jimmythegreek Posts:12612 Followers:392
On 10/09/2011 01:57 AM in NFL


Green Bay -6 over Atlanta:
The Atlanta Falcons do not need to be reminded of how badly they were dominated by Green Bay in the playoffs last season. They also know the challenge of beating the Packers this time might be even tougher. Seven months after the Packers stormed through Atlanta on their way to a Super Bowl title, the Falcons get a shot to avenge that loss Sunday night at the Georgia Dome.

Atlanta (2-2) was the No. 1 seed in the NFC and playing at home in January, but Aaron Rodgers carved up the Falcons by going 31 of 36 for 366 yards with three touchdown passes and one rushing score in Green Bay's 48-21 divisional playoff win. The Packers (4-0) have won 10 straight games including postseason since losing 31-27 at New England in Week 15 last December - a game Rodgers sat out due to a concussion. Also healthier now than the last time it faced Atlanta, Green Bay is averaging a league-high 37.0 points and is coming off a 49-23 win over Denver last Sunday in which it totaled 507 yards.

Rodgers threw for a regular season career-high 408 yards against the Broncos and became the first player in NFL history with 400 passing yards, four passing TDs and two rushing scores in a single game. In addition to Rodgers, five other Packers scored touchdowns, including cornerback Charles Woodson's 11th career interception return for a score. Receiver Greg Jennings has caught 17 passes for 222 yards over the last two games overall and 18 for 220 in his last two versus Atlanta.

Rodgers has MVP-caliber numbers through the first quarter of the season, completing 73.0 percent of his passes for 1,325 yards with 12 TDs and two interceptions. He could have more success versus a Falcons defense that allowed four touchdowns and 372 total yards in a 30-28 victory Sunday over a Seattle team that had scored 30 total points coming into the game. On the other side of the ball, Atlanta would like to exploit a Green Bay defense that ranks 31st against the pass with 335.8 yards allowed per game and has yielded 25 plays of 20-plus yards. If the Falcons hope to move the ball through the air, quarterback Matt Ryan will need to be better than he was versus Green Bay in January, when he threw one touchdown and two interceptions and was sacked five times. He's thrown six TDs and four interceptions this season and has been sacked 13 times - sixth-most in the NFL.

Even with star Roddy White on the field, rookie receiver Julio Jones is becoming another favorite of Ryan. The sixth overall pick, Jones set a single-game franchise record with 11 receptions last week and has totaled 242 yards over the last two games. The Falcons also would like to get Michael Turner untracked after totaling 90 yards in his last two contests following consecutive 100-games to open the season. Turner ran for 231 on 49 carries in his previous two games versus Green Bay before he was held to 39 on 10 rushes in the playoff loss.

To think the Packers can charge right back into Atlanta and crank out a facsimile of their whipping of the Falcons in the NFC divisional playoff last January seems far-fetched. Then again, Green Bay is blazing with a league-high 148 points after four weeks. Rodgers has been as masterful in the passing game to start this season as he was in the postseason. As much as the Falcons like to push the football vertically, they haven't reneged on their objective of controlling the clock. Getting back to pounding the football with Turner seems likely. Either way it will not be enough against this high powered offense who can execute in the blink of an eye. Packers by 2 TD's in the cozy high scoring atmosphere of the Georgia Dome.

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jimmythegreek Posts:12612 Followers:392
10/09/2011 02:03 AM

NYG -9.5 over Seattle:
Eli Manning and the New York Giants are surging, and they have beaten the Seattle Seahawks by a combined 72 points over the teams' last two meetings. The Giants will try to stretch their win streak to four straight Sunday and hand the Seahawks a seventh consecutive road loss. New York (3-1) has not lost since its opener at Washington, rallying from fourth-quarter deficits the last two weeks. Manning threw two touchdown passes in the final 3:37 of a 31-27 win at Arizona last Sunday.

