marksmoneymakers Posts:29705 Followers:142
05/09/2013 08:31 AM


2 UNIT = New York Yankees @ Colorado Rockies - YANKEES TO WIN (-123)
Listed Pitchers: Sabathia vs Francis
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.63 units)

marksmoneymakers Posts:29705 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:31 AM

Baseball Crusher

Oakland Athletics -113 over Cleveland Indians

marksmoneymakers Posts:29705 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:32 AM


On Thursday the Free MLB System play is on Boston. Game 912 at 7:10 eastern. The Sox were blitzed early by Minnesota on Wednesday falling behind 11-6 after 2 innings. Look for them to bounce back here. They are too heavy a favorite for unit rating but for a free play they fit the criteria of a nice play. Certain home favorites off a home favored loss by 5 or more runs while scoring 5 or more runs have won 31 of 41 times since 2004 vs an opponent off a +140 or higher road dog win by 5 or more runs if they scored 10 or more runs. Minnesota has Correia going and he has a 5.10 road era and may struggle here with this vaunted Boston lineup. Lackey goes for the Sox and he has allowed 5 earned runs in his last 3 starts vs the Twins spanning 22+ innings. Boston is 15-5 vs losing teams and the Twins have lost 10 of 15 at night. Look for Boston to bounce back here tonight.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29705 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:32 AM

Jim Feist's FREE MLB Play for Thursday, May 9, 2013


You need to throw strikes in a small park like Fenway and Minnesota has Kevin Correia on the hill, walking 7 in 41 innings while allowing fewer hits than innings pitched. Boston knows little about him having only thrown one inning against the Red Sox. Boston goes with wacky John Lackey, the Red Sox whipping boy, as big a non-fan favorite as you can find. The road team is 6-2 in umpire Ed Hickox's last 8 Wednesday games behind home plate, as well as road team being 9-4 in his last 13 games behind home plate vs. Boston. Play the Twins.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29705 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:32 AM

Dave Cokin

Thursday free play is Royals.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29705 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:33 AM


Free Pick on Braves/Giants OVER 7.5

The total on this game was set at 7.5 points which would be about right if the Giant’s had any other pitcher in their rotation on the mounts and if the Braves were not averaging 4.9 runs per game in their past seven games. Julio Teheran has 5 starts and a 5.08 ERA on the season. He has allowed 39 hits in just 28.3 innings pitched. Things get even uglier for the Giant’s Ryan Vogelsong. Vogelsong has posted a 7.20 ERA in 6 starts and has given up 8 home runs and 46 hits in just 35 innings pitched.

The Giant’s have had no problem scoring runs this season. They average 4.4 runs per game and have a .270 batting average when playing at home. They face an Atlanta team that is scoring 4.4 runs per game. Both of these teams have favored the over this season as they have each posted an 18 games going over the total to just 14 games going under. Both of these teams have very capable and dangerous hitters and they are slumming it at the bottom end of their respective pitching rotations. With Teheran and Vogelsong on the mound this game should have no problem going over the total.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29705 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:33 AM


This is a Free play on the Minnesota Twins +1.5

The Twins have taken two of three so far in Boston, and they will wrap up the series Thursday at Fenway. Boston's bullpen continues to struggle, and that's not good news for the Red Sox since they send John Lackey to the mound coming off a poor outing his last time out.

Lackey (1-2, 3.52 ERA) saw his first pitch hit out of the park by Ian Kinsler, and ended up allowing three runs on six hits, while walking three over five innings in a 5-1 loss to Texas in his last start. He put together two quality starts prior to that, but those came against Houston and Toronto. Lackey hasn't gone deeper than the sixth inning in any of his starts this year, so you can expect Boston's bullpen to be a factor once again.

Joe Mauer has seen plenty of Lackey, and he hasn't been fooled. Mauer is batting .435 with a pair of home runs in 23 at bats versus the veteran right-hander.

The Twins will hand the ball to Kevin Correia, who's transition over to the American League has been a smooth one. Correia (3-2, 2.83) isn't what you would call an intimidating pitcher, there is nothing fancy about his pitching, he simply gets the job done.

He's coming off a loss, allowing four runs on six hits over five innings in a 7-3 game at Cleveland. Prior to that he tossed eight scoreless innings in a 5-0 shutout win at home versus Texas.

We aren't looking for Correia to toss a shutout here, and the way Minnesota is swinging the bats, going up against Lackey, he likely won't need to.

The Price is right for a play on Minnesota +1.5.

marksmoneymakers Posts:29705 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:34 AM

Free play



Key Trends:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

Remember, the trend is your friend:


marksmoneymakers Posts:29705 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:34 AM


This is a 1* free play on the Tampa Bay Rays over the Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday (7:10 EST).

RA Dickey (2-5, 5.36 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Dickey was booed off the mound in his last start at home vs. the Mariners on Saturday, giving up three long-balls and seven earned runs off six hits and two walks over six frames of work. The veteran has now lost three straight and in those 19 innings of work he's given up 15 runs, five homers and eight walks. To make matters worse, Dickey continues to pitch through back and neck issues. Dickey will be opposed by David Price (1-3, 6.25 ERA) who is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up nine runs off 10 hits over 6 2/3's frames of work in his team's 9-3 setback to the Rockies on Saturday. A grand slam by Nolan Arenado in the seventh was the nail in the coffin. No need to hit the panic button yet for Price. Here's a big opportunity for the underachiever to get untracked; while past success guarantees nothing in the future, it's still significant to note that Price was 3-0 with a 3.26 ERA in three starts vs. the Blue Jays last season (he was also 7-2 with a sparkling 1.81 ERA in front of the home town crowd a year ago). While Price stumbled in his last start, it was in fact just a single pitch which completely ruined his day. Dickey's issues are much greater; velocity, control and now confidence and health. I believe the talent discrepancy on the mound in this matchup definitely justifies in laying the mid-sized price. How about you? What do you think?

marksmoneymakers Posts:29705 Followers:142
05/09/2013 09:34 AM


Thursday's comp play is the Over in Toronto-Tampa Bay.

This is an awfully low total considering the fact both teams and both team's starters have been giving them up of late, and for the season for that matter.

Toronto comes into this finale with Overs in 5 straight and 7 of their last 9 overall, while Tampa has played Overs in 11 in a row!

R.A. Dickey's season ERA stands at 5.36, while David Price's ERA stands at 6.25 with 5 of his 6 starts this year ending up playing Over the total.

Like I said, this is a low total considering the offense damage that has been incurred with these 2 pitchers on the hill.

Toronto and Tampa Bay Over the total.