marksmoneymakers Posts:29845 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:35 AM


My free play for Thursday is going to be on the New York Yankees with C.C. Sabathia, getting it done in Denver against the Colorado Rockies and Jeff Francis.

Call me a sentimentalist, but I still think the power left-hander is one of the best in the business, despite a rather mediocre 4-3 record and 3.31 ERA. And I also believe he'll step to the hill in Denver a bit pissed off, after his last start.

Despite limiting Oakland to two runs on eight hits over six innings, New York's ace suffered his third loss of the season last Friday, when he threw 74 of his 118 pitches for strikes. Now I believe he will be out to avenge that loss.

And if there is anywhere he can do it, it could very well be here, as he has shined against National League opponents since signing with the Yankees. In 16 starts since 2009, the southpaw has a sterling 2.83 ERA, while his 11 Interleague wins are tied with Justin Verlander for the most in the Majors over that span.

Let's play the pinstripes in their matinee in Denver, and list both.


marksmoneymakers Posts:29845 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:35 AM


I like the Washington Nationals to keep this little win streak alive, by getting to Detroit's Doug Fister and toppling the Tigers.

We have the makings of a pretty darned good pitching showdown, as Washington's Danny Haren is on the bump to oppose Fister, and again, I like my chances with the home pup.

Aside from the fact Haren - who has allowed three runs or fewer in his last five starts, with a 1.92 ERA in his last two starts, both wins - was an American League pitcher for so long and knows what to expect here, the Nationals are looking more and more like the contender they're supposed to be, and need to keep the pressure on the Atlanta Braves.

With last night's 3-1 win, the Nats made if five of six overall, while snapping Detroit's four-game win streak. This, for Washington, is being done without the services of Jayson Werth, who will have an MRI done on his right hamstring. There is plenty of firepower left on this team, led by Bryce Harper, who stroked his 10th home run of the season last night.

Harper's homer extended Washington's streak of homering in a series to 67, tops in the National League and second in the majors (Texas, 76).

This could come down to the hurlers, yes, but I'm not listing either since I really wouldn't mind if Fister was scratched. I just like Washington's momentum right now. Take the home underdog here.


marksmoneymakers Posts:29845 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:36 AM

Marc Lawrence
Free play

Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Indians
Prediction: Oakland Athletics

When Bartolo Colon returns to Cleveland to face his ex-mates Thursday afternoon at Progressive Field he will take the hill knowing he is in outstanding KW form this season with 23 strikeouts while issuing only one walk. He is also 7-3 in his career team starts against the tribe. With sore-armed Scott Kazmir just 2-6 his last eight team starts during May, we'll back the visiting A's here today. We recommend a 1-unit play on Oakland.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29845 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:36 AM

Hollywood Sports
Free play

Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants

San Francisco (20-14) is very reliable at home where they have won 16 of their last 22 games. They send out Vogelsong who has struggled this season with a 1-2 record along with a 7.20 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP so far this season. But Vogelsong was much better at home last year where he enjoyed a 2.86 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and .228 opponent's batting average as compared to a 3.87 ERA, 1.26 WHO and .256 opponent's batting average when on the road. The Giants have won a decisive 13 of their last 18 home games when Vogelsong was pitching as a favorite. The right-hander has a great opportunity for a strong outing against this Atlanta team that has lost 6 of their last 7 games against starting pitchers with a WHIP over 1.30. Furthermore, the Braves have lost 8 of their last 11 games against a right-handed starting pitcher. San Fran is 12-6 at home this season -- and Atlanta (20-13) has lost 5 of their last 7 road games against teams with a winning percentage over 60% at home. They counter with Teheran who is 1-0 but with a 5.08 ERA and a 1.66 WHIP this season. He will likely struggle against this Giants' team that feasts on struggling pitchers. San Francisco has won a decisive 63 of their last 87 games when facing a starting pitcher with a WHIP of 1.30 or higher.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29845 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:36 AM