Manning has been the key with an NFL-best 139.5 fourth-quarter passer rating. After leading the league with a career-high 25 interceptions a year ago, his 90 straight passes without one is the league's longest current streak. The emerging Victor Cruz has nine catches for 208 yards with two scores over the last two games. The Giants are brimming with confidence, and will play eight of their final 12 games at MetLife Stadium, including one as the road team against the New York Jets. The home field should be an advantage Sunday against a Seahawks team that has dropped nine straight in the Eastern time zone since a 28-24 win over Philadelphia on Dec. 2, 2007.

Seattle (1-3) last visited New Jersey in a 44-6 loss in 2008, when Manning completed 19 of 25 passes for 267 yards and two scores. He went 21 of 32 for 290 yards, three TDs and no interceptions in last year's 41-7 rout for the Giants. If there's a weakness for the Giants now, it's a rushing defense allowing 116.5 yards per game. That unit allowed Philadelphia's LeSean McCoy to gain 128 yards on Sept. 25 and Beanie Wells to rush for a career-high 138 last week. However, the Seahawks will be hard-pressed to take advantage since they own the league's second-worst rushing attack with 67.5 yards per game. They managed 53 yards in last Sunday's 30-28 loss to Atlanta.

Tarvaris Jackson showed some progress by completing 25 of 38 passes for a career-high 319 yards, three scores and two interceptions. Jackson was not sacked after being dropped 14 times through the first three weeks to tie for the most in the NFL. New York's pass rush will be bolstered if Pro Bowl defensive end Justin Tuck returns after missing last week's game with a groin injury and a neck issue, but he missed practice Friday and is doubtful. Osi Umenyiora made his season debut and had two of the Giants' four sacks.

One of the key objectives for the Giants on offense this week will be to win the time of possession battle. Over their last two games, both wins, New York has lost the time of possession battle that has left their opponents with too much time on the clock to change the complexion of the game. Through four games, Seattle has yielded opponents an average of 105.0 yards on the ground, ranking them 14th best in the NFL. The Giants, meanwhile continue to work toward smoothing out communication issues that have resulted in their running game finding little to no room in which to maneuver to chew away at the clock and move the chains. This one won't be close.

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jimmythegreek Posts:12612 Followers:392
10/09/2011 02:09 AM

Cincinnati PK over Jacksonville:
A surprisingly strong defense has the Cincinnati Bengals optimistic about their future, while their first-year quarterback's continued improvement bodes well for the offense. Andy Dalton and the Bengals face off with fellow rookie quarterback Blaine Gabbert and the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday. After playing three teams that ranked in the bottom half of the NFL in total offense, Cincinnati (2-2) showed it could compete against one of the league's top teams, handing Buffalo its first loss in a 23-20 win last Sunday.

The Bengals gave up 273 yards of total offense and moved to the top of the league in overall defense for the first time since 1983. They are allowing 275.5 yards per game and have surrendered 347 rushing yards. Cincinnati has similar hopes for the development of its offense. Wide receiver A.J. Green, the fourth overall pick in this year's draft, and Dalton, the team's second-round pick, continue to improve. After struggling in the first half against Buffalo, Dalton completed 11 of 16 passes for 182 yards as the Bengals outscored the Bills 20-3 after the break. He ran in 3 yards for the tying score with 4:19 remaining in the game, then converted a key third-and-3 to set up Mike Nugent's 43-yard field goal with 1:48 left.

While Dalton was helped last week by a 104-yard rushing effort by Cedric Benson, the running back is still waiting for word from the NFL regarding his appeal of a three-game suspension for an offseason arrest. It's been a steeper learning curve for Gabbert. After the Jaguars (1-3) released David Garrard before the start of the season, Luke McCown was named the starter, but he struggled and Jacksonville turned the offense over to the 10th overall pick in this year's draft.

