steve_janus Posts:310 Followers:5
On 05/16/2013 12:30 AM in Cappers

Thursday's MLB Free Pick: Brewers/Pirates OVER 8

Milwaukee vs. Pittsburgh, 05/16/2013 19:05
Total: -115/+8 Over

Thursday's MLB Free Pick: Brewers/Pirates OVER 8

The first three games of this series have all been low-scoring. In each of those games we saw a total of 7.5 or lower and all three went UNDER. Despite the recent results, oddsmakers opened the total for Thursday's game at 8.5. It's since been bet down to 8 and I think it's time to jump all over it. The fact that oddsmakers set the total higher, has me thinking they are expecting an offensive outburst.

I would agree. The Brewers will send out Hiram Burgous, who was lit up for 12 runs (10 earned) on 11 hits in just three innings of work in his last start. He's clearly not going to come in with much confidence. The Pirates will counter with Francisco Liriano. In his first start of the season on Saturday, Liriano allowed just one run on six hits while striking out 9 against the Mets. However, he lasted just 5.3 innings and likely won't pitch deep in this game. You also have to remember that Liriano has a history of some pretty ugly starts. Both starters have the potential to give up 5+ runs in this game. Even if one starters pitches well, there's a good chance the other will make up the difference. BET THE OVER!

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