Bruce Marshall
Free play

Minnesota Twins at Boston Red Sox
Pick: Minnesota Twins

A brief pause or course correction? Or an indicator of some real problems on the horizon? That depends upon one's interpretation of the recent meltdown of the Red Sox pitching staff that has posted a 7.98 ERA over the past six games, five of those being losses. The latest was an ugly 15-8 beatdown administed by Minnesota last night, a game in which the Twins already had 11 runs by the 2nd inning and had chased rookie Bosox starter Allen Webster after 1 2/3 IP. Tonight at Fenway, John Farrell figures to get a bit more work out of starter John Lackey, but his most recent start last Saturday at Arlington vs. the Rangers was shaky (3 runs, 6 hits and 3 walks in just 5 IP) in a 5-1 loss. Shaky, too, was Twins starter Kevin Correia last Saturday at Cleveland when 4 runs and 6 hits in just 5 IP of an eventual 7-3 loss, but Correia's previous efforts were stellar, with a 2.33 ERA in his first five outings and pitching at least seven innings in each start. Considering those pitching dynamics, and Boston's current slump, this hefty price looks too good to bypass. Play Twins on Money Line

marksmoneymakers Posts:29845 Followers:142
05/09/2013 10:45 AM

Dave Essler
Free play

Oakland -120

I would probably bet on Oakland today just because they're pissed. Reddick being on the DL is not a huge deal, because he's having a bad year and can't hit LHP anyways. I don't trust Colon as much as some might, but given the choice between he and Kazmir, it's Colon. I do think this game goes over, but don't like the weather pattern nor the fact that Cleveland has gone from beastmode against RHP to below .500 this season. Clearly the Indians bullpen has been used, and Oakland already has the late inning confidence and the Indians pen may have the late inning questions in their head. This is totally as much of an instinct bet than a statistical one. That's why I'll play it a little smaller. Day games without lineups are always tough, but I doubt this number gets better no matter who plays. There's a chance I end up playing the over as well, but may not be around mid-day to see lineups. In the end, one would think that Colon may get the benefit (make up calls) that Kazmir may not, factoring in human elements.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29845 Followers:142
05/09/2013 10:45 AM

Bryan Power
Free play

Toronto vs. Tampa Bay
Pick: Over

I've already won 2 of the 3 games in this series. Monday I had Toronto while last night saw me cash Tampa Bay in easy fashion. Tonight, I will look at the total as we have a matchup of arguably the two most disappointing pitchers in the baseball - David Price and RA Dickey (both reigning Cy Young winners). Given how both have pitched so far this season, I expect this game to go Over a low number...

The Rays are shockingly 1-6 in David Price's seven starts this year. He is coming off a disastrous outing that saw him allow nine runs and 11 hits in a loss at Colorado. His ERA is 6.25 for the season. He's allowed 31 ER on 54 hits in just 44 innings of work so far. In three night time starts, his ERA jumps to an even worse 7.40. When Price turns it over to the bullpen, that hardly inspires any confidence as their relievers have a 6.54 ERA at Tropicana Field. Offensively, Tampa Bay seems fine considering they just scored 10 runs last night and are averaging nearly seven per game over the last seven games.

RA Dickey has similarly been a major disappointment for Toronto. The team has lost each of his last three starts and his last start went very poorly as well. He allowed seven runs in six innings as the team was beaten 8-1 at home by Seattle. The Over has cashed 13 of 16 Dickey starts when he is an underdog of +150 or less on the money line. Dickey's ERA over those last three starts is 6.63. Like Tampa Bay, Toronto seems fine offensively as they are averaging six runs per game in the series.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29845 Followers:142
05/09/2013 10:46 AM

Free Pick

12:05 PM ET
Oakland Athletics @ Cleveland Indians
Take Oakland Money Line -110

Free Picks this week: 3-0

marksmoneymakers Posts:29845 Followers:142
05/09/2013 10:46 AM

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets


Play On - Any team (HOUSTON) poor baserunning team - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game on the season, after 5 straight games where they had less than 10 hits
301-229 over the last 5 seasons. ( 56.8% 95.3 units )
20-27 this year. ( 42.6% -6.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets


OAKLAND is 42-26 (+24.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: OAKLAND (5.4) , OPPONENT (3.9)

marksmoneymakers Posts:29845 Followers:142
05/09/2013 10:46 AM

Seattle Consultants

15 Unit - Detroit Tigers -125

10 Unit - Arizona Diamondbacks -120

10 Unit - Atlanta Braves +110

5 Unit = Average Play
10 Unit = Big Play
15 Unit = Largest Play