Gabbert is 0-2 as a starter. He completed 16 of 42 passes for 196 yards while throwing one touchdown and one interception in a 23-10 loss to New Orleans last Sunday, getting sacked three times. Gabbert has a league-worst 62.9 passer rating, completing 47.8 percent of his attempts. With the offense last in the league with 39 points, including six in the second half, coach Jack Del Rio wanted to open things up last Sunday. Maurice Jones-Drew was limited to three touches in the first half before finishing with 84 yards rushing on 11 carries. Offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter said he wants to get Jones-Drew - third in the league with 97.8 rushing yards per game - more touches, but that may prove to be difficult against the Bengals' defense.

The Bengals should be able to show more balance offensively in order to be more consistent. That showed in the second half of last week's game against Buffalo, when they were finally able to run the ball, which opened up a lot of middle routes. Also expect to see Bernard Scott in for a couple more series as the Bengals try to get a little bit more of a rotation. Defensively, look for the Bengals to dial up various pressure packages and coverages in order to confuse Gabbert. The defensive line also needs to generate push up the middle in order to contain Jones-Drew. I look for a sloppy low scoring slow moving game that will be won by whichever offense makes the least mistakes.

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jimmythegreek Posts:12612 Followers:392
10/09/2011 02:16 AM

Philadelphia/Buffalo over 52.5
After entering the season with very high expectations, the Philadelphia Eagles have endured an unexpected rough start. The Buffalo Bills went undefeated during a surprising opening month, but suffered a disheartening first loss last week. The last-place Eagles look to avoid their first four-game skid in almost six years Sunday when they visit the Bills, who will be trying to stay atop their division.

Defending NFC East champion Philadelphia (1-3) looked formidable in cruising to a 31-13 win at St. Louis in its season opener, but not much has gone the Eagles' way since. Despite leading by 20 in the third quarter last Sunday, Philadelphia fell 24-23 to San Francisco. Michael Vick threw for a career-high 416 yards and two touchdowns, but rookie Alex Henery missed two field goals and receiver Jeremy Maclin fumbled on a potential winning drive with less than three minutes remaining. Despite being at the bottom of the NFC East, Philadelphia remains confident in its ability to turn things around with three quarters of the season remaining.

Ryan Fitzpatrick averaged 280.3 passing yards and threw nine touchdowns during Buffalo's first 3-0 start since 2008, but he had 199 yards and no TDs in a 23-20 defeat at Cincinnati on Sunday. The Bills, who lost on Mike Nugent's 43-yard field goal as time expired, are in a first-place tie with New England in the AFC East. Fred Jackson had 17 carries for 66 yards and scored his conference-leading fourth rushing touchdown. Jackson has scored 10 TDs - eight on the ground - in his last 13 games. We think he could be in line for a big game against the Eagles, who in addition to their fourth-quarter difficulties have struggled against the run. Philadelphia is giving up 139.5 rushing yards per game - 30th in the NFL.

The Bills' defense has also encountered its share of issues. While Buffalo is tied for second in the league with 11 takeaways, the club ranks 27th with 405.0 yards allowed per contest. Buffalo held Kansas City to 213 yards during a 41-7 season-opening win, but has surrendered 1,407 yards since - the third-highest total in team history over a three-game stretch. The Eagles defense has yielded the same amount of points (101) as it has scored so far throguh 4 games.

This could be one of those who has the ball last nailbiters as both teams will try and outscore each other determining a close finish. Special teams could be the key as well and with record high temperatures predicted around the NorthEast region, this one should easily eclipse the total early in the 4th.

GL to all on Sunday

YTD 8-8

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raizencane Posts:70 Followers:1
10/09/2011 08:57 AM

Good Luck today JTGR!!
Loving those write ups!!


"It's A Canes Thing, You Wouldn't Understand"
br_eilering Posts:58 Followers:0
10/09/2011 09:02 AM

Nice work. I'm really liking Philly in this spot, I just can't see them going 1-4 and all but being eliminated from the playoffs...GL to everyone!

spooky Posts:4694 Followers:319
10/09/2011 01:12 PM

Best of luck my brother Greek. Have a great day.
Everyone seems to be on the Gints. What does that mean anymore though. lol

Speak to ya tonight. GL

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