ranked Auburn Tigers. Brantley didn't play in last weekend's 41-11 drubbing at the hands of Louisiana State as he nurses a severely sprained ankle. He remains week-to-week, with no timetable for his return. Freshman Jacoby Brissett will practice with the starters in Brantley's absence. Brissett completed eight of 14 passes for 84 years with a touchdown and two interceptions against LSU. Fellow first-year QB Jeff Driskel may get the call in place of Brissett. Driskel missed Saturday's game with an ankle injury.

Denver Broncos coach John Fox on Monday said he will hold off on naming a starting quarterback until Tuesday. Fox said he wanted to review the film of Monday's 29-24 loss to San Diego before announcing whether incumbent Kyle Orton or fan favorite Tim Tebow will start following next week's bye. Tebow, the team's first-round draft pick in 2010, replaced an ineffective Orton to start the second half Sunday. Although his numbers were not great (4 of 10, 79 yards), Tebow threw for a touchdown and ran for another and nearly rallied the Broncos to victory. Orton had a dreadful performance, going 6 of 13 for 34 yards and an interception as Denver dropped to 1-4 on the season.The Broncos are on a bye this week.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
10/11/2011 06:04 PM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Umpire Jim Wolf has to work the ALCS, since his brother pitches for Milwaukee-- he can't work the NLCS.

-- When it was announced the Atlanta Thrashers were moving up to Winnipeg, they sold 13,000 season tickets in less than 20 minutes.

-- Baseball teams down 0-2 in seven-game series have won only 13 of those 51 series.

-- Arizona Wildcats fired their football coach Monday; what does it help to do it now? Just creates a lost season for their seniors.

-- Indiana lost hooper Mo Creek for the year with an Achilles injury; its his third major injury since scoring 16.4 ppg as a freshman.

-- NBA cancelled first two weeks of the regular season. I don't know much about economics, but how do the players win by extending this?


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Bottom 5 and top 8 in the NFL........

28) Broncos-- Tebow gave team a spark, but does Elway want him being the team's franchise quarterback? My guess is no.

29) Colts-- Came close last three weeks and Painter hasn't looked bad, but blowing a 17-0 a lead at home to the Chiefs was disappointing.

30) Dolphins-- Matt Moore makes his first Miami start in the Swamp Monday night; he's a (Oregon State) Beaver, maybe he'll feel at home.

31) Jaguars-- Blew lead at home in 4th quarter to Bengals; can't use rookie QB as an excuse, since Bengals' Dalton is also a rookie.

32) Rams-- You know things suck when the bye week is great fun.

8) Raiders-- Emotional win in Houston; run ball better than most, but not 100% sold on Campbell as a playoff-caliber QB. Listen to the NFL Films piece during the Patriot game, when Hue Jackson was miked. He didn't sound too happy with Campbell either.

7) Bills-- Over half their roster was drafted in Rounds 5-7, or not at all. Hungry guys with a chip on their shoulder- that works in the NFL.

6) Chargers-- Norv Turner seems like a nice guy. Good for him. Thinking they'll get higher on this list.

5) Saints-- Chargers once had Drew Brees, let him walk and they're still good. Miami took Daunte Culpepper instead of Brees. Think about it.

4) Ravens-- Have to be worried about Flacco after his dismal exhibition against the Jets before their bye. He'll need to play a lot better.

3) Lions-- If I was a Bears' fan, it would make me puke that Lovie Smith didn't kick a FG down 11 with 0:35 left Monday night; it was his only chance to win the game. Not much of a game manager.

2) Patriots-- Led 21-0 in only game they lost. If I were them, wouldn't have Wes Welker returning punts; he's too valuable for that.

1) Packers-- Fell behind 14-0 in Atlanta and still won going away; they're a poised team with a lot of offensive weapons. My Rams are in for a long day this Sunday trying to defend this team.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
10/11/2011 06:06 PM


Minnesota at Ottawa
The Wild look to take advantage of an Ottawa team that is coming off a 6-5 loss in Toronto and is 1-7 in its last 8 games after scoring 5 goals or more in the previous game. Minnesota is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Wild favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-105). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 51-52: Florida at Pittsburgh (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 11.313; Pittsburgh 11.659
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 53-54: Minnesota at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.038; Ottawa 10.537
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-115); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-105); Over


Tuesday, October 11

Trend Report

7:00 PM
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 10 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Florida is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Florida

7:30 PM
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Minnesota is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Minnesota
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota



Tuesday, October 11

Ice picks: Tuesday's best NHL bets

Minnesota Wild at Ottawa Senators (-115, 5.5)

The Minnesota Wild have added some pieces this season and should be much better than last year once everything comes together. That hasn’t happened yet.

They were asleep at the wheel early in Monday’s matinee with the Islanders and quickly fell behind 2-0 in the first period. At one point, they went nearly 11 minutes without a shot before the opening intermission.

The second period was a different story as they outshot the Islanders 10-2 and held them to only five more shots after that opening period, but still fell 2-1.

"Everyone's talking about our system. We've done a good job of trying to play that way, quickly," Heatley told reporters of new coach Mike Yeo’s new up-tempo system. "I think it makes our team looks faster. The 'D' are moving the puck well. Guys are in position."

Slow starts killed the Wild last year and another one won’t be tolerated in back-to-back games. Plus, you know the boys will be pulling for Heatley as he returns to Ottawa.

Pick: Wild

Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins (-205, N/A)

This was supposed to be Evgeni Malkin’s big year after he lost most of last season to a knee injury. With captain Crosby still ailing, NHL analysts were clamoring over each other to predict Geno was a favorite for the Art Ross and Hart trophies.

Now, that may still happen, but this isn’t the kind of start Malkin was looking for after he was forced to sit out the third period of Saturday’s game and Sunday’s contest entirely with a “lower-body” injury.

The team says it isn’t related to his injury from last season and that he may be available Tuesday night, but this has to be worrisome moving forward.

However, that’s about the only bad news coming out of the Penguins’ camp. Sidney Crosby is close to be cleared for contact and the Pens took five of six available points in their first road trip of the season.

They’ll come out flying in their home opener but we’re not going near this fat number. Stick to the puckline or hop on the under.

Pick: Under

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
10/11/2011 06:17 PM

Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 11


FLORIDA (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/11/2011, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 7-1 (+5.6 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 7-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.7 Units)


MINNESOTA (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at OTTAWA (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/11/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 21-11 ATS (+32.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 28-19 ATS (+47.1 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 131-106 ATS (+240.6 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 46-39 ATS (+93.6 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
OTTAWA is 3-12 ATS (+17.1 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 2-0-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
10/11/2011 06:18 PM

Short Sheet

Tuesday, October 11


MINNESOTA: 26-16 SU off an Under
OTTAWA: 7-13 SU as favorite

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
cnotes Posts:33377 Followers:38
10/11/2011 06:22 PM

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/10/11 8-­6-­0 57.14% +­1395 Detail
10/09/11 0-­4-­0 0.00% -­2355 Detail
10/08/11 17-­9-­0 65.38% +­3805 Detail
10/07/11 2-­4-­2 33.33% -­1230 Detail
10/06/11 2-­4-­0 33.33% -­1440 Detail
Totals 29-­27-­2 51.79% +175

Tuesday, October 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Florida - 7:30 PM ET Pittsburgh -146 500

Pittsburgh - Under 5.5 500

Minnesota - 7:30 PM ET Minnesota +117 500

Ottawa - Under 5.5 500

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs: